Coinbase IPO Financial Model
Coinbase IPO Financial Model
Valuations
DCF Valuation
Relative Valuation
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Operating Expenses
Technology and development 185.04
Sales and marketing 24.15
General and administrative 231.93
Restructuring 10.14
Other operating expense 46.20
Total operating expenses 497.46
EBITDA
Income from Operations (EBIT)
Add: Depreciation and Amortization
Add: Stock-based compensation
Adjusted EBITDA 24.27
1.76
1.57
Current liabilities
Custodial funds due to customers 1,106.82 3,849.47
Accounts payable and accrued expenses 45.45 85.11
Crypto asset borrowings - 271.30
Lease liabilities, current 23.78 25.27
Total of Crypto Assets borrowings and Lease liabilities 23.78 296.57
Other current liabilities 47.40 15.70
Total Current Liabilities 1,223.4 4,246.9
793.49
- - - - -
89.36 75.90 77.33 88.47 97.58
4,428.5 4,306.6 4,315.2 4,301.5 4,258.9
Net increase in cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash (a+b+c) (202.55)
Effect of exchange rates on cash (0.17)
Cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash, beginning of year 1,987.14
Cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash, end of year 1,784.42
Historicals Forecasts
FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025
37.94
(157.16)
86.79
(48.68)
2,710.52
20.84
(25.00)
(8.35)
(450.83) 52.56 (9.94) (158.03) (160.60)
3,004.07 1,814.08 2,068.61 2,147.47 2,507.43 3,537.56
Solvency Ratios
Current ratio 1.62 1.21
Cash ratio 0.45 0.25
Operating Efficiency
Total asset turnover 0.22 0.22
Equity turnover 1.07 1.33
Operating Profitability
Gross Profit Margin 84.6% 89.4%
Operating Profit Margin -8.6% 32.0%
Net Profit Margin -5.7% 25.2%
Transaction Revenue
Retail, net 432.919 1,040.246
% yoy 140%
Other revenue
Crypto asset sales revenue 39.86 133.688
% yoy 235%
Operating Expenses:
Transaction expense 82.06 135.51
% Sales 15.4% 10.6%
- - - - -
0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
60 60 60 60 60
Total Capex
Breakup
Furniture and fixtures
Computer equipment
Leasehold improvements
Capitalized software
Proportion of Assets
9.8%
3.8%
55.3%
31.1%
Cash Balances
Common Shares
Current Structure
-
Basic Shares 68,671
Assumed Conversoin of Preferred Shares 114,247.00
Weighted Average Basic shares 182,918
Weighte Average Diluted Shares 261.3
Options Data
Outstanding at Dec 31 2019 (i)
Options granted
Options exercised
Cancelled/forfeited/expired
Outstanding at December 31, 2020 (i)
Weighted-
Shares Subject to Average Exercise Weighted-Average Remaining Aggregate Intrinsic Value
Outstanding Options Price Contractual Life (Years) (in thousands)
37,758
32,201
(2,042)
(4,661)
63,256 14.84 8.17 2,527,396
3,550,279
fully diluted capitalization of 261.3 million shares of Common Stock. This fully diluted capitalization share count includes the shares of Com
nt includes the shares of Common Stock outstanding and all outstanding stock options and restricted stock units but does not include share
t does not include shares of Common Stock reserved for future issuance under Coinbase’s equity compensation plans or its Pledge 1% com
ans or its Pledge 1% commitment.
Coinbase IPO Model Historicals
(All Data is in Millions $, Except Per Share Information) FY 2019
EBIT
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF)
EBIT x (1-t)
Add: Depreciation & amortization
Add: Stock Based Compensation
Less: Capex
Add: Change in working capital
FCFF
% yoy (FCFF)
Terminal Value
WACC Inputs
WACC Calculations
Risk Free rate 1.73%
Market risk premium 4.7%
Levered beta of company 1.90
Cost of equity 10.70%
Pre-tax cost of debt 4.62%
Tax rate 27.0%
After tax cost of debt 3.37%
WACC 10.65%
Sensitivity Analysis
227.77
1.0%
1.5%
Growth
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
Historicals
FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025
0 0 0 0 0
WACC
9.00% 9.65% 10.00% 10.65% 11.00%
Forecasts
FY 2026 FY 2027 FY 2028 FY 2029 FY 2030
0 0 0 0 0
Forecasts
FY 2031 FY 2032 FY 2033 FY 2034 FY 2035
0 0 0 0 0
FY 2036 FY 2037 FY 2038 FY 2039 FY 2040
0 0 0 0 157,250.63
Coinbase IPO Model
(All Data is in Millions $, Except Per Share Information)
Date 4-Jun-21
Mean
Median
EBITDA (consensus)
Comparable Peers FY2020A EBITDA Margin FY 2021E (Sales) FY 2022E (Sales)
Paypal 6463.00 29.99% 25720.0 31320.0
Square 357.12 4.27% 20400 22490
NASDAQ 1507.00 54.06% 3285 3429
ICE 3874.00 64.21% 6929 7185
Schwab 5346.00 50.91% 18050 18700
EPS
Market Cap Enterprise Value EBITDA Net Income FY 2020 FY 2021
3.13 4.24
3.58 4.74
EBITDA-2021 EBITDA-2022
7713.43 9392.87
871.08 960.32
1775.87 1853.72
4449.11 4613.49
9189.26 9520.17
EPS P/E (x) EV / EBITDA (x)
FY 2022 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022