Accepted Manuscript: 10.1016/j.iref.2018.08.006
Accepted Manuscript: 10.1016/j.iref.2018.08.006
CEO media exposure, political connection and Chinese firms' stock price
synchronicity
PII: S1059-0560(18)30381-2
DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2018.08.006
Reference: REVECO 1664
Please cite this article as: Li X., Qiao P. & Zhao L., CEO media exposure, political connection and
Chinese firms' stock price synchronicity, International Review of Economics and Finance (2018), doi:
10.1016/j.iref.2018.08.006.
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Xiaoqing Li
College of Economy and Management
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Hebei University of Technology
Tianjin, China
Tel: (86) 022-60435091
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Email: [email protected]
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Penghua Qiao
School of Business and Economics
Kunming University of Science and Technology
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Kunming, China
Tel: (86) 13108709777
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Email: [email protected]
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Lin Zhao
Department of Finance
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Elon, NC 27244
Tel: (336) 278-5963
E-mail: [email protected]
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______
The authors acknowledge the financial support by National Natural Science
Foundation of China (Grant No. 71702084), Humanity and Social Science Fondation
of the Ministry of Education of China (No. 16YJA630027 and 17YJC630112). Qiao is
the corresponding author.
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ABSTRACT
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This paper investigates the impact of CEO media exposure and CEO political connection
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on stock price synchronicity using weekly data of Chinese firms from 2007-2016. We
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also examine the influence of three institutional factors – the firm’s ownership structure,
its financial and legal environments – on the interactions among them. Our results
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suggest that CEO media exposure can enhance firm-specific information into stock prices,
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reducing stock price synchronicity, while the CEO political connection acts as a
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counteracting force. The institutional factors appear to have significant influence on the
identified interaction among a CEO’s media exposure, his political connections, and the
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Key words: Chinese stock market, CEO media coverage, political connection, stock price
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synchronicity
JEL: G30
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1. Introduction
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release information about the economy, industries, and firms. By disclosing relevant
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information and imposing public pressure on firm behaviors, the news media is also a
guardian that monitors firms and can thus provide protection to investors (Jin & Myers,
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2006). The participation of the media in the capital market is therefore an important
factor that affects investors’ decisions and firms’ stock prices (Chan & Hammed, 2006).
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Prior studies have documented the impact of the media coverage on stock returns, the
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trading intensity of stocks, and corporate governance. For example, Fang and Peress
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(2009) find that returns of stocks with no media coverage are higher than those with high
media coverage. Aman (2013) finds that the crash frequency of stock price increases with
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the extent of media coverage, especially when there is intensive broadcasting of firms’
appears to be closely related to stronger momentum in a firm’s stock (Hiller, Jacobs and
Mϋller, 2014). According to Engelberg and Parson (2011), the coverage by local paper of
earnings announcements by S&P 500 Index firms is a causal factor of local trading
activities. By looking into the impact of newspaper strikes, Peress (2014) provides more
empirical evidence of the causal impact of the media on the trading volume of stocks,
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intraday volatility and predictability of stock prices. It is also found in the literature that
the media coverage plays a role in the improvement of corporate governance. Farrell and
Whidbee (2002), for example, document that the board of director is more likely to
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remove the CEO when a firm’s poor performance is subject to more scrunity by the
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financial press, such as the Wall Street Journal. Joe, Louis, and Robinson (2009) find that
the media exposure of the board ineffectiveness incentivize firms to take correction
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actions which lead to improvement in the quality of board and enhance shareholder
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wealth. AN
In this study, we contribute to the literature by exploring how the stock price
synchronicity of Chinese firms are affected by the media exposure of a firm’s CEO and
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his political connections. Synchronicity in stock prices depends on the extent to which
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firm-specific information is accessible to the public (Kim, Yu & Zhang, 2016). Typical
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media coverage on companies involves media exposure of the firm’s top executives, such
as the CEO. When widely covered by the media, a CEO is more likely to take
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precautionary actions to reduce the firm risk. By allowing external investors to obtain
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more firm-specific information, CEO media exposure can lead to more informative stock
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prices and hence reduce stock price synchronicity, which will consequently promote the
Given the active government involvement in the Chinese market, a CEO’s political
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connections of CEOs at firms enable companies to acquire more resources and receive
extra support from the government. A close connection with key regulatory agencies is
expected to shield firms from full exposure to litigation risk and other costs related to
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incomplete or inaccurate disclosure of financial information (Chaney, Faccio & Parsley,
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2011). Therefore, politically connected companies are more likely to have an advantage
over firms without such connections in terms of government support and the level of
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scrutiny from regulatory departments (Lin et al., 2016). Cheng and Leung (2016) find
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that political connected Chinese firms show better financial performance and are less
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likely to experience management turnovers. Political connections are also found to
positively affect a firm’s cash dividends (Fung, Huang and Shen, 2014). Political
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connections, on the other hand, also catalyze some problems that may harm firms’
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investors. For example, political connections of CEOs are found to negatively affect the
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post-IPO stock return performance of Chinese firms (Fang, Wong and Zhang, 2007). Due
to the lack of effective supervision, politically connected companies are discouraged from
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improving the quality of their financial information disclosure (Chaney, Faccio & Parsley,
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2011). In this situation, it is hard for external investors to have full information to analyze
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the firm’s true performance. The problem with information disclosure will be reflected in
stock prices that are expected to be more synchronous when the firm-specific information
is not fully perceived by investors. Therefore, while providing extra resources to firms, an
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information. Ultimately, this will induce the stock price to move in a more synchronous
manner. Political connections, in this sense, act as a counteracting force against the
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CEO’s media exposure and his political connections likely influence the
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dissemination of firm-specific information to a larger extent. This is typically the case in
a less developed financial and legal environment and with more government
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interventions. In these economies, the increased information transparency from media
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exposure and resources received by politically connected companies are especially
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important factors that may influence the synchronicity of stock prices and the consequent
impact on capital market efficiency. The relatively more complicated market environment
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interactions among CEO media coverage, his political connections, and the stock price
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In this study, we focus on the emerging Chinese market, which is now the second
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largest economy in the world per GDP. The empirical investigation of this research can
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provide important information to investors who are seeking to diversify their portfolios in
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explore the following research questions in the context of the Chinese equity market. Our
main test is to examine the relationship between a CEO’s media exposure and his firm’s
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stock price synchronicity. We also examine the relationship between a firm’s political
connections and its stock price synchronicity. We expect that for Chinese firms, more
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information to investors, and thus reduce the synchronicity in stock prices. In contrast
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with the CEO’s media exposure, his political connections may disturb stock prices. They
may also deter the effective incorporation of firm-specific information, and thus lead to
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more synchronous stock prices. Consequently, we expect to find a significantly positive
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relationship between a firm’s political connections and its stock price synchronicity. The
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suppressed firm-specific information is not well received by investors of politically
connected firms. As the CEO’s media exposure affects the synchronicity of the stock
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price in one direction, his political connections are expected to affect the synchronicity in
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the opposite direction. Thus, we take a step further and also explore the counteracting
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influence of political connections on firms with a CEO who receives any media coverage.
Besides the enormous size of its economy, the Chinese market also has some distinctive
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institutional characteristics that are different from many other developed economies.
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Besides, we also explore the previous research questions by considering the impact of
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institutional factors such as the company’s ownership structure, the financial environment
and legal environments of sample firms. We are curious to see if the significance and
strength of interactions among CEO media exposure, political connections, and stock
price synchronicity for Chinese firms are universally valid or subject to certain
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Our study contributes to the literature in the following aspects. First, we investigate
impacts of CEO media exposure, political connection, and their interactions on the stock
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price synchronicity. Our empirical findings about these relationships enrich the breadth
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and depth of the theory in this field. Second, we employ a comprehensive dataset that
includes nearly all listed Chinese firms on the Shanghai Stock Exchange and the
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Shenzhen Stock Exchange, the two leading stock exchanges in mainland China. Our
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sample spans a ten-year period from 2007 to 2016, which prevents our test results from
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being affected by temporary market fluctuations. Third, we conduct a thorough empirical
investigation on the interactions among the CEO media coverage, his political
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connections and stock price synchronicity with various fixed effects models. To identify
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the influence of specific institutional factors in the Chinese market on these interactions,
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we divide the full sample into sub-samples according to a firm’s ownership structure, the
quality of its financial environment, and the legal environment of the firm. The
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sub-sample analysis allows us to examine the main research questions under different
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institutional conditions. Fourth, we further conduct robustness tests for our main
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empirical findings. The results from these robustness checks are consistent with our
previous test results, proving that our methodology is appropriate and valid. Finally, our
empirical findings provide more insight into the emerging Chinese market, which is now
among the top economies in the world and attracts world-wide investors. Such
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information is important for investors diversifying their portfolios and also for policy
makers in other emerging economies when regulating their own equity markets.
Our main findings from the study are summarized as follows. First of all, we find a
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significantly negative relationship between a CEO’s media exposure and the price
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synchronicity of the firm’s stock, implying that news reports about CEOs disseminate
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into stock prices, as a result of investors’ trading activities. Second, our hypothesis
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regarding the opposite role of the CEO’s political connections is also proven to be valid.
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In particular, the political connection variable is positively related to a firm’s stock price
disclosing full financial information, which leads to a less informative stock price. Third,
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the interaction term between a CEO’s media exposure and his political connections is
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positively related to stock price synchronicity, showing that the influence of the CEO’s
ownership structure, its financial environment, and its legal environment – are proven to
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exert significant impact on the interactions among a CEO’s media coverage, his political
connections, and stock price synchronicity. In particular, the influence of CEO media
coverage is strengthened when the firm is not owned by the state, is operating in an
inferior financial environment, and in a weaker legal environment. On the other hand, we
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find that state-owned firms, and firms that operate in inferior financial (and legal)
environments suffer more from the impact of political connections in terms of the
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connections on the information-enhancing influence of CEO media coverage is
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significant only for non-state-owned enterprises, and when the financial and legal
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Findings from our empirical tests have the following implications. When considering
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Chinese stocks for investment purposes, well-known firms with more media exposure are
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expected to be superior in terms of the alignment of stock price and a firm’s true
factor, its negative impact is largely alleviated for firms that operate in areas with a better
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The remainder of the paper is organized as follows. We introduce the background and
develop hypotheses in Section 2. The data and methodology are described in Section 3.
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Empirical results are presented in Section 4. And Section 5 concludes the paper.
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As the information hub of the capital market, the news media collect, analyze, and
report information on firms and the market (Kim, Yu, & Zhang, 2016). A higher level of
media exposure implies that more firm-specific information is known to the public
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activities function as an effective monitoring mechanism over firms’ behavior and affect
market participants’ investment decisions and firms’ stock prices (Qiao, Fung & Wang,
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2018). The media coverage on companies serves as an important information source for
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investors, especially small investors that are searching for relevant information in the
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Media coverage also serves an important watchdog function, such as identifying
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accounting fraud (Miller, 2006; Dyck, Morse & Zingles, 2010). More disclosure of
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firm-specific information from the media coverage can improve investor protection
firms. Better investor protection improves the financial market environment of the firm
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and makes firms become more transparent to investors (Leuz, Nanda & Wysocki, 2003).
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In this case, investors can make more investing decisions based on firm-specific
information (Barber & Odean, 2008; Wu & Lin, 2017), which in turn decrease the stock
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price synchronicity. Prior studies also provide evidence that media coverage can affect
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the pricing dynamics of firms’ stocks. For example, Hiller, Jacobs & Mϋller (2014) show
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that firms with media coverage exhibit strong stock price momentum. Additionally, Kim,
Yu, & Zhang (2016) and Morck, Yeung & Yu (2000) find that the extent to which stocks
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economic activities (Lin et al., 2016). Such impact is more obvious in emerging markets
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where there are less developed legal systems, more government interventions, and
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weaker investor protection (Chen et al., 2017; Berkman, Cole & Fu, 2010). As a
double-edged sword, political connections can help corporations gain various benefits,
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such as favorable bank lending (Claessens, Feijen & Laeven, 2008), lighter taxation and
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relaxed regulatory requirements (Faccio, 2006). On the other hand, it also has some
negative effects on firms. Prior research finds that political connections can significantly
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decrease the quality of accounting information (Chaney, Faccio & Parsley, 2011).
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Additionally, political connections distort the true performance of the firm by engaging in
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also more likely for them to hide information from the market, especially firm-specific
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information that is quite valuable to investors (Liu et al., 2017). In particular, political
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connections can increase the stock price synchronicity in the following ways. First,
and underground trade. Although such transactions have to be presented in the annual
report in some ways, firm executives and related government officers will try to hide such
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information from the public. Compared with weak political connections, firms with
strong political connections may be less eager to hire high quality auditors and become
less transparent (Liu et al., 2017). These activities decrease the quality of the firm’s
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disclosed information and therefore increase the stock price synchronicity. Second,
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politically connected companies are more acquainted with officials at government
agencies such as tax and securities regulation departments. A closer connection with the
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government can reduce the litigation risk and cost for the firm that arise from insufficient
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public information, in view of the more lenient monitoring from regulators (Berkman et
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al., 2010). Thus, political connections discourage a firm from improving the quality of its
level of stock price synchronicity. Additionally, the political connections act as a force
that counteracts the price synchronicity reduction effect of CEO media coverage. In other
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stock prices for firms that have politically connected CEOs is not as great. Based on the
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H2: CEO political connection will increase stock price synchronicity and counteracts
et al.,2008; Williamson, 2000), the level of CEO media exposure and political
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environments. We will consider the influence of institutional environments in the
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following aspects: ownership structure, financial environment and legal environment.
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ownership structure has significant influence on stock price synchronicity (Qian, Sun, &
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Yu, 2018). Due to their special equity arrangement and the natural political connection
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with the government, Chinese state-owned enterprises (SOEs) are subject to less
supervision by regulators and thus discouraged from providing high quality financial
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(non-SOEs), the influence of CEO media exposure on stock price synchronicity is weaker,
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whereas the impact of political connection on the stock price synchronicity is stronger in
shelter from government and regulators is more vital in enhancing their enterprise image
and legitimacy (Liu et al., 2017). Therefore, the proposed counteracting effect of political
connection on CEO media exposure’s influence over stock price synchronicity as in H2,
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is greater for non-SOEs than SOEs. Our hypothesis regarding the firm’s ownership
structure is as follows:
H3a: CEO media exposure has a stronger negative effect on the stock price
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synchronicity in SOEs than non-SOEs; CEO political connection of SOEs has a
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stronger positive effect on the stock price synchronicity than non-SOEs.
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quality of disclosure by firms (Zhu et al., 2017; Bushman, Piotroski & Smith, 2004),
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which in turn influences the stock price synchronicity. The financial environment impacts
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both the extent to which information is capitalized into stock prices, and the nature of
firm-specific information because of weak local government and media scrutiny. For
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example, Morck, Yeung & Yu (2000) show that stock prices in economies with high GDP
move in a relatively unsynchronized manner, while those in low GDP economies tend to
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move up or down together. Therefore, we propose that the influence of CEO media
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H3b: CEO media exposure and political connection have a greater influence on the
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and media exposure on the stock price synchronicity is also more significant.
Third, the degree of investors’ protection and law enforcement effectiveness can
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affect the quality of financial information (Wang & Yu, 2015; Leuz, Nanda & Wysocki,
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2003). Agency problems in regions with poor legal environments are severe, and the
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limited and weak (Allen, Qian & Qian, 2005). Political connections hinder information
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transparency, so poor investor protection increases the cost and risk of collecting
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firm-specific information for investors. Thus, less information transparency leads to less
informative stock prices (Morck, Yeung & Yu, 2000), and more synchronous movement
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in prices are thus expected. As an important informal supervision system in regions with
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weak legal systems, media exposure can play the role of constraining a firm’s irregular
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activities (Qiao, Fung & Wei, 2018; Griffin, Hirschey & Kelly, 2011). Compared to
regions with a better developed legal system, the function of media is more important in
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regions with a weaker legal system, given media reports can accelerate the information
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diffusion from managers to external investors (Zhu et al., 2017). Therefore, in these
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regions, the impact of CEO media exposure on stock price synchronicity is expected to
be greater. Meanwhile, firms with political connections in these regions tend to have
more power to control and disrupt the media. This will abate the influence of CEO media
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exposure on stock price synchronicity to a larger extent than firms in regions with a better
H3c: CEO media exposure and political connection have greater influence on stock
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price synchronicity in a weaker legal environment than a stronger one. Meanwhile,
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the interaction of CEO political connection and media exposure on the stock price
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3. Data and methodology
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Our initial dataset includes all Chinese firms listed on the Shanghai and Shenzhen
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Stock Exchanges over the period of 2007-2016. Our analysis excludes financial and
public utility firms to avoid the impact of their unique firm behavior. Firms listed for less
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than one year are also excluded. To minimize the impact of outliers, we follow common
practice in the literature and winsorize all variables at the 1st and 99th percentiles (i.e.,
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Balatbat, Taylor & Walter, 2004; Giroud & Mueller, 2010; Nguyen, Locke & Reddy,
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2015; Qiao et al., 2017). Our final sample consists of 10,571 firm-year observations.
Weekly stock trading data and annual financial data are obtained from the Chinese
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Securities Market and Accounting Research (CSMAR) database to examine stock price
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synchronicity. The CEO media exposure information is extracted from Baidu, which is
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the leading online search engine in China. Following the method in Nguyen (2015), we
use the CEO’s name and his firm’s name to quantify CEO media exposure. We wrote a
Python-based application to collect the number of news reports on CEOs from the Baidu
We follow Morck, Yeung & Yu (2000) and Piotroski & Ronlstone (2004) to compute
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a firm’s stock price synchronicity in a two-step procedure. In the first step, we estimate
firm-specific weekly return for firm i in industry k in week t from the expanded market
= + ∙ + ∙ + 1
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, , , , ,
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rate of market value-weighted market return in week t, which is calculated as the weekly
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tradable market value-weighted returns of all A-share stocks on the Shanghai and
Shenzhen Stock Exchanges; and , is the industry return in week t, which is calculated
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as the tradable market value-weighted industry index, excluding firm i.
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In the second step, since R2 is highly skewed and bounded between unit and zero,
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ℎ= 2
1−
and industry factors. This R2-based inefficiency measure has been used in various
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empirical studies on corporate investment and emerging markets (e.g., Durnev, Morck &
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Yeung, 2004; Chen, Goldstein & Jiang, 2006; Cheng, Leung, & Yu, 2014). A higher value
of Synch indicates that less firm-specific information is incorporated into stock returns
(e.g., Morck, Yeung & Yu, 2000), and the stock price is more synchronized.
We propose the following model to estimate the relationship between CEO media
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+, - ./ 0 + 3
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where CEOmediat and POLCONt denote the CEO media exposure and political
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summarizes all the variables in Eq (3).
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[Insert Table 1 about here]
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CEOmediat measures the extent of CEO media exposure. Following prior studies,
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CEOmediat is computed using the natural log of one plus the number of CEO news
reports (i.e., Qiao, Fung & Wei, 2018; Fang & Peress, 2009). Similar to Fan, Rui & Zhao
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POLCON equals 1 if the CEO of a particular firm is a member of the People’s Congress
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(i.e., the national legislature of China) or the Chinese People’s Political Consultative
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Following prior studies, we include a set of control variables that are expected to
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affect stock price synchronicity (i.e., Kim, Yu & Zhang, 2016; Chan & Hameed, 2006;
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Boehmer & Kelley, 2009). In particular, the selected variables control for firm
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characteristics (Firm size, Lev, ROE, B/M, Inholding, First, Turnover), industry
characteristics (Ind_growth, HHI), and CEO attributes (Duality, Degree, Age, Gender).
First, we control for firm characteristics with the following variables: Firm size, Lev,
ROE, B/M, Inholding, First, and Turnover. Firm size is calculated as the natural
logarithm of the total assets at year end. Lev measures the financial leverage of the firm
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and is defined as the ratio of total liabilities to total assets. The firm’s accounting
performance is measured by return on equity (ROE), which is the ratio of net income to
shareholders’ equity. B/M is book value to market value ratio, which reflects investor
perceptions of the firm’s current and future stock performance. Institutional investors
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have a great incentive to monitor managers and therefore influence stock price behavior
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(An & Zhang, 2013). We control for the institutional shareholdings (Inholding) with the
ratio of total institutional holdings to a firm’s total number of shares outstanding. The
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variable First represents the share proportion of the largest shareholder. We also control
for the de-trended share turnover (Turnover), calculated as the average monthly share
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turnover in year t minus the average monthly share turnover in year t-1. Firms that
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receive high-quality audits are expected to have a lower synchronicity in stock prices, so
we use the dummy variable Big_4 to control for the auditing quality. It takes the value 1
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Second, we control for industry characteristics with Ind_growth and HHI. The
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variable Ind_growth measures the industry growth rate, and the variable HHI is an
is the proportion of sales by firm i in the industry, and n is the number of firms in the
same industry. HHI reflects the industrial environment of a company which may affect
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Third, CEOs attributes may also affect stock price synchronicity. We control for
CEO attributes variables including: Duality, Degree, Age, and Gender. The CEO duality
(Duality) is a dummy variable which takes the value 1 when the CEO is also the
chairman of the board and 0 otherwise. The variable of CEO degree (Degree) is equal to
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2 if the CEO has an associate’s degree, 3 for a university degree, 4 for a master’s degree,
5 for a doctoral degree, and 1 otherwise. The CEO age (Age) is a time-variant variable
measured as the age of the CEO for each firm-year observation. CEO gender (Gender) is
a dummy variable and takes the value 1 when the CEO is male and 0 if female.
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Finally, industry (Industry) and year (Year) dummies are included in Eq (3) to
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account for the industry effect and time variations.
4. Empirical findings
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4.1 Descriptive statistics and univariate analysis
Table 2 reports descriptive statistics on the three key variables: stock return
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synchronicity, CEO media exposure, and political connection. Panel A presents the
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sample distribution by year during 2007-2016. A few observations arise here. First, Synch
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has a negative mean value in most of the sample years, except for 2008. We also notice
that its mean and standard deviation vary considerably over the years. Second, the mean
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of CEO media increases from 1.830 in 2007 to 3.103 in 2012, and it stays around 3.100
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during 2013-2016. Third, among the 10,571 observations, about 1,617 (15.3%) firms
have a politically connected CEO. The number of sample firms with political connections
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Panel B presents the sample distribution by industry of firms with regard to stock
return synchronicity, CEO media exposure, and political connection. The industry
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have a one-digit code and manufacturing industries have a two-digit code.1 As shown in
Panel B, Synch is relatively higher for firms in Conglomerate (-0.167), Paper making,
printing (-0.290), and Textiles, apparel (-0.297) sectors, and it is the lowest for companies
in the Communications industry (-0.800). The CEO media coverage has highest mean
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values for firms in Other manufacturing (3.606), Electronics (3.327), and
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Communications (3.290) industries. Additionally, firms in Agriculture (0.256), and
Textiles, apparel (0.254) industries have more political connections than others.
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Panel A of Table 3 summarizes the descriptive statistics of all variables in Eq (3).
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Several points are worth noting here. First, the stock price synchronicity shows
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substantial differences across firms. There are distinct variations among percentiles, with
the minimum and maximum values being -9.345 and 7.737, respectively. Second, we find
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that most CEOs in the sample have a certain level of media exposure. The mean value for
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CEO media is 2.937, indicating that there are around 18 news reports for an average CEO
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in the sample. And more than 75% of CEOs have media coverage greater than 1.792,
which is equivalent to around five relevant news reports during 2007-2016. Third, only a
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small portion of CEOs in sample firms have political connections. The dummy variable
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POLCON has a mean value of only 0.153 and still has a value of 0 up until the 75th
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percentile. Fourth, control variables for firm characteristics exhibit substantial variations.
For example, the firm’s leverage variable (Lev) has highest and lowest level of 98% and
4.6%, respectively. Similarly, return on equity (ROE) ranges from -0.787 to 0.565 among
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China’s economy is dominated by manufacturing. In our sample, the manufacturing sector comprises
almost 60.39% of the firms. We use a two-digit code to identify the manufacturing industries in this study
to control for the sector effects.
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sample firms.
Panel B presents the correlations for CEO media, political connection, stock price
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significantly related to SYNCH. Political connection is positively and significantly
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related to SYNCH. These results are consistent with H1 and H2. Moreover, there is not
strong bivariate correlation between the CEO media, political connection, and other
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variables. The average variance factors (VIF) for all regression models are smaller than
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the cut-off point of 10, indicating no significant multicollinearity issue in subsequent
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regression analyses.
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To briefly examine the stock price synchronicity under different firm conditions and
the results in Table 4. The main observations are summarized as follows. First, the stocks
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of firms with a CEO that has a higher (lower) level of media exposure show lower
level, indicating that CEO media exposure is negatively correlated with stock price
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synchronicity. Second, firms without political connections have lower stock price
synchronicity (-0.477) than firms with a certain level of political connections (-0.313).
political connections of CEOs are positively related to stock price synchronicity. Third,
the three institutional environment factors also exhibit significant influence on stock price
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synchronicity. In particular, firms that are SOEs, firms that operate in a disadvantageous
financial environment, and firms that are subject to a weaker legal environment show a
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[Insert Table 4 about here.]
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4.2 Regression analysis
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variables at the 1st and 99th percentiles. In addition, we select the fixed effect model
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according to the relevant test statistics. Table 5 presents regression results about the
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effects of CEO media exposure and political connection on stock price synchronicity.2
Four models are used to test our hypothesis. Model 1 only shows the effect of
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control variables on stock price synchronicity. The estimation results of Model 1 indicate
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that firm size, lev, ROE have a negative and significant effect on Synch. The
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book-to-market ratio (B/M) has a positive effect on Synch. Model 2 examines the direct
effect of CEO media coverage on stock price synchronicity, and it reveals that the stock
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price of firms with more CEO media coverage exhibits lower synchronicity (Model 2: β =
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-0.037, t-value = -4.24). In Model 3, we test the direct effect of political connection on
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significant at the 1% level (Model 3: β = 0.210, t-value = 4.84), showing that firms that
have CEOs with political connections have higher stock price synchronicity. Finally, we
use Model 4 to examine the impact of the interaction between CEO media coverage and
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political connection on stock price synchronicity. With the interaction term added, the
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estimated coefficients of CEO media and POLCON are not affected. The estimated
coefficient for the interaction term CEO media ∗ POLCON is significantly positive
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(Model 4: β = 0.037, t-value = 1.94), implying that the synchronicity reduction effect of
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CEO media coverage on stock prices is eroded by political connections of the firms. The
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results in Table 5 are generally consistent with our first two hypotheses (H1 and H2).
particular, state-controlled firms are still very common in China. A natural question is
whether the particular ownership setting in China has an influence on our previous results
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(Feng, Hu & Johansson, 2016). Investigating the role of a firm’s ownership structure in
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the interactions among CEO media coverage, political connection, and stock price
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synchronicity provide more insight into our research questions. Thus, we divide sample
firms into SOEs and non-SOEs. We then conduct the same test as in the previous section,
using Model 2, Model 3, and Model 4. The test results are shown in Table 6.
Three findings are noteworthy here. First, the negative relationship between CEO
media coverage and stock price synchronicity exists for both SOEs and non-SOEs.
Specifically, the scale of impact of CEO media coverage is larger for non-SOEs as shown
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by the estimated coefficients (i.e., -0.045 vs. -0.031, p-value for testing their difference <
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0.01). Second, the positive relationship between political connection and stock price
synchronicity is still valid for both SOEs and non-SOEs, while the impact of political
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connection on price synchronicity is greater for SOEs than for non-SOEs (i.e., 0.259 vs.
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0.145, p-value for testing their difference < 0.01). Third, the interaction variable CEO
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media ∗ POLCON is still positively related to stock price synchronicity, although the
relationship is only statistically significant for non-SOEs. Thus, the previously observed
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significant coefficient on the interaction term with the full sample in Table 5 is mainly
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driven by non-SOEs. In summary, these results are consistent with our hypothesis of
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H3a.
proxies to address the differences in the institutional development level across the 31
economically diverse regions (Kim, Yu & Zhang, 2016). Following Wang, Fan & Yu
(2017), we analyze the impact of provincial financial environment and legal environment
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Table 7 presents the impact of CEO media exposure and political connection on
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environments into relatively “superior” and relatively “inferior” groups. Estimation
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results from Model 2, Model 3, and Model 4 for each group are reported in Table 7.
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Some interesting results have emerged in Table 7. First, the stock price
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synchronicity reduction effect of the CEO media coverage is significant in both financial
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environments, and such influence is greater for firms operating in a relatively inferior
environment than for those in a superior environment (i.e., estimated coefficients are
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-0.042 vs. -0.035, p-value for testing their difference < 0.01). Second, the effect of
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political connections on stock price synchronicity is also significant in both groups. The
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positive impact is larger for firms operating in an inferior financial environment (i.e.,
estimated coefficients are 0.263 vs. 0.153, p-value for testing their difference < 0.01).
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Third, the interaction variable CEO media ∗ POLCON is positively related to stock price
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significant for firms in an inferior financial environment. Again, these results are
3
We obtain the data of provincial financial development index and provincial legal development
index from the “Marketization index of China’s provinces: NERI report 2017”, by Wang Xiaolu,
Fan Gang and Yu Wenjing.
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The influence of different provincial legal environments is also tested and the results
are presented in Table 8. According to the provincial legal development index, we divide
the legal environment into relatively “stronger” and “weaker” groups. Similarly, for both
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groups, we still find a significantly negative relationship between CEO media coverage
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and stock price synchronicity, and a significantly positive relationship between political
connection and stock price synchronicity. These impacts are greater for firms in provinces
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with a relatively weaker legal environment. The interaction term CEO media ∗ POLCON
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is significantly positive only for provinces with weaker legal environments. These results
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are consistent with our hypothesis H3c.
(i.e., ownership structure, financial and legal environment), we have confirmed that the
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negative impact of CEO media coverage and positive impact of political connection on
stock price synchronicity is valid under all these situations. Nonetheless, the strength of
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these impacts has significant variation across different institutional conditions. For
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example, we find that the influence of CEO media coverage on price synchronicity is
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stronger for firms that are non-SOEs, and for firms that operate in provinces with a
relatively inferior financial environment and weaker legal environment. The influence of
political connection on stock price synchronicity appears to be larger for firms that are
SOEs, and for those that operate in inferior financial and weaker legal environments.
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Another interesting finding is that the significant positive impact of the interaction term
CEO media ∗ POLCON found in the full sample seems to be driven by firms that are
non-SOEs, and firms that operate in weaker financial (and legal) environments.
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4.4 Robustness check
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We further conduct additional tests for robustness. The results are shown in Table 9.
First, we use the fixed-effect model to examine the standard errors, which are clustered
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by effects of both firms and years. The results are reported in column (1). As expected,
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the clustered standard errors become larger. The impact of CEO media coverage on stock
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price synchronicity remains negative at the 1% level and the effect of political connection
remains positive at the 1% level. Second, we use Driscoll & Kraay’s (1998) covariance
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matrix estimator in the regression, and the results are reported in column (2). The effect
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of CEO media coverage still remains significantly negative and that of political
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media ∗ POLCON is positively related to stock price synchronicity at the 10% level.
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Third, for standard errors and confidence sets, we use 200 bootstrap repetitions and report
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the results in column (3), which again shows similar findings. Finally, we attempt to
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mitigate the potential endogeneity problem of CEO media exposure and political
connection by including lagged media variables. That is, we used CEO mediat-1 and CEO
mediat-2 as proxies for the CEO media variable, and POLCON t-1 and POLCONt-2 as
proxies for the POLCON variable. The results estimated by the two-stage least squares
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for panel-data models are shown in column (4). The finding is that lagged CEO media
coverage reduces stock price synchronicity at time t and lagged political connection
increases stock price synchronicity at time t, effects which are unlikely to be caused by
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endogeneity. Our method is valid as the data pass the Sargan-Hansen tests at the
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conventional significance levels in examining the over-identifying restrictions. All of the
above tests include industry and year dummies. Therefore, the negative effects of CEO
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media and the positive effects of POLCON on Synch are robust across different models,
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which proves the validity of our main results.
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5. Conclusions
In this study, we examine with weekly data the impact of firm CEO’s media exposure
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and political connections on the firm stock’s synchronicity. Our sample consists of
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10,571 firm-year observations for Chinese companies listed on the Shanghai Stock
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Exchange and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange during the period of 2007-2016. We apply
fixed effects models to test whether the CEO’s media coverage and political connections
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reflected in the level of synchronicity of the stock price. We further test the impact on
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stock price synchronicity of the interaction term between CEO media coverage and
investigate the potential effect of the firm’s ownership structure (i.e., state-owned vs.
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non-state-owned), the quality of financial environment (superior vs. inferior), and the
legal environment (stronger vs. weaker). We also conduct a thorough robustness check
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In summary, the empirical test results are generally consistent with our hypotheses.
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First, CEO media coverage has a negative influence over stock price synchronicity,
implying that news reports facilitate the release of firm-specific information. Second,
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when the firm executives have a certain level of political connections, the synchronicity
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of the stock price tends to increase. This suggests that firms are reluctant to disclose
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valuable firm-specific information when they have access to more resources from their
connections with government and regulatory agencies. Third, the interaction term of CEO
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media coverage and political connection has a positive impact on stock price
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synchronicity for the full sample data, which proves that if the firm is politically
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connected, the positive influence of CEO media coverage on the informational content of
stock price will be abated or even eliminated. Finally, we reexamine the above patterns
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interesting findings. The institutional factors (i.e., firm ownership, financial and legal
AC
environments) indeed play an important role in the statistical significance and scale of the
above interactions. In particular, CEO media coverage has a greater impact on the
reduction of stock price synchronicity for firms that are not owned by the state, that
operate in inferior financial environments and weaker legal environments. The impact of
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political connections also varies under different institutional environments. It appears that
when firms are state-owned and operate in relatively poor financial and legal
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environments. Interestingly, the counteracting effect of political connections against the
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impact of CEO media coverage becomes insignificant for state-owned firms and firms
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Findings from this study suggest that, in addition to traditional fundamental factors of
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a company, investors should also look at factors such as media exposure and political
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connections of a firm when making investment decisions. Additionally, institutional
factors also play an important role in the evaluation procedure. Therefore, our study
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provides meaningful information for investors that seek to diversify their portfolios and
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Variable Definition
Synch Stock price synchronicity
CEO media A CEO’s media coverage, measured by the natural log of one plus the
number of CEO news.
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A CEO’s political connection, measured by a dummy variable that equals
POLCON 1 when a CEO is the member of the People’s Congress or the Chinese
People’s Political Consultative Conference, and 0 else.
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Firm size Size of a firm, measured by the natural logarithm of total assets
Lev Financial leverage of a firm
SC
ROE Return on equity of a firm
B/M Ratio of book to market value of a firm
Inholding Institutional shareholdings, measured by the ratio of total institutional
holdings to firm’s total shares outstanding
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Tunrover Difference of average monthly share turnover of year t and t-1
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First Share proportion of the largest shareholder
Big_4 A dummy variable that equals 1 if a firm uses a Big 4 international
auditor and 0 otherwise.
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PT
2008 585 0.522 0.671 -3.432 2.043 1.911 1.308 0.000 6.460 0.128 0.335 0.000 1.000
2009 715 -0.247 0.851 -6.021 6.205 2.210 1.450 0.000 6.967 0.130 0.337 0.000 1.000
2010 947 -0.525 0.939 -5.411 7.737 3.048 1.532 0.000 7.763 0.141 0.349 0.000 1.000
RI
2011 1,150 -0.395 0.675 -4.014 1.538 3.092 1.494 0.000 8.001 0.142 0.349 0.000 1.000
2012 1,304 -0.334 0.787 -6.954 1.553 3.103 1.517 0.000 9.776 0.142 0.349 0.000 1.000
SC
2013 1,323 -1.099 0.967 -8.429 1.034 3.102 1.581 0.000 8.314 0.130 0.336 0.000 1.000
2014 1,374 -1.230 1.002 -6.761 3.250 3.214 1.654 0.000 10.477 0.143 0.351 0.000 1.000
2015 1,364 -0.017 0.932 -6.957 1.908 3.070 1.663 0.000 10.609 0.185 0.388 0.000 1.000
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2016 1,365 -0.124 0.995 -9.354 2.196 3.182 1.763 0.000 10.633 0.210 0.408 0.000 1.000
Total 10,571 -0.457 1.016 -9.354 7.737 2.937 1.625 0.000 10.633 0.153 0.360 0.000 1.000
AN
Note: This panel presents the sample distribution by year during 2007–2016.
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D
TE
C EP
AC
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PT
Textiles, apparel C1 335 3.17 -0.297 1.026 2.941 1.503 0.254 0.436
Timber, furniture C2 68 0.64 -0.380 0.923 2.998 1.540 0.147 0.357
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Paper making, C3 185 1.75 -0.290 0.947 2.899 1.499 0.146 0.354
Petroleum, C4 1014 9.59 -0.349 0.971 2.796 1.466 0.178 0.382
Electronics C5 669 6.33 -0.501 1.074 3.327 1.586 0.169 0.375
SC
Metal, nonmetal C6 787 7.44 -0.356 0.978 2.954 1.481 0.113 0.317
Machinery, C7 2057 19.46 -0.414 0.991 3.115 1.634 0.191 0.393
Medicine, C8 748 7.08 -0.583 1.069 2.863 1.663 0.134 0.341
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Other C9 97 0.92 -0.472 1.018 3.606 2.028 0.144 0.353
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Power, gas, and D 387 3.66 -0.520 1.019 2.332 1.197 0.114 0.318
Architecture E 210 1.99 -0.453 0.956 2.769 1.449 0.157 0.365
Transportation F 326 3.08 -0.351 0.924 2.672 1.455 0.101 0.302
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Social services K 409 3.87 -0.430 0.921 2.926 1.647 0.134 0.342
Communications L 151 1.43 -0.800 1.187 3.290 2.247 0.159 0.367
TE
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PT
Firm size 21.922 1.235 16.757 21.054 21.77 22.63 27.41
Lev 0.431 0.213 0.046 0.261 0.427 0.594 0.98
ROE 0.068 0.112 -0.787 0.031 0.069 0.113 0.565
RI
B/M 0.505 0.245 0.013 0.311 0.476 0.673 1.516
Turnover 5.851 4.057 0.003 2.875 4.862 7.842 37.955
Inholding 0.376 0.233 0 0.178 0.375 0.561 0.979
SC
First 0.353 0.150 0.043 0.233 0.333 0.453 0.900
Big_4 0.048 0.214 0 0 0 0 1
Ind_growth 0.161 0.135 -0.298 0.074 0.14 0.224 1.879
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HHI 0.062 0.054 0.016 0.033 0.046 0.068 0.374
Duality 0.257 0.437 0 0 0 1 1
AN
Degree 2.548 1.372 1 1 3 4 5
Age 48.426 6.327 27 44 48 52 79
Gender 0.945 0.227 0 1 1 1 1
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D
TE
C EP
AC
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media size
Synch 1
CEO
RI
-0.13*** 1
media
POLCON 0.06*** 0.15*** 1
SC
Firm size -0.03*** 0.11*** 0.01 1
Lev -0.01 -0.13*** -0.05*** 0.44*** 1
U
ROE -0.11*** 0.11*** 0.00 0.10*** -0.11*** 1
B/M 0.18*** -0.09*** -0.01 0.57*** 0.44*** -0.12*** 1
AN
Turnover 0.02** -0.01 0.00 -0.34*** -0.15*** -0.09*** -0.33*** 1
Inholding -0.11*** 0.00 -0.02* 0.40*** 0.17*** 0.13*** 0.11*** -0.51*** 1
M
First -0.06*** -0.02 -0.03*** 0.22*** 0.03*** 0.08*** 0.12*** -0.12*** 0.29*** 1
Big_4 -0.04*** 0.06*** -0.01 0.36*** 0.09*** 0.09*** 0.15*** -0.16*** 0.17*** 0.16*** 1
D
Ind_growth 0.01 -0.02* -0.01 -0.08*** 0.03*** 0.08*** -0.06*** -0.02* -0.03*** 0.01 -0.02** 1
HHI -0.04*** -0.02* -0.03*** 0.02** 0.00 -0.02** -0.03*** 0.02** -0.01 0.04*** 0.04*** 0.01 1
TE
Duality -0.03*** 0.39*** 0.19*** -0.15*** -0.15*** 0.00 -0.17*** 0.10*** -0.15*** -0.05*** -0.06*** -0.01 0.01 1
Degree -0.05*** 0.21*** 0.17*** -0.02* -0.14*** 0.02** -0.10*** 0.01 -0.01 -0.02* 0.04*** -0.05*** 0.03*** 0.12***
EP
Age 0.04*** 0.03*** 0.09*** 0.15*** 0.04*** -0.02* 0.06*** -0.06*** 0.11*** 0.02* 0.04*** -0.07*** -0.01 0.16***
Gender 0.03*** -0.04*** -0.05*** 0.04*** 0.04*** -0.01 0.04*** -0.03*** 0.04*** -0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.03***
Note: *, ** and *** represents significant at the 10%, 5%, and 1% level, respectively.
C
AC
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POLCON 6.077*** 0.000
Without -0.477
SOEs -0.513
Ownership 7.380*** 0.000
RI
Non-SOEs -0.367
Provincial financial Better -0.294
13.649*** 0.000
environment Worse -0.374
SC
Provincial legal Better -0.295
11.367*** 0.000
environment Worse -0.369
environment of *** represents significant at the 10%, 5%, and 1% level, respectively. High CEO
Note: *, ** and
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media exposure is above its overall 75% level, and Low CEO media exposure is below its overall
25% level. Provincial financial environment is a dummy variable equals to 1 if the provincial
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financial development index is higher than the overall median index (i.e., it has better provincial
financial environment), and 0 otherwise. Provincial legal environment is a dummy variable equals
to 1 if the provincial legal development index is higher than the overall median index (i.e., it has
M
Source: We obtain the data of provincial financial development index and provincial legal
D
development index from the “Marketization index of China’s provinces: NERI report 2017”, by
Wang Xiaolu, Fan Gang and Yu Wenjing.
TE
C EP
AC
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PT
(-4.16) (-4.40) (-3.87) (-4.15)
ROE -0.226** -0.222** -0.219** -0.213**
(-2.50) (-2.45) (-2.42) (-2.36)
B/M 2.112*** 2.087*** 2.109*** 2.083***
RI
(24.86) (24.53) (24.86) (24.51)
Turnover -0.028*** -0.028*** -0.028*** -0.027***
(-8.54) (-8.42) (-8.45) (-8.33)
SC
Inholding -0.373*** -0.374*** -0.375*** -0.376***
(-5.93) (-5.96) (-5.98) (-6.00)
First -0.067 -0.063 -0.050 -0.043
U
(-0.39) (-0.37) (-0.29) (-0.25)
Big_4 -0.167 -0.172 -0.175 -0.180
AN
(-1.37) (-1.41) (-1.43) (-1.47)
Ind_growth 0.307*** 0.305*** 0.317*** 0.316***
(3.33) (3.32) (3.45) (3.44)
HHI -1.812*** -1.763*** -1.869*** -1.824***
M
(-4.24) (-4.42)
POLCON 0.210*** 0.206***
(4.84) (4.72)
CEO media*POLCON 0.037*
(1.94)
N 10571 10571 10571 10571
Adjust R2 0.328 0.330 0.330 0.332
F 193.537 186.570 186.904 173.773
Note: *, **, and *** denote significance at the 10%, 5%, and 1% levels, respectively.
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(-4.38) (-3.99) (-4.09) (-2.03) (-1.70) (-1.94)
ROE -0.171 -0.159 -0.159 -0.347** -0.354** -0.341**
(-1.57) (-1.46) (-1.46) (-2.32) (-2.37) (-2.28)
B/M 1.599*** 1.622*** 1.603*** 2.574*** 2.597*** 2.561***
RI
(14.00) (14.27) (14.07) (20.10) (20.29) (19.99)
Turnover -0.033*** -0.032*** -0.032*** -0.024*** -0.025*** -0.024***
(-5.87) (-5.70) (-5.71) (-5.78) (-5.91) (-5.74)
SC
Inholding -0.444*** -0.452*** -0.456*** -0.268*** -0.267*** -0.268***
(-4.72) (-4.82) (-4.86) (-3.13) (-3.13) (-3.14)
First 0.012 0.025 0.018 0.049 0.048 0.063
U
(0.05) (0.10) (0.07) (0.20) (0.20) (0.26)
Big_4 -0.120 -0.137 -0.142 -0.283 -0.274 -0.282
AN
(-0.78) (-0.90) (-0.93) (-1.43) (-1.38) (-1.42)
Ind_growth 0.466*** 0.472*** 0.472*** 0.189 0.201 0.198
(3.69) (3.74) (3.75) (1.45) (1.54) (1.52)
HHI -1.113 -1.253 -1.164 -2.404*** -2.489*** -2.453***
M
46
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT
PT
(-2.29) (-2.02) (-2.13) (-4.17) (-3.74) (-4.04)
ROE -0.489*** -0.489*** -0.481*** -0.050 -0.046 -0.041
(-3.29) (-3.28) (-3.24) (-0.45) (-0.42) (-0.37)
B/M 2.131*** 2.150*** 2.126*** 1.978*** 2.013*** 1.980***
RI
(18.61) (18.80) (18.58) (15.49) (15.83) (15.55)
Turnover -0.028*** -0.029*** -0.028*** -0.026*** -0.025*** -0.025***
(-6.54) (-6.67) (-6.55) (-5.19) (-4.99) (-4.94)
SC
Inholding -0.409*** -0.407*** -0.410*** -0.296*** -0.304*** -0.300***
(-5.00) (-4.97) (-5.01) (-3.01) (-3.09) (-3.06)
First -0.060 -0.038 -0.046 -0.036 -0.023 -0.003
U
(-0.24) (-0.16) (-0.19) (-0.15) (-0.10) (-0.01)
Big_4 -0.084 -0.092 -0.098 -0.366* -0.342 -0.342
AN
(-0.56) (-0.61) (-0.65) (-1.71) (-1.60) (-1.61)
Ind_growth 0.425*** 0.431*** 0.430*** 0.111 0.134 0.133
(3.52) (3.57) (3.56) (0.78) (0.95) (0.94)
HHI -1.728** -1.796** -1.792** -1.928* -2.090** -1.942*
M
47
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT
PT
(-2.17) (-1.85) (-1.99) (-4.62) (-4.25) (-4.50)
ROE -0.401*** -0.403*** -0.395*** -0.084 -0.078 -0.074
(-2.83) (-2.84) (-2.79) (-0.74) (-0.68) (-0.65)
B/M 2.217*** 2.233*** 2.213*** 1.900*** 1.942*** 1.901***
RI
(20.02) (20.20) (19.99) (14.01) (14.39) (14.06)
Turnover -0.030*** -0.031*** -0.030*** -0.022*** -0.021*** -0.021***
(-7.23) (-7.33) (-7.22) (-3.99) (-3.86) (-3.82)
SC
Inholding -0.434*** -0.432*** -0.435*** -0.217** -0.218** -0.215**
(-5.51) (-5.49) (-5.53) (-2.05) (-2.07) (-2.04)
First -0.017 0.004 -0.003 -0.130 -0.119 -0.093
U
(-0.07) (0.02) (-0.01) (-0.51) (-0.46) (-0.36)
Big_4 -0.115 -0.125 -0.128 -0.241 -0.200 -0.235
AN
(-0.79) (-0.86) (-0.88) (-0.99) (-0.82) (-0.96)
Ind_growth 0.448*** 0.457*** 0.455*** 0.045 0.065 0.069
(3.82) (3.90) (3.88) (0.30) (0.43) (0.46)
HHI -1.532** -1.693** -1.639** -2.295** -2.211** -2.207**
M
48
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT
PT
ROE -0.213* -0.213*** -0.213* -0.589***
(-1.93) (-3.37) (-1.83) (-5.59)
B/M 2.083*** 2.083*** 2.083*** 0.767***
(20.63) (10.09) (20.67) (11.20)
RI
Turnover -0.027*** -0.027** -0.027*** 0.028***
(-7.01) (-2.01) (-6.99) (7.66)
Inholding -0.376*** -0.376*** -0.376*** -0.054
SC
(-5.26) (-3.24) (-5.31) (-0.83)
First -0.043 -0.043 -0.043 -0.267***
(-0.21) (-0.16) (-0.23) (-3.18)
U
Big_4 -0.180 -0.180* -0.180 -0.149***
(-1.25) (-1.70) (-1.33) (-2.67)
AN
Ind_growth 0.316*** 0.316*** 0.316*** 0.661***
(3.69) (2.83) (3.74) (6.59)
HHI -1.824** -1.824 -1.824** -2.655***
(-2.56) (-1.59) (-2.38) (-3.95)
M