Chapter Contents PG - NO. 1 3
Chapter Contents PG - NO. 1 3
1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 3
OBJECTIVE OF THE STUDY
2 REVIEW OF LITERATURE 4
3 INTRODUCTION (DERIVATIVE) 5
Definition 6
Types
4 FORWARD MARKET 8
Why Forward Contract 9
Terminology 9
Features 10
Risk In Forward 10
Otc Trading 10
Advantages 11
Disadvantages 11
Limitation 11
5 FUTURE MARKET 12
Meaning 12
Terminology 13
Mechanism Of Trading In Futures 13
Parties In The Future Contract 14-15
Margin Requirement 16
Advantages 16
Disadvantages 17-18
Characteristics 19
Major Player 19+
Types 20
8 SUMMARY 27
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9 References 28
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
In recent time derivative gain a attraction of many investors like future, forward Derivatives
are risk management instruments, which derive their value from an underlying asset. The
following are three broad categories of participants in the derivatives market Hedgers,
Speculators and Arbitragers.
In recent times, the Derivative markets have gained importance in terms of their important
role in the economy. The increasing investments in stocks have attracted my interest in this
area. Numerous studies on the effects of futures, forward listing on the underlying cash
market volatility have been done in the developed markets. The derivative market is newly
started in India and it is not known by every investor, so SEBI has to take steps to create
awareness among the investors about the derivative segment.
In cash market, the profit/loss of the investor depends on the market price of the underlying
asset. The investor may incur huge profit or he may incur huge loss. But in derivatives
segment the investor enjoys huge profits with limited downside. Derivatives are mostly used
for hedging purpose
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REVIEW OF LITERATURE
Review of literature is body of knowledge that aim to review the important aspects of current
and previous knowledge
Derivatives, as explained are financial contracts, which “value depends on the values
of one or more underlying assets or indexes” (Adams and Runkle, 2000)
McClintock, 1996 notes that derivatives are widely perceived as financial instruments
that have led to financial losses or failures of firms. Moreover, he states that it is
believed that their (derivatives) market has brought increased international financial
fragility to the global economy.
Factors according to Brenner (2002) was profoundly felt. This increased need for
controls such as regulation, risk management and audits, has been noted in literature
as being the main reason for the increased global use of derivatives (Brenner, 2002)
derives its value from some other underlying asset or underlying reference price,
Futures contracts differ in that they are standardised and must be traded on an
organised exchange, providing a central location where buyers and sellers of
standardised contracts trade (General Accounting Office Report, 1994). Thus, it is
easier for a trader to close out a futures position than a forward position (Eatwell,
Milgate, and Newman, 1998).
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INTRODUCTION
Derivatives are one of the most complex instruments. The word derivative
Comes from the word „to derive‟.
It indicates that it has no independent value. A derivative is a contract whose value
is derived from the value of another asset, known as the underlying asset,
which could be a share, a stock market index, an interest rate, a commodity,
or a currency.
The underlying is the identification tag for a derivative contract. When the price of the
underlying changes, the value of the derivative also changes. Without an
underlying asset, derivatives do not have any meaning.
For example, the value of a gold futures contract derives from the value of the
underlying asset i.e., gold.
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DEFINITION OF DERIVATIVES
Derivative is a product whose value is derived from the value of one or more
basic variables, called bases (underlying asset, index, or reference rate), in a
contractual manner. The underlying asset can be equity, forex, commodity or any other asset.
Derivatives are securities under the Securities Contract (Regulation) Act and
hence the trading of derivatives is governed by the regulatory framework under the Securities
Contract (Regulation) Act.
TYPES OF DERIVATIVES
There are mainly four types of derivatives i.e. Forwards, Futures, Options and swaps.
DERIVATIVES
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PRODUCTS IN DERIVATIVE MARKET
Forwards
It is a contractual agreement between two parties to buy/sell an underlying asset at a
certain future date for a particular price that is pre decided on the date of contract.
Both the
contracting parties are committed and are obliged to honour the transaction irrespectiv
e of price of theunderlying asset at the time of delivery. Since forwards are negotiated
between two parties, the terms and conditions of contracts are customized. These are
over the counter (OTC) contracts.
Futures
A futures contract is similar to a forward, except that the deal is made through an
organized and regulated exchange rather than being negotiated directly between two
parties. Indeed, we may say futures are exchange traded forward contracts.
Options
An Option is a contract that gives the right, but not an obligation, to buy or sell the
underlying on or before a stated date and at a stated price. While buyer of option pays
the premium
and buys the right, writer/seller of option receives the premium with obligation to sell/
buy theunderlying asset, if the buyer exercises his right.
Swaps
A swap is an agreement made between two parties to exchange cash flows in the
future according to a prearranged formula. Swaps are, broadly speaking, series of
forward contracts. Swaps help market participants manage risk associated with
volatile interest rates, currency exchange rates and commodity prices.
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FORWARD CONTRACT
A forward contract is a customized contract between two parties to buy or sell an asset at a
specified price on a future date. A forward contract can be used for hedging or speculation,
KEY POINTS
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WHY FORWARD CONTRACT
TERMINLOGY
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FEATURES OF FORWARD CONTRACT
They are bilateral negotiated contract between two parties and hence exposed to
counter party risk.
Each contract is custom designed and hence is unique in terms of contract size,
expiration date, and the asset type, quality etc.
A contract has to be settled in delivery or cash on expiry date.
The contract price is generally not available in the public domain.
If the party wishes to reverse the contract, it has to compulsory go to the same
counter-party, which often results in high prices being charged.
• Credit Risk
– Does the other party have the means to pay?
• Operational Risk
– Will the other party make delivery?
– Will the other party accept delivery?
• Liquidity Risk
– Incase either party wants to opt out of the contract, how to find another
counter party?
• In general, the reason for which a stock is traded over-the-counter is usually because
the company is small, making it unable to meet exchange listing requirements.
• Also known as "unlisted stock", these securities are traded by broker-dealers who
negotiate directly with one another over computer networks and by phone.
• OTC stocks are generally unlisted stocks which trade on the Over the Counter
Bulletin Board (OTCBB)
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ADVANTAGES
• No upfront fees
• No risk due to currency fluctuations completely eliminated
• Forward are over the counter OTC products
• Forward offers a complete hedge
• The use of forward provide complete price protection
• They are easy to understand
• Buy now, pay later
• Lock in the current exchange rate for a future purchase/receipt
• Hedge your exposure and reduce your risk
• Inexpensive to maintain
DISADVANTAGES
• It requires tying up capital. there are no intermediate cash flow before settlement
• It is subject to default risk
• Contract may be difficult to cancel
• There may be difficult find counter party
• The basic problem in the first two is that they have too much flexibility and generality
• Counterparty risk arises from the possibility of default by any one party to the transaction.
• When one of the two sides to the transaction declares bankruptcy, the other suffers
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FUTURES CONTRACT
Unlike forwards contracts, Futures are standardized contracts traded on exchanges through a
clearing house and avoids counter party risk through margin money and much more.
Futures contracts are special types of forward contracts in the sense that the former are
standardised exchange-traded contracts
The counter party to a futures is a clearing house on the appropriate futures exchange
Today‟s futures market is a global marketplace for not only agricultural goods but also for
currencies and financial instruments such as treasury bonds and securities. It is a diverse
meeting place of formers, exporters, importers, manufacturers and speculators
A futures contract is a standardized agreement between the seller (short position)of the
contract and the buyer ( long position ), traded on a futures exchange, to buy or sell a certain
underlying instruments at a certain date in future, at a prespecified price.
The future date is called the delivery date or final settlement date. The pre-set price is called
the futures price.
The price of the underlying asset on the delivery date is called the settlement price. (Thus,
futures is a standard contract in which the seller is obligated to deliver a specified asset
(security, commodity or foreign exchange) to the buyer on a specified date in future and the
buyer is obligated to pay the seller the then prevailing futures price upon delivery. Pricing can
be based on an „open outcry system‟, or bids and offers can be matched electronically
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TERMINOLOGY
• Contract size – The amount of the asset that has to be delivered under one contract.
All futures are sold in multiples of lots which is decided by the exchange board. – Eg.
If the lot size of Tata steel is 500 shares, then one futures contract is necessarily 500
shares.
• Contract cycle – The period for which a contract trades. – The futures on the NSE
have one (near) month, two (next) months, three (far) months expiry cycles.
• Expiry date – usually last Thursday of every month or previous day if Thursday is
public holiday.
• Strike price – The agreed price of the deal is called the strike price.
• Cost of carry – Difference between strike price and current price
Spot price-The spot price is the current price in the marketplace at which a given
asset
• Clearing House
Also known as clearing corporation, plays an important role in the trading of futures
contracts. It acts as an intermediary for the parties who trade in futures contracts. It becomes
the seller of the contract for the long position and buyer of the contract for the short position.
• Open Interest
Open interest on the contract is the number of contract outstanding (No. of either long or
short positions). When contracts begin trading, open interest is zero. As time passes, open
interest increases as progressively more contracts are entered. Instead of actually taking or
making delivery of the commodity, virtually all market participants enter reversing trades to
cancel their original positions, then open interest will be considered
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PARTIES IN THE FUTURES CONTRACT
There are two parties in a futures contract, the buyers and the seller. The buyer of the futures
contract is one who is LONG on the futures contract and the seller of the futures contract is
who is SHORT on the futures contract. The pay-off for the buyers and the seller of the futures
of the contracts are as follows:
F = FUTURES PRICE
E 1, E2 = SATTLEMENT PRICE
CASE 1: -
If the futures Price Goes to E1 then the buyer gets the profit of (FP)
CASE 2: -
The buyers get loss when the futures price less then (F);
If The Futures price goes to E2 then the buyer the loss of (FL).
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.
F=FUTURES PRICEE
CASE 1: -
if the future goes toE1 Then the seller gets the profit of (FP).
CASE 2: -
The seller gets loss when the future price goes greater than (F);
If the future price goes to E2 then the seller gets the loss of (FL)
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MARGIN REQUIREMENT
A margin is an amount of money that must be deposited with the clearing house by both buyers and
sellers in a margin account in order to open a futures contract
The futures exchange requires some good faith money from both, to act as a guarantee
that each will abide by the terms of the contract, this is margin.
• Initial Margin
Initial margin is required at the start of a new transaction. For example in NSE they
maintain % as initial margin for the initial transactions. An exchange can change the
required margin anytime. If price volatility increases or if the price of the underlying
commodity rises substantially, the initial margin will be increased usually 10% of
contract size
• Maintenance Margin
The maintenance margin represents the minimum margin which needs to be
maintained by individual margin accounts. It is akin to the minimum balance
prescribed by banks in the case of saving deposit accounts. The maintenance margin
is 75% of initial margin
• Variable Margin
Variable margin is calculated on a daily basis for the purpose of marking-to-market
all outstanding positions at the end of each day. This is to be deposited most often in
cash only. The day‟s closing price is generally used as the basis for the purpose of
marking-to-market.
• Margin call
If amt in the margin A/C falls below the maintenance level, a margin call is made to
fill the gap
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• Marking-to-market (M2M)
This is the practice of periodically adjusting the margin account by adding or
subtracting funds based on changes in market value to reflect the investor‟s gain or
loss. This leads to changes in margin amounts daily This ensures that there are o
defaults by the parties
The process of marking profits or losses that accrue to traders on daily basis is called
M2M. Futures prices may rise or fall everyday. Instead of waiting until the maturity
date for traders to realize all gains and losses, the clearing house requires all positions
to recognize profits as they accrue daily
• High Liquidity
Most of the futures markets offer high liquidity, especially in case of currencies, indexes, and
commonly traded commodities. This allows traders to enter and exit the market when they
wish to.
• Simple Pricing
futures pricing is quite easy to understand. It's usually based on the cost-of-carry model,
under which the futures price is determined by adding the cost of carrying to the spot price of
the asset.
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• Protection against Price Fluctuations
Forward contracts are used as a hedging tool in industries with high level of price
fluctuations. For example, farmers use these contracts to protect themselves against the risk
of drop in crop prices.
• Leverage Issues
High leverage can result in rapid fluctuations of futures prices. The prices can go up
and down daily or even within minutes.
• Expiration Dates
Future contracts involve a certain expiration date. The contracted prices for the given assets
can become less attractive as the expiration date comes nearer. Due to this, sometimes, a
futures contract may even expire as a worthless investment.
• ABC Ltd., a sugar producer, goes long in a contract with a price specified as
rs.5,00,000 per metric tone for 20 metric tones to be delivered in September.
• The long position means COP has a contract to buy the sugarcane. The
payment of Rs.5,00,000 tone
• 20 tones will be made in September when the sugarcane is delivered
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CHARACTERISTICS OF FUTURES CONTRACTS
• Futures are highly standardized contracts that provide for performance of contracts
through either deferred delivery of asset or final cash settlement.
• These contracts trade on organized futures exchanges with a clearing association that
acts as a middleman between the contracting parties.
• Contract seller is called „short‟ and buyer „long‟. Both parties pay margin to the
clearing association. This is used as performance bond by contracting parties
• Margins paid are generally marked to market price everyday
• Each Futures contract has an associated month that represents the month of contract
delivery or final settlement. These contracts are identified with their delivery months
like July-T-Bill, December derivative etc.
• Every futures contract represents a specific quantity. It is not negotiated by the parties
to the contract
MAJOR PLAYERS
o HEDGER
A hedger is someone who faces risk associated with price movement of an asset
and who uses derivatives as means of reducing risk
o SPECULATOR
A trader who enters the futures market for pursuit of profits, accepting risk in the
endeavor.
o ARBITRAGEUR
When price of security is low in one market, they purchases securities & sells the
same in anoccasion of high security price.
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DIFFERENT TYPES OF FUTURES CONTRACTS
Stock futures.
Currency futures.
Index futures.
Commodity futures.
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DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FORWARD AND FUTURE
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DATA ANALYSIS & INTERPRETATION OF FUTURES
ANALYSIS OF WIPRO:
The objective of this analysis is to evaluate the profit/loss position of futures. This analysis
is based on sample data taken of WIPRO scrip. This analysis considered the May 2017
contract of WIPRO. The lot size of WIPRO is 2400, the time period in which this analysis
done is from 01-05-2017 to 25-05-2017
Table-1:
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OBSERVATIONS AND FINDINGS:
If a person buys 1 lot i.e. 2400 futures of WIPRO on 1st May, 2017 and sells on 25th
May,2017 then he will get a Profit of Rs536.45 -Rs493.7 = Rs 42.75 per share. So, he
will get Profit of Rs.102600 i.e., 42.75*2400.
The trading week showed a high and low strike prices or exercising prices for the
WIPRO futures.
There always exist an impact of price movements on open interest and contracts
traded. The futures market is also influenced by cash market, NIFTY index future,
and news
Related to the underlying assed or sector (industry), FII‟S involvement, national and
International affairs etc
The closing price of WIPRO at the end of the contract period is Rs 536.45 and this is
considered as settlement price
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TABLE SHOWING MARK TO MARKET PROFIT & LOSS OF WIPRO
FUTURES
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OBSERVATIONS AND FINDINGS
The future price of WIPRO is moving along with the market price.
If the buy price of the future is less than the settlement price, than the buyer of a
future gets profit.
If the selling price of the future is less than the settlement price, than the seller incurs
losses
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RELATIONSHIP OF FUTURE PRICE WITH SPOT PRICE IF
FUTUREPRICE HIGHER THAN THE CASH PRICE
Here futures price exceeds the cash price which indicates that the cost of carry is negative and
the market under such circumstances is termed as a backwardation market or inverted market.
EXAMPLE: Suppose the RELIANCE share is trading at Rs.400 in the spot market. While
RELIANCEFUTURES are trading at Rs. 406.Thus in this circumstance the normal strategy
followed by investors is buy the RELIANCE in the spot market and sell in the futures. On
expiry, assuming RELIANCE closes at Rs 450; you make Rs.50 by selling the RELIANCE
stock and lose Rs.44 by buying back the futures, which is Rs 6 overall profit in a month.
Thus, Futures prices are generally higher than the cash prices, in an overbought market.
EXAMPLE: now let us assume that the RELIANCE share is trading at Rs.406 in the spot
market. While RELIANCE FUTURES is trading at Rs. 400.Thus in this circumstance the
normal strategy followed by investors is buy the RELIANCE FUTURES and sell the
RELIANCE in the spot market. So at expiry if Reliance closes at Rs 450, the investor will
buy back the stock at a loss of Rs 44 and make Rs 50 the settlement of the futures position.
This is applied when the cost of carry is high
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SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
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REFERENCES
http://www.nseindia.com/
https://www.academia.edu/34842501_
https://www.scribd.com/oauth/authorize
https://in.investing.com/news/
https://virtusinterpress.org/IMG/pdf/10-22495_rgcv5i4art6.pdf
https://keydifferences.com/difference-between-forward-and-futures-contract.html
https://www.slideshare.net/SundarShetty2/forward-and-futures-a-detailed-pPT
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