Private Equity Performance Measurement Multiples PDF
Private Equity Performance Measurement Multiples PDF
Performance Measurement
BVCA Perspectives Series
Authored by the BVCA’s Limited Partner Committee
and Investor Relations Advisory Group
Spring 2015
Private Equity Performance Measurement | BVCA Perspectives Series
As a result, a number of different metrics have been adopted to give investors the greatest
possible understanding of the performance of their private equity and venture capital
investments and benchmark these against other types of asset.
This guide seeks to give a brief overview of the most common methods, highlighting where
these metrics find their greatest use and giving some indication of the limitations involved
with each.
It is important to stress that no single measurement represents the right or wrong way of
measuring the performance of private equity and venture capital investments. Individual
investors and fund managers will find that different combinations of these metrics will work
best for them in assessing their private equity and venture capital investments and that they
are best placed to take a view on this.
Table 1.1: Differing performance measures and the information they require
Index values
Spring 2015
Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
The internal rate of return (IRR) is a metric used to measure and compare returns on an
investment. It calculates the return by looking at all of the cash flows from the investment
over a given period, taking into account drawdowns, distributions such as capital gains and
income through dividends, and a valuation if the fund still has residual value.
IRRs are often used by the PE industry to measure returns (and, indeed, are one of the
metrics of performance that we publish in our annual Performance Measurement Survey),
because they offer a means of comparing two investments with irregular timings and size of
cash flows. They are, however, a measure that is not directly comparable to the buy and hold
returns that can be found in the public markets.
When analysing IRRs, it’s important to understand whether the returns are gross or net of fees
and carried interest. There can be significant differences between the two metrics, particularly
when there has been a long hold period (management fee drag) or when a portfolio has
generated a disproportionately high and early “win”. For these reasons, LPs tend to focus
on net IRRs to get the most transparent picture of an actual return. However, many GPs use
gross IRRs in marketing materials as they present the most compelling return.
Limitations
■■ The IRR assumes that cash flows are reinvested at the same rate of return. This can lead to
the over or understatement of the performance of a given investment where the returns on
reinvestment do not match those produced by the investment, and should be accounted
for when comparing IRRs.
■■ The IRR is not an effective way of assessing mutually exclusive projects, as it does not take
into account the scale of the projects – this can be difficult when two projects require a
significantly different amount of capital, but the smaller project has a higher IRR.
■■ If returns are looked at only on an IRR basis, then there is the potential for performance
to be artificially improved by changing the timings of distributions back to investors. Early
wins (quick returns of significant amounts early in the life of the fund or investment) can
disproportionately boost the IRR.
■■ Since the IRR represents the discount rate at which the value of all cash flows equals zero,
it is possible that multiple IRRs, or no IRR at all, can be calculated in some cases.
No responsibility can be accepted
by the BVCA or contributors for
action taken or not taken as a
result of information contained in
this bulletin. Specific advice should
always be taken in each situation.
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Private Equity Performance Measurement | BVCA Perspectives Series
70%
40%
30%
0%
-30%
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Year
The MIRR is a theoretically strong method for calculating the overall returns from a private equity
investment, though it is not widely used in practice. As a result, we have not covered it in depth
in this paper, although further information on its uses and limitations have been included in
No responsibility can be accepted the Appendix.
by the BVCA or contributors for
action taken or not taken as a
result of information contained in
this bulletin. Specific advice should
always be taken in each situation. 1
This example is based on a real-life fund drawn from the BVCA’s Performance Measurement data set.
Spring 2015
Multiples of Invested Capital
Money multiples are another metric that measure returns from an investment, providing a
cash-on-cash measure of how much investors are receiving. They are calculated by dividing
the value of the returns by the amount of money invested. Two multiples that are typically
reported by funds are distribution to paid-in capital (DPI) and total value to paid-in capital
(TVPI), which differ in terms of whether or not they include residual values.
Multiples are often used in the PE industry as they offer an easy way to show the scale of the
returns an investment has given. While the IRR and MIRR provide useful ways of showing
returns from an investment, they cannot provide a scale of returns without knowing the length
of the fund. Multiples, however, offer a fast and easy way to show this, and when used in
conjunction with the IRR or MIRR, can paint a quick and clear picture of a fund’s performance.
It is convention in the industry to show TVPI and DPI on a net basis, but often a GP’s
return profile will have a gross multiple i.e. money in – money out as a headline figure in any
performance table. As with IRR and other performance metrics, investors should exercise
care when understanding whether a presented metric is gross or net.
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Private Equity Performance Measurement | BVCA Perspectives Series
Limitations
■■ Multiples ignore the time value of money. For example, a 2x multiple tells investors that for
every one GBP invested into a fund, they received back twice as much in return. However,
the relative attractiveness of this investment would be markedly different if it had taken 10
years to produce that return than if it had taken two.
■■ The metric is also less useful when comparing investments in their early stages. When
draw downs are still being made, Multiples can be highly variable, reducing their
usefulness. As such, they are most relevant as a fund matures.
■■ While multiples are good at showing returns as a proportion, they do not provide an
indication of the scale of the project nor of the size of the absolute returns. This means
their use is limited when comparing mutually exclusive projects.
■■ It is also possible that when looking at multiples on a fund basis, one large deal can have a
disproportionately large positive or negative impact on a blended basis.
The Public Market Equivalent (PME) is a returns measure which allows investors to compare an
IRR to the performance the public market would have generated over the same period using the
same investment timings. The PME is generated by creating a hypothetical investment vehicle
which purchases and sells shares in the public market index in such a way that mimics a PE
fund’s irregular cash flows. As discussed earlier, net cash flows should be used to provide the
most transparent return profile for the underlying fund(s). On a related point, industry convention
generally dictates the use of indices with reinvested dividend income to provide the most “apples
to apples” comparison.
Essentially, the metric looks at all the cash flows for a given private equity fund. It then buys an
equivalent value on the market when a draw down from an investor is made (for instance, if a draw
down of £50m was made by the private equity fund, then £50m would be hypothetically invested
into the market. Similarly, if £50m was distributed back to investors from the private equity fund,
then £50m would be sold from the hypothetical market vehicle). The two investments (private
equity and market) will therefore have the same cash flows over time, but different end values,
giving two directly comparable IRRs.
It is used to give a like-for-like comparison between private equity and the markets, and is a means
by which private equity’s irregular cash flows can be accounted for.
A challenge with using the PME (and also PME+ and other derivatives of index-based
performance measurement) is deciding which index is most relevant to the private equity strategy.
This is a subjective area and beyond the scope of this paper but it’s important to flag as a relative
comparison between private equity cash flows and an inappropriate index (i.e. developed
market returns vs an emerging market index or equity returns vs a credit index) can provide
No responsibility can be accepted misleading results.
by the BVCA or contributors for
action taken or not taken as a
result of information contained in
this bulletin. Specific advice should
always be taken in each situation.
Spring 2015
Uses and strengths
■■ Both the IRR and Multiples are unsuitable for comparing private equity to typical public
market investments, which tend to give long-term and regular returns. PME, on the
other hand, works by creating an investment vehicle that takes into account a PE
fund’s irregular cash flows.
■■ PME therefore allows public market investments to have their performance compared
to private investments that could have taken place over the same time period.
■■ The method is particularly accurate when it is used to look at more mature investments
where the NAV is a smaller fraction of the distributions, as any errors in calculating the
NAV will have a smaller impact on the final result.
Limitations
■■ It is possible that the public market NAV could become negative in cases where the
PE portfolio greatly outperforms the benchmark. This can potentially result in a largely
nonsensical comparison of the performance of a long-only PE portfolio being compared
against a short position in the public market.
■■ PME also faces the same issues as IRR, as the calculations are effectively identical. As
such, this method does not account for the scale of the project and can encounter issues
with abnormal cash flows.
■■ There is also an argument that the PME is not a true comparison, as it is reliant on the
timings of the PE fund. This means that the PME vehicle may be forced to buy or sell the
market at times that would not ordinarily be chosen, adversely affecting the performance
of this vehicle and overstating the performance of PE relative to this vehicle.
■■ PME (and indeed PME+ discussed below) does not attempt to specifically adjust for risk
differentials between the portfolio cash flows and the public index (i.e. higher leverage
ratios on private equity companies) or the tax impact of returns.
A scaling factor that is smaller than one shows that the public market has outperformed the
private market.
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Private Equity Performance Measurement | BVCA Perspectives Series
Disadvantages
■■ Similarly, PME+ shares a number of its disadvantages with PME and IRR. The method
relies on the benchmark index for calculating the NAV of the hypothetical fund. For this
purpose only total return indexes should be used, as measures that ignore dividends
render the index invalid and can result in distortions. Likewise, PME+ does not account for
the scale of the project and can encounter issues with abnormal cash flows.
■■ Due to the introduction of scaling, PME+ does not exactly replicate PE cash flows in the
public market. Since cash flows are being moved, this can have a consequent effect on
the comparative results.
Summary
It is important to note that none of the methods described above can in isolation give a complete
picture of PE performance, nor is there a single ‘right’ way to measure it. One of the challenges
associated with this is the fact that managers can claim to be “top quartile” by creatively choosing
benchmarks that position themselves favourably. An LP needs to fully understand the constituents
of any benchmark that a manager is using in order to fully assess the relevance to the manager’s
strategy. In addition, as there is no industry standard to benchmarking, there are potentially
significant biases in the available benchmark data.
There are also many questions around the detail behind the performance metrics. For example,
whether cash-on-cash multiples are more meaningful than IRRs, how to gauge impressive
performance as a result of unrealised versus realised results, the impact of the “J-curve” and the
gross to net performance spread.
The issues described above are potentially significant and are the subject of further commentary
outside the scope of this paper. Suffice it to say that while the performance measurement
techniques described above are a useful tool for assessing PE fund performance, individual
investors need to decide which metrics are most appropriate for each situation. In addition,
investors generally go well beyond simply comparing performance statistics and often employ
detailed analyses such as value creation attribution, capital efficiency including the gross-to-
net ratio, consistency over multiple time periods and individual analyses focusing on sectors,
geographies, sizes, types and key professionals.
Spring 2015
Appendix
The bottom section of the table shows the multiples calculated for the same cash flows and
valuations. It demonstrates how multiples do not account for the time value of money, with all
three funds showing the same result on DPI and TVPI basis . This is in contrast to the IRR and
MIRR results, which take into account the time value of money and therefore result in varying
returns depending on the timings of the cash flows.
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Private Equity Performance Measurement | BVCA Perspectives Series
Modified IRR
Below is some further information on the Modified IRR, looking at its uses and strengths, as
well as its limitations. A worked example is also included.
Limitations
■■ Using the MIRR requires a reinvestment rate to be estimated. Because the
reinvestment rate has a significant impact on the overall return under this method,
questions arise over whether it accurately reflects returns or whether it is too influenced
by the reinvestment assumption. Furthermore, the MIRR assumes that the fund
continues long after the final cash flow distribution. This means that the final return
estimate is biased towards the investment rate which is assumed in the calculation.
Relying on this type of estimate can adversely impact the accuracy of the final result
and result in errors.
■■ Like the IRR, the MIRR can make a smaller project seem more attractive and ignore
the fact that the larger project will generate significantly higher cash flows and a greater
total return. Similarly, the MIRR can rank a short term project with high returns over
a long term project with lower returns, ignoring the fact that the larger project can
generate significantly higher cash flows.
Spring 2015
Worked example
The worked example below compares the same investment on an IRR and MIRR basis.
For the MIRR, a reinvestment rate of 10% has been assumed. Because this is lower than
the implied rate under the IRR, the MIRR produces a lower return in this situation. It would
equally be possible to assume a higher reinvestment rate and produce a commensurately
higher MIRR.
01/01/2010 -50 0 0
01/01/2011 0 0 0
01/01/2012 10 0 10
01/01/2013 20 1 31
01/01/2014 30 3.1 64.1
01/01/2015 40 6.41 110.51
01/01/2016 50 11.051 171.561
IRR= 27.9%
MIRR= 22.8%
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