Chapter Review: X X X X
Chapter Review: X X X X
CHAPTER REVIEW
FORMULA REVIEW
7.1 The Central Limit Theorem for Sample 7.2 The Central Limit Theorem for Sums
Means (Averages)
The Central Limit Theorem for Sums: ∑X ~ N[(n)(μx),( n
¯ )(σx)]
The Central Limit Theorem for Sample Means: X ~ N
⎛ σx ⎞ Mean for Sums (∑X): (n)(μx)
⎝µ x , n ⎠
The Central Limit Theorem for Sums z-score and standard
¯ deviation for sums:
The Mean X : μx
Σx – (n)(µ X )
zfor the sample mean =
Central Limit Theorem for Sample Means z-score and ( n)(σ X )
x̄ − µ x
standard error of the mean: z = ⎛σ x ⎞
Standard deviation for Sums (∑X): ( n) (σx)
⎝ n⎠
¯
Standard Error of the Mean (Standard Deviation ( X )):
σx
n
PRACTICE
a. X ~ _____(_____,_____)
¯
b. X ~ _____(_____,_____)
3. Find the probability that one review will take Yoonie from 3.5 to 4.25 hours. Sketch the graph, labeling and scaling the
horizontal axis. Shade the region corresponding to the probability.
a.
Figure 7.16
b. P(________ < x < ________) = _______
4. Find the probability that the mean of a month’s reviews will take Yoonie from 3.5 to 4.25 hrs. Sketch the graph, labeling
and scaling the horizontal axis. Shade the region corresponding to the probability.
a.
Figure 7.17
b. P(________________) = _______
5. What causes the probabilities in Exercise 7.3 and Exercise 7.4 to be different?
6. Find the 95th percentile for the mean time to complete one month's reviews. Sketch the graph.
424 Chapter 7 | The Central Limit Theorem
a.
Figure 7.18
b. The 95th Percentile =____________
Use the following information to answer the next five exercises: The distribution of results from a cholesterol test has a
mean of 180 and a standard deviation of 20. A sample size of 40 is drawn randomly.
11. Find the probability that the sum of the 40 values is greater than 7,500.
12. Find the probability that the sum of the 40 values is less than 7,000.
13. Find the sum that is one standard deviation above the mean of the sums.
14. Find the sum that is 1.5 standard deviations below the mean of the sums.
15. Find the percentage of sums between 1.5 standard deviations below the mean of the sums and one standard deviation
above the mean of the sums.
Use the following information to answer the next six exercises: A researcher measures the amount of sugar in several cans
of the same soda. The mean is 39.01 with a standard deviation of 0.5. The researcher randomly selects a sample of 100.
16. Find the probability that the sum of the 100 values is greater than 3,910.
17. Find the probability that the sum of the 100 values is less than 3,900.
18. Find the probability that the sum of the 100 values falls between the numbers you found in and .
19. Find the sum with a z–score of –2.5.
20. Find the sum with a z–score of 0.5.
21. Find the probability that the sums will fall between the z-scores –2 and 1.
Use the following information to answer the next four exercise: An unknown distribution has a mean 12 and a standard
deviation of one. A sample size of 25 is taken. Let X = the object of interest.
22. What is the mean of ΣX?
23. What is the standard deviation of ΣX?
Use the following information to answer the next three exercises. A market researcher analyzes how many electronics
devices customers buy in a single purchase. The distribution has a mean of three with a standard deviation of 0.7. She
samples 400 customers.
31. What is the z-score for Σx = 840?
32. What is the z-score for Σx = 1,186?
33. What is P(Σx < 1,186)?
Use the following information to answer the next three exercises: An unkwon distribution has a mean of 100, a standard
deviation of 100, and a sample size of 100. Let X = one object of interest.
34. What is the mean of ΣX?
35. What is the standard deviation of ΣX?
36. What is P(Σx > 9,000)?
Use the following information to answer the next five exercises: The length of time a particular smartphone's battery lasts
follows an exponential distribution with a mean of ten months. A sample of 64 of these smartphones is taken.
47.
426 Chapter 7 | The Central Limit Theorem
Use the following information to answer the next eight exercises: A uniform distribution has a minimum of six and a
maximum of ten. A sample of 50 is taken.
55. Find P(Σx > 420).
56. Find the 90th percentile for the sums.
57. Find the 15th percentile for the sums.
58. Find the first quartile for the sums.
59. Find the third quartile for the sums.
60. Find the 80th percentile for the sums.
HOMEWORK
¯
b. In words, X = _____________
¯
c. X ~ _____(_____,_____)
d. Would you be surprised if the 36 taxpayers finished their Form 1040s in an average of more than 12 hours?
Explain why or why not in complete sentences.
e. Would you be surprised if one taxpayer finished his or her Form 1040 in more than 12 hours? In a complete
sentence, explain why.
64. Suppose that a category of world-class runners are known to run a marathon (26 miles) in an average of 145 minutes
¯
with a standard deviation of 14 minutes. Consider 49 of the races. Let X the average of the 49 races.
¯
a. X ~ _____(_____,_____)
b. Find the probability that the runner will average between 142 and 146 minutes in these 49 marathons.
c. Find the 80th percentile for the average of these 49 marathons.
d. Find the median of the average running times.
65. The length of songs in a collector’s iTunes album collection is uniformly distributed from two to 3.5 minutes. Suppose
we randomly pick five albums from the collection. There are a total of 43 songs on the five albums.
a. In words, Χ = _________
b. Χ ~ _____________
¯
c. In words, X = _____________
¯
d. X ~ _____(_____,_____)
e. Find the first quartile for the average song length.
f. The IQR(interquartile range) for the average song length is from _______–_______.
66. In 1940 the average size of a U.S. farm was 174 acres. Let’s say that the standard deviation was 55 acres. Suppose we
randomly survey 38 farmers from 1940.
a. In words, Χ = _____________
¯
b. In words, X = _____________
¯
c. X ~ _____(_____,_____)
¯
d. The IQR for X is from _______ acres to _______ acres.
67. Determine which of the following are true and which are false. Then, in complete sentences, justify your answers.
¯
a. When the sample size is large, the mean of X is approximately equal to the mean of Χ.
¯
b. When the sample size is large, X is approximately normally distributed.
¯
c. When the sample size is large, the standard deviation of X is approximately the same as the standard deviation
of Χ.
68. The percent of fat calories that a person in America consumes each day is normally distributed with a mean of about
¯
36 and a standard deviation of about ten. Suppose that 16 individuals are randomly chosen. Let X = average percent of fat
calories.
¯
a. X ~ ______(______, ______)
b. For the group of 16, find the probability that the average percent of fat calories consumed is more than five. Graph
the situation and shade in the area to be determined.
c. Find the first quartile for the average percent of fat calories.
69. The distribution of income in some Third World countries is considered wedge shaped (many very poor people, very
few middle income people, and even fewer wealthy people). Suppose we pick a country with a wedge shaped distribution.
Let the average salary be $2,000 per year with a standard deviation of $8,000. We randomly survey 1,000 residents of that
country.
a. In words, Χ = _____________
¯
b. In words, X = _____________
428 Chapter 7 | The Central Limit Theorem
¯
c. X ~ _____(_____,_____)
d. How is it possible for the standard deviation to be greater than the average?
e. Why is it more likely that the average of the 1,000 residents will be from $2,000 to $2,100 than from $2,100 to
$2,200?
70. Which of the following is NOT TRUE about the distribution for averages?
a. The mean, median, and mode are equal.
b. The area under the curve is one.
c. The curve never touches the x-axis.
d. The curve is skewed to the right.
71. The cost of unleaded gasoline in the Bay Area once followed an unknown distribution with a mean of $4.59 and a
standard deviation of $0.10. Sixteen gas stations from the Bay Area are randomly chosen. We are interested in the average
cost of gasoline for the 16 gas stations. The distribution to use for the average cost of gasoline for the 16 gas stations is:
¯
a. X ~ N(4.59, 0.10)
¯ ⎛ ⎞
b. X ~ N ⎝4.59, 0.10 ⎠
16
¯ ⎛ ⎞
c. X ~ N ⎝4.59, 16 ⎠
0.10
¯ ⎛ ⎞
d. X ~ N ⎝4.59, 16 ⎠
0.10
a. In words, Χ = ______________
b.
i. x̄ = _____
ii. sx = _____
iii. n = _____
c. Construct a histogram of the distribution of the averages. Start at x = –0.0005. Use bar widths of ten.
d. In words, describe the distribution of stock prices.
e. Randomly average five stock prices together. (Use a random number generator.) Continue averaging five pieces
together until you have ten averages. List those ten averages.
f. Use the ten averages from part e to calculate the following.
i. x̄ = _____
ii. sx = _____
g. Construct a histogram of the distribution of the averages. Start at x = -0.0005. Use bar widths of ten.
h. Does this histogram look like the graph in part c?
i. In one or two complete sentences, explain why the graphs either look the same or look different?
¯
j. Based upon the theory of the central limit theorem, X ~ _____(_____,____)
Use the following information to answer the next three exercises: Richard’s Furniture Company delivers furniture from
10 A.M. to 2 P.M. continuously and uniformly. We are interested in how long (in hours) past the 10 A.M. start time that
individuals wait for their delivery.
78. Χ ~ _____(_____,_____)
a. U(0,4)
b. U(10,2)
c. Eχp(2)
d. N(2,1)
79. The average wait time is:
a. one hour.
b. two hours.
c. two and a half hours.
d. four hours.
80. Suppose that it is now past noon on a delivery day. The probability that a person must wait at least one and a half more
hours is:
430 Chapter 7 | The Central Limit Theorem
a. 1
4
b. 1
2
c. 3
4
d. 3
8
Use the following information to answer the next two exercises: The time to wait for a particular rural bus is distributed
uniformly from zero to 75 minutes. One hundred riders are randomly sampled to learn how long they waited.
81. The 90th percentile sample average wait time (in minutes) for a sample of 100 riders is:
a. 315.0
b. 40.3
c. 38.5
d. 65.2
82. Would you be surprised, based upon numerical calculations, if the sample average wait time (in minutes) for 100 riders
was less than 30 minutes?
a. yes
b. no
c. There is not enough information.
Use the following to answer the next two exercises: The cost of unleaded gasoline in the Bay Area once followed an
unknown distribution with a mean of $4.59 and a standard deviation of $0.10. Sixteen gas stations from the Bay Area are
randomly chosen. We are interested in the average cost of gasoline for the 16 gas stations.
83. What's the approximate probability that the average price for 16 gas stations is over $4.69?
a. almost zero
b. 0.1587
c. 0.0943
d. unknown
84. Find the probability that the average price for 30 gas stations is less than $4.55.
a. 0.6554
b. 0.3446
c. 0.0142
d. 0.9858
e. 0
85. Suppose in a local Kindergarten through 12th grade (K - 12) school district, 53 percent of the population favor a
charter school for grades K through five. A simple random sample of 300 is surveyed. Calculate following using the normal
approximation to the binomial distribtion.
a. Find the probability that less than 100 favor a charter school for grades K through 5.
b. Find the probability that 170 or more favor a charter school for grades K through 5.
c. Find the probability that no more than 140 favor a charter school for grades K through 5.
d. Find the probability that there are fewer than 130 that favor a charter school for grades K through 5.
e. Find the probability that exactly 150 favor a charter school for grades K through 5.
If you have access to an appropriate calculator or computer software, try calculating these probabilities using the technology.
86. Four friends, Janice, Barbara, Kathy and Roberta, decided to carpool together to get to school. Each day the driver
would be chosen by randomly selecting one of the four names. They carpool to school for 96 days. Use the normal
approximation to the binomial to calculate the following probabilities. Round the standard deviation to four decimal places.
¯
87. X ~ N(60, 9). Suppose that you form random samples of 25 from this distribution. Let X be the random variable of
averages. Let ΣX be the random variable of sums. For parts c through f, sketch the graph, shade the region, label and scale
¯
the horizontal axis for X , and find the probability.
¯
a. Sketch the distributions of X and X on the same graph.
¯
b. X ~ _____(_____,_____)
c. P( x̄ < 60) = _____
d. Find the 30th percentile for the mean.
e. P(56 < x̄ < 62) = _____
f. P(18 < x̄ < 58) = _____
g. Σx ~ _____(_____,_____)
h. Find the minimum value for the upper quartile for the sum.
i. P(1,400 < Σx < 1,550) = _____
88. Suppose that the length of research papers is uniformly distributed from ten to 25 pages. We survey a class in which 55
research papers were turned in to a professor. The 55 research papers are considered a random collection of all papers. We
are interested in the average length of the research papers.
a. In words, X = _____________
b. X ~ _____(_____,_____)
c. μx = _____
d. σx = _____
¯
e. In words, X = ______________
¯
f. X ~ _____(_____,_____)
g. In words, ΣX = _____________
h. ΣX ~ _____(_____,_____)
i. Without doing any calculations, do you think that it’s likely that the professor will need to read a total of more
than 1,050 pages? Why?
j. Calculate the probability that the professor will need to read a total of more than 1,050 pages.
k. Why is it so unlikely that the average length of the papers will be less than 12 pages?
89. Salaries for teachers in a particular elementary school district are normally distributed with a mean of $44,000 and a
standard deviation of $6,500. We randomly survey ten teachers from that district.
a. Find the 90th percentile for an individual teacher’s salary.
b. Find the 90th percentile for the average teacher’s salary.
90. The average length of a maternity stay in a U.S. hospital is said to be 2.4 days with a standard deviation of 0.9 days. We
randomly survey 80 women who recently bore children in a U.S. hospital.
a. In words, X = _____________
¯
b. In words, X = ___________________
¯
c. X ~ _____(_____,_____)
d. In words, ΣX = _______________
e. ΣX ~ _____(_____,_____)
f. Is it likely that an individual stayed more than five days in the hospital? Why or why not?
g. Is it likely that the average stay for the 80 women was more than five days? Why or why not?
h. Which is more likely:
i. An individual stayed more than five days.
ii. the average stay of 80 women was more than five days.
i. If we were to sum up the women’s stays, is it likely that, collectively they spent more than a year in the hospital?
Why or why not?
For each problem, wherever possible, provide graphs and use the calculator.
432 Chapter 7 | The Central Limit Theorem
91. NeverReady batteries has engineered a newer, longer lasting AAA battery. The company claims this battery has an
average life span of 17 hours with a standard deviation of 0.8 hours. Your statistics class questions this claim. As a class,
you randomly select 30 batteries and find that the sample mean life span is 16.7 hours. If the process is working properly,
what is the probability of getting a random sample of 30 batteries in which the sample mean lifetime is 16.7 hours or less?
Is the company’s claim reasonable?
92. Men have an average weight of 172 pounds with a standard deviation of 29 pounds.
a. Find the probability that 20 randomly selected men will have a sum weight greater than 3600 lbs.
b. If 20 men have a sum weight greater than 3500 lbs, then their total weight exceeds the safety limits for water
taxis. Based on (a), is this a safety concern? Explain.
93. M&M candies large candy bags have a claimed net weight of 396.9 g. The standard deviation for the weight of the
individual candies is 0.017 g. The following table is from a stats experiment conducted by a statistics class.
Table 7.7
The bag contained 465 candies and he listed weights in the table came from randomly selected candies. Count the weights.
a. Find the mean sample weight and the standard deviation of the sample weights of candies in the table.
b. Find the sum of the sample weights in the table and the standard deviation of the sum the of the weights.
c. If 465 M&Ms are randomly selected, find the probability that their weights sum to at least 396.9.
d. Is the Mars Company’s M&M labeling accurate?
94. The Screw Right Company claims their 3 inch screws are within ±0.23 of the claimed mean diameter of 0.750 inches
4
with a standard deviation of 0.115 inches. The following data were recorded.
0.757 0.723 0.754 0.737 0.757 0.741 0.722 0.741 0.743 0.742
0.740 0.758 0.724 0.739 0.736 0.735 0.760 0.750 0.759 0.754
0.744 0.758 0.765 0.756 0.738 0.742 0.758 0.757 0.724 0.757
0.744 0.738 0.763 0.756 0.760 0.768 0.761 0.742 0.734 0.754
0.758 0.735 0.740 0.743 0.737 0.737 0.725 0.761 0.758 0.756
Table 7.8
The screws were randomly selected from the local home repair store.
a. Find the mean diameter and standard deviation for the sample
b. Find the probability that 50 randomly selected screws will be within the stated tolerance levels. Is the company’s
diameter claim plausible?
95. Your company has a contract to perform preventive maintenance on thousands of air-conditioners in a large city. Based
on service records from previous years, the time that a technician spends servicing a unit averages one hour with a standard
deviation of one hour. In the coming week, your company will service a simple random sample of 70 units in the city. You
plan to budget an average of 1.1 hours per technician to complete the work. Will this be enough time?
96. A typical adult has an average IQ score of 105 with a standard deviation of 20. If 20 randomly selected adults are given
an IQ tesst, what is the probability that the sample mean scores will be between 85 and 125 points?
97. Certain coins have an average weight of 5.201 grams with a standard deviation of 0.065 g. If a vending machine is
designed to accept coins whose weights range from 5.111 g to 5.291 g, what is the expected number of rejected coins when
280 randomly selected coins are inserted into the machine?
REFERENCES