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CIVL-365 Tutorial 8 Solution

This document contains solutions to three questions from a tutorial. Question 1 involves calculating utilities and choice probabilities for different transportation modes using a multinomial logit model. Question 2 involves calculating trip distributions between origin-destination zones by auto and transit using the logit model. Question 3 involves modifying utilities to account for weather and recalculating mode choice probabilities.

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60 views

CIVL-365 Tutorial 8 Solution

This document contains solutions to three questions from a tutorial. Question 1 involves calculating utilities and choice probabilities for different transportation modes using a multinomial logit model. Question 2 involves calculating trip distributions between origin-destination zones by auto and transit using the logit model. Question 3 involves modifying utilities to account for weather and recalculating mode choice probabilities.

Uploaded by

Ivs
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
Available Formats
Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Tutorial #8 Solution

Question 1:
(a)

V auto =−0.075∗( 6 )−0.05∗( 1 ) −0.04∗( 25 )−0.002∗( 300 )=−2.1

V bus =−0.075∗( 10 )−0.05∗( 15 ) −0.04∗( 40 )−0.002∗( 60 )=−3.22

V rail =−0.075∗( 7 )−0.05∗( 10 )−0.04∗( 30 )−0.002∗( 75 )=−2.375

V bike =−0.075∗( 1 )−0.05∗( 0 )−0.04∗( 60 )−0.002∗( 0 )=−2.475

exp ⁡(V auto ) exp ⁡(−2.1) 0.122


Pauto = = =
exp ( V auto ) +exp ( V bus ) +exp ( V rail ) +exp ( V bike ) exp (−2.1 ) +exp (−3.22 ) +exp (−2.375 )+ exp (−2.475 ) 0.240

exp ⁡(−3.22)
Pbus = =0.12
0.340
exp ⁡(−2.375)
Prail = =0.27
0.340
exp ⁡(−2.475)
Pbus = =0.25
0.340

(b)

V bike =−0.075∗( 1 )−0.05∗( 0 )−0.04∗( 40 ) −0.002∗( 0 )=−1.675

exp ⁡(−2.1) 0.122


Pauto = = =0.28
exp (−2.1 )+ exp (−3.22 )+ exp (−2.375 ) +exp (−1.675 ) 0.443
exp ⁡(−3.22)
Pbus = =0.09
0.443
exp ⁡(−2.375)
Prail = =0.21
0.443
exp ⁡(−2.475)
Pbus = =0.42
0.443
(c)

Access time, waiting time, riding time and out-of-pocket travel cost have negative effects on utilities.
This is realistic because trip makers are less likely to choose the mode with longer cess time, waiting
time and riding time and higher out-of-pocket travel cost.

Question 2:
From zone 1 to zone 1:

V a =1.2−0.06 ( t 11 )a =1.2−0.06 ( 2.4 )=1.056

V t =−0.06 ( t 11 )t =1.2−0.06 ( 8.1 )=0.54

exp ⁡(1.056)
P a= =0.824
exp 1.056 ) +exp ( 0.54 )
(
Pt =1−Pa =0.176

( t 11 )a =T 11 . Pa=2120 ( 0.824 )=1746 persontrips


( t 11 )t =T 11 . Pt =2120 ( 0.176 )=374 person trips
Repeat the calculation for the other O-D zone pairs

O-D trip by auto (person trips)


Destination Zone
Origin Zone 1 2 3
1 1746 203 1525
2 229 3991 2667
3 191 296 1047

O-D trip by transit (person trips)


Destination Zone
Origin Zone 1 2 3
1 374 30 306
2 34 834 560
3 38 62 246

Question 3:
(a)

V walk =2.9−0.5 ( 15 )=−4.6

V bike =−0.5 ( 6 ) +c ( 0)=−3

exp ⁡(V bike ) exp ⁡(−3) 0.04979


Pbike = = = =0.83
exp ( V walk ) +exp ( V bike ) exp (−4.6 ) +exp (−3 ) 0.01+0.04979

(b)

In bad weather, Pbike =Pwalk =0.5 → V bike=V walk

V bike =−0.5 ( 6 ) +c ( 1 )=−3+ c

SinceV bike =V walk →−3+c =−4.6 → c=−1.6

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