Politics of Economic Corridors in South Asia: Areeba Arif
Politics of Economic Corridors in South Asia: Areeba Arif
Areeba Arif
Abstract
Introduction
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1
Prabir De and Kavita Iyengar, ed., Developing Economic Corridors in South Asia
(Mandaluyong: Asian Development Bank, 2014).
2
Andrew Small, The China Pakistan Axis: Asia’s New Geopolitics (New York:
Oxford University Press, 2015), 13.
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This paper is divided into three main sections. The first section will
analyse the significance of regional connectivity and corridors, the
second section will focus on the corridors in South Asia and their
importance, which is followed by a section on major challenges and
issues these corridors are likely to face in the near future. The prime
focus of this research will be on the CPEC and BCIMEC.
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BRI is not only beneficial for China but it is also crucial for the other
economies situated along the “Belt” and “Road.” BRI provides a room
for other countries to cooperate and participate in the initiative.
Moreover, it will not only help them in economic integration but it will
also facilitate the trade-related activity, improve economic connectivity
and strengthen people-to-people contacts. Since the world is moving
towards multipolarity, BRI surfaces as a promising development. It will
strengthen the trends of economic globalisation, promote cultural
diversity and ensure smooth working of a global free-trade regime.10 The
basic aim of BRI is to ensure the free flow of trade, deeper integration of
markets and encourage other countries to engage into the multilateral
economic activities while moving them forward to creating a regional
economic order, which benefits all. Successful implementation of BRI is
not only in the interest of the regional countries but it will broadly
benefit the entire world community. Based on the common good of
individuals and societies, it will help figure out new models of global
governance and international cooperation and will help accelerate the
pace of development.
7
Tian Jinchen, “Introduction of the Overland Silk Road and Maritime Silk Road,”
(McKinsey & Company, July, 2016), 36-37.
8
Ibid.
9
Gisela Grieger, One Belt, One Road (OBOR): China’s Regional Integration
Initiative (Luxembourg: European Parliament, 2016), 45.
10
Ibid.
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is trying to build a pattern of connectivity all around the world. This kind
of deeper integration is possible through a gigantic economic venture
like BRI and in the long run, BRI will help China create economic
interdependency within Asia, Africa and Europe. On the other hand, it is
also a matter of time that how China will shoulder international
obligations and responsibilities within its capabilities by trying to make a
greater contribution towards global peace and development.
The CPEC and BCIMEC hold greater significance under the framework
of BRI. If these two projects are linked together, they will move the region
into a new arena of economic development. Unfortunately, though, both the
projects are facing many challenges. Antagonism among the South Asian
states, especially between India and Pakistan, is a major impediment.
Map No. 1
Source: “South Asia: A Bump in the Belt and Road,” Startfor, May 16, 2017,
https://worldview.stratfor.com/article/south-asia-bump-bel
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China and Pakistan are considered as all-weather friends and, now with the
advent of the CPEC, this cooperation is moving into the economic domain
as well. The CPEC is a flagship project of BRI and it is scheduled to be
completed by 2030 as per planned by the Chinese government. This
flagship project is the first major investment of China under BRI. Initially,
China decided to give US$46 billion to Pakistan to build the CPEC but now
it reaches up to US$62 billion.11
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line from Peshawar to Taunsa, despite old plans to build one. People can
travel by road from Peshawar to Taunsa and then take the train to
Karachi via Jacobabad and Larkana. However, this link will not only
save time but it will be cost-effective.
Along with the regional connectivity, the CPEC will also produce a
number of opportunities for Pakistan and result in the cultural exchange
among the regional countries. There must be a broader understanding
that the CPEC is a multi-sectoral project and limited not only to one area.
For this reason, the security of this project is very important. To ensure
this, the Pakistan Army is playing a significant role, currently, is in the
process of formation of a separate division comprising 70,000 military
personals.17
In recent years, the Asian nations are more directed toward the regional and
trans-regional integration in order to develop their economies and create
more connectivity with the world. The BCIMEC is one of the proposed
corridors which generated more interest and concerns as well. The corridor
will be 2800 km long and stretch through the Kolkata via Benapol/Petrapole
along with India-Bangladesh border to Dakka and Sylhet before entering in
India near Silchar in Assam.18 It will pass through the Imphal and then it
will move to the Tamu-Kalewa Friendship Road in Myanmar.
Subsequently, it will cross Mandalay and Lashio and it will reach Kunming
via Ruili, Longling and Dali.19 The four governments (Bangladesh, China,
India and Myanmar) have also, in principle, agreed to establish air links,
water-ways connecting port cities, power transmission lines and oil pipeline
along the route.
17
Small, The China Pakistan Axis.
18
Joshua C Thomas, “BCIM Economic Corridor: Opportunities, Obstacles, Options
& the Road Ahead,” in BCIM Economic Cooperation, ed., Gurudas Das, Joshua C
Thomas (India: Routledge, 2018), 356-392.
19
Patricia Uberoi, “The BCIM Economic Corridor: A Leap into the Unknown?,” Institute
of Chinese Studies, November 2014, 9,
https://www.icsin.org/uploads/2015/05/15/89cb0691df2fa541b6972080968fd6ce.pdf
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The CPEC and BCIMEC are very important projects under the
framework of BRI, having a great many economic benefits for the
region. The CPEC will open up the opportunity for Pakistan to amass the
economic benefits not only from China but also from Russia, Central
Asian Republics (CARS) and the South Asian states such as Bangladesh,
Sri Lanka and Nepal. The CPEC also attaches great significance to the
promotion of peace and prosperity all across the region of South Asia.
To ensure the peaceful coexistence, all important stakeholders of the
region should be taken on board. These states may be able to convince
these countries for peace and ending the disputes among them.
Moreover, it will help to create an enabling environment to foster
corridor development and facilitate the trade and people-to-people
contact, which is complimentary for the corridor development.
Furthermore, at this point in time, it is crucial for Pakistan to get
maximum benefits of the CPEC in a peaceful and secure environment.
To achieve this fundamental aim, it is very important to engage in the
peace talks with Afghanistan and, in lieu of India-Pakistan tensions, both
states need to sit together in order to resolve their disputes through
peaceful dialogue.
Afghanistan supports the CPEC, which will enhance the trade with
Pakistan and the other South Asian countries and also with China and
other neighbouring countries since Afghanistan could become a transit
20
Mustafiz ur Rahman, “BCIM-economic Corridor: An Emerging Opportunity,”
Daily Star, March 15, 2014, http://cpd.org.bd/wp-content/uploads/2014/03/Daily-
Star-Page-52-March-15-2014.pdf
21
Ibid.
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The BCIMEC will also help Bangladesh in energy trade. The energy
generation capacity of Bangladesh was 10,289 MW in 2014 and only 62 per
cent of the population had access to the electricity with 321 KWH per
annum.25 Because of this shortfall of energy Bangladesh has already started
importing energy from India and successful implementation of the BCIMEC
22
Anurag Ram Chandran, “Why Afghanistan Should Join CPEC,” Diplomat, May
5, 2017, thediplomat.com/2017/05/why-afghanistan-should-join-cpec/
23
Ibid.
24
Thomas, “BCIM Economic Corridor.”
25
Uberoi, “The BCIM Economic Corridor.”
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Connectivity will stimulate the rapid economic growth in the region and
will increase the strong cooperation among the nations of South Asia and
South-East Asia. Maximum benefits from the BCIMEC can be expanded
only when there is mutual collaboration and understanding on the policies
and plans for common development and benefits. In future, a new arena of
development for the entire South Asia region will emerge if the CPEC and
BCIMEC are linked together. Economic benefits through these corridors
will be multiplied.
26
Ibid.
27
Ibid.
28
Karim, Mohd Aminul and Faria Islam, “Bangladesh-China-India-Myanmar
(BCIM) Economic Corridor: Challenges and Prospects,” Korean Journal of Defence
Analysis 30, no. 2 (2018): 283-302.
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a) CPEC
29
Riaz Ahmed and Hong Mi, “China-Pakistan Economic Corridor and its Social
Implication on Pakistan: How Will CPEC Boost Pakistan’s Infrastructures and
Overcome the Challenges?,” Arts and Social Sciences Journal 8, no. 2 (2017),
doi:10.4172/2151-6200.1000265
30
Haroun Mir, “China Should Work with US, Pakistan to Stabilise Afghanistan,”
Asia Times, May 24, 2018, http://www.atimes.com/china-should-work-with-us-
pakistan-to-stabilize-afghanistan/
31
Akber Ali, “China Pakistan Economic Corridor: Prospects and Challenges for
Regional Integration,” Arts and Social Science Journal 7, no. 4 (2016):1-5.
32
Atul Kumar, “China-Pakistan Economic Relations,” Institute of Peace and
Conflict Studies, September, 2006.
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CPEC as it is passing through the difficult terrain and also because of the
porous border between Pakistan and Afghanistan.33
The CPEC is not only facing threats from inside Pakistan but the western
province of China, Xinjiang, is also facing security threats from Uighur
militants and the East Turkestan Islamic Movement (ETIM). 35 These
militants, for a long period of time, sought safe-havens in the tribal areas
of Pakistan along with other militant groups in the country. 36 On the
other hand, the Pakistani forces have conducted the military operation
Zarb-e-Azab against these militants in North Waziristan. This military
operation has actually eliminated ETIM.37 Moreover, the security of the
CPEC is vital, for both Pakistan and China, to get the maximum benefits
33
Ahmed and Mi, “China-Pakistan Economic Corridor.”
34
Ibid.
35
Clarke Michael, “The Impact of Ethnic Minorities on China’s Foreign Policy: The
Case of Xinjiang and the Uyghur,” China Report 53, no. 1 (2017):1-25.
36
“South Asia: A Bump in the Belt and Road,” Stratfor, May 16, 2017,
https://worldview.stratfor.com/article/south-asia-bump-belt-and-road.
37
Umbreen Javaid, “Assessing CPEC: Potential Threats and Prospects,” Pakistan
Economic and Social Review 54, no. 1 (2016): 123-142.
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from trade ties and regional integration. Militancy is a serious threat for
the project and should be avoided otherwise it will adversely affect both
countries.
v. Indian Factor
There are other reasons as well. Firstly, the Indian desire of hegemony
in South Asia and economically strong, prosperous and peaceful Pakistan
will never be in the interest of India. To achieve this goal India is
propagating the negative agenda that the CPEC is passing through the
disputed territory. Secondly, BJP’s anti-Pakistan sentiments and the struggle
to isolate Pakistan at the regional, as well as global level, is another factor.
Fortunately, though, the successful development of the CPEC is portraying
a softer image of Pakistan around the globe with its huge economic
potential. Moreover, Pakistan’s CPEC projects and programmes should be
guided by diligent planning and policy. Islamabad should determine the
38
“India’s Opposition can Affect China-Pakistan Economic Corridor in Short Run:
Chinese Media,” Hindustan Times, June 27, 2017,
https://www.hindustantimes.com/india-news/india-s-opposition-can-affect-china-
pakistan-economic-corridor-in-short-run-chinese-media/story-
TReDc79qXEd4U3X4hqGZHL.html
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b) BCIMEC
i. Political Issues
The BCIMEC, since its inception, is the project of Track I Diplomacy for
China and Myanmar because of the leading role that the Central
government of Burma and the provincial government of Yunnan posit to
play in it.39 However, in the case of India and Bangladesh, it was cleared
after the joint statement was released by India-China in May 2013 and
project was endorsed at a higher level and further moved towards the Track
I although before it was the part of Track II initiative. 40 But still least
priority has given to the states from eastern India as compare to the Yunnan
providence.41
39
Subir Bhaumik, “Kolkata to Kunming: Indian and Chinese Strategies Converging
to Build Land and Trade Ties in Northeast,” Economic Times, December 4, 2013.
40
Ibid.
41
Uberoi, “The BCIM Economic Corridor,” 86.
42
Karim and Islam, “Bangladesh-China-India-Myanmar (BCIM) Economic
Corridor.”
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strategies because they will ultimately make the remote areas merely a
transit route. Moreover, the question of getting maximum benefits along
with the ensured security is also important to address.43
Recommendations
43
Mustafizur Rahman, Habibur Rahman and Wasel Bin Shadat, “BCIM Economic
Cooperation: Prospects and Challenges,” Dhaka: Centre for Policy Dialogue, 2007,
98.
44
Uberoi, “The BCIM Economic Corridor,” 73.
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Conclusion
88