Modeling Distributive and Integrative Negotiations PDF
Modeling Distributive and Integrative Negotiations PDF
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ANNALS, AAPSS, 542, November 1995
By OTOMAR J. BARTOS
48
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DISTRIBUTIVE AND INTEGRATIVE NEGOTIATIONS 49
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50 THE ANNALS OF THE AMERICAN ACADEMY
positive, it creates
Theamodel
negative
of equation 1 implies that
there are three internal
feedback: if the negotiator's lastcauses of con-
demand D was high, his
cession conces-
making: desire to reciprocate
sion dD will be large;
(largeif demand
k), desire to initiate reciproca-
D was low, his concession
tion (large will
a), and be
friendly feelings
small. Thus the model implies
toward the opponent (negative g).
that unilateral concession mak-
The model also implies that the
ing is most pronounced at the
main consequence of flexibility is an
early stages of the negotiation, increase in the opponent's flexibility:
when demands are high. since the parameter k is assumed to
- if the parameterg is negative. be It positive, the negotiators recipro-
is meaningful (as well as cus- cate each other's concessions. In
tomary) to assume that g refers cases when k is actually negative
to the emotional state of the ne- when the negotiator exploits his op
gotiator, a positive g being a ponent by decreasing his own conc
grievance, a negative g repre- sions in response to concessions b
senting friendliness. Thus term g the opponent-flexibility generat
may be referred to as the grievance- inflexibility. But it is hard to conce
friendliness parameter. that such a cycle could last very lon
In general, flexibility not only pr
Flexibility motes further flexibility, but it a
makes an agreement more likely, b
Speaking generally, a negotiator is cause large concessions bring the n
flexible if he is willing to engage in gotiator to an agreement--if an agr
any behavior that promises to facili- ment is indeed possible7-sooner th
tate agreements. Within the context small concessions.
of distributive bargaining, it seems
natural to define flexibility more INTEGRATIVE NEGOTIATION
narrowly as willingness to make
concessions. In the 1970s, theoretical interest
began to shift toward an integrative
While many external conditions--
such as the negotiator's cultural approach.s While different writer
background4 or his preparations and have somewhat different ideas about
what this approach entails and give
relevant bureaucratic factors5--un- it somewhat different names, there is
doubtedly affect flexibility, I will con-
sider here. only conditions located
ence and are influenced by other variables of
within the negotiation process itself.6
the model, such as variables dD and dO of
4. Daniel Druckman et al., "Cultural Dif-equation 1.
ferences in Bargaining Behavior: India, Argen- 7. In the model of equation 1, an agree-
tina, and the United States," Journal of Con- ment is possible only if there is a proposal that
flict Resolution, 20(3):413-53 (1976). has, for both negotiators, payoff at least as high
5. Daniel Druckman, "The Situational as their bottom line, D*, of equation 3.
Levers of Negotiating Flexibility," Journal of 8. Zartman, 50% Solution; idem, Negotia-
Conflict Resolution, 37(2):236-76 (1993). tion Process; Fisher and Ury, Getting to Yes; D.
6. These are the endogenous variables of G. Pruitt, Negotiation Behavior (New York:
the model, that is, variables that both influ-Academic Press, 1981).
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DISTRIBUTIVE AND INTEGRATIVE NEGOTIATIONS 51
TABLE 1
PAYOFFS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FIVE-POINT AGENDA
Payoff to
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52 THE ANNALS OF THE AMERICAN ACADEMY
The roles of the United States and individual proposals. In all, the un-
China were played by college stu-known agenda consisted of 26 combi-
dents. They were given confidential nations, or package deals, that could
dossiers that contained a detailed de- be created from the five proposals.
Table 2 shows both the known and
scription of five proposals," their gov-
ernment's position on each proposal, unknown agendas.
and some arguments they could use The formal model constructed to
to defend their position. They wereinclude search behavior made the fol-
also informed about their own (but lowing assumptions:
not the opponent's) payoffs. Once they
became familiar with these docu- 1. Each negotiator starts by endors-
ments, actual negotiation started. that option that has the highest
ing
Each side was allowed to make short payoff for him. (This is the same as-
speeches specifying which proposal sumption as in the bargaining model.)
or combination of proposals it would 2. After having heard his oppo-
be willing to agree to "now." nent's first offer, he defines his new
If an agreement was reached level of aspiration. (This is deter-
within the allotted period of time (onemined by equation 1: what in the
and a half hours), each side receivedbargaining model was the negotia-
tor's new demand now becomes his
cash payment equal to the sum of its
own payoffs for the agreed-upon pro-new level of aspiration.)
posals. For example, if the two sides 3. He then selects and publicly en-
agreed on proposals 1 and 4 (nonin-dorses one of the options that lie
terference in internal affairs and pro-within the eligible set, that is, that
tection of human rights), the studenthave for him a payoff smaller than
representing China received $2.00 his last demand but larger than his
(12 - 10 = 2), and the student repre-current level of aspiration.12 (Within
senting the United States receivedthe eligible set, the probability that
$4.00 (-9 + 13 = 4). If no agreementan option will be chosen is inversely
was reached within the allotted time,related to its complexity,13 the sim-
each subject received no money. 12. For example, suppose that China at
It is not difficult to see that each some point endorsed proposal 5, thus demand-
ing the payoff of 20. Now suppose that, as a
subject was presented with both aresult of a U.S. counteroffer, China's level of
known and an unknown agenda. The aspiration D (computed from equation 1)
known agenda, given to him before dropped to 12. Then the eligible set would
include all proposals and package deals that
negotiations began, consisted of the
have, for China, payoffs between 12 and 20. As
five proposals shown in Table 1, with
Table 2 shows, these are the package deals
associated payoffs. The unknown {2,5), {3,5), {2,3,5), and {1,2,3,4,5).
agenda was discovered by him gradu- 13. It is assumed that the negotiator never
ally, as the negotiation progressedcomputes the payoffs from all package deals.
and as he computed the payoffs Instead,
asso- at any given time, he merely searches
ciated with different combinations ofin the vicinity of the package deal he just
endorsed. He accomplishes this by modifying
11. For example, proposal 1 states that that
nei- package deal, by either omitting from it
proposals with the lowest positive payoff or
ther nation will interfere in the internal affairs
of the other nation. adding proposals with the highest negative
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DISTRIBUTIVE AND INTEGRATIVE NEGOTIATIONS 53
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54 THE ANNALS OF THE AMERICAN ACADEMY
TABLE 2
Payoff to
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DISTRIBUTIVE AND INTEGRATIVE NEGOTIATIONS 55
Both models assume that each ne- ternatives, agreement becomes pos-
gotiator will always do what is ra- sible. Let us, then, examine carefully
tional. But concession making is notwhat some writers have claimed are the
(unconditionally) rational: if the ne-advantages of integrative negotiation.
gotiator cannot trust his opponent to
reciprocate, a concession will seem to
Merits of the integrative approach
be giving up something without gain-
ing anything--and he will refuse to Fisher and Ury claim that integra-
make concessions. To be plausible,tive negotiation, which they term
concession making must be made ra- "principled" negotiation, is superior
tional. The bargaining model accom- to distributive bargaining both cogni-
plishes this by assuming that conces-tively and emotionally: it "permits
you to reach a gradual consensus
sions will be reciprocated, namely, by
more efficiently ... [and it makes]
restricting k in equation 1 to positive
numbers. possible an amicable agreement.""
Matters are quite different when Let
it us evaluate this claim.
comes to searching. Searching for
Efficiency. To determine whether
new alternatives is (unconditionally)
integrative negotiation is more effi-
rational; that is, it is potentially prof-
cient than distributive negotiation, I
itable even if the opponent does not
asked a simple question: is it easier
join in. For example, if the negotiator
to reach an agreement when the ne-
discovers that none of the known op-
gotiators engage in search behavior
tions is by itself acceptable to both
than when they do not? To find an
sides (as is the case in Table 1), then
answer, I examined the problem of
he is motivated to search for new
Table 2 under two conditions. First,
alternatives, such as the package the model was run under the as-
deals listed in Table 2. This is ra-
sumptions that all 31 alternatives
tional, since he gains something were known. This meant that search
without having to give up anything. was not needed. Second, the model
Consequently, there is no reason to
was run under the assumption that
assume that one negotiator's search- the five proposals were known, but
ing encourages the other negotiator's the 26 package deals were unknown.
searching behavior, and no such as- This meant that search was needed.
sumption was made. All the simulation runs-with or
This fact puts the causes and con- without search--ended in the same
sequences of searching in a unique way, in an agreement on the package
light. Its main cause is self-interest; deal 12,3,4,5). That is to say, they all
its main consequence, facilitation of ended when both simulated negotia-
an agreement. But this facilitation tors endorsed this package deal, thus
stems from the structure of the situ-
in effect agreeing to eliminate barri-
ation, not from psychological or social ers to free trade (proposal 2), to im-
factors: if none of the known alterna-
17. Fisher and Ury, Getting to Yes, p. 14.
tives is mutually profitable, no agree-
While this claim is widely accepted as correct,
ment is, by definition, possible; if Fisher and Ury do not supply any empirical
search adds mutually profitable al- evidence to support it.
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56 THE ANNALS OF THE AMERICAN ACADEMY
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DISTRIBUTIVE AND INTEGRATIVE NEGOTIATIONS 57
FIGURE 1
HOMANS'S FRIENDSHIP PROCESS
Interaction
Similarity Liking
modified.
ity and friendship. If It should remain
they start as is,out
ex-
very dissimilar, cept that parametersinteractio
however, g and k should
starts a negative cycle:
no longer it It
be constant. leads to
should have
a built-in query:
increasing hostility and atdissimilar
time t, are the
ity. Negotiators negotiators who search interacting face
for to face?
new
alternatives share an interest in If they are, unfriendliness (g) is de-
creased
making agreement possible and are by some amount-say, from
in this sense similar. Therefore, .60 un-
to .50--and tendency to reciprocate
less their cultural differences are (k) is increased-say, from .20 to .25.
To see the consequences of this
very great, their interaction is likely
modification, let us consider the ne-
to start the beneficial cycle ofincreas-
ing similarity and friendship. gotiator's bottom line, the lowest de-
mand he will make. Equation 1 sug-
Returning to equation 1, we note
that two parameters are relevantgests
to that the lowest demand, D*,
the process of Figure 1. The first is when dD = 0 (there is no
occurs
change in the negotiator's demands)
the grievance-friendliness parame-
ter, g. As its name suggests, itand
ex-dO = 0 (there is no change in the
opponent's offers). Substituting these
presses how friendly the negotiators
values into equation 1 and solving,
are toward each other: ifg is positive,
we
the negotiator has a grievance against see that the lowest demand, D*, is
his opponent; if it is negative, he feels
D* = gla (3)
friendly toward him. The second pa-
rameter is the reciprocation parame- This equation provides
ter, k: the closer k is to 1, the more
formation about the co
equal will be the concessions ofjoint
the search: since it d
two negotiators. Thus parameter g
level of unfriendliness
the bottom line, D*, l
represents the level of unfriendliness;
coefficient k, the level of similarity.
22. It is perhaps clear from
This suggests how our modelifof parameter a remains cons
integrative negotiation ought to be
creases in size, D* must decr
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58 THE ANNALS OF THE AMERICAN ACADEMY
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DISTRIBUTIVE AND INTEGRATIVE NEGOTIATIONS 59
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60 THE ANNALS OF THE AMERICAN ACADEMY
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