Form Factor For 9 Tree Species
Form Factor For 9 Tree Species
1
Institute of Silviculture, University of Natural Resources & Life Sciences, Peter-Jordan-Str. 82, A-1190 Vienna, Austria
2
Watershed Management Division, Department of Forests & Park Services (DoFPS), Ministry of Agriculture & Forests (MoAF), 11002
*Corresponding author. Tel: +43 147654 4073; Fax: +43 147654 4092; E-mail: [email protected]
Standing timber volume in combination with the expected volume increment rates derived from volume func-
tions are essential for developing sustainable forest management plans. Tree volume cannot be measured dir-
ectly. It is derived from the diameter at breast height, tree height and a so-called form factor, which reduces
the volume of a cylinder to the actual tree form. In this paper, we test four different types of form factor func-
tions (Pollanchütz, Short Swedish, Meyer and F. Evert) for estimating total merchantable timber volume of
nine commercial tree species in Bhutan: Abies densa, Picea spinulosa, Pinus wallichiana, Tsuga dumosa, Pinus
roxburghii, Castanopsis tribuloides, Quercus glauca, Quercus lanata and Quercus lamellosa. The data for fitting
the form factor functions come from 395 felled trees. The resulting functions are evaluated using independent
validation data. Fitted statistics for evaluation include: root mean square error and mean absolute deviation.
Although all form factor functions performed similarly, we suggest that the Pollanschütz function because of
its consistency in the estimated form factors for all tree species. The evaluation of the calibrated form factor
functions by species exhibited consistent and unbiased predictions.
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Management Division, 2013). In Bhutan, the demand for timber The purpose of this study is to develop form factor functions
has increased due to the rapid urbanization and construction for improving the volume predictions for five coniferous species,
activities (Forest Resources Management Division, 2013; i.e. A. densa (fir), Picea spinulosa (spruce), Pinus wallichiana
Department of Forests & Park Services, 2014). Approximately 9 (bluepine), T. dumosa (hemlock), P. roxburghii (chirpine) and four
per cent of the 2.71 million hectares of total forested area are broadleaved species, i.e. C. tribuloides, Quercus glauca, Quercus
under sustainable management (Department of Forests & Park lanata and Quercus lamellosa, the primary commercial tree spe-
Services, 2014). cies in Bhutan. We (1) compare the performances of different
Currently, tree volume is estimated with a general volume form factor functions and (2) select the most suitable one for
equation using only d.b.h. and h. The results by species are avail- estimating stem volume.
Table 1 Summary of the data used in the study showing the sample size and the mean, range and standard deviation of d.b.h., height, elevation
and slope for all species
n = number of trees; d.b.h. = diameter at breast height in centimetres; h = tree height in metres; – = information not available; SD, standard
deviation.
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Table 2 Model fitting results for the validation data (only for the four species with validation data) for choosing the best form factor function
Species Obs. f Form factor function RMSE Rank MAD Rank Sum (rank)
Obs. f = mean of observed form factor for the validation data; MAD = mean absolute deviation. Values in parentheses indicate average ranking of
the models for each species.
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(R Core Team, 2015), requiring the parameters to have a signifi- Results and discussion
cance level of α = 0.05 to be included in the final species model.
Next, we obtained the parameter estimates by species and Model selection and validation
form factor function and predicted the form factors for the The results of the two fit statistics criteria (1) RMSE and (2) MAD
independent validation data to evaluate the performances suggest that the Pollanschütz function ranked highest for the
according to the form factor functions. As a selection criteria, species P. wallichiana and T. dumosa, the Swedish function for
we employed (1) root mean square error (RMSE) and (2) mean P. spinulosa and Evert’s function for A. densa (Table 2). However,
absolute deviation (MAD) (Weiskittel et al., 2011) defined as the results also indicate that the Pollanschütz function provides
consistent and unbiased form factor predictions for all four spe-
n
SDR =
n
( n
(
∑i = 1 (Yi − Yˆ )− ∑i = 1 (Yi − Yˆ )/n )) (12) Obs. f Bias SDR t-Stat P-value
n−1
A. densa 0.5590 0.0207 0.1168 (21%) 0.6882 0.5026
⎛ ∑n (Y − Yˆ )2 ⎞ P. spinulosa 0.5054 0.0159 0.0568 (11%) 1.4363 0.1633
i
R2 = 1 − ⎜⎜ ni = 1 2⎟
⎟ (13) P. wallichiana 0.4986 0.0126 0.0493 (10%) 1.2728 0.2153
⎝ i =1 i − Y ) ⎠
∑ ( Y T. dumosa 0.4820 −0.0077 0.0487 (10%) −1.0402 0.3042
where Yi is the observed form factor, Ŷ is the predicted form fac- Notes: results displayed only for those species where separate model
tor, Y is the mean of the observed form factor and n is the num- calibration and validation data were available. The t-stat and P-values
ber of observations. for Student’s t test were generated using the R statistical package.
Graphical analysis by plotting the residuals vs d.b.h. and h Values in parentheses are per cent of the observed value. Obs. f = mean
and the Anderson–Darling test for assessing the normal distri- observed form factor for the validation dataset for the four species;
bution of the residuals (R Core Team, 2015) were carried out. Bias = mean of difference between observed and predicted values.
Table 4 Final parameter estimates for the Pollanschütz function for all species based on all sample data
a b1 b2 b3 b4 b5 b6 R2 SDR
n = number of trees; ns = non-significant parameters; values in parentheses are in per cent of the observed values.
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Form factor functions
Figure 1 Trend analysis of residuals vs d.b.h. (cm) and h (m) for all the species to examine the model fitting of Pollanschütz function.
differences between predicted and observed form factors. This Final model calibration and evaluation
confirms the selection of the Pollanschütz function for predicting
Based on the results of Tables 2 and 3, we refitted the selected
the form factors.
Pollanschütz function by obtaining all the available data
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Figure 2 Evaluation of the selected Pollanschütz function by plotting the observed and predicted form factor against tree parameters of (1) d.b.h.
(cm) and (2) h (m) for all the species.
(calibration and validation) for P. spinulosa, A. densa, P. wallichiana lamellosa) to estimate the final parameters. We combine both
and T. dumosa as well as the data available of the remaining five datasets to ensure that we cover the full range of possible varia-
species (P. roxburghii, C. tribuloides, Q. glauca, Q. lanata and Q. tions. The results for our nine commercial tree species analysed
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