Factor Model Notes:: R α β f β f …+β f ϵ R α β ' f ϵ
Factor Model Notes:: R α β f β f …+β f ϵ R α β ' f ϵ
BRIEFING:
Three types of Factor Models:
1. Macroeconomic Factor Models
a. Observable Factors
b. Derived from economics and financial time series data
2. Fundamental Factor Models
a. Observable Factors
b. Derived from asset characteristics
3. Statistical Factor Models
a. Unobservable Factors
b. Extracted from asset returns
General Form:
Rit =α i + β 1 i f 1 t + β 2 i f 12t + …+ β Ki f Kt + ϵ it
Rit =α i + β ' i f t + ϵ it
Rit is the simple or real return on asset i (i = 1,…, N) in time period t (t = 1,…,T)
Fkt is the kth common factor (k = 1,…,K)
Beta is the factor beta for asset I on the kth factor
Epsilon is the asset specific factor (noise)
Assumptions:
1. The factor realizations, f, are stationary with unconditional moments
a. E [ f ]=μ
b. cov ( f , ϵ )=E [ ( f −μ ) ( f −μ )' ]=Ω
c. Why is this important?
2. Asset specific error terms are uncorrelated with each of the common factors
a. cov ( f , ϵ )=0
3. Error terms are serially uncorrelated and uncorrelated across assets at the same
time frame
2
a. cov ( ϵ it , ϵ js )=σ for all i=j and t=s
b. cov ( ϵ it , ϵ js )=0 otherwise
c. This is because the noise found at one time frame should not play a role on
the noise term in another time frame. This isn’t necessarily true in the real
world.
Rit =α i + β i R Mt + ϵ it
Since the market excess returns are observable, use time series regression to
estimate the parameters beta and variance of the asset
EXPERIMENT:
o Let’s look at monthly returns, so each time step is 1 quarter
o Let’s look at various stocks in the same industry, S&P Telecom Select
Industry Index