The document describes two core mean reversion scalping setups - the Retest Variation (RTV) and Retest Concept (RTC). The RTV setup identifies retest patterns that occur immediately after a touch of the 2-minute Bollinger band. It requires a lower close without breaking the lower Bollinger band, followed by a higher close without breaking the band. Once the setup is complete, traders enter on a break above or below the setup bar depending on the direction, with a stop loss placed at the Bollinger band touch point. Several examples of long and short RTV setups are provided.
The document describes two core mean reversion scalping setups - the Retest Variation (RTV) and Retest Concept (RTC). The RTV setup identifies retest patterns that occur immediately after a touch of the 2-minute Bollinger band. It requires a lower close without breaking the lower Bollinger band, followed by a higher close without breaking the band. Once the setup is complete, traders enter on a break above or below the setup bar depending on the direction, with a stop loss placed at the Bollinger band touch point. Several examples of long and short RTV setups are provided.
identify an old and well tested concept in price action, the “retest”
What we are attempting to do is use a set
of rules to identify this situation, where you have price action which indicates it is safer to bet counter-trend. This exact point is where the risk reward ratio of the trade is at it’s best, and therefore the optimal time to enter.
We are using our system design principle of
specificity to try and make sure that our setups behave similarly. To achieve that we are not simply trading all retest patterns that we see, but a subset of retest patterns. We are trading Retest Patterns that happen immediately after a touch of the bollinger band (2,20 standard parameters)
Why? Because reversals are higher
probability after an extreme. Bollinger bands represent an extreme reading, therefore reversal becomes a better trade. We are getting even more specific by requiring that our setups on the 2 minute charts have “confirming evidence” on the 5 minute AND 10 minute charts.
There are 4 separate categories of
“confirming evidence” that we will be covering later in the week. (These are quite complicated). So, let’s not worry about them yet but learn the rules of the first two setups.
There is a separate requirement that a
setup be a good risk reward trade, which we will also cover later (called “high and tight”) Rules of the Retest Variation (RTV) Setup Long
1) Touch of Bollinger band (2,20)
2) Lower close, without breaking Bollinger low (can happen same bar as 1) 3) Higher close, without breaking bollinger low
SETUP COMPLETE
Enter on a break of the nearest half-pip or
full pip below the setup bar high.
Stop loss at nearest half-pip or full-pip
below the bollinger touch low. Example:
Note that once the setup is complete, it is
not entered immediately because the entry trigger is above the setup bar high, which is never reached. In this situation you move the entry trigger to above the next bar high (which is, by definition a better risk-reward entry)
Some examples of long setups
The short setup is identical to the long setup
Rules of the Retest Variation (RTV)
Setup Short 1) Touch of bollinger band (2,20) 2) Lower close, without breaking bollinger high (can happen same bar as 1) 3) Higher close, without breaking bollinger high
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