The document discusses several issues related to renewable energy sources in India including solar rooftop installations, wind energy, energy storage, large scale solar and solar manufacturing. It notes that targets are not being met for solar rooftop and wind energy. Barriers include a lack of uniform state policies, payment issues, transmission delays and lack of viable land access. Energy storage potential is large but battery costs need to decrease and a regulatory framework is required.
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Issues Referred To in Factsheets
The document discusses several issues related to renewable energy sources in India including solar rooftop installations, wind energy, energy storage, large scale solar and solar manufacturing. It notes that targets are not being met for solar rooftop and wind energy. Barriers include a lack of uniform state policies, payment issues, transmission delays and lack of viable land access. Energy storage potential is large but battery costs need to decrease and a regulatory framework is required.
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Issues referred to in factsheets
1. Solar Rooftop (SRT)
a. Conflict of interest - Lack of enthusiasm of discoms that fear losses by C&I customer migration. To facilitate SRT should it be discoms or SNAs? b. Data gaps - MNRE reports figures of 2.6 GW however, data about individual homes is not captured. Actual installation figures at 5.44 GW (BTI) c. Targets - Is growth rate of SRT declining? 1.8 GW in 2019, 1.4 GW in 2020. Target is 40 GW by 2022. What is causing this shortfall? Discom? d. States do not have uniform policies – different caps of sizes, types of metering, subsidies and mandates. Delhi has GBI of Rs. 2/unit, TN has allowed 100% sanctioned load to be installed. e. Residential rooftop has not succeeded – due to low residential tariffs, lack of access to financing facility, reliable facilitators, quality and standards of equipment, quality of servicing f. Will Phase II work? – shifted charge of SRT to discoms, transferred incentives to residential (Rs 11,814 Cr subsidy - indigenous), trying to incentivize discoms (Rs 4,950 Cr as performance-based incentive to install SRT) 2. Wind Energy a. Shortfall – CRISIL reports a possible shortfall of targets to 45 GW by 2022 (60 GW target) b. Is target of 60 GW modest – potential of 302 GW @ 100m and 695 @ 120m c. Tariff cap unviable - Industry says increased risks have driven up costs and current tariff cap is unviable. 3.46 to 2.43 to 2.93 and undersubscribed response 45%. d. Discom problems – Late payments, curtailments e. Transmission networks delay – commissioning delays for Green Energy Corridors I and II (66.5 GW RE capacity) f. Access to windy sites – Only Gujarat and TN has viable sites under current tariff caps but state are unwilling to give up land g. Manufacturing companies exiting – low capacity auctions has resulted in exit of most manufacturers h. Repowering – 10 GW potential but repowering policy has failed i. Wind-solar hybrid – 4,500 MW announced since 2018 but less that 1/3 rd under implementation 3. Energy Storage a. Global outlook – until 2018 Pumped Hydro dominates capacity (94.30%) followed by Electrochemical storage (with Li-Ion dominating this segment). Share of Pumped Hydro will likely decline due to battery production b. India has 4.7 GW of Pumped Hydro c. Assessment done by CEA during 1978-87 showing potential to be 96.5 GW. No new assessment is available. Commonly mentioned barriers to PHS are long gestation, civil works, and social/political challenges. d. EVs and energy access could cause a surge in batteries from 9 GW today to 1095 GW by 2040. Growth led by China & US. i. Li-Ion prices fell by 87% to reach $156/kWh in 2019 and expected to fall to $100 by 2023 e. CEA forecasts India would require 34GW/136GWh battery by 2030 for grid stability – NITI Aayong 6X10GW gigawatt scale factories by 2025 and 12X10GW by 2030. Finalizing of Giga-scale Lithium-Ion Battery Manufacturing Programme in India. Storage cost expected to fall from 7 Cr/MW to 4.3 Cr/MW in 2030 f. National Mission on Transformative Mobility and Battery Storage includes a 5-year phased manufacturing programme to set up large-scale battery and cell manufacturing giga-sized plants in India. However, the Mission has not taken off yet. The current storage market seems restricted to battery energy storage systems. g. India Smart Grid Forum has come up with an Energy Storage Roadmap for India (2019- 2032) h. SECI Tender highlights i. Off-grid – PV plants in Andamans, Leh and Lakshadweep to be backed up by small scale storage (<60MWh) ii. 1,200 MW RE+Storage under ISTS i. Need to develop local manufacturing capacity, proper regulatory framework for recycling and disposal of batteries (batteries have 3-10 years of life) 4. Large Scale Solar a. The 100 GW target (~32+2 today) is not likely to be achieved as tenders have been unsuccessful and achievements are slipping. Covid-19 is an additional burden. b. for the last two fiscals (2018-19 and 2019-20), annual capacity addition is on a decreasing trend with 6.5 GW and 5.7 GW addition respectively against the previous year of 2017-18 when 9.4 GW was installed c. Payment/Investment risks – Discoms unable to pay dues (~10,000 Cr), curtail solar power and attempt to renegotiate tariff d. Tariff ceilings – this has caused concerns and MNRE is moving away from imposing it but if states continue this practice, progress will stall e. Safeguard duties – import duties and basic customs duty f. GST – Costs have increased as effective rate is 9% 5. Solar Manufacturing a. 1 GW of backward integrated solar panel manufacturing capacity, right from the manufacturing-grade silica, works out to Rs 3,200 crore b. India has Solar PV cells capacity 3 GW/year, modules 10 GW/year c. 1/3rd of manufacturing capacities were operational, but they were significantly under- utilized d. Cheap imports account for 80-90 per cent of the total installations e. Safeguard duty offset by further fall in Chinese production costs resulting very little change in imports f. Manufacturing requires a streamlined and comprehensive policy – at the moment govt is pushing through procurement mandates (subsidies in Phase-II of Rooftop solar, KUSUM, CPSU Phase-II), capital subsides and interest subvention for manufacturing facilities (MNRE, Ministry of Electronics), customs duties etc 6. Biomass Power a. MNRE estimates surplus biomass availability at about 120-150 MMT per annum (agricultural and forestry residues) i. 18,000 MW ii. Bagasse cogeneration is 8,000 MW additionally b. Target of 10,000 MW achieved in 2019 c. Biomass Power receives incentives i. Rs 25 L/MW of ‘surplus exportable capacity’ ii. Preferential tariffs iii. Tax holiday iv. Must run status d. Capacity additions have stopped i. Generation is declining (drastic decrease in the plant load factor (PLF) of biomass plants Ð from 46 per cent in 2015 to 17.1 per cent in 2019 as per the data from CEA (see Graph 3). This, when the CERC recommends that the PLF of biomass plants would range from 60-80 per cent.) e. Industry states shortage of biomass and increasing prices f. Biomass-solar mini-grids by Husk power uses biomass as energy storage