Cyclical Unemployment
Cyclical Unemployment
Costs of unemployment:
● the economy could be producing more goods and services which would then be available for consumption
● the cost of Supporting unemployed workers in their family is substantial and is paid for out of general
taxation
● social problems arise
● reduces demand for goods and services by reducing the incomes of those looking for work
● loss of income and lower living standards
● longer the period of unemployment the more difficult it is to find work
Balance of payments:
Large deficit on its balance of payments would result into:
● Depreciation in the value of its currency’s exchange rate
● A decline in the country’s reserves of foreign currency
● An unwillingness of foreign investors to put money into the economy
Balance of payments definition: this account records the value of trade in goods and services between one country
and the rest of the world. A deficit means that the value of goods and services imported exceed the value of goods
and services exported.
Exchange rates: the price of one currency in terms of another.
● the exchange rate depreciation make importing and exporting to risky
● the government takes corrective actions by limiting foreign exchange transactions and putting substantial
controls on imports.
Exchange rate depreciation:
a fall in the external value of a currency as measured by its exchange rate against other currencies.
Exchange rate appreciation:
a rise in the external value of a currency as measured by its exchange rate against other currencies.
Factors that determine the demand for a currency:
● Foreign buyers of goods and services.
● foreign tourists spending money in the country.
● foreign investors.
factors that determine the supply of a currency:
● Domestic businesses buying foreign imports.
● Domestic population travelling abroad.
● Domestic investors abroad.
The domestic firms that lose from an appreciation are:
1. Exporters of goods and services to foreign markets which do not include just manufactured goods but also
own country holiday resorts which will experience a fall in demand from overseas tours because of the
higher cost of products in terms of the foreign currency.
2. businesses that sell goods and services to the domestic market and have foreign competitors. appreciation
makes imports cheaper, it will make domestic procedures less competitive in their own market.
The domestic businesses that gain from a depreciation are:
● Home based exporters who can now reduce their prices in overseas markets this should increase the value
of their exports and lead to an expansion of the business.
● businesses that sell in the domestic markets will experience less price competition from importers.
The home based businesses that are likely to lose from a depreciation are:
● Manufacturers who depend heavily on imported supplies of materials these costs will rise and will reduce
competitiveness.
● Retailers that purchase foreign supplies especially if there are closed domestic substitute the price of these
imports will write in the retailers may be forced to find the mystic suppliers of similar quality goods.
Non price factors:
● These factors determine the success of the business :
● product design and innovation: innovative product can be sold at premium prices.
● quality of construction and reliability: encourages consumer interests.
● effective promotion and extensive distribution.
● after-sales services which include extended guarantee..
● Investment and train staff and modern technology: this would allow flexibility of production to meet frequent
changes in consumer tastes. higher labour productivity can overcome drop drawbacks caused by higher
costs of other resources.
macro economic policies:
● Policies designed to impact on the whole economy.
● mainly operate by influencing the level of total or aggregate demand in the economy.
● level of demand works through to determine the value of output of goods and services and the level of
employment.
fiscal policy:
● Concerned with decisions about government expenditure text rates and government borrowing.
● the finance minister announces the spending and tax plans of the government for the coming year and the
difference between these two totals is called either the budget deficit or the budget surplus .
● government budget deficit: the value of government spending exceeds revenue from taxation.
● Government budget surplus: taxation revenue exceeds the value of government spending.
Monetary Policy:
1. It is concerned with decisions about the rate of interest and the supply of money in the economy.
2. if inflation is low and is forecast to remain below government targets, than the Central Bank may decide to
reduce interest rates.
3. using higher interest rates will have an impact on businesses in three main ways:
○ Increases interest costs and reduces profits for businesses that have very high debts.
○ reduces consumer borrowing and this reduces demand for goods bought on credit.
○ it tends to lead to an appreciation of the country's exchange rate.
monetary Policy the most likely policy measure will ● Highly geared businesses
decisions about interest rates the be an increase in interest rates will experience increasing
supply of money. interest payments that may
endanger their cash flows.
● this is his will be less likely
to borrow to finance further
Investments as the cost of
loans may exceed the
expected Returns.
● consumers will be affected
in two ways:
● Less likely to buy goods on
credit as the interest rates
will be higher.
● demand for houses will fall
as mortgages are the
biggest loan most
consumers take out. the
most catches will take a
higher proportion of
income which will have a
direct impact on consumer
demand.
● higher domestic interest
rates may encourage
overseas capital to flow
into the country. lead to an
appreciation of the
currency exchange rate.
implications for the
competitiveness of
businesses.
Examples of market failure stakeholder groups most affected corrective policy action