Mark Scheme (Results)

October 2020

Pearson Edexcel International A Level

in Statistics S2 (WST02/01)
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October 2020
Publications Code WST02_01_2010_MS
All the material in this publication is copyright
© Pearson Education Ltd 2020
 General Marking Guidance

• All candidates must receive the same treatment. Examiners must mark the first candidate in
exactly the same way as they mark the last.
• Mark schemes should be applied positively. Candidates must be rewarded for what they have
shown they can do rather than penalised for omissions.
• Examiners should mark according to the mark scheme not according to their perception of
where the grade boundaries may lie.
• There is no ceiling on achievement. All marks on the mark scheme should be used
appropriately.
• All the marks on the mark scheme are designed to be awarded. Examiners should always award
full marks if deserved, i.e. if the answer matches the mark scheme. Examiners should also be
prepared to award zero marks if the candidate’s response is not worthy of credit according to the
mark scheme.
• Where some judgement is required, mark schemes will provide the principles by which marks
will be awarded and exemplification may be limited.
• Crossed out work should be marked UNLESS the candidate has replaced it with an alternative
response.
 EDEXCEL IAL MATHEMATICS

General Instructions for Marking

1. The total number of marks for the paper is 75.

2. The Edexcel Mathematics mark schemes use the following types of marks:

• M marks: method marks are awarded for ‘knowing a method and attempting to apply it’, unless otherwise
indicated.
• A marks: Accuracy marks can only be awarded if the relevant method (M) marks have been earned.
• B marks are unconditional accuracy marks (independent of M marks)
• Marks should not be subdivided.

3. Abbreviations

These are some of the traditional marking abbreviations that will appear in the mark schemes.

• bod – benefit of doubt

• ft – follow through
• the symbol will be used for correct ft
• cao – correct answer only
• cso - correct solution only. There must be no errors in this part of the question to obtain this mark
• isw – ignore subsequent working
• awrt – answers which round to
• SC: special case
• oe – or equivalent (and appropriate)
• dep – dependent
• indep – independent
• dp decimal places
• sf significant figures
•  The answer is printed on the paper
• The second mark is dependent on gaining the first mark

4. All A marks are ‘correct answer only’ (cao.), unless shown, for example, as A1 ft to indicate that previous wrong
working is to be followed through. After a misread however, the subsequent A marks affected are treated as A ft,
but manifestly absurd answers should never be awarded A marks.

5. For misreading which does not alter the character of a question or materially simplify it, deduct two from any A
or B marks gained, in that part of the question affected.

6. Ignore wrong working or incorrect statements following a correct answer.

Question
Scheme Marks
Number
2 1 
1 (a) ∫ 1]
k  x 3 − 3 x 2 + ax + 1 dx [ = M1
1
2 
2
1 1 
k  x 4 − x3 + ax 2 + x  [ = 1] A1
8 2 1
1 1  1 1 
k ( 2 − 8 + 2a + 2 ) − k  − 1 + a + 1  =1 or k ( 2a − 4 ) − k  + a  =
1 dM1
8 2  8 2 
33 3
− k + ka = 1 ∴ k (12a − 33) = 8* A1 *
8 2
(4)
df ( x) 3 
(b) = k  x2 − 6x + a  M1
dx 2 
3 2 4 2 16 40
x − 6x + 5 =0 or x − x+ 0
= dM1
2 9 9 27
6 ± 62 − 4 ×1.5 × 5
x= M1
3
6 awrt 1.18
x= 2 − oe or 1.183... A1
3
(4)
Notes Total 8
1(a) M1 Attempting to integrate f(x), (at least one term x → x ). Ignore limits. No Need to equate to 1
n n +1

Fully correct integration. Allow not simplified. Ignore limits and accept any letters. Allow + C
A1
No Need to equate to 1
Dep on 1st M1. Subst in correct limits, subtracting results and equate to 1 Allow if they have +
dM1
C the use of F(2) = 1 and F(1) = 0 to form 2 equations and solve to eliminate + C
Answer is given. Correct solution only. At least one correct line of working required between
A1* 1 1 
k ( 2a − 4 ) − k  + a  =1 and the final given answer.
8 2 
Attempting to differentiate f(x), (at least one term x n → x n −1 ). Condone missing k or incorrect
(b) M1
value for k
Dependent on first Method mark being awarded. Putting their differential (or multiple of) = 0
dM1
May be implied by awrt 1.18 or awrt 2.82
M1 Correct method for solving their 3 term quadratic equation. May be implied by awrt 1.18 or
6± 6
awrt 2.82 Minimum for method if final answer is incorrect is of the form
3
A1 Allow equivalent exact answer. awrt 1.18 Must eliminate the 2.816… or clearly indicate which
of the 2 solutions is their answer
Question
Scheme Marks
Number
1
 −1.4 < w < 6.6 M1
2(a) f ( w) =  8
 A1
0 otherwise
(2)
(b) E (W ) = 2.6 oe B1
(1)
1
(1.6 − α ) × " " =0.35 M1
(c) 8
α = −1.2 oe A1cso
(2)
1
(d) P(1.2 < W < 2.4) = (2.4 − 1.2) × " " M1
8
3
= or 0.15 oe A1ft
20
(2)
0.4 × " 1 "
(e) P (W > 2 1.2 < W < 2.4 ) = 8 M1
"0.15"
1
= awrt 0.333 A1
3
(2)
The random variable Y is the number of days the train is between 1.2 minutes and 2.4 minutes
(f) M1
late Y~ B ( 40, "0.15")
1 − P(Y ≤ 9) or 1 – 0.9328
P(Y ≥ 10) = M1
= 0.0672 awrt 0.0672 A1 (3)
Notes Total 12
2(a)  p −1.4 < w < 6.6 where p is a probability allow use of ≤ instead
M1 pdf of the form [ f ( w) = ]  of one/both < signs. Allow equivalent for the 0
0 otherwise otherwise. Allow any letter/mix of letters
A1 Fully correct allow use of ≤ instead of one/both < signs. Allow any letter but must be consistent.
(b) B1 2.6 oe
7 2.8
setting up equation (1.6 − α ) × "their p " =
0.35 with 0 < p < 1 or = α 1.6 − "2.8"
and =
20 8
(c) M1 or F(1.6) – F(α) = 0.35 using their F(w) in the form bw + c where 0 < b < 1
1.6
Allow for ∫α "their f ( w)"dw = 0.35 oe with an attempt to integrate (at least one term correct).
A1 cso If using F(1.6) – F(α) = 0.35 then F(w) must be correct. Allow different letters
1
(2.4 − 1.2) × "their p " where "their " is a probability or F(2.4) – F(1.2) using their F(w) in the
8
(d) M1 form bw + c where 0 < b < 1 Implied by 0.15
2.4
Allow for ∫ 1.2
"their f ( w)"dw with an attempt to integrate (at least one term correct).
A1ft Ft their p as long as the answer is a probability
0.4 × "their 1 "
8 or 0.4 implied by 1 Allow for 2.4 "their f ( w)"dw with an attempt to integrate
(e) M1 "their (d)" "1.2" 3 ∫2
(at least one term correct) for numerator
A1 Allow 0.3 or 0.33
(f) M1 Writing or using B(40, " their 0.15") Implied by mean of 40 × "their (d)"
 9.5 or 9 − "their mean" 
M1 Writing or using 1 − P(Y ≤ 9) Allow for 1 − P  z  
 "their sd" 
A1 awrt 0.0672
Question
Scheme Marks
Number
3(a)(i) X  B(10, 0.45) M1
P ( X ≤ 1) = 0.0233 awrt 0.0233 A1

(ii) P(X ≥ 6) = 1 – P ( X ≤ 5) or 1 – 0.7384 M1

= 0.2616… awrt 0.262 A1
(4)
(b) F~N(54, 29.7) M1A1
c + 0.5 − 54 d − 0.5 − 54 M1M1B1
≤ −1.6449 or ≥ 1.6449
29.7 29.7 A1
c = 44 and d = 64 A1cso
(7)
(c) H0: p = 0.45 H1: p < 0.45 B1
Y ~ B(30, 0.45) therefore P(Y ≤ 8) = 0.03... or CR Y ≤ 8 B1
8 is in the critical region or Reject H0 oe or significant dM1
therefore the data collected supports the manufacturer’s claim. A1
(4)
Notes Total 15
(a)(i) M1 Writing or using B(10, 0.45) in (i) or (ii) implied by a correct answer to (i) or (ii)
A1 awrt 0.0233
(ii) M1 For writing or using 1 − P(X ≤ 5) oe
A1 awrt 0.262
(b) M1 For writing or using N(54,…)
A1 For writing or using N(54, 29.7)
For standardising (allow ± ) using their "54" and "29.7" and putting = to z value where
M1 1 < z < 2 Condone missing ±0.5
M1 M1 for using a continuity correction ± 0.5 in standardisation. No need to put = to z value
For using 1.6449 or better (calc gives) 1.64485… Allow if written then gone on to use
B1
1.65 or1.64 or better in equation
A1 One correct inequality. Allow written as an equation. Allow with 1.65/1.64 or better
A1cso All previous marks awarded. Both c and d correct integers
NB: c and d correct with no working can be awarded full marks
(c) B1 Both hypotheses correct in terms of p or π Must be attached to H0 and H1
B1 0.03 or better (0.03120…) or CR stated as Y ≤ 8 oe do not accept P(Y ≤ 8) = ... for CR
Condone 0.97 or better ( 0.96879…)
dM1 Dep on 2nd B1 A correct statement – need not be contextual but do not allow
contradicting non contextual comments.
Allow opposite conclusion if 2-tail hypotheses given.
A1 Correct conclusion for their H1. If H1 is 2- tail the opposite conclusion must be given. No
hypotheses or H1 p > 0.45 is A0. Allow belief instead of claim. Allow the data collected
supports that the proportion/percentage/probability/number/amount oe of flawed
plates has decreased/reduced/is not 0.45/has changed oe
Question
Scheme Marks
Number
4(a) Common Spotted-orchids occur singly/randomly/independently B1
(1)
(b)(i) S ~ Po(4.5)
e −4.5 4.56
P ( S = 6) = or P( S ≤ 6) − P( S ≤ 5) M1
6!
= 0.1281… awrt 0.128 A1
(ii) P(4 < S < 10)= P( S ≤ 9) − P( S ≤ 4) or 0.9829 – 0.5321 M1
= 0.4508 awrt 0.451 A1
(4)
(c) H0 : λ = 9 H1 : λ > 9 B1
M  Po(9) 1 P ( M ≤ 10 )
P( M ≥ 11) =− or P( M ≥ 15) =
0.0415 M1
= 0.294 or CR M ≥ 15 A1
Accept H0 or insignificant or 11 does not lie in the critical region dM1
There is insufficient evidence to support Juan’s belief A1
(5)
(d) T ~ N(90, 90) B1
  69.5 − 90  
P(T < 70) = P  Z < ±    or P(Z < ± 2.160……) awrt 2.16 M1
  90  
= 0.0154 awrt 0.0154 A1
(3)
(e) V ~ Po(200 × 0.012) = Po(2.4) V ~ = Po(2.4) M1
P (V =
0 ) + P (V ==
1) e −2.4 (1 + 2.4) dM1
= 0.30844… awrt 0.308 A1
(3)
Notes Total 16
4(a) B1 One of the given reasons. No context needed
e−λ λ 6
(b)(i) M1 For with any value for λ or writing or using P( S ≤ 6) − P( S ≤ 5)
6!
A1 awrt 0.128
(ii) M1 Writing or using P( S ≤ 9) − P( S ≤ 4)
A1 awrt 0.451
(c) B1 Both hypotheses correct. Must be attached to H0 and H1 in terms of λ or μ. Allow 4.5 instead of 9.
Writing or using Po(9) and 1 − P ( M ≤ 10 ) or P( M ≥ 15) = 0.0415 oe Implied by correct CR or
M1
awrt 0.3 or 0.29… or better (0.2940…)
0.3 or 0.29… or better (0.2940…) or M ≥ 15 oe
A1
SC: Condone P ( X 10 ) = 0.7 or better (0.705988....) for M1A1
dM1 Dep on M1 A1. A correct statement– no context needed but do not allow contradicting non
contextual comments. Allow opposite conclusion if 2-tail hypotheses given.
Correct conclusion. If H0 is 2- tail the opposite conclusion must be given. No hypotheses or H0
λ < 9 gets A0. Allow claim instead of belief. Alternative: There is insufficient evidence to
A1
support hat the number of Common Spotted-orchids has increased/ /is not 9/has changed oe
(with the bold words included).
(d) B1 Writing or using N(90, 90)
M1 Standardising with 68.5 or 69.5 or 70.5 and their mean and sd
A1 awrt 0.0154 NB Poisson gives 0.01275…
(e) M1 Writing or using Po(200 × 0.012) Allow Po(200 × "their d")
dM1 Dependent on using Poison. For using / writing P (V =0 ) + P (V =
1) or e − λ (1 + λ ) or P (V 1) oe
A1 awrt 0.308 NB Binomial gives 0.3066
Question
Scheme Marks
Number
1 5 1
(18t 2 − 2t 3 ) dt + ∫
3
∫
2
5(a) E(T = ) t 2 dt M1
0 50 3 20
3 5 3 5
1  t 4   t 3  3 t4   t3 
=   6t 3 −   +   or =  t3 − + oe A1
 50  2   0  60  3  25 100  0  60  3
1  3 34   125 27  1  81   25 9 
= 6×3 −  +  −  or = 162 −  +  −  oe M1d
50  2   60 60  50  2   12 20 
1219
= = 4.063...
300
4.063..." − (1.66 )
" 2
Var(T )
= M1
= 1.3077… awrt 1.31 A1
(5)
1 t 3 1 M1
(b) ∫
3 20
dx + C where C = 0.9 or ∫
0 50
(18 − 2t ) dt or using F(5) =1 to find C
 0 t<0 B1

(18 − 2t )
2
1
 (2
18t − t or 1.62 − ) 0≤t ≤3 A1
 F ( t ) =   50 200
 1 A1
 t + 0.75 3<t ≤5
20
 (4)
 1 t >5
1 2 1
(c) P (T > 2 ) =1 − "
50
(18 × 2 − 22 ) " or 1 − ∫
0 50
(18 − 2t ) dt M1

9
= or 0.36 A1
25
(2)
(d) P(0 < T < 3.66) = F(3.66) M1
= 0.933 A1
(2)
Notes Total 13
(a) M1 Intention to find E (T 2 ) correctly. They must add the 2 integrals and attempt to integrate (at least
one term x n → x n +1 ). Algebraic integration must be seen. Ignore limits. Allow as part of Var(T)
condone " – (1.66)2" occurring twice. If no algebraic integration shown it is M0
A1 Correct integration
M1d dep on previous M being awarded for correct limits and attempt to substitute. If no working shown
An attempt may be implied by a correct answer or 1219/300 or 243/100 or 49\30 oe
M1 For their E (T 2 ) – 1.662
A1 awrt 1.31 Allow 2452 / 1875 oe
(b) M1 For a correct method to find the 3rd line including limits unless using F(5) = 1 method.
B1 2nd line correct – any letter. Ignore missing inequality
A1 3rd line correct– any letter. Ignore missing inequality
A1 Fully correct CDF All in terms of the same letter (Ignore LHS). Allow < instead of ≤ and vice
versa. Allow "otherwise" for the range on the 1st or last line but not both.
(c) M1 For finding 1 − F(2) using their second line or starting again. Must subst in 2
A1 cao
(d) M1 For realising they need F(3.66) Allow F(3.66) [– F(0)] allow F("their mean +2") [– F(0)]
A1 Cao allow answer as a fraction
Question
Scheme Marks
Number
6(a) A sampling distribution is all the values of a statistic and the associated
probabilities B1
or the probability distribution of the statistic.
(1)
(b) P(small(40)) = 0.5, P(medium(80)) = 0.3, P(large(150)) = 0.2 B1
Range (R) 0, 40, 70, 110 B1
 P ( R = 0 ) =  "0.5"3 + "0.3"3 + "0.2"3 = 0.16 M1
(40,40,80) (40,80,80)
(80,80,150) (80,150,150) B1
(40,40,150) (40,80,150) (40,150,150)
 P ( R = 40 ) =  3 × ("0.5"× "0.3"2 ) + 3 × ("0.5"2 × "0.3")
 P ( R = 70 ) =  3 × ("0.3"2 × "0.2") + 3 × ("0.3"× "0.2"2 ) =0.09 M1
M1
 P ( R =110 ) =  3 × ("0.5"2 × "0.2") + 3 × ("0.5"+ "0.2"2 ) + 6 × ("0.5"× "0.3"× "0.2") =0.39
R 0 40 70 110
A1cao
r 0.16 0.36 0.09 0.39
(7)
(c) (1 − "0.09") < 0.2 or
n
("0.91") < 0.2
n
M1
[ n >]17.065... M1
n = 18 A1
(3)
Notes Total 11
6(a) B1 A correct explanation with the words in bold. Allow equivalent words eg outcomes for
values
(b) B1 Correct probabilities – may be seen in an equation or implied by a correct probability
for R = 0 or for 2 correct probabilities from those for R =40, R =70, R =110
B1 All four ranges correct with no extra.
M1 Correct method for finding P(R = 0)
All the correct combinations for R = 40, 70 and 110. R= 0 combinations are not
required but no incorrect combinations must be seen (may use bag size rather than
B1 numbers in bag) May be implied by a correct probability for P(R = 40), P(R = 70) and
P(R = 110) or by correct working seen for each of the 7 combinations (no need for the
number of ways of arranging ie 3 × or 6 × ) eg (40,40,80) = 0.52 × 0.3
M1 Correct method for one of the probabilities for P(R = 40), P(R = 70), P(R = 110)
Correct method for a second probability for P(R = 40), P(R = 70), P(R = 110) or the 4
M1
probabilities add up to 1.
A1 Correct answer only. Allow answers as a fraction. Need not be in a table but
probabilities must be attached to the correct range
(c) M1 Setting up a correct inequality using their 0.09 Allow written as an equation.
log 0.2
For 17.1 or better allow or log"0.91"0.2 oe If inequality/equation is incorrect
log"0.91"
M1
but of the form ( p ) n < 0.2 ( p ) n = 0.2 where 0 < p < 1 this mark can be awarded if
working is shown
A1 18 do not accept n > 18 or n < 18 if final answer
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