Stress Testing and Scenario Analysis in Operational Risk PDF
Stress Testing and Scenario Analysis in Operational Risk PDF
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8th - 10th of May, 2018 | Kuala Lumpur
Learn a Multi-dimensional Approach to Effectively Design and Conduct Operational Risk Stress Tests
Current Regulatory Standards
Expectations for Operational Risk Measurement
Select and Use Appropriate Approaches for Operational Risk Analysis
Understanding the Data and System Limitations
About the Course Why you
In December 2017, the BCBS published its revised principles
for sound stress testing, recognizing that stress testing has should not
become a critical element of risk management and decision-
making for banks, and a core tool for banking supervisors miss this
and macroprudential authorities. This emphasis on forward-
looking risk metrics is particularly significant for operational course?
risk, now that Basel III has abandoned AMA methods for In order to address these
calculating operational risk capital. Meeting the BCBS stress challenges, this course will enable
testing standards for operational risk presents many banks you to:
with a huge challenge, due to lack of established methods,
data scarcity and inconsistency, and fragmented systems.
Identify today’s most significant
operational risks, according
to supervisory thinking and
industry ranking, and how they
Who should attend? are interconnected
Familiarize yourself with the
This course would benefit: Risk Professionals at Operational current regulatory standards
and overall Organizational level, Financial Planning, Risk and expectations for
Auditors, Members of Risk and Audit Committees, Regulatory operational risk measurement
Reporting, IT Directors and IT Operations Managers,
Statisticians and Actuaries Involved in Risk Reporting. Recognize the multiple
organizational roles in
operational risk measurement
and management
DAY 1
8:30 Arrival & coffee Session 4:
Introduction to Day 3's Scenario and Stress
9:00 Housekeeping & Interactive Introductions Test Case Studies
• Why stress testing has become the cornerstone
9:30 Session 1: of banking risk management, decision making
The Principal Types of Operational Risks and supervision
and Threats • The unique requirements for operational risk
• Intrinsic operational risks recognized by the stress testing
BCBS, with examples • Scenario development Do’s and Don’ts
• Other intrinsic operational risks ranked highly in • Preview of Day 3 scenario development and
industry surveys, with examples stress test design case studies
• Extrinsic operational risks, with examples
17:00 Wrap Up Day One
10:30 Coffee and Break
Session 2:
Interconnection of Operational Risks
• Operational risks which trigger other operational
risks:
o Internal control -> Fraud risk
o Outsourcing -> Cyber risk
o Fraud -> Legal risk
o Conduct -> Reputation risk
o Technology -> Compliance risk
o Complexity -> Strategic risk
• Examples of the above
13:30 Session 3:
The Four Methods of Operational Risk
Measurement and Analysis
• Taking into consideration data and systems
limitations
1) Statistical analysis of empirical data
2) Statistical analysis of expert-generated data
3) Expert judgement
4) Structured risk analysis
• Examples of the above
DAY 2
8:30 Arrival & coffee 16:00 Session 8:
Operational Risk Stress Test Design
9:00 Session 5: • Established approach
Regulatory and Supervisory Requirements • Project management
• Current standards • Analysis
o Operational risk capital [BCBS 424]
o Stress testing [BCBS 428] 17:00 Wrap Up Day Two
o Supervisory expectations
11:00 Session 6:
Organizational roles in operational risk
management
• Three lines of defence for operational risk
• Roles and responsibilities
o First line
o Second line
o Third line
13:30 Session 7:
Operational Risk Scenario Development
Established approaches
• High-impact, low probability
• What if
• Reverse stress test
Benefits of these approaches
• Transparency
• Intellectual rigor
• Reinforce hard evidence
• Expose biases
• Isolate organizational interference
• Cross-functional collaboration
Methods
DAY 3
8:30 Arrival & coffee
9:00 Session 9:
Scenario Development Case Study
Scenario explanation and selection
1. Internal control breakdown
2. Outsourcing
3. Conduct
4. Technology
Small groups
• Use provided template to develop scenario
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Early Bird Price USD 1,999
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Nature of business:
Website:
Martin Valovsky, CEO
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