Linear Regression Makes Several Key Assumptions
Linear Regression Makes Several Key Assumptions
Linear relationship
Multivariate normality
No or little multicollinearity
No auto-correlation
Homoscedasticity
Linear regression needs at least 2 variables of metric (ratio or interval) scale. A rule of thumb for
the sample size is that regression analysis requires at least 20 cases per independent variable in
the analysis.
Firstly, linear regression needs the relationship between the independent and dependent variables
to be linear. It is also important to check for outliers since linear regression is sensitive to outlier
effects. The linearity assumption can best be tested with scatter plots, the following two examples
depict two cases, where no and little linearity is present.
1/5
Statistics Solutions
Advancement Through Clarity
http://www.statisticssolutions.com
Secondly, the linear regression analysis requires all variables to be multivariate normal. This
assumption can best be checked with a histogram and a fitted normal curve or a Q-Q-Plot.
Normality can be checked with a goodness of fit test, e.g., the Kolmogorov-Smirnof test. When the
data is not normally distributed a non-linear transformation, e.g., log-transformation might fix this
issue, however it can introduce effects of multicollinearity.
2/5
Statistics Solutions
Advancement Through Clarity
http://www.statisticssolutions.com
Thirdly, linear regression assumes that there is little or no multicollinearity in the data.
Multicollinearity occurs when the independent variables are not independent from each other. A
second important independence assumption is that the error of the mean has to be independent
from the independent variables.
1) Correlation matrix – when computing the matrix of Pearson's Bivariate Correlation among all
independent variables the correlation coefficients need to be smaller than 1.
2) Tolerance – the tolerance measures the influence of one independent variable on all other
independent variables; the tolerance is calculated with an initial linear regression analysis.
Tolerance is defined as T = 1 – R² for these first step regression analysis. With T
3) Variance Inflation Factor (VIF) – the variance inflation factor of the linear regression is defined as
VIF = 1/T. Similarly with VIF > 10 there is an indication for multicollinearity to be present; with VIF >
100 there is certainly multicollinearity in the sample.
4) Condition Index – the condition index is calculated using a factor analysis on the independent
variables. Values of 10-30 indicate a mediocre multicollinearity in the linear regression variables,
values > 30 indicate strong multicollinearity.
If multicollinearity is found in the data centering the data, that is deducting the mean score might
help to solve the problem. Other alternatives to tackle the problems is conducting a factor analysis
and rotating the factors to insure independence of the factors in the linear regression analysis.
Fourthly, linear regression analysis requires that there is little or no autocorrelation in the data.
Autocorrelation occurs when the residuals are not independent from each other. In other words
when the value of y(x+1) is not independent from the value of y(x). This for instance typically
occurs in stock prices, where the price is not independent from the previous price.
3/5
Statistics Solutions
Advancement Through Clarity
http://www.statisticssolutions.com
While a scatterplot allows you to check for autocorrelations, you can test the linear regression
model for autocorrelation with the Durbin-Watson test. Durbin-Watson's d tests the null hypothesis
that the residuals are not linearly auto-correlated. While d can assume values between 0 and 4,
values around 2 indicate no autocorrelation. As a rule of thumb values of 1.5
The last assumption the linear regression analysis makes is homoscedasticity. The scatter plot is
good way to check whether homoscedasticity (that is the error terms along the regression are
equal) is given. If the data is heteroscedastic the scatter plots looks like the following examples:
The Goldfeld-Quandt Test can test for heteroscedasticity. The test splits the data in high and low
value to see if the samples are significantly different. If homoscedasticity is present, a non-linear
correction might fix the problem.
Statistics Solutions can assist with your quantitative analysis by assisting you to develop
your methodology and results chapters. The services that we offer include:
4/5
Statistics Solutions
Advancement Through Clarity
http://www.statisticssolutions.com
references
Justify your sample size/power analysis, provide references
Explain your data analysis plan to you so you are comfortable and confident
Two hours of additional support with your statistician
*Please call 877-437-8622 to request a quote based on the specifics of your research, or
email [email protected].
Related Pages:
Multicollinearity
Autocorrelation
5/5
Powered by TCPDF (www.tcpdf.org)