Varun Surapaneni: Experience
Varun Surapaneni: Experience
• Summarized loan level data in SAS; Developed loan loss forecasts in Python using regression (Linear, Polynomial, Quantile)
• Removed outliers with ellipsoid fitting; Back tested using MAPE, MSE and monitored model performance on a quarterly basis
• Developed loan-level loss forecasting model to using Cox PH model to observe how losses vary across different vintages
• Quantified contractual/non-contractual payments using CPR (Cumulative Prepayment Rate) to forecast portfolio paydowns
• Reviewed ML models; internal ERM and external underwriting, fraud, loss forecasting models to explain portfolio performance
Portfolio Monitoring:
• Computed portfolio level risk adjusted margins on a monthly basis and explained trends/variations to the executive team
• Monitored consistency in loan origination metrics across Bank’s retained portfolio and overall platform using Wilcoxon, t-tests
• Presented KPI reports on Toast Capital loans to executive team to better understand Bank’s economics and loss protections
• Identified synthetic id fraud pattern related to 220 loans of $3MM in total size; among loans of a major consumer lending partner
• Automated daily reporting of COVID-19 related loan hardships/charge-offs using SAS as a database management tool
• Presented portfolio specific scenario analysis showing impact on net income to executive team to drive decision making
• Provided quarterly updates to ensure loan loss reserve & budgeting processes are tied to forecasts
Cross-team Collaboration:
• Provided performance updates and comparable company analysis to Business Development team to assist in future prospects
• Supported Capital Markets team as and when required with reports on portfolios involved in secondary market deals
• Assisted Bank's Finance team in booking monthly entries and reconciling with loan level data received from counter parties
• Worked with Data and MRM teams, to sort out data anomalies while transitioning to Lending Club new investor reporting
Engineering, Programming for Financial Engineering, Data Analytics, Stochastic Modelling, Optimization, Probability and Statistics
Indian Institute of Technology Delhi New Delhi, IN Jul 12 – May 17
• B.Tech in Industrial Engineering with Minor in Business Management (1% acceptance rate among 500K applicants) GPA: 7.5/10
• Relevant Coursework: Financial Mathematics, Banking & Financial Services, Managerial Accounting, Calculus, Data Structures
ACADEMIC PROJECTS
Deep Learning in financial time series prediction, Columbia University Jan 18 – May 18
• Identified high-level features in past 8-year daily stock price data of Indian index NIFTY using Stacked Autoencoders (SAE)
• Incorporated these features into Long short-term memory (LSTM) network in Python Keras to forecast next day’s closing price
• Generated buy-sell signals using LSTM forecasts; strategy resulted in return of 9.5% over 3-month period with MAPE of 2.6%
• Calculated factors using Jacobi method to do Principle Component Analysis; thereby obtained the respective residual returns