Human Resource Planning
Human Resource Planning
HR forecasting Techniques
1. Trend Analysis
Analysis of trends Trend analysis is a simple technique used to predict HR needs based on past
events. It involves a comparison of any factor which has an effect on the demands for HR (for
example, the average number of resignations in a given year). The general trend in this factor is
used to determine the future direction and the HR requirements of that factor. Therefore, trend
analysis is a tool that examines the factors related to employment over a period of time to predict
future needs. It is, however, a tool that can only be used for a preliminary HR assessment.
2. Ratio Analysis
Analysis of ratio The analysis of the relation between the two numerical variables is ratio
analysis. As a forecasting technique it assumes that two variables are related and predicts future
requirements for HR using that relationship. For example, an organisation can predict how many
more people are needed in order for demand for a product to increase.
3. Delphi Technique
The Delphi technique is basically a group-based systematic forecasting method. This technique
does not require any face-to-face participation by the experts. In fact, the identity of the experts
remains anonymous till the end of the whole process. In the first phase of the Delphi technique, a
group of independent experts forecast the HR requirement of the organization on the basis of the
input provided by the organization.
4. Normal Group Technique
This is also a method of group prediction. It's an interactive way of making decisions with a
distinction. Each group expert develops HR demands independently and presents them to other
group experts. The group assesses the submission of each member and, if so, removes
duplication. The proposal of each member is then relatively graduated and is chosen as the final
HR forecast as the top proposal. This is an ideal technique to make a quick choice.
5. Managerial Judgment
In this method, forecasts are made about the HR requirements, usually by the senior managers of
the organization. The forecasting here is based on the managers’ subjective views on the possible
human resource requirements in the future.
6. Work Study
Technique The work study technique aims at examining the business operations to achieve the
optimum utilization of the human and physical resources available. The major purpose of this
technique is to improve the employees’ productivity and the organizational efficiency.
7. Zero-base Forecasting
This approach is a new entrant into the current range of techniques to predict an organization's
HR requirements. It requires line managers to justify the need to continue the vacancies in their
department for positions or jobs. No position is considered eligible for routine continuation. Line
managers should logically indicate why the vacancy should not be removed and why it should
continue. Null-base forecasts require managers to conduct a thorough study.
8. Simulation Model
Simulation model is a mathematics-oriented, software-enabled technique with growing
applications in HR forecasting. It is a team-based approach towards HR forecasting. It helps the
organizations in determining the current and future HR requirements of their business.
Human Resource Allocation Approach
It is an HR forecasting method based on object-oriented simulation model. This method has four
components:
(i) Employees, including their education, experience and competencies
(ii) Functions, including job structure and the changes in them
(iii) A matching model
(iv) A formal rule structure comprising the policy of the organization towards job allocation.
Barriers of HR planning process
Although many organisations have demonstrated a strong interest in carrying out the HR
planning, they have faced some serious problems. This problem affects the success of
human resources planning.
3. Union Resistance
Employees and their unions often view HR planning as an anti-labour measure. They
perceive HR planning as an attempt by the management to overburden them with
increased workload.
4. Misconceptions of cost-benefit
Many employers refuse to introduce HR planning within their organisations, as the cost
of labour associated with HR provision and the implementation of the plan increases.
Increased training requirements under the HR plan can also boost an organization's labour
costs.
5. Lack of coordination
Failure of line managers' support can also affect the effectiveness of HR planning. HR
planning is in fact an integrated organisational activity, and therefore all line managers
need to be fully cooperating and involved. However, these managers regard human
resources planning as a distraction and also as the responsibility of human resources
managers.