The Market: Why It Exists?
The Market: Why It Exists?
When a company is growing, the biggest hurdle is often raising enough money to expand.
Owners generally have two options to overcome this. They can either borrow the money from a
bank or venture capitalist, or sell part of the business to investors and use the money to fund
growth. Taking out a loan is common, and very useful – to a point. Banks will not always lend
money to companies, and over-eager managers may try to borrow too much initially, wrecking
the balance sheet. Factors such as these often provoke owners of small businesses to issue stock.
In exchange for giving up a tiny fraction of control, they are given cash to expand the business.
In addition to money that doesn’t have to be paid back, “going public” [as its called when a
company sells stock in itself for the first time], gives the business managers and owners a new
tool: instead of paying cash for an acquisition, they can use their own stock.
It must be emphasized that there are no guarantees when it comes to individual stocks. Some
companies pay out dividends, but many others do not. And there is no obligation to pay out
dividends even for those firms that have traditionally given them. Without dividends, an investor
can make money on a stock only through its appreciation in the open market. On the downside,
any stock may go bankrupt, in which case your investment is worth nothing.
Although risk might sound all negative, there is also a bright side. Taking on greater risk
demands a greater return on your investment. This is the reason why stocks have historically
outperformed other investments such as bonds or savings accounts. Over the long term, an
investment in stocks has historically had an average return of around 10-12%.
To make money in the stock market, one must assume high risks.
ANALYSIS TOOLS:-
There are two types of the analysis used by institutional and individual traders. Both
fundamental and technical analysis serve the same purpose to help to define possible future
stock trend, yet, at the same time they are completely different in the way they analyze stocks.
Both fundamental and technical analyses are important and depending on the trading style one or
another could be applied.
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS:-
Fundamental analysis is the process of looking at a business at the basic or fundamental financial
level. This type of analysis examines key ratios of a business to determine its financial health and
gives you an idea of the value its stock. Many investors use fundamental analysis alone or in
combination with other tools to evaluate stocks for investment purposes. The goal is to determine
the current worth and, more importantly, how the market values the stock.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:-
Technical analysis looks at past performance of an analyzed stock in order to find logical
patterns that could be applied to the current situation on the market and reveal possible future
stock trend. As a rule this type of the analysis is based on the analysis of the volume and price
charts, data, developing various technical indicators which. In the age of the computerization
many of the traders are choosing this type of the analysis mainly because of the availability and
fast results.
By comparing technical and fundamental analysis there is no straight answer which one of them
is better. However taking into account different traders we may say that:
For intraday traders: if a trader intends to make 1-5 trades a day, most likely, they do
not care about fundamental analysis at all. It does not matter to intraday traders what is
going to happen to the company over the month, is it on the edge of filing bankruptcy or
it is strong and growing. All they are interesting in is how volatile and how liquid stock is
and where the price of the stock is going to be in 10-30 minutes. These traders rely solely
on technical analysis.
For Short-Term Traders: The same as intraday traders this type of trading does not
assume holding position (own stocks) for a prolonged period of time. 1-2 trades a week
and even 2-3 trades a month is still a small timeframe to be bothered by complex
fundamental analysis.
For Mid-Term Traders: By going into 2-3 trades a year a traders may start to be
interesting in some elements of the fundamental analysis. By holding a stock for more
than 6 month in your portfolio you suppose to know at least a little bit about the
company. You still may use technical analysis, yet some company research could be
recommended for this type of traders.
For Long-term Traders: If you intend to hold the stock of the company in your
portfolio for a several years it becomes essential to consult fundamental analysis. Those
who trade indexes still may use some elements of technical analysis, yet, when it comes
to stocks you have to be sure it is not broken when you are willing to sell it and has at
least the same value so you do not loose.
INVESTMENT RATIONALE
Each investment alternative has its own strengths and weaknesses. Some options seek to achieve
superior returns (like equity), but with corresponding higher risk. Other provide safety (like PPF)
but at the expense of liquidity and growth. Other options such as FDs offer safety and liquidity,
but at the cost of return. Mutual funds seek to combine the advantages of investing in arch of
these alternatives while dispensing with the shortcomings.
Indian stock market is semi-efficient by nature and, is considered as one of the most respected
stock markets, where information is quickly and widely disseminated, thereby allowing each
security’s price to adjust rapidly in an unbiased manner to new information so that, it reflects the
nearest investment value. And mainly after the introduction of electronic trading system, the
information flow has become much faster. But sometimes, in developing countries like India,
sentiments play major role in price movements, or say, fluctuations, where investors find it
difficult to predict the future with certainty. Some of the events affect economy as a whole, while
some events are sector specific. Even in one particular sector, some companies or major market
player are more sensitive to the event. So, the new investors taking exposure in the market
should be well aware about the maximum potential loss, i.e. Value at risk.
This research directly influences the decisions of the investors thereby making it
extremely important to be very precise and careful. The results found should be
very accurate which is not an easy task.
Every analyst has his own methods of forecasting therefore the results can vary.
The analyst has to take all factors into consideration and arrive at a probabilistic
estimate of the company’s stock price. Analyst will continuously upgrade or down
grade his estimates depending on evolving conditions of Economy, Industry and
Company plans.
MAIN TEXT
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
INTRODUCTION
The Global financial turmoil, was casted a big impact on the world. Entire world economy got
seriously affected by the crisis. Hence forth the world economy can be by and large segregated in
the 3 phases, primarily pre-Lehman debacle, the financial crisis and the latest being the recovery.
Some economists prefer to call this the ‘V’ shaped recovery. Whether the new phase can be
termed as Yellow weeds or green shoots remain to be seen.
Manufacturing and electric sector have suffered as well in recent times. Their growth rates have
come down too. For manufacturing sector it was 7.5 percent and for electricity sector, rate of
development stood at 1.4 percent in April 2008. This rate is significantly low when compared to
statistics of April 2007, when rates of development for manufacturing and electricity were 12.4
percent and 8.7 percent respectively.
In case of manufacturing sector much of this slump could be attributed to increase in input costs
like expenses of oil, raw materials, rates of interest and prices of goods and services. Mining
sector has been comparatively better off as it has managed to grow at a rate of 8 percent in April
2009 compared to 2.6 percent that was achieved in April 2008.
In core infrastructural industries, there has been deceleration as well, but it is still better off
compared to non infrastructural industries in India. Growth in April 2008 has been around 3.6
percent, which is less than 5.9 percent achieved in April 2007. Industries like crude oil
production, electricity and petroleum refinery have been performing below expectations but coal,
finished steel and cement have performed better than April 2007.
Sensex is the buzzword today that governs the activities of the investors in India. With
metamorphosis witnessed in all sectors and the country turning into a fast developing economy
there is no dearth of investors. Even overseas investors are attracted towards sensex India and it
has not been a decade that the stock market gained great momentum. The BSE index rose to such
an escalating level that thousands of shares were being traded every minute and more investors
being ready to invest. But the sudden downslide in the year 2008 left all in panic – reminding
one of the ‘snake & ladder’ game. Many turned bankrupt, a number of companies closed down,
and financial chaos were the order of the day for over six months at a stretch. The downslide
affected the BSE sensex, lowering the stock prices and investors were in a dilemma whether to
take the risk or not. But now market conditions have changed for the better; the BSE index, over
the last few months, has been displaying a rising figure. At present, the sensex index closed at
16844.20 up from the below-10,000 figure.
The global recession period is about to get over & the severely affected banks & equities are
slowly reverting back to their previous shape. All the investors trading in BSE stocks will feel
glad to know that Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) is also recovering from the massive effect that
economic slowdown has left on it. BSE is one of the Asia’s oldest stock exchanges operating the
stocks of a lot of companies from different sectors.
India is expanding at a rapid rate after China, but the upward trend is one of the steadiest
compared to the other foreign markets. India being diverse in many sectors will see more upside
due to the strong demand in information technology. The other sectors for future growth in India
are energy, oil, and commodities. The Sensex has had its way will continue to grow. India’s
economy is booming and the high return will reflect on its stock market.
The increase in sensex means lot of people who have invested and also persons invested in the
mutual funds will be benefited .so the earning per capita is increasing , companies will grow so
their branches will too so employment the foreign investors will also invest and we will be
benefited.SENSEX is one of the major parameter by which growth of the indian companies and
thus its impact on economy can be found out. Increase in Sensex means that companies are
improving, thus unemployment will be decreased and also Income level of the people will also
be leveled up. Thus it will definitely have a positive impact on the Economy which will have a
positive flow or the positive impact on the country
Closing
Index Chg (%)
Value
CONSTRUCTION INDUSTRY:-
India is on the verge of witnessing a sustained investment in infrastructure build up. With
construction component accounting for 42% of the total investment in infrastructure, the
construction industry has been witness to a strong growth wave powered by large spends in
housing, road, ports, water supply and airports development. The construction sector has grown
at a CAGR of 16.5% during the last seven years and now accounts for 6.9% of India’s GDP
compared to 5.7% in FY00. The Planning Commission of India has proposed an investment of
around US$ 500 bn in the Eleventh five-year plan (2007-2012), which is nearly 2.3 times more
than the previous five-year plan.
KEY POINTS:-
SHARE TO GDP:-
The Indian construction industry has been playing a vital role in overall
economic development, as its contribution to GDP at current market
prices has gone up from 5.3% in FY02 to around 7.8% during FY08. In
fact, during FY02-FY08, the sector grew at CAGR of 20.3%.
CONCLUSION:
Real estate investments account for about 60% of the total construction
investments. Demand-supply gap for residential housing, favourable
demographics, rising affordability levels, availability of financing
options as well as fiscal benefits available on availing of home loan are
the key drivers supporting the demand for residential construction. In
addition to this, demand for office space from IT/BPO segment is
expected to continue due to emergence of India as a preferred
outsourcing destination. Also, boom in organized retail is expected to
result in huge demand for real estate construction. According to industry
estimates, the Indian real estate industry is expected to grow at a
compounded rate of 33% between FY05 to FY10, mainly driven by the
residential segment.
TELECOM INDUSTRY:-
The Indian telecommunications industry is one of the fastest growing in the world and India is
projected to become the second largest telecom market globally by 2010.India added 113.26
million new customers in 2008, the largest globally. The country’s cellular base witnessed close
to 50 per cent growth in 2008, with an average 9.5 million customers added every month.
According to the Telecom Regulatory Authority of India (TRAI), approximately 14.25 million
telephone connections, including wireline and wireless, were added during July 2009, taking the
total number of telecom subscriber base at the end of July 2009 to 479.07 million from 464.82
million a month before.
According to Business Monitor International, India is currently adding 8-10 million mobile
subscribers every month. It is estimated that by mid 2012, around half the country's population
will own a mobile phone. This would translate into 612 million mobile subscribers, accounting
for a tele-density of around 51 per cent by 2012. It is projected that the industry will generate
revenues worth US$ 43 billion in 20010-11.
BSNL:
Incumbent service provider and world’s 7th largest telecommunication company, state
owned.
Operates basic, cellular (GSM and CDMA) mobile, Internet and long distance services.
Operates in 21 circles(except Delhi and Mumbai)
MTNL:
State owned
Operates in two circles Delhi and Mumbai
Operates basic, cellular (GSM and CDMA) mobile, Internet and long distance services
BHARTI AIRTEL:
Offers mobile and fixed line telephony including broadband, national and international
long distance services, data services and a wide range of value added services and
applications, new entrant in GSM.
Pan India presence
TATA TELESERVICES:
Offers mobile and fixed line telephony including broadband, national and international
long distance services, data services and a wide range of value added services and
applications, new entrant in GSM.
Pan India presence.
IDEA CELLULAR:
Offers mobile, national and international long distance services, data services and a wide
range of value added services and applications, uses GSM technology.
Pan India presence
Competition has intensified with the entry of new cellular players in select circles. Reducing
tariffs will hurt the new entrants as they will be unable to recover their high capital investments.
The Wireless Industry crossed 391million subscribers mark at the end of the financial year 2008-
09. The total subscriber base of 391.76 million comprise of 297.26 (75.88%) million GSM and
94.50 (24.12%) million of CDMA subscribers. The market share of various service providers is
depicted in the figure:
It is clear that no service provider has a major share and there is intense rivalry among the
existing players in the market. Thus competitive rivalry is due to:
Thus companies have to change their strategies, need to provide good services and penetrate the
market with low prices to survive in the cut throat competition.
CONCLUSION:-
Telecom stocks have undergone major value erosion on the bourses after the tariff war started in
late September last year. The scrip of sector leader Bharti Airtel has fallen by 36% since October
1, 2009. The market capitalization of Reliance Communications (RCOM), the second-largest ,
has nearly halved, while that of Idea Cellular has fallen by 23% during the same period.
Further, the customer loyalty has been reduced due to the entry of large numbers of players into
the market. Govt. policies & stiff competition has made the growth of this sector very slow.
Though there is still hope that the sectors will revive its full potential, it is better to invest in
other sectors if it is not a long term investment.
EPS:-
The portion of a company's profit allocated to each outstanding share of common stock. Earnings
per share serves as an indicator of a company's profitability.
Calculated as:
P/E RATIO:-
A valuation ratio of a company's current share price compared to its per-share earnings.
Calculated as:
In general, a high P/E suggests that investors are expecting higher earnings growth in the future
compared to companies with a lower P/E. However, the P/E ratio doesn't tell us the whole story
by itself. It's usually more useful to compare the P/E ratios of one company to other companies
in the same industry, to the market in general or against the company's own historical P/E. It
would not be useful for investors using the P/E ratio as a basis for their investment to compare
the P/E of a technology company (high P/E) to a utility company (low P/E) as each industry has
much different growth prospects.
The P/E is sometimes referred to as the "multiple", because it shows how much investors are
willing to pay per rupee of earnings. If a company were currently trading at a multiple (P/E) of
20, the interpretation is that an investor is willing to pay rs.20 for rs.1 of current earnings.
BETA:-
DEBT/EQUITY RATIO:-
A measure of a company's financial leverage calculated by dividing its total
liabilities by stockholders' equity. It indicates what proportion of equity and debt the company is
using to finance its assets.
A high debt/equity ratio generally means that a company has been aggressive in financing its
growth with debt. This can result in volatile earnings as a result of the additional interest
expense.
If a lot of debt is used to finance increased operations (high debt to equity), the company could
potentially generate more earnings than it would have without this outside financing. If this were
to increase earnings by a greater amount than the debt cost (interest), then the shareholders
benefit as more earnings are being spread among the same amount of shareholders. However, the
cost of this debt financing may outweigh the return that the company generates on the debt
through investment and business activities and become too much for the company to handle.
This can lead to bankruptcy, which would leave shareholders with nothing.
The debt/equity ratio also depends on the industry in which the company operates. For example,
capital-intensive industries such as auto manufacturing tend to have a debt/equity ratio above 2,
while personal computer companies have a debt/equity of under 0.5.
Calculated as:
The payout ratio provides an idea of how well earnings support the dividend payments. More
mature companies tend to have a higher payout ratio.
MARKET CAPITALIZATION:-
EPS 24.82
P/E RATIO 11.70
BETA 0.93
DEBT/EQUITY RATIO 0.28
MARKET CAP 1102612.86
Bharti Airtel has resistance at Rs 320-330. Bharti Airtel fell a lot, so it has gone through a normal
correction on the upside. There is a significant band of resistance at Rs 320-330 area and Bharti
Airtel could not cross it. That was only to be expected. It is now resuming its downtrend. Bharti
will see much lower levels and the telecom sector is going to see a lot of mayhem. It has not
even started. So one would be better off switching from Bharti to maybe a banking or even
technology or metals. Telecom is not a good idea.
Basically it has bought growth by going into Africa; it was going into a phase where the growth
was not likely to happen. So yes, it has got the new subscriber addition but at the end of the day,
it is going to take about two-three years for it to make money for it to be EPS accretive and that
also if they are able to bring down the operating cost substantially. So one should wait before
entering into the stock and let all the ups and downs happen and maybe six months time is a
good time to re-look at the story and enter into it.
COMPANY DETAILS:-
P/E : 11.69
SHAREHOLDING PATTERN:-
PROMOTER’S HOLDING:
INSTITUTIONAL INVESTORS
BANKS FIN.INST. AND INSURANCE – 4.44%
FII’S – 19.58%
indian promoters
foreign promoters
FII's
public investors
other investors
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE :-
LIQUIDITY:-
As on march 31,2009, the company has cash and bank balance of Rs. 27,660mn and marketable
securities of Rs. 23,422 mn. The company actively manages its short term liquidity to generate
optimum returns via investments made in debt and money market instruments including bank
fixed deposits & certificates of deposits, liquid and income debt fund schemes, fixed maturity
plans and other similar instruments.
DIVIDEND:-
Company paid a final dividend of Rs. 2 per equity share of Rs.10 each(20% of face value) for the
FY 2008-09. The total dividend payout will amount to Rs 4442 mn, including Rs. 645mn as tax
on dividend.
COMPANY BACKGROUND:-
Bharti Airtel formerly known as Bharti Tele-Ventures LTD (BTVL) is the largest cellular
service provider in India, with more than 121 million subscribers as of January 2010. With this,
Bharti is now the world's third-largest, single-country mobile operator and sixth-largest
integrated telecom operator. It also offers fixed line services and broadband services. It offers its
TELECOM services under the Airtel brand and is headed by Sunil Bharti Mittal. The company
also provides telephone services and broadband Internet access (DSL) in top 95 cities in India. It
also acts as a carrier for national and international long distance communication services. The
company has a submarine cable landing station at Chennai, which connects the submarine cable
connecting Chennai and Singapore.
INDUSTRY ANALYSIS:-
Last Price Market Cap. Sales Net Profit Total Assets
(Rs. cr.) Turnover
Bharti Airtel 289.05 109,759.66 34,014.29 7,743.84 35,357.62
Reliance Comm 163.05 33,653.96 13,610.58 2,352.93 82,593.93
Idea Cellular 62.30 19,315.91 9,916.45 1,008.21 18,873.79
Tata Comm 294.70 8,398.95 3,749.43 515.95 9,125.92
MTNL 74.00 4,662.00 4,576.53 214.83 12,059.38
TataTeleservice 24.15 4,581.73 2,041.88 -159.60 2,743.96
Spice Comm 57.20 3,946.37 1,585.34 -1,015.22 1,875.94
Tulip Telecom 919.95 2,667.86 1,608.28 249.58 1,802.84
Nu Tek India 33.25 114.77 159.09 14.48 171.93
Goldstone Infra 27.75 100.12 45.61 6.27 110.56
The Indian telecom sector has seen a phenomenal growth and currently has close to 430mn
telecom customers. The market surpassed the USA to become the second largest market in the
world after china.
Notwithstanding this, the telecom penetration is only 37% with a wireless penetration of 33.7%
and broadband penetration of 0.54%,thereby offering a good growth potential.
Bharti airtel ,with over 96mn customers as on march 31,2009, is the largest integrated telecom
operator in India with investment of Rs 23,489mn, revenues of Rs373,521mn and Rs 78,590mn
in net profits. It is among the top 5 companies in terms of market capitalization in India.
INVESTMENT POSITIVES:-
The Indian growth story continues and the revival of the economy is on its way. There are no
doubts that telecom sector will lead the economic revival and Bharti airtel will be at the
forefront. Bharti airtel is the first private mobile GSM operator to have an all india footprint and
operations in Sri Lanka.
The company continues to focus on subscriber additions in order to increase its market
penetration. The company is currently adding about 46 subscribers every minute. This takes the
company’s total subscriber base to just under 90 million which is about 25% of the country’s
wireless users. The opportunity to increase this base is immense as the country’s tele density
currently is just over 30% as compared to developed countries where teledensity ranges around
80%. This approach by telecom companies to gain market share will boost top line growth as
well as profitability and is also the major growth driver in the industry.
The company provides DSL and telephone services in 15 circles spanning over 95 cities with
growing focus on new media and entertainment solutions such as DTH and IPTV. As on march
31,2009, the company had 2,726,239 customers , a growth of 19.3% , of which 39.3% were
subscribing to broadband/internet services. The revenue from the telemedia services were
Rs.33,426mn, a growth of 17% over the revenues in the previous financial year.
The company is constantly looking forward at providing value added services in order to retain
its subscribers. The company has entered into contracts and strategic alliances with several
market leaders in their respective areas of concentration. The company has a strategic alliance
with Infosys in order to manage its recently launched DTH service. The company has also an
alliance with IBN in order to service its operations in Sri Lanka.
Considering the above mentioned investment rationale, the company can be rated an
outperformer. The stock currently trades at a P/E of 11.69.
GLOBAL EXPANSION:-
The telecom sector continues to play an important part in India’s growth story. Bharti airtel with
100 million customers is eminently placed to leverage the benefits of the strong customer trust
that they have been able to build. The addition of new services like DTH and IPTV will ensure
airtel retains and further strengthens its brand leadership.
As a first step towards pursuing the international aspirations, airtel commenced operations in Sri
Lanka. The run away success of the launch has justified the conviction that the airtel business
model can be effectively and profitably replicated in other countries.
After keeping into account the increasing demand and shortage of power in the country we can
say that power sector is one of the most demanding sectors in India. To meet the demand of
power in the country, government has taken many steps for its expansion.
A short peek at India’s past performances indicates that during the last three five year plans
(8th, 9th and 10th), we have barely managed to achieve half of the capacity addition that was
planned. As we enter the third year of the 11th five year plan, we have already seen slippages on
the planned approx. 79 GW capacity addition.
Some of the bottlenecks in this sector are:
Heavy dependency on raw material/equipment suppliers
And challenges around logistics and work front availability
POWER SECTOR
To contain the peaking shortages and to meet the incremental demand, CEA has targeted a
capacity addition of 1, 00,000 MW in the XIIth Five Year Plan, a growth of 27%. We believe the
plan targets would continue to increase going forward. The shelf of the projects planned for the
XIIth Five Year Plan stands strong at 1,38,000 MW.
Private sector utilities are expected to account for around 50% of the capacity additions in the
XIIth Five Year Plan. With private sector utilities’ better execution capabilities, a better visibility
exists for equipment companies, as more projects would take off.
Power plants based on supercritical technology are expected to dominate the capacity addition
plans in the XIIth and the XIIIth Five Year Plan. Hence, in our view, companies with
technological tie-ups and faster indigenisation in manufacturing over the next two to three years
would have an edge.
Generation
India has the fifth largest generation capacity in the world with an installed capacity of 152 GW
as on 30 September 2009, which is about 4 percent of global power generation. The top four
countries, viz., US, Japan, China and Russia together consume about 49 percent of the total
power generated globally. The average per capita consumption of electricity in India is estimated
to be 704 kWh during 2008-09. However, this is fairly low when compared to that of some of the
developed and emerging nations such US (~15,000 kWh) and China (~1,800 kWh). The world
average stands at 2,300 kWh2. The Indian government has set ambitious goals in the 11th plan
for power sector owing to which the power sector is poised for significant expansion. In order to
provide availability of over 1000 units of per capita electricity by year 2012, it has been
estimated that need-based capacity addition of more than 100,000 MW would be required. This
has resulted in massive addition plans being proposed in the sub-sectors of Generation
Transmission and Distribution.
Transmission
The current installed transmission capacity is only 13 percent of the total installed generation
capacity3. With focus on increasing generation capacity over the next 8-10 years, the
corresponding investments in the transmission sector is also expected to augment. The Ministry
of Power plans to establish an integrated National Power Grid in the country by 2012 with close
to 200,000 MW generation capacities and 37,700 MW of inter-regional power transfer capacity.
Considering that the current inter-regional power transfer capacity of 20,750 MW4, this is indeed
an ambitious objective for the country.
Distribution
While some progress has been made at reducing the Transmission and Distribution (T&D)
losses, these still
remain substantially higher than the global benchmarks, at approximately 33 percent. In order to
address some of the issues in this segment, reforms have been undertaken through unbundling
the State Electricity Boards into separate Generation, Transmission and Distribution units and
privatization of power distribution has been initiated either through the outright privatization or
the franchisee route; results of these initiatives have been somewhat mixed. While there has been
a slow and gradual improvement in metering, billing and collection efficiency, the current loss
levels still pose a significant challenge for distribution companies going forward.
Indian Power Industry - Current Scenario and Opportunities Ahead
This dominance of the prevailing sector also prevails in power distribution and transmission.
Regulations are evolving and paving the way for greater private sector participation
Being a highly regulated sector, not surprisingly policies and regulations are playing a pivotal
role in the development of this sector. Over the years, the government has realized the
importance of the private sector participation. The Electricity Act, 2003 was a turning point in
the reforms process which removed the need for license for generation projects, encouraged
competition through international competitive bidding, identified transmission as a separate
activity and invited a wider public and private sector participation among other things.
Some of the other major reforms that have been implemented over the years include: unbundling
of SEBs, tax benefits, Accelerated Power Development and Reform Program (APDRP) for
distribution, permission for trading of power, etc7. Furthermore, the National Tariff Policy of
2006 encouraged private investment in the transmission sector through competitive bidding. In
addition, the allocation of captive coal blocks to private companies was one of the many
noteworthy reforms, increasing the fuel security for the end use project.
Aided by the ambitious plan to add around 78.7 GW of additional generation capacity in the 11th
plan by the year 2012, according to CRISIL Research estimates, about INR 7,50,000 crore is
likely to be invested in the power sector over the next five years by 2013-14. Of this, INR
4,80,000 crore is expected to be invested in the power generation space. Nearly half of the
investments in the power generation space is likely to be made by the private sector8. Along with
generation this has opened up opportunities in the transmission sector as well.In order to
encourage private sectors in transmission line business, Government of India issued guidelines
for private sector participation.
These developments have given rise to new opportunities for the private sector especially in the
power generation space. As a result, there have been a plethora of new projects announced by the
private sector companies many of whom are negligible or have no prior experience in this sector.
This has given birth to the adage of Plans vs. Plants by clearly distinguishing between growth
and value utilities.The new entrants in this sector face a number of challenges relating to the
project execution, fuel security, power equipment capacities, infrastructure constraints, etc.
Return on 1.68
Investments
TATA POWER
Overview Tata Power Company Limited is an integrated private power utility
company. During the fiscal year ended March 31, 2009 (fiscal 2009), the
Company generated 14,807 million units of power from all of its power
plants. Its Trombay Thermal Power Station generated 9,845 million units
of power in fiscal 2009. Its three hydro power plants, Bhira, Bhivpuri and
Khopoli, generated 1,151 million units during fiscal 2009. Its Jojobera
Thermal Power Station generated 3,009 million units. The Belgaum
Independent Power Plant generated 447 million units during fiscal 2009.
During fiscal 2009, the Company commissioned additional wind power
capacity of 36 megawatts at Gadag (Karnataka), 29.6 megawatts at
Samana (Gujarat) and 15 megawatts at Sadawaghapur (Maharashtra).
Financial Tata Power has announced its third quarter results of FY10. It has reported
Synopsis consolidated net profit of Rs 92.57 crore. Consolidated net sales stood at
Rs 4,313.04 crore.
The company's trailing 12-month (TTM) EPS was at Rs 47.85 per share.
The stock's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 26.44.
The book value of the company is Rs 365.08 per share. Price-to-book
value of the company was at 3.47.
The dividend yield of the company was 0.91%.
Key May 3, 2010
Developments
Balrampur Chini Mills Ltd said on Monday it has signed a pact with Tata
Power Co Ltd to sell power at approximately Rs 6.50 per unit.
The power will be sold from the firm's 18 mega-watt Haidergarh unit
currently and also from its Manakpur power plant, which will be
operational from the second week of June, it said in a statement to the
exchange.
Tata Power Company Limited Plans To Sell Some Non Core Assets-DJ
Tuesday, 30 Mar 2010
Dow Jones reported that Tata Power Company Limited is looking to sell
some of its non core assets to raise about INR100 billion in the next 6-12
months. The capital raised from asset sales will be used to help achieve a
power generation capacity target of 25,000 megawatt by financial year
2017.
Tata Power Company Ltd Signs MOU With Korea East West Power
Company Ltd To Explore And Execute Operations And Maintenance
Opportunities In Asia, Middle East And Africa
52 Week Rs 130/93.50
High/Low
Average 2131790
Volume
Beta 0.74
P/E Ratio 21.45
EPS 5.01
Current Ratio 1.00
of last 3 years
Quick Ratio 0.96
of last 3 years
NTPC
Overview NTPC Limited (NTPC) is an India-based company engaged in the
generation thermal power. The Company’s principal business is
generation and sale of bulk power. Other business includes providing
consultancy, project management and supervision, oil and gas exploration
and, coal mining. During the fiscal year ended March 31, 2009 (fiscal
2009), 66% of total power generation was from coal stations. During
fiscal 2009, the power stations of the Company generated 206.939 billion
units of electricity. It has an installed coal-based capacity of 23,895
megawatts comprising 79 units with average fleet age of 18 years. The
Company has acquired 44.6% stake in Transformers and Electricals
Kerala Ltd. (TELK) from Government of Kerala on June 19, 2009.
Financial India's largest power generation company NTPC has declared its numbers
Synopsis for the financial year 2009-10. It has reported net profit of around Rs
8,600 crore.
Consolidated capex stood at Rs 29,104 crore and standalone capex at Rs
22,350 crore.
NTPC said it has added 1,560 MW capacity in FY10 and would add 4,150
MW capacity in FY11. Its FY10 total load factor stood at 90.18%.
52 Week Rs241.35/182/-
High/Low
Average Volume 1991488
Beta 0.68
P/E Ratio 19.90
EPS 10.70
Current Ratio 2.70
Quick Ratio 2.42
NEYVELI LIGNITE
Overview Neyveli Lignite Corporation Limited is an India-based, open-cast
mechanized lignite mine. The Company mines 24 million tons of lignite
annually and generates power with installed capacity of 2490 megawatts of
power. Neyveli Lignite Corporation Limited has three lignite mines: Mine I,
Mine II and Mine IA. During the fiscal year ended March 31, 2009 (fiscal
2009), the lignite production was 213.07 LT. In fiscal 2009, the total power
generation of the Company was 15767.98 MU (gross). The Company is
generating power in its Thermal Power Station I, Thermal Power Station-II
and in Thermal Power Station I Expansion. Neyveli Lignite Corporation
Limited also provides consultancy services in mining and power sectors.
Financial For the nine months ended 31st December 2009 Neyveli Lignite Corporation
Synopsis Limited's revenues increased 13% to RS34.69B. Net income increased 29%
to RS9.02B. Revenues reflect an increase in income from power generation
and higher income from lignite mining segments. Net income also reflects a
decrease in depreciation expanse and lower prior period items. Neyveli
Lignite Corporation Limited is engaged in exploration of lignite deposits.
Key
Neyveli Lignite Corporation Limited Declares Interim Dividend
Developments
Thursday, 4 Mar 2010
Neyveli Lignite Corporation Limited announced that the Board of Directors
of the Company at its meeting held on March 04, 2010, have declared an
interim dividend at 10%, INR1 per equity share for the financial year 2009 -
2010.
52 Week Rs 177.30/83
High/Low
Beta 1.49
P/E Ratio 24.08
EPS 6.11
Current Ratio 2.66
Quick Ratio 2.47
BHEL
Overview Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited (BHEL) is an engineering and
manufacturing company in the energy-related and infrastructure sector. The
Company caters to sectors, including to the power generation and
transmission, industry, transportation, renewable energy and defense. It has
a network of 14 manufacturing divisions, four power sector regional
centers, eight service centers and 15 regional offices, one subsidiary co.
joint ventures and a number of project sites spread all over India. BHEL
manufactures a range of products and systems for thermal, nuclear, gas and
hydro-based utility power plants. BHEL supplies steam turbines,
generators, boilers and matching auxiliaries up to 800 megawatts ratings,
including supercritical sets of 660/800 megawatts. BHEL also supplies
circulating fluidised bed combustion (CFBC) boilers for thermal plants.
BHEL manufactures 220/235/500/540 megawatts electric (MWe) Nuclear
turbine-generator sets. In May 2008, it acquired Bharat Heavy Plate &
Vessels.
Financial BHEL Q4 net profit up 39.96% at Rs 1,886 cr (prov)
Synopsis Index heavyweight BHEL has announced its fourth quarter FY10
provisional numbers. Its net profit rose 39.96% to Rs 1,886 crore
versus Rs 1,347.5 crore, on year-on-year basis (YoY).
19th Feb,2010
Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited Gets $135 Million Power Plant Order-
Reuters
Monday, 21 Dec 2009
Reuters reported that Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited has got an order
worth INR6.4 billion ($135 million) for a 270 megawatt power project in
the eastern state of Jharkhand. The Company will design, engineer,
manufacture, supply, erect and commission the steam turbine, generator
and boiler for the power plant.
52 Week Rs 2585/1570/-
High/Low
Average 350901
Volume
Beta 0.95
P/E Ratio 37.90
EPS 63.64
Current Ratio 1.29
Quick Ratio 1.02
Book Value 264.32
Long Term .015
Debt Equity
Ratio
Return on 26.29
Equity
Return on 8.60
Assets
Return on 25.88
Investments
SUZLON ENERGY
Overview Suzlon Energy Limited (SEL) is an India-based wind power company. The
Company is engaged in the manufacture of wind turbine generators
(WTGs) of various capacities and its components. Its other operations
include sale/sub-lease of land, infrastructure development income, sale of
gear boxes, sale of foundry and forging components, and power generation.
It has manufacturing plants at Daman, Pondichery, Bhuj, Chhadwel
(Dhule) and Vadodara. The Company’s subsidiaries include Hansen Drives
Limited, Hansen Drives Pte Limited, Hansen Wind Energy Drives (China)
Co Ltd., PowerBladesGmbH, PowerBlades SA, REpower Australia Pty
Ltd. and REpower Canada Inc. During the fiscal year ended March 31,
2009 (fiscal 2009), the Company acquired a 37.82% interest in REpower
Systems AG. The Company operates in India, Europe, United States and
China.
Financial : For the nine months ended 31 December 2009, Suzlon Energy Limited's
Synopsis revenues decreased 15% to RS146.74B. Net loss totaled RS7.94B, up from
RS784.1M. Revenue reflect a significant decrease in income from
operations, a decrease in other operating income and lower other income.
Higher loss reflects a significant rise in purchase of traded goods, higher
employee costs, a significant rise in depreciation expenses and higher other
expenditures
Key
Suzlon Energy Limited's REpower Systems AG Concludes Contract With
Developments
Daunia Savignano
Thursday, 8 Apr 2010
Suzlon Energy Limited's REpower Systems AG announced that it has
concluded a contract for the supply of 18 wind turbines with Daunia
Savignano, a subsidiary of the Italian Tozzi Group. The turbines of the
REpower MM92 type each have a hub height of 80 meters and a rated
output of 2.05 megawatts (MW). They are destined for use in the
Savignano wind farm in southern Italy. REpower Systems AG is already
erecting 20 such turbines at this wind farm.
Suzlon Energy Limited Secures Order From KRBL Ltd
Thursday, 7 Jan 2010
Suzlon Energy Limited announced that KRBL Ltd has given a purchase
order to Suzlon Energy Ltd for the set up of 8.1 M.W Wind Turbine
Generator(s) plant in the state of Tamilnadu (India). This Project will be
operative before March 31, 2010.
52 Week Rs145.7/53.8
High/Low
Average 18350192
Volume
Beta 1.87
P/E Ratio
EPS -3.31
Current Ratio 1.89
of last 3 years
Quick Ratio 1.27
Book Value 41.73
Return on 2.84
Equity
Return on 1.33
Assets
Return on 2.03
Investments
EPS 8.61
P/E RATIO 34
BETA 1.61
DEBT/EQUITY RATIO 0.78
MARKET CAP 511763.35
In a tough economic environment over the last few quarters, the company saw demand evaporate
in all segments of real estate business – residential and commercial, sale or leasing. In order to
weather the turbulent times, the Company affected a strategy which allowed itself to be liquid,
whilst it tested the right market conditions where it could attract significantly larger number of
end customers. Value proposition being a key element of this strategy, the Company launched 2
different projects across India in the residential space and demonstrated leadership position
within the industry to bring back demand.
The result of the above was that the Company made notable sales in its affordable housing
segment. In continuation of this strategy in April 2009, DLF also launched its “city-centre”
residential project in Delhi, which saw exuberant response with all 1,356 units booked in just one
day.
The share price has seen a 52-week high of Rs 490.80 and a low of Rs 221 on BSE. Current EPS
& P/E ratio stood at 8.61 and 34 respectively.
DLF has increased rates of its inaugural project in Bangalore named as DLF Westend Heights.
DLF has increased price to Rs 3000/sq ft from its previous price of Rs 1850sq/ft, which was set
up in April.
Increasing input costs was the cause of the price increase explains a company representative.
The project comprises 1980 units spread across 19 towers, which are 18 floors high. Westend
Heights is the initial segment of New Town, with high-rise apartments.
EPS 7.58
P/E RATIO 13.65
BETA 1.66
DEBT/EQUITY RATIO 2.00
MARKET CAP 283957.42
JP Associates looks very interesting. It has spent one year in hibernation, so it seems to be
making all the right noises of breaking out upwards from here though it hasn’t yet broken out. It
will probably have a buy on the stock.
The share closed at Rs 157.15, up Rs 4.50, or 2.95%. Market capitalization stands at Rs
33,344.73 crore.
The company touched its 52 week high Rs 180.00 and 52 week low Rs 84.83 on 21 Oct, 2009
and 24 Apr, 2009, respectively. Currently, it is trading -12.69% below its 52-week high and
85.25% above its 52-week low.
The company's trailing 12-month (TTM) EPS was at Rs 8.72 per share. (Dec, 2009). The stock's
price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio was 18.02. The latest book value of the company is Rs 29.39 per
share. At current value, the price-to-book value of the company was 5.35. The dividend yield of
the company was 0.64%.