SS 03 Quiz 1 PDF
SS 03 Quiz 1 PDF
A survey is taken to determine whether the average starting salaries of CFA charterholders is equal to or greater than $59,000
per year. What is the test statistic given a sample of 135 newly acquired CFA charterholders with a mean starting salary of
$64,000 and a standard deviation of $5,500?
A) 10.56.
B) -10.56.
C) 0.91.
Which of the following technical analysis observations most likely represents a change in polarity?
C) A resistance level on a line chart is breached and later acts as a support level.
The table below is for five samples drawn from five separate populations. The far left columns give information on the population
distribution, population variance, and sample size. The right-hand columns give three choices for the appropriate tests: z =
z-statistic, and t = t-statistic. "None" means that a test statistic is not available.
Normal 5.60 75 z z z
Normal n/a 18 t t t
Which set of test statistic choices (One, Two, or Three) matches the correct test statistic to the sample for all five samples?
A) Two.
B) Three.
C) One.
A test of the population variance is equal to a hypothesized value requires the use of a test statistic that is:
A) F-distributed.
B) Chi-squared distributed.
C) t-distributed.
A) double top.
B) inverse head and shoulders pattern.
A) A Type II error is the probability of failing to reject a null hypothesis that is not true.
B) The significance level is the probability of making a Type I error.
C) A Type I error is the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when the null hypothesis is false.
Question #8 of 126 Question ID: 498741
A) intermarket analysis.
B) a stochastic oscillator.
C) correlations within asset classes.
Jo Su believes that there should be a negative relation between returns and systematic risk. She intends to collect data on
returns and systematic risk to test this theory. What is the appropriate alternative hypothesis?
A) Ha: ρ ≠ 0.
B) Ha: ρ < 0.
C) Ha: ρ > 0.
A technical analyst who identifies a decennial pattern and a Kondratieff wave most likely:
Which of the following statements regarding Type I and Type II errors is most accurate?
For a two-tailed test of hypothesis involving a z-distributed test statistic and a 5% level of significance, a calculated z-statistic of
1.5 indicates that:
Identify the error type associated with the level of significance and the meaning of a 5 percent significance level.
α = 0.05 means there is
Error type a 5 percent probability
of
Student's t-Distribution
A) reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the population mean is greater that 100.
B) fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the population mean is less than or equal to 100.
C) fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the population mean is greater than 100.
A) Greater than for the null and less than or equal to for the alternative.
B) Less than for the null and greater than for the alternative.
C) Equal to for the null and not equal to for the alternative.
If we fail to reject the null hypothesis when it is false, what type of error has occured?
A) Type I.
B) Type II.
C) Type III.
Student's t-Distribution
A researcher is testing whether the average age of employees in a large firm is statistically different from 35 years (either above
or below). A sample is drawn of 250 employees and the researcher determines that the appropriate critical value for the test
statistic is 1.96. The value of the computed test statistic is 4.35. Given this information, which of the following statements is least
accurate? The test:
A) indicates that the researcher is 95% confident that the average employee age is different than 35
years.
B) indicates that the researcher will reject the null hypothesis.
B) 4.00.
C) 4.12.
A head and shoulders pattern is most likely to precede a reversal in trend if:
A) volume decreases between the left shoulder and the head, then increases between the head and the
right shoulder.
B) the left shoulder, the head, and the right shoulder occur on increasing volume.
C) the left shoulder, the head, and the right shoulder occur on decreasing volume.
An analyst is testing the hypothesis that the mean excess return from a trading strategy is less than or equal to zero. The analyst
reports that this hypothesis test produces a p-value of 0.034. This result most likely suggests that the:
C) smallest significance level at which the null hypothesis can be rejected is 6.8%.
A support level is the price range at which a technical analyst would expect the:
Student's t-Distribution
A) fail to reject the null hypothesis that the population mean is not significantly different from zero.
B) reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the population mean is not significantly different from
zero.
C) reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the population mean is significantly different from zero.
Susan Bellows is comparing the return on equity for two industries. She is convinced that the return on equity for the discount
retail industry (DR) is greater than that of the luxury retail (LR) industry. What are the hypotheses for a test of her comparison of
return on equity?
Simone Mak is a television network advertising executive. One of her responsibilities is selling commercial spots for a successful weekly
sitcom. If the average share of viewers for this season exceeds 8.5%, she can raise the advertising rates by 50% for the next season. The
population of viewer shares is normally distributed. A sample of the past 18 episodes results in a mean share of 9.6% with a standard
deviation of 10.0%. If Mak is willing to make a Type 1 error with a 5% probability, which of the following statements is most accurate?
A) Mak cannot charge a higher rate next season for advertising spots based on this sample.
B) With an unknown population variance and a small sample size, Mak cannot test a hypothesis based on her
sample data.
C) The null hypothesis Mak needs to test is that the mean share of viewers is greater than 8.5%.
A) If you can disprove the null hypothesis, then you have proven the alternative hypothesis.
B) The probability of a Type I error is equal to the significance level of the test.
C) The power of a test is one minus the probability of a Type I error.
For a test of the equality of the means of two normally distributed independent populations, the appropriate test statistic follows a:
Which one of the following best characterizes the alternative hypothesis? The alternative hypothesis is usually the:
A) hoped-for outcome.
B) hypothesis that is accepted after a statistical test is conducted.
In the process of hypothesis testing, what is the proper order for these steps?
A) Collect the sample and calculate the sample statistics. State the hypotheses. Specify the level of
significance. Make a decision.
B) State the hypotheses. Specify the level of significance. Collect the sample and calculate the test
statistics. Make a decision.
C) Specify the level of significance. State the hypotheses. Make a decision. Collect the sample and
calculate the sample statistics.
Which of the following technical analysis indicators is least accurately described as an oscillator?
Student's t-Distribution
A) fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the population mean is greater than 100.
B) fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the population mean is not greater than 100.
C) reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the population mean is greater than 100.
A survey is taken to determine whether the average starting salaries of CFA charterholders is equal to or greater than $58,500
per year. What is the test statistic given a sample of 175 newly acquired CFA charterholders with a mean starting salary of
$67,000 and a standard deviation of $5,200?
A) 21.62.
B) -1.63.
C) 1.63.
Which of the following statements about hypothesis testing is most accurate? A Type I error is the probability of:
Student's t-Distribution
A) reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the population mean is significantly different from zero.
B) reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the population mean is not significantly different from
zero.
C) fail to reject the null hypothesis that the population mean is not significantly different from zero.
Elliott wave theory describes the typical pattern of price movements as:
A) four waves with the direction of the trend, followed by three waves against the direction of the trend.
B) five waves with the direction of the trend, followed by four waves against the direction of the trend.
C) five waves with the direction of the trend, followed by three waves against the direction of the trend.
A survey is taken to determine whether the average starting salaries of CFA charterholders is equal to or greater than $57,000
per year. Assuming a normal distribution, what is the test statistic given a sample of 115 newly acquired CFA charterholders with
a mean starting salary of $65,000 and a standard deviation of $4,500?
A) -19.06.
B) 1.78.
C) 19.06.
The use of the F-distributed test statistic, F = s12 / s22, to compare the variances of two populations does NOT require which of
the following?
Which of the following statements about testing a hypothesis using a Z-test is least accurate?
A) If the calculated Z-statistic lies outside the critical Z-statistic range, the null hypothesis can be
rejected.
B) The confidence interval for a two-tailed test of a population mean at the 5% level of significance is
that the sample mean falls between ±1.96 σ/√n of the null hypothesis value.
George Appleton believes that the average return on equity in the amusement industry, µ, is greater than 10%. What is the null
(H0) and alternative (Ha) hypothesis for his study?
A technical analyst who wishes to observe the state of capital flows in the financial markets is least likely to examine:
B) margin debt.
C) the cash position of mutual funds.
Of the following explanations, which is least likely to be a valid explanation for divergence between statistical significance and
economic significance?
A) Transactions costs.
B) Data errors.
Which of the following would a technical analyst most likely interpret as a "buy" signal?
A) 20-day moving average crosses below a 100-day moving average.
For a test of the equality of the mean returns of two non-independent populations based on a sample, the numerator of the
appropriate test statistic is the:
A bottler of iced tea wishes to ensure that an average of 16 ounces of tea is in each bottle. In order to analyze the accuracy of
the bottling process, a random sample of 150 bottles is taken. Using a t-distributed test statistic of -1.09 and a 5% level of
significance, the bottler should:
A) not reject the null hypothesis and conclude that bottles do not contain an average of 16 ounces of
tea.
B) not reject the null hypothesis and conclude that bottles contain an average 16 ounces of tea.
C) reject the null hypothesis and conclude that bottles contain an average 16 ounces of tea.
James Ambercrombie believes that the average return on equity in the utility industry, µ, is greater than 10%. What is null (H0)
and alternative (Ha) hypothesis for his study?
Which of the following statements about parametric and nonparametric tests is least accurate?
C) The test of the difference in means is used when you are comparing means from two independent
samples.
A) In a test of the population mean, if the population variance is unknown, we should use a t-distributed
test statistic.
B) In the case of a test of the difference in means of two independent samples, we use a t-distributed
test statistic.
C) In a test of the population mean, if the population variance is unknown and the sample is small, we
should use a z-distributed test statistic.
Kyra Mosby, M.D., has a patient who is complaining of severe abdominal pain. Based on an examination and the results from laboratory
tests, Mosby states the following diagnosis hypothesis: Ho: Appendicitis, HA: Not Appendicitis. Dr. Mosby removes the patient's appendix
and the patient still complains of pain. Subsequent tests show that the gall bladder was causing the problem. By taking out the patient's
appendix, Dr. Mosby:
A) is correct.
For a t-distributed test statistic with 30 degrees of freedom, a one-tailed test specifying the parameter greater than some value
and a 95% confidence level, the critical value is:
A) 1.697.
B) 1.640.
C) 2.042.
Which of the following is the correct sequence of events for testing a hypothesis?
A) State the hypothesis, formulate the decision rule, select the level of significance, compute the test
statistic, and make a decision.
B) State the hypothesis, select the level of significance, formulate the decision rule, compute the test
statistic, and make a decision.
C) State the hypothesis, select the level of significance, compute the test statistic, formulate the
decision rule, and make a decision.
A researcher is testing the hypothesis that a population mean is equal to zero. From a sample with 64 observations, the
researcher calculates a sample mean of -2.5 and a sample standard deviation of 8.0. At which levels of significance should the
researcher reject the hypothesis?
A survey is taken to determine whether the average starting salaries of CFA charterholders is equal to or greater than $62,500
per year. What is the test statistic given a sample of 125 newly acquired CFA charterholders with a mean starting salary of
$65,000 and a standard deviation of $2,600?
A) 0.96.
B) -10.75.
C) 10.75.
Question #57 of 126 Question ID: 413420
The trend line for a stock in an uptrend is constructed by drawing a straight line through the:
A) highs.
B) periodic averages.
C) lows.
An analyst has calculated the sample variances for two random samples from independent normally distributed populations. The
test statistic for the hypothesis that the true population variances are equal is a(n):
A) t-statistic.
A test of a hypothesis that the means of two normally distributed populations are equal based on two independent random
samples:
C) is a paired-comparisons test.
Brandee Shoffield is the public relations manager for Night Train Express, a local sports team. Shoffield is trying to sell advertising spots
and wants to know if she can say with 90% confidence that average home game attendance is greater than 3,000. Attendance is
approximately normally distributed. A sample of the attendance at 15 home games results in a mean of 3,150 and a standard deviation of
450. Which of the following statements is most accurate?
A) With an unknown population variance and a small sample size, no statistic is available to test Shoffield's
hypothesis.
Joe Sutton is evaluating the effects of the 1987 market decline on the volume of trading. Specifically, he wants to test whether the
decline affected trading volume. He selected a sample of 500 companies and collected data on the total annual volume for one
year prior to the decline and for one year following the decline. What is the set of hypotheses that Sutton is testing?
An analyst wants to determine whether the monthly returns on two stocks over the last year were the same or not. What test
should she use, assuming returns are normally distributed?
The variance of 100 daily stock returns for Stock A is 0.0078. The variance of 90 daily stock returns for Stock B is 0.0083. Using
a 5% level of significance, the critical value for this test is 1.61. The most appropriate conclusion regarding whether the variance
of Stock A is different from the variance of Stock B is that the:
A) If a result is statistically significant and economically meaningful, the relationship will continue into
the future.
Technical analysts who employ Elliott Wave Theory are most likely to use Fibonacci numbers to forecast the:
Jill Woodall believes that the average return on equity in the retail industry, µ, is less than 15%. What is null (H0) and alternative
(Ha) hypothesis for her study?
Brian Ci believes that the average return on equity in the airline industry, µ, is less than 5%. What are the appropriate null (H0)
and alternative (Ha) hypotheses to test this belief?
The test of the equality of the variances of two normally distributed populations requires the use of a test statistic that is:
A) Chi-squared distributed.
B) F-distributed.
C) z-distributed.
What kind of test is being used for the following hypothesis and what would a z-statistic of 1.68 tell us about a hypothesis with the
appropriate test and a level of significance of 5%, respectively?
H 0: B ≤ 0
HA: B > 0
Which of the following statements least accurately describes the procedure for testing a hypothesis?
B) Select the level of significance, formulate the decision rule, and make a decision.
C) Compute the sample value of the test statistic, set up a rejection (critical) region, and make a
decision.
Question #72 of 126 Question ID: 413379
An analyst calculates that the mean of a sample of 200 observations is 5. The analyst wants to determine whether the calculated
mean, which has a standard error of the sample statistic of 1, is significantly different from 7 at the 5% level of significance.
Which of the following statements is least accurate?:
A) The mean observation is significantly different from 7, because the calculated Z-statistic is less than
the critical Z-statistic.
B) The alternative hypothesis would be Ha: mean > 7.
C) The null hypothesis would be: H0: mean = 7.
The most appropriate tool to use for intermarket analysis of two different asset classes is a:
A) A hypothesis that the population mean is less than or equal to 5 should be rejected when the critical
Z-statistic is greater than the sample Z-statistic.
B) A Type I error is rejecting the null hypothesis when it is true, and a Type II error is rejecting the
alternative hypothesis when it is true.
C) A hypothesized mean of 3, a sample mean of 6, and a standard error of the sampling means of 2
give a sample Z-statistic of 1.5.
After trending upward for several weeks, the price of Vibex, Inc. stock reaches a high of $54 before falling to $48 over the
following week. The stock then rallies to $57 but then declines again to $48. The following week, the stock increases to $52 on
light volume before ending the week at $46. A technical analyst observing this pattern would most likely describe it as a:
A) continuation pattern.
B) head-and-shoulders pattern.
C) triangle pattern.
In order to test whether the mean IQ of employees in an organization is greater than 100, a sample of 30 employees is taken and
the sample value of the computed test statistic, tn-1 = 3.4. The null and alternative hypotheses are:
A) can reject the null hypothesis at both the 5% and 1% significance levels.
An analyst conducts a two-tailed z-test to determine if small cap returns are significantly different from 10%. The sample size was
200. The computed z-statistic is 2.3. Using a 5% level of significance, which statement is most accurate?
B) Fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude that small cap returns are close enough to 10% that
we cannot say they are significantly different from 10%.
C) Reject the null hypothesis and conclude that small cap returns are significantly different from 10%.
Question #79 of 126 Question ID: 413333
Jill Woodall believes that the average return on equity in the retail industry, µ, is less than 15%. What are the null (H0) and
alternative (Ha) hypotheses for her study?
Technical analysts who use cycles define a Kondratieff wave as a cycle of:
A) 18 years.
B) 10 years.
C) 54 years.
Ryan McKeeler and Howard Hu, two junior statisticians, were discussing the relation between confidence intervals and
hypothesis tests. During their discussion each of them made the following statement:
McKeeler: A confidence interval for a two-tailed hypothesis test is calculated as adding and subtracting the
product of the standard error and the critical value from the sample statistic. For example, for a level of
confidence of 68%, there is a 32% probability that the true population parameter is contained in the interval.
Hu: A 99% confidence interval uses a critical value associated with a given distribution at the 1% level of
significance. A hypothesis test would compare a calculated test statistic to that critical value. As such, the
confidence interval is the range for the test statistic within which a researcher would not reject the null
hypothesis for a two-tailed hypothesis test about the value of the population mean of the random variable.
With respect to the statements made by McKeeler and Hu:
Student's t-Distribution
Student's t-Distribution
A) rejects the null hypothesis, and Fisher can conclude that the means are equal.
B) rejects the null hypothesis, and Fisher can conclude that the means are not equal.
C) fails to reject the null hypothesis.
B) specialist trading.
A survey is taken to determine whether the average starting salaries of CFA charterholders is equal to or greater than $54,000
per year. Assuming a normal distribution, what is the test statistic given a sample of 75 newly acquired CFA charterholders with a
mean starting salary of $57,000 and a standard deviation of $1,300?
A) 19.99.
B) 2.31.
C) -19.99.
A test of whether a mutual fund's performance rank in one period provides information about the fund's performance rank in a
subsequent period is best described as a:
A) nonparametric test.
B) parametric test.
C) mean-rank test.
Which of the following statements about hypothesis testing is most accurate? A Type II error is the probability of:
A technical analysis chart that illustrates only the closing prices of a security on each trading day is best described as a:
A) point and figure chart.
B) line chart.
C) bar chart.
A manager wants to test whether two normally distributed and independent populations have equal variances. The appropriate
test statistic for this test is a:
A) t-statistic.
B) F-statistic.
C) chi-square statistic.
An Elliott wave theorist who forecasts prices based on Fibonacci ratios is most likely to predict that a wave will be:
In order to test if Stock A is more volatile than Stock B, prices of both stocks are observed to construct the sample variance of the two
stocks. The appropriate test statistics to carry out the test is the:
A) t test.
B) Chi-square test.
C) F test.
10 12 15 20 24 30
25 2.24 2.16 2.09 2.01 1.96 1.92
30 2.16 2.09 2.01 1.93 1.89 1.84
40 2.08 2.00 1.92 1.84 1.79 1.74
Abby Ness is an analyst for a firm that specializes in evaluating firms involved in mineral extraction. Ness believes that the
earnings of copper extracting firms are more volatile than those of bauxite extraction firms. In order to test this, Ness examines
the volatility of returns for 31 copper firms and 25 bauxite firms. The standard deviation of earnings for copper firms was $2.69,
while the standard deviation of earnings for bauxite firms was $2.92. Ness's Null Hypothesis is σ12 = σ22. Based on the samples,
can we reject the null hypothesis at a 90% confidence level using an F-statistic? Null is:
Given a normally distributed random variable with a mean of 10% and a standard deviation of 14%, what is a 95% confidence
interval for the return next year?
A) -17.44% to 37.44%.
B) -4.00% to 24.00%.
C) -17.00% to 38.00%.
Which of the following statements about the variance of a normally distributed population is least accurate?
If a two-tailed hypothesis test has a 5% probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when the null is true, it is most likely that the:
One of the underlying assumptions of technical analysis is that supply and demand is driven by:
Robert Patterson, an options trader, believes that the return on options trading is higher on Mondays than on other days. In order to test his
theory, he formulates a null hypothesis. Which of the following would be an appropriate null hypothesis? Returns on Mondays are:
An analyst is testing to see if the mean of a population is less than 133. A random sample of 50 observations had a mean of 130.
Assume a standard deviation of 5. The test is to be made at the 1% level of significance. The analyst should:
A) reject the null hypothesis.
A Type I error:
The point where technicians expect a substantial increase in the demand for a stock to occur is called a:
A) support level.
B) break-out point.
C) resistance level.
If the null hypothesis is innocence, then the statement "It is better that the guilty go free, than the innocent are punished" is an example of
preferring a:
Which one of the following is the most appropriate set of hypotheses to use when a researcher is trying to demonstrate that a
return is greater than the risk-free rate? The null hypothesis is framed as a:
A) less than statement and the alternative hypothesis is framed as a greater than or equal to statement.
B) greater than statement and the alternative hypothesis is framed as a less than or equal to statement.
C) less than or equal to statement and the alternative hypothesis is framed as a greater than statement.
Closing prices for a commodity were 21.4 on Monday, 22.2 on Tuesday, 21.8 on Wednesday, 22.4 on Thursday, and 23.2 on
Friday. The five-day standard deviation is 0.7 and the 30-day standard deviation is 1.0. On Friday, five-day Bollinger bands using
two standard deviations are closest to:
When technical analysts say a stock has good "relative strength," they mean the:
A) ratio of the price of the stock to a market index has trended upward.
B) recent trading volume in the stock has exceeded the normal trading volume.
C) stock has performed well compared to other stocks in the same risk category as measured by beta.
Which of the following statements about parametric and nonparametric tests is least accurate?
Ron Jacobi, manager with the Toulee Department of Natural Resources, is responsible for setting catch-and-release limits for Lake Norby,
a large and popular fishing lake. For the last two months he has been sampling to determine whether the average length of Northern Pike
in the lake exceeds 18 inches (using a significance level of 0.05). Assume that the p-value is 0.08. In concluding that the average size of
the fish exceeds 18 inches, Jacobi:
A) is correct.
B) makes a Type I error.
In order to test if the mean IQ of employees in an organization is greater than 100, a sample of 30 employees is taken. The
sample value of the computed z-statistic = 3.4. The appropriate decision at a 5% significance level is to:
A) reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the population mean is equal to 100.
B) reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the population mean is not equal to 100.
C) reject the null hypotheses and conclude that the population mean is greater than 100.
A hypothesis test has a p-value of 1.96%. An analyst should reject the null hypothesis at a significance level of:
The resistance level signifies the price at which a stock's supply would be expected to:
A) decrease substantially.
Cumulative Z-Table
A) For the 50% bonus level, the test statistic is -5.33 and Huffman should give Brickley a 50% bonus.
C) For the 50% bonus level, the critical value is -1.65 and Huffman should give Brickley a 50% bonus.
A researcher determines that the mean annual return over the last 10 years for an investment strategy was greater than that of
an index portfolio of equal risk with a statistical significance level of 1%. To determine whether the abnormal portfolio returns to
the strategy are economically meaningful, it would be most appropriate to additionally account for:
An analyst conducts a two-tailed test to determine if mean earnings estimates are significantly different from reported earnings.
The sample size is greater than 25 and the computed test statistic is 1.25. Using a 5% significance level, which of the following
statements is most accurate?
A) To test the null hypothesis, the analyst must determine the exact sample size and calculate the
degrees of freedom for the test.
B) The analyst should reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the earnings estimates are
significantly different from reported earnings.
C) The analyst should fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the earnings estimates are not
significantly different from reported earnings.
A) Ha: ρ > 0.
B) Ha: ρ ≠ 0.
C) Ha: ρ < 0.
A Type II error:
A goal of an "innocent until proven guilty" justice system is to place a higher priority on:
A technical analyst examining the past 12 months of daily price data for evidence of cycles is most likely to identify:
A) Kondratieff waves.
B) decennial patterns.
C) Elliott wave patterns.
John Jenkins, CFA, is performing a study on the behavior of the mean P/E ratio for a sample of small-cap companies. Which of
the following statements is most accurate?
A) A Type I error represents the failure to reject the null hypothesis when it is, in truth, false.
B) The significance level of the test represents the probability of making a Type I error.
C) One minus the confidence level of the test represents the probability of making a Type II error.