Lecture - Eurodollar Market
Lecture - Eurodollar Market
➢ What is it?
➢ A loan market for US$ denominated borrowing and lending
(US$ CD deposits are received and US$ denominated loans
extended) based outside the United States.
➢ This is a larger interest rate market than the US Treasury
market.
➢ Eurodollars can be invested with various investment horizons, at the
USD denominated London-Interbank-Offer-Rate (LIBOR).
➢ Where is it based?
➢ It is based primarily in London, but also in the Cayman Islands,
Tokyo, and Hong Kong.
➢ Similar offshore markets exist for other currencies, e.g., the
pound, yen, etc.
How Do Balances Get Created?
An Example
➢ Suppose General Electric receives $1,000,000 from the
sale of a transformer and deposits the money in a
checking account at JP Morgan Chase in New York.
➢ It might then purchase a 6-month $1,000,000 Eurodollar
CD from HSBC in London where it remains as a dollar
deposit (not exchanged into an equivalent amount of
pounds).
➢ This money, aside from any reserve requirement HSBC
may wish to impose on itself, can then be loaned out to
firms who wish to take out dollar-denominated loans.
➢ This entire system of taking dollar deposits in London
and lending them primarily from London is referred to as
the Eurodollar market.
Eurodollar Market: Relative Size and
Importance of US Residents
5
Incentives for Banks and Depositors to
Keep Money Outside the US
➢ Since these are dollar deposits the Bank of England monetary
authority has no power to regulate them.
➢ There is no required FDIC insurance premium to be paid on
aggregate time deposits (these are mostly CDs; in the U.S. this
insurance costs 12 cents per $100 time deposit)
➢ There is no reserve requirement on Time Deposits (in the U.S.
5% of CD deposits must be held back as reserves at the FED in a
non-interest bearing account).
➢ No state and local taxes to be paid. It may also be that until
profits are remitted to the US, no federal income tax is imposed
on them.
➢ With these cost reductions, the London based banks operating in
the Eurodollar market can offer higher deposit rates, but they
have to as Eurodollar deposits are not guaranteed.
Incentives for Borrowers to Keep Money
Outside the US
➢ With low regulation, many banks participate in this market
with the result that it is highly competitive.
➢ As a result loan agreements can be executed very quickly, and
the competition results in relatively low lending margins
(borrowing costs).
➢ In addition, the amount of capital available is enormous
allowing very large loans to be syndicated easily and quickly.
The Nature of the Loans Made in the
Eurodollar Market
➢ Eurodollar loans are exclusively floating rate loans, with an
interest rate reset period of at most 6 months.
➢ Loans in this market are generally extended only to first tier
industrial firms and financial institutions.
➢ Because of the floating rate feature, the duration of the loans,
which are the assets of the banks, is at most 0.5 year.
Consequently, the borrower bears all associated interest rate
risk.
➢ Eurodollar credit markets offer the full range of loan types
➢ Euro-commercial paper loans (short term Eurodollar notes
issued by firms which come due in less that 365 days)
➢ Stand-by Credit Facilities (this is a commitment to lend a
specific amount at the borrower’s request at any time over a
pre-specified period)
➢ Eurodollar loans (long term floating rate loans from one to 30
or more years).
LIBOR is the Benchmark Rate for the
Eurodollar Market (until 2021)
➢ LIBOR (the London Interbank Offer Rate) is the rate at
which large banks in the Eurodollar market extend loans to
one another. It is a rate for which the borrowing bank may
default (one of these banks could conceivably fail and not
discharge is loan commitments to another bank. This
possibility is no longer remote).
e
rLIBOR
e
rFF
DBanks
Eurodollars
DFF
11
How is the Libor Rate Generated?
➢ Only a few of the banks are US based ones; most are European
based and there is some concern that it gives European banks
too much influence over rate setting in the United States.
13
LIBOR After Financial Crisis
Libor spiked as
5% banks began to see
risks in lending to
4 one another.
3
2.34%
2
0
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
TED Spread January 2006-June 2008
1.8
1.6
1.4
1.2
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
9/30/05 12/14/05 2/27/06 5/13/06 7/27/06 10/10/06 12/24/06 3/9/07 5/23/07 8/6/07 10/20/07 1/3/08 3/18/08 6/1/08
6 mo. LIBOR
rate 0.02 0.025 0.031 0.033
Loan rate
0.025 0.03 0.036 0.038
End of Period
Payment by 2.5 M 3M 3.6 M 3.8 M
Borrower (payments are made at end of the period)
How Do Borrowers Hedge Their
Interest Rate Risk?
▪ Eurodollar futures and forward contracts represent available
tools for this purpose.
▪ What if a borrower wishes to remove this risk on a regular
basis?
– A swap contract accomplishes this.
Hedging with Eurodollar Futures: An
Introduction
➢ How to use Eurodollar futures contracts as a hedging
instrument for bond portfolio insurance?
Expiration
Date
Price
ED Futures Data from CME
Prior
Month Options Charts Last Change Settle Open High Low Volume Updated
16:39:21
Show
OCT OCT CT
Price 97.9375 +0.015 97.9225 97.925 97.94 97.9225 41,421
2019 2019 27 Sep
Chart
2019
16:39:22
Show
NOV NOV CT
Price 98.00 +0.005 97.995 97.995 98.01 97.985 23,284
2019 2019 27 Sep
Chart
2019
16:39:22
Show
DEC DEC CT
Price 98.03 +0.01 98.02 98.015 98.045 98.005 216,502
2019 2019 27 Sep
Chart
2019
16:39:22
Show
JAN JAN CT
Price 98.16 +0.01 98.15 98.14 98.165 98.14 2,136
2020 2020 27 Sep
Chart
201
How to interpret the Eurodollar FP (futures
price), and how the contract works
➢ Suppose we transacted one January 2020 ED futures contract
at a current FP = 98.16 (futures price) on September 28, 2019
September 28, 2019 T = January 2020 April 2020
𝒕=𝟎 𝑻 + 𝟎. 𝟐𝟓
Transacted a contract Expiration Date
Underlying
at 𝐹𝑃 = 98.16
LIBOR
𝒇𝑳𝑰𝑩𝑶𝑹
𝟎.𝟐𝟓 = 𝟎. 𝟎𝟏𝟖𝟒 Forward
Rate
➢ We interpret 98.16 as identifying the (annualized!) forward 3
month LIBOR rate relative to January 2020 as being
100 − 98.16 = 1.84% 𝑜𝑟 0.0184
➢ The contract amount is $1,000,000 for 3 months.
Eurodollar Futures: LIBOR Drops
➢ Suppose you signed (went long) in a futures contract when FP
= 98.16, and during the life of the contract, the FP rises to 99
(forward LIBOR falls to 1%); then:
Long Position Receives Short Position Receives
𝟗𝟗 − 𝟗𝟖. 𝟏𝟔 𝟗𝟗 − 𝟗𝟖. 𝟏𝟔
𝟏, 𝟎𝟎𝟎, 𝟎𝟎𝟎 × × 𝟎. 𝟐𝟓 −𝟏, 𝟎𝟎𝟎, 𝟎𝟎𝟎 × × 𝟎. 𝟐𝟓
𝟏𝟎𝟎 𝟏𝟎𝟎
= $𝟐, 𝟏𝟎𝟎 = −$𝟐, 𝟏𝟎𝟎
4 months 3 months
Example 1: Hedging Interest Expenses
with Eurodollar Futures
➢ You would like to lock in this rate so that you will know what
your future loan cost will be. If 5.14% can be locked in, your
cost will be:
0.0514 × 0.25 × 10,000,000 =$128,500
Gain on
Short Futures
Questions about Example 1
➢Manipulation included:
➢Reporting low rates to make
banks look stronger
➢Reporting false rates to profit
on LIBOR-based financial
products.
Source: A. Schrimpf and V. Sushko, “Beyond LIBOR: a primer on the new reference
rates,” (2019), BIS publication.
Conclusions
➢ https://www.wsj.com/articles/companies-give-investors-a-
peek-at-life-after-libor-11551528000
➢ https://www.nytimes.com/2018/07/19/business/libor-future-
2021-phase-out.html
➢ https://www.bis.org/publ/qtrpdf/r_qt1206f.pdf