Anna University Exams April / May 2019 – Regulation 2017

Rejinpaul.com Unique Important Questions – 4th Semester BE/BTECH

MA8402 PROBABILITY AND QUEUEING THEORY
PART B & PART C QUESTIONS – UNIT WISE
Unit I

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1. A random variable X has the following probability function:
Values of

Find (i) K (ii) Evaluate P  X  6 , P X  6  and P X 0  X 5 (iii) Determine the distribution function of X.

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2. If the probability distribution of X is given as

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3. i) A radar system has a probability of 0.1 of detecting a certain target during a single scan. Use Binomial
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distribution to find the probability that the target will be detected at least two times in four consecutive
scans. Also compute the probability that the target will be detected at least once in 20 scans. ii)A
electrical firm manufactures light bulbs that have a length of which is normally distributed with mean
= 800 hours and standard deviation 𝜎 = 40 hours. Find the probability that a bulb burns between 778
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and 834 hours. (8 marks each)

4. i) A bolt is manufactured by 3 machines A, B, and C. A turns out twice as many items as B and machines
B and C produce equal number of items. 2% of bolts produced by A and B are defective and 4% of bolts
produced by C are defective. All bolts are put into 1 stock pile and 1 is chosen from this pile. What is the
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probability that it is defective? ii) The probability of an individual suffering a bad reaction from a
infection of a certain antibiotic is 0.001. Out of 2000 individuals, use Poisson distribution to find the
probability that exactly three suffer. Also find the probability of more than 2 suffer from bad reaction.
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5. i) Find the MGF of Binomial & Poisson distribution and hence find their mean and variance ii) Find the
moment generating function of a geometric random variable. Also find its mean. (8 marks each)
6. X is a continuous random variable with pdf given as below. Find the value of K and also the cdf Fx (X).
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7. A random variable X has density function

Determine K and the distribution function. Evaluate the probability P x  0. (6 marks)
 8. A random variable X has the P.d.f

9. a) If 1 2 X X, are two independent random variables each flowing negative binomial distribution with
parametersr1, p and r2, p, show that the sum also follows negative binomial distribution b) If a boy
is throwing stones at a target, what is the probability that his 10th throw is his 5th hit, if the probability
of hitting the target at any trial is 0.5? (6 marks each)

Unit II
1. The joint probability density function of a bivariate random variable [X,Y] is

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2. a) If X and Y are two random variables having joint probability density function

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b) Three balls are drawn at random without replacement from a box containing 2 white, 3 red and 4 black
balls. If X denotes the number of white balls drawn and Y denotes the number of red balls drawn find the
joint probability distribution of [X Y].
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3. a) Two fair dice are tossed simultaneously. Let X denotes the number on the first die and Y denotes the
number on the second die. Find the following probabilities.
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b) The joint probability mass function of a bivariate discrete random variable  X Y,  in given by the table.
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Find i. The marginal probability mass function of X and Y. ii. The conditional distribution of X given Y 1. iii. P
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(X +Y 4
3. i) 20 dice are thrown. Find the approximate probability that the sum obtained is between 65 and 75
using central limit theorem
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8. a) Using the given information given below compute x’ y’ and r. Also compute y when x = 2, 2x+3y 8
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and 4x+y = 10.

b) The joint pdf of X and Y is
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Find the correlation coefficient of X and Y.

Unit III
1. Two random processes Xt and Yt are defined by X(t)  A cos sin   B sin  and Y(t)  A cos
 B sin . Show that X(t and Yt are jointly wide sense stationary if A and B are uncorrelated
random variables with zero means and the same variances and  is a constant.
 2. Find the mean and auto correlation of the Poisson process
3. i) Prove that a Poisson Process is a Markov chain. (ii) Prove that the difference of two independent
Poisson process is not a Poisson process iii) Prove that the sum of two independent Poisson process
is a Poisson process. (iv)Find the mean and autocorrelation of the Poisson processes (2 marks each)
4. A machine goes out of order whenever a component part fails the failure of this part is in accordance
with a Poisson process with a mean rate of 1 per week. Find the probability that two weeks have
lapsed since the last failure. If there are 5 spare parts of this component in inventory and the next
supply is not due in ten weeks, find the probability that the machine will not be out of order in the
next ten weeks. (8 marks)
5. Show that the random process 𝑋(𝑡) = 𝑎𝑐𝑜𝑠𝜔𝑡 + 𝐵𝑠𝑖𝑛𝜔𝑡 is wide sense stationary process if A and B
are random variables such that E(A)=E(B)=0 , 𝐸(𝐴2) = 𝐸(𝐵2)𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝐸(𝐴𝐵) = 0. (8 marks)
6. (a) The number of demands of a cycle on each day in a cycle hiring shop is Poisson distributed with

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mean 2. The shop has 3 cycles. Find the proportion of days on which (i) no cycle is used (ii) some
demand of cycles is refused. (b) Three boys A, B and C are throwing a ball to each other. A always
throws the ball to B and B always throws the ball to C but C is just as likely to throw the ball to B as
to A. Show that the process is Markovian. Find the transition probability matrix and classify the states.
. (8 marks each)

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7. Given a random variable Y with characteristic function  ()  E (eiy) and a random process defined
by Xt  cost  y ; show that Xt is stationary in the wide sense if  1   2  0.
8. Given a random process Xt 10cos (100t  where  is uniformly distributed over,  , prove

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that the process Xt is correlation ergodic. . (8 marks)
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10. Let X be the random variable which gives the intervals between two successive occurrences of a
Poisson process with parameter  . Find out the distribution of X.
Unit IV
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1. A repairman is to be hired to repair machines which break down at an average rate of 3 per hour. The
breakdown follows Poisson distribution. Non- productive time of machine is considered to cost
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Rs.16/hr. Two repairmen have been invited. One is slow but cheap while the other is fast and expensive.
The slow repairman charges Rs.8 per hour and he services machines at rate of 4 per hour. The fast
repairman demands Rs.10 per hour and service at the average rate of 6 per hour. Which repair man
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should be hired?
2. A two person barber shop has 5 chairs to accommodate waiting customers. Customers who arrive when
all 5 chairs are full leave without entering barber shop. Customers arrive at the average rate of 4 per
hour and spend an average of 12 minutes in the barber’s chair. Compute P0, P1, and average number of
customers in the queue. (8 marks)
3. Obtain the expressions for steady state probability of a M/M/C queuing system
4. Arrivals at a telephone booth are considered to be Poisson with an average time of 12 mins. The length
of a phone call is assumed to be distributed exponentially with mean 4 min. Find the average number
of persons waiting in the system. What is the probability that a person arriving at the booth will have to
wait in the queue? Also estimate the traction of the day. Where phone will be in use?
 5. A bank has two tellers working are savings account. The first teller handles with drawals only the second
teller handles deposits only. It has been found that the service time distributions for both deposits and
withdrawals are exponential with mean service time of 3 minutes per customer. Depositors are found
to arrive in a Poisson fashion throughout the day with mean arrival rate of 16 per hour withdrawals also
arrive in a Poisson fashion with mean arrival rate of 14 per hour. What would be the effect on the
average waiting time for the customers if each teller could handle both withdrawals and deposits? (8
marks)
6. At a one man barber shop, the customers arrive following Poisson process at an average rate of 5 per
hour and they are serviced according to exponential distribution with an average service. Rate of 10
minutes assuming that only 5 seats are available for waiting customers find the average time a customer
spends in the system. (8 marks)
7. At a port there are 6 unloading berths and 4 unloading crews. When all the berths are full, arriving ships

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are diverted to an overflow facility 20 kms down the river. Tankers arrive according to a Poisson process
with a mean of 1 for every 2 hrs. If it takes for an unloading crew on the average, 10 hrs to unload a
tanker, the unloading time follows an exponential distribution Determine. a) How many tankers one of
the port on the average? b) How long does a tanker spend at the port as the average?
8. Suppose there are 3 typists is a typing pool. Each typist can type an average of 6 letters / hr. If letters

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arrive to be typed at the rate of 15 letters/hr a) What is the probabilities that there is only one letter in
the system b) What is the average number of letters waiting to be typed? c) What is the average time a
letter spends in the system? (8 marks)

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Unit V
1. Derive Pollaczek - Khinchine relation for M/G/I) :  /GD
2. A one man barber shop takes exactly 25 minutes to complete one haircut. If customers arrive at the
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barber shop in a Poisson fashion at an average rate of one every 40 minutes, how long on the average
a customer spends in the shop? Also find the average time a customer must wait for service.
3. Suppose a one person tailor shop is in business of making men’s suits. Each suit requires four district
tasks to be performed before it is completed. Assume all four tasks must be completed on each suit
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before another is started. The time to perform each task has an exponential distribution with a mean
of 2 hr. If orders for a suit come at the average rate 5.5 per week (assume an 8hr day, 6 day week),
how long can a customer expect to wait to have a suit made? (8 marks)
4. In a heavy machine shop, the overhead crane is 75% utilized. Time study observations gave the
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average slinging time as 10.5 minutes with a standard deviation of 8.8 minutes. What is the average
calling rate for the services of the crane and what is the average delay in getting service? If the
average service time is cut to 8.0 minutes, with a standard deviation of 6.0 minutes, how much
reduction will occur, on average, in the delay of getting served? (8 marks)
5. In a two station service facility, queues are not allowed. Customers arrive at the facility at an average
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rate of 4 per hour; the server at each station serves at the rate of 5 customers per hour. If arrivals are
Poisson and service times are exponential, find the probability that an arriving customers enter the
system (a) effective arrival rate (b) Average (expected) number of customers in the system. (c)
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Expected time of a customer spends in the system. (8 marks)

6. Find Ls, Lq, Ws and Wq. Automatic car wash facility operates with only one Bay. Cars arrive according
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to a Poisson process, with mean of 4 cars per hour and may wait in the facility’s parking lot if the bay
is busy. (i)If the service time for all cars is constant and equal to 10 min (ii) Uniform distribution
between 8 and 12 minutes (iii) Normal distribution with mean 12 minutes and SD 3minutes (iv)
Follows discrete distribution 4,8 & 15 minutes with corresponding probability 0.2, 0.6 & 0.2.
7. A car manufacturing plant uses one big crane for loading cars into a truck. Cars arrive for loading by
the crane according to a Poisson distribution with a mean of 5 cars per hour. Given that the service
time for all cars is constant and equal to 6 minutes determine, Ls Lq Ws and Wq .
8. A car wish facility operates with only one bay. Cars arrive according to a Poisson distribution with a
mean of 4 cars per hour and may wait in the facility’s parking lot if the bay is busy. The parking lot is
large enough to accommodate any number of cars. Find the average number of cars waiting in the
parking lot, if the time for washing and cleaning a car follows. (a) Uniform distribution between 8 and
 12 minutes (b) A normal distribution with mean 12 minutes and S.D.3minutes. (c) A discrete
distribution with values equal to 4, 8 and 15 minutes and corresponding probabilities 0.2,0.6 and 0.2.
9. In the Airport reservation section of a city junction, there is enough space for the customers to
assemble, form a queue and fill up the reservation forms. There are 5 reservation counters in front
of which also there is enough space for the customers to wait. Customers arrive at the reservation
counter section at the rate of 40 per hour and takes one minute on the average to fill up the forms.
Each reservation clerk takes 5 minutes on the average to complete the business of a customer in an
exponential manner.(i) Find the probability that a customer has to wait to get the service in the
reservation counter section (ii) Find the total waiting time for a customer in the entire reservation
section. Assume that only those who have the filled up reservation forms will be allowed into the
counter section.

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