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ENISA Report - Post-Quantum Cryptography Current State and Quantum Mitigation

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ENISA Report - Post-Quantum Cryptography Current State and Quantum Mitigation

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john woolis
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POST-QUANTUM

CRYPTOGRAPHY
Current state and quantum mitigation

FEBRUARY 2021
POST-QUANTUM CRYPTOGRAPHY
February 2021

ABOUT ENISA

The European Union Agency for Cybersecurity, ENISA, is the Union’s agency ded-
icated to achieving a high common level of cybersecurity across Europe. Estab-
lished in 2004 and strengthened by the EU Cybersecurity Act, the European Union
Agency for Cybersecurity contributes to EU cyber policy, enhances the trustwor-
thiness of ICT products, services and processes with cybersecurity certification
schemes, cooperates with Member States and EU bodies, and helps Europe pre-
pare for the cyber challenges of tomorrow. Through knowledge sharing, capac-
ity building and awareness raising, the Agency works together with its key stake-
holders to strengthen trust in the connected economy, to boost resilience of the
Union’s infrastructure, and, ultimately, to keep Europe’s society and citizens digi-
tally secure. For more information, visit www.enisa.europa.eu.

CONTACT
For contacting the authors please use [email protected]
For media enquiries about this paper, please use [email protected]

EDITORS
Nigel Smart (COSIC KU Leuven) and Tanja Lange (CC TUE)

CONTRIBUTORS
Ward Beullens, Jan-Pieter D’Anvers, Cyprien de Saint Guilhem, Andreas Hülsing,
Lorenz Panny

FOR ENISA
Evangelos Rekleitis, Angeliki Aktypi, Athanasios-Vasileios Grammatopoulos

LEGAL NOTICE
Notice must be taken that this publication represents the views and interpreta-
tions of ENISA, unless stated otherwise. This publication should not be construed
to be a legal action of ENISA or the ENISA bodies unless adopted pursuant to the
Regulation (EU) No 2019/881. This publication does not necessarily represent
state-of the-art and ENISA may update it from time to time. Third-party sources
are quoted as appropriate. ENISA is not responsible for the content of the exter-
nal sources including external websites referenced in this publication. This pub-
lication is intended for information purposes only. It must be accessible free of
charge. Neither ENISA nor any person acting on its behalf is responsible for the
use that might be made of the information contained in this publication.

COPYRIGHT NOTICE
© European Union Agency for Cybersecurity (ENISA), 2021
Reproduction is authorised provided the source is acknowledged.

1
POST-QUANTUM CRYPTOGRAPHY
February 2021

Copyright for the image on the cover: © Shutterstock


For any use or reproduction of photos or other material that is not under the
ENISA copyright, permission must be sought directly from the copyright holders.
ISBN: 978-92-9204-468-8, DOI: 10.2824/92307

2
POST-QUANTUM CRYPTOGRAPHY
February 2021

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Quantum Technology is an emerging field of physics and engineering, which ex-


ploits the principles of quantum physics, like quantum entanglement, quantum
superposition and quantum tunnelling, to provide new paradigms and novel ap-
plications. From computing and communications to metrology and imaging, re-
search in the last 2 decades has bear tangible and not so tangible results. It is a
critical technology that policy makers believe it will generate a multi-billion euro
market in new technological solutions for business and citizens.
Since the beginning the EU has been a key player in this area and with a planned
investment of €1 billion over 10 years, the EU Quantum Flagship1 is mobilising
around 2000 scientists and industrialists, in a collaborative initiative on an un-
precedented scale to position Europe as leader in the industrial landscape. Of
course, Europe is not alone; the US, China, Canada, and Japan have also set this
as a top strategic priority.
However, Quantum Technology and in particular Quantum Computing is also
a disruptive innovation. In the mid ’90s, scientists theorized of quantum com-
puter algorithms that, given the existence of a sufficiently powerful quantum com-
puter, can break widely used public-key cryptography schemes, such as RSA and
ECC or weaken standardised symmetric encryption algorithms. And while we do
not know when and if such a quantum machine will [ever] become available, re-
searchers and national authorities have been working on solutions. As a result,
the US National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) launched in 2017 a,
still ongoing, process to standardise one or more quantum-resistant public-key
cryptographic algorithms, soliciting proposals from cryptographers around the
world 2 .
It is important to make a distinction between Post-Quantum Cryptography (PQC)
and Quantum Cryptography. PQC is about designing cryptographic solutions that
can be used by today’s [non-quantum] computers and that we believe are resis-
tant to both conventional and quantum cryptanalysis. On the other hand, Quan-
tum Cryptography is about cryptographic solutions that take advantage of quan-
tum physics to provide certain security services. Quantum Key Distribution (QKD)
is a good example of the latter.
The EU Cybersecurity Strategy3 , presented by the European Commission and
the High Representative of the Union for Foreign Affairs and Security in Policy
on December 2020, explicitly singles out quantum computing and encryption
as a key technologies (along with AI) for achieving (1) resilience, technological
sovereignty and leadership, (2) building operational capacity to prevent, deter
and respond, and (3) advancing a global and open cyberspace. The Strategy cov-
ers the security of essential services such as hospitals, energy grids and railways
and ever-increasing number of connected objects in our homes, offices and facto-
ries, building collective capabilities to respond to major cyberattacks and working
with partners around the world to ensure international security and stability in
cyberspace4 .
1
https://qt.eu/
2
https://csrc.nist.gov/projects/post-quantum-cryptography
3
https://ec.europa.eu/digital-single-market/en/cybersecurity-strategy
4
https://ec.europa.eu/digital-single-market/en/cybersecurity

3
POST-QUANTUM CRYPTOGRAPHY
February 2021

Given the recent developments in the Quantum Computing race among indus-
tries and nation states, it seems prudent for Europe to start considering miti-
gation strategies now. The EU Cybersecurity Agency is not alone in this line of
though. Other authorities and EU Institutions have also raised concerns; for in-
stance, the European Data Protection Supervisor has highlighted the dangers
against data protection5 , national authorities have been investigating and prepar-
ing; e.g., the German Federal Office for Information Security has been evaluating
Post-Quantum alternatives since before the launch of NIST’s standardisation pro-
cess6 .
This study provides an overview of the current state of play on the standardisa-
tion process of Post-Quantum Cryptography (PQC). It introduces a framework to
analyse existing proposals, considering five (5) main families of PQC algorithms;
viz. code-based, isogeny-based, hash-based, lattice-based and multivariate-based.
It then goes on to describe the NIST Round 3 finalists for encryption and signature
schemes, as well as the alternative candidate schemes. For which, key information
on cryptodesign, implementation considerations, known cryptanalysis efforts, and
advantages & disadvantage is provided.
Since the NIST standardisation process is going7 , the report makes no claim on the
superiority of one proposal against another. In most cases the safest transition
strategy involves waiting for national authorities to standardise PQC algorithms
and provide a transition path. There might be cases thought were the quantum
risk in not tolerated, in which case the last chapter offers 2 proposals that system
owners can implement now in order to protect the confidentiality of their data
against a quantum capable attacker; namely hybrid implementations that use a
combination of pre-quantum and post-quantum schemes, and the mixing of pre-
shared keys into all keys established via public-key cryptography. These solutions
come at a cost and as such system designers are well advised to perform a thor-
ough risk and cost-benefit analysis.

5
EDPS, ”TechDispatch #2/2020: Quantum Computing and Cryptography”, https:
//edps.europa.eu/data-protection/our-work/publications/techdispatch/
techdispatch-22020-quantum-computing-and_en
6
https://www.bsi.bund.de/EN/Topics/Crypto/Cryptography/PostQuantumCryptography/
post_quantum_cryptography_node.html
7
tentative deadline 2022/2024, as of 2020, https://csrc.nist.gov/projects/
post-quantum-cryptography/workshops-and-timeline

4
POST-QUANTUM CRYPTOGRAPHY
February 2021

CONTENTS

1 Introduction 6

2 Families of Post-Quantum Algorithms 8


2.1 Code-based . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8
2.2 Isogeny-based . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8
2.3 Hash-based . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9
2.4 Lattice-based . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9
2.5 Multivariate-system based . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
2.6 The NIST Round 3 Candidates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10

3 NIST Round 3 Finalists 12


3.1 Encryption Schemes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12
3.1.1 Classic McEliece . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12
3.1.2 Crystals-Kyber . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
3.1.3 NTRU . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14
3.1.4 Saber . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15
3.2 Signature Schemes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16
3.2.1 Crystals-Dilithium . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16
3.2.2 Falcon . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17
3.2.3 Rainbow . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18

4 Alternate Candidates 19
4.1 Encryption Schemes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
4.2 Signature Schemes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20

5 Quantum Mitigation 22
5.1 Hybrid schemes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22
5.2 Protective measures for pre-quantum cryptography . . . . . . . . . . . 23

6 Conclusions 25

Bibliography 26

5
POST-QUANTUM CRYPTOGRAPHY
February 2021

1 INTRODUCTION

Post-quantum cryptography is an area of cryptography in which systems are stud-


ied under the security assumption that the attacker has a quantum computer.
This attack model is interesting because Shor has shown a quantum algorithm
that breaks RSA, ECC, and finite field discrete logarithms in polynomial time. This
means that in this model all commonly used public-key systems are no longer se-
cure.
Symmetric cryptography is also affected, but significantly less. For systems that
do not rely on mathematical structures the main effect is that an algorithm due
to Grover halves the security level, i.e., breaking AES-128 takes 264 quantum op-
erations while current attacks take 2128 steps. While this is a big change, it can
be managed quite easily by doubling the key sizes, e.g., by deploying AES-256.
The operations needed in Grover’s algorithm are inherently sequential which has
led some to doubt that even 264 quantum operations are feasible, but since the
remedy of changing to larger key sizes is very inexpensive it is generally recom-
mended to do so.
At this moment, the quantum computers that exist are not large enough to pose a
threat against current cryptography. However, rolling out new cryptographic sys-
tems takes a lot of time and effort, and it is thus important to have replacements
in place well before large, powerful quantum computers exist.
What makes matters worse is that any ciphertext intercepted by an attacker to-
day can be decrypted by the attacker as soon as he has access to a large quan-
tum computer (Retrospective decryption). Analysis of Advanced Persistent Threats
(APT) and Nation State capabilities, along with whistle-blowers’ revelations have
shown that threat actors can and are casually recording all Internet traffic in their
datacentres and that they select encrypted traffic as interesting and worth storing.
This means that any data encrypted using any of the standard public-key systems
today will need to be considered compromised once a quantum computer exists
and there is no way to protect it retroactively, because a copy of the ciphertext is
in the hands of the attacker. This means that data that needs to remain confiden-
tial after the arrival of quantum computers need to be encrypted with alternative
means.
Signatures can be updated and old keys can be revoked when a signature system
is broken; however, not all development in the area of building quantum com-
puters is public and it is fairly likely that the first fully-functional large quantum
computer will not be publicly announced, but rather sit in the basement of some
government agency. Timing the roll-over of signature keys thus remains guess-
work. On top of that, one important use case for signatures is operating-system
upgrades. If a post-quantum signature system is not in place by the time an at-
tacker has a quantum computer, then the attacker can take control of the operat-
ing system through a fake upgrade and prevent any future upgrades from fixing
the problem.
In 2017, the United States National Institute for Standards and Technology so-
licited submissions for potential public key encryption and signature algorithms
that would be secure in a world in which quantum computer existed. Although
not officially a ‘competition’ as the AES and SHA-3 efforts were, it has been treated
in much the same way as the AES and SHA-3 efforts. Over the last few years, the

6
POST-QUANTUM CRYPTOGRAPHY
February 2021

number of submissions has been whittled down, and in July 2020 the Round 3
candidates were published.
This report is a much extended update to the ECRYPT-CSA “Whitepaper on Post-
Quantum Cryptography” [43]. It provides a short summary of the underlying hard-
ness assumptions in Section 2 and summarizes the Round 3 candidates in Section
3. It also details the so-called ‘Alternate Candidates’ in Section 4. The Round 3 can-
didates are algorithms that the National Institute of Standards and Technology
(NIST) “considers to be the most promising to fit the majority of use cases and most
likely to be ready for standardisation soon after the end of the third round”, whilst the
Alternate Candidates are ones which NIST regards as “potential candidates for fu-
ture standardisation, most likely after another round of evaluation”. See [87] for more
details. Finally, this report covers mitigation strategies in Section 5.

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POST-QUANTUM CRYPTOGRAPHY
February 2021

2 FAMILIES OF POST-QUANTUM
ALGORITHMS

There would not be much point speaking about post-quantum systems, if there
were none able to survive attacks by quantum computers. The usual disclaimers
apply as with all of cryptography: It might be possible that more powerful attacks
(quantum or not) exist that have not yet been found. Apart from that possibility,
research over the last 15–20 years has built confidence in the following four areas
that lead to secure systems in a post-quantum world. In this section, we summa-
rize the mathematical basis of post-quantum proposals.

2.1 CODE-BASED
Code-based cryptography uses the theory of error-correcting codes. For some
specially constructed codes it is possible to correct many errors, while for random
linear codes this is a difficult problem. Code-based encryption systems go back
to a proposal by McEliece from 1978 [78] and are among the most studied post-
quantum schemes. Some code-based signature systems have been designed to
offer short signatures at the expense of very large key sizes. Systems based on
binary Goppa codes are generally considered secure; systems based on quasi-
cyclic medium-density parity checks have held up to analysis for about a decade
and are gaining confidence. For more background on code-based cryptography
see [68].
All code-based signature systems submitted to NIST were based on new assump-
tions and have since been broken. Six code-based encryption systems made it
to Round 2, but rank-metric codes (Rollo and RQC), as well as low-density parity-
check (LDPC) codes (LEDAkem and LEDAcrypt) had serious cryptanalysis during
Round 2 and were thus deselected by NIST.
The remaining code-based candidates are Classic McEliece, which was the finalist
selected first for encryption systems, and BIKE and HQC as alternate candidates.
The latter two are using special codes in order to reduce the key size of the public
key, as that is seen as the main drawback of code-based systems.

2.2 ISOGENY-BASED
An isogeny between elliptic curves is a non-constant map that can be written
as a fraction of polynomials and is compatible with addition on both curves, so
that the image of the sum of two points on the first curve is equal to the sum of
the images, when computed on the second curve. Isogeny-based cryptography
uses isogenies between elliptic curves over finite fields. The isogeny problem is
to find an isogeny between two elliptic curves that are known to be isogenous.
The problem was introduced in 2005 in [27] and is thus the most recent basis for
any post-quantum candidates. Usage in protocols differs in whether the degree of
the isogeny is known or secret and whether additional information is known. For
more background on isogeny-based cryptography see [67].

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POST-QUANTUM CRYPTOGRAPHY
February 2021

Only one isogeny-based candidate, SIKE, was submitted to the NIST competition
and SIKE is in the third round as an alternate candidate.

2.3 HASH-BASED
Hash functions are functions that map strings of arbitrary length to strings of fixed
length. From cryptographic hash-functions we expect that they are one-way (it
is hard to find an element in the preimage of a given image) and collision resis-
tant (it is hard to find two inputs that map to the same output). Hash functions
are one of the most widely deployed cryptographic tools we got, with applications
ranging from password hashing to file checksums, and are used in virtually any
cryptographic construction in practice. While hash functions are used in all practi-
cal signature schemes to handle arbitrary length messages, it is known, since the
beginning of public key cryptography, that they can also be used as the sole build-
ing block for this. In the simplest version, a hash-based signature on one bit is as
follows. Pick two random strings, hash each of them, and publish the outputs. Re-
veal the first preimage to sign 0 and the second to sign 1. This signature scheme,
due to Lamport from 1979 [66], is a one-time signature scheme – once the secret
is revealed it cannot be used a second time. Starting from this basic idea hash-
based signatures on longer strings and on multiple messages have been built. The
designs fall into stateless and stateful versions. The former work as normal signa-
tures, while for the latter the signer needs to keep track of some information, e.g.,
the number of signatures generated using a given key. With SPHINCS+ a stateless
hash-based signature scheme is in the third round of the competition as runner-
up. For the stateful schemes, NIST already published SP 800-208 [29] standardiz-
ing LMS [79] and XMSS [53] two stateful hash-based signature schemes. However,
it has to be noted that the stateful character limits the applications these schemes
are suitable for.
Due to their ubiquity, the security of practical hash functions is well understood.
More importantly in the given context, it is known that even quantum comput-
ers cannot significantly improve the complexity of generic attacks against crypto-
graphic hash functions. A square-root factor speed-up is the (in practice unreach-
able) upper limit for improvements.

2.4 LATTICE-BASED
On a high level, the descriptions of lattices look much like those of codes – ele-
ments are length-n vectors in some space and get error vectors added to them –
but where codes typically have entries 0 or 1, lattices work with much larger num-
bers in each entry and errors can move away further. The problems underlying
the cryptographic constructions are to find the original vector given a disturbed
one. Lattices offer more parameters than codes, which means that they might
offer solutions better adapted to a given situation, but also offer more attack sur-
face. Lattice-based cryptography goes back to 1996 and the designs of Ajtai [1]
and of Hoffstein, Pipher, and Silverman [49]. Both encryption and signature sys-
tems exist.
The lattice based schemes submitted to NIST mainly make use of the following
two basic hard problems; called Module-Learning-with-Errors (Module-LWE) and
Module-Learning-with-Rounding (Module-LWR). In these schemes one selects a
polynomial ring R = Z[X]/f , where the degree of f is equal to n, and considers it
modulo q (giving Rq ). In addition, there is another integer parameter d, called the
module degree. For Ring-LWE and Ring-LWR one sets d = 1, and for standard LWE
and LWR one has d = n = 1.
The Module-LWE problem is the problem of finding s ∈ Rqd given a number of

9
POST-QUANTUM CRYPTOGRAPHY
February 2021

samples of the form (a, a · s + e) where a is chosen uniformly at random in Rqd and
e ∈ Rq is chosen to have ‘small’ coefficients.
The Module-LWR problem is the problem of finding s ∈ Rqd given a number of sam-
ples of the form (a, ba · sep ) where a is chosen uniformly at random in Rqd , and the
function bgep takes the coefficients of the polynomial g and applies the function
x 7−→ round − to − int(x · p/q) (mod p), for some fixed integer p.
A related hard problem is that of the NTRU problem. NTRU-based cryptosystems,
also called Quotient NTRU cryptosystems, assume that the NTRU problem is hard
and that the n-sample Ring-LWE problem is hard, while Ring-LWE-based cryp-
tosystems assume that the 2n-sample Ring-LWE problem is hard. The NTRU prob-
lem and the 2n-sample Ring-LWE problem could be weaker than the n-sample
Ring-LWE problem. For large parameter sets (not proposed in practice), the NTRU
problem is proven to be hard, so NTRU-based cryptosystems are based on the
n-sample Ring-LWE problem.
Another related hard problem is the Ring Short Integer Solution (Ring-SIS) prob-
lem which asks if there is a short integer solution x ∈ Zm to the equation A · x = 0
(mod q), for a matrix A ∈ Rqn×m .

2.5 MULTIVARIATE-SYSTEM BASED


Multivariate cryptography goes back to the late eighties and is based on the hard-
ness of finding a solution to a system of multivariate quadratic equations over
finite fields. It is possible to build signature schemes from systems of equations
with uniformly random coefficients [100], and these are considered to be the most
secure multivariate systems. However, the more efficient schemes use trapdoored
systems of equations, which appear random to outsiders, but which have some
hidden structure that is only known to the person that constructed the system.
Thanks to this structures it is possible to find solutions efficiently. These are often
called Oil-and-Vinegar schemes.
Currently, the multivariate encryption schemes are not very efficient, often with
very large public keys and long decryption times. On the signatures front how-
ever, things look a bit better. Out of the nineteen signature schemes submitted
to the NIST Post-Quantum Cryptography (PQC) project, seven were multivariate
signature schemes. Two of these seven schemes proceeded to the third round of
the NIST PQC process. The Rainbow scheme [38] was selected as one of the three
finalists, and the GeMMS scheme [26] was selected as an “alternate candidate”.
These schemes enjoy very short signature sizes (as small as 33 Bytes), but suffer
from rather large public keys (160 KB or more).

2.6 THE NIST ROUND 3 CANDIDATES


In the table 2.1, we describe the NIST Round 3 candidates (both the finalists and
the alternate candidates) and splitting them into the two groups of encryption
and signature scheme, whilst also detailing the hard problems on which they are
based.

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POST-QUANTUM CRYPTOGRAPHY
February 2021

Table 2.1: NIST Round 3 candidates

Scheme Enc/Sig Family Hard Problem

Round 3 Finalists

Classic McEliece Enc Code-Based Decoding random binary Goppa codes

Crytals-Kyber Enc Lattice-Based Cyclotomic Module-LWE

NTRU Enc Lattice-Based Cyclotomic NTRU Problem

Saber Enc Lattice-Based Cyclotomic Module-LWR

Crystals-Dilithium Sig Lattice-Based Cyclotomic Module-LWE and Module-SIS

Falcon Sig Lattice-Based Cyclotomic Ring-SIS

Rainbow Sig Multivariate-Based Oil-and-Vinegar Trapdoor

Round 3 Alternate Candidates

BIKE Enc Code-Based Decoding quasi-cyclic codes

HQC Enc Code-Based Coding variant of Ring-LWE

Frodo-KEM Enc Lattice-Based LWE

NTRU-Prime Enc Lattice-Based Non-cyclotomic NTRU Problem or Ring-LWE

SIKE Enc Isogeny-Based Isogeny problem with extra points

GeMSS Sig Multivariate-Based ‘Big-Field’ trapdoor

Picnic Sig Symmetric Crypto Preimage resistance of a block cipher

SPHINCS+ Sig Hash-Based Preimage resistance of a hash function

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POST-QUANTUM CRYPTOGRAPHY
February 2021

3 NIST ROUND 3 FINALISTS

3.1 ENCRYPTION SCHEMES


3.1.1 Classic McEliece
Design:
Classic McEliece [3] is a code-based scheme using binary Goppa codes, the same
codes that McEliece originally proposed when he introduced code-based cryptog-
raphy [78] in 1978. Code-based cryptography is the oldest public-key encryption
system that is expected to resist attacks by quantum computers and is one of the
oldest public-key encryption systems overall. During Round 2 the scheme merged
with NTS-KEM, which was using the same codes.
The assumption underlying One-Wayness against Chosen-Plaintext Attacks (OW-
CPA) PKE security is that decoding a random binary Goppa code is hard – McEliece
encodes messages into code words and encrypts them by adding random errors.
The Classic McEliece scheme uses the dual of McEliece’s scheme, as proposed by
Niederreiter [85], and tightly turns this OW-CPA PKE into an IND-CCA2 KEM using
Theorem 8 in Dent [37]. A proof in the QROM (Quantum Random-Oracle Model) is
given in [17] which proves a bound  on the probability of a QROM Indistinguisha-
bility under adaptive Chosen Ciphertext Attack (IND-CCA2), assuming a bound on
the scale of 2 on the probability of an OW-CPA attack against the underlying de-
terministic PKE.

Implementation:
A full KEM was specified and implemented in [13] with improvements in [28].
The software is available on the submitters’ page, see [3], and includes reference
and optimized implementation. All implementations of Classic McEliece are con-
stant time. An implementation for the ARM Cortex-M4 is finished, but not yet pub-
licly available. FPGA implementations are covered in [107] and [108] and are also
freely available and constant time.
Classic McEliece has been integrated into the network protocols McTiny [15] and
Post-quantum WireGuard [55].

Cryptanalysis:
There are two main avenues of attack against code-based cryptography: information-
set decoding (ISD) and structural attacks.
ISD goes back to a general decoding technique from 1962 due to Prange [94].
There is a long history of research on this problem, especially for cryptographic
applications, with the most recent papers being [22, 23, 63]. These attacks show
their biggest effect for high-rate codes while the binary Goppa codes used in Clas-
sic McEliece are only marginally affected. More precisely, achieving 2λ security
against Prange’s attack requires keys of size (0.741186 . . . + o(1))λ2 (log2 λ)2 bits as
λ → ∞. To achieve the same level of security against all the later attacks requires
keys of size (0.741186 . . . + o(1))λ2 (log2 λ)2 bits as λ → ∞, i.e., the improvements af-

12
POST-QUANTUM CRYPTOGRAPHY
February 2021

fect only the o(1) term. All these attacks involve huge searches, like attacking AES.
The quantum attacks (Grover etc.) leave at least half of the bits of security.
Structural attacks attempt to find a good decoding algorithm for the code in the
public key by identifying structures of the private key in the public one. Such at-
tacks have been successful against code-based systems based on other codes,
e.g., identifying Reed-Solomon codes as used by Niederreiter [85] or Gabidulin
codes used in early rank-metric codes. However, for binary Goppa codes the only
attacks known are distinguishing attacks and even those are successful only for
very high-rate codes, larger than proposed for any cryptosystems [44].

Advantages and Disadvantages:


The advantages for Classic McEliece are that it has a very long history of analysis
with no significant impact on the security and that the ciphertext size is small. The
ciphertexts are the smallest of all Round-2 candidates and thus also of all Round-3
candidates. No other public-key encryption system can look back at more than 40
years of cryptanalysis – quantum or not – without taking a hit.
The disadvantage is the size of the public key, which for the highest security level
takes more than 1MB. This poses a problem for applications that request fresh
public keys for each execution; the McTiny protocol [15] shows how to make this
work nevertheless without causing denial-of-service attack on the servers. Post-
quantum WireGuard [55] and PGP are applications where the system can be used
as a long-term identity key.

3.1.2 Crystals-Kyber
Design:
Kyber is an Indistinguishability under Chosen Plaintext Attack (IND-CCA) secure
KEM originally presented in [20]. It has seen some significant changes since then
and the latest description can be found in [103]. The security of Kyber can be
provably reduced to the Module-Learning-with-Errors problem (Module-LWE),
but the parameter set for the lowest security level bases its security estimate on a
combination of Module Learning with Errors and Module Learning with Rounding
(MLWR). Kyber is based on LPR [73] encryption, but uses vectors of polynomials as
elements, performs additional compression on the ciphertext and is designed to
accommodate fast multiplications using the Number Theoretic Transform (NTT).
IND-CCA security is obtained through a variant of the FO transformation. The pub-
lic key sizes of Kyber are 800, 1184 and 1568 bytes for security levels 1, 3 and 5
respectively, and the ciphertext sizes are 768, 1088, 1568 bytes.

Implementation:
After an initial implementation on general purpose processors in [20], Kyber has
been implemented on Cortex-M4 [24] and a software hardware codesign has
been described in [33]. An implementation using an RSA-coprocessor was given
in [5]. Moreover, implementations of Kyber can reuse existing designs for Ring-
LWE (aka RLWE) encryption schemes that support NTT multiplication, for example
implementations of NewHope or early Ring-LWE schemes. No side-channel secure
implementation is available for Kyber, but an idea of the challenges and the cost
can be gained from a masked Ring-LWE implementation as presented in [88].

Cryptanalysis:
The security of Kyber is provably reducible to the security of the underlying Module-
LWE problem (aka Mod-LWE). As there is currently no efficient way to exploit the
modular structure security is typically estimated based on the corresponding LWE

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problem. Such attack typically transforms the LWE problem into a shortest vec-
tor lattice problem that can then be solved using lattice reduction techniques. An
independent security estimate of Kyber was given in [4].
Kyber has a very small probability of decryption failures in which valid cipher-
texts fail to decrypt properly. This paves the road for decryption failure attacks
as proposed in [19, 34, 36]. However, when limiting the number of queries to 264
as recommended in the NIST call for proposals [86], these attacks are less efficient
than direct lattice attacks. A practical fault injection attack on Kyber was presented
in [97].

Advantages and Disadvantages:


Kyber is designed with NTT multiplications in mind, which allows for efficient im-
plementations of Kyber on a variety of platforms. It is notable that some elements
are generated and compressed in the NTT domain, which makes it impractical to
use other multiplication algorithms for Kyber. Moreover, polynomial multiplica-
tions are in the same ring for all security levels, which makes it easy to scale be-
tween the security levels. Overall, the support for NTT multiplication makes Kyber
efficient to implement. The security of Kyber enjoys strong reductions to underly-
ing hard lattice problems.

3.1.3 NTRU
Design:
Nth Degree Truncated Polynomial Ring Units (NTRU) is one of the oldest encryp-
tion schemes that makes use of structured lattices. It was developed by Hoffstein,
Pipher, and Silverman in 1998 [49]. The round three submission to NIST [110] is a
merger of the initial NTRU submission [109] and the NTRU-HRSS submission [102]
implemented after the first round due to large overlaps in the design. The sub-
mission specifies a perfectly correct, deterministic public key encryption scheme
(dPKE). This dPKE is transformed into a CCA2-secure KEM using the U6⊥ m transform
of [50]. Assuming the scheme is OW-CPA, i.e., given a public key and a ciphertext,
it is hard to learn the encrypted plaintext, a tight proof for CCA2-security in the
ROM is given in [50]. A tight proof in the quantum-accessible ROM is known, but
makes a less standard assumption [99].

Implementation:
The NTRU-HRSS part of the submission was based on [54] which already con-
tained a high-speed constant-time implementation. NTRU-HRSS was among the
fastest first round submissions. NTRU is also known for its speed on constrained
devices; implementations go back to at least 2001 [8], but also nowadays NTRU is
one of the schemes with the fastest encapsulation and decapsulation routines in
the pqm4 project [60].
Also, implementation security of NTRU is well advanced. As mentioned above,
for commodity hardware, the optimized implementations provided are constant
time [54]. On constrained devices, up-to-date masked implementations are known [101]
that protect against side channel attacks like correlation power analysis attacks [70].
NTRU was chosen by Cloudflare and Google for their second PQC experiment [69]
and used in connections from users running Chrome Canary to Google and Cloud-
flare.

Cryptanalysis:
The security of NTRU is supported by a long history of cryptanalysis (see e.g., [30,
48, 52, 75, 76]). Up to parameter changes, NTRU successfully survived the last 20+

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years of cryptanalysis. The efforts of the last years suggest that the complexity of
the best attacks against NTRU is determined by the complexity of lattice reduc-
tion. The complexity of the best algorithms for lattice reduction in turn depends
on the complexity of solving the shortest vector problem (SVP). See the specifica-
tion for an extensive elaboration. An independent evaluation can be found in [4].

Advantages and Disadvantages:


NTRU has several advantages. As mentioned above, it is perfectly correct and the
underlying assumption is well studied. It is flexible, meaning that the underlying
dPKE can be parameterized for a variety of use cases with different size, security,
and efficiency requirements. It is simple: The dPKE has only two parameters, n
and q, and can be described entirely in terms of simple integer polynomial arith-
metic. It is fast: ntruhrss701 was among the fastest submissions in the first round.
It is compact: The ntruhps2048677 parameter set achieves NIST level L1 security
with a wide security margin, level L3 security under a reasonable assumption, and
has public keys and ciphertexts of only 930 bytes. It is guaranteed patent free as
the relevant patents have expired.
On the downside, NTRU is unlikely to be the fastest, most compact, or most se-
cure submission. However, it is competitive on products of these measures. As
for all other lattice-based schemes, the choice of optimal parameters for NTRU is
currently limited by a poor understanding of the non-asymptotic behaviour of new
algorithms for SVP. Finally, there is structure in NTRU that is not strictly necessary,
and this may also be seen as a limitation.

3.1.4 Saber
Design:
Saber is a family of cryptographic primitives that includes an IND-CPA secure en-
cryption scheme and an IND-CCA secure KEM, with an initial design as described
in [35] and most recent update in [10]. Its security can be reduced to the security
of the Module Learning with Rounding (MLWR). As most LWE/LWR based schemes,
Saber follows the general structure of LPR [73] encryption. The main differences
are power-of-two moduli, the use of vectors of polynomials and the adaptation
of learning with rounding. To achieve IND-CCA security Saber relies on a post-
quantum variant of the FO transformation. Saber boasts public key sizes of 672,
992 and 1312 bytes; and ciphertext sizes of 736, 1088, 1472 bytes for security level
1, 3 and 5 respectively.

Implementation:
An initial implementation of Saber on high end processors was presented in [35].
Implementation efforts have since then extended to Cortex-M4 and Cortex-M0
in [59, 61, 81, 90], ESP32 in [106], specific coprocessors in [74, 98], large integer
coprocessors in [21], a software hardware codesign in [33] and a hardware imple-
mentation in [111]. An implementation that batches multiple decapsulations to
exploit vector instructions has been proposed in [104]. A first order masked imple-
mentation of Saber was given in [11].
Saber has been integrated into the network protocol Post-quantum WireGuard [55]
for exchanging ephemeral keys.

Cryptanalysis:
The most straightforward attack on Saber is to break the underlying Mod-LWR
problem. Such an attack rewrites the Mod-LWR problem as a shortest vector lat-
tice problem and uses lattice reduction algorithms to retrieve the secret key. The

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security of this problem is typically estimated as the security of the analogous LWE
problem as there is at the moment no efficient attack that exploits the module or
rounding structure. An initial security estimate of Saber was given in [4] and was
further improved in [10] using the estimation tools of [2, 32].
As Saber is subject to decryption failures with a small probability, there is the pos-
sibility of decryption failure attacks. Attacks on the IND-CCA secured KEM were
presented in [19, 34, 36] but when limiting the number of queries that can be per-
formed to 264 as proposed in the NIST call for proposals [86], these attacks do not
outperform standard lattice attacks.

Advantages and Disadvantages:


The choice for power-of-two moduli avoids the need for explicit modular reduc-
tions or rejection sampling that are typically present in prime moduli based schemes.
The latter also reduces the number of hash function calls. The drawback of this
choice is that the NTT is not naturally supported. However, other multiplication
algorithms (e.g., Karatsuba, Toom-Cook, schoolbook, Kronecker) have been shown
to be efficient on a range of platforms and the design of Saber does not restrict
implementors to a specific multiplication algorithm. Moreover, in multiplications
of Saber, one element will always have small coefficients, which could be exploited
for optimizing implementations.
Being based on learning with rounding, Saber introduced an error by rounding
coefficients. This naturally reduces the communication bandwidth and avoids the
generation of the error term. The modular structure of Saber implies that multipli-
cations of polynomials are always in the same ring, and as such the multiplication
algorithm of these polynomials is the same for all security levels.
Saber is efficient to mask, due to the power-of-two moduli and the absence of the
error term. The first order masked Saber implementation of [11] has an overhead
factor 2.5x, which can be compared to an overhead of factor 5.7x previously re-
ported for prime-moduli schemes [88]. Saber also excels at anonymous commu-
nication as it is naturally constant time, even over different public keys, due to
the avoidance of rejection sampling. Moreover, the power-of-two moduli ensures
communication consists of a uniformly random bitstring without apparent struc-
ture.

3.2 SIGNATURE SCHEMES


3.2.1 Crystals-Dilithium
Design:
Dilithium is a signature scheme introduced in [41] and with latest version de-
scribed in [72]. It is based on Fiat-Shamir with aborts, and its security can be re-
duced to the security of the Module-LWE and Module-SIS problems. It is designed
to allow fast multiplications using the NTT transformation and avoids generation
of randomness from a discrete Gaussian distribution, instead opting for sampling
from a uniform distribution.

Implementation:
The Dilithium team provided an implementation in their initial work [41]. Further
work has focused on improving the speed of the signing procedure [96]. An imple-
mentation of Dilithium on Cortex-M4 was presented in [47] and a masked imple-
mentation was introduced in [83].

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Cryptanalysis:
The security of Dilithium is based on that of the underlying Module-LWE and Module-
SIS problems. Currently there is no efficient attack exploiting the module structure
and as such the security of the equivalent LWE and SIS problems is considered. An
independent estimation effort [4] confirmed Dilithium’s security estimate. A fault
attack on Dilithium was presented in [25].

Advantages and Disadvantages:


In contrast to other signature proposals, Dilitihium samples from a uniform dis-
tribution avoiding the complex and inefficient sampling from a discrete Gaussian
distribution. The modular structure of Dilithium ensures that polynomial multi-
plication is always performed in the same ring regardless of security level, which
makes it easy to switch between these levels. Multiplication can be performed ef-
ficiently due to its NTT friendly parameters. Applying a trick to compress the pub-
lic key with a factor 2, Dilithium has the smallest public key plus signature size of
lattice-based schemes that use uniform sampling.

3.2.2 Falcon
Design:
Falcon [95] is a signature scheme whose design is based on the Gentry–Peikert–
Vaikuntanathan (GPV) blueprint [46] for lattice-based signatures. It instantiates
this construction with NTRU lattices and an efficient Gaussian sampler [42, 51],
which yields a scheme that is provably secure under the assumption that SIS is
hard in the particular lattices used. Falcon has been designed so that all of the
arithmetic operations can be computed using efficient Fourier-transform tech-
niques.

Implementation:
An efficient constant-time implementation of Falcon is given by [93], using the
sampler of [51]. It does not require (but can use) a floating-point unit and runs
efficiently on various kinds of microprocessors including Intel x86 and ARM cores.
See [89] for a more optimized implementation specific to the latter. The constant-
time Gaussian sampler of [62] can be used in Falcon.

Cryptanalysis:
The mathematical security of Falcon relies on the hardness of the SIS problem
over NTRU rings, which benefits from the long history of cryptanalysis for the
NTRU cryptosystem (cf. Section 3.1.3). The best known attacks are generic lattice
techniques: there is no known way to effectively exploit the additional ring struc-
ture present in NTRU lattices. To estimate the security against lattice-reduction
algorithms, Falcon employs the “Core-SVP” method which was also used by many
other lattice-based NIST submissions.
A fault attack on Falcon is demonstrated (and countermeasures proposed) in [77],
and the side-channel leakage of Falcon and similar schemes was analysed in [45].

Advantages and Disadvantages:


In a nutshell, Falcon is a very compact (smallest combined size of public key and
signature among all NIST candidates) and efficient post-quantum signature scheme
whose security reduces to well-established assumptions. The chosen ring struc-
ture and error distribution allow for efficient FFT-based implementations, which
partially cancels the adverse effects of using a Gaussian error distribution and

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leads to good performance in practice. Indeed, perhaps the biggest drawback of


Falcon appears to be the complexity of understanding all details of the construc-
tion and implementing the scheme correctly.

3.2.3 Rainbow
Design:
Rainbow is a multivariate signature scheme, proposed by Ding and Schmidt [38,
39] and based on the Oil and Vinegar (OV) scheme by Patarin [91]. Similar to RSA
signatures, Rainbow uses a trapdoor function P, for which only the holder of the
secret key can compute preimages. To sign a message M , the signer then pub-
lishes a preimage for H(M, salt), where H is a cryptographic hash function that
outputs elements in the range of P, and where salt is a fixed-length bitstring, cho-
sen uniformly at random for each signature.
The Rainbow trapdoor function is best described as the composition of two or
more oil and vinegar trapdoors. The design philosophy is that by iterating the OV
trapdoor, it gets more resistant to attacks, which allows for more efficient param-
eter choices. Unfortunately, the additional complexity also opens up some new
attack strategies.

Implementation:
The Rainbow team provided an optimized implementation for general purpose
processors and for processors supporting AVX2 instructions. These implementa-
tions are claimed to resist timing side-channel attacks. During the second round
of the NIST PQC process, the Rainbow team switched to a new key generation al-
gorithm. This does not affect the security of the scheme, but made key-generation
more efficient. A fault attack against Rainbow is presented in [65].

Cryptanalysis:
Like most multivariate signature schemes, Rainbow does not have a security proof
that reduces a hard computational problem to the security of the scheme. There-
fore, we can not rely on widely believed assumptions and it necessary to have a
dedicated cryptanalysis of Rainbow. After some initial cryptanalytic results in the
first few years after the introduction of Rainbow, the cryptanalysis of Rainbow was
relatively stable. However, since Rainbow entered the NIST PQC process, there
have been some works that slightly improved existing attacks [9, 105], and dur-
ing the third round of the NIST PQC process two new attacks were published that
broke the security claims. [16] The Rainbow team has announced that a new pa-
rameter set will be proposed to address the new attacks.

Advantages and Disadvantages:


Rainbow signatures are small (e.g. ∼ 66 Bytes at SL I) and the signing and verifi-
cation algorithms are fast. Rainbow uses only linear algebra over very small finite
fields, which makes it suitable for implementing the scheme on low-cost devices,
without the need for a cryptographic coprocessor. On the other hand, the pub-
lic keys are rather large (e.g. 158 KB at SL I). It is possible to compress the public
key size by almost a factor 3 at the expense of slower signing times. The security
analysis of Rainbow cannot be considered stable at the moment.

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4 ALTERNATE CANDIDATES

4.1 ENCRYPTION SCHEMES


BIKE
BIKE [7], Bit Flipping Key Encapsulation, is a Key Encapsulation Mechanism (KEM)
based on quasi-cyclic codes with moderate-density parity-check matrices. The
public key specifies an error-correcting code, as in Classic McEliece, but in BIKE
the code has a public structure of being quasi-cyclic, allowing the public key to be
compressed. The moderate-density parity-check matrices are secret, Bit flipping
corrects errors by repeatedly flipping the input bits that, given the secret parity
checks, seem most likely to be errors.

HQC
HQC [80], Hamming Quasi-Cyclic, has the same noisy Diffie–Hellman structure
as many lattice-based cryptosystems. The public key includes a random G and
A = aG + e, where a, e are small secrets. The ciphertext includes B = bG + d and
C = M + bA + c, where b, c, d are small secrets and M is a message encoded using
an error-correcting code. The receiver computes C − aB = M + be + c − ad, which
is close to M since a, b, c, d, e are small, and decodes the error-correcting code to
recover M . HQC uses polynomials modulo 2, rather than the larger integer moduli
used in lattice-based cryptosystems, but uses polynomial modulus xn − 1 with rel-
atively large n. HQC uses error-correcting codes built from Reed-Muller and Reed-
Solomon codes. Public keys are between 2249 and 7245 bytes, and ciphertexts are
between 4481 and 14469 bytes, depending on the security level.

Frodo-KEM
FrodoKEM [84] is a key encapsulation mechanism whose security is based on the
hardness of the standard Learning With Errors problem. The algorithm is a spe-
cific instantiation of the construction of Lindner and Peikert from 2011 [71]. It
thus makes no use of so-called structured lattices (such as those based on Ring or
Module LWE), this means that the performance is not as good as the lattice based
schemes selected to be the main candidates in Round 3. However, for those wor-
ried about the structural properties of these latter candidates, Frodo-KEM may be
an option.

NTRU-Prime
NTRU Prime [12, 14] is a lattice-based key encapsulation mechanism (KEM) with
two options: Streamlined NTRU Prime, which is similar to NTRU, and NTRU LPRime,
which is similar to Kyber and SABER. NTRU Prime uses a polynomial xp − x − 1 with
a maximum-size Galois group (superexponential in the degree) while NTRU, Ky-
ber, and SABER use cyclotomic polynomials with a minimum-size Galois group
(linear in the degree). The original STOC 2009 Gentry FHE system and the original
multilinear-map system are broken for cyclotomics but not for xp − x − 1; NTRU
Prime predates these attacks and is designed to protect lattice-based cryptosys-
tems against the possibility of cyclotomic attacks. Compared to the performance

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of NTRU, Kyber, and SABER, the performance of NTRU Prime is sometimes slightly
worse and sometimes slightly better, but is generally similar.

SIKE
SIKE [57] is a key encapsulation mechanism based on the hard problem of pseudo-
random walks in supersingular isogeny graphs. This is a relatively new problem in
the cryptographic arena, but the problem of studying isogenies of supersingular
elliptic curves is an old mathematical problem. The main advantage of isogeny
based schemes is their small public key and ciphertext size. The key problems as-
sociated with SIKE is that the performance is currently not competitive with the
other proposals. This may improve however over time.

4.2 SIGNATURE SCHEMES


GeMSS
The GeMMS scheme [26] builds on a line of work that goes back to 1988; schemes
in this line of work are called “Big Field” schemes. The public key for GeMMS is a
multivariate quadratic system of equations over F2 . The main idea behind “Big
Field” schemes is that there is a secret change of variables that turns the public
key into a (perturbed version of) a system that models a low-degree univariate
polynomial equation over an extension field F2n . Since it is possible to efficiently
find the solutions to a low degree univariate polynomial, this allows someone who
knows the secret change of variables to sign messages. The size of GeMMS signa-
tures is exceptionally small, with a size of only 258 bits at NIST security level I. The
main drawbacks, however, are that, with 350KB, the public keys are large, and that
signing is slow, especially for the more conservative parameter choices.

Picnic

The Picnic signature scheme,1 currently on its third iteration [58], is unique among
the other candidates due to its use of the “MPC-in-the-head” paradigm [56]. In this
framework, a proving algorithm simulates a virtual MPC protocol which computes
the circuit for an NP relation R, e.g. x ∼R y ⇐⇒ y = SHA-256(x). By revealing
the views of a random subset of the MPC parties, this forms an interactive zero-
knowledge proof of knowledge (ZKPoK) of a witness for R. In Picnic, this ZKPoK
is made non-interactive and turned into a signature scheme using the traditional
Fiat-Shamir transform; furthermore, the design uses the LowMC block cipher for the
relation R due to this cipher’s explicit design for efficient computation in MPC.2 Af-
ter several iterations in the design, the current specification document for Picnic3
lists signature sizes of 12.6kB, 27.5kB and 48.7kB for the L1, L3 and L5 NIST secu-
rity levels, respectively [58].

SPHINCS+

SPHINCS+ is a framework that describes a family of hash-based signature schemes3 .


Using an arbitrary, secure cryptographic hash function, a signature scheme can be
obtained using the SPHINCS+ framework. This is in contrast to all other signature
1
See https://microsoft.github.io/Picnic/ for the project page and a list of design and specifica-
tion documents. Last accessed December 20, 2020.
2
While producing efficient and short signatures, the use of the new LowMC has been commented on
by NIST and other works have explored using more trusted ciphers as replacement.
3
See https://sphincs.org for the project page with the full submission package and a collection
of relevant design documents. Last accessed December 20, 2020

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schemes mentioned in this document4 , which require a secure cryptographic hash


function and an additional mathematical problem to be computationally hard
to solve. The general concept of building signature schemes from cryptographic
hash functions goes back to the beginning of public key cryptography [66, 82]. For
that reason, SPHINCS+ is widely considered the signature scheme with the most
conservative security guarantees in the competition.
The rough concept of SPHINCS+ (as well as its predecessor SPHINCS and the first
round scheme Gravity-SPHINCS) is as follows. A key pair defines a huge virtual
data structure. Data objects required in a signature operation are generated on
the fly from a short secret seed using a pseudorandom generator. This virtual
data structure of a key pair contains a massive number of hash-based few-time
signature scheme (FTS) key pairs (e.g. 260 ). Such FTS become less secure with ev-
ery signature and after a certain number T of signatures (e.g. T = 8) security
drops below the targeted security level. To prevent using the same few-time key
pair more than T times, for every signature a random FTS key pair is selected for
every new message. By using sufficiently many FTS key pairs, the probability of a
T + 1 times collision can be made about as likely as successfully guessing the se-
cret key. The public keys of all these FTS key pairs are authenticated by a single
hash value using certification trees (similar to a PKI) built of hash-based one-time
signature schemes and binary hash trees.
The SPHINCS+ submission to the NIST process defines instances using SHA2,
SHA3, or Haraka [64]. The SPHINCS+ design remained unchanged since the ini-
tial submission. The changes introduced in the last iterations were an additional
construction for the internally used functions and parameters that offer better
performance trade-offs. SPHINCS+ is a flexible design. For example, at NIST se-
curity level L1, the specification contains parameters that lead signature sizes of
7 856 bytes and 17 088, while signing times are 2 721 Mcycles and 138 Mcycles, re-
spectively, using SHA2-256. Verification speed is generally fast with about 3 and 8
Mcycles for above parameters, and keys for both parameter sets are 64 bytes for
the secret and 32 bytes for the public keys.

4
While this is theoretically also true for Picnic, to be competitive, Picnic requires a function with low
multiplicative depth, a property common hash functions do not provide.

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5 QUANTUM MITIGATION

If you encrypt data that needs to be kept confidential for more than 10 years and
an attacker could gain access to the ciphertext you need to take action now to
protect your data. Otherwise, security will be compromised as soon as the at-
tacker also gets access to a large quantum computer. Given that the NIST process
will still run for a few years, there are essentially two viable options to handle this
problem.
The first option is to already migrate to so called hybrid implementations that use
a combination of pre-quantum and post-quantum schemes. The second option is
to employ the conceptionally easy, but organizationally complicated measure of
mixing pre-shared keys into all keys established via public-key cryptography. We
will detail these two options below.
If you build devices that will be hard to reach or to upgrade later you should in-
clude a post-quantum signature scheme now to ensure secure continuity of ser-
vice when a quantum computer is available. Otherwise, you should start to pre-
pare for migration by making a catalogue of where you currently use public-key
cryptography and for what purpose. Make sure to include software updates and
third party products in your overview. Figure out whether you fit into one of the
use cases that NIST considers – even better, get involved in the NIST discussions to
make sure your use case is covered. Then wait for the outcome of the NIST com-
petition (or quantum computers getting dangerously close, whichever comes first)
to update your systems.

5.1 HYBRID SCHEMES


A hybrid scheme in this context describes the combination of a pre-quantum pub-
lic key cryptographic scheme, such as RSA or (EC)DH, with a post-quantum one in
a way that guarantees security as long as at least one of the two schemes is se-
cure. Hence, hybrid solutions might also be interesting for the migration to stan-
dardized post-quantum schemes as they can be easier justified in cases where
certification and compliance are an issue.
We first look at public-key encryption (PKE) and key exchange (KEX). The most
generic way to combine two PKE or KEX schemes is to run both schemes to ob-
tain one shared secret per scheme and to xor the two shared secrets to obtain a
combined one. For protocols that derive a session key by means of feeding a pre-
master secret, obtained via public-key cryptography, into a key derivation function
(KDF), it is also possible to establish one pre-master secret per scheme and to feed
the concatenation of the two pre-master secrets into the KDF. This would for ex-
ample be applicable in the context of TLS. An extensive case-study of combining
schemes for confidentiality that takes a rather applied angle can be found in [31].
When it comes to signature schemes, the combination of two schemes is generi-
cally best handled by using them independently. This means, distributing two pub-
lic keys (possibly in one certificate) and always sending two signatures, one per
scheme. For specific schemes, more efficient combiners might be possible but this
is a topic of ongoing research. A more detailed discussion including a discussion
of practical implementations of such combiners is presented in [18].

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5.2 PROTECTIVE MEASURES FOR PRE-QUANTUM CRYP-


TOGRAPHY
Users who do not want to embark on deploying post-quantum systems before
they are standardised. yet are concerned about the long-term confidentiality of
their transmitted data can protect their systems by including retained shared se-
cret data in the key derivation, in addition to the key material obtained by a public
key operation. This comes at the expense of keeping pairwise shared data and is
thus only an option for systems which keep state and have a limited set of peers.
ZRTP [112] includes such a mechanism called “key continuity” as a measure against
man-in-the-middle (MITM) attacks. The protocol – specified in 2006 – does not
mention security against quantum adversaries as a motivation but is the first de-
scription of this idea that we are aware of. It also goes further than other proto-
cols in updating the shared secret data. The more recent Wireguard [40] protocol
uses a pre-shared key (PSK) and includes it in the derivation of session keys but
does not update the PSK; Wireguard is based on Noise PSK [92, Chapter 9]. Wire-
guard explicitly mentions the PSK as a feature to protect against later compromise
by quantum attackers. (See also [6] for a small tweak to achieve better protection
in that scenario and [55] for a fully post-quantum version.)
The following description follows the approach of ZRTP in that the retained shared
secret gets updated with each public-key operation by hashing in new data. In-
cluding secret data from public-key operations ensures forward secrecy and post-
compromise security against pre-quantum attackers. Updating the retained shared
secret during each iteration with a hash function ensures that a later compromise
of the system cannot recover previous session keys from the retained shared se-
cret and recorded connection data, even if the attacker has a quantum computer
and can thus break the pre-quantum public-key encryption.
Let r denote the retained shared secret. Let s be the fresh shared data, obtained
from a public-key operation. The above-mentioned protocols are based on the
Diffie-Hellman key exchange, but this approach can also be used for RSA-based
protocols. Whenever the original protocol calls a KDF for generating the session
key k, the KDF’s inputs should be extended to include r:

k = KDF(s, 00 session key00 , r, ∗),

where ∗ is a placeholder for the context data (handshake messages, public keys,
ID strings, etc.). This ensure that an attacker can recover k only if he has obtained
r as well as s.
After computing k, the retained secret should be updated to

r0 = KDF(k, 00 retained secret00 )

possibly including other context data in the KDF arguments.


The protocol needs to be careful to verify that both parties have obtained s before
overwriting r. See ZRTP [112] for an instantiation using two variables for retained
secret values in order to avoid desynchronization.

The description above leaves open how the users have received the first PSK value
r. Users concerned about long-term security should arrange to share such keys
out of band (scanned QR code, password, . . . ). In scenarios with predefined com-
munication patterns, such as a main server communicating with remote regis-
tered devices, the PSK may be provisioned with the devices. Note that each device
should get a unique PSK known only to the device and the server.
Users may also start with empty r if they achieve authenticity and protection against
MITM attacks in other ways, e.g., comparing fingerprints of the obtained data

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POST-QUANTUM CRYPTOGRAPHY
February 2021

through a different medium (a phone call etc.), or accept trust-on-first use. Note
that this helps against quantum attackers only if the attackers miss the first con-
nection, which is unlikely for an attacker so dedicated that they can get a quan-
tum computer. However, it is worth mentioning that, if an attacker ever misses
the communication leading to a key update, so that they do not know s, they also
cannot compute later values of r. Hence the system can achieve security at a later
state.

Note that the above approach is not suitable for systems that get restored from
previously saved images, such as virtual machines. In that case a system with a
fixed PSK is more suitable, however it does not protect against attackers that later
get access to the system, and thus the PSK, and have recorded all messages ex-
changed, thus all public-key operations.

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February 2021

6 CONCLUSIONS

It is perhaps inevitable that as the technology sector advances drastically over


time, our infrastructures are exposed to new attacking vectors. However, Quan-
tum Technology and in particular Quantum Computing are set to be a major dis-
ruptor. We have known for more than 2 decades that the development of a suffi-
ciently large and practical quantum computing machine will render most crypto-
graphic systems insecure, radically transformation the existing threat model and
endangering our infrastructure.
Moreover, while current systems do not pose any threat, a working quantum com-
puter (i.e., one having a sufficient number of Qubits that is resistant to quantum
noise and other quantum-decoherence, is economically viable and practically op-
erational) is the objective of several ongoing large scale investments from both
industry players and nation states. However, not all development in the area is
public and it is fairly likely that the first fully functional large quantum computer
will not be publicly announced. As such, policy maker and system owner should
make preparations.
Rolling out new cryptographic systems takes a lot of time and effort;yew it might
even be infeasible for systems with restricted accessibility, like satellites. More-
over, signatures play a significant role in protecting modern operating-system up-
grades. If a post-quantum signature system is not in place by the time an attacker
has access to a quantum computer, then the attacker can take control of the oper-
ating system through a fake upgrade and prevent any future upgrades from fixing
the problem.
It is thus important to have replacements in place well in advance. What makes
matters worse is that any encrypted communication intercepted today can be de-
crypted by the attacker as soon as he has access to a large quantum computer,
whether in 5, 10 or 20 years from now; an attack known as retrospective decryp-
tion.
In this study we have provided a brief background of post quantum cryptography,
in section 2 we present the 5 main families of quantum resistant cryptographic
algorithms that are proposed as potential candidates to provide post-quantum
security resilience; viz. code-based, isogeny-based, hash-based, lattice-based and
multivariate-based. Section 3 presents the finalist algorithms that are competing
to be considered by NIST ready for standardisation, whereas section 4 refers to
the algorithms that NIST considers promising, but still not ready to be applied.
The last section – section 5 – presents and briefly explains two possible mitigation
mechanics; namely the so-called hybrid implementations that use a combination
of pre-quantum and post-quantum schemes, and the conceptionally easy, but
organizationally complicated measure of mixing pre-shared keys into all keys es-
tablished via public-key cryptography. Both methods have shortcomings, but for
system owners requiring long term confidentiality of transmitted data are worth
considering. Given that the NIST PQC standardisation process is scheduled to pub-
lish a draft standard somewhere in 2022-2024, system owners with more relaxed
security requirements and
or with greater resource constraints might be better served waiting for the pro-
cess conclusion.

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POST-QUANTUM CRYPTOGRAPHY
February 2021

The presented algorithms, on sections 3 and 4, refer to asymmetric key (public-


key) cryptographic systems – the area of cryptography that will be mostly affected
by the existence of quantum computers due to their high reliance on mathemat-
ical structures (e.g., factoring, and discrete logarithm problem). Symmetric key
(shared-key) cryptographic systems on the other hand present a higher resilience
to the new status-quo. In such systems, the adoption of larger key-sizes is consid-
ered an effective mitigation technique that is easy to be adopted.
The apt reader will have noticed the absence of mention of Quantum Key Distri-
bution (QKD)1 or of Quantum Cryptography in this text. This has been a deliberate
choice. QKD is a quantum technology application that has been available for many
years. It provides a guaranteed, by the laws of physics, secure way of distributing
and sharing secret keys that are necessary for cryptographic protocols. It essen-
tially offers key agreement services, but not authentication or message confiden-
tiality; for these services we need to rely on math-based cryptography. In other
words, QKD can complement a traditional cryptographic system and its setup re-
lies on pre-established authenticated communications channels. However, the ex-
istence of such an authenticated channel, presupposes that communicating par-
ties either have managed to privately exchanged a symmetric key in the past (e.g.,
by physically meeting) or are using public key cryptography. In the former case,
authentication was achieved by direct interaction, which is not a scalable prac-
tice. While, in the latter, we are forced to use the same cryptographic algorithms
that, as we established, are insecure against quantum cryptanalysis. It clear that
QKD is not a direct solution to the problems of quantum cryptanalysis, but rather
a comparatively mature application of quantum technology. The term Quantum
Cryptography, on the other hand, is often used to denote QKD or erroneously to
signify Post-Quantum algorithms like the ones visited in this report. Nevertheless,
it can also refer to more exotic cryptographic applications that exploit quantum
properties; like quantum [pseudo]random number generators (QRNG), program
obfuscation etc. It is important to note that being a quantum cryptographic appli-
cation does not equate being immune to quantum or traditional cryptanalysis and
for many quantum cryptographic application this remains an open question.

1
https://qt.eu/discover-quantum/underlying-principles/quantum-key-distribution-qkd/

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February 2021

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35
ABOUT ENISA
The European Union Agency for Cybersecurity, ENISA, is the Union’s agency dedicated to
achieving a high common level of cybersecurity across Europe. Established in 2004 and
strengthened by the EU Cybersecurity Act, the European Union Agency for Cybersecurity
contributes to EU cyber policy, enhances the trustworthiness of ICT products, services and
processes with cybersecurity certification schemes, cooperates with Member States and EU
bodies, and helps Europe prepare for the cyber challenges of tomorrow. Through knowl-
edge sharing, capacity building and awareness raising, the Agency works together with its
key stakeholders to strengthen trust in the connected economy, to boost resilience of the
Union’s infrastructure, and, ultimately, to keep Europe’s society and citizens digitally secure.
More information about ENISA and its work can be found here: www.enisa.europa.eu.

ISBN 978-92-9204-468-8
DOI 10.2824/92307

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