Mark Newman, Chief Analyst Justin Funnell, Contributing Analyst Dawn Bushaus, Managing Editor
Mark Newman, Chief Analyst Justin Funnell, Contributing Analyst Dawn Bushaus, Managing Editor
Authors:
Mark Newman, Chief Analyst
Justin Funnell, Contributing Analyst
Editor:
Dawn Bushaus, Managing Editor
April 2021
Sponsors:
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Contents
03 05 08
The big picture Section 1: Global trends in Section 2: Do investors value
telco OpEx telco transformation?
14 20 26
Section 3: Inside the OpEx Section 4: Impact of new Section 5: Make it happen –
black box – Comparing technology on telco OpEx Strategies for reducing costs
expenses
28
Additional features &
resources
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There are three main drivers for telco Key telco operang expenses
transformation: delivering a stronger
customer experience, generating new
revenues and achieving efficiency gains.
In this research we are focusing on
efficiency gains because they are the ENDUSER EQUIPMENT
easiest way for operators to demonstrate PEOPLE & CONTENT
SALES & MARKETING
the benefits of transformation. Employees’ salaries Handset subsidies & other
device/equipment sales Customer service,
Temporary/contract retail, adversing
staff & consultants Content & revenue sharing
Importantly, we have chosen to focus on
OpEx rather than CapEx. There is already
plenty of research available about the
evolution of the network, which makes up
the majority of CapEx. However, little
information is available about telco OpEx
trends, even though operators spend
close to $1 billion annually. NETWORK &
IT OPERATIONS
GENERAL &
ADMINISTRATIVE Operaon & maintenance ENERGY & SITE
OpEx falls into two categories: direct Building rental, of the network
Power consumpon
and indirect costs. Direct costs are office furniture,
supplies, etc.
Internal & customers’
IT infrastructure
& site rental
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Section 1
Global trends in telco OpEx
For the first two thirds of its 30-year history as a dynamic, competitive market, the
telecommunications sector was firmly focused on revenue growth rather than operational
efficiency. However, over the last 10 years revenue growth has proven elusive, forcing
communications service providers (CSPs) to focus increasingly on cost management and, more
recently, cost cutting.
With customers requiring faster Comparison of selected CSPs’ revenues & OpEx (in US billions)
speeds and greater reliability to satisfy
2018 2019 2020
their insatiable demand for
Revenue OpEx Revenue OpEx Revenue OpEx
connectivity, it has never been an
America Movil 49.2 35.2 48.5 33.4 49 32.8
option to reduce investment in the
AT&T 170.8 114.1 181.3 122 171.8 117.4
network. Furthermore, investors have
Axiata Group 5.8 3.8 6 3.2 5.9 3.2
rewarded operators that have invested
Bell Canada 18.6 11.1 19 11 18.2 10.3
early and heavily, be it in deploying
Bharti Airtel 11.5 7.4 11.1 7.5 11.4 5
fiber or committing to LTE and 5G.
BT 33.1 22.6 32.7 22.4 32 21.6
CSPs have focused on reducing OpEx Charter Communications 43.6 27.6 45.8 28.9 48.1 28.5
rather than CapEx because a large China Mobile 113.5 71 114.9 69.3 117.1 72.8
proportion of CapEx (around 60%- China Telecom 58.1 42 57.9 39.8 60.6 41.7
90%, according to our estimates) is on China Unicom 44.8 31.7 44.7 30.2 46.5 31.9
the network. Furthermore, OpEx is Comcast 94.5 64.3 108.9 74.7 103.6 70.8
two-and-a-half to three times higher Deutsche Telekom 90.3 62.5 96.1 61.9 120.6 73.2
than CapEx, so there is more scope to KDDI 46.4 32.5 46.8 32.3 48.2 32
identify cost-cutting opportunities. Korea Telecom 20.7 16.6 21.5 17.6 21.1 16.7
KPN 6.7 4 6.5 3.8 6.3 3.4
EBITDA margins MTN Group 9 5.7 10.1 5.9 12 7
Comparing trends in OpEx between NTT 108.7 81.2 109.4 81.5 109.6 80.8
operators and identifying year-on-year Orange 49.4 33.9 50.4 35.1 50.5 34.8
trends can be difficult because Rogers Communications 12 7.2 12 7 11.1 6.2
expenses include disposals and SK Telecom 14.9 10.9 15.7 11.2 16.4 11.4
acquisitions which can end up Swisscom 12.6 8.1 12.4 7.7 12 7.3
distorting the overall picture. A better Telefónica 58.1 39.3 57.8 37.5 51.4 34.7
measure of OpEx trends is operators’ Telekom Indonesia 9.1 4.9 9.4 4.9 9.3 4.5
EBITDA (earnings before interest, tax, Telekom Malaysia 2.9 2 2.8 1.9 2.6 1.6
depreciation and amortization) TIM Brasil 3 1.9 3.1 1.9 3.1 1.5
margins. The table opposite shows TMobile US 43.3 30.9 45 31.6 68.4 41.1
annual revenue and operating Verizon 130.9 83.5 131.9 84.7 128.3 79.5
expenses for 30 CSPs from 2018 to
Vivo 11.9 7.3 11.2 6.6 8.4 4.9
2020, calculated by subtracting
Vodacom 5.8 3.5 5.8 3.6 6.1 3.4
EBITDA from total revenues.
Vodafone 65 44.5 61 41.2 62.8 42.6
Total 1,344.30 911.1 1,379.70 920.3 1,412.10 922.6
TM Forum, 2021
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Section 1
Expenses amount to between 48% and degree of caution. The savings of cutting $10 billion in OpEx. While
79% of the operators’ total revenues. achieved in one part of the business Verizon’s financial results show
Over the last five years, 14 of the 30 may be wiped out by higher costs in progress, the ride has been bumpy,
companies have seen their EBITDA another. This seems to be especially resulting in overall savings so far that
margin rise by more than five true in IT and network departments, are only a fraction of the goal.
percentage points (and conversely, where operators have made
their expenses fall by more than five reasonable progress in delivering Several European CSPs have
percentage points). Eleven of the efficiency gains. committed to OpEx cuts in the period
companies experienced a rise of zero from 2021 to 2023, and executives
to five percentage points in their For example, speaking at an investors’ indicate this will be driven by
EBITDA margins. The EBITDA margin conference in January 2021, Verizon digitization. We will look more closely
declined for only five companies. Consumer CEO Ronan Dunne said the at which OpEx categories operators
company is on track to meet its five- are targeting for these cost-cutting
Overall the operators’ combined year goal (announced four years ago) initiatives in Section 3.
revenue grew by a compound annual
growth rate of 2.5% between 2018
and 2020, while OpEx grew by .63% Verizon’s quest for OpEx savings (in US billions)
per year. In 2018 the combined OpEx
of these companies ($911 billion) was $86
$82
We can conclude that operators are
sensibly managing their cost bases. $81 $81.0
However, breakdowns of direct and $80
indirect costs, which are not publicly $79.5
available, would provide greater $79
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Section 1
New technology have a snapshot of operators’ current not all CSPs release financials and some
spending on CapEx and OpEx to set numbers are overstated because in
As CSPs transition from hardware- the stage. some cases sales of devices and
centric to software-centric businesses reporting of wholesale revenues may
and migrate IT and network workloads The graphic below shows estimates of represent double counting.
to the cloud, their costs will be global telco spending based on TM
impacted. Spending will shift to OpEx Forum’s analysis of CSPs’ 2020 financial In the next section, we’ll look at the
with increased use of public cloud results plus IDC’s estimate of $1.6 role of investors and whether they
services, and automation will reduce trillion in total global telecoms operator believe CSPs can successfully make
staff costs. We’ll discuss these changes revenue for 2020. This figure varies OpEx cuts.
in detail in Section 3, but it is helpful to from $1.5 trillion to $1.7 trillion because
Network CapEx
Note: Figures are sourced primarily from TM Forum’s analysis of CSPs’ 2020 financial results but also include IDC’s esmate of $1.6 trillion in total global
telecoms operator revenue for 2020. All figures are esmates, and CapEx and OpEx figures are averages of high and low percentages of total spending.
TM Forum, 2021
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Section 2
Do investors value telco
transformation?
Telecoms investors span public and private capital markets, equity and debt, and different
geographies. They use a variety of strategies and hold diverse opinions that tend to fluctuate,
with capital markets often extrapolating from recent experience. However, the average view is
expressed in share prices and reflects the information and expectations published by
communications service providers (CSPs) and their suppliers, as well as forecasts shared
between investors and published by journalists and industry analysts.
During recent decades, investors have Reducon of staff at select Euroepean telcos from 2010 to 2019
learned to expect cost reductions, with
processes gradually becoming more 120
Historically, telco investments have 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
been disappointing, with the sector’s TNOR DT ORAN TI KPN TELA TELE2
performance lagging the rest of the
stock market over the last 20 years. TM Forum, 2021 (Source: Thomson Reuters Datastream)
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Section 2
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Section 2
1%
In 2011, Spark New Zealand was
spun off as the mobile arm of Telecom
New Zealand. Without a fixed-line
network to lean on, Spark has been OpEx down
forced to run its operations more
per year from
efficiently to remain competitive and FY2017-2020
grow earnings. This pressure led to
early digital transformation.
Vodafone finds savings stock performance has been stock price was under significant
disappointing, down 36% since May pressure, halving over the prior two
British multinational operator 2018, whereas the sector is down 20%. years as the threat from the
Vodafone Group has been successful government broadband network,
with its digital transformation strategy, Vodafone’s revenue trends have been NBN Co, grew.
but the company’s share price has not disappointing due to price competition in
risen as much as Telenor’s or Spark’s. In Spain and Italy and more recently the Telstra CEO Andrew Penn
May 2018 Vodafone announced that impact of Covid-19. Furthermore, the announced a three-year plan to cut
$9.5 billion of its annual operating company’s plan was not such a positive annual OpEx by about $762 million,
costs were in areas open to savings surprise to investors as Vodafone had aiming to cut two layers of
from digitization. The company already cut costs significantly from 2016 management, reduce staff by 8,000,
followed up in November 2018 with an to 2018. Because investors understood reduce customer service calls by two
explicit plan to cut OpEx in Europe by the company’s transformation story, thirds and trim product offerings
approximately $1.4 billion a year by some level of continued cost cutting was from 1,800 to just 20. This was the
fiscal Q3 2021. already priced into Vodafone’s share most aggressive transformation plan
price by May 2018. announced to date, reflecting the
Vodafone cut it by about $475.5 million particularly strong revenue pressure
in Q3 2019 and Q3 2020, with Group Pressure down under on the Telstra business.
EBITDA margins rising 1.5 percentage
points as a result and EBITDA Australian incumbent CSP Telstra OpEx fell a net 3% per year over the
remaining flat despite 2% revenue announced its transformation plan in first two years of the plan, and
erosion per year. Unfortunately, the June 2018. At the time, the company’s revenues fell a larger 5% annually.
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Section 2
Profits therefore have continued to fall, transformation leads to fundamental investors to judge whether the
but at a slower pace than expected by change in how telcos are run, their program can last beyond that, which
investors prior to June 2018. cost bases and relationships with holds them back from buying telco
customers, investors have not stocks with more enthusiasm and in
Telstra’s stock has climbed a creditable changed how they view the sector for turn limits the impact of the
13% since June 2018, despite this several reasons. transformation theme on share prices.
considerable revenue pressure.
Investors learned that ultra-aggressive Firstly, bond yields have continued to Other factors continue to dominate
transformation still wasn’t enough to fall in recent years, leading investors to the outlook for telco earnings, in
drive profits up when revenues were favor growth stocks (companies with particular the prospect (or not) of
still falling significantly, but it was significant revenue growth) over revenue growth. Few operators are
enough to turn the share price around companies with low growth but higher growing, and Covid-19 has weakened
in this case. cashflow like telcos. The good news is revenues, meaning that despite many
this may be about to change, depending CSPs realizing three years’ worth of
on how fast the global economy digitization in just six months as
recovers from the pandemic. As the customers work from home, EBITDA
Several more operators outlook for economic growth improves, didn’t surge. The $81 billion recently
have since explained long-term bond yields would rise, with spent on 5G spectrum in the US has
investors then paying less of a premium also reminded investors that years of
their own digital for growth stocks and relatively more hard-fought cost cutting benefits can
transformation cost- for other stocks like telcos’. be spent quite quickly elsewhere in
the business.
cutting opportunity to Secondly, the investor experience with
investors – and it has CSPs’ cost transformations is still quite Finally, few CSPs guide an overall net
stock specific. Maybe Telenor was a decline in OpEx the way Telenor did.
become a component of special case in that transformation AT&T plans $2.37 billion run-rate
the investment case for allowed the company to move savings by fiscal year 2022 on a gross
departments to its lower-cost Asia basis, meaning before other cost
most operators. This is operations. Telstra and Spark are not factors. BT targets $1.38 billion gross
particularly the case on the radar for many investors, and savings by fiscal year 2023, while DT
Vodafone’s stock is down since aims for $1.78 billion gross saving and
with CSPs facing a weak unveiling its plan. Orange for $1.42 billion net savings in
revenue outlook, with indirect OpEx. The savings described
Also, tracking the progress made on are significant but not quite enough for
cost cutting the only cost cutting is not straightforward for the companies to guide an overall
way to grow earnings. investors. As we’ll see in the next decline in costs. Hopefully some of
section, most operators do not break these factors will improve as the
out costs, typically reporting only three economy recovers.
or four categories such as direct costs,
For example, transformation is a core labor costs and other OpEx. Underestimating
part of the outlook for KPN and
How costs are allocated between these potential
Orange, and AT&T has also discussed
different buckets is obscure, varies by
transformation-led cost cutting in the Interestingly, the CSPs with the
company and can change. Continued
US. In contrast, CSPs with somewhat poorest revenue outlook appear to be
changes in accounting standards have
faster-growing businesses, such as transforming the most. This is evident
also muddied the water significantly,
Comcast, Charter Communications, T- in stock market consensus. The
making analysis of cost trends over the
Mobile US and Verizon, are much less graphics on page 12 show consensus
last three years difficult.
vocal about their cost cutting plans. forecasts for EBITDA margin
This lack of visibility also makes it expansion for some of the largest
Little change harder to gauge how much more cost quoted telcos globally, compared to
cutting potential remains. forecasts for revenue growth.
Despite all this, the digital
Transformation leaders like Telenor
transformation process has not had as
have been extending the program three
much impact on investors’ views of the
years or so. But it is very difficult for
telecoms sector overall. While
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Section 2
Bhar Airtel
4.00
EITDA margin change (pp) 2022e vs. 2020
3.00
KPN
Comcast
2.00
Charter Comms
Telefónica BT
AMX Telenor
1.00 Vodafone
MTS
Orange Vodacom Telus
AT&T PT Telkom
BCE Inc
Deutsche Telekom TMUS
0% NTT Verizon
-2.0% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0%
MTN
China Mobile
Sobank
(1.00)
(2.00)
Revenue CAGR 20-22e
18%
Bhar Airtel
16%
14%
12%
BITDA CAGR 20-22ee
Comcast
10%
TMUS
8% Charter Comms
6% Telus
PT Telkom
MTN Deutsche Telekom
MTS
4% Vodacom
BT Vodafone BCE
China Mobile
KPN Telenor
Sobank
2% Orange Verizon
AMX
NTT
Telefónica AT&T
0%
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Section 2
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Section 3
Inside the OpEx black box:
Comparing expenses
It is difficult to identify and understand all the categories that make up communications service
providers’ (CSPs’) operating costs because very few companies break down OpEx when
reporting financial results. And if they do, they often categorize the expenses in different ways. In
this section, we analyze OpEx reports from five companies operating in Europe, the Middle East
and Africa to highlight key categories and trends.
INTERCARRIER/ REGULATION
WHOLESALE NONOPERATING
Spectrum, franchise, EXPENSES
Network sharing, concession, etc.
network rental/lease, Finance, depreciaon
interconnecon/ & amorzaon, tax
roaming
TM Forum, 2021
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Section 3
OpEx as a
percentage of
MTN South Africa's
OpEx as a OpEx as a
total revenue
percentage percentage of
in 2020
of BT's total Oooredoo's
revenue in 2020 revenue in 2020
TM Forum, 2021
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Section 3
$50.5 billion
2019 revenue
OpEx as a
percetage of
Telenor's total
OpEx as a revenue in 2016
percentage of
Orange's total
revenue in 2019
Others 2.9%
Enterprise IT 3.1%
Intercarrier, sales and
markeng, content
and equipment 27.4%
Africa and Middle East 5.9%
Note: data is a snapshot of operang costs for 2019
presented during a financial results presentaon in 2020
TM Forum, 2021
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Section 3
Globally, telecoms operators are The graphics below show how the revenues, while the second shows
becoming increasingly confident about three companies that reported 2020 expense categories as a percentage of
making commitments to future OpEx OpEx data compare when it comes to total OpEx. We have opted to exclude
savings across these categories spending in the categories we’ve Orange and Telenor from the charts
enabled by digitization programs, defined. We recognize that this data is because their data is not current, but
restructuring and other initiatives. In imprecise because some of the we have included individual tables on
some cases, CSPs make specific expense categories used by the the next page to show the breakdown
reference to savings achieved through operators do not correlate with ours. of their spending in the designated
adoption of cloud-based technologies OpEx categories in 2019 and
and automation. The first graphic shows expense 2016, respectively.
categories as a proportion of total
People Energy & site End-user equipment and content Sales & markeng
Intercarrier/wholesale Regulaon Network & IT operaons Other
TM Forum 2021
People Energy & site End-user equipment and content Network & IT operaons
TM Forum 2021
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Section 3
TM Forum, 2021
TM Forum, 2021
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Section 3
Globally, most operators are reducing costs wherever possible in order to are making commitments to switching
staff annually unless they have acquired delay recognizing expenses and to renewable energy sources.
other businesses or are expanding into because investors have traditionally
a new markets such as pay television. As used EBITDA margins as their In mobile networks, most energy
noted in Section 2, 10 of 14 CSPs cut preferred way of measuring CSPs’ consumption is in the radio access
staffing levels in the period from 2011 success. All hardware and software that network, but transport and core
through 2019. Among the four is owned by telecoms operators is facilities and data centers require
operators that increased staff, BT and capitalized. OpEx items in network and power too. Energy usage and costs have
Telefónica Deutschland made IT can include the following: been increasingly modestly worldwide.
significant acquisitions of competing In many developing countries the ability
mobile operators during the period. Employees (however, as previously to deliver energy to cell sites that are
discussed most operators report off the grid can be a competitive
Sales & marketing labor costs separately) differentiator for mobile operators.
Any IT or network capabilities that
Sales and marketing is the most difficult Ericsson estimates that the telecoms
operators buy as a service
category to analyze because of the industry spends about $25 billion a
different ways CSPs categorize their Maintenance and repair costs and year on mobile network energy costs,
costs. Our research shows that rental fees, plus the cost of regular which is equivalent to approximately
spending in this category ranges from software upgrades, patches and 2.5% of total operator revenues.
about 5% at Ooredoo to more than bug fixes Meanwhile, McKinsey & Company
20% at BT. Expenditure on public cloud services estimates that energy costs represent
Research and development 3% to 5% of total revenues.
BT’s biggest sales and marketing
expense in 2020 was “product costs Energy to power the network Only BT and Ooredoo broke out
and sales commissions”. This likely (although many operators also report expenditure on sites and energy in their
comprises the cost of subsidizing these costs separately – see below) financial reporting, and even though
mobile devices in addition to their businesses are very different, both
In our analysis network and IT opex
commissions paid to sales staff. One of reported OpEx costs around 4% of total
costs represented between 4% and 9%
the reasons Ooredoo’s sales and revenues. However, the figures do not
of total revenues. Costs can vary based
marketing expenses appear lower is separate energy costs from site costs,
on whether operators outsource their
because we chose not to include the which are primarily rental payments to
network and IT capabilities and then
company’s category “cost of equipment third parties in exchange for deploying
buy them back as services, which
sold and other services”. If we had, base stations on their property.
results in OpEx, or whether they
Ooredoo would have spent about 14% include the costs in other categories
on sales and marketing. such as customer management.
Intercarrier payments
The difference in spending between BT As telecoms operators digitize their Wholesale services have always been a
and other CSPs is largely due to the businesses and migrate workloads to the feature of telecoms businesses,
high cost of acquiring subscribers which cloud, particularly the public cloud, although the business model has
operators in Europe and North America network and IT expenditures will evolved in recent years from being
tolerate in order maintain their share of change. Many CSPs are entering into voice centric to focusing on data. The
new subscriptions. Operators in these deep relationships with hyperscale cloud segment includes payments for national
regions tend to have much higher platforms such as Amazon Web and international roaming.
average revenue per user (ARPU) than Services, Microsoft Azure and Google
operators in southeast Asia or Africa, so There is no reason to think that
Cloud Platform. The services they buy
customers have a higher lifetime value. intercarrier payments will change
from the cloud providers are categorized
significantly. CSPs will continue to buy
However, high subscriber acquisition as OpEx, but previously these costs were
services from other operators to
costs can effectively wipe out the considered CapEx. We’ll explore this
ensure interoperability and the delivery
benefit of higher ARPU levels. Some more in the next section.
of end-to-end services to customers.
investors believe that any benefits However, new categories may appear
resulting from digitization and cost Energy & site such as intercarrier payments relating
cutting brings tend to be lost because Spending on energy is a growing to edge computing services.
operators use the gains to find higher concern for telecoms operators, partly
spending on customer acquisition. because of demands stemming from In the next section, we’ll look at the
surging traffic and also because of the impact of technology, particularly cloud
Network & IT growing importance and prioritization and automation, on telco OpEx.
CSPs try to capitalize network and IT of carbon reduction. Many companies
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Section 4
Impact of new technology
on telco OpEx
There is no doubt that technology such as cloud computing, automation and AI will impact
communications service providers’ (CSPs’) costs. For example, as operators transition from hardware-
to software-based businesses and migrate IT and network workloads to the public cloud, spending will
shift from CapEx to OpEx. But it is unclear whether total expenditure will change significantly.
In addition to the shift from CapEx to Spending on networks (CapEx) will The graphic below (repeated from
OpEx, the factors listed below will increase marginally in the short to Section 1) shows a snapshot of CSPs’
impact costs, spending and how costs medium term as operators current combined revenue and spending.
are allocated. However, not all accelerate fiber and 5G deployment Based on this, we can assess which
operators will be impacted equally. For expenditure categories will become a
Total spending on IT will increase
example, in markets where people are target for cloud spending in the future.
over the next two to three years as
paid low wages, automation might
operators implement digital
produce fewer benefits than in
transformation programs
countries where the average salary is
high. In our analysis in Section 3 of
operators’ OpEx, labor as a proportion 2020 telecoms revenue & spending esmates
of total revenues was 6.6% at MTN
South Africa but 20.9% at BT.
Total Telco
perform manual processes CapEx
Network CapEx
The average cost of an employee is $163 billion Revenue from
likely to rise as CSPs replace low- cloud-based services
commercial and technical skills. This Spending on people Spending on energy & sites
could wipe out some of the savings $224 billion $67 billion $104 billion
achieved through automation. (14% of total revenue) (4.2% of total revenue) (6.5% of total revenue)
Combined IT & Network OpEx
Up to $100 billion relates to staff Costs for passive network
working in network or IT infrastructure, which is not owned
by CSPs and therefore is OpEx
Note: Figures are sourced primarily from TM Forum’s analysis of CSPs’ 2020 financial results but also
include IDC’s esmate of $1.6 trillion in total global telecoms operator revenue for 2020. All figures are
esmates, and CapEx and OpEx figures are averages of high and low percentages of total spending.
TM Forum, 2021
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Section 4
Network spending billion a year on “people” costs in the IT example, says use of the company’s cloud
and network departments. Spending on native OSS/BSS solutions can reduce
The $163 billion that operators spend sites and energy amounts to $67 million. CSPs’ total cost of ownership by up to
on their networks today is made up of Based on this data, the total, combined 80% over a five-year period. Optiva also
passive and active mobile and fixed figure for network and IT OpEx is close to promises savings of up to 80%. The
infrastructure, such as radio access $275 billion or about 17% of revenues. company even includes a handy
network (RAN) equipment, switches calculator on its website to help CSPs
and routers, cables, and fiber ducts. As applications and workloads migrate estimate their potential savings by
CapEx also includes money spent on to the cloud, operational roles and moving applications to the cloud.
land and buildings, which comprises responsibilities will change and, in some
about 10% of CapEx, and on devices cases, disappear. Plus moving network The graphic below, reproduced from an
such as set-top boxes, which makes up functions to the cloud will alter energy Optiva screenshot, shows the calculation
9%. Only a small part of CapEx will requirements. Many open RAN the company produced for a mobile
ever be a target for cloud investment: protagonists argue that a new open operator in Brazil with more than 20
the computing elements that can be architecture will generate savings million customers, two thirds of whom
disaggregated and centralized. because current RAN architecture is are using prepaid services.
inefficient in its use of energy. Savings
Until now operators have been could also be made on site acquisition Another CSP technology partner, IT
reluctant to consider the public cloud and rental if less space is needed for integration specialist Torry Harris
for network expenditure, but as mobile computing functions. Integration Solutions, estimates that
operators roll out 5G core networks CSPs can make 40% cost savings
and push capabilities to the edge, this OSS/BSS savings through the avoidance of operational
could change. Virtualization of challenges such as frequent hardware
network functions has been taking Overall, the potential for cost savings upgrades, time spent on manual
place over several years, and many may be greater in the network than in IT deployments, prolonged development
operators plan to evolve to fully cloud- because network spending is so much and release cycles, and frequent
native core networks. Furthermore, higher than IT expenditure. However, production deployment roll-backs.
many large CSPs have committed to cost savings in IT may be more tangible
deploying open RANs which require and achievable in the short term. Migration begins
new centralized computing facilities,
A handful of cloud native software
most likely at the edge. Most CSPs have begun migrating IT
vendors, whose products are only
(and even some network) workloads to
available on the public cloud, are starting
IT moves to the cloud to make cost-saving claims for operational
private, public or hybrid clouds. We are
not aware of any mobile operators that
The $48 billion that CSPs spend on IT and business support systems (OSS/BSS)
have completely migrated to the public
CapEx is a prime target for public cloud that are so promising even the most
cloud, although many have business
providers. As operators go through the cautious telcos are taking notice.
units such as MVNOs which are fully
process of simplifying and transforming cloud native.
Mark Collins, Senior VP of Commercial
IT applications and workloads across
Product Management at ZephyrTel, for
the business, many will migrate IT
workloads to the public cloud. Similarly,
the $104 billion spent on combined Esmated total-cost-of-ownership savings over 5 years
network and IT OpEx is a target. 48m
$42,016,260
In our analysis of OpEx breakdowns in 42m
Section 3, we separated the costs for 38m
$7,171,200
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Section 4
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Section 4
AI & automation graphic on page 24), while the AI group some cases, CSPs will need to be able to
is working on standards and best expose the right data at the right time.
Migration to the cloud does not always practices for AI and AIOps (AI in This requires a broad data governance
result in savings, and the real driver for operations). strategy, which TM Forum members
moving many applications and also are addressing with development of
workloads to the cloud may be agility. During an ongoing Catalyst proof of the AIOps Service Management
However, when cloud technologies are concept, the AIOps team developed Framework. In other cases, applications
used with other new technologies like AI eight use cases that cut across customer and workloads will have to be moved to
and machine learning, the potential to experience, quality of service, business the cloud to support the use case.
drive deeper cost savings can really kick performance and efficiency:
in with automation. Predicting and preventing poor Nevertheless, there are real examples of
customer experience operators working with technology
Strategy consulting firm BCG reckons suppliers today to deploy new solutions
that the use of AI at scale across a CSP’s Predicting churn and using proactive
and capabilities that are enabled by
value chain could result in a 10% techniques to retain customers
automation. Blue Prism claims that its
increase in total revenues and a 20% Accurately monitoring service levels customers are saving 30% to 40% on
reduction in costs. A TM Forum survey Identifying potential faults and their OpEx by using intelligent automation in
for an upcoming report about root causes in 5G networks before customer contact centers. Other
autonomous networks finds that two the issues generate impacts or benefits include better customer
out of three CSP respondents see cost outages experience and lower churn.
savings as a key driver for adopting Preventing customer complaints
automaton and AI (see below). They see Similarly, transforming or even
Performing preventive maintenance eliminating network operations
the biggest potential for savings in
activities centers (NOCs) leads to OpEx savings.
network operations, network
performance and customer care. Deploying an intelligent operations Finnish telco Elisa claims to have an
and maintenance (O&M) framework entirely automated NOC, with people
TM Forum members are working on for home broadband services intervening only when there is a major
automation and AI as part of the Establishing closed-loop service problem. To do this, the company has
Autonomous Networks and AI & Data assurance to continuously improve had to automate alarms in the network
Analytics projects. The Autonomous service quality and O&M efficiency and program machines to fix the
Networks team has described the levels problem.
of automation that CSPs’ networks and Quantifying the potential savings AIOps
operations will go through on the way to could generate is difficult, and many of Vodafone Group is also embracing
becoming fully autonomous (see the the use cases will be hard to deploy. In zero-touch operations in its NOCs.
BSS funcons
67.7% 27.4% 4.8%
(mainly billing & charging)
Product teams
30.7% 53.2% 16.1%
Customer care/experience/
29.0% 54.8% 16.1%
engagement
TM Forum, 2021
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Section 4
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Section 4
“
The CSP does not need to invest in make a strong business case for the
physical hardware – this is the job of use of public cloud.
the public cloud provider. So, logically
this means that there is no need to When telcos start to sanction and
look at a three- or five-year cycle. The encourage the use of public cloud It requires constant
question is whether operators are services, there is a risk that total,
organization-wide expenditure will not attention as if you’re
ready to make investment decisions
that will bring longer-term benefits. be optimized or managed. In a public looking after your own
cloud environment, there is little to
How costs are allocated and stop any part of the organization from
garden,” Bell explains.
accounted for can affect decisions developing its own systems and “It’s not like hardware
about whether to move applications to deploying cloud assets as it sees fit.
the public cloud. For example, some
where you take the
CSPs use separate departments to Without the right controls in place, view that if you’ve got it
manage IT infrastructure and IT spending on usage-based public cloud
software and services. If the owner of services can surge dramatically. you’ll find a use for it.”
IT infrastructure has a powerful role Nathan Bell, Chief Digital Officer at
within the organization and can make M1, recognizes that operators need to
In the final section, we offer guidance
the case that private data centers are constantly monitor their usage of
CSPs can use to embrace new
an important part of the overall value public cloud in order to manage costs.
technology and reduce costs.
of the business, it may be difficult to
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Section 5
Make it happen – Strategies for
reducing costs
It will become increasingly difficult for communications service providers (CSPs) to reduce costs
through departmental budget cuts, especially when many large telcos have already made steep cuts.
They must embrace new technologies like cloud, automation, machine learning and AI to reduce
OpEx further – and impress existing and potential investors. Following are recommendations to help
CSPs reduce costs as part of their efforts to transform digitally:
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Section 5
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Cloud technologies and related automation offer great promise for improved operational
performance. Accelerated by the pandemic and challenges it introduced, embracing cloud
technologies is critical for CPSs that want to maintain and improve customer experience and
satisfaction. It is especially true given remote work limitations, lack of resource accessibility, and the
continued pressure to cut costs across network, IT, and operations.
The areas that can benefit from cloud, facilitated by standardized cross- overall cost reductions on Opex and
automation, and accompanying massive system integrations. Capex, and opportunities afforded
cost reductions are: through new business and improved
Operational processes customer experience.
Care and customer management CSPs can improve and optimize IT
The digital era and pandemic have and network infrastructure, improve Optiva, a leading cloud-native
driven customers to adopt digital and reduce costs related to software monetization solution provider, has
services while increasing their management across the different adopted cloud technologies and
expectations for instant availability, systems, and automate and optimize associated automation capabilities and
visibility, and self care. network management and inventory. methodologies as a core capability for
its products. These help deliver
Business processes As CSPs navigate through the significant cost savings to customers
Heavy processes with multiple cloudification and automation journey, through its charging engine and BSS
stakeholders across the organization it is recommended they take a holistic stack. The cloud adoption journey
can be transformed into efficient approach and maintain the right provides critical business benefits,
actions that rely on easy balance between operational including agility, competitive edge, and
configuration through UIs that are automation benefits, the potential of improved time to revenue.
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Optiva’s strategy embeds capabilities lifecycle management, reducing Enable automated optimization of
that drive automation and cost savings associated Opex and Capex. processing needs in a distributed
across its product, delivery, and environment between central and
operations, including: Meanwhile, CSPs are ensured the edge deployment and reduce
introduction of new features, the interconnect operational costs.
1. Fast time to revenue with a latest OEM and security layer, and the
centrally managed product capability to launch new services 3. Seamless and high-quality
ahead of their competition with delivery of new functionalities
framework
decreased operational burden.
with Optiva Testing Framework
A centrally managed strategy is
2. Cross-system automated Optiva framework for automated testing
common in public cloud products, and
fulfillment and orchestration provides complete coverage of scenarios
it leverages cloud automation tools
for all of its capabilities and
and decomposed cloud-native
Charging is a critical element for new functionalities across the Optiva
architecture for development and
5G and IoT monetization portfolio. The framework is continuously
delivery. It ensures that all product
opportunities. Therefore, Optiva enhanced with flows based on customer
instances across Optiva’s broad global
focused on enabling automation requirements and new features,
customer base, either on private,
beyond its core domain and introduced executed automatically across the entire
public, or hybrid clouds, are always on
functional automation innovation to solution for each change and capability
the latest product version with a well-
support new services and improve rolled out. The automated testing today
defined automated CI/CD pipeline and
interconnect capabilities across the includes more than 5,000 test use cases
updated process. It enables a record-
different CSP ecosystem components. and allows the dramatic decrease of the
breaking launch of a greenfield
testing period and manual operational
installation on the cloud within eight Automate the E2E flow resources required to support them. It
weeks with a rich set of OOTB optimization between the BSS ensures that all user journeys and
pre-configured features, and thus it through its embedded policy experiences are approved before
allows operators to test fast new control and the network by utilizing launching a new service, perfecting the
services with lower investments and dynamic, instantaneous rules delivery of a seamless and fluid
operational costs. adoption on quota resources, customer experience. Optiva Testing
value-based handling of business Framework can be extended to CSPs for
Benefits also include periodic
products to meet new business additional use and allows further savings
automated rollouts of new
needs in 5G, IoT, and optimizing the on the CSP’s side.
functionalities without the need for
relevant network inventory.
major upgrades or heavy software
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4. Offering diversification with business UI and automated while ensuring business continuity and
zero-touch, integration-driven propagation of parameters across all excellent customer experience. These
the different modules for fast rollout include capabilities, such as:
open architecture
of new services, products, offerings,
partners, enterprises, etc., while Software automated self healing,
A decomposed cloud-native ensuring service availability for end
architecture that separates between eliminating heavy customization
management and cutting short the customers with full automation of
function, parameters, and databases the system runtime.
enables the use of configuration tools required business operations.
and business UI to introduce any new On the fly offering and charging Automated and zero-touch scalability
service or offering and integration to optimization through AI and and elasticity to react fast to capacity
other systems instead of heavy machine learning through open data needs to improve response time and
customizations activities and actions access and closed-loop feedback. ensure service availability.
that previously required heavy business
operations. These include: 5. 100% business continuity with Cloud-native design optimizes and
improves the use of compute
Open architecture with open APIs automated cloud management processing powers and allows
for zero-touch integrations in the infrastructure and software tools improved compute utilization.
ecosystem, facilitating real-time Implementing cloud software
business process optimizations. management tools, such as
Kubernetes, drives improved
Single point of configuration with a
operations and leads to efficiency
vast range of flexible capabilities in a
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Leading communications service providers (CSPs) worldwide are rapidly beating a path toward
greater automation. It is widely recognized that substantial advances must be made to deliver on
5G, internet of things (IoT) services, high performance edge applications, dynamic network slicing,
and autonomous networks.
“
In most cases, CSPs have begun to This focus on automation, agility,
transform and automate both their interoperability, and independence is a
networks and IT environments using massive change. CSPs must now
open source, cloud-native grapple with operating and automating
technologies. As networks are the open-source infrastructure that CSPs must now grapple
increasingly virtualized and BSS and will underpin their BSS, OSS, and
OSS transition to microservices, CSPs virtualized networks going forward. with operating and
need a common, open-source platform They will continue, however, to place automating the open-
that automates and orchestrates increasing carrier-grade demands, like source infrastructure that
container operations. This is necessary massive dynamic scalability, on their
to enable the massive on-demand technology platforms particularly as will underpin their BSS,
scale, carrier-grade stability, and complex 5G, IoT and autonomous OSS, and virtualized
substantial speed and efficiency gains network services come online. networks going forward.
expected of CSPs’ cloud-native
transformations. Container operations
and intelligent Intelligent automation adds value
An industry calling through data-driven analysis and
for change automation needed decision making that makes processes,
their designers and their users smarter
CSP leaders like Orange Group CEO As CSPs adopt open source and cloud
and more productive.
and GSMA Chair Stephane Richard native technologies, it is often because
have called publicly for a shift to open, they aim to containerize OSS and BSS Intelligent automation also helps CSPs
cloud-native technology, open APIs, and microservices as well as virtualized at any point in their digital
interoperability to reduce cost and network functions. Open-source transformation process to streamline
accelerate innovation. Richard argues container orchestration and operation, operations and lower opex. CSPs are in
that legacy costs must be left behind coupled with intelligent automation, are a transitional period where solutions
because carrying legacy systems necessary to address most CSPs’ sheer that combine new and legacy systems
forward can consume 40% of a CSP’s IT scale and to achieve advantages in speed, span private and public clouds, and on-
budget. He insists CSPs must embrace efficiency, and developer-friendliness. premises data centers.
cloud-native and open-source In large deployments like telecom IT Working across hybrid cloud
technologies across both IT and environments and networks, intelligent environments, intelligent automation
networks that are interoperable and automation is needed to sustain the frees operations teams from repetitive,
enable CSPs to be more self-sufficient in entire container environment. lower value tasks, hands-on lifecycle
software development and deployment.
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Legacy and cloud-native significant OPEX reduction to CSPs user is made possible through the
owing to: speed, agility and scalability offered
can and will co-exist in a cloud-native model of rendition.
n Processes and workflows –
Not all capability from legacy fit into the Automation & the ability to reuse ….bringing with it, savings due to:
microservices architectural model. assets (common services), is built
into every stage of the development 1. Avoidance of operational challenges
Infact, it isn’t even a best practice to
and deployment lifecycles. The use with legacy such as frequent
move all capability. When we
of automated tests, Continuous hardware upgrades, time consumed
decompose legacy, we identify
Integration/Continuous Delivery in manual deployments, prolonged
application components and data that
(CI/CD) processes etc. is mandated, development and release cycles,
can be containerized. With a deliberate
reducing time-to-market and costs. frequent production deployment
and careful data migration strategy and
rollbacks, etc. This enables our CSP
decomposition, a monolith can be split
n Infrastructure - Cloud Native customers to achieve annual savings
into a set of microservices. Parts of the
runtime architecture leverages of up to 40%.
monolith that cannot be decomposed is
automation to ensure operational
retained until it is re-engineered or 2. Hardware & Containerization –
stability through end-to-end
replaced with a third-party product or a Legacy systems traditionally are run
monitoring, system observability,
SaaS application. If the retained part on legacy hardware, which require
chaos-engineering. These aspects
exposes interfaces, it can be API- constant upgrades and capacity
align towards the SRE (Site
enabled as-is, using an integration tool. upliftment due to growing Digital
Reliability Engineering) discipline
The three models of co-existence and consumption and scaling needs.
that ensures smooth operations for
migration are shown in Fig 2: Models for Cloud Native is built on the
mission critical systems. The ability
legacy and cloud native to co-exist foundation of scalable and dynamic
to harness “as-a-service" models
and containerization, at the capacity provisioning, it introduces a
OpEx savings – how application level, greatly optimizes new dimension of automation in the
and why hardware investments traditional capacity management
practice leading to cost and time
The automation, agility and optimization n Business enablement - A fully native, savings of up to 50% annually.
elements in a Cloud Native world offer integrated experience to the end-
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Tools to standardize and security policies ( OAuth, HTTP-Basic, A stubbing automation tool:
etc. ). A token-based authentication AutoStub®
accelerate migration to model makes it highly secure.
cloud native AutoStub® is an automation tool for
A visual integration tool: Coupler API mocking. It has automatic data
Torry Harris helps IT leaders analyze, ‘Coupler’ is designed to model flows population capabilities configured for
extract and modernize functionality through configuration (drag-and- different response parameters. Its
from their legacy estate in a consistent drop) and expose them on a micro- intelligent mocking capability helps
manner for a standardized, accelerated gateway. It supports multiple design stateful data, across API
move to a cloud native setup. protocols such as SOAP, REST, JDBC, invocations. The tool is used to create
MQTT, JMS, etc. It offers node-based DevOps lifecycle automation for
The TMForum compliant “legacy to data flow modeling with configurable microservices by stubbing
cloud native kit” enables CSPs to properties for each node. dependencies for each microservice to
leverage ready-to-deploy digital tools, enable “testability” of each use case.
automation frameworks, and services. A deployment automation tool:
The kit accelerates reducing OpEx Deplomatic An API test automation tool:
costs, by building scale and efficiency Automaton™
while standardizing cloud native Deplomatic is an advanced deployment
components across group companies. automation tool. It is a container-based Automaton™ is a test automation tool to
environment provisioning tool, built on test API flows using a visual approach. It
A micro-gateway: DigitMarket™ Ansible, to provision a sandbox is extensible. It can test beyond APIs. Its
API Manager environment, for approval of workflow- API-driven approach helps trigger tests
based environment creation and from external scripts. It is used to create
The DigitMarket™ micro-gateway is continuous deployment. It can be DevOps lifecycle automation for
deployable as a standalone gateway exposed through APIs for easy microservices through test automation
instance to secure microservices. It integration into DevOps based for continuous integration. It can be
has configurable usage policies workflows (continuous deployment). configured to generate reports for each
(throttling, rate limiting, etc.) and test execution.
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“
Specific savings enabled by Torry Harris can migrate from legacy to cloud-native
automation tools at each stage of the environments with minimal risks.
development, deployment and
operations of cloud native applications High performance and
are captured in Table 1: Annual savings - scalable systems Legacy to cloud-native kit
Legacy to cloud native kit
The cloud-native environment achieved is TM-Forum open digital
Key benefits of legacy to through the kit can meet and exceed the architecture (ODA)
high-performance requirements that
cloud native kit: many enterprises need at the moment.
compliant, with tools and
The kit takes into account current and frameworks to help you
Migrating select legacy systems to a future scaling needs of your enterprise. progressively transition
cloud-native setup is an important step
in your journey to build digital Leverages legacy functionality your legacy applications to
ecosystems. And cloud-native will a cloud-native architecture”
propel your operational efficiency. The kit facilitates retention of what is
good about legacy. It helps leverage all
The legacy to cloud-native kit offers the your business differentiators built into
following advantages: your legacy systems over the years Watch the video to learn more:
rather than reinvent the wheel!
A standardized approach, TM
Forum compliant Legacy to cloud-native kit
CSPs can achieve their legacy n Lowers total cost of ownership
application migration goals faster n Reduces complexity
through automation with a TM Forum n Reduces time-to-market
compliant toolkit-based approach. You
have better predictability and n Eliminates technical debt
standardization in the journey to n Improves agility and scalability
establish your cloud-native setup. n Increases responsiveness
and flexibility
Easily managed
n Enables real-time insights
Legacy to CN kit is designed with
Contact us for your legacy
flexibility and simplicity in mind to
modernization, migration, and support
ensure that the migration of your legacy
initiatives. Accelerate with the “Legacy
systems is seamless and hitch-free.
to cloud native kit”: [email protected]
Cost effective and reliable migration www.torryharris.com
The L2CN kit is cost-effective and
guarantees high RoI. With this kit, you
Test Automation tool that provides a visual tool to model your APIs and
4 Automaton Reduces test automation effort by 30%
other application test scenarios
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TM Forum Open
Digital Framework
A blueprint for intelligent operations fit for the 5G era
The TM Forum Open Digital Framework (ODF) provides a migration path from legacy IT systems and processes
to modular, cloud native software orchestrated using AI.
The framework comprises tools, code, knowledge and standards (machine-readable assets, not just documents).
It is delivering business value for TM Forum members today, accelerating concept-to-cash, eliminating IT &
network costs, and enhancing digital customer experience.
Developed by TM Forum member organizations through our Collaboration Community and Catalyst proofs of
concept, building on TM Forum’s established standards, the Open Digital Framework is being used by leading
service providers and software companies worldwide.
The framework comprises TM Forum’s Open Digital Architecture (ODA), Learn more about member
together with tools, models and data that guide the transformation to collaboration
ODA from legacy IT systems and operations. If you would like to learn more
about the Open Digital
Open Digital Architecture Transformation Tools Framework, or how to get involved
n Architecture framework, n Guides to navigate digital in the TM Forum Collaboration
common language and design transformation Community, please contact
principles n Tools to support the migration George Glass.
n Open APIs exposing business from legacy architecture to ODA
services
Maturity Tools & Data
n Standardized software
n Maturity models and readiness
components
checks to baseline digital
n Reference implementation and
capabilities
test environment
n Data for benchmarking
progress and training AI
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Section Title
Commercial Manager,
Digital Marketing Research & Media:
Manager: Tim Edwards
Anna Kurmanbaeva Senior Analyst
[email protected] [email protected]
© 2021. The entire contents of this publication are protected by copyright. All rights reserved. The Forum would like to thank the sponsors and advertisers who have enabled the
publication of this fully independently researched report. The views and opinions expressed by individual authors and contributors in this publication are provided in the writers’
personal capacities and are their sole responsibility. Their publication does not imply that they represent the views or opinions of TM Forum and must neither be regarded as
constituting advice on any matter whatsoever, nor be interpreted as such. The reproduction of advertisements and sponsored features in this publication does not in any way imply
endorsement by TM Forum of products or services referred to therein.
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