Demand Forecasting Excel file by Fathi Matbaq

[email protected]

This file has been developed by using trend and seasonality models and multible lianer regression with
multible factors linked togother.
Database used for Covid-19 is dated in 08-Nov-2020 and I have forecasted the cases by using adavnced
forecasting models.
Cunsomer trends are mainly from North America and rest of thw world based on data availability.

Please follow the steps to see how to use the file!

Select
Sales
Data
Dump

Paste the sales

data in the
columns shown
and make sure to
fill the months
from Aug-2020 to
Jan-2015 or from
Month68 and
backwards .

Then go to sheet
Sales Prices
make sure to
paste the prices
along with the
item code fo rthe
months from 45
to 68.

Then Go to Data
Pivot and Refresh
the pivot table
You may chose the forecast level by Sales Channe
location or Category or the Whole company for 1
Don't select more than 1 SKU

You need to select the categ

Trend and economic impact

You can select the

Factors considered
in the forecasting
or ignoring them.
Noe: the system
designed in a way
to ignor irregular
factors
Noe: the system
designed in a way
to ignor irregular
factors

Fath
Email: fath
lianer regression with

es by using adavnced

data availability.
 Sales Channel or
ompany for 1 SKU.

You are able to

choose your
country or
country which
you are selling
to to see
COVID-19
impact
ou need to select the category to see the Consumer
rend and economic impact on your SKU
 Fathi Salem Matbaq
Email: [email protected]
You are able to
choose your
country or
country which
you are selling
to to see
COVID-19
impact
Item Code / SKU# / Article # / Model # / SKU # 7779
Category - all -
Location - all -
Channel - all -

Data
Discrebtion Sum - Jan-2015 Sum - Feb-2015 Sum - Mar-2015
Food-7779 3215 327 784
Total Result 3215 327 784

Months Sales QTY Forecasting Model Forecasting Model4

Jan-2015 3215 3215.00 259.77
Feb-2015 327.47 327.47 262.93
Mar-2015 783.64 369.78 266.09
Apr-2015 523.38 817.92 269.24
May-2015 -24.6675 559.38 272.40
Jun-2015 544.83 12.02 275.56
Jul-2015 71.5 578.83 278.72
Aug-2015 77.935 108.01 281.88
Sep-2015 288.86 113.29 285.03
Oct-2015 346.06 323.72 288.19
Nov-2015 330.33 381.29 291.35
Dec-2015 125.84 365.74 294.51
Jan-2016 166.595 3242.95 297.67
Feb-2016 225.94 362.45 300.82
Mar-2016 25.74 817.67 303.98
Apr-2016 348.92 557.56 307.14
May-2016 168.025 11.60 310.30
Jun-2016 195.91 579.30 313.46
Jul-2016 333.19 107.17 316.62
Aug-2016 200.2 113.92 319.77
Sep-2016 99.385 324.02 322.93
Oct-2016 111.54 380.84 326.09
Nov-2016 331.76 365.18 329.25
Dec-2016 458.315 161.71 332.41
Jan-2017 301.015 209.29 335.56
Feb-2017 517.66 261.56 338.72
Mar-2017 201.63 62.93 341.88
Apr-2017 90.805 384.71 345.04
May-2017 283.80495 202.93 348.20
Jun-2017 203.06 232.12 351.36
Jul-2017 280.28 367.93 354.51
Aug-2017 346.06 235.28 357.67
Sep-2017 248.82 135.21 360.83
Oct-2017 53.625 147.47 363.99
Nov-2017 146.575 367.13 367.15
Dec-2017 315.315 492.89 370.30
Jan-2018 363.5775 336.06 373.46
Feb-2018 343.2 552.33 376.62
Mar-2018 475.475 236.58 379.78
Apr-2018 122.98 126.80 382.94
May-2018 374.66 318.90 386.09
Jun-2018 358.93 238.41 389.25
Jul-2018 361.075 315.78 392.41
Aug-2018 342.485 381.08 386.86
Sep-2018 386.815 283.83 387.62
Oct-2018 413.6275 89.14 388.39
Nov-2018 272.415 182.39 389.15
Dec-2018 546.975 351.03 389.92
Jan-2019 432.575 398.80 390.69
Feb-2019 176.605 378.99 391.45
Mar-2019 180.18 510.19 392.22
Apr-2019 516.23 158.27 392.98
May-2019 414.7 409.81 393.75
Jun-2019 230.23 393.93 394.51
Jul-2019 414.7 396.25 395.28
Aug-2019 547.69 377.86 396.04
Sep-2019 297.44 421.85 396.81
Oct-2019 509.08 448.13 397.57
Nov-2019 264.55 307.48 398.34
Dec-2019 519.805 581.79 399.10
Jan-2020 243.1 467.78 399.87
Feb-2020 360.36 212.38 400.63
Mar-2020 594.88 216.26 401.40
Apr-2020 549.835 550.66 402.16
May-2020 252.395 449.97 402.93
Jun-2020 842.27 265.91 403.69
Jul-2020 407.55 449.94 404.46
Aug-2020 278.135 582.57 405.22
Sep-2020 0 333.03 405.99
Oct-2020 0 544.22 406.75
Nov-2020 0 299.94 407.52
Dec-2020 0 555.24 408.28
Jan-2021 0 278.93 409.05
Feb-2021 0 395.29 409.81
Mar-2021 0 629.25 410.58
Apr-2021 0 585.13 411.34
May-2021 0 288.16 412.11
Jun-2021 0 876.17 412.87
Jul-2021 0 442.94 413.64
Aug-2021 0 314.15 414.40
Sep-2021 0 299.71 415.17
Oct-2021 0 322.69 415.93
Nov-2021 0 304.49 416.70
Dec-2021 0 428.93 417.46

Growth 2020
Gowth 2019
Gowth 2018
Gowth 2017
Gowth 2016
Sum - Apr-2015 Sum - May-2015 Sum - Jun-2015 Sum - Jul-2015 Sum - Aug-2015 Sum - Sep-2015
523 -25 545 72 78 289
523 -25 545 72 78 289

Forecasting Model Forecasting Model6Forecasting ModelForecasting ModeForecasting Model9Forecasting Model

228.25 753.98309768605 572.00 393.86 364.11 408.99
250.46 749.871748703357 554.53 392.93 395.56 422.41
217.34 745.760399720665 598.05 392.00 339.85 425.59
287.69 741.649050737972 593.40 391.07 445.41 421.27
187.05 737.537701755279 456.64 390.13 286.76 323.41
314.37 733.426352772587 673.07 389.20 477.25 475.56
243.21 729.315003789894 594.97 388.27 365.63 389.27
233.05 725.203654807201 509.75 387.34 346.97 373.98
212.31 721.092305824509 364.04 386.41 313.05 306.35
228.71 716.980956841816 274.01 385.47 334.00 338.48
221.61 712.869607859123 425.50 384.54 320.56 290.07
313.45 708.758258876431 281.63 383.61 449.10 463.25
249.26 704.646909893738 227.33 382.68 353.76 397.37
273.34 700.535560911045 225.39 381.74 384.29 410.38
237.04 696.424211928352 218.78 380.81 330.15 413.44
313.56 692.31286294566 240.19 379.88 432.66 409.22
203.75 688.201513962967 180.53 378.95 278.53 314.13
342.23 684.090164980274 202.32 378.01 463.53 461.88
264.61 679.978815997582 196.86 377.08 355.10 378.05
253.40 675.867467014889 204.04 376.15 336.95 363.18
230.71 671.756118032196 179.54 375.22 303.98 297.48
248.39 667.644769049504 188.41 374.28 324.31 328.66
240.55 663.533420066811 167.75 373.35 311.24 281.63
340.05 659.422071084118 217.63 372.42 436.00 449.74
270.26 655.310722101426 246.38 371.49 343.42 385.75
296.21 651.199373118733 260.04 370.56 373.03 398.35
256.74 647.08802413604 254.77 369.62 320.45 401.30
339.44 642.976675153348 320.80 368.69 419.92 397.17
220.45 638.865326170655 288.67 367.76 270.31 304.86
370.09 634.753977187962 334.47 366.83 449.81 448.21
286.00 630.64262820527 284.27 365.89 344.56 366.83
273.76 626.531279222577 271.07 364.96 326.93 352.38
249.12 622.419930239884 219.87 364.03 294.92 288.61
268.08 618.308581257191 212.23 363.10 314.61 318.83
259.49 614.197232274499 192.99 362.16 301.91 273.19
366.65 610.085883291806 231.58 361.23 422.91 436.23
291.27 605.974534309113 237.04 360.30 333.08 374.14
319.08 601.863185326421 253.27 359.37 361.77 386.32
276.44 597.751836343728 261.03 358.43 310.75 389.15
365.32 593.640487361035 282.26 357.50 407.18 385.12
237.15 589.529138378343 261.41 356.57 262.09 295.59
397.95 585.41778939565 348.35 355.64 436.09 434.54
307.40 581.306440412957 343.75 354.71 334.02 355.61
294.11 577.195091430264 334.11 353.77 316.91 341.57
267.53 573.083742447572 295.03 352.84 285.86 279.74
287.76 568.972393464879 288.97 351.91 304.92 309.01
278.43 564.861044482186 284.37 350.98 292.58 264.75
393.24 560.749695499494 371.62 350.04 409.81 422.72
312.27 556.638346516801 389.91 349.11 322.74 362.52
341.95 552.526997534108 386.23 348.18 350.51 374.30
296.13 548.415648551416 347.74 347.25 301.05 377.00
391.19 544.304299568723 380.81 346.31 394.43 373.06
253.85 540.19295058603 328.48 345.38 253.86 286.31
425.81 536.081601603338 399.60 344.45 422.37 420.87
328.79 531.970252620645 358.92 343.52 323.49 344.40
314.46 527.858903637952 330.17 342.59 306.89 330.77
285.93 523.74755465526 310.85 341.65 276.79 270.87
307.45 519.636205672567 338.47 340.72 295.23 299.18
297.37 515.524856689874 317.47 339.79 283.26 256.31
419.84 511.413507707182 400.36 338.86 396.71 409.21
333.27 507.302158724489 395.62 337.92 312.39 350.90
364.82 503.190809741796 398.01 336.99 339.24 362.27
315.83 499.079460759103 349.44 336.06 291.35 364.86
417.07 494.968111776411 395.52 335.13 381.69 361.01
270.55 490.856762793718 310.46 334.19 245.64 277.04
453.67 486.745413811025 376.94 333.26 408.65 407.20
350.19 482.634064828333 340.84 332.33 312.95 333.18
334.81 478.52271584564 307.55 331.40 296.86 319.97
304 474.411366862947 278.64 330.46 267.73 262.00
327 470.300017880255 309.94 329.53 285.53 289.36
316 466.188668897562 282.07 328.60 273.93 247.87
446 462.077319914869 366.20 327.67 383.61 395.70
353 457.965970932177 360.82 327.67 302.91 340.25
384 453.854621949484 353.83 327.67 329.86 352.25
331 449.743272966791 345.76 327.67 284.08 355.75
434 445.631923984099 397.81 327.67 373.20 352.98
280 441.520575001406 341.55 327.67 240.84 271.63
468 437.409226018713 400.68 327.67 401.79 400.37
359 433.297877036021 379.26 327.67 308.56 328.51
342 429.186528053328 360.02 327.67 293.52 316.37
309 425.075179070635 303.65 327.67 265.46 259.78
330 420.963830087942 308.23 327.67 283.92 287.72
318 416.85248110525 277.47 327.67 273.15 247.17
446 412.741132122557 358.39 327.67 383.61 395.70

21%
3%
46%
12%
-60%
5%
Sum - Oct-2015 Sum - Nov-2015 Sum - Dec-2015 Sum - Jan-2016 Sum - Feb-2016 Sum - Mar-2016
346 330 126 167 226 26
346 330 126 167 226 26

Forecasting ModelForecasting Model1Forecasting Model Forecasting ModelForecasting Model SS

- - - 363.59
- - - 370.63
- - - 380.41
804.90 10,226.80 (98.97) 372.71
2,223.45 1,250.74 (6,061.53) 314.13
1,784.01 1,452.15 (1,961.64) 413.36
178.87 4,575.52 (719.02) 361.28
890.73 276.08 27.09 353.30
422.91 433.47 (912.89) 301.58
(1,156.04) 798.62 (36.82) 322.04
(984.00) 316.15 210.27 266.91
(777.87) 123.82 517.40 414.60
(1,103.52) 838.19 479.13 369.26
114.49 326.59 321.40 376.85
87.97 44.35 100.62 370.99
260.78 386.71 125.06 386.25
254.03 244.48 260.69 291.48
244.51 186.22 26.89 419.12
244.12 449.66 1,048.46 359.22
309.49 194.99 401.56 341.55
282.40 179.37 340.88 273.36
203.86 358.11 333.32 309.08
391.73 171.50 240.61 268.54
331.51 297.21 133.02 423.73
321.32 277.29 289.68 366.62
359.03 371.17 807.46 375.46
307.46 400.39 965.04 383.77
201.71 322.65 332.99 371.30
241.06 256.92 322.75 297.02
174.64 242.66 209.18 443.89
206.87 698.10 93.38 363.98
224.97 370.79 467.09 350.35
276.68 246.33 308.22 278.81
190.19 251.96 386.13 316.03
155.23 134.83 230.43 258.29
1,563.33 216.80 215.98 419.95
1,531.98 499.35 52.97 366.78
280.16 275.14 399.48 363.53
329.14 365.98 823.05 384.44
346.06 323.29 792.45 373.10
352.21 339.30 368.87 292.82
348.80 362.68 515.85 441.75
366.29 824.39 158.32 368.69
377.01 309.01 667.62 337.83
371.87 338.86 500.72 278.55
414.46 324.51 434.96 319.95
357.94 259.17 400.43 282.91
388.15 441.85 448.52 410.34
430.31 409.91 498.64 364.69
413.08 297.08 304.57 372.02
279.32 277.26 457.38 388.88
298.99 418.28 351.51 368.25
353.60 240.54 164.05 308.67
353.37 277.40 243.83 430.81
329.54 515.07 686.90 359.61
374.43 351.21 486.20 345.97
410.35 297.26 281.83 297 297.66
414.45 503.68 513.98 430 316.18
432.33 328.37 676.87 432 288.29
415.32 306.37 300.42 434 414.69
426.96 549.25 626.82 436 360.54
356.04 376.15 265.91 438 382.81
387.07 435.95 597.79 440 377.44
465.20 767.88 278.75 442 408.57
484.32 392.32 527.52 444 337.81
585.41 574.54 734.57 445 451.05
557.81 527.82 708.81 447 381.88
513.24 341.64 283.88 449 359.18
391.37 415.74 883.02 451 320.65
320.92 432.18 280.87 453 323.26
275.31 277.61 229.73 455 264.70
291.70 428.91 230.82 457 490.61
931.81 421.10 355.08 459 414.17
391.87 318.17 422.15 461 438.75
386.28 379.37 574.96 463 449.85
391.41 588.62 954.30 465 451.30
381.86 278.07 247.05 467 332.93
349.45 399.50 364.08 469 536.18
339.51 461.22 334.65 471 427.64
314.15 262.42 234.13 473 412.96
292.16 298.50 410.56 475 330.92
286.46 355.59 288.73 477 379.21
268.62 266.97 270.82 479 319.62
266.86 296.27 243.38 481 569.55
Sum - Apr-2016 Sum - May-2016 Sum - Jun-2016 Sum - Jul-2016 Sum - Aug-2016 Sum - Sep-2016
349 168 196 333 200 99
349 168 196 333 200 99
69% 0% 0% 0%
Forecasting Model 0.6903975031173 Forecasting Model Forecasting ModeForecasting Model4Forecasting Model
Jan-2015 100% NA NA
Feb-2015 100% 75% 69%
Mar-2015 NA NA NA
Apr-2015 64% 6% 18%
May-2015 NA NA NA
Jun-2015 NA 2% 27%
Jul-2015 12% 26% 29%
Aug-2015 72% 28% 33%
Sep-2015 NA 99% 64%
Oct-2015 93% 80% 49%
Nov-2015 87% 87% 51%
Dec-2015 34% 43% 40%
Jan-2016 5% 56% 67%
Feb-2016 62% 75% 83%
Mar-2016 3% 8% 11%
Apr-2016 63% 86% 89%
May-2016 NA 54% 82%
Jun-2016 34% 62% 57%
Jul-2016 NA 95% 74%
Aug-2016 24% 63% 79%
Sep-2016 31% 31% 43%
Oct-2016 29% 34% 45%
Nov-2016 91% 99% 62%
Dec-2016 NA 62% 65%
Jan-2017 56% 90% 89%
Feb-2017 2% 47% 25%
Mar-2017 NA 59% 79%
Apr-2017 24% 26% 27%
May-2017 60% 82% 71%
Jun-2017 87% 58% 55%
Jul-2017 76% 79% 98%
Aug-2017 53% 97% 74%
Sep-2017 16% 69% 100%
Oct-2017 36% 15% 20%
Nov-2017 40% 40% 56%
Dec-2017 64% 85% 86%
 Jan-2018 92% 97% 75%
Feb-2018 62% 91% 92%
Mar-2018 NA 75% 28%
Apr-2018 97% 32% 34%
May-2018 83% 97% 42%
Jun-2018 49% 92% 90%
Jul-2018 86% 92% 83%
Aug-2018 90% 89% 84%
Sep-2018 64% 100% 55%
Oct-2018 NA 94% 56%
Nov-2018 51% 70% 98%
Dec-2018 44% 60% 61%
Jan-2019 92% 89% 61%
Feb-2019 47% 45% 52%
Mar-2019 35% 46% 61%
Apr-2019 NA 69% 68%
May-2019 99% 95% 37%
Jun-2019 58% 58% 54%
Jul-2019 95% 95% 74%
Aug-2019 55% 62% 26%
Sep-2019 71% 75% 96%
Oct-2019 86% 72% 34%
Nov-2019 86% 66% 89%
Dec-2019 89% 70% 76%
Jan-2020 52% 61% 73%
Feb-2020 30% 90% 99%
Mar-2020 NA 52% 12%
Apr-2020 100% 63% 68%
May-2020 56% 63% 93%
Jun-2020 NA NA 14%
Jul-2020 91% 99% 84%
Aug-2020 48% 69% 83%
Forecasting Model 321
Forecasting Model 323
Forecasting Model 265
Forecasting Model 491
Forecasting Model 414
Forecasting Model 439
Forecasting Model 450
Forecasting Model 451
Forecasting Model 333
Forecasting Model 536
Forecasting Model 428
Forecasting Model 413
Forecasting Model 331
Forecasting Model 379
Forecasting Model 320
Forecasting Model 570
Sum - Oct-2016 Sum - Nov-2016 Sum - Dec-2016 Sum - Jan-2017 Sum - Feb-2017 Sum - Mar-2017
112 332 458 301 518 202
112 332 458 301 518 202
0% 0% 0% 68% 69% 0%
Forecasting ModelForecasting Model7Forecasting Model Forecasting ModelForecasting Model Forecasting Model1
NA NA NA NA NA 0%
44% 59% 83% 83% 78% 0%
95% 69% 0% NA 16% 0%
71% 88% 66% 82% 76% 65%
NA NA NA NA NA NA
74% 81% 60% 86% 85% 31%
10% 12% 18% 20% 18% 40%
11% 15% 20% 22% 21% 9%
40% 79% 75% 92% 94% 68%
48% 74% 90% 96% 98% NA
46% 78% 86% 97% 86% NA
18% 45% 33% 28% 27% NA
24% 73% 44% 47% 42% NA
32% 100% 59% 59% 55% 3%
4% 12% 7% 8% 6% 29%
50% 55% 92% 81% 85% 66%
24% 93% 44% 60% 53% 66%
29% 97% 52% 42% 42% 80%
49% 31% 88% 94% 88% 64%
30% 98% 53% 59% 55% 65%
15% 55% 26% 33% 33% 35%
17% 59% 30% 34% 34% 55%
50% 2% 89% 93% 82% 85%
70% NA 77% 95% 98% 62%
46% 78% 81% 88% 78% 94%
79% 1% 60% 61% 70% 56%
31% 79% 55% 63% 50% 66%
14% 28% 25% 22% 23% 45%
44% 98% 77% 95% 93% 82%
32% 61% 55% 45% 45% 84%
44% 99% 77% 81% 76% 65%
55% 72% 95% 94% 98% 46%
40% 87% 68% 84% 86% 90%
9% 25% 15% 17% 17% 28%
24% 76% 40% 49% 54% 94%
52% 64% 87% 75% 72% 20%
60% 47% 99% 91% 97% 24%
57% 64% 96% 95% 89% 77%
80% 18% 67% 47% 78% 56%
21% 44% 34% 30% 32% 36%
64% 57% 95% 57% 73% 94%
61% 97% 99% 82% 83% 97%
62% 95% 98% 92% 98% 99%
59% 97% 97% 92% 100% 91%
67% 69% 90% 65% 62% 96%
73% 57% 82% 64% 66% 100%
48% 96% 78% 93% 97% 76%
98% 53% 44% 67% 71% 59%
78% 89% 76% 66% 81% 99%
32% 46% 51% 50% 47% 43%
33% 52% 52% 60% 48% 65%
95% 64% 51% 69% 62% 27%
77% 74% 80% 37% 55% 83%
43% 58% 67% 55% 55% 65%
78% 84% 79% 72% 80% 74%
96% 34% 40% 22% 34% 54%
57% 96% 87% 93% 90% 72%
98% 50% 51% 28% 30% 77%
51% 83% 78% 93% 97% 61%
98% 70% 47% 69% 73% 75%
48% 61% 72% 78% 69% 57%
72% 91% 93% 94% 99% 99%
81% 30% 23% NA 37% 46%
89% 61% 36% 56% 48% 82%
51% 81% 76% 97% 91% 52%
27% NA NA NA NA 56%
84% 80% 77% 70% 78% 73%
58% 90% 84% 94% 87% 54%
Sum - Apr-2017 Sum - May-2017 Sum - Jun-2017 Sum - Jul-2017 Sum - Aug-2017 Sum - Sep-2017
91 284 203 280 346 249
91 284 203 280 346 249
0% 0% 69% 69%
Forecasting Model Forecasting Model13 Forecasting ModelForecasting Model1Forecasting Model14
0% 0% NA 0%
0% 0% 88% 0%
0% 0% NA 0%
5% NA 60% 0%
NA NA NA 0%
38% NA 68% 0%
2% NA 20% 0%
28% NA 22% 0%
67% NA 96% 0%
43% NA 93% 0%
96% 43% 76% 0%
98% 24% 30% 0%
20% 35% 45% 0%
69% 70% 60% 0%
58% 26% 7% 0%
90% NA 90% 0%
69% 64% 58% 0%
95% NA 47% 0%
74% 32% 93% 0%
97% 50% 59% 0%
55% 29% 36% 0%
31% 33% 36% 0%
7% 62% 76% 0%
46% NA 92% 0%
91% 96% 82% 0%
61% 64% 62% 0%
50% 21% 53% 0%
28% 27% 24% 0%
90% 88% 96% 0%
84% 97% 46% 0%
40% NA 77% 0%
93% 74% 99% 0%
99% 81% 89% 0%
21% 14% 17% 0%
91% 64% 57% 0%
55% 54% 75% 0%
 73% NA 99% 0%
75% 86% 94% 0%
70% 58% 76% 0%
38% 16% 33% 0%
90% 98% 72% 0%
99% 70% 81% 0%
44% NA 98% 0%
89% 51% 99% 0%
86% 77% 61% 0%
73% 95% 71% 0%
95% 68% 96% 0%
76% 78% 67% 0%
94% 87% 81% 0%
59% 58% 47% 0%
65% 39% 46% 0%
77% 53% 60% 0%
28% NA 66% 0%
83% 94% 53% 0%
81% 60% 85% 0%
44% 87% 42% 0%
100% 94% 100% 100%
99% 99% 39% 82%
81% 39% 92% 61%
30% 27% 75% 80%
44% 39% 67% 56%
96% 64% 94% 82%
64% 100% 42% 65%
72% 3% 65% 76%
64% 48% 75% 57%
53% 85% 13% 11%
77% 57% 93% 91%
81% 98% 77% 62%
 Sum - Oct-2017 Sum - Nov-2017 Sum - Dec-2017 Sum - Jan-2018 Sum - Feb-2018 Sum - Mar-2018
54 147 315 364 343 475
54 147 315 364 343 475

sting Model14
Sum - Apr-2018 Sum - May-2018 Sum - Jun-2018 Sum - Jul-2018 Sum - Aug-2018 Sum - Sep-2018
123 375 359 361 342 387
123 375 359 361 342 387
Sum - Oct-2018 Sum - Nov-2018 Sum - Dec-2018 Sum - Jan-2019 Sum - Feb-2019 Sum - Mar-2019
414 272 547 433 177 180
414 272 547 433 177 180
Sum - Apr-2019 Sum - May-2019 Sum - Jun-2019 Sum - Jul-2019 Sum - Aug-2019 Sum - Sep-2019
516 415 230 415 548 297
516 415 230 415 548 297
Sum - Oct-2019 Sum - Nov-2019 Sum - Dec-2019 Sum - Jan-2020 Sum - Feb-2020 Sum - Mar-2020
509 265 520 243 360 595
509 265 520 243 360 595
Sum - Apr-2020 Sum - May-2020 Sum - Jun-2020 Sum - Jul-2020 Sum - Aug-2020 Sum - Sep-2020
550 252 842 408 278
550 252 842 408 278
Sum - Oct-2020 Sum - Nov-2020 Sum - Dec-2020
Jan-2015 Feb-2015 Mar-2015 Apr-2015 May-2015 Jun-2015 Jul-2015 Aug-2015
3215 Sum - Feb-Sum - Mar Sum - Apr-Sum - MaySum - Jun- Sum - Jul- Sum - Aug-
=DZ9 =EA9 =EB9 =EC9 =ED9 =EE9 =EF9 =EG9
Sep-2015 Oct-2015 Nov-2015 Dec-2015 Jan-2016 Feb-2016 Mar-2016 Apr-2016 May-2016 Jun-2016
Sum - Sep-Sum - Oct- Sum - Nov-Sum - Dec-Sum - Jan- Sum - Feb-Sum - Mar Sum - Apr-Sum - MaySum - Jun-
=EH9 =EI9 =EJ9 =EK9 =EL9 =EM9 =EN9 =EO9 =EP9 =EQ9
Jul-2016 Aug-2016 Sep-2016 Oct-2016 Nov-2016 Dec-2016 Jan-2017 Feb-2017 Mar-2017 Apr-2017
Sum - Jul- Sum - Aug-Sum - Sep-Sum - Oct-Sum - Nov-Sum - Dec-Sum - Jan- Sum - Feb-Sum - Mar Sum - Apr-
=ER9 =ES9 =ET9 =EU9 =EV9 =EW9 =EX9 =EY9 =EZ9 =FA9
May-2017 Jun-2017 Jul-2017 Aug-2017 Sep-2017 Oct-2017 Nov-2017 Dec-2017 Jan-2018 Feb-2018
Sum - MaySum - Jun- Sum - Jul- Sum - Aug-Sum - Sep-Sum - Oct- Sum - Nov-Sum - Dec-Sum - Jan- Sum - Feb-
=FB9 =FC9 =FD9 =FE9 =FF9 =FG9 =FH9 =FI9 =FJ9 =FK9
Mar-2018 Apr-2018 May-2018 Jun-2018 Jul-2018 Aug-2018 Sep-2018 Oct-2018 Nov-2018 Dec-2018
Sum - Mar Sum - Apr-Sum - MaySum - Jun- Sum - Jul- Sum - Aug-Sum - Sep-Sum - Oct- Sum - Nov-Sum - Dec-
=FL9 =FM9 =FN9 =FO9 =FP9 =FQ9 =FR9 =FS9 =FT9 =FU9
Jan-2019 Feb-2019 Mar-2019 Apr-2019 May-2019 Jun-2019 Jul-2019 Aug-2019 Sep-2019 Oct-2019
Sum - Jan- Sum - Feb-Sum - Mar Sum - Apr-Sum - MaySum - Jun- Sum - Jul- Sum - Aug-Sum - Sep-Sum - Oct-
=FV9 =FW9 =FX9 =FY9 =FZ9 =GA9 =GB9 =GC9 =GD9 =GE9
Nov-2019 Dec-2019 Jan-2020 Feb-2020 Mar-2020 Apr-2020 May-2020 Jun-2020 Jul-2020 Aug-2020
Sum - Nov-Sum - Dec-Sum - Jan- Sum - Feb-Sum - Mar Sum - Apr-Sum - MaySum - Jun- Sum - Jul- Sum - Aug-
=GF9 =GG9 =GH9 =GI9 =GJ9 =GK9 =GL9 =GM9 =GN9 =GO9
Sep-2020 Oct-2020 Nov-2020 Dec-2020 Jan-2021 Feb-2021 Mar-2021 Apr-2021 May-2021 Jun-2021
Sum - Sep-Sum - Oct- Sum - Nov-Sum - Dec- 0 0 0 0 0 0
=GP9 =GQ9 =GR9 =GS9 =GT9 =GU9 =GV9 =GW9 =GX9 =GY9
Jul-2021 Aug-2021 Sep-2021 Oct-2021 Nov-2021 Dec-2021
0 0 0 0 0 0
=GZ9 =HA9 =HB9 =HC9 =HD9 =HE9
 This shape represents a slicer. This shape represents a This shape represents a slicer. This shape represents a
Slicers are supported in Excel slicer. Slicers are supported Slicers are supported in Excel slicer. Slicers are suppo
2010 or later. in Excel 2010 or later. 2010 or later. in Excel 2010 or later.

If the shape was modified in If the shape was modified in If the shape was modified in If the shape was modifi
an earlier version of Excel, or an earlier version of Excel, an earlier version of Excel, or an earlier version of Ex
if the workbook was saved in or if the workbook was if the workbook was saved in or if the workbook was
Excel 2003 or earlier, the saved in Excel 2003 or Excel 2003 or earlier, the saved in Excel 2003 or
slicer cannot be used. earlier, the slicer cannot be slicer cannot be used. earlier, the slicer canno
used. used.
Category --> Fresh and frozen chicken parts
Relationship %
27% S
Category Factor Y/N
Yes 600
Consumer Trend Y/N
Yes
500
COVID-19 Y/N
Yes
Price Factor Y/N 400
Sep-2020 Oct-2020 Nov-2020 Dec-2020 Jan-2021 Feb-2021
Yes 321 323 265 491 414 439
Quantity

Best Forecasting Model

300
Forecasting Model SS
Accuracy
69% 200
7779
1
100
Forecasting Model SS

0
Sep-2020 Oct-2020 Nov-2020 Dec-2020 Jan-2021 Feb-2021 Mar-2021
 This shape represents a Year Sales
2016 Growth
2017 2018 2019 2020
slicer. Slicers are supported Growth% -60% 12% 46% 3% 21%
in Excel 2010 or later. Average 5% 46% 5% 5% 5% 5%
21%
12%
If the shape was modified in 5% 5% 5% 5%
3% 5%
an earlier version of Excel, 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
or if the workbook was
saved in Excel 2003 or -60%
earlier, the slicer cannot be
used. Growth% Average

Sales Forecast

Mar-2021 Apr-2021 May-2021 Jun-2021 Jul-2021 Aug-2021 Sep-2021 Oct-2021 Nov-2021 Dec-2021
450 451 333 536 428 413 331 379 320 570

1 Feb-2021 Mar-2021 Apr-2021 May-2021 Jun-2021 Jul-2021 Aug-2021 Sep-2021 Oct-2021 Nov-2021 Dec-20
 This shape represents a slicer. Yes
Slicers are supported in Excel No
2010 or later.

21% If the shape was modified in an

5% earlier version of Excel, or if the
2020 workbook was saved in Excel
2003 or earlier, the slicer cannot
be used.

Oct-2021 Nov-2021 Dec-2021

 Sep-18 Oct-18 Nov-18 Dec-18 Jan-19 Feb-19 Mar-19 Apr-19 May-19
Item Month 45 Month 46 Month 47 Month 48 Month 49 Month 50 Month 51 Month 52 Month 53
WH-002 29.49 29.49 29.49 29.49 29.49 29.49 29.49 29.49 29.49
7779 40 40 40 40.5 40.5 40.5 40.5 40.5 40.5
 Jun-19 Jul-19 Aug-19 Sep-19 Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20
Month 54 Month 55 Month 56 Month 57 Month 58 Month 59 Month 60 Month 61 Month 62 Month 63
29.49 29.49 29.49 29.49 29.49 29.49 29.49 29.49 29.49 29.49
40.5 40.5 40.5 42 42 42 42 42 42 42
 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20
Month 64 Month 65 Month 66 Month 67 Month 68
29.49 29.49 29.49 29.49 29.49
42 42 43.5 43.5 43.5
Start Year 2015
Item Code / SKU# / Article # / Model # / SKU # Discrebtion Category
7779 Food-7779 Food
WH-002 Building Mat
 Month 1 Month 2 Month 3 Month 4 Month 5 Month 6 Month 7
Location Channel Jan-2015 Feb-2015 Mar-2015 Apr-2015 May-2015 Jun-2015 Jul-2015
USA Lower Trade 3215 327 784 523 -25 545 72
WH San FrancisAll
Month 8 Month 9 Month 10 Month 11 Month 12 Month 13 Month 14 Month 15 Month 16
Aug-2015 Sep-2015 Oct-2015 Nov-2015 Dec-2015 Jan-2016 Feb-2016 Mar-2016 Apr-2016
78 289 346 330 126 167 226 26 349
Month 17 Month 18 Month 19 Month 20 Month 21 Month 22 Month 23 Month 24 Month 25 Month 26
May-2016 Jun-2016 Jul-2016 Aug-2016 Sep-2016 Oct-2016 Nov-2016 Dec-2016 Jan-2017 Feb-2017
168 196 333 200 99 112 332 458 301 518
Month 27 Month 28 Month 29 Month 30 Month 31 Month 32 Month 33 Month 34 Month 35 Month 36
Mar-2017 Apr-2017 May-2017 Jun-2017 Jul-2017 Aug-2017 Sep-2017 Oct-2017 Nov-2017 Dec-2017
202 91 284 203 280 346 249 54 147 315
Month 37 Month 38 Month 39 Month 40 Month 41 Month 42 Month 43 Month 44 Month 45 Month 46
Jan-2018 Feb-2018 Mar-2018 Apr-2018 May-2018 Jun-2018 Jul-2018 Aug-2018 Sep-2018 Oct-2018
364 343 475 123 375 359 361 342 387 414
4216 4200 7192 4800 2976 6600 1798 2790
Month 47 Month 48 Month 49 Month 50 Month 51 Month 52 Month 53 Month 54 Month 55 Month 56
Nov-2018 Dec-2018 Jan-2019 Feb-2019 Mar-2019 Apr-2019 May-2019 Jun-2019 Jul-2019 Aug-2019
272 547 433 177 180 516 415 230 415 548
5220 3596 600 5084 3596 4816 5332 5400 4774 2400
Month 57 Month 58 Month 59 Month 60 Month 61 Month 62 Month 63 Month 64 Month 65 Month 66
Sep-2019 Oct-2019 Nov-2019 Dec-2019 Jan-2020 Feb-2020 Mar-2020 Apr-2020 May-2020 Jun-2020
297 509 265 520 243 360 595 550 252 842
3596 6572 4620 5890 4680 6386
Month 67 Month 68 Forecast 1 Forecast 2 Forecast 3 Forecast 4 Forecast 5 Forecast 6 Forecast 7
Jul-2020 Aug-2020 Sep-2020 Oct-2020 Nov-2020 Dec-2020 Jan-2021 Feb-2021 Mar-2021
408 278
Forecast 8 Forecast 9 Forecast 10 Forecast 11 Forecast 12 Forecast 13 Forecast 14 Forecast 15
Apr-2021 May-2021 Jun-2021 Jul-2021 Aug-2021 Sep-2021 Oct-2021 Nov-2021
Forecast 16
Dec-2021