New 1
New 1
Cost Index
2007 525.40 400.00
2008 570.00
2009 300.00
521.90
2010 550.80 200.00
2011 585.70 100.00
2012 584.60
0.00
2013 617.6 1995 2000
2014 635.9
2015 654.3
2016 672.6
2017 691.0
2018 709.4
2019 727.7
2020 746.1
Year CEPCI
1995 381.1 Chemical Engineering Plant Cost Index
1996 381.7 600
1997 386.5
550
1998 389.5
1999 390.6 500
Cost Index
2000 394.1
2001 394.3 450
300
200
600
500
400
Cost Index
2014 576.1
2015 556.8 300
2016 541.7
200
2017 620.365
2018 633.21 100
2019 646.055
0
2020 658.9
1995 200
800.00
500.00
Cost Index
400.00
300.00
200.00
100.00
0.00
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
Year
700
f(x) = 12.8378311688314 x − 25273.4582683988
600 R² = 0.872990661506468
500
400
Cost Index
300
200
f(x) = 12.8378311688314 x − 25273.4582683988
600 R² = 0.872990661506468
500
400
Cost Index
300
200
100
0
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
Year
HEAT EXCHANGER
BOILER
Code Q (kW) Q (Btu/hr) CP
12 B-301 81,400 277,748,359 917,296.00
STEAM TURBINE
DISTILLATION
ID (m) ID (ft) L (m)
CP Price (USD)
530,439.16 530,400.00
CPL CP CP (Rp)
DEAERATOR
Udah Code Type
DA-100 Spherical
BELT CONVEYOR
Udah Code Type
BC-101 Belt
Shredder UNIT
Udah Code Type
S-101 Cone Crusher
CLARIFIER
Udah Code Type
CL-100 clarifier, steel
RESERVE OSMOSIS
udah Code Type
RO-100 Reserve Osmosis Seawater
BUCKET ELEVATOR
udah Code Type
BE-101 Bucket elevator
Absorption Chiller
Q (gpm) H (m) H (ft) S Cb FT
3,071.91 6.52 21.39 14,207.75 3,963.44 1.50
4,462.36 7.42 24.34 22,017.02 4,750.06 2.00
4,927.6445 5.67 18.60 21,253.16 4,677.79 2.00
5,022.27 4.80 15.75 19,930.27 4,550.57 2.00
4,852.00 10.75 35.27 28,814.90 5,361.52 2.00
4,826.53 15.79 51.80 34,739.13 5,858.04 2.00
2,641.62 15.58 51.12 18,886.32 4,448.19 1.50
2,625.71 10.62 34.84 15,498.93 4,102.02 1.50
2,625.71 15.45 50.69 18,694.06 4,429.13 1.50
2,625.71 10.43 34.22 15,359.66 4,087.26 1.50
2,528.64 6.20 20.34 11,404.66 3,646.54 1.50
BOILER
Code Q (kW) Q (Btu/hr) CP
12 B-301 62 211,553 3,643.09
STEAM TURBINE
DISTILLATION
ID (m) ID (ft) L (m)
PSA UNIT
A (m2) A (ft2) a b FM FL FP Cb
186.50 2007.42 1.75 0.13 3.23 1.05 0.91 28,331.91
186.50 2007.42 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.05 0.92 28,331.91
27.15 41.81 2.70 0.07 3.64 1.05 0.91 15,847.57
1147.00 12346.19 1.75 0.13 3.62 1.05 0.91 94,348.03
140.88 1516.42 1.75 0.13 3.17 1.05 0.91 24,808.61
20.09 216.25 1.75 0.13 2.86 1.05 0.91 14,583.58
15.74 169.46 1.75 0.13 2.82 1.05 0.91 14,317.79
32.40 21.09 1.75 0.13 2.57 1.05 0.95 18,936.50
10.32 41.81 1.75 0.13 2.64 1.05 0.94 15,847.57
19.10 21.09 1.75 0.13 2.57 1.05 0.95 18,936.50
1.33 14.32
Price (USD)
3,600.00
CP Price (USD)
133,869.94 133,900.00
shell thickness
L (ft) ts (m) ts (ft) W (lb) ln W (ln W)^2 CV FM
Reactor and Separator
22.47485 0.0102 0.033466 11011.27 9.306675 86.61419 35012.54 2.1
7.8744 0.0117 0.038388 1120.111 7.021183 49.29702 9789.538 2.1
12.251254 0.0096 0.031498 2576.651 7.854246 61.68918 15150.56 2.1
34.18802 0.0162 0.053152 57771.69 10.96425 120.2149 102524.8 2.1
Separator
4.5934 0.0173 0.056761 318.6947 5.764234 33.22639 5380.147 2.1
L (ft) ts (m) ts (ft) W (lb) ln W (ln W)^2 CV FM
Distillation Column
25.2637 0.01651 0.054169 12109.52 9.401747 88.39284 48246.21 2.1
Cp Price (USD)
87,706.88 87,700.00
27,263.13 27,300.00
55,189.54 55,200.00
325,857.20 325,900.00
75,318.68 75,300.00
39,832.29 39,800.00
38,633.97 38,600.00
48,428.23 48,400.00
41,194.74 41,200.00
48,428.23 48,400.00
21,406.37 21,400.00
rho carbon 490
11397.1799548 84923.50459419
IDR 1,256,867,867.99
2023.198284372 22581.22809697
IDR 334,202,175.84
4232.874239874 36049.05489207
IDR 533,526,012.40
25888.24372495 241190.3424295
IDR 3,569,617,067.96
IDR -
613.3384547899 11911.64743667 IDR 176,292,382.06
CPL CP CP (Rp)
COMPRESSOR
Udah Code Type
Ref K-201 Centrifugal
PSA K-401 Centrifugal
BELT CONVEYOR
Udah Code Type
BC-101 Belt
Shredder UNIT
Udah Code Type
S-101 Cone Crusher
Crusher UNIT
Code Type
S-101 Hammer Mills
MAULINA
Pump
Deaerator
Vessel
Belt conveyor
Crushing
Bucket elevator
Clarifier
Absorption Chiller
Demineralisasi
Plate and frame filter
RO
EQUIPMENT COST
Quantity Year
No Equipment Code Supplier
(Unit) Basis
Heat Exchanger (Shell and
udah 1 E-101 1 2018
2 E-102 1 2018
condenser 3 E-201 1 2018
Udah Boiler
5 B-301 1 2018
Udah Steam Turbin
6 B-301 1 2018
Udah Reaktor
7 R-101 1 2018
Seaparator (Cyclone
8 V-100 1 2018
Seaparator (Vertical Sepa
9 V-101 1 2018
Distillation
Udah 10 T-104 1 2018
Pump
11 P-200 2 2018
Udah 12 P-201 2 2018
13 P-202 2 2018
14 P-300 2 2018
Water Tank and Storage
Udah 15 TK-101 1 2018
16 TK-102 1 2018
17 TK-103 1 2018
18 V-Water Tank 2 2018
PSA Unit
19 K-401 2 2018
20 S-401 1 2018
Plate and Frame Filte
21 PFF-101 3 2018
Clarifier
22 CL-100 3 2018
Belt Conveyor
Udah 23 BC-101 1 2018
Shredder
24 S-101 1 2018
Crusher
25 S-102 1 2018
Extruder
26 EXD-101 1 2018
Udah 27 EXD-102 1 2018
Demineralizer
Cation 28 R-201 1 2018
Anion 29 R-202 1 2018
Udah Refrigerant Unit
Compressor 30 K-201 1 2018
Air Cooler 31 AC-300 1 2018
Adsorber 32
Udah Total
Udah 85.5
7937.6 9486.4
Udah 17424
Udah
EQUIPMENT COST
Cost Index in Year Price in Year Basis Price in 2030
FBM Total Price (USD)
Basis (USD) (USD)
Heat Exchanger (Shell and Tube)
709 87,700 92,237 3.17 292,400
709 27,300 28,712 3.17 91,000
709 55,200 58,056 3.17 184,000
Boiler
709 3,600 3,786 1.86 7,000
Steam Turbin
709 133,900 140,827 2.15 302,800
Reaktor
709 84,924 89,317 4.16 371,600
Seaparator (Cyclone)
709 22,581 23,749 4.16 98,800
Seaparator (Vertical Separator)
709 36,049 37,914 4.16 157,700
Distillation
709 109,975 115,664 4.16 481,200
Pump
709 2,700 2,840 3.30 18,700
709 2,700 2,840 3.30 18,700
709 2,800 2,945 3.30 19,400
709 5,300 5,574 3.30 36,800
Water Tank and Storage Tank
709 10,100 10,623 3.49 37,100
709 114,300 120,213 3.49 419,500
709 66,000 69,414 3.49 242,300
709 15,300 16,092 3.49 112,300
PSA Unit
709 11,300 11,885 2.15 51,100
709 11,912 12,528 4.16 52,100
Plate and Frame Filter
709 51,700 54,375 2.32 378,400
Clarifier
709 72,100 75,830 2.03 461,800
Belt Conveyor
709 2,500 2,629 1.61 4,200
Shredder
709 7,600 7,993 1.39 11,100
Crusher
709 16,300 17,143 1.39 23,800
Extruder
709 62,000
709 43,500
Demineralizer
709 1,600 1,683 3.49 5,900
709 1,600 1,683 3.49 5,900
Refrigerant Unit
709 44,300 46,592 2.15 100,200
709 200,000
4,291,300
Total ud bener
2020 746.1
UDH
567,400
UDH
#REF!
UDH
7,000
UDH
302,800
UDH
UDH
98,800
UDH
UDH
481,200
udh
IDR
62,146,606,600
udh
udh
udh
udh
20 US $ per 100 m2
IDR
Supporting Equipment Qty Price per Piece Price (IDR)
Computers 10 5,000,000 50,000,000
Laptop 1 5,500,000 5,500,000
Meeting Desk and Chair Set 3 4,500,000 13,500,000
Receptionist Desk and Chair Set 3 3,000,000 9,000,000
Projector 5 500,000 2,500,000
Screen Projector 5 500,000 2,500,000
Trash Bin 50 50,000 2,500,000
Cleaning Set 3 300,000 900,000
Daikin Air Conditioner (1 PK) 12 3,000,000 36,000,000
Toilet Set 8 2,100,000 21,600,000
Office Stationary 3 1,500,000 4,500,000
Telephone 10 110,000 1,100,000
All in One Photocopy, Scanner and Printer 2 10,000,000 20,000,000
Clock 6 20,000 120,000
Office Desk 40 200,000 8,000,000
Chair 40 150,000 6,000,000
Filing Cabinet 1 1,200,000 1,200,000
Sofa 3 1,000,000 3,000,000
Dispenser 4 150,000 600,000
Generator 10 kVa Perkins 1 87,000,000 87,000,000
CCTV 10 650,000 6,500,000
White Board 5 200,000 1,000,000
Pantry 2 1,800,000 3,600,000
Television 2 3,500,000 7,000,000
Refrigerator 1 2,500,000 2,500,000
Absence Machine 1 800,000 800,000
Fire Extinguisher 5 200,000 1,000,000
LED Bulb 13 W 50 80,000 4,000,000
Exhaust Fan 8 250,000 2,000,000
Cable Roll 10 30,000 300,000
Safety Helmet 15 40,000 600,000
Safety Gloves 15 20,000 300,000
Safety Goggles 15 40,000 600,000
TOTAL 305,720,000
Price(USD)
3452.56180085624
379.781798094186
932.191686231184
621.461124154122
172.628090042812
172.628090042812
172.628090042812
62.1461124154122
2485.84449661649
1491.50669796989
310.730562077061
75.9563596188372
1381.02472034249
8.28614832205497
552.409888136998
414.307416102748
82.8614832205497
207.153708051374
41.4307416102748
6007.45753348985
448.833034111311
69.0512360171247
248.584449661649
483.358652119873
172.628090042812
55.2409888136998
69.0512360171247
276.204944068499
138.102472034249
20.7153708051374
41.4307416102748
20.7153708051374
41.4307416102748
21110.3438751554
ud bener
Installation Source Cost (IDR) Cost (USD)
Electricity Installation PLN Cost in January 2018 200,000,000 13810.2472
Water Installation PDAM – Middle Scale Indu150,000,000 10357.6854
Hydrants Installation Sprinkle hydrants PT. Tele 38,000,000 2623.946969
Network Installation Biznet 800,000 55.24098881
Telephone Installation Telkom 2018 Business subs 1,500,000 103.576854
Total Utilities Installation Cost 390,300,000 26950.69742
ud bener
PIPE COST
Material Schedule Nominal Size (in) Weight (lb/ft) Length (ft)
CONTROLLER COST
Type Qty Price (Rp) Total Price (Rp) Total Price (USD)
Level 6 13,200,000 79,200,000 5,900
Flow 13 12,000,000 156,000,000 11,500
Pressure 10 30,000,000 300,000,000 22,200
Temperatur 20 18,000,000 360,000,000 26,700
Total 66,300
PE COST
Total Weight (lb) Price per lb Total Price (USD)
CONTROLLER COST
Type Qty Price (Rp) Total Price (Rp) Total Price (USD)
Level 6 13,200,000 79,200,000 5,900
Flow 13 12,000,000 156,000,000 11,500
Pressure 10 30,000,000 300,000,000 22,200
Temperatur 20 18,000,000 360,000,000 26,700
Total 66,300
PE COST
Total Weight (lb) Price per lb Total Price (USD)
ysis Process
1,155.80 4.55 5,300
2,485.79 4.55 11,300
3,143.36 4.55 14,300
3,454.87 4.55 15,700
828.60 4.55 3,800
2,485.79 4.55 11,300
ty Generation
1,215.81 4.55 5,500
2,858.49 4.55 13,000
540.10 4.55 2,500
1,715.09 4.55 7,800
2,071.50 4.55 9,400
ate Treatment
108.02 4.55 500
108.02 4.55 500
857.55 4.55 3,900
Fermentation
3,467.40 4.55 15,800
2,485.79 4.55 11,300
6,729.00 4.55 30,600
428.77 4.55 2,000
216.04 4.55 1,000
216.04 4.55 1,000
3,364.50 4.55 15,300
3,143.36 4.55 14,300
1,155.80 4.55 5,300
142.92 4.55 700
1,047.79 4.55 4,800
405.27 4.55 1,800
2,311.60 4.55 10,500
285.85 4.55 1,300
2,026.36 4.55 9,200
l Purification
810.54 4.55 3,700
2,143.87 4.55 9,800
4,052.71 4.55 18,400
571.70 4.55 2,600
2,026.36 4.55 9,200
857.55 4.55 3,900
2,311.60 4.55 10,500
828.60 4.55 3,800
ter Utility
3,791.99 4.55 17,300
1,734.84 4.55 7,900
1,156.56 4.55 5,300
1,048.48 4.55 4,800
524.24 4.55 2,400
937.82 4.55 4,300
937.82 4.55 4,300
937.82 4.55 4,300
1,048.48 4.55 4,800
1,048.48 4.55 4,800
524.24 4.55 2,400
524.24 4.55 2,400
286.04 4.55 1,300
405.54 4.55 1,800
158,000
TOTAL COST BULK MATERIAL 224,300
gadipake
CONTINGENCY COST
Description Value
Factor 0.15
Total Bare Modul Cost (USD) 4,291,300
Contingency Cost (USD) 643,700
CONTRACTOR FEE
Description Value
Factor 0.03
Total Bare Modul Cost (USD) 4,291,300
Contractor Fee (USD) 128,700
ud bener
WORKING CAPITAL
15% x TCI
WC = 989,094
WORKING CAPITAL
atau 17.6% TPI
LAND COST
Description Price per m (Rp) Price per m2 (USD) Area (m2)
2
BUILDING COST
Description Price per m (Rp) Price per m2 (USD) Area (m2)
2
175000000 m2 800,000,000,000
130,000,000 m2 20,000,000,000
1 m2 4571.42857142857
US $ IDR ud bener
1 13498
Total Cost (USD)
416,300
416,300
Chart Title
13%
10%
Bulk Material Cost
Land Cost
0% Building Cost
57% Supporting Facility Cost
14% Utility Installation Cost
Contingency and Contractor
Fee
5%
Working Capital
otal Equipment Cost
ulk Material Cost
nd Cost
uilding Cost
pporting Facility Cost
tility Installation Cost
ontingency and Contractor
e
orking Capital
Maintenance Amount (percentage) Annual Cost (USD)
TOTAL 659,150
ud bener
Position Amount (person)
Operator 32
Control Room Labor 8
Analyst 2
TOTAL DIRECT LABOR COST
Production Coordinator 1
QC Manager 1
Production
Department
Supply Chain
1
Management Manager
Logistic Manager 1
Human Resources
1
Manager
HRD Human Resources
Department Planning and
1
Recruitment
Coordinator
HES
HES Manager 1
Department
Sales and Marketing Manager 1
Marketing Sales Engineer 1
Department Sales / Promotor 1
Maintenance Electrical Engineer 1
Department
Mechanical Engineer 1
TOTAL INDIRECT LABOR COST
UMK Tangerang
552 7,181
414 5,386
294 3,827
294 3,822
94 1,222
380 4,937
550 7,150
552 7,176
552 7,176
480 6,240
480 6,240
480 6,240
480 6,240
480 6,240
400 5,200
294 3,822
294 3,822
ECT LABOR COST 147,555
ud bener
2019 2020
USD 269.58 USD 294.35
Material Supplier Quantity/day
Fuel Supply
No Code
Equipment
1 Boiler B-301
Working day/year
Total fuel needed (tonnes) /year
Total fuel needed (L) /year
Total Price (USD)/year
Salary Tax
Position Amount (person) Salary per month per Insurance per month
person (USD)
483,481
4,894,830
437,850
4,456,980
396,647
4,060,333
359,435
3,700,899
325,821
3,375,078
295,452
3,079,625
268,010
2,811,615
243,207
2,568,409
220,784
2,347,625
200,508
2,147,117
182,170
1,964,947
165,580
1,799,367
150,568
1,648,799
136,979
1,511,820
124,677
1,387,143
113,534 50,731,030
1,273,609
103,440
1,170,169
94,292
1,075,877
85,999
989,878
78,478
911,400
Communication Cost
Communication Cost (USD) Price per month Month
Mail 1,656.00 138 12
Internet and Telephone 4,140.00 345 12
Annual Communication Cost 5,796.0
Plant Overhead
TOTAL 45,512.17
ud bener
Marketing
Cost Market Research
1656 1 USD Consultant Market Reasearch
4140 14482 Total Market Research
Printed Media
Booklet
TOTAL PRINTED MEDIA PUBLICATION COST
Web Address
Google Adsense
Social Media (Fanspage, FB,
Twitter)
iklan-gratis.com
www.detik.com
TOTAL ONLINE ADVERTISEMENT COST
Types
Creating Website Cost
Design Website Cost
Annual Cost
Total Price Estimation TOTAL WEBSITE DEVELOPMENT
per Year COST
1,242.92
103.58 Media Type
1,346.50 Market Research
Printed
Electronic
Total Marketing Cost per Year
Price
691
691
Free Free
30 3 37,288
OTAL ONLINE ADVERTISEMENT COST 37,288
149
23,565,892
Raw Material
Indirect Labor Salary
Direct Labor Salary
Utilities
Maintenance
Insurance and Tax
General Expenses
WACC (Feasibility Study)
beta 1.06 fix
Weight of debt 8.40%
tax rate 25.00%
cost of debt 4.52%
annual inflation rat 6.40%
risk premium 2.00%
risk free rate 2.52%
market premium 6.63%
WACC 11.85%
Capital Loan
Capital Source Percentage Capital Share TCI
Bank 75% 5,687,291 Bank Interest Rate (BNI)
Investor 25% 1,895,764 Investor Interest Rate
Bank
Year Initial Loan Loan Interest Payment Total Payment
0 5,687,291
1 5,687,291 597,166 568,729 1,165,895
2 5,118,562 537,449 568,729 1,106,178
3 4,549,833 477,732 568,729 1,046,462
4 3,981,104 418,016 568,729 986,745
5 3,412,375 358,299 568,729 927,028
6 2,843,646 298,583 568,729 867,312
7 2,274,917 238,866 568,729 807,595
8 1,706,187 179,150 568,729 747,879
9 1,137,458 119,433 568,729 688,162
10 568,729 59,717 568,729 628,446
Investor
Year Initial Loan Loan Interest Payment Total Payment
0 1,895,764
1 1,895,764 227,492 379,153 606,644
2 1,516,611 159,244 379,153 538,397
3 1,137,458 119,433 379,153 498,586
4 758,306 79,622 379,153 458,775
5 379,153 39,811 379,153 418,964
7,583,055 Asset (TBM, Land, Building) 83,611,827,000
10.50% Maximum Loan 75,250,644,300
12.00%
Tax 0.25
0 2020 -
1 2021 35,467.98
2 2022 35,467.98
3 2023 35,467.98
4 2024 35,467.98
5 2025 35,467.98
6 2026 35,467.98
7 2027 35,467.98
8 2028 35,467.98
9 2029 35,467.98
10 2030 35,467.98
11 2031 35,467.98
12 2032 35,467.98
13 2033 35,467.98
14 2034 35,467.98
15 2035 35,467.98
16 2036 35,467.98
17 2037 35,467.98
18 2038 35,467.98
19 2039 35,467.98
20 2040 35,467.98
SV
TOTAL
Product Pricing
Product Quantity - MWh
Price (US$) 0.08 per KWh
Kurs 13,508
Price (Rp) 1,013.10 per KWh
Cummullative Cash Flow 24,093,457.49
(0.44)
CASH FLOW
20,000...
10,000...
-10,000...
-20,000...
-30,000...
-40,000...
-50,000...
-60,000...
-70,000...
-80,000...
IRR NPV PBP
0.1380 $1,235,577 8.177
BEP 6.94
Ethanol 89,882,778.33 L
Cooling - kWh
Electricity - kWh
27.5 MW
-
0.619
0.619
0.619
0.619
0.619
0.619
0.619
0.619
0.619
0.619
0.619
0.619
0.619
0.619
0.619
0.619
0.619
0.619
0.619
0.619
-
-
COMMULATIVE CASH FLO
200000000
150000000
100000000
BTCF
ACTF
50000000
0
1 2 3 4
-50000000
Production Diesel Oil 3,000.00 kg/h
36,000.00 kg/day
44,334.98 Liter/day
00000
00000
00000
00000
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
00000
Year
Artinya payment untuk bank dan payment devident untuk investor p
200,000,000
150,000,000
100,000,000
50,000,000
0
2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034
-50,000,000
18 19 20 21 22
30,532,067 3,053,206.71
30,795,339 3,079,533.89
31,032,284 3,103,228.35
31,245,534 3,124,553.37
31,437,459 3,143,745.88
31,610,191 3,161,019.15
31,765,651 3,176,565.08
31,905,564 3,190,556.42
32,031,486 3,203,148.63
32,144,816 3,214,481.62
dan payment devident untuk investor pada tahun yang sama A/P factor
MARR =
Cumulative Cash
BTCF ATCF Cash Flow PBP
Flow
(7,583,055) (7,583,055) (7,583,055) (7,583,055) -
(207,768) (155,826) (155,826) (7,738,881) 0.000
872,684 654,513 654,513 (7,084,368) 0.000
1,013,415 760,061 760,061 (6,324,306) 0.000
1,150,155 862,616 862,616 (5,461,690) 0.000
1,283,296 962,472 962,472 (4,499,218) 0.000
1,792,345 1,344,259 1,344,259 (3,154,959) 0.000
1,879,504 1,409,628 1,409,628 (1,745,331) 0.000
1,964,024 1,473,018 1,473,018 (272,313) 0.000
2,046,163 1,534,623 1,534,623 1,262,309 8.177
2,126,155 1,594,617 1,594,617 2,856,926 0.000
2,772,939 2,079,704 2,079,704 4,936,630 0.000
2,789,529 2,092,147 2,092,147 7,028,777 0.000
2,804,541 2,103,406 2,103,406 9,132,183 0.000
2,818,130 2,113,597 2,113,597 11,245,780 0.000
2,830,433 2,122,825 2,122,825 13,368,605 0.000
2,841,575 2,131,181 2,131,181 15,499,786 0.000
2,851,670 2,138,752 2,138,752 17,638,538 0.000
2,860,817 2,145,613 2,145,613 19,784,152 0.000
2,869,110 2,151,833 2,151,833 21,935,984 0.000
2,876,631 2,157,473 2,157,473 24,093,457 0.000
- - - 24,093,457 0.000
42,235,350 31,676,513 31,676,513 136,595,519
10,000,000
0
2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032
-10,000,000
-20,000,000
-30,000,000
-40,000,000
-50,000,000
-60,000,000
-70,000,000
-80,000,000
17,622,382
19,275,079
20,910,569
36,355,263
028 2030 2032 2034 2036 2038 2040 36,480,704
36,593,601
36,695,209
36,786,655
36,868,957
36,943,029
37,009,693
19,308,215 1,930,821.51 37,069,692
18,309,707 1,830,970.72 37,123,690
17,311,199 1,731,119.94
16,312,691 1,631,269.15
15,314,184 1,531,418.36
14,315,676 1,431,567.57
13,317,168 1,331,716.78 17,253,714
12,318,660 1,231,865.99 18,498,373
11,320,152 1,132,015.20 19,698,447
10,321,644 1,032,164.41 20,858,394
21,982,228
0.10955
11.85%
NPV IRR ROI AV PV P/F factor
(830,724) (7,583,055)
(15,661) (142,954) 0.9174
60,352 550,904 0.8417
64,297 586,919 0.7722
66,944 611,077 0.7084
68,525 625,511 0.6499
87,813 801,581 0.5963
84,470 771,067 0.5470
80,991 739,308 0.5019
77,401 706,540 0.4604
73,789 673,566 0.4224
$1,235,577 13.80% 5.90% 88,262 805,678 0.3874
81,479 743,758 0.3555
75,166 686,131 0.3262
69,278 632,388 0.2992
63,836 582,715 0.2745
58,811 536,845 0.2519
54,147 494,266 0.2311
49,831 454,870 0.2120
45,850 418,531 0.1945
42,165 384,893 0.1784
- - 0.1637
447,023 4,080,539
4 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 2038 2040
1,762,238.20
1,927,507.93
2,091,056.92
3,635,526.31
3,648,070.42
3,659,360.13
3,669,520.86
3,678,665.52
3,686,895.72
3,694,302.89
3,700,969.35
3,706,969.16
3,712,368.99
1,725,371.36
1,849,837.30
1,969,844.71
2,085,839.44
2,198,222.76
Total PV
(7,583,055)
(7,726,010)
(7,175,106)
(6,588,187)
(5,977,109)
(5,351,599)
(4,550,017)
(3,778,951)
(3,039,643)
(2,333,103)
(1,659,537)
(853,859)
(110,101)
576,030
1,208,418
1,791,134
2,327,978
2,822,244
3,277,114
3,695,645
4,080,539
4,080,539
PRODUCT PRICE
Deviation Ethanol Price (USD) IRR NPV (USD) PBP (year)
-15% 0.881 16.10% 58,542,695 7.527
-10% 0.932 16.50% 61,734,780 7.326
-5% 0.984 16.91% 64,989,455 7.131
0% 1.036 17.31% 68,244,129 6.943
5% 1.088 17.72% 71,498,804 6.755
10% 1.140 18.13% 74,753,478 6.577
15% 1.191 18.53% 77,945,563 6.412
MAINTENANCE
Deviation Raw Material Price (USD) IRR NPV (USD) PBP (year)
-15% 9,472,308 18.74% 79,586,402 6.330
-10% 10,029,503 18.26% 75,805,643 6.522
-5% 10,586,697 17.79% 72,024,891 6.726
0% 11,143,892 17.31% 68,244,129 6.943
5% 11,701,087 16.84% 64,463,374 7.162
10% 12,258,281 16.37% 60,682,622 7.391
15% 12,815,476 15.90% 56,901,863 7.635
RAW MATERIAL
Deviation Total Labor Cost (USD) IRR NPV (USD) PBP (year)
-15% 5,135,179 17.96% 73,781,111 6.647
-10% 5,437,248 17.75% 71,935,453 6.742
-5% 5,739,318 17.53% 70,089,790 6.841
0% 6,041,387 17.31% 68,244,129 6.943
5% 6,343,456 17.09% 66,398,475 7.045
10% 6,645,526 16.88% 64,552,811 7.147
15% 6,947,595 16.66% 62,707,154 7.253
Deviation Cooling Price (USD) IRR NPV (USD) PBP (year) Deviation
-15% 0.091 17.29% 68,042,035 6.955 -15%
-10% 0.096 17.29% 68,105,189 6.951 -10%
-5% 0.102 17.30% 68,180,975 6.947 -5%
0% 0.107 17.31% 68,244,129 6.943 0%
5% 0.112 17.32% 68,307,284 6.939 5%
10% 0.118 17.33% 68,383,069 6.935 10%
15% 0.123 17.34% 68,446,224 6.931 15%
Deviation vs IRR
25.00%
20.00%
ethan
coolin
15.00%
electr
maint
raw m
10.00%
5.00%
0.00%
-20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20%
Electricity Price (USD)
0.064
IRR
11.23%
NPV (USD)
19,206,461
PBP (year)
10.471
Deviation
0.068 13.43% 37,038,340 9.129 12.000
0.071 15.09% 50,412,250 8.088
0.075 17.31% 68,244,129 6.943
10.000
0.079 19.56% 86,076,008 6.026
0.083 21.83% 103,907,888 5.280
0.086 23.55% 117,281,797 4.831 8.000
6.000
4.000
2.000
0.000
-20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5%
ethanol
cooling
electricity Deviation vs NPV
maintenence
140,000,000
raw material
120,000,000
100,000,000
80,000,000
15% 20%
60,000,000
40,000,000
20,000,000
0
-20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20%
Deviation vs PBP
12.000
10.000
8.000 ethanol
cooling
electricity
6.000 maintenence
raw material
4.000
2.000
0.000
-5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20%
vs NPV
ethanol
cooling
electricity
maintenence
raw material