LAP and LRP UNIT III External Analysis
LAP and LRP UNIT III External Analysis
Introduction Introduction
Strategies are not and should not be developed in a vacuum. In order
to avoid mistakes firms must be knowledgeable and must be responsive to the
E-Books:
"The Art of the Long View" by Peter Schwartz. © 1991 Peter Schwartz.
Published by Profile Books, 2003. Reproduced with permission of John Wiley
& Sons Ltd.
Learning Tasks / Activities 1. Individual Performance Task - Insight Paper. This is an insight paper regarding
the video – Leadership in the VUCA World ). Note, the video will be uploaded in
the mvle.
2. Group Performance Task. This activity will allow you to apply the concepts
in actual situations, thereby, attaining the desired learning outcomes and
competency.
Deepening Activities Group Performance Task. External Analysis of an Organization . Using
PELTLE/SWO Analysis or Scenario Analysis as framework in exploring the
general environment of an organization, identify the opportunities and
threats associated from the externa forces associated from political,
economic social, technological, legal (PESTLE) including other forces such
as globalization, natural and demographic environment. Results will
serve as an input in formulating strategies.
Synthesis Group Performance Task: Industry Analysis. From the chosen business,
determine what industry belong. Use Porter’s Five Forces Model of Industry
Competition to analyze the competitive forces of that industry and describe
the impact of industry forces to the profitability of the business. Use the
Activity Guide provide by your professor.
Prepared by:
Author:
MARGARITA G. HILARIO
Ba 27- Strategic Management Professor
Introduction
“Strategies are not and should not be developed in a vacuum”. In order to formulate effective
strategies, organizations must be proactive in identifying and anticipating the external forces and trends
from its environment by using different techniques. This would allow the leader to be mindful to the
external environment where the business operate.
This module is focused on External Analysis, a component of Strategy Analysis which involves
identifying opportunities and threats from the external environment such political, economic, social,
technological, legal forces that provide opportunities and pose threats to the organization. Some of
the tools for analyzing trends are forecasting, PESTLE, SWOT Analysis and Scenario Analysis, among
others. In the development of forecasts, environmental scanning and environmental monitoring are
important tools to detect key trends and events. Exploring the external environment also gives a firm to
identify opportunities which can be used as bases in developing strategies.
Also, strategic leaders must also be aggressive in gathering data about competitive forces
affecting the attractiveness of an industry. Generally, several firms complete in the same industry.
Gathering industry information and understanding competitive dynamics among the different
companies in the industry is the “key to successful strategic management”.
1. identified the techniques used in scanning and monitoring the external environment of the
business;
2. gained skill in analyzing of the organization’s external forces and trends using the frameworks
(PESTLE, Scenario Analysis or SWOT Analysis), Michael Porter’s Model
3. Identified and analyzed the impact of external forces and trends (threats or opportunities) and
the competitive forces of a given industry
Most firms today face external forces in a highly volatile, uncertain, complex and ambiguous
world. These conditions make business even more difficult for them to stay competitive and sustain its
operations. The degree of the environmental impact varies, it may be low, moderate or at a high level.
To cope up with the ambiguous conditions, managers are challenged to scan and monitor the
environment under which the business operates. The external environments are the possible sources of
opportunities and threats. Opportunities, if exploited can achieve strategic competitiveness. Threats, if
not avoided, may hinder the company’s effort to achieve competitive advantage.
So how do managers become more environmentally aware? Let us start exploring the three (3)
three important processes- scanning, monitoring, and gathering competitive intelligence that a
manager must use in developing forecasts. This is illustrated in Exhibit 2.
The following are the six segment of the external environment with the corresponding trends
and events that have dramatic impact on the firm or any form of organization.
1. POLITICAL/LEGAL are laws and regulations that have significant impact on governance of
the corporation
2. ECONOMIC forces refers to the nature and direction of the economy in which
business operates. It has an impact on all industries, from suppliers of raw materials
to manufacturers, retail, government, and non-profit sectors.
Growth rate of the economy
Level of interest rates
Currency exchange rates
Price inflation
Interest rates
Consumer Price Index
Trend in GDP
Changes in stock market valuations
Unemployment rate
3. SOCIO-CULTURAL are concerned with the society’s attitudes and cultural values
More women in the workforce
Increase in temporary workers
Greater concern for fitness
Greater concern for environment
Postponement of family formation
Hence, strategic leaders need to monitor and analyze the impact of global
trends. Examples are follows:
Aging population
Rising or declining affluence
Changes in ethnic composition
Geographic distribution of the population
Greater disparities in income level
Organization’s cannot directly control the general environment, hence, there’s a need to gather
information to understand each segment or trend and its implications for the selection and
implementation of appropriate strategy.
Threat is a condition in the general environment that may hinder a company’s effort to
achieve strategic competitiveness. It arises when conditions in the external environment
endanger the integrity and probability of the company’s business.
3. Scenario Analysis
Types of Scenarios
Challenging your assumptions about the future, and basing your plans and
decisions on the most likely outcomes means that your decisions will more likely be
sound, even if circumstances change. But what are the most likely outcomes? Author and
corporate strategist Peter Schwartz, one of the pioneers of scenario thinking, identified
the following common scenarios:
Evolution: All trends continue as expected. Things gently move toward a predictable end
point.
Revolution: A new, disruptive, factor fundamentally changes the situation
Cycles: What goes around comes around. Boom follows bust follows boom follows
bust.
Infinite Expansion: Exciting trends continue. Example, computer industry in the 1950s to
present.
Lone Ranger: the triumph of the lone hero against the forces of inertia.
The “five-forces” model developed by Michael E. Porter has been the most commonly used
analytical tool for examining the competitive environment. It describes the competitive environment in
terms of five basic competitive forces.
Note: The task of managers is to recognize how changes in the five forces give rise to new
opportunities and threats and to formulate appropriate strategic responses.
1. Threat of Entry by Potential Competitors The threat of new entrants refers to the possibility
that the profits of established firms in the industry may be eroded by new competitors.
The extent of the threat depends on existing barriers to entry and the combined reactions from
existing competitors.
The greater the costs that potential competitors must bear to enter an industry, the
greater are the barriers to entry and the weaker is this competitive force. The entry barriers
may keep potential competitors out of an industry even when industry profits are high.
According to Joe Bain, an economist who did the classic work on barriers to entry
identified three main sources to new entry:
2. Absolute advantages.
3. Economies of Scale are the relative cost advantages associated with large volumes of
production that lower a company’s cost structure.
Risk of entry by
potential entrants
Intensity of
Bargaining Bargaining
power of rivalry among Power of
suppliers established Buyers
existing firms
Threat of
Substitutes
3. The Bargaining Power of Suppliers. Suppliers are the organizations that provide inputs into the
industry such materials, services, and labor.
The bargaining power of suppliers refers to the ability of the suppliers to raise input prices, or
to raise the costs of the industry in other ways-for example providing poor quality inputs or poor
service.
1. The product of the suppliers sell has few substitutes and it is vital to the company’s
industry.
2. The profit of the suppliers is not significantly affected by the purchases of
companies in a particular industry
3. Companies in an industry would experience significant switching costs if they moved
to the product of a different supplier
4. Suppliers can threaten to enter their customer’s industry and use their inputs to
produce products that would compete directly with those of companies already in
the industry.
4. Threat of Substitute Products are products of different businesses or industries that can satisfy
similar customer needs. The existence of close substitutes is a strong competitive threat
because this limits the price that companies in one industry can charge for their product, and
thus industry profitability.
a. Customer switching costs arise when it costs customer time, energy and money to
switch from the products offered by one established company to the products offered by a new entrant.
Rivalry refers to the competitive struggle between companies within an industry to gain market
share from each other.
Businesses compete in terms of price, product design, advertising and promotion spending,
direct selling efforts, and after-sales service and support.
The intensity of rivalry among established companies within an industry is largely a function
of three factors:
1. Industry Competitive Structure. This refers to the number and size distribution of
companies in it. Industry structures vary, and different structures have different implications of the
intensity of rivalry.
Fragmented industry consists of a large number of small or medium sized companies, none
of which is in a position to determine industry price.
2. Demand Conditions
3. The Height of Exit Barriers. Exit barriers are obstruction that makes it difficult for a
company to exit the industry. This include economic, strategic and emotional factors that prevent
companies from leaving an industry.
If exit barriers are high, companies become locked into an unprofitable industry where overall
demand is static or declining. The result is often excess production capacity, which leads to even
more intense rivalry and price competition as companies cut prices in an attempt to obtain the
customer orders needed to use their idle capacity and cover their costs.
1. Investments in assets such as specific machines, equipment and operating facilities that are
little or no vale in alternative uses or cannot be sold off.
2. High fixed cost of exit, such as severance pay, health benefits and pensions that have been
paid to workers
3. Emotional attachments to an industry, as when a company’s owners or employees are
unwilling to exit from an industry for sentimental reasons or pride.
4. Economic dependence on the industry because company relies on a single industry for its
revenue and profit.
SUMMARY
To understand the business environment of a particular firm, you need to analyze both the
general environment and the firm’s industry and competitive environment. Generally, firms complete
with other firms in the same industry. Gathering industry information and understanding competitive
dynamics among the different companies in your industry is key to successful strategic management.