Impact of Rural Urban Migration On Economic Sources in Mogadishu - Challenges and Opportunities
Impact of Rural Urban Migration On Economic Sources in Mogadishu - Challenges and Opportunities
ISSN No:-2456-2165
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"This thesis is the result of my original work and has not been presented for a degree or any other
academic award in any university or institution of learning".
"I certify that this research Report satisfies the partial fulfillment of the requirements for the award of the
Master’s Degree in Development Studies at Kampala University”.
This thesis is dedicated to my wife, Nasra Ali Abdinoor for her support, encouragement and constant love
she has offered me, my lovely son Shuaib Hassan Hussein and the rest of my beloved family.
The researcher thank Allah the way he has guided to him and given the ability, the knowledge and the
time to write this thesis.
I would like to express my sincere gratitude and appreciation to many people who have helped me to
produce and complete this research project.
My sincere thanks to my employer Norwegian refugee Council (NRC) Somalia program, especial
thanks goes to my manager Opio peter Patrick and the entire staff for their moral and material support.
Without your flexibility and financial support this project would have been difficult.
I want to thank my collogues at NRC, Sayid-ali Abdi Siyad, Mohamed Hussein Fidow, Daud Haji
Abdi, Najma Eid and Nasra Hussein Abdi, especial thanks goes to Adam Ahmed and Abdinasir Gure for
technical support in arranging this project, also thanks to Muktar Wardere and Dahir Mumin for their
encouragement and continues support.
My heartfelt thanks and my love goes to my lovely wife, Nasro Ali Abdinur and my lovely boy shuibe
Hassan Hussein for their patience, their unconditional love and their support; thank you for believing in me.
This study comprises of five chapters. The topic of the research was Impact of Rural Urban Migration
on Economic Sources in Mogadishu: Challenges and opportunities. The main objective of study was to
examine determinates of rural urban migration in Somalia. Challenges and problems associated with
internal rural migration and possible solutions of the problems associated with internal migration.
Methodology: The researcher employed a descriptive survey design and engaged both Quantitative
and Qualitative Research methods and also used interview schedule and questionnaires for collecting
data. The Quantitative Data, the researcher engaged the use of SPSS used by tables. While the
Qualitative Data also analyzed by using themes and explanations while comparing and contrasting the
findings with the literature review.
The sample size used to be 384 respondents picked up from the target population.
Key findings: Recurrent shocks both natural and manmade disasters including droughts, floods and
conflicts are the major determinates of rural urban migration, High unemployment rates, limited
educational facilities in the rural, lack of social service delivery including heath, medical facilities and
clean water abject poverty and bad living conditions. The weakened Government efforts and NGOs
to curb the problems of internal migration include: Improve the economic status of the country,
support agricultural sector and livestock to keep the pastoral and agro-pastoralist to migrate into the
urban areas. Reorganization and diversifying the Employment in public and private sectors to reduce
the economic migration, specifically the youth migration from the rural to urban areas looking for
better employment opportunities.
Conclusion: Overall, the objectives of the study were attained and it was thus concluded that,
determinants of the rural urban migration are mainly economic reasons and standard of the living
condition in the rural, as well as the deteriorated insecurity situations in most parts of south and
central Somali regions where internal migrants are mainly migrated from, the researcher described
this as the pull and push factors. The socioeconomic conditions of the rural areas and internal
migrants were found to be worrisome.
Cover page…………………………………………………………………………………………999
Declaration………………………………………………………………………………...............1000
Approval………………………………………………………………………………..................1001
Dedication ………………………………………………………………………………………...1002
Aknowledgments…………….…………………………………………………………………..…1003
Abstract……………………………………………………………………………………………1004
Table of contents……………………………………………………………………….................1005
Contents ..................................................................................................................... .1005
CHAPTER ONE
INTRODUCTION ..................................................................................................... 1008
1.1 Introduction ................................................................................................... 1008
1.2 Background of the Study ............................................................................... 1008
1.3 Statement of the Problem ............................................................................... 1009
1.4 Purpose of the Study ...................................................................................... 1010
1.5 Objectives of the Study .................................................................................. 1010
1.5.1 General objectives ...................................................................................... 1010
1.5.2 Specific objectives ..................................................................................... 1010
1.6 Research Questions ....................................................................................... 1011
1.7 Scope of the Study ......................................................................................... 1011
1.8 Definition of terms ........................................................................................ 1011
1.9 Significance Of The Study ............................................................................. 1012
1.10 Conceptual framework................................................................................... 1013
CHAPTER TWO: LITRATURE REVIEW ........................................................... 1014
2.1 Introduction ........................................................................................................... 1014
2.2 Definitions ............................................................................................................. 1015
2.3 Scholar’s view on Rural Urban Migration. ......................................................... 1015
2.3 Urbanization: A Majority in Cities ......................................................................... 1015
2.4 The pace and scale of urbanization ......................................................................... 1015
2.5 Urbanization of poverty ......................................................................................... 1016
2.6 Urban population growth ....................................................................................... 1016
2.6.1 Situation ............................................................................................................. 1016
List of Tables
4.1 Gender of the respondents……………………………………………………………………1028
4.2 Segregation of respondents age……………………………………………………………..1029
4.3 Marital status of the respondents……………………………………………………………1030
4.4 Level of the Education of the respondents………………………………………………….1031
4.5 Does your households living in Mogadishu………………………………………………..1032
4.6 If yes for how long your house hold living in Mogadishu………………………………...1032
4.7 Have you even been migrated for your place of origin…………………………………...1033
4.8 If yes where are you migrated from………………………………………………………..1033
4.9 What was the main reason of your migration from rural to urban………………………..1034
4.10 Social Economic problems in your place of origin……………………………………….1035
4.11 Economic reasons and pushing factors encouraging on rural urban migration………….1036
4.12 Which gender is more likely to migrate on completion at any given level……………….1037
4.13 Level of opportunities and economic sources in urban areas……………………………1038
4.14 Rural urban migration is copying strategy of the shocks……………………………….…1039
4.15 Are you know working in Mogadishu………………………………………………….....1039
4.16 If yes what is the type of your employment………………………………………………1040
4.17 What where working on when in your place of origin…………………………………...1041
4.18 When you have come to Mogadishu would you met your expectations………………….1041
4.19 What is the impact of rural urban migration on economic sources………………………1042
4.20 Challenges associated with internal migration…………………………………………….1042
4.21 Did you think rural urban migration impact on rural urban product………………………1043
1.1 Introduction
The migration of the people, particularly labor and man power from rural to urban areas is an important
part of the urbanization Process in developing countries, Somali has been lack of government and effective
system of governing, which might provide or administer social service, health facilities, access to free of
education and equal employment opportunities among Somali people for the past two decades, which of
course had a consequence of moving people from rural to urban areas to better life and bright future for the
youth and man power.
This study is entitled to focus on impact of rural urban migration on mobilizing local economic sources
and opportunities in Somalia, where Mogadishu the capital city of Somali is under study on impending
migrants from rural as the economic zone for employment opportunities and better services other than rest of
Somali urban towns. Even though the existing of insecurity is questionable, the study examined only
economic perspective and sources of opportunities that might attract to migrate from the place of origin to
the urban areas and the green side.
Due to many reasons there was a fellow of regular migrations from the rural and per-urban areas to the
urban and large cities in Somalia; Mogadishu (Capital city of Somali) has been hosting migrants from rural
because of limited service provision (education, health and availability of clean water Etc) and economic
migration due to shortage of employment opportunities and casual work in the rural areas.
As migration overall in an ancient phenomena of migrating from one place to another for better life and
future of the upcoming generation to be able to meet basic rights for education, health and social services
Somali families are literally migrating, when we look at the studies of Somalia we see that Somalis has
historical culture of nomadic and movement on the grass and water availability to their rearing animals. This
has affected to the urban and entire cycle of Somali urbanization in terms of potentiality and easy migration
to seek resources and look at the green side and opportunities without affecting on their culture, values and
certain areas, but this has left problems in the rural area according to the Michael J. Greenwood, which also
applies to Somalia case.
“The inhabitants of the country immediately surrounding a town of rapid growth, flock into it; the gaps
thus left in the rural population are filled up by migrants from more remote districts, until the attractive force
of one of our rapidly growing cities makes its influence felt, step by step, to the most remote corner of the
kingdom. Migrants enumerated in a certain centre of absorption will consequently grow less with the
distance proportionately to the native population which furnishes them, and a map exhibiting by tints the
recruiting process of any town ought clearly to demonstrate this fact. That this is actually the case will be
found by referring to maps 3, 4, 8, and 9. These maps show at the same time that facilities of communication
may frequently countervail the disadvantages of distance.”
This research is intended to investigate the impact of rural urban migration on mobilizing local
economic sources and opportunities in Somali, despite inadequate employment opportunities and lack of
effective employment agencies that can be equally treated to the job seekers, the study will look at how the
rural-urban migrants mobilize economic sources to sustain and adapt the life in Mogadishu. Rural-urban
migration has also created social problems on rural based production and reduced the integration and
economic interdependence of the rural urban cycle as depicted on population density in Mogadishu.
So, this study analyzed the major push factors for rural-urban migration in Somalia; why Mogadishu is
an attractive city for internal migrants. How do rural migrants to urban Mogadishu create and mobilize new
economic opportunities that had not been seen by those who were there so many years and converting these
new opportunities into sustainable income sources to the migrants. Not only the positive aspects but also the
density of the population especially the new ones and how the hosted communities interact with people who
had come to Mogadishu earlier.
Content scope: this study was assessed the impact of rural-urban migration, paying particular attention to
the challenges and opportunities associated with these movements.
Geographical scope: The study was conducted in Mogadishu, the capital city of Somalia.
Time scope: The study was assessed the variables under study for the period 2008 to 2012
Urban: Is the characteristic of the city as distinguished from the rural, in US census use designating or of
incorporated or unincorporated place with at least 50,000 inhabitants (Webster’s New World Dictionary).
Migration: is the movement of people from one place to another, according to the UN Habitat (Report
2008).
Urbanization is the physical growth of urban areas into rural or natural land as a result of population in-
migration to an existing urban area. Effects include change in density and administration services. While the
exact definition and population size of urbanized areas varies among different countries, urbanization is
attributed to growth of cities. Urbanization is also defined by the United Nations as movement of people
from rural to urban areas with population growth equating to urban migration UN FAO (2008).
The focus of the research was concerned government agencies particularly mainstay of labor and
planning which the findings of this research will be important according to the essentiality and close interest
to them, to kick this problem out the social boarder.
The researcher on the subject matter also referred to this study as a literature review and as bases for other
researches in the similar field of study. The work can also be of significance to the general population and to
the educated youths in particular when they come across it.
Source: Researcher
The above diagram indicates the relation between the variables of the study, independent variable,
dependent and intervening variables, the larger scale of the urbanization, the critical life in the rural areas of
Somali and the prolonging conflicts of inter-clans and political dynamics in Somali has an impact associated
with massive rural urban migration from all over south and central Somali region and it has also an impact
of the limited economic sources and opportunities in Mogadishu. As the diagram shows the researcher
demonstrating other variables which has a relative effect on dependent variable, as wells as contributing to
the rural urban migration.
2.1 Introduction
The review of literature in this study is intended to assess the impact of rural urban migration on
mobilizing local economic sources and opportunities in Somalia. However; the literature has been reviewed
in according to the importance of the research title to solve the social and economic problems, which
hopefully the research will be treated or contributed in regard to the problem of the research and objectives
of the study that has been mentioned.
This chapter will cover on three sections, first the scholar’s view of rural urban migration, urbanization,
growth of urban cities and rural concepts. Second the economic impact of rural urban migration;
opportunities in urban areas (pull Factors). Thirds the societal change of rural urban migration both
challenges and opportunities.
Young adults with access to this rural development intervention had three times the relative risk of
migrating to urban centres compared to those without the development. We also identify that family
dynamics, specifically sibling competition for limited household resources (e.g. food, heritable land and
marriage opportunities), are key to understanding the timing of out-migration. Birth of a younger sibling
doubled the odds of out-migration and starting married life reduced it. Rural out-migration appears to be a
response to increasing rural resource scarcity, principally competition for agricultural land. Strategies for
livelihood diversification include education and off-farm casual wage-labour. However, jobs and services
are limited in urban centres, few migrants send large cash remittances back to their families, and most return
to their villages within one year without advanced qualifications. One benefit for returning migrants may be
through enhanced social prestige and mate-acquisition on return to rural areas. These findings have wide
implications for current understanding of the processes which initiate rural-to-urban migration and
In principle, cities offer a more favorable setting for the resolution of social and environmental
problems than rural areas. Cities generate jobs and income. With good governance, they can deliver
education, health care and other services more efficiently than less densely settled areas simply because of
their advantages of scale and proximity.
Cities also present opportunities for social mobilization and women’s empowerment. And the density of
urban life can relieve pressure on natural habitats and areas of biodiversity. The challenge for the next few
decades is learning how to exploit the possibilities urbanization offers. The future of humanity depends on it,
according to Rudzitis (1989).
Fertility rates are lower in urban than in rural areas throughout the world. However, the fact those large
percentages of people in many developing countries are young means that urban population growth will
continue rapidly for years to come. Moreover, impoverished urban women are significantly less likely than
their more affluent counterparts to have access to reproductive health or contraception. Not surprisingly,
they have higher fertility rates.
Migration is a significant contributor to urbanization, as people move in search of social and economic
opportunity. Environmental degradation and conflict may drive people off the land. Often people who leave
In the Millennium Declaration, the international community recognized that to halve by 2015 the
proportion of people living in extreme poverty, it will have to directly address the needs of the burgeoning
population of poor people living in cities. One of the targets set by world leaders in 2000 was to improve
significantly the lives of at least 100 million slum dwellers by 2020. Addressing the housing needs of the
urban poor will be critical. A roof and an address in a habitable area are the first step to a better life.
Improving access to basic social and health services, including reproductive health care, for poor people in
urban slums is also critical to breaking the cycle of poverty.
2.6.1 Situation
Urbanization, the demographic transition from rural to urban, is associated with shifts from an
agriculture-based economy to mass industry, technology, and service, For the first time ever, the majority of
the world's population lives in a city, and this proportion continues to grow. One hundred years ago, 2 out of
every 10 people lived in an urban area. By 1990, less than 40% of the global population lived in a city, but
as of 2010, more than half of all people live in an urban area. By 2030, 6 out of every 10 people will live in a
city, and by 2050, this proportion will increase to 7 out of 10 people. Currently, around half of all urban
dwellers live in cities with between 100 000 - 500 000 people, and fewer than 10% of urban dwellers live in
megacities according to UN HABITAT (2010)
One of the factors that is responsible for rural -urban migration is lack of / inadequate social amenities
and facilities in the rural areas. These include pipe borne water, electricity, good roads, hospitals, schools,
recreational centers (like Stadiun, Zoo, Amusement park) among others. Inadequate jobs in the rural areas
also make many youths to migrate to the urban areas that can provide better opportunities for them.
Rural-urban migration has negative consequences. It leads to overpopulation of the urban areas thus
encouraging crime in the society. Those who engage in crime prefer the urban areas being turgid with
wealthy individuals.
Rural -urban migration slows down the rate of development of the rural areas. In view of the negative
consequences, Government of each country in the world should strive to Provide social amenities and
There are various reasons for its occurrence and these reasons may vary from country to country and
over periods of time. The consequences of this type of migration however similar results for different
countries and over periods of time have.
One cause of rural to urban migration may be the lack of jobs in the area. Many of the jobs available
in rural areas are agricultural based. The introduction of labour saving devices and bad weather conditions
has decreased the demand for labour in the agricultural sector. The decrease in the traditional form of
employment in rural areas forces many young people to leave the area in search of work in the urban centers
of their country.
Workers may also migrate from rural areas to urban areas in hope of gaining a higher standard of living.
They may leave their current jobs in hope of finding higher paying ones as there are many more
opportunities for employment to choose from in the city.
A third reason for this pattern of migration is that many people desire to expand their experiences. They
may wish to be exposed to a greater variety of opportunities, people, cultures, art, food and entertainment.
The variety they desire may not be as widely or conveniently available to them in their hometowns as in an
urban center in their country.
War, famine and natural disaster are also reasons for rural to urban migration in some countries. Entire
rural populations may migrate to the urban centers of their country in search of protection, food and medical
aid during these periods of hardship.
The growth in the working population will also mean more competition for jobs. This will prove
advantageous to employers who can decrease salaries offered as demand for jobs may outstrip the number of
jobs available. The lack of jobs may in turn lead to problems of vagrancy, prostitution and unfair treatment
to the least skilled workers in the workforce.
The migration of people from rural areas to urban areas has detrimental effects on the rural economy.
Some small communities may cease to exist overtime as there is no one left to run businesses, work in local
companies or demand products from local firms because the younger generations of the area have migrated.
Lastly, there may be an increase in the spread of diseases from urban to rural areas, when workers
return home to visit relatives and friends they may spread illnesses and diseases they contracted while in the
city. This accounts for the spread of AIDS in rural areas of many African countries.
Migration from rural to urban areas occurs for several reasons, namely in the search of a better lifestyle
and standard of living. However planning is necessary to properly provide for the additional strain that a
growing population will have on a city's resources. Planning may also be necessary to protect rural
communities and aid their growth as a solution to the overcrowding that occurs in most urban centers in
countries around the world.
From a planned economy to a market economy, constituting an important source of China’s rapid
economic growth during the reform era
According to the neo-classical theory of factors equalization theory, the increase of and rural to urban
migration should have an impact of narrowing regional and rural-urban disparities, but an opposite outcome
has been observed since 1990s) incorporated the variable of marketization into a gravity model and found
that the market-oriented reform has created an institutional environment favoring labor mobility and
directing the spatial distribution of rural to urban migration. Lin el al. (2004) also used a gravity model and
confirmed that migration become more responsive to regional disparity. The elasticity of migration to
income disparity rose from 0.197 during 1985-1990 to 0.595 during 1995-2000. The reason that increasing
mobility hasn’t reduced income inequality mainly comes from the unfinished hukou system and other
factors that continue to enlarge regional disparity. Cai and Wang (2003).
Considered the case of a wage subsidy to the urban sector alone, showing that it cannot Restore the
social optimum and causes suboptimal employment in the rural sector because of induced migration, With
this instrument, the best that can be done is to ensure that urban jobs are created until the marginal
productivity in the urban sector equates the Marginal amount of rural output sacrificed because of migration
(i.e. the marginal Productivity in the rural sector multiplied by the number of migrants induced by the
Creation of a single additional urban job). Combining an urban wage subsidy and
Migration restrictions can move the economy to a greater aggregate welfare by simultaneously
increasing the urban output through wage subsidies and preventing the Exacerbation of unemployment
The Employment-Intensive Investment Unit (EMP/INVEST) has been successful in combining the
objective of improving infrastructure and services with the objective of creating employment and income. It
promotes job rich growth in both rural and urban areas by increasing the employment-content of public and
private investments in infrastructure through the redirecting of fiscal policies, strengthening governance in
tendering and contracting processes and promoting good management practices, putting efforts to engage
and upgrade local labour and through the choice of technology. Over thirty years of experience have shown
that labour-based approaches and the targeted promotion of local small enterprises and community groups
can be effective if mainstreamed in the planning, design, construction/delivery and maintenance of
infrastructure and social services. Today,
More than 50 countries are applying procedures and tools developed by the EMP/INVEST in the areas
of community participation and planning, labour-based or local resource-based technology and small-scale
and community contracting.
The ILO’s Social Finance Program (SFP) promotes sustainable finance with a social goal, including
credit, savings and other products that help the poor to cope better with risk, take advantage of income-
generating opportunities, organize and have a voice. Social finance is also about promoting and encouraging
those institutions that cater to the financial needs of the working poor, including women’s groups and small
and medium enterprises that create jobs. The aim is to promote policies that open up the financial sector to
the working.
Economists have assumed for decades that individuals decide to move from rural to urban areas
primarily in the hope of getting a job. It follows that the prospect of getting a job (i.e. economic conditions)
should correlate with urbanization. Empirical research has provided very tenuous evidence in support of
such a link. Why?
A wealth of anthropological and sociological studies have shown that people also choose to migrate for
a variety of non-economic reasons, including a desire to escape age or gender discrimination in their
communities, to find a wife or husband, to seek adventure in the “bright lights” of the big city, or to escape
rural serfdom. In medieval Germany, there was a saying that “city air makes you free”. As a result,
migration trends are far less sensitive to economic trends than the traditional model of urbanization predicts.
In other words, there are always individuals who have a reason to migrate to cities regardless of prevailing
economic circumstances. It is therefore no surprise that rural-urban migration (and hence urbanization)
persists in the face of economic stagnation.
But this does not explain the exceptional rates of urban population growth seen across Africa. As noted
above, rates of urbanization (driven by rural-urban migration) in the regions are not particularly rapid. So
where are all these people coming from? The answer is that the majority of Africa’s expanding urban
populations are born in cities, not in villages.
To make a long story short, there have been significant improvements in life expectancy in urban and
rural areas across Africa since the 1940s as a result of technological and institutional changes that have
reduced disease-related mortality and improved food security. Due to persistently high fertility rates, this has
led to a population boom of historically unprecedented proportions. While this may be contributing to rural
out-migration due to population pressure in rural areas, it is also driving rapid population growth in urban
From a practical perspective, the pressing challenges of providing adequate housing, infrastructure,
employment opportunities and security in African cities relate to rapid urban population growth, not
urbanization. And yet governments and aid agencies have mistakenly sought to deal with these challenges
by targeting rural-urban migration based on a misunderstanding of the dynamics shaping Africa’s urban
transition. For those interested in easing demographic pressure in urban areas, the only humane policy
option is to try to reduce population growth by promoting fertility decline through voluntary family planning
initiatives. And for those interested in promoting economic development in the region, investment in urban
areas should be top of the policy agenda.
3.1 Introduction
This chapter covered various items. These included Research design, study area and population, sample
size, sampling technique, data collection methods, research instruments, data collection and data analysis.
Since the target population is large enough, sample size determination was based on a formula
developed by Cochran (1963:75) stated as follows;
The value for Z is found in statistical tables which contain the area under the normal curve. The
confidence level determines how sure the researcher regards the result of the study and is expressed as a
percentage. The 95% confidence level thus means that the researcher can be 95% confident of the level of
accuracy of her results.
The confidence interval means the margin of error, which is always the plus, or minus figure usually in
the calculator (Creative Research System, 2009). It is a specific interval estimate of a parameter determined
by using data obtained from a sample and by using the specific confidence level estimate (Allan G. Bluman,
2004 p.328).
3.6.1 Questionnaires
The questionnaire is a research instrument with preset questions and guided style of response that was
used to collect data from respondents (Amin, 2005). This instrument contained both open-ended questions
and close-ended questions. The questionnaire will be applied to professional migrants or skill migrants,
students and especial interest migrants. The questionnaire was selected for use in this study because it is
easy to apply as most respondents were well educated and can fill in the questions easily or with little
guidance.
3.6.2 Interviews
An interview guide was used. This is an instrument where mostly general questions are used to collect
data mainly from key respondents (Amin, 2005). This instrument also contained open-ended questions as
well as close-ended questions. The interview guide will be used for this study because some sections of the
study population have more knowledge that cannot be fully captured using a questionnaire. These shall be
referred to in this study as key informants such as Service Providers, Local and International NOGs,
Construction Companies and other business Companies.
Introduction
This chapter presents the results of the study, which are presented, interpreted, analyzed and discussed,
sequentially according to the objectives of the study. The results are presented in sections within the same
chapter. And the following were the objectives which guided the study: The main objective of the study
examined the Impact of Rural Urban Migration on Economic Sources in Mogadishu- Challenges and
Opportunities. While the specific objectives were set:-
Generally, in this chapter, the findings of the study are compared and contrasted in regard to the
literature reviewed and the implications of the study for the methodology, and the research questions which
directed the study are also explored.
According to the categorization of the respondents in regard to their age segregation table 4.2, shows
that 62.4% of the respondents are in between (25—35), which is the majority of the rural urban migrants,
followed by 22.6% and their age is in between (18-25), while 10.2% of the respondents are (35—45) years
old and also 3.7% of the respondents are (45—55) and lastly followed by 1.1% of the respondents following
down under55 and above. These are the minor ones according to the respondents gone through interviews
and primary data collection in this research.
Looking at the 62.4% of the respondents are younger than 35 years old, this highlights internal
migration in Somalia and people who are migrating from rural areas coming to Mogadishu are youth,
attacked by the job opportunities and economic sources in Mogadishu, there are also insecurity issues
affecting youth in rural areas to flee from the villages of origin all the way to Mogadishu by any means of
transport mechanisms, alongside the droughts and recurrent shocks of the most regions in Somalia of which
migration is the copping mechanism to save lives, those are the major factors contributing to the high rural
urban migration of the youth.
Based on the categorization of the respondents according to their marital status table 4.3, indicating
that around 70% of the respondents are married and are families standing as a household, of which the
greater part of the rural urban migrants are lying under, also 15% of the respondents are unmarried or
single members, this is the second highest number of the respondents while 8.8% of the respondents are
families whereby the husband are died, this is the third highest number of the respondents, the reason of the
being pass away the husbands were not asked because of the concentration of the study on the challenges
and opportunities of rural urban migration and it is subsequent effect on economic sources, that are currently
available in, lastly there were 5.6% of the respondents are divorced women and struggling to survive and
secure the daily breads of their children.
The researcher highlights that majority of the internal migrants coming to Mogadishu are families
composing partners with their children, also looking at the UNCR report on 2012 only this year 180,000HHs
(housel holds) arrived Mogadishu of which majority of the families are households standing along other
family members including their children, so there should be a need for elaboration on why people are
coming jointly with their family members.
The table above ( table 4.4), shows that educational level of the respondents and rate of educated
migrants, as well as non-Educated throughout all the stages of the education,56.5% of the respondents
which are the internal rural urban migrants are non-educated, this is the majority of the people who is
vulnerable for internal migration, they can be easily migrated because of limited educational skills and
awareness which guiding them on diversifying livelihood and creating alternative sources of income before
any shocks occurred. There is also a good number of the respondents 28.2% secondary level who has some
basic education, also as the table shows there are people who are educated informally and did not go to
school this is about 9.0% of the respondents, followed by limited rate of the respondents who are graduated
from universities other have some education and this is about religious and they went to Madrasa for
studying quranic schools and religious studies.
The researcher arguing that limited level of the education of rural urban migrants is the most crucial
factors contributed to the increased rate of internal migration from rural to urban, because of the
vulnerability of the rural people and pre-urban inhabitants, the affected people of the crises weather it is
natural or human factors have limited knowledge on managing their recourses and diversifying their basics
of the livelihoods before any the shocks occurred. The second point under discussion is that majority of the
respondents studied Madrasa for Quranic Studies; however they did not go to school for studying and
gaining other knowledge including skills and life trainings.
The table above indicates cataloging of the respondents according to their residential status to
Mogadishu which is understudy, 83.1% of the respondents is living in Mogadishu with their households,
while 16.9% of the respondents are not living in Mogadishu, but have presence and settlement in
Mogadishu.
This shows that majority of rural urban migrants came with their families to live and work in
Mogadishu, even thought migrating with families is questionable looking at the intensity
Table 4.6 If yes, for how long did you and your household living in Mogadishu?
Cumulative
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Percent
Table 4.7 Have you ever been migrated from your place of origin?
According to the table (4.7) the highest numbers of the internal rural urban migrants are people who are
migrated before 90.7% of the responded were asked a question regarding to the experience of migration
from rural to urban before and replied yes, demonstrating experiences of migration, while 9.3% of the
respondents have no experience for internal migration in Somalia, especially migrating from rural of
Somalia to Mogadishu.
Because of regulars and fragmented disputes were going on the southern part of Somali, the migration
rates in terns rural urban migrants is very high according to other parts of Somalia, in addition to the
recurrent drought in south and central Somalia especially ( Bay, Bakool, Gedo and Jubba regions), this also
makes internal migration very high accordantly.
Table 4.9: What was the main reason of your migration from rural to urban?
Cumulative
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Percent
The Table above indicates 42.4% of the respondents are economics migrants, while 43.5% of the
respondents are migrated from insecurity and continuous conflicts in their places, also 14.1% of the
respondents are migrated looking for better education and health services in urban rather than their places.
This shows that majority of the internal migration from rural to urban, especially people who are
coming to Mogadishu are migrated from the insecurity and conflicts in most parts of south and central
Somalia looking a survival, second highest rates of internal migration are economic migrants and they are
looking for better jobs, employments and better live generally, economic migrants can be those are migrated
from the droughts and consequence of the recurrent shocks in their places of origin, especially those who
arrived Mogadishu on 2011 and 2012, when the famine affected agricultural, agro-pastorals and pastoralist
people, it destroyed their livelihoods and decided to migrate looking for alternative sources of livelihoods.
Table 4.10: What were the socio-economic Problems in your place of origin that forced you to
migrate?
Cumulative
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Percent
According to table above (4.10) indicating that socio economic problems which is causing specifically
rural urban migration, 57.5% of the respondents are migrated from the droughts in their places of origin as
well as the natural shocks (Floods and droughts), also 28.2% of the respondents are suffered from lack of
employment opportunities which make them migrate and look for the better opportunities of getting jobs and
cover their lives.
Although migration of people and livestock is not unusual during the dry season, this appears to be the
first time ever pastoralists and their livestock have migrated into the cities, a situation that portrays the
severity of the drought situation in the country increased on the droughts of 2011, it was partly copying
strategy on surviving human and livestock live. According to the experience of researcher in the famine of
the 2011, there were even pastoralists arriving to Mogadishu, and because of limited pasture the pastoralist
were even buying the known trees in the urban especially Mogadishu to feed their animals ( Cattle and
Camels) as a fodder.
4.11: Do you agree on, Apart from economic reason there are other pushing factors encouraging on
rural urban migration?
100.0
Table (4.11) indicating that, 79.1% of the respondents revealed that other factors than economic
migration are causing rural internal migration and antenatal migration, while also 21.1% of the respondent
revealed that rural urban migration is not caused by other factors, indicating that economic reasons are the
only factors causing for migration from the rural (the place of origin) to urban specifically Mogadishu,
which is under study.
The study data has been collected from the specific target population, which is rural urban migration or
in other words internal migration, the respondents were asked about Apart from economic reason there are
other pushing factors encouraging on rural urban migration, if there is other factors pushing internal
immigrants to migrate to Mogadishu.
Of course this should be highlighted as many researchers demonstrating , the migration in Somalia is
not only for economic purposes, the security challenging situations in south and central Somalia can be vital
role encouraging internal displacements and migrations form one place to another as the researcher
demonstrated in the above in relation to the other questions. This is because of opposing politics and
conflicts in Somalia. Also droughts, floods and other natural disasters are also contributing and plying vital
role again for increments of the internal migration from rural to urban.
4.12: Which gender is more likely to migrate on completion at any given level?
Cumulative
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Percent
According to the classification of the respondents looking at which gender is more like to migrate both
male and female the researcher found that both male and female are likely to migrate in percentage of 47.2%
of the responders, while females migrated in a rate of 44% of the respondents answer’s, followed by the
8.5% of the male are migrated in views of the some respondents.
Migration is a common phenomenon among the people in the world, particularly Somali people who
have nomadic culture of migration and most of them are pastoralist, following behind the pasture and water
for the better of their livestock.
Again Somalia people are effected especially the people under the study in south and central Somalia,
so whenever and wherever the pushing factors of migration is available people are exposed to migrate
regardless gender (male and female), age (young and elder), it is considerable sometimes and some specific
hazards affect for some groups or members of the society, such conflicts and targeting for specific people,
such whealth individuals and some other hazards that might affect only youths, such insecurity and security
challenges in Somalia, targeting youth in relation to the suspicions.
4. 13: What is the level of opportunities and economic sources that can be attractive factors for
internal rural urban migration in Somali- Mogadishu?
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Table 4.13 revealed that 66.4% of the respondents, rural urban migration are the copying strategy to
cope with the recurrent droughts and floods in south and central Somali regions, while 26.8% of the
respondents are also revealing that rural urban migration is not copying strategies, but it is a normal
phenomenon of the people’s movement from one location to another due to the cause from the
environmental and human reflection, followed by the last rate of the internal migration around 6.8% of the
respondents reveals, no ideas of whether rural urban migration is a copying strategy or a natural phenomena
exercised by the people.
The highlight is that majority of the people who were interviewed, including recent migration are
reveling this is a copying strategy and it will continue across the urban cities, while and whenever the
disasters are taking place, this is supported by the researcher’s argument on migration strategies and the
effect of the urbanization, as well as the growth of the cities attacking, people to urbanize themselves, and
place for the families. Other This is also supported in the literature review only one year 2011, the UNCR
Report (2011), reflected that Mogadishu 180,000HHs, this people arrived to Mogadishu to survive and look
for the better place to live, of course this was not their choice, but they were forced to flee from the home
and settle into Mogadishu.
4.14: Do you agree rural urban migration is a copying strategy of recurrent shocks (droughts, Floods
and Conflicts) in some south Somali regions
According to the opportunities and economic sources, that can be attractive factors and subsequent
encouraging internal rural urban migrants in regard to Mogadishu, in the table (4.14), demonstrating that
28.5% of the respondents agreed that economic opportunities in Mogadishu are very high, that is why many
people are migrated from the regions and coming to Mogadishu, also 58.2% of the respondents revealed that
opportunities in Mogadishu is medium, but there still potentiality of being Mogadishu a green side,
attracting internal migrants, finally small number of the respondents 13.3% believes that opportunities in
Mogadishu is low, so according to them, no need for left from home and migrate to Mogadishu.
Cumulative
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Percent
In the table (4.16), this is linked to the employment opportunities in table (4.15), respondents were
asked on the type of the employments and what they are doing, majority of the rural urban migrants are
workers and doing casual work in Mogadishu, around 68.9% and approximately 19.2% of the respondents
are business persons and involved in this sector, while also a limited percentage of the respondents 6.5% are
involved in the education field and employed as teachers and lecturers with in education , this means that
majority of the rural urban migrants are casual labour and even sometimes innovate new business ideas, that
has not been explored before by the local residents of Mogadishu.
As researcher highlights the biggest market in Somali Bakaaro, many people are employed in this
market and mainly are casual labors from the internal migrants (rural urban migrants), this people are porters
using, wooden wheelbarrows, donkey and donkey carts and also local motor cycles, in some cases the rural
urban migrants interact with people and start small scale business and eventually resettle the city buying new
houses and educating their children. Also it is visible a gain in some cases the interaction of the rural urban
migrants in Mogadishu and get involved in a brokers and other services that might need for some people
who need identification and recognition of the local people
4.17: What were you working on when in your place of origin or before migrating to Mogadishu
Cumulative
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Percent
4.18: When you have come to Mogadishu would you met your expectation?
Table above (4.18), shows that respondents reflect their ideas on how they got about migrating from
rural to urban and if they met their expectations, 64.2% of the respondents agreed that they have met their
expectation on coming to Mogadishu, while 35.8% of the respondents are reflecting that journey to
Mogadishu was not successful and have not realized their objectives of migrating to Mogadishu.
4.19: What is the impact of rural urban migration on mobilizing local economic sources and
opportunities in Mogadishu
Table (4.19) indicates that rural urban migration has a positive impact on mobilizing local economic
sources and opportunities in Somalia, around 36.4% of the respondents revealed a positive impact, followed
by the 51.5% of the respondents reflecting to the negative impact of the rural urban migration and 12% of
the respondents are also reflecting no impact of the internal rural urban migration.
The internal migration of the rural urban increased in recent days, because of the recurrent and
environmental changes affected droughts and floods, which turned into negative consequence on the
migrated people, to the different parts of Somalia , specifically Mogadishu hosted the major part of the
migration influxes.
The challenges of the migration, both internal migration (rural urban migration from one specific local
city to another city) or external migration (migrating to outside the country), always had challenges and this
can be only a full study looking at the dimension of social cultural problems of the migration, however there
are also some challenges associated with internal migration including transportation, limited knowledge on
urban areas, that will reflect to the adaptation of the people to the migrated land.
44.21: Do you think that rural urban migration impact on interdependence of rural products to urban
production and consumption?
In table (4.21) the respondents reflecting that rural urban migration has a consequence on the
production of the rural, which is lightly, will reduce the local economy around 76% of the respondents
revealed yes, while 24% of the respondents are reflecting that there are no relation between the
interdependence of the rural production and the economics of the urban cities.
The researcher reflecting that there are relations of the rural production and local economic growth, the
rural products, whether it is livestock products and agricultural products are transported to the large urban
cities for business purposes and this will strength to the local economic relations and country’s economic
growth.
The researcher will summarize the discussion points, looking at the economic migrants and security
related migrants as well as the impact of internal migration on economic sources in Mogadishu.
For the economic migrants, the solution is creating alternative livelihood sources in their places of
origin, this can be supporting Farmers on agricultural sector equipments and financing them to improve
agricultural production, which also has it is own impact on the growth of local economic scales, livestock
investment and provision of treatments to the pastoralists, this will engage keeping the pastoralist in the rural
and not to migrated as well as the resilience for droughts and recurrent shock affecting the live of the human
and livestock.
In addition to the giving the rural people some skills and knowledge on early warning systems that
might help on preparing for dry seasons, so that they will have resistance when the droughts accrued, all the
above mentioned are the solutions for the economic migrants of the internal migration in Somalia.
According to the security related migration, the respondents and the researcher considers the biggest
challenges of the Somalia as country and as a people, this could be solved only negotiations and
reconciliation of the conflicted parts within Somalia overly and specifically the areas where people are
usually migrated from because of in security south and central Somalia is an example, “the security
challenges are over the capacity of the internal migrants and sometimes over the Somali people they are
many actors involving in Somali politics” aid by the Bishar Abdi a rural urban migrants living in
Dharkeynley district.
The rural urban migrants have an impact on the economic sources of Mogadishu; they explore new
business and economic sources in Bakaaro Market the biggest market in Somalia, they are mainly employed
as casual labors providing support services to the business activities in the market, while they are starting
business from small scale size to the medium ones and for the time being some rural urban migrants are
educated and employed in the education sector both teaching and lecturing in education institutions in
Mogadishu.
5.1: Introduction
In this chapter, the researcher described about summary of the study, conclusions of the research
findings according to the primary and secondary data of the research and finally the researcher rolled out the
study presenting recommendations and areas that might need to go for father studies in the future.
5.2: Summary
This study is intended to investigate the impact of rural urban migration on economic sources in
Mogadishu- challenges and opportunities, despite inadequate employment opportunities and lack of
effective employment agencies that can be equally treated to the job seekers, the study will look at how the
rural-urban migrants mobilize economic sources to sustain and adapt the life in Mogadishu. Rural-urban
migration has also created social problems on rural based production and reduced the integration and
economic interdependence of the rural urban cycle as depicted on population density in Mogadishu.
So, this study analyzed the major push factors for rural-urban migration in Somalia; problems
associated with internal migration and solutions of the problems associated with rural urban migrants, why
Mogadishu is an attractive city for internal migrants. How do rural migrants to urban Mogadishu create and
mobilize new economic opportunities that had not been seen by those who were there so many years and
converting these new opportunities into sustainable income sources to the migrants. Not only the positive
aspects but also the density of the population especially the new ones and how the hosted communities
interact with people who had come to Mogadishu earlier.
This study contributed to describe on the impact of rural urban migration on economic sources in
Mogadishu- challenges and opportunities.
The study has set out an objectives and research questions that have required findings to be achieved
during the course of the research period.
Described social determinants of rural urban migration in Somali Identified the level of opportunities
and economic sources that can be attractive factors for internal rural urban migration in Somali Assessed the
challenges associated with internal migration Find out solutions to the problems associated with rural-urban
migration.
The researcher found that majority of the internal migration from rural to urban, especially people who
are coming to Mogadishu are migrated from the insecurity and conflicts in most parts of south and central
Somalia looking for survival, second highest rates of internal migration are economic migrants and they
are looking for better jobs, employments and better live standard generally, economic migrants can be those
who are migrated from the droughts and consequence of the recurrent shocks in their places of origin,
especially those who arrived to Mogadishu on 2011 and 2012, when the famine affected agricultural, agro-
pastorals and pastoralist people and had destroyed their livelihoods, they decided to migrate looking for
alternative sources of livelihoods.
The motivation factors of the internal rural urban migrants, as mentioned in the above economic
motive factors, can be all the opportunities attract individuals and households to migrate and followed by the
security factors, this can be choices less to decide migration or not, because it is all about looking for
survivability, also looking for the better services rather than rural services, it is not always being variances
between rural and urban according to the services provision, so the respondents reflecting to the objective of
migration partly for better services, educations, health and limited social services which attracts the internal
migration.
According to the economic opportunities in Mogadishu, the researcher highlighted the biggest market
in Somali Bakaaro, many people are employed in this market and mainly are casual labors from the internal
migrants (rural urban migrants), this people are porters using wooden wheelbarrows, donkey and donkey
carts and also local motor cycles, a limited number of them are employed in the education sectors teaching
in the private schools and lecturing in the universities, in some cases the rural urban migrants interact with
people and start small scale business and eventually resettle the city buying new houses and educating their
children.
Government has to encourage the local production, especially consideration to agricultural sector,
livestock and fishing as Somali has one of the longest coasts in Africa, the researcher heighted that some
people are migrating from part of south regions, where the biggest rivers in Somali are passing; this is
because of limited support to the farmers and pastoralists.
An infrastructure including schools, public hospitals and transport roads has to bring back at local level
from tow to villages; this will help improve of social service deliveries and will reduce the internal
migration.
Creating alternative sources of income and improving the employment opportunities to skilled and non
skilled individuals and diversifying of the human livelihood sources in the rural and pre-urban areas to
mitigate the internal migration from rural to urban and will maintain balancing between rural and urban.
[1]. De Haan and Rogally, R. (1994) Non-farm income and inequality in rural Pakistan, Journal of
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[3]. Michael J. Greenwood Gubert (2002) Those in Kayes The impact of remittances on their recipients
in Africa, DIAL Working Paper DT-2002-1.
[4]. UN Habitat (Report 2008). Natural Resources Development Council 1957 Planning Survey of the
Southern Transvaal: the Pretoria-Witwatersrand Vereeniging Area, Pretoria
[5]. UN FAO (2008). Pillay U 2006 SA’s global city region of the future, in Business Day 11 July 2006
[6]. Harper (November 2001) Barham B. and S. Boucher (1998) Migration, remittances and inequality:
estimating the
[7]. Net effect of migration on income distribution, Journal of Development Economics, 55, 307-31.
[8]. Eshetu Gurmu (2012) on the specification and estimation of macro rural urban migration functions:
With an application to Indian data, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 43, 7-29.
[9]. Rudzitis (1989 and N. Naqvi (1988) Urban unemployment and non-immiserizing growth Journal of
Development Economics, 28, 365-7.
[10]. Gundars ( 1990) Mabin A 1995 Conceptualizing, making and governing the Witwatersrand, paper
presented to Africa’s urban past conference, School of Oriental and African Studies, University of
London.
[11]. Akindelly, (Nove, 2009). Mabin A and R Hunter 1993 Review of conditions and trends affecting
development in the Pretoria- Witwatersrand-Vereeniging (PWV) region.
[12]. Mabin A and R Hunter 1993 Review of conditions and trends affecting development in the Pretoria-
Witwatersrand-Vereeniging (PWV) region.
[13]. Harris and Todaro (1970) Garrison H. (1982) Internal migration in Mexico: A test of the Todaro
model, Food Research Institute Studies, 18, 197-214.
[14]. Webster’s New World Dictionary English, Property of United States of America
This is the estimated time plan of the study. It is essential in that it enables the researcher to assess the
feasibility of conducting the research within the scheduled time frame. It will also enable the researcher to
stay on schedule as the research progresses.
PERIOD TASK
15th – 31st April 2014 Vetting of the research topic
1st to 31st May 2014 Proposal writing
1st to 20th June 2014 Proposal vetting, discussing with the advisor and
making corrections
11th to 21st July 2014 Develop and validate research tools, submit the
proposal to the supervisor.
Budget estimates
Item Quantity Amount(USD) Total(USD)
Ream of papers 8 5 40
Typing and printing 3 Copies 25 75
Transport 5 trips 20 100
Binding 5 copies 5 25
Accommodation and 20 20 400
meals
Contingencies 100 120
Internet & phone charges 1 80 80
Total 840 USD
Questionnaire
Researcher’s Introductory Message.
Dear Respondent,
I am conducting a research as one of the requirements for the award of a Masters degree in Development
Studies from Kampala University.
This questionnaire is designed to investigate the ‘Impact of Rural Urban Migration on Economic
Sources in Mogadishu - Challenges and opportunities. The research is partial fulfillment of my Master’s
Degree in Development Studies credited by Kampla University- Graduate School.
The information you supplied/provided will only be used for academic purpose and we guarantee that your
answers will be strictly treated confidential.
Thank you in advance for taking time to fill this questionnaire voluntarily
Researcher:
Name: Hassan Hussein Ibrahim
University: Kampala
Degree: Master
Field: Development Studies
13. Which gender is more likely to migrate on completion at any given level?
a) Male
b) Female
14. Do you agree rural urban migration is a copying strategy of recurrent shocks (droughts, Floods and
Conflicts) in some south Somali regions?
- Agree ( ) - Disagree ( ) - Neutral ( )
19. In your opinion do you think there are economic opportunities that can be found only by the Rural
Urban immigrants rather than previous residents?
Yes, ( ) No ( )
20. When you have come to Mogadishu would you met your expectation?
Yes ( ) No ( )
21. If yes, Please mention and List the opportunities:
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