Ieee Risk Assessment
Ieee Risk Assessment
Abstract—The minimum phase-to-ground fault current re- some limitations [5]. Meanwhile, many ordinary zero overcur-
quired to be sensed by protection systems in medium-voltage rent relays, either directional or nondirectional, are in the field.
(MV) networks can be as low as 0.7 A in a few countries, leading Utilities make different assessments about the safety risk of
to a lot of undesired relay trips and poor service quality to cos-
tumers. However, these settings raise the protection threshold high-resistance ground faults, but they all are pressed to pro-
above the minimum fault current that concerns network operators vide the best possible service, which brings necessary com-
regarding human safety, although they cannot be practiced when promises between protection sensitivity and security [6]. While
grounding is distributed. The purpose of this paper is to present a some utilities are comfortable with settings of 10% of rated cur-
risk assessment foundation to determine the required protection rent and above for ground fault protection in distribution net-
sensitivity to ensure human safety in MV distribution networks.
The proposed approach is based on a biophysical model included works, others have a tradition of more sensitive protection. In
in IEC standards, the consideration of current paths models for Europe, where there is no neutral conductor in MV feeders and
typical faults and Monte Carlo methods to deal with nonlinearity, sensitive ground relaying is common, a number of Distribution
and the many involved random variables. Downed conductors utilities require the detection and elimination of ground faults
and line-to-concrete pole faults are investigated and sensitivity with as low as 1 A [7] and even less [8]. To cope with non-
analysis performed to highlight some important determinants of
the results. transposed lines asymmetry and charging current unbalances,
which also produce nonfault zero currents, this high sensitivity
Index Terms—Monte Carlo methods, overcurrent protection,
was traditionally the role of a relay dealing with the current
safety.
of the substation grounding connection, which is nonselective
by nature. Zero overcurrent relays in feeders were set above
I. INTRODUCTION 5–7.5 A to avoid tripping with nonfault zero currents [8], and
the relay at the substation grounding connection was set to 1
A or less and timed to 2 to 3 min. Usually, this last relay trig-
H IGH resistance phase-to-ground faults are dangerous
events, because they can be very hard to detect. Of these
faults, downed conductors have motivated a lot of investigation
gers an automatism, which works by sequentially disconnecting
the feeders until the relay resets and the faulted feeder is found.
[1]. Don Russell and his team [2] developed a very detailed re- For insulated grounding systems, a zero overvoltage relay at the
search to find that a number of detection methods were efficient substation bus is used instead. However, excessive use of this
but also that it could be most difficult to discriminate a fault practice led to many consumer complaints and with time, new
situation from “normal” electrical events on the distribution protection approaches have been developed which are more se-
feeders. As those authors noted, if an algorithm regularly iden- lective [9].
tifies normal system activity as a “fault,” it is virtually useless Anyway, many utilities around the world still face a dilemma
in practical relay applications. between guaranteeing sensitive ground faults relaying and
On the other hand, in overhead line networks, faults with avoiding power-quality (PQ) complaints, especially for feeders
very high resistance can appear due to trees leaning against a which are disconnected too often. Although the quest for sen-
conductor, for instance. VTT researchers in Finland have devel- sitive and yet secure ground fault protection keeps deserving
oped a very sensitive algorithm [3] capable of coping with these a lot of research, to these authors’ knowledge, a quantitative
evaluation of how dangerous a high resistance ground fault can
faults, but field monitoring has shown that a number of nonfault
events could also produce the voltage disturbances upon which really for human life in MV distribution networks was never
the authors’ methods were based. published. Exceptions exist only in some particular industries
Some of the aforementioned protection methods have been where risk conditions are well characterized, as in coal mines
[10].
refined and are now suitable for the processing power of modern
microprocessor-based protective relays [4], but they all present At this point, we should stress that a direct contact between a
person and an ungrounded live part of an MV power system will
probably lead to the appearance of an arc flash or to tissue elec-
Manuscript received December 18, 2009; revised May 23, 2010; accepted
troporation [11]. In either case, it is unlikely that a person will
June 14, 2010. Paper no. TPWRD-00944-2009. survive without severe injuries. Electroporation occurs in just
J. L. Pinto de Sá is with the Instituto Superior Técnico, CIEEE, Lisbon 1049- 5–40 ms and, therefore, it is impossible for a relaying system
001, Portugal (e-mail: [email protected]). to prevent its consequences to the victim [12]. However, it is
M. Louro is with EDP Distribuição, Lisbon 1050-044, Portugal (e-mail:
[email protected]). possible to minimize the amount of energy transmitted to an arc
Digital Object Identifier 10.1109/TPWRD.2010.2053564 flash by means of fast tripping [13]. Anyway, for arc flash and
0885-8977/$26.00 © 2010 IEEE
This article has been accepted for inclusion in a future issue of this journal. Content is final as presented, with the exception of pagination.
PINTO DE SÁ AND LOURO: ON HUMAN LIFE RISK-ASSESSMENT AND SENSITIVE GROUND FAULT PROTECTION 3
Fig. 3. Step voltage in case there is foot contact with a downed conductor. Fig. 5. Electrical equivalent of step voltage near a downed conductor.
(5)
Fig. 4. Step voltage in case there is foot contact with a downed conductor (pro-
file view).
(6)
The ground potential rise (GPR) from the downed conductor where
is obtained by
radius of the conductor;
(2)
2L buried horizontal wire length (a portion of );
where s/2 depth of burial.
length of the downed conductor in contact In this formula, all of the variables are to be defined. It has
with the soil; been found that for a particular point of a downed conductor,
the fault current to soil tends to be random in magnitude be-
grounding resistance of the downed cause of varying contact effects of grass, roots, bushing, and
conductor; rocks that cause intermittent ground contact paths of variable
short-circuit current to ground. impedance. Arcing disturbs the ground path by rapid heating,
drying, and expansion of soil, charring of glass and the melting
The voltage applied to a person stepping on the downed con- of sand into glass, in a complex and dynamic way. However, at
ductor can be determined by the following equation (refer to least for conductors lying on soil for a few yards (or meters), it
Fig. 4): appears that experience confirms the findings in [21] in which
the arcing from the conductor to the ground is seen as equivalent
(3)
to a flat plate. This arcing contact is modeled in (6) by a depth
where of burial.
Substituting (5) in (4), the following equation is obtained:
step voltage (in relative value of GPR);
(7)
step length.
The step voltage can also be obtained from Fig. 5 and ex- For the case represented in Fig. 5, (8) can be derived by re-
pressed by placing (7) in (3)
(4) (8)
PINTO DE SÁ AND LOURO: ON HUMAN LIFE RISK-ASSESSMENT AND SENSITIVE GROUND FAULT PROTECTION 5
TABLE I
SHOE PROPERTIES AND PROBABILITY OF OCCURRENCE
Fig. 10. Fault current for 0.5% probability of heart fibrillation when stepping
4
on a downed conductor: —with random shoes, —barefooted.
(13)
Arm Length : The IEEE [19] states that for project pur-
Fig. 11. Fault currents versus probability of a fall when stepping a downed
poses, an arm length of 0.8 m must be used, but this is too pes-
simistic for average real conditions. Therefore and in order to
4
conductor. —with random shoes, — barefooted, X- with only one type of
shoes (dry new black rubber).
obtain a realistic assessment of the arm length, a uniform distri-
bution probability between zero and 0.8 m is proposed.
Touch Voltage : The touch voltage (obtained from A. Case for Downed Conductors
[27]), which depends on the arm length, is represented in Fig. 9.
A first investigation was done for the fibrillation risk when
Heart Factor : The heart factor depends on the point stepping on the downed conductor. Fig. 10 shows the achieved
of entry of the electric current in the human body. If this point results.
is the left hand, then the factor is 1, but if it is the right hand, the Perhaps surprisingly, the fault currents causing immediate
heart factor is 0.8 [15]. We have assumed a probability for the fibrillation are quite large, even for barefooted people. It must
point of entry being the right hand and equal to that of the left be reminded that this is not the current through the person, but
hand (50%). the fault current from the conductor to ground, for a 0.5% prob-
ability of fibrillation with random variability of all the parame-
ters. For a typical step time of 2/3 of a second, more than 100 A
V. RISK ANALYSIS THROUGH MONTE CARLO METHODS are needed even for barefooted people. One of the reasons for
this is that the current that passes through the heart in case of
Monte Carlo methods work by repeated random sampling to the current entering one foot and leaving the other is only 4% of
compute results. With readily available inexpensive personal the total body current [15].
computers and powerful software, such as MATLAB, Monte Unfortunately, the current threshold that makes the leg mus-
Carlo methods are an easy approach to estimate risk for the situ- cles stop to respond to voluntary actions and causes knee flexing
ations under study, particularly considering the large amount of and loss of balance is much smaller [18]. Once a person falls,
random variables and the nonlinear behavior of the shoes. For there is a large chance that the fall will be on the conductor, and
example, for computing equations (8) and (12), the method was that is why this hazard is what must be considered for stepping
applied as follows. downed conductors.
1) In the Monte Carlo simulation, random numbers that Fig. 11 shows how the falling risk grows with the fault cur-
follow the presented random variables probability distri- rent. Since muscle contraction has nothing to do with the cardiac
bution were generated. cycle, now the contact time is irrelevant.
2) Five million random data were calculated for each random Even a fault current of 1 A can make 1% of the peopl fall,
variable (using each random variable probabilistic dis- and 5% of them if barefooted. The risk of falling for people with
tribution functions) by using MATLAB, followed by the dry new black rubber shoes is equal to the average shoes up to
final equations calculation for that amount of data. Finally, 10 A, but above this current, there are other shoes, with larger
the five million results for the equations were sorted resistances, which increase the amps required to cause a fall.
and the thresholds verifying particular probabilities were Fig. 12 illustrates the importance of the soil resistivity and the
determined. length of the conductor making contact with the ground, for the
This article has been accepted for inclusion in a future issue of this journal. Content is final as presented, with the exception of pagination.
PINTO DE SÁ AND LOURO: ON HUMAN LIFE RISK-ASSESSMENT AND SENSITIVE GROUND FAULT PROTECTION 7
Fig. 12. Fault currents versus fall probability when stepping a downed con-
4
ductor. —for a short portion of the conductor on the ground (5 m); X- for
very resistive soil (5 ); - all random (reference); —for low resistivity soil
( =5); 5—for a long portion of the conductor on the ground (95 m).
Fig. 14. Time to heart fibrillation versus fault current for: different probabili-
ties. From left to right—0.5%, 2.5%, 5%, and 25%.
Fig. 13. Fault currents versus heart fibrillation probability for touching a
downed conductor. —falling on it, with chest making contact, 4—with the
hand, standing 1.5 m from the point the conductor touches the ground.
PINTO DE SÁ AND LOURO: ON HUMAN LIFE RISK-ASSESSMENT AND SENSITIVE GROUND FAULT PROTECTION 9
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