Project TA05 Caramel Report
Project TA05 Caramel Report
AY19/20 Semester 2
Team Project
Ke Yiting A0212559A
Wong Kai Zhe Russell A0211865E
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Contents
1. Introduction
4. Preliminary Findings
Key Attributes
Other Attributes
7. Modelling Methodologies
7.1 Assumptions
9. Concluding Remarks
HDB flats are the most common type of subsidised public housing in Singapore, currently accommodating an estimated
81 percent of Singapore’s population (HDB, 2019). The demand for resale flats has also experienced an upward trend,
with a 6.7% increase in applicants registered for resale flats from 2018 to 2019, and a further 17.6% increase in 2020
(Yong, 2020).
Consider the case for a Real Estate Consulting Firm aiming to provide consulting services to those who intend to buy
or sell resale flats that maximise their benefits based on the valuation of current resale flat properties. HDB resale flats
have been an attractive market for real estate investors and agents, which has been seeing appreciating prices and getting
more attention from investors and agents (OrangeTee, 2019). Like most markets, the HDB resale flat market also sees
fluctuations in prices over time. To profit from market conditions, it is crucial to be able to accurately value properties
and decide if current market prices are suitable for entry or exit. For agents or homebuyers with intention of using real
estate as an investment, it is paramount to predict a fair value for their properties, which depend on a myriad of factors,
ranging from the region or district the flat is in, floor area, flat model, remaining lease period.
As a complex market, the widely available market data on HDB resale flats provides the perfect opportunity for a data-
driven approach to valuation of these real estate properties to provide a concrete, evidence-based metric to complement
investors and agents in their decision-making process, that is, to determine with current market conditions, if a property
is worth buying or selling. Here, we will explore a quantitative way to do so.
The preliminary dataset resale-flat-price.csv is freely available from data.gov.sg. This dataset includes key attributes
such month, resale price, floor area, flat type and model, remaining lease and the storey level from 2017 to 2020. There
is a total of 68161 data points, with initial variables “month”, “town”, “flat_type”, “block”, “street_name”,
“storey_range”, “floor_area_sqm”, “flat_model”, “lease_commencement_date”, “remaining_lease”, and one variable
“resale_price”, that will be our target variable.
We converted the string attribute “remaining_lease” to obtain a new numerical variable “months_remaining_lease”.
Next, we grouped the 26 different towns under “town” according to their geographical region (e.g. North, East etc) with
reference to the dataset “towns_data.csv” and reclassified the HDBs by their regions in “region”. The original data on
storey level is given in a range in string, thus we found the mean storey level (e.g. 10 TO 12 → 11) and stored the
information under “mean_storey_range”. Lastly, we extracted the numerical block numbers from “block” to obtain a
new variable “block_number” by removing the alphabets that follow the block numbers (e.g. 100B → 100). The updated
primary data source is stored in a new dataset file “processed-resale-flat-price.csv”.
However, these data attributes are insufficient for a robust predictive model as it does not include other important factors,
such as proximity to schools, malls or MRTs. To enhance the dataset, we included the proximity to the nearest MRT
station, malls, and schools for each data point. This required the coordinates of each HDB flat, which was retrieved
using OneMap.sg’s free geocoding Application Programming Interface (API). Using these coordinates, we queried for
the nearest MRT based on these coordinates using Google Places API. We also queried the coordinates on a
comprehensive list of malls obtained from Wikipedia, and school data from data.gov.sg. Subsequently, we used these
data to determine the nearest malls and schools and combined all our data into a final dataset, “finalDataSet.csv”.
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4. Preliminary Findings
To derive a meaningful, robust model, a visualization on factors which may affect valuation must be understood. To
rigorously select these variables and understand their effects individually, a preliminary visualization will help to guide
our analysis.
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5. Analysis On Selected Features
A full comprehensive visualization can be found in our Notebook. We have selected a few key features based on our
visualizations which have exhibited clear relationships with resale prices, analysed below.
Key Attributes
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relationship with floor area (see Notebook 5.2). This may be due to financing options from banks or HDB become more
limited when lease becomes shorter (Wong, 2018). Further, flats with less than 60 years’ lease may start to depreciate
as prospective buyers are limited in using Central Provident Funds (CPF) to finance the purchase (Wong, 2018), which
may affect the demand for these resale flats and hence ability to command higher prices. Interestingly, we can also note
this effect from the frequency distribution of remaining lease displayed by the joint plot, with those with extremely low
remaining leases having low volume of transactions as compared to those with longer leases. There also seems to be a
large variation in price at every lease level, which could suggest that there are other factors which also contribute to its
price.
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5.6 Flat Model
Rationale: HDB has been constantly upgrading its
designs to improve the perceived quality of its public
housing. Popular new initiatives such as Build-To-Order
aim to provide condominium-like finishings to HDB
homeowners at a fraction of the cost (Ang, 2019). We do
expect that more polished, luxurious designs and quality
be worth a higher price.
Analysis: Evidently, different flat models incorporate
different floor areas (HDB, n.d, 3). We hence look at the
price per 𝑚2 instead of the absolute prices to determine
the effect of flat model itself on prices (Visualization on
absolute prices found in Notebook 3.10). While most of the flat models have around the same median price per 𝑚2 ,
some exceptions are present such as DBSS models, Type S1, S2, and Terrace models. These units are often seen as
“premium units” (Ong, 2017). These flats are usually found in prime areas, and feature unique architectural features
(Choo, 2019), which hence command for the premium visualized here. Hence, the flat models itself, independent of its
floor area, may be an important metric in valuation.
Other Attributes
5.7 Block Number
Analysis: Surprisingly, block numbers played a non-
trivial effect on valuation prices even after accounting
for floor area through normalization, having a
correlation coefficient of -0.339. We note that smaller
block numbers are found disproportionally in the
Central Region, which may account for its higher price
per 𝑚2 . Interestingly, this is also due to HDB’s block
numbering policy, where the first digit in HDB's "3-
digit numbering system" denotes the neighbourhood
(Teo, n.d), while 2-digits usually denotes a Central
area. This may account for the variation in prices due to block number.
Rationale: Proximity to key facilities such as to MRT stations, malls and schools implies higher convenience, which
would hence be expected to be worth a premium. In fact, MRT is a common mode of transport, with 60% of
Singaporeans taking MRT to work (Lee, 2016). It is therefore no surprise that on average, properties near MRT stations
are valued around 10-15% more than those further away from MRT stations (Navaratnarajah, 2015). We also expect a
property to be more expensive when it is nearer to a school since it is more convenient for families with children. This
would be especially true for parents with children seeking entry to primary schools, where their residential address must
be within a 1km radius to gain priority in balloting phase for a place in the primary school (MOE, n.d).
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Analysis: Likewise, to remove the effect of floor area on resale prices, we normalized the prices by their floor area.While
our hypothesis held for the first 2 attributes (MRT and malls), with a correlation coefficient of -0.185 and -0.041
respectively, distance to schools showed a positive correlation (0.168). We note that all three exhibit a few points which
are much further away from all 3 facilities than most, which corresponed to properties on Changi Village Road. After
accounting for these, the correlation coefficients are rougly the same, at -0.185, -0.078 and 0.175 respectively. This
may be due to our dataset having only public school data and not private schools (e.g international schools) which may
be in the area. The correlation between schools and prices may also be attributed to the fact that properties near schools
have significantly higher noise pollution and congestion in the morning (Lagman, 2019), which may lead to lower prices
when units are closer to schools. We nonetheless see that these factors are also contributing attributes to the valuation
of HDB resale units.
7. Modelling Methodology
7.1 Assumptions
• Linearity of Model: Our models use a general linear form of 𝑌 = 𝑏0 + 𝑏1 𝑥1 + 𝑏2 𝑥2 + ⋯ with variables
transformed where appropriate to the model. We assume that the relationship between the attributes (transformed
or otherwise) and the target variable is linear.
• No Perfect Collinearity: This is seen from the correlation matrix that no attribute is perfectly correlated with any
other attribute (less derived attributes mentioned above which will be removed during model construction).
Checking for Multicollinearity
Multicollinearity may influence the interpretation of our coefficients
in the final model (Frost, n.d). We investigate the possibility of
multicollinearity in our model using Variance Influence Factor
(VIF). In practice, a VIF that exceeds 5 would be considered a
problematic level of collinearity. We observe that all our numerical
variables do not exhibit this level of collinearity. We will hence retain
all these variables in our preliminary model construction.
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7.2 Model Construction
In the preliminary model, we used the baseline model:
𝒓𝒆𝒔𝒂𝒍𝒆 𝒑𝒓𝒊𝒄𝒆 = 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑠𝑡 + 𝑠𝑡𝑟𝑒𝑒𝑡 𝑛𝑎𝑚𝑒 𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑚𝑖𝑢𝑚 + 𝑡𝑜𝑤𝑛 𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑚𝑖𝑢𝑚 + 𝑓𝑙𝑎𝑡 𝑚𝑜𝑑𝑒𝑙 𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑚𝑖𝑢𝑚
+ 𝑓𝑙𝑎𝑡 𝑡𝑦𝑝𝑒 𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑚𝑖𝑢𝑚 + 𝑚𝑜𝑛𝑡ℎ 𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑚𝑖𝑢𝑚 + 𝑟𝑒𝑔𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑚𝑖𝑢𝑚 + 𝛽𝑠𝑡𝑜𝑟𝑒𝑦 𝑙𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑙 (𝑠𝑡𝑜𝑟𝑒𝑦 𝑙𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑙)
+ 𝛽𝑓𝑙𝑜𝑜𝑟 𝑎𝑟𝑒𝑎 (𝑓𝑙𝑜𝑜𝑟 𝑎𝑟𝑒𝑎) + 𝛽𝑟𝑒𝑚𝑎𝑖𝑛𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑙𝑒𝑎𝑠𝑒 (𝑟𝑒𝑚𝑎𝑖𝑛𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑙𝑒𝑎𝑠𝑒) + 𝛽𝑏𝑙𝑜𝑐𝑘 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 (𝑏𝑙𝑜𝑐𝑘 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟)
+ 𝛽𝑑𝑖𝑠𝑡 𝑡𝑜 𝑚𝑟𝑡 (𝑑𝑖𝑠𝑡 𝑡𝑜 𝑀𝑅𝑇) + 𝛽𝑑𝑖𝑠𝑡 𝑡𝑜 𝑠𝑐ℎ𝑜𝑜𝑙 (𝑑𝑖𝑠𝑡 𝑡𝑜 𝑠𝑐ℎ𝑜𝑜𝑙) + 𝛽𝑑𝑖𝑠𝑡 𝑡𝑜 𝑚𝑎𝑙𝑙 (𝑑𝑖𝑠𝑡 𝑡𝑜 𝑚𝑎𝑙𝑙)
7.2.1 Transformations
In the initial model, using Ordinary Least Squares method, we note a good
fit of 𝐴𝑑𝑗𝑢𝑠𝑡𝑒𝑑 𝑅 2 = 0.935, and an AIC of 1635781.9548. We
conjectured that this may be due to the large range of resale prices. We
hence moved to transform the target variable.
From our validated model, we can estimate that each floor up is worth approximately $4400 and the average.
Convenience seems to be an important factor, with each km nearer to the MRT be worth around $32K and each km
nearer to the mall to be worth $27K. Some towns are also valued more highly than others. For instance, Bedok is worth
approximately a premium of approximately $10K (see appendix), while Bukit Batok enjoys a discount (or negative
premium) of 16K. This is as expected due to different regions and districts having different prices as explain in our
analysis above.
9. Concluding Remarks
While our model has tried, to the best of our ability, to incorporate salient factors of valuation, there may be other factors
which affect the valuation, such as amenities and features the estate offers (Benson et al., 1998). For instance, having a
scenic view amenity tends to add considerably residential property values, these includes amenity view to ocean, lake
and mountains (Benson et al., 1998). More locally, unquantifiable factors may also affect valuation figures. For instance,
Feng Shui could be a significant factor on residential prices (So, 2009). With a predominantly ethnically Chinese
population, these investors may be influenced by their beliefs and traditions, including Feng Shui. Studies proclaim that
bad Feng Shui may arise as a negotiating factor for buyers to negotiate for the final prices of units (So, 2009). Other
factors such as the quality or reputation of nearby primary schools may also affect resale prices of nearby units. However,
this data is not easily obtained. Existing interior designs by current owners and possible historical significance of certain
units may also affect the value of a unit.
These factors, though important, are at this stage, hard to incorporate. Nonetheless, the current model provides a
quantitative method to estimate a benchmark for an acceptable valuation to guide individual buyers or agents to make
their investment or purchase decisions.
As a Real Estate Consulting firm aiming to provide consulting services to those who seek to buy or sell resale flats at
the greatest worthiness in terms of its cost and price, it is imperative that we are able to predict reasonably, the value of
a unit before offering appropriate advice to clients. As with all predictive models, it is important for users to be wary
and cognizant of other peripheral factors affecting the value of real estate property. These include amenities and features
offered by the HDB, ‘Feng Shui’, neighbourhood characteristics as well as ever-changing geopolitical landscape and
changes in the Government's policies. We should also be cognizant of individual preferences which may cause
individuals to value a property differently. Concluding, we should use our predictive models as the beginning of the
valuation, not as an end.
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10. References
Ang, R. (2019). New HDB flats to come with condo-like fittings. The Straits Times. Retrieved From:
https://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/housing/new-hdb-flats-to-come-with-condo-like-fittings
Chan, J. & Lim, J. (2019). 4 Questions About Owning A HDB Flat That You Probably Always Had In Your Mind.
Retrieved From: https://dollarsandsense.sg/4-questions-owning-hbd-probably-always-mind/
Choo, C. (2019). $1 Million HDB Flats: Here's What You Need To Know. Retrieved From: https://blog.seedly.sg/1-
millon-dollar-hdb-flats-singapore-heres-what-you-need-to-know/
Choo, C. (2019). HDB to build more new flats next year to meet greater demand. Channel News Asia. Retrieved
From: https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/business/hdb-to-build-more-new-flats-next-year-to-meet-greater-
demand-12188602
Frost, J (n.d). Multicollinearity in Regression Analysis: Problems, Detection, and Solutions. Retrieved From:
https://statisticsbyjim.com/regression/multicollinearity-in-regression-analysis/
Goh, R.B.H (2005). Contours of Culture: Space and Social Difference in Singapore. HK: Hong Kong University
Press. Retrieved From:
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+singapore&source=bl&ots=_HRkdB53e3&sig=ACfU3U32F0z9v08iuNBAXBchQIl8apURAg&hl=en&sa=X&ved=
2ahUKEwiSy4DNxpnpAhV8wTgGHUyXAXMQ6AEwGXoECAoQAQ#v=onepage&q=property%20is%20a%20stat
us%20symbol%20singapore&f=false
Hastie, T., James, G., Witten, D & Tibshirani, R. (2013). An Introduction to Statistical Learning with Applications in
R. UK: Springer
HDB (2019). Key Statistics, HDB Annual Report 2018/2019. Retrieved From:
https://services2.hdb.gov.sg/ebook/AR2019-keystats/html5/index.html?&locale=ENG&pn=9
HDB (n.d, 1) DIFFERING PRICES FOR BTO FLATS IN THE SAME TOWN. Retrieved From:
https://www.hdb.gov.sg/cs/infoweb/hdbspeaks/differing-prices-for-bto-flats-in-the-same-town
HDB (n.d, 2). Do buyers of HDB flats own their flat? Retrieved From:
(https://www.hdb.gov.sg/cs/infoweb/hdbspeaks/hdb-flat-buyers-own-their-flats)
HDB (n.d, 3). Types of Flats. Retrieved From: https://www.hdb.gov.sg/cs/infoweb/residential/buying-a-
flat/resale/types-of-flats
HDB (n.d, 4). Sales Launch. Retrieved From:
https://esales.hdb.gov.sg/bp25/launch/20feb/bto/20FEBBTOSB_page_0687/pricing.html
Lagman, M (2019). Dear Parents, Is Living Near Your Child’s School Really Worth It? Retrieved From:
https://www.99.co/blog/singapore/dear-parents-is-living-near-your-childs-school-really-worth-it/
Lee, P. (2016). More Singaporeans take bus, MRT to work: Government survey. The Straits Times. Retrieved from
https://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/more-singaporeans-take-bus-mrt-to-work-government-survey
MOE (n.d). Understand how balloting works. Retrieved From: https://beta.moe.gov.sg/primary/p1-
registration/understand-balloting/
Navaratnaragjah, R (2015). The MRT Effect: How It Will Affect Your Property's Value. Retrieved From:
https://www.propertyguru.com.sg/property-management-news/2015/2/85301/the-mrt-effect-how-it-will-affect-your-
propertys-value
Neo, X. (2020). Evolution of HDB designs. The Straits Times. Retrieved From:
https://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/housing/evolution-of-hdb-designs
Ong, K.S (2017). Why are DBSS flats achieving high prices in the HDB resale market? Retrieved From:
https://www.99.co/blog/singapore/dbss-flats-high-prices-hdb-resale/
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Orange Tee (2020). HDB Market Pulse – Real Estate Data Trend Q4 2019. Retrieved From:
https://blog.orangetee.com/market-analysis-news/hdb-market-pulse-real-estate-data-trend-q4-2019/
Paulo, A.D & Low, M. (2018). Class – not race nor religion – is potentially Singapore's most divisive fault line.
Channel News Asia. Retrieved From: https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/cnainsider/regardless-class-race-
religion-survey-singapore-income-divide-10774682
So, C. F. (2009). An examination of the Effect of Feng Shui on residential property price in HongKong, HongKong:
The University of HongKong.
Teo, A. (n.d). HDB Interesting facts and records. Retrieved From: https://www.teoalida.com/singapore/hdbrecords/
Wong, P. (2018). The Big Read: No easy answers to HDB lease decay issue, but public mindset has to change first.
Channel News Asia Retrieved from https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/singapore/big-read-hdb-lease-decay-
public-mindset-change-homeownership-10361572
Yong, C. (2020). More HDB resale flats sold in March, prices down 0.3%. The Straits Times. Retrieved From:
https://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/more-hdb-resale-flats-sold-in-march-prices-down-03
Appendix
Ordinary Least Squares Regression Model Report, Target Variable: np.log(resale_price)
Results: Ordinary least squares
=========================================================================================
Model: OLS Adj. R-squared: 0.906
Dependent Variable: np.log(resale_price) AIC: -119379.4787
Date: 2020-05-08 03:20 BIC: -118849.9603
No. Observations: 68161 Log-Likelihood: 59748.
Df Model: 57 F-statistic: 1.147e+04
Df Residuals: 68103 Prob (F-statistic): 0.00
R-squared: 0.906 Scale: 0.010151
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Coef. Std.Err. t P>|t| [0.025 0.975]
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Intercept 10.4072 0.0684 152.1924 0.0000 10.2732 10.5412
C(town)[T.BEDOK] 0.2430 0.0021 116.9297 0.0000 0.2390 0.2471
C(town)[T.BISHAN] 0.9216 0.0062 148.6568 0.0000 0.9095 0.9338
C(town)[T.BUKIT BATOK] 0.0840 0.0020 41.0248 0.0000 0.0799 0.0880
C(town)[T.BUKIT MERAH] 0.9214 0.0059 157.0992 0.0000 0.9099 0.9329
C(town)[T.BUKIT PANJANG] -0.0098 0.0021 -4.7341 0.0000 -0.0138 -0.0057
C(town)[T.BUKIT TIMAH] 1.0710 0.0087 122.4992 0.0000 1.0539 1.0882
C(town)[T.CENTRAL AREA] 0.9725 0.0074 131.5329 0.0000 0.9580 0.9870
C(town)[T.CHOA CHU KANG] -0.1280 0.0020 -63.4738 0.0000 -0.1320 -0.1241
C(town)[T.CLEMENTI] 0.3522 0.0026 137.8339 0.0000 0.3472 0.3572
C(town)[T.GEYLANG] 0.7870 0.0061 129.1071 0.0000 0.7750 0.7989
C(town)[T.HOUGANG] -0.1596 0.0027 -58.9058 0.0000 -0.1649 -0.1543
C(town)[T.JURONG EAST] 0.1664 0.0025 65.5025 0.0000 0.1614 0.1713
C(town)[T.JURONG WEST] 0.0044 0.0017 2.6598 0.0078 0.0012 0.0077
C(town)[T.KALLANG/WHAMPOA] 0.8320 0.0060 138.5702 0.0000 0.8203 0.8438
C(town)[T.MARINE PARADE] 1.1631 0.0074 158.0910 0.0000 1.1487 1.1776
C(town)[T.PASIR RIS] 0.0682 0.0024 28.7987 0.0000 0.0636 0.0728
C(town)[T.PUNGGOL] -0.2355 0.0029 -80.7878 0.0000 -0.2412 -0.2298
C(town)[T.QUEENSTOWN] 0.9162 0.0061 150.9034 0.0000 0.9043 0.9281
C(town)[T.SEMBAWANG] 0.0235 0.0024 9.9964 0.0000 0.0189 0.0282
C(town)[T.SENGKANG] -0.3132 0.0027 -115.0341 0.0000 -0.3185 -0.3078
C(town)[T.SERANGOON] 0.0153 0.0034 4.5208 0.0000 0.0086 0.0219
C(town)[T.TAMPINES] 0.1880 0.0020 95.3023 0.0000 0.1842 0.1919
C(town)[T.TOA PAYOH] 0.7957 0.0059 133.7963 0.0000 0.7840 0.8073
C(town)[T.WOODLANDS] 0.0716 0.0019 37.2004 0.0000 0.0679 0.0754
C(town)[T.YISHUN] 0.2130 0.0020 108.1198 0.0000 0.2092 0.2169
C(flat_type)[T.2 ROOM] 0.1000 0.0189 5.3015 0.0000 0.0630 0.1370
C(flat_type)[T.3 ROOM] 0.2511 0.0187 13.4021 0.0000 0.2144 0.2878
C(flat_type)[T.4 ROOM] 0.3327 0.0191 17.4052 0.0000 0.2952 0.3701
C(flat_type)[T.5 ROOM] 0.3534 0.0197 17.9621 0.0000 0.3148 0.3919
C(flat_type)[T.EXECUTIVE] 0.3467 0.0204 16.9729 0.0000 0.3067 0.3867
C(flat_type)[T.MULTI-GENERATION] 0.2873 0.0381 7.5325 0.0000 0.2126 0.3621
C(flat_model)[T.Adjoined flat] 0.1527 0.0719 2.1234 0.0337 0.0118 0.2937
C(flat_model)[T.Apartment] 0.1330 0.0715 1.8601 0.0629 -0.0071 0.2731
C(flat_model)[T.DBSS] 0.2202 0.0714 3.0831 0.0020 0.0802 0.3602
C(flat_model)[T.Improved] 0.0632 0.0713 0.8860 0.3756 -0.0766 0.2031
C(flat_model)[T.Improved-Maisonette] 0.3812 0.0767 4.9722 0.0000 0.2309 0.5314
C(flat_model)[T.Maisonette] 0.1746 0.0715 2.4416 0.0146 0.0344 0.3147
C(flat_model)[T.Model A] 0.0684 0.0713 0.9585 0.3378 -0.0714 0.2082
C(flat_model)[T.Model A-Maisonette] 0.2419 0.0720 3.3595 0.0008 0.1008 0.3830
C(flat_model)[T.Model A2] 0.0609 0.0714 0.8534 0.3934 -0.0790 0.2009
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C(flat_model)[T.Multi Generation] 0.2873 0.0381 7.5325 0.0000 0.2126 0.3621
C(flat_model)[T.New Generation] 0.0996 0.0714 1.3957 0.1628 -0.0403 0.2395
C(flat_model)[T.Premium Apartment] 0.0970 0.0713 1.3596 0.1740 -0.0428 0.2368
C(flat_model)[T.Premium Apartment Loft] 0.1888 0.0798 2.3672 0.0179 0.0325 0.3452
C(flat_model)[T.Premium Maisonette] 0.0536 0.0810 0.6620 0.5080 -0.1051 0.2124
C(flat_model)[T.Simplified] 0.0951 0.0714 1.3317 0.1830 -0.0448 0.2350
C(flat_model)[T.Standard] 0.0764 0.0714 1.0706 0.2843 -0.0635 0.2164
C(flat_model)[T.Terrace] 0.7305 0.0732 9.9825 0.0000 0.5871 0.8739
C(flat_model)[T.Type S1] 0.1439 0.0721 1.9945 0.0461 0.0025 0.2852
C(flat_model)[T.Type S2] 0.1324 0.0727 1.8217 0.0685 -0.0101 0.2748
C(region)[T.EAST] 0.4993 0.0043 115.9612 0.0000 0.4908 0.5077
C(region)[T.NORTH] 0.3082 0.0043 71.4226 0.0000 0.2998 0.3167
C(region)[T.NORTH-EAST] 0.7499 0.0059 126.1594 0.0000 0.7383 0.7616
C(region)[T.WEST] 0.4692 0.0049 96.0172 0.0000 0.4596 0.4788
floor_area_sqm 0.0081 0.0001 113.1330 0.0000 0.0080 0.0083
months_remaining_lease 0.0009 0.0000 182.5345 0.0000 0.0009 0.0009
mean_storey_range 0.0082 0.0001 109.2927 0.0000 0.0081 0.0084
block_number -0.0001 0.0000 -39.9598 0.0000 -0.0001 -0.0001
month_number -0.0008 0.0001 -6.6485 0.0000 -0.0010 -0.0005
dist_to_mrt -0.0700 0.0008 -87.0537 0.0000 -0.0716 -0.0685
dist_to_mall -0.0639 0.0013 -51.0544 0.0000 -0.0664 -0.0615
dist_to_sch 0.0206 0.0024 8.6123 0.0000 0.0159 0.0253
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Omnibus: 1224.409 Durbin-Watson: 1.195
Prob(Omnibus): 0.000 Jarque-Bera (JB): 2056.949
Skew: 0.160 Prob(JB): 0.000
Kurtosis: 3.788 Condition No.: 10189999488328168
=========================================================================================
* The condition number is large (1e+16). This might indicate strong
multicollinearity or other numerical problems.
13
C(flat_model)[T.Improved] 16321.6452 36971.7402 0.4415 0.6589 -56142.9219 88786.2124
C(flat_model)[T.Improved-Maisonette] 187821.4947 39723.9074 4.7282 0.0000 109962.6831 265680.3063
C(flat_model)[T.Maisonette] 94247.0324 37047.2947 2.5440 0.0110 21634.3786 166859.6862
C(flat_model)[T.Model A] 18587.9631 36964.7010 0.5029 0.6151 -53862.8072 91038.7333
C(flat_model)[T.Model A-Maisonette] 138487.9449 37306.7499 3.7121 0.0002 65366.7591 211609.1306
C(flat_model)[T.Model A2] 26008.7809 37006.7469 0.7028 0.4822 -46524.3992 98541.9611
C(flat_model)[T.Multi Generation] 107669.0068 19764.7906 5.4475 0.0000 68930.0406 146407.9731
C(flat_model)[T.New Generation] 32903.6806 36976.1209 0.8899 0.3735 -39569.4727 105376.8340
C(flat_model)[T.Premium Apartment] 29803.4517 36968.8603 0.8062 0.4201 -42655.4708 102262.3742
C(flat_model)[T.Premium Apartment Loft] 176282.4400 41335.1534 4.2647 0.0000 95265.5882 257299.2918
C(flat_model)[T.Premium Maisonette] 71202.1659 41973.7185 1.6964 0.0898 -11066.2729 153470.6046
C(flat_model)[T.Simplified] 38034.7056 36986.9235 1.0283 0.3038 -34459.6207 110529.0320
C(flat_model)[T.Standard] 30234.8742 36992.0087 0.8173 0.4137 -42269.4193 102739.1676
C(flat_model)[T.Terrace] 373097.0005 37919.9502 9.8391 0.0000 298773.9429 447420.0580
C(flat_model)[T.Type S1] 188682.4312 37377.2069 5.0481 0.0000 115423.1499 261941.7126
C(flat_model)[T.Type S2] 232502.1731 37653.6828 6.1748 0.0000 158700.9993 306303.3469
C(region)[T.EAST] -82401.4178 2231.0386 -36.9341 0.0000 -86774.2508 -78028.5848
C(region)[T.NORTH] -165230.3730 2236.1107 -73.8919 0.0000 -169613.1474 -160847.5986
C(region)[T.NORTH-EAST] -59835.3523 3080.2548 -19.4255 0.0000 -65872.6480 -53798.0566
C(region)[T.WEST] -135941.2355 2532.0842 -53.6875 0.0000 -140904.1175 -130978.3534
floor_area_sqm 3726.6492 37.2567 100.0263 0.0000 3653.6262 3799.6723
months_remaining_lease 403.3752 2.4757 162.9317 0.0000 398.5227 408.2276
mean_storey_range 4437.4498 39.0690 113.5798 0.0000 4360.8746 4514.0250
block_number -51.0047 1.0572 -48.2432 0.0000 -53.0769 -48.9325
month_number -253.9495 58.8779 -4.3132 0.0000 -369.3501 -138.5488
dist_to_mrt -32769.8752 416.8423 -78.6146 0.0000 -33586.8855 -31952.8648
dist_to_mall -27985.1580 648.5906 -43.1476 0.0000 -29256.3948 -26713.9212
dist_to_sch 11665.3730 1238.4814 9.4191 0.0000 9237.9509 14092.7950
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Omnibus: 5053.864 Durbin-Watson: 1.105
Prob(Omnibus): 0.000 Jarque-Bera (JB): 7962.797
Skew: 0.586 Prob(JB): 0.000
Kurtosis: 4.195 Condition No.: 10189999488328168
==========================================================================================================
* The condition number is large (1e+16). This might indicate strong multicollinearity or other
numerical problems.
14