Chapter 4
Chapter 4
Generation of ideas
Initial screening
Yes
Termination
Plan for feasibility analysis
Conduct economic /
Conduct technical analysis
market analysis
Yes Termination
Prepare funding
proposal
3.2 Areas of Feasibility Study:
A comprehensive feasibility covers the following six study areas:
A. Technical Analysis:
Need to concentrate on the followings-
1. Availability of raw materials and possible changes in future in its uses
2. Availability of power and other inputs (water, Gas, coal, spare parts etc.)
3. Selection of scale of operation or plant size
a. Technology required
b. Inputs constraints
c. Investment cost
d. Market condition
e. Resource of the firm
f. Government policy
g. Optimal size (best size)
4. Selection of production process and its technology
5. Choice of machinery, equipment and auxiliary of equipment
6. Choice of appropriate technology
7. Safety measures
8. Disposal of industrial waste and effluents.
9. Ecological and environmental pollution through the technology adopted
11. Projecting project time and cost
12. Time until ready to install and length of disruption of production during installation
13. Length of trial production and learning curve
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Adapted the Check List of Louis J. Goodman
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14. Proposed layout of the factory and process
15. Justification of locating site
16. Availability of infrastructural facilities
17. Quality control and its cost
18. Cost management
19. Use of network analysis for implementation of the project
20. Avoidance of time and cost overruns
21. Manpower required and its combination among unskilled, skilled and high skilled
22. Availability of spare parts and transfer and technical know-how
23. Need for foreign technicians; their cost, and availability
24. Technical licensing, franchising, joint-venture etc.
25. Project designs, charts for structures and civil works
c. Design
- Layout
- Engineering requirements
- Construction materials (local verses imported)
d. Manpower
- Professional
- Technical
- Labor
B. Financial Analysis:
Many issues required to examine the financial viability of a project, which are as follows:
1. Profitability measurement
- ARR, NPV, IRR, PI, PBP
2. Cost of the project-Fixed assets and working capital
3. Cost of technology
4. Need of foreign exchange and its availability
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5. Cost escalation
6. Means or source of financing
a. Equity participation
b. Debt or bonded capital
c. Terms loan from Financial Institutions
d. Leasing or buying
e. Suppliers’ credit
f. Loan or grants
g. Capital subsidies
h. Unsecured loans
i. Working capital financing
7. Estimation of production scales
8. Cost of production at various level of output
9. Breakeven production and sales point, that is operating and financial breakeven points.
10. Cost of capital – WACC and investment schedule (IOS)
11. Debt servicing
12. Tax structure and burden regarding IT and VAT
13. Provision for tax holiday
14. Pay back period
15. Impact on cash flows
16. Cash requirements with time frame
17. Impact of seasonal and cyclical fluctuations
18. Pre-operating expenses
19. Profitability projection over the life of the project
20. Financial projections:
a. Projected income statement
b. Projected balance sheet
c. Projected cash flow statement
a. Profitability Analysis
- Net Present Value (NPV)
- Internal rate of return (IRR)
b. Source of funding
- Internal
- External
c. Adequacy of fund
- Dependency index
- Suitability index
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C. Market Analysis:
It indicates evaluation of a project’s feasibility in terms of market. The market analysis involves
the search for and analysis of data that can be used to identify, describe and quantify the market.
A market analysis should contain the following issues: (i) Analysis of Past and Present demand;
(ii) Analysis of Past and Present supply; (iii) Estimation of future demand of the project; and (iv)
Estimation of projects’ share in the market.
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b. Supply
- Domestic
- Import
a. Internal organization
- Structure
- Authority
- Span of supervision
- Lines of communication
- Flexibility
b. External organization
- Govt. support
- Govt. regulations
- Funding (Appropriations)
c. Personnel
- Needs / capabilities
- Position descriptions
- Local verses foreign
- Policies
d. Management
- Management of the project
- Control techniques
- Scheduling techniques
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(i) Opportunity Cost: In the social cost benefit analysis the relevant cost is the opportunity cost.
The opportunity cost is the cost (i.e., the benefit) of the best alternative foregone due to a
particular course of action.
(ii) Shadow Prices: The prices of inputs and outputs of the project should be suitably corrected
to reflect the real cost, if the market prices are characterized by distortions of any type.
Shadow price, also known as accounting price, refers to such adjusted price of the
input/output so as to reflect its real cost or value. Thus a project should be updated for
evaluation through the use of shadow prices.
In addition to the above aspects socio-economic feasibility evaluation, a number of factors such as,
generation of employment, income distribution, self-reliance, development of small scale and
ancillary industries, development of infrastructure, improvement of quality of human life and so on
should be considered.
1. Contribution of projects towards savings by the nation, which is recycled in the form of
fresh investment to increase national income.
2. Creation of merit goods or services like parks, public entertainment places, roads and
highways, educational institutions etc.
3. Developing countries usually go for effective resources allocation and capital investment.
4. Development of infrastructure facilities needs SCBA rather than commercial profitability.
5. Impact of project on production of goods and services that is contribution to GDP and for
sustainable economic growth.
6. Impacts of the projects on redistribution of income should be examined.
7. International competition in international trade, globalization of business and formation
of regional trade blocs can only be taken care of with the help of SCBA
8. Impacts on poverty alleviation by creating employment as well as self-employment.
9. Impact on aggregate consumption.
10. Projects lead to enhancement of standard of living of the people.
11. Regional socioeconomic development
12. Exploration of hitherto unexplored mineral and natural resources.
13. Ensure a balance growth of agriculture and industries
14. Effects on macro management.
15. Effects manpower or human resources development.
16. Insure total quality management along with self-reliance in the economy.
17. Effects on trade deficit and adverse balance of payments.
In sum, the following issues should be analyzed in the social context of a project:
a. Social
- Individual well-being
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- Social interactions
- Community well being
b. Social impact
- Culture and lifestyle
- Demography
c. Political impact
- Equity
- Social justice
- Political organization
d. Institutional resistance
- Legal constraints
- Stability of political support
F. Environmental Analysis:
Environmental and ecological analysis should be done particularly for the projects which have
significant impact on natural environment and ecological implications (polluting industries like-
bulk drugs, chemicals and lather processing). Two key points need to be considered are:
b. Ecological
- Species and population
- Habitats and communities
- Ecosystem
c. Aesthetics (beautification)
- Land
- Air
- Water
- Biota
- Man made objects
- Overall composition
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Area of study is mostly dependent on the nature of a project. For instance, a project of
‘Development of Computer Software’ has neither impact on environment. Hence, it is not
required to conduct ‘environmental feasibility study’ of this project.
3.4.1 Non-Technical PP: Conventional PPs prepared by the project initiators or organizational
staff may be refereed to as Non-Technical PP. No consultancy is required to prepare such a PP.
A promoter can develop a good non-technical PP based his previous experience, and intuition.
3.4.2 Technical PP: In most of the cases, a technical PP is prepared by the experts. There are a
number of consultancy firms established in the society to conduct feasibility study, and to
prepare technical PPs. A professionally developed consultancy organization can prepare a good
technical PP. A complete technical PP must cover eight study areas like a feasibility analysis
(discussed earlier). But a feasibility study must not be treated as a project proposal. A feasibility
report is considered as a pre-requisite of a technical project PP. A technical PP must consider
investment decision-making tools. Two categories of investment decision-making tools are
widely used in Bangladesh. These are: (a) Conventional – Payback Period and Ratio Analysis;
(b) Modern – NPV and IRR.
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Qualifies objectivity, provides a measurable benchmarks for comparing forecast with
actual result
Identifies critical risks and crucial events with a discussion of contingency plans that
provide opportunity for project’s success.
May help management to avoid the project doom to failure.
a. Project summary
(Basic information of the project at a glance)
- Name of the project
- Location
- Status
- Authorized & paid capital
- Debt equity ratio / equity partners
- Basic product
- Production capacity
- Total project cost
- Total fixed cost
- Cost of imported machineries
- Cost of local machineries
- Total manpower required
- NPV & IRR of the project
- Scheduling / Gestation period
c. Operational Plan
- Overview of the products / services
- Facilities
- Production / manufacturing process
- Research and development
- Human resource plan
- Scheduling of the project
d. Market Analysis
- Potential customers
- Size and growth of market
- Competitor analysis
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- SWOT analysis
- Risk analysis (unforeseeable barriers)
e. Marketing plan
- Sales and marketing
- Distribution plan
- Advertising / product promotion
- Customer service
f. Financial plan
- Assumptions
- Break Even Analysis
- Calculation of IRR & NPV
- Projected Cash Flow Statements
- Projected Balance Sheet
- Sensitivity analysis
______________________________________________________________________________
COURSE TEACHER:
Manjurul Alam Mazumder
Assistant Professor, DBA, IIUC
01816054012, [email protected].
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