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Stats Medic - Randomness and Probability

1. The document discusses tracking Mrs. Gallas' free throw shots to determine her free throw percentage. It has the student record the number of made shots and total shots over multiple attempts. 2. It asks the student to make a guess of Mrs. Gallas' true free throw percentage based on the recorded shot data. 3. It has the student sketch a graph displaying the proportion of made free throws over the multiple attempts.

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Daniel Vladislav
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148 views

Stats Medic - Randomness and Probability

1. The document discusses tracking Mrs. Gallas' free throw shots to determine her free throw percentage. It has the student record the number of made shots and total shots over multiple attempts. 2. It asks the student to make a guess of Mrs. Gallas' true free throw percentage based on the recorded shot data. 3. It has the student sketch a graph displaying the proportion of made free throws over the multiple attempts.

Uploaded by

Daniel Vladislav
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
Available Formats
Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Name: Hour: Date:

How good is Mrs. Gallas at free throws?

Mrs. Gallas thinks she is a pretty good free throw shooter. How many free throws would you
like to see Mrs. Gallas shoot before you could be confident guessing her free throw
percentage? We’ll watch Mrs. Gallas shoot free throws, when you are confident make a guess
at her free throw percentage.

1. As each shot is attempted, keep track of the number of made free throws and the total
number of shots attempted in the table below. When you think you know Mrs. Gallas’
true free throw percentage, stop recording the shots.

Shot # 1 2 3 4 5 10 15 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
Result
(Make or Miss)
Proportion of
Makes

2. What do you think Mrs. Gallas’ true free throw percentage is?

3. Sketch the graph displaying the proportion of made free throws.

4. How could you make your guess more accurate?

5. Mrs. Gallas has a ____% probability of making a free throw. Interpret this probability.
Name: Hour: Date:

The Idea of Probability


Important ideas:

Check Your Understanding


1. Use 4 of the following probabilities to complete the middle column of the table, then give an
example of an event may have this probability. Probabilities: 0, 0.001, 0.3, 0.6, 0.99, 1

Probabilit
Explanation Example
y
This outcome is impossible. It can never
occur.
This outcome is certain. It will occur on every
trial.
This outcome is very unlikely, but it will occur
once in a while in a long sequence of trials.
This outcome will occur more often than not,
but doesn’t occur almost every time.

2. In the Wheel of Fortune, there is a 1/9 = 11.1% probability of spinning “Bankrupt” on any given
spin. Interpret the probability.

3. In 9 consecutive spins of the Wheel of Fortune, none of the spins land on “Bankrupt”. The next
contestant worries that he is more likely to land on Bankrupt now because Bankrupt is due.
Explain why this thinking is wrong.

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