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Name: Rishnay Akash Lal ID: S2018000228 (School of Building and Civil)

This document contains a CPM (Critical Path Method) network analysis for a project with activities A through K. It lists the activities, expected durations, earliest and latest start and finish times, and identifies the critical path through the network as activities A, C, F, I, and K with a total project duration of 23 days. It also includes calculations to determine the probability of completing the project within certain timeframes and identifies latest start times to achieve a 96% probability.

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Christila Kartika
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51 views

Name: Rishnay Akash Lal ID: S2018000228 (School of Building and Civil)

This document contains a CPM (Critical Path Method) network analysis for a project with activities A through K. It lists the activities, expected durations, earliest and latest start and finish times, and identifies the critical path through the network as activities A, C, F, I, and K with a total project duration of 23 days. It also includes calculations to determine the probability of completing the project within certain timeframes and identifies latest start times to achieve a 96% probability.

Uploaded by

Christila Kartika
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Name: Rishnay Akash Lal ID: S2018000228 (School of Building and Civil)

CPM Tutorial Exercise


Activit Predecessor Optimisti Most Pessimistic Expected Variance S. Dev
y c (a) Likely (b) time (V) (σ)
(m) (ET)
A None 4 6 8 6 0.44 0.66
B None 1 4.5 5 4 0.44 0.66
C A 3 3 3 3 0 0
D A 4 5 6 5 0.11 0.33
E A 0.5 1 1.5 1 0.03 0.17
F B, C 3 4 5 4 0.11 0.33
G B, C 1 1.5 5 2 0.44 0.66
H E, F 5 6 7 6 0.11 0.33
I E, F 2 5 8 5 1 1
J D, H 2.5 2.75 4.5 3 0.11 0.33
K G, I 3 5 7 5 0.44 0.66

Activity Durations Earliest Earliest Late Late Floats/Slacks Critical


(Days) Start (ES) Finish Start Finish Path
(EF) (LS) (LF)
A 6 0 6 0 6 0 Yes
B 4 0 4 5 9 5
C 3 6 9 6 9 0 Yes
D 5 6 11 15 20 9
E 1 6 12 12 13 6
F 4 9 13 9 13 0 Yes
G 2 9 11 16 18 7
H 6 13 19 14 20 1
I 5 13 18 13 18 0 Yes
J 3 19 22 20 23 1
K 5 18 23 18 23 0 Yes
Name: Rishnay Akash Lal ID: S2018000228 (School of Building and Civil)

Network Diagram

d (5,0.11)

2 5

j (3,0.11)
a (6,0.44)
e (1,0.03)
h (6,0.11)
CRITICAL
7
TIME = 23
1 c (3,0)
4

i (5,1)
b (4,0.44) a (5,0.44)
f (4,0.11)

3 6
g (2,0.44)
Name: Rishnay Akash Lal ID: S2018000228 (School of Building and Civil)

1. Calculate the probability z if x= 24 days, if x=22 days, x=25days


V = 0.44 +0 + 0.11 + 1 + 0.44 = 2 SD = √ 2
x−CP
z=
√V
a. X = 24 days
24−23
z=
1.41
The probability value of Z = 1/ √ 2 is 0.76
b. X = 22 days
22−23
z=
1.41
The probability value of Z = -1/ √ 2, is 0.24
c. X = 25 days
25−23
z=
1.41
The probability value of Z = √ 2, is 0.92
2. If probability is given 96% state the latest time each activity should have started and completed?

Z = 0.96, is 1.75 L T= D−Cp


D = CP + 1.41(1.75) = 25.47 - 23
= 23 + 2.47 = 2.47 DAYS
= 25.48 days
6 5 11
Name: Rishnay Akash Lal ID: S2018000228 (School of Building and Civil)
D
15 9 20
19 3 22
0 6 6 6 3 9 J
A C 20 1 23
0 0 6 6 0 9

6 1 7
E
7 6 13
12 6 13
H
START 14 1 20
END

9 4 13
F 18 5 23
9 0 13 K
18 0 23
0 4 4 13 5 18
B I
5 5 9 13 0 18

9 2 11
G
16 7 18

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