1.chapter 1 Introduction
1.chapter 1 Introduction
average load
LoadFactor (less than unity)
maximum (peak) load
Load Forecasting
1. Load Forecasting- Power plant planning and construction
require a gestation period of four to eight years or even
longer for the present day super power stations.
Therefore, energy and load demand forecasting plays a
crucial role in power system studies.
2. Yearly forecasts are based on previous year's loading
updated by factors such as general load increase, major
loads and weather trends.
3. In short-term load forecasting, hour-by-hour predictions
are made for the particular day under consideration.
4. A minor forecast error on low side might necessitate the
use of inefficient, oil fired turbine generators or “peaking
units” which are quite costly.
Load Forecasting
5. On the other hand, a high side forecast error would keep
excessive generation in hot reserve.
6. Wind and Solar power plants are being integrated in
existing power system and that penetration is increasing
day by day. As power from those sources intermittent in
nature, the forecasting becomes essential.
7. Accurate forecasting of not only load, the power
generation from wind and solar are also becomes
essential.
Structure of Power Systems
• For economical and technological reasons individual power
systems are organized in form of electrically connected areas or
regional grids.
• The grids were the Northern, Eastern, Western, North Eastern and
Southern Grids. These regional links were established to enable
transmission of surplus electricity between States in each region.
• Each area or regional grid operates technically and economically
independently, but these are interconnected to form national grid.
• Interconnection has economic advantage of reducing the reserve
generation capacity in each area. Under conditions of sudden
increase in load or loss of generation in one area, it is immediately
possible to borrow power from adjoining interconnected areas.
• India has interconnections to neighboring countries as well.
Presently, India imports/exports electricity from Bhutan, Nepal,
Bangladesh, Myanmar and Sri Lanka. India is also thinking for large
International Grid.
Effects of interconnection
• Interconnection causes larger currents to flow on
transmission lines under faulty condition with a
consequent increase in capacity of circuit breaker.
• The synchronous machines in all interconnected areas
must operate stably and in a synchronized manner.
• It provides capacity savings by seasonal exchange of power
between areas having opposing winter and summer
requirements.
• It facilitates transmission of off-peak power.
Indian power system structure-
• Electrical power is generated at a voltage of 11 to 25 kV which
then is stepped up to the transmission levels in the range of 66
to 765 kV .
• As the transmission capability of a line is proportional to the
square of its voltage, research is being carried out to raise
transmission voltages.
Fig 1.2 (a): schematic diagram depicting power system structure
Fig 1.2(b): schematic diagram depicting power system structure
Transmission System
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Types of energy sources
1. Conventional energy sources
• Thermal Power Stations-Steam
• Gas-based power plants
• Hydroelectric power generation
• Nuclear Power Stations
• Geothermal Power Plants
DC-DC DC to AC Loads
Converter Converter 1ph, 3ph
Control Control
Unit Unit
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Power Electronic Converters
You know about Diodes
+ -
i
Diode
v
This is the example of rectifier
circuit which converts AC into
DC
v
t
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Power Electronic Converters
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Wind Generators
21
Wind Generators without Gear Box
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Generation Capacity Status in India
[45399.22]
(12%)
[36089.12]
[29409.25]
Wind Solar
Biomass Small Hydro
Govt. of India has target to achieve Solar power of 1 lac MW by 2022.
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Growth of power system in India
Deregulation-