Management Science Course Guide Book
Management Science Course Guide Book
OVERVIEW
Effective use of scarce organizational resources is a
major determinant of the success of organizations,
business or non-business, small or large, local or
global. In the case of business enterprises, the
increasing competitive pressure makes the task of
management even more demanding. In Ethiopia,
there is an increasing number of business enterprises
engaged in various sectors in the economy. There is
some anecdotal evidence that inefficient use of
resources is a key factor that prevented the
competitiveness of many local enterprises. There is
an increasing demand for systematic approach to
manage these enterprises to enhance their efficiency
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and effectiveness. Increasing number and size of
local enterprises also means a greater need for more
effective ways of solving problems in these
organizations. In light of this, the new generation of
management/business professionals in the country
need to be better prepared with modeling techniques
that facilitate effective decision making in various
functional and strategic areas. Except some of their
peculiarities, the country’s not-for-profit and other
institutions also need the benefits of modern
management science techniques. The trend generally
is that managers conversant with the various
OR/Management science techniques are becoming
highly valued among business and non business
institutions around the globe. Management science
provides today’s managers with state-of-art
technology of modeling techniques that have passed
the test of time and have proven their value in a
variety of applications under a variety of decision
making environments. This course is designed with
the aim to equip you with the some of the commonly
used tools of management science/operations
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research that you will find useful in your future
career as practicing manager. This material sketches
the content and schedule of the course and provides
additional information that you will need to plan and
complete your study effectively.
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Solve simple two variable models using graphical
analysis
Use the simplex method to solve linear program
problems
Understand the importance and nature of duality
theory
Conduct post optimality analysis to evaluate model
robustness
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1.5 Post Framework
optimalit Changes in Objective Function
y coefficients
analysis Changes in RHS of a constraint
Introduction of new variables/new
constraints
Finding new solution after changes
Duality
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Hungarian method of solving assignment problems
as well as special cases in the assignment model.
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2.1.The model
Transporta Obtaining initial basic feasible
tion solutions: The NWCM, LCM & VAM.
Problem/ Optimality test & solution: SSM and
the MDM
Model
Additional Topics: Degeneracy,
Prohibited routes, Unbalanced
problems and Maximization problems,
Transshipment
Transshipment problems
Nature and The mathematical structure
2.2. The of the problem
assignmen Properties and assumptions of the
t model
The Hungarian method of solving the
problem /
assignment problem
model Special Cases: Maximization,
Unbalanced problems, Prohibited
assignment
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communication networks, electrical networks;
distribution networks (supply chain networks).
Network models can be used to model a range of
problems that at first glance seem to have no
resemblance to networks. Production and inventory
planning, financial planning, assignment and
transportation, and other problems are modeled as
networks. Network models are increasingly
sophisticated and their application becoming diverse.
This chapter offers an introduction to the vast topic
of network flow models. Three major types of
network optimization problems will be the foci of
the discussion in this chapter: the shortest path
problem, the spanning tree problem and the maximal
flow problem. Algorithms to solve the problems will
be illustrated. At the end of this chapter you should
be able to
Appreciate the nature of network flow models and
basic terminologies in network optimization models
Formulate selected problems as network flows and
solve them using the appropriate algorithms
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Table 3: Plan of Chapter Three ≈ Network Flow
(Optimization) Models
Sections Contents
3.1. Overview of Definition and basic terms
Networks and of network flow models
Graphs and Flows
flows
3.1.1. The Shortest NFM Components:
path problem Variables, Constraints,
Objective, Parameters
3.1.2. The minimal Nature of the problem
spanning tree problem The mathematical
structure of the problem
3.1.3. The maximal
Properties and
flow problem assumptions of the model
Algorithm and
Applications
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Table 4: Plan of Chapter Four≈ Project planning
and scheduling Techniques
Sections Contents
4.1. Nature of projects
Introduction Project Management: Review
of Major Functions
Project scheduling components
The project network diagram
4.2. Project PERT/CPM techniques
Scheduling Scheduling individual activities
Handling uncertainty in project
scheduling: PERT
Crashing: The determination of
4.3. Cost-Time Optimal Cost & Time Tradeoff
tradeoff Optimal Crashing: Using
Marginal analysis
Crashing as a Linear
Optimization Problem
Further Issues in Project
management
CHAPTER FIVE: DECISION THEORY
In applying many mathematical models such as
linear programming the assumption is that the
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consequences of alternatives are known with
reasonable certainty. However, decisions often must
be made in environments that are much more fraught
with uncertainty. Decision analysis provides a
framework and methodologyfor rational decision
making when the outcomes are uncertain. This
chapter deals with main concepts and techniques that
are useful for decision making under uncertain and
risky environments. The main difference between
decision making under uncertainty and certainty will
be compared and contrasted. The main components
of decision theory will be covered. Several
probability and non-probability decision criteria will
be illustrated. The valuation of
experimentation/additional information and the use
of conditional and posterior probabilities in this
process are all to be discussed in this chapter.
At the end of the chapter, you should be able to
Differentiate between decision making under
uncertainty and certainty
Identify main components of decision
theory/analysis
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Use various probabilistic and non-probabilistic
criterion to make decisions under different contexts
(hypothetical)
Evaluate the value of additional information and
experimentation before making decisions
Table 5: Plan of Chapter Five ≈ Decision Analysis
Sections Contents
Decision Theory in Management Science: Basics
5.1. Introduction Decision Analysis as a Framework For decision making under Uncertainty
Components of Decision Analysis
5.2.Decision Laplace’s Criterion, Huruicz’s CriterionMinmax/MaxminVsMinmin/Maxmax,
Criteria Minimax regret criterion and others.
Expected Monetary value, Expected opportunity loss & maximum likelihood
5.3. Decision criteria
Making with Posterior and Conditional Probabilities
Probability Experimentation/sampling and the value of additional information
Decision Trees, Sequential Decision Making & Related Topics
References :
Hillier, Frederick S., Gerald J. Lieberman, 2001. Introduction to Operations Research. McGraw-
Hill: New York.
William J. Stevenson, Introduction to management science
Taha, Hamdy A, 2007 (8thed), Operations Research: an introduction. Pearson Education, Inc.
New Jersey.
Kaufman, A; R Faure. (1968), Introduction to Operations Research. (Volume 47) (Richard
Bellman Ed., Henry C Sneyd, Trans) New York.
Taha, Hamdy A (2007) Operations Research: an introduction. (8th ed). New Jersey: Pearson
Education, Inc:
Taylor III, Bernard W. (1996), Introduction to Management Science. (5thed) New Jersey:
Prentice Hall:
Evaluation:
Article review (10%), Term Paper (25%), Mid exam (25%), Final exam (40%)
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