BE Merged
BE Merged
It is turning a crisis into an opportunity. One such example is that the production of PPE kits
and N-95 masks in India has gone up from almost being negligible to 2 lakh each, daily.
Remaking that self-reliance is the only way out for India. Self-reliance will make
globalization human-centric. The definition of self-reliance has changed in a globalized
world and it is different from being self-centred. India’s fundamental thinking and tradition of
“Vasudhaiva Kutumbakam” provides a ray of hope to the world.
Self-reliance does not mean cutting India off from the world. India believes in the welfare of
the world and India’s progress is linked with the world. The world trusts that India has a lot
to contribute to the development of the entire humanity.
It also stressed on the need to be vocal for local products and urged people to buy only local
products.
Bold reforms across sectors will drive the country’s push towards self-reliance.
To shoot growth and to build a self-reliant India, Atmanirbhar Bharat Abhiyan rests on 5
important pillars:
Economy: contemplates not an Incremental change but a quantum leap so that we can
convert the current adversity into an advantage.
Infrastructure: that can be an image of modern India or it can be the identity of India.
Systems: driven by 21st-century technology, and that is not based on old rules.
Democracy: a vibrant democracy that is the source of energy to make India self-
reliant.
Demand: where the strength of our demand and supply chain is utilized intelligently.
Recently, the government announced an economic stimulus package of Rs 20 lakh crore and
big-bang systemic reforms under the Atma Nirbhar Bharat Abhiyan (self-reliant India).
The intended objective of this plan is two-fold. First, interim measures such as liquidity
infusion and direct cash transfers for the poor will work as shock absorbers for those in acute
stress.
The second, long-term reforms in growth-critical sectors to make them globally competitive
and attractive.
Together, these steps may revive the economic activity, impacted by Covid-19 pandemic and
create new opportunities for growth in sectors like agriculture, micro, small and medium
enterprises (MSMEs), power, coal and mining, defence and aviation,etc.
However, there are several challenges that are needed to be addressed in order to fulfil the
vision of this plan.
Primary Sector: The measures (reforms to amend APMC, Contract framing, etc)
announced for the agricultural and allied sectors are particularly transformative.
These reforms are steps towards the One Nation One Market objective and help India
become the food factory of the world.
These would finally help in achieving the goal of a self-sustainable rural economy.
Also, the MGNREGA infusion of Rs 40,000 crore may help in alleviating the distress of
migrants when they return to their villages.
Secondary Sector: Given the importance of MSMEs for Indian economy, the Rs 3 lakh
crore collateral-free loan facility for MSMEs under the package will help this finance-
starved sector and thereby provide a kickstart to the dismal state of the economy.
Also, as the MSME sector is the second largest employment generating sector in India,
this step will help to sustain the labour-intensive industries and thereby help in leveraging
India’s comparative advantage.
Additionally, limiting imports of weapons and increasing the limit of foreign direct
investment in defence from 49% to 74% will give a much-needed boost to the production
in the Ordnance Factory Board, while reducing India’s huge defence import bill.
Tertiary Sector: The government has adopted a balanced approach in addressing concerns
across sectors. For example:
The newly launched PM e-Vidya programme for multi-mode access to digital online
education provides a uniform learning platform for the whole nation, which shall enable
schools and universities to stream courses online without further loss of teaching hours.
Public expenditure on health will be increased by investing in grass root health institutions
and ramping up health and wellness centres in rural and urban areas.
Associated Challenges
Issues Related to Liquidity: The package of Rs 20 lakh crore comprises both fiscal and
monetary measures, the latter being in the nature of credit guarantees and liquidity infusions
into banks and other financial sector institutions rather than the economy per se.
Majority of the package is liquidity measures that are supposed to be transmitted by RBI
to Banks and Banks to Citizens. This transmission wouldn’t be as smooth owing to
inefficient transmission of monetary policy.
Lack of Demand: The lockdown has lowered aggregate demand, and a fiscal stimulus is
needed. However, the package, by relying overwhelmingly on credit infusion to boost the
economy, has failed to recognise that investment will pick up only when people across
income segments have money to spend.
Lack of Backward and Forward Linkages: Unless the rest of the domestic economy is
revived, the MSME sector may face a shortage of demand, and its production may soon
sputter to a close.
Burgeoning Fiscal Deficit: Government claims that the stimulus package is around 10% of
India’s GDP. However, financing it would be difficult as the government is worried about
containing the fiscal deficit.
Difficulty in Mobilising Finances: The government seeks a disinvestment to mobilise the
finances for the plan.
However, the majority of Indian industries are already a bit debt-laden to take up the stake
in PSUs.
Further, it is difficult to borrow the foreign markets, as rupee with respect to dollar is all
time low.
Steps to Be Taken
Enhancing Demand: The economic package for the country emerging out of the lockdown
requires a stimulus enhancing demand across the economy.
The rest may have to come from privatisation, taxation, loans and more international aid.
Holistic Reforms: Any stimulus package will fail to reflect the trickle-down effect, until and
unless it is backed by reforms in various sectors.
Thus, Atma nirbhar plan also encompasses the unfinished agenda of holistic reforms
which may include reforms in Civil services, Education, Skill and Labour, etc.
Business Environment and its salient features
India is a country of land and people. It has a huge customer base. It is rich in its natural
resources and is highly adaptive to changing business environment. In some areas like
technology and political stability, it requires some wise steps. With all these virtues India has
become a favourite destination of other countries to expand their business. India is expanding
domestically as well as globally to compete with other powerful business nations so as to get
its desired share of world economic growth.
The term business refers to the development and processing of economic values in society.
The scope of business is very wide. Business enterprise is a part of society and the business
environment has direct relationship with the policy of the enterprise. Business enterprise
possesses the following characteristics: a. Dealings in Goods and Services b. Production
and/or Exchange, c. Creation of form, time and place utility d. Regularity and Continuity in
Dealings. i.e. Profit Motive
The environment may impose several constraints on the enterprise. The enterprise on the
other hand, has very little control over its environment. Therefore, the success of an
enterprise depends to a very large extent on its adaptability to the environment, i.e., its ability
to identify itself with the environment and fit in with the environmental framework.
The business activities may be grouped under two broad headings, viz., (1) Industry and (2)
Commerce. A business undertaking, which deals with growing, extracting, manufacturing, or
construction is called an industrial enterprise. On the other hand, a business undertaking,
which is concerned with exchange (buying and selling) of goods and services, or with
activities that are incidental to trade, like transport, warehousing, banking, insurance and
advertising, is called a commercial enterprise.
The Scope of business environment
Business environment consists of factors that are internal and external which poses threats to
a firm or these provide opportunities for exploitation. In business all the activities are being
organized and also carried out by the people to satisfy the needs of the consumers. So, it is an
activity carried out by the people for the people which means people occupy a central place
around which all the activities revolve. It poses a huge challenge for today’s and especially
tomorrow’s businessmen and managers to be aware of specific changes so as to keep
themselves well-informed with the latest happenings in the field of business to maintain their
survival and sustainability in the market. Therefore, the study of business environment is of
extreme importance for the managers and practitioners.
There are two more factors which are which exercise considerable influence on business.
They are physical or natural environment and global environment. Therefore, we will study
the following environmental factors one by one.
• Global Environment
• Natural Environment
• Political – Legal Environment
• Economic Environment
• Socio-Economic Environment
• Technological Environment
Business environment is becoming very complex day by day as some environmental issues
such as deforestation, global warming, depletion of the ozone layer, pollution of land, air and
water. The leading politicians and managers around the world have picked up the
environmental banner.
The green marketing movement has been gaining momentum around the world. The
businesses are challenged today to develop creative ways to make profits without unduly
harming the existing environment. Considering the variety of these sources of change in the
environment, global managers are challenged to keep themselves abreast and adjust as
necessary. Some companies like Daewoo, Hyundai, Maruti, Tata and Hero-Honda in India,
with their pollution prevention programmes are leading the way. Indeed, cleaning up the
environment promises to generate whole new classes of jobs in the future.
Disappeared are the days when business was heavily protected and subsidized, licenses,
quotas and restrictions were the order of the day. Now competition is the name of modern
business. Businessmen always stand on the brink of a fear to eliminate from the market. They
stand on their feet to cut down costs, to eliminate deficiencies and incessant improvement in
the quality are order of the day. But by the competition, consumer is obviously benefited by
the diverse openings of different competitors.
Customers:
Today with the advancement of technology and because of foreign collaborations, it has
become easy to manufacture any product, but it is still very difficult to sell i.e., to create,
increase and sustain the customers. Every day we watch a new advertisement thus monitoring
the customer sensitivity is, therefore, a prerequisite for the business success. How many
different categories of customers shall be there to buy a product, depends upon the product
itself? Customers should be many, because it is risky to depend upon a single customer, who
tomorrow may shift to another competitor or press for reduction in price or may close his
business to undertake another more profitable venture, etc.
c. Competitors:
This factor is based upon the desired competition amongst the sellers. In other words, the
primary task of firm is to influence the basic desire of the customer to buy only their product
and no other product. This desire can be created in the customer by giving various incentives.
Another factor is the brand competition i.e., the competition between the different brands of
the same product form.
d. Public:
Public means a group of people. Public opinion can be a threat to a business firm whereas it
can be an opportunity for another business firm. Public normally forms an opinion about
different brands of the same product after using the same.
The second is the Media publics where media tries to impact the image of a business firm by
giving own reasons or logic, and this adversely affects the business of the firm. Its share price
may also get affected and the third is Local publics.
e. Marketing Intermediaries:
Marketing Intermediaries are those firms/individuals who help the company in promoting,
selling and distributing its goods to final buyers.
Macro environment of Business
Technological There are two more factors which are which exercise considerable influence
on business. They are physical or natural environment and global environment. Therefore, we
will study the following environmental factors one by one.
• Global Environment
• Natural Environment
• Political – Legal Environment
• Economic Environment
• Socio-Economic Environment
• Technological Environment
Business environment is becoming very complex day by day as some environmental issues
such as deforestation, global warming, depletion of the ozone layer, pollution of land, air and
water. The leading politicians and managers around the world have picked up the
environmental banner.
The green marketing movement has been gaining momentum around the world. The
businesses are challenged today to develop creative ways to make profits without unduly
harming the existing environment. Considering the variety of these sources of change in the
environment, global managers are challenged to keep themselves abreast and adjust as
necessary. Some companies like Daewoo, Hyundai, Maruti, Tata and Hero-Honda in India,
with their pollution prevention programmes are leading the way. Indeed, cleaning up the
environment promises to generate whole new classes of jobs in the future.
Technological Environment of business
It is obvious that technology must attend to the basic problems of food, clothing, health and
housing of people. At the same time rapid industrial development through latest technology is
necessary to catch up with advanced countries. With these objectives in mind, Government of
India set-up series of R &D establishments, space research centre, Medical research centres,
agricultural research establishments, oil explorations centres, power development projects
and the council of scientific and industrial research. Besides, several universities and
institutes have been set-up to provide higher education in science, technology and
management.
Economic Environment of Business
It is difficult to be precise about the factors which constitute the economic environment of a
country. But still there are some factors which have considerable influence. These factors are:
(a) Growth strategy(b) Economic system(c) Economic plannin(d) Industry(e) Agriculture(f)
Infrastructure(g) Financial and fiscal sector(h) Removal of regional imbalances(i) Price and
distribution control(j) Economic Reforms
While studying business environment it is also important to understand the economic systems
under which business works.
1. Economic System: The scope of a private business and the extent ofgovernmentregulation
of economic activities depends to a very large extent on the nature of economic system,
which is an important part of business environment. Broadly the economic system is divided
into three groups:
(a) Capitalism(b) Socialism(c) Communism
(a) Capitalism
The system of capitalism stresses the philosophy of individualism believing in private
ownership of all agents of production, in private sharing of distribution processes that
determine the functions rewards of each participant, and in individual expression of consumer
choice through a free market place. The capitalist system is also known as free enterprise
economy and market economy.
Two types of capitalism may be distinguished, viz., (i) The old, laissez-fair capitalism, where
government intervention in the economy is absent or negligible; and
(ii) The modern, regulated or mixed capitalism, where there is a substantial amount of
government intervention.
(b) Socialism
Under socialism, the tools of production are to be organized, managed and owned by the
government, with the benefits occurring to the public.
A strong public sector, agrarian reforms, control over private wealth. Socialism believes in
providing employment to all and emphasizes suitable rewards to the efforts put in by every
worker.
(c) Communism
Communism goes further to abolish all private property and property rights to income. The
state would own and direct all instruments of production. Sharing in the distributive process
would have no relationship to private property since this right would not exist. Communism
was followed in Russia, China and East European Countries.
Political Environment
The influence of political environment of business is enormous. The political system
prevailing in a country decides, promotes, fosters, encourages, shelters, directs and controls
the business activities of that countries. A political system which is stable, honest, efficient
and dynamic and which ensures political participation of the people, and assures personal
security to the citizens, is primary factor for growth of any business.
Socio-economic Environment
Social and cultural environment refers to the influence exercised by certain social factors. All
such factors come under one head that is culture.
Culture:
In its true sense culture is understood as that complex whole which includes knowledge,
belief, art, morals, law, customs and other capabilities and habits acquired by individual as a
member of a society. Culture of a society is shared by its members. Cultural ethos is passed
from one generation to other generation. It is not confined to one particular period of time.
The interface between business and culture can be concise as
follows: a) Culture creates people. b) Culture determines goods and services. c) It defines
people’s attitude to business and to work. d) Explains the spirit of collectivism and
individualism. e) Defines whether people are Ambitions or complacent. f) Education g)
Family h) Authority i) Marriage j) Time Dimension k) Cultural Resources.
Natural Environment
Equally significant, are the factors like climate, minerals, soil, landform, rivers and oceans,
coast lines, natural resources, flora and fauna etc. Which have considerable influence on the
functioning of a business. It is the natural environment which decides the resources for any
business. Manufacturing, which is one of the aspects of business, depends on physical
environment for inputs like raw material, labour of various skills, water, fuel etc. Trade
between two regions of a nation or between two nations is the result of geographic factors.
Because of natural factors, certain areas are more suitable for production of certain goods and
other areas are in need of such goods. Transportation and communication, the main properties
of business, depend to a larger extent on geographic factors. Uneven landforms, desserts,
oceans, forest, rivers etc. are barriers to develop this vital infrastructure. Some businesses like
mining of coal and ores, drilling of oil and most important agriculture which depends most on
nature. Thus, the impact of natural environment cannot be ignored moreover it should be
given top priority for any successful business.
Business environment is becoming very complex day by day as some environmental issues
such as deforestation, global warming, depletion of the ozone layer, pollution of land, air and
water. The leading politicians and managers around the world have picked up the
environmental banner.
The green marketing movement has been gaining momentum around the world. The
businesses are challenged today to develop creative ways to make profits without unduly
harming the existing environment. Considering the variety of these sources of change in the
environment, global managers are challenged to keep themselves abreast and adjust as
necessary. Some companies like Daewoo, Hyundai, Maruti, Tata and Hero-Honda in India,
with their pollution prevention programmes are leading the way. Indeed, cleaning up the
environment promises to generate whole new classes of jobs in the future.
Important characteristics of business environment in India
Co-Existence of Public and Private Sector:
Indian business environment is characterized by the co-existence of both public and private
sector in respect of its participation in various economic activities in the country.
Another features of Indian business environment is that it has to face low income level of the
people in general as an important economic parameter for determining its economic
activities.
Capital deficiency is one of the important features of the Indian business environment. Both
the amount of capital available per head and the present rate of capital formation in India is
very low. This low level of capital formation in India is due to weakness of the inducement
to invest and also due to low propensity and capacity to save.
Under-Utilization of Capacity:
The business environment of the country is also subjected to the problem of lack of
diversification in its industry, trade and other related activities.
Financial Market:
Indian business environment is also supported by under developed financial market. Financial
market is suffering from lack of resilience and adequate and free uninterrupted flow of
institutional credit towards business units.
Growing industrial disputes and the slow pace of labour reforms introduced by the
Government has affected the business environment of the country.
Government Interference:
There is lack of single window clearance and lack of administration efficiency in respect of
industrial licensing. The business enterprises have to face the problem of red-tapism,
harassment, corruption, undue delay etc
Extent of Market:
The business enterprises of the country is also suffering from lack of diversification of its
export market. However, considering the natural advantage available in the country, the
country would be able to diversify its export market particularly in respect of its agro-
processed industries, services sector, information technology sectors etc.
Although the country has developed a wide network of transportation system throughout the
country but its frequent interruption as a result of natural calamities like flood, landslides etc.
Promotion of business environment also depends on the smooth flow of foreign investment in
various sectors. But the country is suffering from tardy flow of foreign investment, which
goes against the promotion of business environment in the country.
That change is the law of nature squarely applies to environment also. The various influences
operating on an unabated manner make the environment continuously changing. This, in turn,
makes the environment dynamic in nature.
Environment is multi-faceted:
The environment is perceived differently by different perceivers or observers. For example, the
new development like business agreement between America and India, is perceived as opportunity
by some while threat by others .
Environment has far-reaching impact:
Business enterprise operates within a given environment and gets affected by it. The growth and
profitability of business depends critically on environment. Thus, the environment has a far-
reaching impact on business organizations.
Economic Environment
Economic environment consists of economic factors that influence the business in a country.
These factors include gross national product, corporate profits, inflation rate, employment,
balance of payments, interest rates, consumer income, etc.
Social Environment:
It describes the characteristics of the society in which the organization exists and operates.
Literacy rate, customs, values, beliefs, lifestyle, demographic features, and mobility of population
form the social environment of a business. It is important for entrepreneurs to notice the direction
in which the society is moving and formulate progressive business policies according to the
changing social scenario.
Political Environment
It comprises the political stability and the policies of the government. Ideological inclination of
political parties, personal interests of politicians, influence of the party forums etc. on business
create political environment.
Legal Environment:
This consists of legislation that is passed by the parliament and state legislatures relating to
business enterprises. Examples of such legislation specifically aimed at business operations include
the Trade Mark Act , Essential Commodities Act , Standards of Weights and Measures Act , and
Consumer Protection Act etc.
Technological Environment:
It includes the level of technology available in a country. It also indicates the pace of research and
development and progress made in introducing modem technology in production. Technology provides
capital-intensive but cost-effective alternatives to traditional labour-intensive methods.
Coronavirus is a large family of viruses that causes illness. It ranges from the common cold
to more severe diseases like Middle East Respiratory Syndrome and Severe Acute
Respiratory Syndrome. The novel coronavirus is a new strain of virus that has not been
identified in human so far.
WHO is working closely with global experts, governments, and other health organisations to
provide advice to the countries about precautionary and preventive measures.
To combat with COVID-19, Indian Government extended the date of lockdown time to time.
Recently an industry survey that is jointly conducted by industry body FICCI and tax
consultancy Dhruva advisors and took responses from about 380 companies across the
sectors. It is said that businesses are wrestling with "tremendous uncertainty" about their
future.
According to the survey, COVID-19 is having a 'deep impact' on Indian businesses, over the
coming month's jobs are at high risk because firms are looking for some reduction in
manpower. Further, it is added that already COVID-19 crisis has caused an unprecedented
collapse in economic activities over the last few weeks.
The present situation is having a "high to very high" level impact on their business according
to almost 72 per cent respondents. Further, 70 per cent of the surveyed firms are expecting a
degrowth sales in the fiscal year 2020-21.Surveyed firms of around 60 per cent have
postponed their fund-raising plans for the next 6-12 months. Also, nearly 25 per cent of the
firms have decided the same.
According to Dun & Bradstreet, COVID-19 disrupted human lives and global supply chain
but the pandemic is a severe demand shock which has offset the green shoots of recovery of
the Indian economy that was visible towards the end of 2019 and early 2020.
The revised Gross Domestic Product (GDP) estimates for India downwards by 0.2 percentage
points for the fiscal year 2020 to 4.8 per cent and by 0.5 per cent for the fiscal year 2021 to 6
per cent. Further, it is stated that the extent of the actual impact will depend upon the severity
and duration of the outbreak.
There are three major channels of impact for Indian businesses according to the report
namely linkages, supply chain and macroeconomic factors. The data of the Dun & Bradstreet
shows that at least 6,606 Indian entities have legal linkages with companies in countries with
a large number of confirmed COVID-19 cases.
Business activity in the foreign markets is slow which implies a negative impact on the top
line of these companies. Sectors that would be much affected includes logistics, auto,
tourism, metals, drugs, pharmaceuticals, electronic goods, MSMEs and retail among others.
Further, according to the World Bank's assessment, India is expected to grow 1.5 per cent to
2.8 per cent. And IMF projected a GDP growth of 1.9 per cent for India in 2020 because the
global economy is affected by the COVID pandemic, the worst recession since the Great
Depression in the 1930s. Also, we can't ignore that the lockdown and pandemic hit several
sectors including MSME, hospitality, civil aviation, agriculture and allied sector.
According to KPMG, the lockdown in India will have a sizeable impact on the economy
mainly on consumption which is the biggest component of GDP.
Reduction in the urban transaction can lead to a steep fall in the consumption of non-essential
goods. It can be severe if disruption causes by the 21-day lockdown and affect the availability
of essential commodities.
Due to weak domestic consumption and consumer sentiment, there can be a delay in
investment which further add pressure on the growth.
Post-COVID-19, some economies are expected to adopt de-risking strategies and shift their
manufacturing bases from China. This can create opportunities for India.
According to KPMG, opportunities will largely depend on how quickly the economy
recovers and the pace at which the supply chain issues are addressed.
In terms of trade, China is the world’s largest exporter and second-largest importer. It
accounts for 13% of world exports and 11% of world imports.
Up to a large extent, it will impact the Indian industry. In imports, the dependence of India on
China is huge. Of the top 20 products (at the two-digit of HS Code) that India imports from
the world, China accounts for a significant share in most of them.
India’s total electronic imports account for 45% of China. Around one-third of machinery and
almost two-fifths of organic chemicals that India purchases from the world come from China.
For automotive parts and fertilisers China’s share in India’s import is more than 25%. Around
65 to 70% of active pharmaceutical ingredients and around 90% of certain mobile
phones come from China to India.
Therefore, due to the current outbreak of coronavirus in China, the import dependence on
China will have a significant impact on the Indian industry.
In terms of export, China is India’s 3rd largest export partner and accounts for around 5%
share. The impact may result in the following sectors namely organic chemicals, plastics, fish
products, cotton, ores, etc. Also, it can’t be ignored that most of the Indian companies are
located in the eastern part of China. In China, about 72% of companies in India are located in
cities like Shanghai, Beijing, provinces of Guangdong, Jiangsu, and Shandong. In various
sectors, these companies work including Industrial manufacturing, manufacturing services, IT
and BPO, Logistics, Chemicals, Airlines, and tourism.
It has been seen that some sectors of India have been impacted by the outbreak of coronavirus
in China including shipping, pharmaceuticals, automobiles, mobiles, electronics, textiles, etc.
Also, a supply chain may affect some disruptions associates with industries and
markets. Overall, the impact of coronavirus in the industry is moderate.
According to CLSA report, pharma, chemicals, and electronics businesses may face supply-
chain issues and prices will go up by 10 percent. The report also says that India could also be
a beneficiary of positive flows since it appears to be the least-impacted market. Some
commodities like metals, upstream and downstream oil companies, could witness the impact
of lower global demand impacting commodity prices.
According to CII, GDP could fall below 5% in FY 2021 if policy action is not taken urgently.
It is said that the government should take some strong fiscal stimulus to the extent of 1% of
GDP to the poor, which would help them financially and also manage consumer demand.
In the third quarter (October-December) growth is slowed down to 4.7% and the impact of
COVID-19 will further be seen in the fourth quarter.
FICCI survey showed 53% of Indian businesses have indicated a marked impact of COVID-
19 on business operations. And 42% of the respondents said that up to three months could
take for normalcy to return.
Chemical Industry:
Some chemical plants have been shut down in China. So, there will be restrictions on
shipments/logistics. It was found that 20% of the production has been impacted due to the
disruption in raw material supply. China is a major supplier of Indigo that is required for
denim. Business in India is likely to get affected so people securing their supplies. However,
it is an opportunity. US and EU will try and diversify their markets. Some of the business can
be diverted to India which can also be taken as an advantage.
Shipping Industry: Coronavirus outbreak has impacted the business of cargo movement
service providers. As per the sources, per day per vessel has declined by more than 75-80% in
dry bulk trade.
Auto Industry: Its impact on Indian companies will vary and depend upon the extent of the
business with China. China’s business no doubt is affected. However, current levels of the
inventory seem to be sufficient for the Indian industry. If the shutdown in China continues
then it is expected to result in an 8-10% contraction of Indian auto manufacturing in 2020.
Pharmaceuticals Industry: Despite being one of the top formulations of drug exporters in the
world, the pharma industry of India relies heavily on import as of bulk drugs. Due to the
coronavirus outbreak, it will also be impacted.
Electronics Industry: The major supplier is China in electronics being a final product or raw
material used in the electronic industry. India’s electronic industry may face supply
disruptions, production, reduction impact on product prices due to heavy dependence on
electronics component supply directly or indirectly and local manufacturing.
IT Industry: The New Year holidays in China has been extended due to coronavirus outbreak
that adversely impacted the revenue and growth of Indian IT companies.
Tourism and Aviation: Due to the coronavirus outbreak, the inflow of tourists from China
and from other East Asian regions to India will lose that will impact the tourism sector and
revenue.
An outbreak of COVID-19 impacted the whole world and has been felt across industries. The
outbreak is declared as a national emergency by the World Health Organisation. In India the
three major contributors to GDP namely private consumption, investment and external trade
will all get affected. World and Indian economy are attempting to mitigate the health risks of
COVID-19 with the economic risks and necessary measures needed will be taken to improve
it.
Divergent performance in India after lockdown
At the end of the third quarter, the economy is showing a hugely divergent
performance.
Construction equipment are showing a huge recovery, with record sales numbers in
the last three months, driven by rural demand from sales to individuals.
Capital goods are still sluggish with YTD numbers well down on last year, but are
now showing some signs of life.
In contrast, travel and tourism, real-estate and construction, and retail, are all still at
under half last year.
These are high employment sectors, and salaried employment has correspondingly
taken a big hit, with potentially longer-term effects.
Full recovery means getting back to the trend line of growth where we would have
been pre-COVID.
We need to aspire to grow 9 per cent for three years, which is what will get us back to
our 5 per cent trend line of growth by 2024.
The recovery underway is solid, but we need measures to sustain and deepen it.
The government can do three things.
The most immediate fiscal stimulus possible is to put cash into the economy.
Distribute the pending tax refunds, pay the bills of all companies, pay off the
arbitration awards pending where the government has lost cases, and pay state
governments their pending GST dues.
All this will run into a few trillion rupees, and it will be cash that immediately
stimulates the economy.
Invest in infrastructure
Privatisation program
Government can manage the resource for spending through privatisation program.
Our current stock market boom says that buyers are ready to invest. But public-sector
stock values are still depressed.
The best way to see them take off is to announce that the government intends to
reduce its share-holding to 26 per cent across public-sector banks, steel companies, oil
companies, and every manufacturing company and hotel it currently owns.
To avoid opposition to such reforms, we must operate consistent with our democratic
institutions.
Demonetisation
Demonetisation is the act of stripping a currency unit of its status as legal tender. It occurs
whenever there is a change of national currency and the current form or forms of money
is pulled from circulation and retired, often to be replaced with new notes or coins.
Demonetisation was an expeditious move to boldly counter the black money and parallel
economy (illegal economy, such as money laundering, smuggling, etc.) threat with visible
impact on how the government's policies are perceived in international circles of economic
power.
This move by the government achieved larger significance for a globally connected India as
it showed boldness in tackling an issue which has remained a thorn in the growth success
story of this generation.
8th November 2020 marked the four-year anniversary of demonetisation, when Rs. 500 and
Objectives of Demonetisation:
To discourage the use of high-denomination notes for illegal transactions and thus curb the
widespread use of black money.
The formalisation of the economy means bringing companies under the regulatory
regime of government and subject to laws related to manufacturing and income tax.
It was launched by the Income Tax Department (CBDT) for e-verification of large cash
deposits made during the period from 9th November to 30th December 2016.
The programme was launched on 31st January 2017 and entered into the second phase in
May 2017.
It aimed to verify cash transaction status (exchange/savings of banned notes) of taxpayers
during the demonetisation period and to take tax enforcement action if transactions do not
match the tax status.
Currency with public stood at Rs. 17.97 lakh crore on 4th November 2016 and declined to
Rs 7.8 lakh crore in January 2017 after demonetisation.
Currency with Public: As per the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) definition, currency with
public is arrived at after deducting cash with banks from total currency in circulation.
Demands fell, businesses faced a crisis and gross domestic product (GDP) growth
declined nearly 1.5%, with many small units and shops being shut down and it
also created a liquidity shortage.
Liquidity shortages or crises arise when financial institutions and industrial companies
scramble for, and cannot find the cash they require to meet their most urgent needs or
undertake their most valuable projects.
Current Trends:
Currency with Public: On 23rd October 2020, the currency with the public stood at a
record high of Rs. 26.19 lakh crore, up 45.7% from November 2016.
The pace of rise in currency with the public has been very sharp over the last 10
months as it has risen from Rs. 21.79 lakh crore as on 3rd January 2020 to the current
number in October 2020.
The hike was mainly driven by a rush for cash by the public between March and May
amidst the stringent lockdowns to tackle the spread of the Covid-19 pandemic.
It shows that the cash in the system has been steadily rising, even though the government
and the RBI had pushed for a less-cash society, digitisation of payments and slapped
restrictions on the use of cash in various transactions.
Tax Revenues: Along with demonetisation, the introduction of the Goods and Services
Tax (GST), the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC), Real Estate (Regulation and
Development) Act 2016 and Benami Transactions (Prohibition) Amendment Act,
2016 encouraged compliance such that the number of income tax returns and the number
of income tax filers grew at a healthy rate in 2017 and 2018.
Counterfeit Currency: In the year 2015-16, more than 4 lakh fake notes of Rs. 500 and Rs.
1,000 were captured. This number reduced to 45,400 fake notes of Rs. 500 and Rs. 2,000
in 2018-19. However, the number of fake notes among the new design notes of Rs.
500 more than doubled with an increase of 121% whereas those of Rs. 2000 increased by
21.9% over the previous year during 2018-19, according to the annual report of RBI.
Terrorism: It was believed that stopping the high-value currency from circulating will
restrict funds used for terrorist activities which will gradually decrease the terrorist
activities in the country. But, on the contrary, the number of such incidences rose in the
years 2016, 2017, and 2018, compared to 2015.
While 728 people died in terrorist activities in 2015; the number of casualties rose to
905, 812, and 940 in such activities in 2016, 2017, and 2018, according to the South
Asia Terrorism Portal (SATP) data.
Merits of Demonetization
Demonetization policy of the Government has been termed as the greatest financial
reform that aimed to curb the black money, corruption and counterfeit currency notes.
All the people who are not involved in malpractices welcomed the demonetization as
the right move.
Demonetization was done to help India to become corruption-free as it will be
difficult now to keep the unaccounted cash.
Demonetization will help the government to track the black money and the
unaccounted cash will now flow no more and the amount collected by means of tax
can be better utilized for the public welfare and development schemes.
One of the biggest achievements of demonetization has been seen in the drastic curb
of terrorist activities as it has stopped the funding the terrorism which used to get a
boost due to inflow of unaccounted cash and fake currency in large volume.
Money laundering will eventually come to halt as the activity can easily be tracked
and the money can be seized by the authorities.
Demonetization aimed to stop the running of parallel economy due to circulation of
fake currency as the banning of Rs.500 and Rs. 1000 notes will eliminate their
circulation.
The unaccounted cash could be deposited in the Pradhan Mantri Garib Kalyan Yojana
after paying 50% tax. The money will remain deposited for 4 years with the bank
without incurring any interest. However, after 4 years the amount will be returned.
This amount can be utilized for social welfare schemes and making the life of low
income groups better.
The Public Sector Banks which were reeling under deposit crunch and were running
short of funds have suddenly swelled with lot of money which can be used for future
finances and loans after keeping a certain amount of reserve as per RBI guidelines.
The people who opened the Jan Dhan accounts will now use their accounts and
become familiar with banking activitiy. The money deposited in these accounts can be
used for the developmental activity of the country.
The tax collected due to launch of demonetization policy will be put to developmental
activities in the country.
Demonetization has driven the country towards a cashless society. Lakhs of the
people even in remote rural areas have started resorting to use the cashless
transactions. The move has promoted banking activities. Now even the small
transactions have started going through banking channels and the small savings have
turned into a huge national asset.
The high rising price pattern and inflationary trends which the Indian economy was
facing are taking a down turn making the living possible within low income group
reach.
Demerits
The very next day of announcing the demonetization, the BSE Sensex and NIFTY 50 stock
indices fell over 6%. The severe cash shortages brought detrimental impact on the
economy. People trying to exchange their bank notes had to stand in lengthy queues causing
many deaths due to inconvenience and rush.
The sudden announcement has made adverse impact on business and economy.
Instead of a growing economy India has become a standstill and no growth economy.
It is feared that a fall of 2-3% in the GDP growth will be recorded coming year.
India is an agriculture-based economy. Due to the cash crunch, the farmers especially
small and marginal who largely depend on cash to buy seeds, fertilizers and to pay for
sowing, borrowing water for irrigation and for other related agriculture equipments
remained worst affected and could not complete the crop related activity.
Since small branches of the banks were also not supplied with adequate cash within
time of sowing season of the crop, farmers could not get their crop loans disbursed.
This added to the woes of the farmers leading to a weak agriculture production the
coming year.
Real Estate sector came to a stand still and is still gasping for buyers of the
constructed and half constructed inventory without buyers. This has resulted in poor
cash flow leading to a poor demand.
Demonetization has made the situation become chaotic. Tempers are running high
among the masses as there is a delay in the circulation of new currency.
Due to the inability to pay cash to poor daily wage workers, the small employers have
stopped their business activity.
The poor planning on the part of the government has also added to the woes of the
common people with low incomes. The Rs.2000 currency note does not find many
takers as it is difficult to get the balance back when you are buying daily needs like
vegetables, milk, bread or paying for petty expenses like bus fare. While rs.100
currency notes were not available in sufficient number, Rs.500 note arrived in the
market very late.
Demonetization is the 2 way sword in regard to incurring the public expenditure. On
the one hand huge cost is to be incurred on printing the new currency and on the other
hand managing the lakhs of crores of old currency volume has also become a big
expenditure incurring item.
Many Economists are of the view that Rs.2000 currency note will be much easier to
hide and can be used to store black money in shorter space.
Entire opposition has stood against demonetization and has called this decision a
draconian law.
Farmer’s Bill
In September 2020, the Indian government passed three agricultural bills, which are –
Farmers’ Produce Trade and Commerce (Promotion and Facilitation) Bill, 2020, Farmers
(Empowerment and Protection) Agreement of Price Assurance, Farm Services Bill, 2020, and
the Essential Commodities (Amendment) Bill, 2020.
Among the confusion by opposition party leaders and farmer groups, the controversial bills
were passed by the Indian Parliament. Along with rigid opposition, some voices have also
come out in support of these bills.
Since the time of three controversial new farmers’ bills got passed without much debate in
Parliament, people all over the country are protesting energetically against these.
The new farmers’ bill allows the farmers to sell their products directly to private buyers
breaking the monopoly of man is regulated by the government. The people get empowered to
get into a legal deal with the companies and produce agro-products for them. The farmers’
bill India also allows stocking of food articles by the agri-businesses removing the ability of
the government to impose arbitrarily.
According to the government, the recently passed bills for farmers will help in transforming
the agriculture sector as these are believed to increase the farmer’s income. The Centre
believes that the people engaged in farming will become independent and can get better
prices for their products.
A new system where the farmers and traders can do business outside the Mandis can be
created as per the bill. The intra-state business also gets encouraged here along with the
reduction of transportation cost.
The people also get the provision for entering into a legal framework with the companies,
exporters, retailers who are interested to buy their products. This will also give the farmers
access to modern technology thus improving their production.
As per the government, this bill can also prove to be beneficial for farmers of small and
marginal range with the land of fewer than five hectares. The bill also aims at attracting FDI
as it removes pulses and cereals from the essential commodities list.
The bill passed for farmers to allow trade of crops outside the government regulated mandis
or markets thus hampering the monopoly of the agricultural produce market committee.
MSP for crops is declared by the government but in the Promotion and Facilitation Bill 2020,
there is no statutory backing to MSP. There is no mention of this in the entire bill and this is
what concerns the people the most as they do not have anything to do with the legal system
but MSP matters to them.
Due to the pricing of sugarcane being governed under the Essential Commodities Act, the
Sugarcane (Control) Order, 1966, this crop has statutory MSP implementation.
The agriculture 2020 bills have triggered strong protests all over the country. Let’s have a
look at the issues that are triggering so many protests across the nation.
Conclusion
The farmers’ bill 2020 has been creating a storm of protest all over the nation. While some
are supporting the bills as they believe that these will eventually modernize the Indian
agricultural sector, some are fearing the worst situation that these bills can lead to.
Fiscal policy
Fiscal policy is the guiding force that helps the government decide how much money it
should spend to support the economic activity, and how much revenue it must earn from the
system, to keep the wheels of the economy running smoothly. In recent times, the importance
of fiscal policy has been increasing to achieve economic growth swiftly, both in India and
across the world. Attaining rapid economic growth is one of the key goals of fiscal policy
formulated by the Government of India. Fiscal policy is the means by which the
government adjusts its spending levels and tax rates to monitor and influence the nation’s
economy. Fiscal policy is a result of several component policies or a mix of policy
instruments. These include the policy on taxation, subsidy, welfare expenditure, etc;
investment or disinvestment strategies; and debt or surplus management.
There are four key tools of the fiscal policy: Government income, expenditure, borrowings
and deficit financing. Among which following two are the most important:
Taxation: Funds in the form of direct and indirect taxes, capital gains from investment, etc,
help the government function. Taxes affect the consumer's income and changes in
consumption lead to changes in real gross domestic product (GDP).
Government spending: It includes welfare programmes, government salaries, subsidies,
infrastructure, etc. Government spending has the power to raise or lower real GDP, hence it is
included as a fiscal policy tool.
Objectives of Fiscal Policy
First and the foremost objective is to maintain and achieve full employment in
the country.
To stabilize the general price level in the economy.
To stabilize the growth rate of the economy.
To maintain equilibrium in the Balance of Payments.
To promote the economic development of a country.
Types of Fiscal Policy
Expansionary Fiscal Policy: It is generally used for giving a boost to the economy i.e. to
speed up the rate of growth of the economy or during a recession when growth in national
income is not sufficient enough to maintain the present standards of living of the population.
A tax cut and/or an increase in government spending would be implemented to boost
economic growth and lower unemployment rates. This is not a sustainable policy, as it leads
to budget deficits and thus, should be used with caution by the government.
Contractionary Fiscal policy: It involves raising taxes or cutting government spending so
that government spending is less than the tax revenue. It cuts upon the aggregate demand in
the economy and thus economic growth leading to a reduction in inflationary pressures in the
economy.
Neutral Fiscal Policy: This implies a balanced budget where government spending is equal
to the tax revenue. It further means that government spending is fully funded by tax revenue
and, the overall budget outcome has a neutral effect on the level of economic activity.
Components of Fiscal Policy:
There are four key components of Fiscal Policy are as follows:
1. Taxation Policy – The government gets its revenue by imposing taxes both direct and
indirect. It is very important for the government to follow a judicious taxation policy
and impose correct tax rates because of following two reasons – higher taxes will
cause a reduction in the purchasing power of the people leading to decrease in
production and investment and lower taxes will leave more money with the general
public leading to high spending levels and thus high inflation.
2. Expenditure Policy – Government Expenditure includes Revenue expenditure and
capital expenditure. The government budget is the most important instrument
embodying the expenditure policy of the government. The budget is also used for
deficit financing i.e.filling the gap between Government spending and income.
3. Investment & Disinvestment Policy – Optimum levels of domestic as well as a
foreign investment are needed to maintain economic growth.
4. Debt and Surplus Management – If the government received more than it spends, it is
called a surplus. If the government spends more than income, then it is called a
deficit. To fund the deficit the government has to borrow from domestic or foreign
sources. It can also print money for deficit financing.
Economic Effects Of The Fiscal Policy
Governments use fiscal policy to influence the level of aggregate demand in the economy so
that certain economic goals can be achieved:
Price stability;
Full employment;
Economic growth.
The Keynesian view of economics suggests that increasing government spending and
decreasing the rate of taxes are the best ways to have an influence aggregate demand,
stimulate it, while decreasing spending and increasing taxes after the economic expansion has
already taken place.
Additionally, Keynesians argue that expansionary fiscal policy should be used in times of
recession or low economic activity as an essential tool for building the framework for strong
economic growth and working towards full employment.
Few Methods to Fund Fiscal Policy
Governments spend money on a wide variety of things, from the military and police to
services such as education and health care, as well as transfer payments such
as welfare benefits. This expenditure can be funded in a number of different ways:
Taxation
Seigniorage, the benefit of printing money
Borrowing money from the population or from abroad
Dipping into fiscal reserves
Sale of fixed assets (e.g., land)
Five Year Plans in India
The goals of the five-year plans are: growth, modernisation, self-reliance and equity. This does
not mean that all the plans have given equal importance to all these goals. Due to limited
resources, a choice has to be made in each plan about which of the goals is to be given primary
importance.
1) economic growth
2) Economic Equity and Social Justice:
3) Full Employment:
4) Economic Self-Reliance:
5) modernisation
On December 8, 1951, the Prime Minister Jawaharlal Nehru presented the first five-year plan to
the Parliament of India. This was based on the Harrod-Domar model. At that time, India was facing
three problems – the influx of refugees, a severe shortage of food, and also mounting inflation.
India had to recover from the partition and the disequilibrium in the economy due to the Second
World War. The First Plan, therefore, had the objectives of rehabilitating refugees, agricultural
development, and self-sufficiency in food along with controlling inflation.
The focus of the Second Plan was rapid industrialization, especially the development of heavy
industries and capital goods, like iron, steel, chemicals, etc. and the machine building industries.
Professor Mahalanobis developed the plan.
The primary goal of the Third Plan was to establish India as a self-reliant and a self-generating
economy. However, the Second Plan had slowed the rate of growth of agricultural production in the
country which limited India’s economic development.
Therefore, the Third Plan included agricultural development as one of its objectives to achieve
balanced, regional development. Unfortunately, this period had many misfortunes which drained the
funds – Indo-China war in 1961-62, Indo-Pak war in 1965-66, and also a severe drought-led famine
in 1965-66. Therefore, this plan could not meet its objectives.
Three Annual Plans
From 1966-69, three Annual Plans were devised. While the Fourth Plan was designed in 1966, it
was abandoned under the pressure of drought, currency devaluation, and inflationary recession on
the economy. Therefore, the government opted for an Annual Plan in 1966-67 and the subsequent
two years. This is period is also called – Plan Holiday.
There were two principal objectives of this plan – ‘Growth with Stability’ and ‘Progressive
Achievement of Self-Reliance’. It aimed at a 5.5 percent average growth rate of the national income
and also the provision of the national minimum for the weaker sections of the society (called ‘Garibi
Hatao’ or ‘Growth with Justice’). However, another Indo-Pak war in 1971-72 created a financial
crunch for the plan.
This plan had two main objectives – the removal of property and attainment of self-reliance. This
was planned through the promotion of higher growth rates, better income distribution, and also a
significant increase in the domestic rate of saving.
It also focused on import substitution and export promotion. Further, it included a National Program
on Minimum Needs like housing, drinking water, primary education, etc.
Also called the Rolling Plan, it helped to achieve the targets of the previous years.
This plan focused on the socio-economic infrastructure in the rural areas. Further, it endeavoured to
eliminate rural poverty and reduce regional disparities through the Integrated Rural Development
Program (IRDP – 1979).
The country enjoyed a reasonable rate of economic growth (5.4 percent) during the Sixth Plan. The
Seventh Plan focused on the rapid production of foodgrains along with an increase in the creation of
employment and overall productivity. The guiding principles were growth, modernization,
self-reliance, and social justice.
Eighth Five Year Plan of India (1992 – 97)
The Eighth Plan was scheduled to be introduced in April 1990. However, there were many changes
in the Government at the Center, which led to the reconstitution of the Planning Commission and
the preparation of different versions of the approach to the Eighth Plan.
Finally, in 1992, the Eighth Plan was introduced (fourth version). At this time, the country was
going through a severe economic crisis and the Government initiated fiscal reforms to provide a
new dynamism to the economy.
The South East Asian Financial Crisis (1996-97) caused an overall slowdown in the economy of
India too. While the liberalization process was still criticized, India was out of the fiscal mess of the
early 1990s. The Plan targeted a high growth rate of 7 percent and also directed itself towards
time-bound social objectives.
Further, the Plan focused on the seven Basic Minimum Services (BMS) with a view to achieving
complete population coverage in a time-bound manner. The BMS includes:
Higher growth rates must translate into better quality of life for people
Set monitorable targets
Declaring the agriculture sector as the primary moving force (PMF) of the economy
The title of the 11th Plan was ‘Towards Faster and more Inclusive Growth’. It envisaged a high
growth rate of around 9 percent implying a growth rate of around 7.5 percent in the per capita GDP.
It also ensured an overall improvement in the quality of life of people. The vision of the 11th Plan
includes:
Easy access to essential services in health and education for the poor
Environmental sustainability
Focus on the agricultural sector and have an average growth of 4 percent during the Plan
period
Globalization is a significant factor in competitive world that integrate and mobilize cultural
values of people at global level. In the age of rapid technical progression, many countries are
unified and transformed due to the process of globalization. Globalization has a huge impact
on cultural, social, monetary, political, and communal life of countries. In broad sense, the
term 'globalization' means combination of economies and societies through cross country
flows of information, ideas, technologies, goods, services, capital, finance and people.
Concept of Globalisation
The concept of globalization means that the world is getting smaller as well as bigger.
Economists described that globalization can contribute to develop pattern of cross border
activities of firms, involving international investment, trade and strategic alliances for
product development, production, sourcing and marketing. These international activities help
companies to enter new markets, to exploit their technological and organizational advantages
and to reduce business costs and risks. Globalization has reduced barriers between countries,
thus resulting in strengthening of economic competition among nations, spreading of
advanced management practices and newer forms of work organization, and sharing of
internationally accepted labour standards.
Globalization is a term used to express the flow of ideas, culture, trade globally. with the aid
of technological enhancements such as in communication and transportation facilities
globalization has occurred more rapidly.
The three major folds of globalization are economic globalization, political globalization and
cultural globalization.
Many theorists stated that change in environment has both positive and negative aspects.
India was main mover of globalization. The government of India made major modifications
in its economic policy in 1991 by which it allowed direct foreign investments in the country.
As a result of this, globalization of the Indian Industry occurred at large scale.
Effects of globalization in Indian Industry are observed as this process brought in large
amounts of foreign investments into the industry especially in the BPO, pharmaceutical,
petroleum, and manufacturing industries.
As a result, they boosted the Indian economy quite significantly. The benefits of the effects of
globalization in the Indian Industry are that many foreign companies set up industries in
India, especially in the pharmaceutical, BPO, petroleum, manufacturing, and chemical sectors
and this helped to offer great opportunities for employment to Indian people.
Also, this helped to reduce the level of unemployment and poverty in the country. It is
observed that the major forces of globalization in India has been in the development of
outsourced IT and business process outsourcing services. Since last many years, there is an
increase of skilled professionals in India employed by both local and foreign companies to
service customers in the US and Europe.
These countries take advantage of India's lower cost but highly talented and English-speaking
work force, and utilizes global communications technologies such as voice-over IP (VOIP),
email and the internet, international enterprises have been able to lower their cost base by
establishing outsourced knowledge-worker operations in India.
The foreign companies brought in highly advanced technology with them and this made the
Indian Industry more technologically advanced. Globalization in India has been beneficial for
companies that have ventured in the Indian market. It is recommended that India has to focus
on five important areas to enhance its economic status. The areas include technological
entrepreneurship, new business openings for small and medium enterprises, the importance of
quality management, new prospects in rural areas and privatization of financial institutions.
In terms of export and import activities, Many Indian companies have expanded their
business and became famous at global level such as fast food, beverages, and sportswear and
garment industries.
Marine products in recent years have emerged as the single largest contributor to the total
agricultural export form the country accounting for over one fifth of the total agricultural
exports. Cereals (mostly basmati rice and non-basmati rice), oil seeds, tea and coffee are the
other prominent products each of which accounts for nearly 5 to 10% of the countries' total
agricultural exports. Globalization speeded export of food items in India in the form of
increased consumption of meat, western fast food, sodas and cool drinks, which may result in
public health crisis.
The rich biodiversity of India has yielded many healthy foods prepared from locally available
entities. But the marketing by MNCs with large advertisement campaigns lead the people to
resort to their products.
There is some negative impact of globalization such as this process made disparity between
rural and urban Indian joblessness, growth of slum capitals and threat of terrorist activities.
Globalization increased competition in the Indian market between the foreign companies and
domestic companies. With the foreign goods being better than the Indian goods, the
consumer preferred to buy the foreign goods. This reduced the amount of profit of the Indian
Industry companies. This happened mainly in the pharmaceutical, manufacturing, chemical,
and steel industries.
The negative Effects of Globalization on Indian Industry are that with the coming of
technology the number of labours required are decreased and this resulted increasing
unemployment especially in the arena of the pharmaceutical, chemical, manufacturing, and
cement industries. Some section of people in India that are poor do not get benefit of
globalization.
There is an increased gap between rich and poor that lead to some criminal activities. Ethical
responsibility of business has been reduced.
Another major negative effect of globalization in India is that youngsters of India leaving
their studies very early and joining Call centres to earn fast money reducing their social life
after getting habituated with monotonous work.
There is an increase of every daily usable commodities. This has an adverse effect on cultural
aspect. The institution of marriage is breaking down at fast rate.
But, genetically modified food production, for example, can produce more food, but there are
some negative aspects to it as well. The methodology for producing those crops, such as the
use of pesticides, can have a harmful environmental side effect.
“If you have a pessimistic interpretation you could see the present system being a disaster for
humanity,” Paul said. “It is already clearly a disaster for most other species and their natural
habitat and that is almost certain to have a serious impact on humans sooner rather than
later.”
Countries heavily subsidize their producers, which results in dumping products like sugar on
the markets of the developing world at rates which totally undermine their agricultural
production. If truly had a globalized market in agriculture, then it would be to the benefit of
developing nations. It is not globalization that is bad as such, but how it is implemented.
Positive impacts
Globalization has considerable impact on the religious situation of India. Globalization has
brought about raising a population who is agnostic and atheist. People visiting places of
worship are reducing with time. Globalization has reduced nationalism and patriotism in
country.
Globalization is motivating factor in current business environment. There are few challenges
for companies due to globalization such as Migration, relocation, labour shortages,
competition, and changes in skills and technology. Globalization powerfully influences the
social partners' attitudes since traditional labour relations have to cope with completely new
and very dynamic situations. In political field, globalization helps to eradicate poverty,
malnutrition, illiteracy, ill-health and fighting cross border terrorism and global terrorism.
Globalisation benefits the schedule caste people in promoting cultural homogeneity in the
way of loosening of the ideas of pollution and purity and eradication of untouchability and so
many socio-cultural and economic disabilities associated with them. Globalisation of goods
has developed enthusiasm in India for western brand names. A consumerist mentality has
been carefully fostered. This leads to an adversative impact on the tendency to save or the
domestic accumulation of capital. Lastly, in Indian scenario, globalization developed a
consumer credit society. Today, people can buy goods and services even if they do not have
sufficient purchasing power and the prospect of raising a loan has become easy in the age of
globalisation. Credit cards have given boost to consumerism and pushed many households
into indebtedness. At the same time globalization has unfavourable impact on mass-media in
India. Currently, realistic coverage of events and happening doesn't receive much importance
because it doesn't determine the standing of a newspaper or TV channel. Globalisation has
brought violation of journalistic ethics in India.
The process of globalization has changed the industrial pattern social life of global people
and it has immense impact on Indian trade system. The globalization of the economic, social
and cultural structures happened in all ages. Previously, the pace of process was slow. Today
with the start of the information technology, new ways of communication have made the
world a very small place. With this process, there is a big market place. Globalization has
resulted in increase in the production of a range of goods. MNCs have established
manufacturing plants all over the world. It has positive effects and India will overcome many
obstacles and adopt global policies to expand business at international scale. India is gaining
international recognition and strengthening in economic and political areas.
Besides growing economy and strengthening our political infrastructure it affected our daily
lifestyle in numerous direct or indirect ways. like other countries India have grown into a
much larger economy due to globalization.
on the other side it created an employment gap in both the areas as creating more
employment in the urban areas which resulted in the migration of the rural population to
urban areas leading to over population in small urban areas, leading to over use of natural
resources rapidly in a small region which has again its own impacts.
Impact on rural lives of India
In rural India peoples are mainly dependent on Agriculture and Short-time wages (mining,
construction. etc).
Globalization enabled the people to access techno based highly efficient tools, hybrid seeds.
Improved communications help in exchanging ideas for maintaining the health of soil, seeds
and condition of weather.
It also opened the market access to sell their produce and even industries require raw
materials.
Since, the globalization has brought about great advancement in India however it has also
created many hectic problems such as mass migration from rural to urban. Which is causing
the expanding gap of availability of resources and population. The major industries in cities
causing Air and Water Pollution.
Massive foreign investment in India has created employment other hand it has been
dismantling the small local business due to incompetence.
However, it has a revolutionary impact on our society and benefited both rural and urban
lives of India hugely.
In rural areas, it revolutionized the primary sector activities mostly, agriculture, animal
husbandry, pisciculture, horticulture. by providing cheap and affordable machines, tools,
hybrid and different varieties.
It generated employment in these sectors, and elevated the standard of living by providing
basic facilities.
on the other side it created an employment gap in both the areas as creating more
employment in the urban areas which resulted in the migration of the rural population to
urban areas leading to over population in small urban areas, leading to over use of natural
resources rapidly in a small region which has again its own impacts.
The effect of globalization on health systems and individuals is complex. At first glance,
globalization has had an overall positive impact on peoples’ health. For instance, global
transportation and the communications revolution enable rapid response to epidemics and
catastrophes, saving thousands of lives.
But there also is a downside to the health and well-being of people as a direct or indirect
result of globalization. The flip side is that due to the rapid mobility of people across borders,
the spread of infectious diseases is a threat to everyone, particularly the poor
One of the negative sides of globalization is the increase in emerging and re-emerging
infectious diseases. For instance, tuberculosis was thought to have been eradicated in the
1950s, only to re-emerge in the 1980s. One of the reasons for this is the increasing resistance
to drugs. AIDS also is a great concern worldwide.
There are numerous ways to look at this downside of globalization and one way is to divide
it into communicable and noncommunicable diseases. For specimen, severe acute respiratory
syndrome (SARS) virus, a communicable disease, has the capability of rapidly spreading
around the world.
We are living in this globalized world where the flu virus starting anywhere on the globe
could within a few days be all over the world.
Noncommunicable diseases resulting from unhealthy lifestyles are now in places in the world
where they were either unheard of or rare just 50 years ago. Obesity, hypertension and type 2
diabetes are an enormous health problem today, and the incidences are increasing in
developing nations.
Preventing obesity should be a priority from the early stages of a developing country’s
economic development, accompanied by population-level and personal interventions for
hypertension and cholesterol.
Another dilemma that seriously affects people in developing countries, as well as poorer
communities is a lack of health professionals.
Green economy
A green economy is defined as low carbon, resource efficient and socially inclusive. In a
green economy, growth in employment and income are driven by public and private
investment into such economic activities, infrastructure and assets that allow reduced carbon
emissions and pollution, enhanced energy and resource efficiency, and prevention of the loss
of biodiversity and ecosystem services. Simply, the green economy is a concept which basic
principles revolves around addressing economic growth that is more environmentally
sustainable.
The role of Green Economy, Sustainable Consumption and Production and Resource
Efficiency for Sustainable Development: Sustainable Consumption and Production aims to
improve production processes and consumption practices to reduce resource consumption,
waste generation and emissions across the full life cycle of processes and products.
Resource Efficiency refers to the ways in which resources are used to deliver value to society
and aims to reduce the amount of resources needed, and emissions and waste generated, per
unit of product or service.
This concept is still largely up for grabs and is defined differently by different country at the
moment. Essentially how can a state grow economically while minimizing its environmental
impact. For instance, China is a focus in Energy, Indonesia in Forestry and South Korea in
trade.
it's important we keep in mind one of the key roles of a "green economy" -- supporting
"sustainability." As defined by the Brundtland Commission, in 1987, "Sustainable
development is the kind of development that meets the needs of the present without
compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs."
If the collective things done wisely and constructively, a "green economy" can be a
sustainable and stable economy, serving the greatest good for all of us inhabiting this
restricted planet.
Over the last decade global warming and the climate change become the prime concerns for
scientist, environmentalist and major international organizations. These issues become the
centre for global policy development. The ways in which we are utilizing
earth non-renewable resources have created the threat to human survival. This is one of the
imperative issues that call for green economy, an economy for people and planet. Green
economy concerned with the development of policies for using planetary
resources wisely.
Out of the 180 countries assessed, India ranks low in the Environmental Performance
Index (EPI) 2018, slipping from rank 141 in 2016, to 177 in 2018. The EPI is produced
jointly by Yale University and Columbia University in collaboration with the World
Economic Forum. In comparison, emerging peer economies, Brazil and China, rank 69 and
120, respectively. The EPI ranks countries on 24 performance indicators across 10 issue
categories. No index is perfect. But if an improvement in an index for ease of doing business
is cause for celebration, then, equally, a drop in an index ranking environmental performance
should be cause for concern and used as a context to examine our policy measures.
A look at recent initiatives shows that the government has set ambitious targets for
environmental protection. In December 2015, it notified new, strict environmental standards
for coal-fired power plants, to be effective from January 2018. An aggressive target was set
to implement Bharat Stage VI emission norms from April 1, 2020, skipping Stage V norms.
In 2017, the Minister of State for Power and Renewable Energy said that a road map was
being prepared so that only electric vehicles would be produced and sold in the country by
2030. In order to accelerate the transition to renewable sources of power, the government,
under the National Solar Mission, revised the target for setting up solar capacity from 20 GW
to 100 GW by 2021-22. The Centre has also assured the Supreme Court of India that the
highly polluted Ganga will be cleaned up by 2018.
What are we missing then? Unfortunately, there appears to be a big gap between policy goals
and action. While we seem to be moving in the right direction on solar targets, we are
seriously lagging behind in a number of other goals. For example, the government has gone
back on its promise of implementing strict power plant emission norms by December 2017,
and may even dilute the norms. The automobile industry has categorically stated that based
on current estimates, full conversion to electric vehicles is realistically possible only by 2047.
After setting electronics manufacturers a reasonable annual electronic waste collection target
of 30% of the products sold in the market, the figure has now been relaxed to 10%. And late
last year, the Comptroller and Auditor General, in a report, pulled up the government for not
developing an action plan and for its poor utilisation of allocated funds in the clean-up of the
Ganga. The list can go on.
A recent study by the World Bank and the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation,
University of Washington, Seattle, U.S., showed air pollution to be the cause of an estimated
1.4 million premature deaths in India, which translated into a welfare loss of significant
percentage of India’s GDP. A significant concern is also the fact that the poor are affected
disproportionately because of environmental degradation.
It is of course not the case that the current environmental mess we are in is entirely because
of our recent environmental policy failures. It is linked also to the lack of political will to
implement even existing environmental laws and regulations. It is not possible to restore
environmental quality overnight. However, we must ensure that we are moving forwards, not
backwards, in meeting our environmental targets. Being among the four worst countries in
the world in terms of environmental performance should hopefully serve as a wake-up call.
To ensure climate change is tackled effectively, the state government has introduced the
Green Index which will be made an integral part of policies and guidelines
Environmental Management & Policy Research Institute (EMPRI), developed the idea.
The index will be looked into the policy aspect in major schemes. Specially in
transportation, index assessment will be on environment-friendly measures like emission
reduction, GHG emission, energy efficient fuel and afforestation. The index, developed by
EMPRI and Indian Institute of Science (IISc), has been divided into four classes: dark
green (maximum attention to conservation measures), light green (some mention), orang e
(limited pollution) and red (no mention at all, maximum pollution). A score card with 0 -5
ranking has been created and the points obtained will decide the release of funds from the
state government to the departments.
The Green Gross Domestic Product, or Green GDP for short, is an indicator of economic
growth with environmental factors taken into consideration along with the standard GDP of a
country. Green GDP factors biodiversity losses and costs attributed to climate change.
Physical indicators like “carbon dioxide per year or “waste per capita” may be aggregated to
indices like the “Sustainable Development Index”
Green GDP is a term used for expressing GDP after adjusting for environment
degradations.
Green GDP is an attempt to measure the growth of an economy by subtracting
the costs of environmental damages and ecological degradations from the GDP
The concept was first initiated through a System of National Accounts.
The System of National Accounts (SNA) is an accounting framework for
measuring the economic activities of production, consumption and accumulation
of wealth in an economy during a period of time. When information on
economy’s use of the natural environment is integrated into the system of
national accounts, it becomes green national accounts or environmental
accounting.
The process of environmental accounting involves three steps viz. Physical
accounting; Monetary valuation; and integration with national Income/wealth
Accounts.
Physical accounting determines the state of the resources, types, and extent
(qualitative and quantitative) in spatial and temporal terms.
Monetary valuation is done to determine its tangible and intangible components.
Thereafter, the net change in natural resources in monetary terms is integrated
into the Gross Domestic Product in order to reach the value of Green GDP.
While explicitly green GDP is not measured in India, but environmental accounting
has been done in India from last 2 decades
A Framework for the Development of Environmental Statistics (FDES) was
developed by the Central Statistics Office (CSO) of India in the early 1990s. The
Compendium of Environment Statistics is being released since 1997.
As per the recommendations of Technical Working Group on Natural Resource
Accounting (NRA) in the later 1990s, a pilot project on NRA in the State of Goa was
initiated during 1999-2000. Thereafter, resource accounting studies were carried out
in 8 states on a different set of natural resources. Later a Technical Advisory
Committee was constituted in the year 2010 under the Chairmanship of Dr Kirit
Parikh to bring out a Synthesis Report combining the findings of all these studies. The
report recommended the preparation of a National Accounting Matrix that would
include environmental accounts. The High-powered expert group under Partha
Dasgupta was constituted subsequently in 2011 with the mandate of developing a
framework for green national accounts of India and for preparing a roadmap to
implement the framework.
Following the guidance of International Organisation of Supreme Audit Institutions
(INTOSAI) on the framework for of environmental auditing, the supreme audit
institution of India (CAG) also conducts an environmental audit in India. This process
was formalised with the introduction of specialized guidelines for the conduct of
environmental audits. This laid down broad guidelines to enable India’s auditors to
examine whether the auditee institutions gave due regard to the efforts of
promulgating sustainability development and environmental concerns, where
warranted.
Thus, in India, the Environmental audit is conducted within the broad framework of
Compliance Audit and Performance Audit at the central level by the Office of
Principal Director of Audit (Scientific Departments) and by the state Accountant
Generals (Audit) at the state level. Over the years, more and more states have taken
up environmental audits. This compliance as well as performance audits have been
printed in the respective state/ central audit reports and presented to
Legislature/Parliament. All these reports deal with the environmental themes of water
issues, air pollution, waste, biodiversity and environmental management systems. All
the environment audits done at the state level and at the central level since 2001 are
collated in the CAG report on environmental audit.
Blue Economy
Blue economy, through sustainable use of oceans, has great potential for boosting the
economic growth by providing opportunities for income generation and jobs etc.It can
support food security, and diversification to address new resources for energy, new drugs
valuable chemicals, protein food, deep sea minerals, security etc.It is the next sunrise sector.
It is the sustainable use of ocean resources for economic growth, improved livelihoods and
jobs, and ocean ecosystem health.It advocates the greening of ocean development strategies
for higher productivity and conservation of ocean's health.It encompasses–
1. Renewable Energy: Sustainable marine energy can play a vital role in social and
economic development.
2. Fisheries: Sustainable fisheries can generate more revenue, more fish and help
restore fish stocks.
3. Maritime Transport: Over 80% of international goods traded are transported by
sea.
4. Tourism: Ocean and coastal tourism can bring jobs and economic growth.
5. Climate Change: Oceans are an important carbon sink (blue carbon) and help
mitigate climate change.
6. Waste Management: Better waste management on land can help oceans recover
Oceans cover three-quarters of the Earth’s surface, contain 97% of the Earth’s water, and
represent 99% of the living area on the planet. Oceans protect biodiversity, keep the planet
cool, and absorb about 30% of global CO2 emissions. At least 3-5% of global GDP is
derived from oceans.
Blue economy presents India with an unprecedented opportunity to meet its national socio-
economic objectives as well as strengthen connectivity with neighbours.
2. Blue economy would reinforce and strengthen the efforts of the Indian government
as it strives to achieve the SDGs of hunger and poverty eradication along with
sustainable use of marine resources by 2030.
3. India has a long coastline of 7,517 km covering nine states and two union territories
– with an Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) of 2.02 mn. sq.km.
4. Marine services sector could serve as the backbone of its blue economy and help
India become 10 trillion-dollar economy by 2022.
5. Indian Ocean is a major conduit of trade with as much as 80% of global oil trade
happening through it.
6. Better connectivity in the region will significantly cut the transport cost and
maritime wastage of resources making the trade sustainable and cost effective.
Developments Initiated by India
The Sagarmala project is the strategic initiative for port-led development through the
extensive use of IT enabled services for modernization of ports.
Project aims at developing Inland waterways and coastal shipping which will revolutionize
maritime logistics, creating million new jobs, reduce logistics costs etc.
It focuses on the development of coastal communities and people in the sustainable use of
ocean resources, modern fishing techniques and coastal tourism.
India has an umbrella scheme by the name of O-SMART which aims at regulated use of
oceans, marine resources for sustainable development.
India has a National Fisheries policy for promoting 'Blue Growth Initiative' which focus on
sustainable utilization of fisheries wealth from the marine and other aquatic resources.
Future Prospects
Blue economy in India is the sum total of economic activities sourced from marine resources.
Fisheries, deep sea mining, and offshore oil and gas make up a large section of India’s blue
economy, said Rajeevan.
Currently, there are a few projects underway as part of the blue economy. Out of 2.3 million
square kilometres available to India, 1.5 million has been explored as part of an exclusive
economic zone (EEZ) across both the Bay of Bengal and the Arabian Sea.
India needs to adopt the Gandhian approach of balancing economic benefits with
sustainability for meeting the broader goals of growth, employment generation, equity and
protection of environment.
India must focus on marine ICTs, and transport (shipping) and communication services, and
the creation of a knowledge hub for marine research and development.
India should not look at its oceans as just water bodies, but as global stage for continued
economic, social, and cultural dialogue.
Goods and Services Tax (GST)
The innovative goods and services tax (GST), which was launched on 1st July 2017. The
one-nation, the one-tax revolution has seen a few glitches, but it’s settling down and benefits
should start to flow sooner rather than later.
What is GST?
In simple terms the Goods and Service Tax is an indirect tax levied on the supply of goods
and services. This law has replaced many indirect tax laws that existed earlier in the
country.
GST is currently levied on every product except petroleum, alcohol, tobacco, and stamp duty
on real estate in four slabs of 5, 12, 18, and 28 percent. Most of the articles that are used daily
have zero GST as per the latest revision of the tax rates last year.
97.5 percent of articles covered by 18 percent or lower GST slab. Under the previous, value-
added tax (VAT) regime, the standard taxation rate was much higher. Only luxury and sin
goods are now taxed at the highest 28 percent GST rate.
Achievements due to its implementation
The number of registered taxpayers: The number of registered taxpayers at the time when the
GST was rolled out was Rs 65 lakh, which today stands at approx.Rs 1.2 crore, a jump of 84
percent over the last two years. This shows a significant widening of the tax base and
formalization of the economy under the GST.
Monthly collection: Monthly GST collections for July 2017, the first month for GST, was Rs
92,200 crore. Subsequently, it dropped to Rs 83,700 crore in November that year. Collections
started rising from the 2nd year onwards with July 2018 collections at Rs 96,500 crore. In
2018-19, the average monthly collection was Rs 97,100 crore with collections breaching Rs 1
lakh crore regularly.
Compliances: After a slow start, the number of registered taxpayers who started complying
with GST timelines, grew. For the first month (July 2017), only 38 lakh out of 68 lakh
registered taxpayers had filed GSTR 3B returns by August 25. This amount has now almost
become double to 72.5 lakh by April 2019. E-way bill, an anti-evasion mechanism, came into
existence from April 1, 2018. The number of e-way bills doubled from 2.8 crores in April
2018 to 5.49 crore in March 2019.
Rate rationalization: At the beginning over 200 goods were kept in the 28 percent rate
bracket. The number of goods under 28 percent slab has been cut down to eight. There are
other goods and services whose tax rates have been reduced. For example, GST on restaurant
services has been brought down from 18 percent to 5 percent. GST rates on affordable
housing projects have been reduced from 8 percent to 1 percent and on non-affordable
housing projects from 12 percent to 5 percent.
The number of returns: When the GST was rolled out, there was a provision for three
monthly returns – for sales, for purchases, and a composite return – and one annual return.
When businesses complained about a huge compliance burden due to the requirement of 37
returns being filed in a year, the GST Council did away with the purchase return. Now
businesses have to file two returns – GSTR1 for sales and GSTR 3B, a composite return.
Refund: The process of refund has been fairly streamlined. Exporters of goods have been
receiving refunds directly from the customs and exporters of service are getting 90% of the
refund immediately. The issue of working capital blockage due to refusal of the GST refund
in the initial period has now been fairly sorted.
Apprehensions and Prospects
The initial period was very stressful but over some time, it has stabilized to a large extent
through many issues remain unresolved.
Return filing: Initially there were issues and problems in filing monthly GST Returns but it
has now stabilized. However, the new return filing system should be introduced in a phased
manner and should not be implemented until the trade, professionals and the departmental
authorities are fully conversant with the same. Change in the process in the middle of the year
is cumbersome for all as accounting systems have to be amended for the same.
Introduction of cess: Introduction of Kerala Calamity Cess has been a cause of concern for
all. Other states may also do the same and introduce a cess for some of their welfare
schemes.
Notices for reconciliation: Periodic notices even before the year is complete for differences in
Input Tax credit claimed by the traders and as appearing in the GSTN network are putting a
strain on trade and industry. Business and professionals are further confused as figures
appearing in their GST Return, GSTR 2A appearing on the GSTN network, and figures stated
in the notice sent by the department is different. The authorities also don’t have any break-up
based on which notice has been sent.
The requirement for centralized assessment: Business with multiple locations are finding it
difficult to appear for assessment or inquiries before authorities in various states. The entire
tax and accounting are generally centralized in big organizations. Hence, a longstanding
demand of the industry with locations in various states for assessment/audit in the main state
would be a welcome move.
Frequent changes: The trade and professionals are grappling with the frequent changes and
notifications issued in the past two years. Though changes and amendments are required for
clarity, major amendments impact the decision-making capacity of the trade.
Input tax credit: Eligibility of input tax credit has been a bone of contention between trade
and authorities from the pre-GST era. Some of the judgements were very clear about ITC
being an indefeasible right of the assessee, small procedural errors should not hamper them,
provisions cannot be used to extract money from the assessee, etc. The condition for
disallowability of ITC if vendors do not pay GST or file returns is a very harsh provision and
needs to be revisited.
GST has managed to subsume many local, state, and central taxes which should be
appreciated. Glitches were expected, but after three years there has to be a climate of
certainty with a smooth GSTN network and minimum changes in the law. The way GST is
progressing it appears that the journey is still midway for the authorities and businesses and
much has still to be achieved. It cannot be said that there are only negatives, there are
substantial positives. The emphasis should be on expanding the tax base, checking tax
evasion, simplification of procedures, and glitch-free GSTN system.
Industry 4.0
Industrial Revolutions: background
From the beginning of civilization, human beings have tried to increase their
capacity and power. At first, they were using equipment made of wood or rocks
but with the advancement of science they explored modern and efficient
equipment, and this process is going on.
Machines are one of the invention of humans. Use of machines was the cause of
first industrial revolution. It was termed as a revolution because it not only
increased production but also brought significant social and economic changes
First Industrial Revolution: Happened between the late 1700s and early
1800s. During this period of time, manufacturing evolved from focusing
on manual labour performed by people through the use of water and steam-
powered engines and other types of machine tools.
Second Industrial Revolution: In the early part of the 20th century, the
world entered a second industrial revolution with the introduction of steel
and use of electricity in factories. The introduction of electricity enabled
manufacturers to increase efficiency and helped make factory machinery
more mobile.
The Indian Government has already taken measures to make full utilization of
emerging technologies.
Way Forward:
The above-mentioned benefits are very few among the vast opportunities that
exist within the Industrial Revolution 4.0. Currently, India is facing a
massive unemployment crisis. With the emergence of new technologies, new
skills are required to man these technologies. As a result of this, many may lose
their jobs or won’t have the skills that are in demand.
Industrial Revolution 4.0 can become a liability if proper government measures
aren’t taken to reduce the unemployment rate. However, if the Government
takes the needed initiatives to make full use of the huge population and the
technologies arising from the Fourth Industrial Revolution, India will soon
become a highly developed economy.
There is also a negative side of this technological advancement. Studies tell that
robots will turn humans lazy. Although human life will be longer due to
advancements in healthcare, it is also true that humans will become less fit and
lazier. In such a situation, those who use technology properly to maintain a
healthy life will be more benefited than others.
Human life costs a lot. That’s why in the future generation armed forces we
may find robot soldiers. But for countries like India where 10 lakh people are
employed in armed forces, this will create a major unemployment situation.
Also, if countries will start using robots to fulfill their expansionist policy then
it will be a major threat to world peace and may cause a third world war.
Internet of things (IOT) is another technical breakthrough where machines can
communicate with each other. IOT with the AI combination will transfer
factories into smart factories, cities into smart cities, cars into smart cars and
homes into smart homes. If so happens, then it will reduce human efforts to a
minimum.
Big data analytics is another crucial component of Industry 4.0. It is basically
developed to gather information and data of consumers so that producers can
manufacture proper items and services for them. In today’s digital world, data is
very important for us. Just imagine, if this huge data is processed properly then
there will be magical changes around. We will get proper on-time services;
hence it will save both money and time.
Actually, Big Data will completely transform the governance system. It will
make it more transparent and efficient. Policy implementation is a major
headache for governments. It is expected that Big Data with AI will work to
simplify this problem. The government will be able to reach every needy person
and no one will be excluded from justice. It means Big Data ensures inclusive
socio-economic development in the future.
But privacy is one of the human fundamental rights. Can we ensure privacy
while installing this technology? Is Industry 4.0 going to ruin our fundamental
rights? Actually, when we are considering Big Data, we are considering data of
millions of TB. In such huge amount of data, personal data doesn’t matter
much. But this data can be used to influence people politically and may hamper
democratic processes also. This data, if not properly guarded, may cause civil
wars or riots. So, this is going to be a big challenge in the future.
Industrial revolution puts a big impact on world economy and changes its basic
structure. For instance, the first industrial revolution transformed the agrarian
economy into the manufacturing economy; the second industrial revolution
reshaped it into the service-based economy and during the IT revolution the
world’s economy became a knowledge-based economy. But in this
advancement, if one had to sustain, he/she has to learn new skills and
techniques.
A huge question raises when we think about artificially intelligent machines:
“Will there be any job left for humans?” Actually, jobs are not dying but they
are evolving. It is obvious that Industry 4.0 will replace some jobs, but is also
creating new jobs like big data analytics, VR designer, blockchain auditor,
social media reporter, drone operator space visit guide and many more. it is
expected that high-skilled and low skill jobs will stay as before, but middle-tier
jobs will be replaced by AI robots. This is known as job polarisation in the
economic terms. If workers want to sustain then they have to learn new
technological skills.
In this era jobs which are related to manual dexterity, high cognitive skills and
social skills are difficult to be computerized, and workers should focus on
developing these skills. Doctors are going to be replaced by AI robots in future
but if a doctor is trained with hospitality skills and caretaking skills, then he/she
will be preferable over a robot-doctor. It means jobs are going to be knowledge-
centric and talent centric. A construction worker has to learn something about
electronics apart from construction skills if he/she wants to build an automated
smart home where sensors are used. Hospitality, condolence, politeness these
are some qualities which should be learned as these will value add our
character.
The progressive economies are heading towards a Gig economy. Gig means not
continuous. It is predicted that normal continuous jobs will be reduced and these
will be replaced by contractual jobs. If there will be no permanent jobs then
there will be no paid holidays and no insurance schemes and also no fixed
income. It may create unemployment like situation but it will become part of
habit. So, the beginning period is going to be tough and it is also expected that
the revolution may slow down the world economy for a small period.
Those who learn new skills time to time and update their work with new
technology will succeed and for the rest, fourth industrial revolution will be a
big challenge.
Make in India
It is a national initiative launched in 2014 by the Government of India.
Its ultimate aim is to transform India into a global design and manufacturing
hub.
This initiative facilitates investments, skill development, encourages
innovation, protect intellectual property rights to achieve this objective.
Under this initiative, both the Centre and the state governments are striving to
attract investments from across the world to strengthen India’s manufacturing
sector.
Ministry of Commerce and Industry’s Department of Industrial Policy and
Promotion is the nodal agency for the implementation of this initiative.
This initiative holds a highly significant position in India’s pursuit of
economic growth.
The following are India’s strengths to become the global manufacturing hub:
Monetary Policy refers to the measures pertaining to policy undertaken by the Central
Bank (RBI) to influence the availability; determine the size and rate of growth of the
money supply in the economy.
In other words, monetary policy can be defined as a process of managing a nation’s
money supply to contain/control the inflation, achieving higher growth rates and achieving
full employment.
Generally, all across the globe, monetary policy is announced by the central banking
body of the country, for example the RBI announces it in India.
The Monetary and Fiscal Policies had to be adjusted to the requirements of the planned
development in the country and accordingly, the economic policy of the Reserve Bank
was emphasized on two objectives:
o To speed up the economic development of the nation and raise the national
income and standard of living of the people.
o Control and reduce the “Inflationary” pressure on the economy.
These are the instruments of monetary policy that affect over all supply of money/credit in the
economy. Some are as follows:
The Statutory Liquidity Ratio refers to that proportion of total deposits which the
commercial banks are required to keep with themselves in a liquid form. The commercial
banks generally make use of this money to purchase the government securities.
Thus, the Statutory Liquidity Ratio, on the one hand, is used to siphon off the excess
liquidity of the banking system, and on the other, it is used to mobilize revenue for the
government.
The Reserve Bank of India is empowered to raise this ratio up to 40 per cent of
aggregate deposits of commercial banks. At present it is 18.5 per cent. It used to be as
high as 38.5 percent at one point of time.
The Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) is the ratio fixed by the RBI of the total deposits of a
bank in India, which is kept with the RBI in cash form.
CRR deposits do not earn any interest for banks.
Initially, limits of 4% (lower) and 20% (upper) were set for CRR, but respective
amendments removed the limits, therefore providing RBI with much needed operational
flexibility. The more the CRR the less the money available for lending by the banks to
players in the economy. RBI increases CRR to tighten many supple and lowers CRR to
expand credit in the economy.
CRR as a tool of monetary policy is used when there is a relatively serious need to
manage credit and inflation.
Otherwise, RBI relies on signaling its intent through the policy rates of repo and reverse
repo. At present it is 4 percent.
Bank Rate:
In basic terms, bank rate is the interest rate at which RBI provides long term credit facility
to commercial banks. A change in bank rate affects the other market rates of interest. An
increase in bank rate leads to an increase in other rates of interest, and conversely, a
decrease in bank rate results in a fall in other rates of interest. Bank rate is also referred
to as the discount rate. A deliberate manipulation of the bank rate by the Reserve Bank
to influence the flow of credit created by the commercial banks is known as bank rate
policy.
An increase in bank rate results in an increase in the cost of credit or cost of borrowing.
This in turn leads to a contraction in demand for credit. A contraction in demand for credit
restricts the total availability of money in the economy, and hence results as an anti-
inflationary measure of control.
Likewise, a fall in the bank rate causes other rates of interest to come down. The cost of
credit falls, i.e., borrowing becomes cheaper. Cheap credit may induce a higher demand
both for investment and consumption purposes. More money through increased flow of
credit comes into circulation. A fall in bank rate may, thus, prove an anti-deflationary
instrument of control. Penal rates are linked with Bank Rates. For instance if a bank does
not maintain the required levels of CRR and SLR, then RBI can impose penalty on such
banks. Currently Bank Rate is 7%.
Nowadays, bank rate is not used as a tool to control money supply, rather Liquidity
Adjustment Facility (LAF) (Repo Rate) is used to control the money supply in economy.
Repo Rate:
If the RBI wants to make it more expensive for the banks to borrow money, it increases
the repo rate.
Similarly, if RBI wants to make it cheaper for banks to borrow money, it reduces the repo
rate. Repo rate stood at 5.75%.
Reverse Repo is the rate at which the Central Bank (RBI) borrows from the market. This
is called as reverse repo as it the reverse of repo operation. Reverse repo rate at present
is 50 basis points (or 0.5%) lower than the Repo Rate. Repo and Reverse
Repo Rates are also referred to as the Policy rates and are often used by the Central
Bank (RBI) to send single to the financial system to adjust their lending and borrowing
operations.
Repo rates and reverse repo rates form a part of the liquid adjustment facility.
It refers to buying and selling of government securities in open market in order to expand
or contract the amount of money in the banking system. This technique is superior to
bank rate policy. Purchases inject money into the banking system while sale of securities
do the opposite.
It is a common misconception that OMOs change the total stock of government
securities, but in reality they only change the proportion of Government Securities held by
the RBI, commercial and co-operative banks.
The Reserve Bank of India has frequently resorted to the sale of government securities to
which the commercial banks have been generously contributing. Thus, open market
operations in India have served, on the one hand as an instrument to make available
more budgetary resources and on the other as an instrument to siphon off the excess
liquidity in the system.
Marginal Standing Facility:
These are those tools through which the Central Bank not only controls the value of loans but
also the purpose for which these loans are assigned by the commercial banks. Some of these
are:
Moral Suasion:
Moral suasion means persuasion and request. To arrest inflationary situation Central
Bank persuades and requests the commercial banks to refrain from giving loans for
speculative and non-essential purposes. On the other hand, to counter defiation Central
Bank persuades the commercial banks to extend credit for different purposes.
Under Moral Suasion, RBI issues periodical letters to bank to exercise control over credit
in general or advances against particular commodities.
Periodic discussions are held with authorities of commercial banks in this respect.
In India, from 1949 onwards the Reserve Bank has been successful in using the method
of moral suasion to bring the commercial banks to fall in line with its policies regarding
credit.
Rationing of credit:
Rationing of credit is a method by which the Reserve Bank seeks to limit the maximum
amount of loans and advances, and also in certain cases fix ceiling for specific categories
of loans and advances. RBI also makes credit flow to certain priority or weaker sectors by
charging concessional rates of interest. This is at times also referred to as Priority Sector
Lending.
Now-a-days, most of the consumer durables like Cars, Televisions, and Laptops, etc. are
available on instalment basis financed through bank credit. Such credit made available
by commercial banks for the purchase of consumer durables is known as consumer
credit.
If there is excess demand for certain consumer durables leading to their high prices,
Central Bank can reduce consumer credit by (a) increasing down payment, and (b)
reducing the number of instalments of repayment of such credit.
On the other hand, if there is deficient demand for certain specific commodities causing
deflationary situation, Central Bank can increase consumer credit by (a) reducing down
payment and (b) increasing the number of instalments of repayment of such credit.
Direct action:
This method is adopted when a commercial bank does not co-operate with the central
bank in achieving its desirable objectives. Direct action may be as:
o Central banks may charge a penal rate of interest over and above the bank rate
upon the defaulting banks;
o Central bank may refuse to rediscount the bills of those banks which are not
following its directives;
o Central bank may refuse to grant further accommodation to those banks whose
borrowings are in excess of their capital and reserves.
Margin Requirements:
Generally, commercial banks give loan against ‘stocks or ‘securities’. While giving loans
against stocks or securities they keep margin. Margin is the difference between the
market value of a security and its maximum loan value. Let us assume, a commercial
bank grants a loan of Rs. 8000 against a security worth Rs. 10,000. Here, margin is Rs.
2000 or 20%.
If central bank feels that prices of some goods are rising due to the speculative activities
of businessmen and traders of such goods, it wants to discourage the flow of credit to
such speculative activities. Therefore, it increases the margin requirement in case of
borrowing for speculative business and thereby discourages borrowing. This leads to
reduction is money supply for undertaking speculative activities and thus inflationary
situation is arrested.
The monetary policy of Reserve bank has played only a limited role in controlling the inflationary
pressure. It has not succeeded in achieving the objective of growth with stability.
The existence of black money in the economy limits the working of the monetary policy.
Black money is not recorded since the borrowers and lenders keep their transactions
secret.
Informal money lenders on a large scale in countries like India but they are not under the
control of the monetary authority. This factor limits the effectiveness of monetary policy in
such countries.
An important limitation of monetary policy arises from its conflicting objectives. To
achieve the objective of economic development, the monetary policy is to be
expansionary but contrary to it is to achieve the objective of price stability and curb on
inflation. It can be realized by contracting the money supply. The monetary policy
generally fails to achieve a proper coordination between these two objectives.
Another limitation of monetary policy in India is underdeveloped money market. The
weak money market limits the coverage, as also the effecient working of the monetary
policy.
The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) is a committee of the Central Bank in India
(Reserve Bank of India), headed by its Governor, which is entrusted with the task of
fixing the benchmark policy interest rate (repo rate) to contain inflation within the
specified target level.
The MPC replaces the current system where the RBI governor, with the aid and advice of
his internal team and a technical advisory committee, has complete control over
monetary policy decisions.
A Committee-based approach will add lot of value and transparency to monetary policy
decisions.
Prior to MPC, the RBI governor, with the aid and advice of his internal team and a
technical advisory committee, had complete control over monetary policy decisions. This
lacked clear objective, accountability and transparency in decision making.
All the important committees of namely the Y. V. Reddy Committee (2002), Tarapore
Committee (in 2006), Percy Mistry Committee (2007), Raghuram Rajan Committee
(2009), Dr. Urjit R. Patel (URP) Committee (2013) (discussed below) recommended for a
MPC to decide policy actions.
They all opinioned that “Heightened public interest and scrutiny of monetary policy
decisions and outcomes has propelled a worldwide movement towards a committee
based approach to decision making with a view to bringing in greater transparency and
accountability in India.
Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) as a statutory committee of the Central Bank in India
(Reserve Bank of India), headed by its Governor, which is entrusted with the task of
fixing the benchmark policy interest rate (repo rate) to contain inflation within the
specified target level. The MPC replaces the current system.
The MPC will have six members; - the RBI Governor (Chairperson), the RBI Deputy
Governor in charge of monetary policy, one official nominated by the RBI Board and the
remaining three members would represent the Government of India. These Government
of India nominees are appointed by the Central Government based on the
recommendations of a search cum selection committee
Government nominees of the MPC will hold office for a period of four years and will not
be eligible for re-appointment. These three central government nominees in MPC are
mandated to be persons of ability, integrity and standing, having knowledge and
experience in the field of economics or banking or finance or monetary policy.
RBI Act prohibits appointing any Member of Parliament or Legislature or public servant,
or any employee / Board / committee member of RBI or anyone with a conflict of interest
with RBI or anybody above the age of 70 to the MPC.
Central government also retains powers to remove any of its nominated members from
MPC subject to certain conditions and if the situation warrants the same.
Thalinomics
Context
The Economic Survey 2020 coined a new term called ‘Thalinomics’ and the government pitched
the term as “economics for the common man”.
About
The Economic Survey 2020 made a unique attempt to quantify the cost incurred in
putting together one complete home-made meal — the healthy Indian thali.
Thali prices represent the total money spent on preparing dishes for a meal in a
household.
Rise in Affordability: Despite recent concerns about rising food prices, the Economic Survey
has stated that for a worker, a vegetarian thali is 29% more affordable since 2006-07. And
affordability of anon-vegetarian thali improved by 18 per cent.
It also looked at an industrial worker’s ability to pay for two thalis a day for his/her household
of five individuals.
Conclusion: Basically, the survey attempts to calculate the cost that an average worker
incurs based on his actual plate of food in India.
And on calculating that cost, the survey concludes that works were able to save due to
moderation in prices of items that form part of a regular Indian thali.
Financial Reforms
Financial inclusion
The state of financial inclusion has improved considerably over time. However,
the financial inclusion hasn’t reached the poorest of the poor and there exist
many bottlenecks and challenges which need immediate attention.
Thus, there exists both a great need and the potential to tap into the unbanked
population and bring them into the financial net.
If adequate measures are taken to tide over the existing problems, financial
inclusion has the potential to amplify the benefits of economic growth to the
poor.
Negative rate policy
once considered only for economies with chronically low inflation such as
Europe and Japan – is becoming a more attractive option for some other
central banks to counter unwelcome rises in their currencies.
On May 2020, the Centre has revised the definition of MSMEs by revising the investment
limit as follows:
Micro: Any firm with investment up to Rs 1 crore and turnover
under Rs 5 crore.
Small: A company with investment up to Rs 10 crore and turnover
up to Rs 50 crore.
Medium: A firm with investment up to Rs 20 crore and turnover
under Rs 100 crore.
The importance of MSMEs for Indian Economy
Employment creator:
nd
MSME is 2 largest employment provider after agriculture sector.
It provides 80% of jobs in the industry with just 20% of the investment.
They also check rural-urban migration by providing people living in isolated
areas with a sustainable source of employment.
Economic growth and exports:
It contributes about 31% to the nation’s GDP, 45% share in the overall exports
and 34% share in the manufacturing output as per the 2017 report.
Non-traditional products like sports goods, readymade garments etc. account
for more than 95% of the MSME exports. As these products are mostly
handcrafted and hence eco-friendly, there exists an enormous potential to expand
MSME led exports.
Moreover, MSMEs act as ancillary industries for large-scale industries since
they provide the latter with raw materials, important components etc.
Inclusive growth:
MSMEs drive inclusive growth since it develops the lives of the most
vulnerable and marginalized sections in India who are the majority of MSME
owners.
MSME sector in India mostly depends on people’s skills rather than their
wealth or capital.
Access to Facilities
It will run for 100 days covering 100 Districts throughout the country.
Various central ministers will visit these districts to assess various facilities
being extended to the MSME sector by the government.
Under it, entrepreneurs will be encouraged to come forward and make the best
use of these facilities including access to credit and market etc.
Access to Credit
The government will launch a 59-minute loan portal to enable easy access to
credit for MSMEs.
Loans up to Rs. 1 crore will be granted approval through this portal, in just 59
minutes.
Interest Subvention
The government will provide 2% interest subvention for all GST registered
MSMEs on fresh or incremental loans.
TReDS
MSMEs with turnover more than Rs. 500 crore will now be mandatorily
brought under Trade Receivables e-Discounting System (TReDS).
This will facilitate entrepreneurs to access credit from banks, based on their
upcoming receivables.
This will help address their problem of cash delays.
Market access
For access to markets for entrepreneurs, the government made it mandatory
for public sector enterprises to procure 25% of their purchases from MSMEs.
Out of 25% procurement, 3% should be from women entrepreneurs.
Technology Upgradation
The government will establish tool rooms across the country as a vital part of
product design.
Ease of Doing Business
Clusters will be formed for pharma MSMEs. 70% of the cost for establishing
these clusters will be borne by the government.
Simplification of government procedures in terms of filing returns, clearances
etc.
Social Security for MSME sector employees
A mission will be launched to ensure that the MSME employees have Jan
Dhan Accounts, provident fund, and insurance.
Way ahead
There is a growing number of schemes, portals, programmes etc. for the
MSME sector. But there is low awareness about these initiatives amongst the
targeted beneficiaries. Hence, there is a need to develop a better communication
strategy and the use of new age media tools like social media.
To make the schemes more demand-driven, it is imperative to involve the
stakeholders at the design stage itself.
Furthermore, the number of different decision-making levels in the
government needs to be reduced and enable flexibility on operational issues.
Draft National MSME Policy should be implemented soon which proposes
National MSME Authority headed by the Prime Minister and also empowers the
centre to change investment limits instead of being forced to go the Parliament
every time.
Economic Reforms Of 1991
Economic Reforms 1991
The year 1991 saw India face an unprecedented financial crisis. The crisis was
triggered by a major Balance of Payments situation. The crisis was converted
into a golden opportunity to reform the country’s economic situation and make-
up and introduce fundamental changes in economic policy.
The government brought in structural reforms and stabilization policies. While
the former was aimed at removing the rigidities in the various sectors of the
Indian economy, the latter was aimed at correcting the weaknesses that had
emerged on the fiscal and BOP (Balance of Payments) fronts.
India’s Prime Minister, when the New Economic Policy (NEP) was introduced
was P V Narasimha Rao and the Finance Minister was Dr. Manmohan Singh.
Objectives of New Economic Policy 1991
Enter into the field of ‘globalization’ and make the economy more
market-oriented.
Reduce the inflation rate and rectify imbalances in payment.
Increase the growth rate of the economy and create enough foreign
exchange reserves.
Stabilize the economy and convert the economy into a market economy
by the removal of unwanted restrictions.
Allow the international flow of goods, capital, services, technology,
human resources, etc. without too many restrictions.
Enhance the participation of private players in all sectors of the economy.
For this, the reserved sectors for the government were reduced to just 3.
1. Liberalization
2. Privatization
3. Globalization
The government sought to open up the Indian economy through these measures
and gear India from a Soviet-model economy to a market economy. This is an
ongoing process and the initiation was done in 1991.
Cigarette
Liquor
Industrial explosives
Defence equipment
Hazardous chemicals
Drugs
Liberal policy
Encouragement of open competition
Controls on foreign trade were removed