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20 - 20 Project Management - Marks, Tony

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Khaled Rafi
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© © All Rights Reserved
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i

20:20 Project
Management
ii

THIS PAGE IS INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK


iii

20:20 Project
Management
How to deliver on
time, on budget
and on spec

Tony Marks
iv

Publisher’s note
Every possible effort has been made to ensure that the information contained in this book
is accurate at the time of going to press, and the publishers and author cannot accept
responsibility for any errors or omissions, however caused. No responsibility for loss or
damage occasioned to any person acting, or refraining from action, as a result of the material
in this publication can be accepted by the editor, the publisher or the author.

First published in Great Britain and the United States in 2012 by Kogan Page Limited

Apart from any fair dealing for the purposes of research or private study, or criticism or review,
as permitted under the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988, this publication may only be
reproduced, stored or transmitted, in any form or by any means, with the prior permission in
writing of the publishers, or in the case of reprographic reproduction in accordance with the terms
and licences issued by the CLA. Enquiries concerning reproduction outside these terms should be
sent to the publishers at the undermentioned addresses:

120 Pentonville Road 1518 Walnut Street, Suite 1100 4737/23 Ansari Road
London N1 9JN Philadelphia PA 19102 Daryaganj
United Kingdom USA New Delhi 110002
www.koganpage.com India

© Tony Marks, 2012

The right of Tony Marks to be identified as the author of this work has been asserted by him in
accordance with the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988.

ISBN 978 0 7494 6608 4


E-ISBN 978 0 7494 6609 1

British Library Cataloguing-in-Publication Data

A CIP record for this book is available from the British Library.

Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data

Marks, Tony.
20:20 project management : how to deliver on time, on budget and on spec / Tony Marks.
p. cm.
Includes index.
ISBN 978-0-7494-6608-4 – ISBN 978-0-7494-6609-1  1. Project management.  I. Title.
II. Title: Twenty twenty project management.
HD69.P75M3675 2012
658.4’04–dc23
2012020097

Typeset by Graphicraft Limited, Hong Kong


Print production managed by Jellyfish
Printed and bound by CPI Group (UK) Ltd, Croydon, CR0 4YY
v

Co n t e n t s

Acknowledgements  ix
Using this book  x
About the author  xi

Introduction  1

01 Starting your project  29

Introduction  29
The project objectives  29
The business case  32
The project management plan (PMP)  38
The purpose of the project management plan  38
The project management plan (example)  38
Project success and benefits management  46
Benefits vs project success  47
Key performance indicators (KPIs)  53
Avoiding project failure  53
Twenty actions to help ensure project success  56
Project manager’s weekly checklist  60
Ten tips for guaranteed failure  62
Financial evaluation in projects  63
Things to consider  68
Conclusion  69
Case study: Starting projects at Subsea 7  70

02 Defining your project  77

Introduction  77
The product breakdown structure (PBS)  78
The work breakdown structure (WBS)  78
The organizational breakdown structure (OBS)  80
The cost breakdown structure (CBS)  80
The responsibility assignment matrix (RAM)  81
Assigning responsibilities to tasks  82
Steps in developing a breakdown structure  82
Common-sense guidelines  83
Requirements management  85
Why do we need requirements management?  86
vi Contents

Project programme planning  87


When to use programmes  87
How to set them up  88
Managing programmes  89
Consolidations  89
Things to consider when defining your project  90
Conclusion  93
Case study: Halliburton and project definition  94

03 Planning your project  97

Introduction  97
Scope management  99
Analysing the network  104
Dependencies  104
Estimating  104
The forward pass  105
Float  108
Critical path  110
Project resources  112
Managing the schedule  116
Things to consider when planning  121
Conclusion  123
Case study: Planning the AMEC way  124

04 Executing your project  129

Introduction  129
Set the measure  129
Cost reporting  130
Information for updating project progress  134
What are the benefits?  138
Change control  150
Project close-out and handover  153
Things to consider when executing a project  155
Conclusion  157
Case study: WGPSN project management framework  157

05 Risk and your project  163

Introduction  163
Risk cultures  164
Stage 1: risk identification  172
Stage 2: risk impact analysis  178
Stage 3: probability analysis  180
Contents Contents vii

Stage 4: risk exposure  181


Stage 5: mitigation strategy  185
Stage 6: risk monitoring and review  187
Things to consider with risk and your project  202
Conclusion  203
Case study: Managing risk the Mott MacDonald way  203

06 Estimating your project  211

Introduction  211
The importance of estimating  211
Estimating techniques  212
Introduction to estimating  212
The importance and practical difficulties of estimating  213
The estimating funnel  213
Classes of estimate  214
Estimating techniques  215
Uncertainty and risk  222
Summary of the basic rules for estimating  223
Common mistakes  224
Things to consider when estimating  224
Conclusion  225
Case study: Estimating the AMEC way  226

07 Project leadership  233

Introduction  233
Leadership vs management  234
Leading in a project environment  235
Visionary  246
Articulation of the vision  247
Preparing the vision  247
Tools and approaches  248
Motivation  248
Conflict management  252
Conflict resolution summary  258
Case study: Leadership at Southwest Airlines  259

08 Teams and your project  261

Introduction  261
Team requirements  262
Team development  271
Developing the project team  274
Team chemistry  276
viii Contents

Things to consider  283


Conclusion  285
Case study: W L Gore  285
Team health check  286

Glossary of terms  289


Index  303
ix

Ac k n o w l e d g e m e n t s

T his book is the culmination of nearly 30 years of project management in


practice, with 12 of those years consulting and teaching in some of the
world’s leading organizations. Inevitably this means that much of the theory
and experience contained in this book have come from learning from other
people’s successes and failures. Much has also been drawn from the profes-
sional bodies that have helped collate best practice in project management.
These people are too numerous to mention but there are a number of people
who have made specific and valued contributions to this book.
First and foremost I would like to thank Graham Chapman, with whom
I co-founded 20|20 Business Group eight years ago. A lifelong friend and
colleague, Graham has contributed most towards the content of this book.
I know of no better project management facilitator and Graham has travelled
the world teaching best practice to a wide range of organizations, especially in
the energy sector. His knowledge of project management, and especially
project teams and leadership, has been invaluable in helping with this book.
Amongst my colleagues at 20|20, Dave Gilbert, Jim Littlefair and Pete Walters
have helped to edit the text, and Tomas Havlik has painstakingly helped ready
the manuscripts for publication.
The case studies are an invaluable part of this book, providing the reader
with examples of the practical application of theory, tools and techniques.
I would like to thank Iain Sutherland of Talisman Energy (Canada), Craig
MacFarlane from Subsea 7 (Norway), Bob Davidson from Halliburton (UK
and USA), Shane Forth and Neil Atkinson from AMEC (UK), Alan Baxter and
Orlando Ovalles from Wood Group PSN (Global), Dave Phillips and Doug
Wilson from Mott MacDonald (Global) for their significant contributions. All of
these contributors have busy project roles and have taken time out to help
with this book.
I would also like to thank Mick Cope of Wizoz for encouraging me for too
many years to write this book and Liz Gooster, editor-at-large with Kogan Page
for encouraging me to stick to my project plan! I delivered on spec, on budget
and – nearly – on time. But those are the compromises of project management
in the real world.
Finally I would like to thank my wife, Alison, who has supported me
throughout my life in project management.
x

Using this book

T his book is organized for the reader’s convenience to follow a project life
cycle. This is for two purposes:
●● Whilst the reader may read the book from cover to cover before
embarking on a project initially, it is envisaged that each chapter can
then be read and absorbed in more detail before a particular phase
of the project life cycle commences.
●● The author recognizes that some project managers may have taken
over a project part of the way through the project life cycle. It is
therefore useful to be able, for reference, to go directly to the relevant
chapter(s).
The book is also organized into two main sections:
●● Chapters that follow the project life cycle (Starting your project,
Defining your project, Planning your project, Executing your project).
●● Chapters that are relevant or useful throughout the project life cycle
(Risk and your project, Estimating your project, Project leadership,
Teams and your project, and the Glossary of terms).
Each chapter is also divided into subsections as follows:
●● Introduction;
●● Best practice;
●● Things to consider;
●● Conclusion;
●● Case study.
Finally, there is a continuously updated online resource available at
www.2020projectmanagement.com to provide further case studies, white
papers, project management templates, discussion forums, useful links and
details of useful supporting services.
xi

A b o u t t h e au t h o r

Tony Marks is the Chief Executive of 20:20 Business Insight, the UK’s
largest specialist Project Management Training and Consultancy company,
with offices in Scotland, England, the United States and the Czech Republic
and partners in Scandinavia, West Africa and the Middle East. He has 30 years’
experience in project management – delivering high value projects, consulting
and teaching in a wide range of sectors including utilities, nuclear, oil and gas,
engineering, construction, IT and telecoms.

Tony is accredited by all three professional bodies including The Project


Management Institute (PMI)’s ‘Project Management Professional’ credential,
The Association for Project Management (APM)’s ‘APM Professional’, and
The APM Group’s ‘Prince 2 Practitioner’. He is also a Fellow of The Association
for Project Management (The UK body of an international association covering
55 countries), a Fellow of The Chartered Management Institute, a Fellow of
The Institute for Leadership Management, and a member of The Project
Management Institute. Tony also holds an MBA majoring in Project Manage­
ment Systems and Administration.

Tony is a lecturer and examiner for The University of Aberdeen on their MSc
in Project Management course. He has written the Project Management
Handbook for NHS Capital Projects and edited Project Management Hand­
books for a number of commercial companies. He lives in Scotland but travels
extensively.
xii

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1

Introduction


Operations keeps the lights on, strategy provides a light at
the end of the tunnel, but project management is the train
engine that moves the organization forward.  Joy Gumz

T his chapter sets the scene regarding some of the fundamentals to a


successful project, some of which will be discussed in greater detail in
later chapters.
The following sections of this chapter discuss the basics of projects, project
management and the project management process.
Projects come in many guises from major engineering projects such as
shipbuilding, aerospace and oil and gas production to small changes to existing
company processes. However wide-ranging in size, projects will all have the
same common attributes.
Project management and projects are defined by the UK’s Association for
Project Management as:

the process by which projects are defined, planned, monitored, controlled


and delivered such that the agreed benefits are realized. Projects are unique
transient endeavours undertaken to achieve a desired outcome. Projects bring
about change and project management is recognized as the most efficient
way of managing such change.

Projects almost always have the following characteristics:


1 clear objective(s);
2 constraints of cost, quality and time;
3 a fixed timescale;
4 a fixed budget;
5 a team of people;
6 little practice or rehearsal;
7 change and uncertainty;
8 uniqueness.
2 20:20 Project Management

Even if similar projects have been conducted several times they will still follow
the characteristics defined above and the uniqueness of a project may come
from one of the following:
1 a new team of people;
2 a new customer/client;
3 a different budget;
4 new technology;
5 a different timescale;
6 a different objective;
7 a different location;
8 different working conditions.

What is the purpose of a project?


The purpose of a project is to produce a unique product or service that will
deliver some benefit or purpose.
Projects can be categorized into two main areas: those that serve a business
purpose and those that serve a social purpose. The main aim of a business
project would be to deliver a benefit in terms of increased profitability, efficiency
or turnover. The aim of a social project would be to deliver a benefit in terms
of relaxation or enjoyment but often with the added benefit of a financial
reward.
The following are examples of some typical projects.

Ta b l e 0.1   Project types

Business projects Social projects

●● Marketing strategy project ●● House improvements


●● Conduct training programme ●● New car
●● Introduction of a new range of ●● Organizing a social function
products ●● Further education
●● Improvement programme to
increase quality of a product or
service
Introduction 3

Project management
Project management can be defined in several different ways but is probably
best summed up as the ‘process by which a project is brought to a successful
conclusion’. Or as the ‘discipline of managing projects successfully’.
Another common definition says that project management is:

to foresee as many dangers as possible, and to plan, organize and control


activities in such a way that risks are avoided or countered leading to a final
result that satisfies the requirements of the project sponsor without using
more money and resources than those which were included in the budget.

A project is considered successful when it meets the criteria stated at its


outset.

Using a structured methodology


for project management
In an environment where there are no standardized procedures for project
management, projects are undertaken in an unpredictable manner, with
potentially different techniques and ways of working – all leading to inefficiencies
within an organization. Project management methods are employed in order
to incorporate best practice procedures, providing a consistent, reusable set
of guidelines for those people involved in working on projects.
Project management processes can be developed in house for larger
organizations, or they can be adopted through organizations such as the
International Project Management Association (IPMA) – which has national
associations in most countries, the Project Management Institute (PMI) which
has chapters in most countries, or open methods such as PRINCE2, which is
owned and maintained by the Cabinet Office in the UK for use in both the
private and public sector.
The benefits of using a standard method are:
●● Provision of a consistent approach to all projects within an organization.
●● A scalable approach that can be used on both large and small projects.
●● It increases the chances of successfully achieving objectives.
●● It develops an environment to allow continuous development in project
management processes.
●● It develops common understanding of the various project roles and
responsibilities (including stakeholders).
4 20:20 Project Management

Project management methods may be based around a project life cycle (see
later section) and will include:
●● process descriptions for each phase of the cycle;
●● inputs and outputs for each process;
●● documentation guidelines and templates;
●● guidelines covering the structure of the project organization,
accountability, responsibility and communications;
●● role definitions for all those involved in a project;
●● a set of procedures to be used throughout the life cycle.
Procedures will set out the steps to be followed in order to perform project
management processes. Organizations new to project management may
only have a small number of procedures; the number is likely to grow as their
experience and expertise grow. Development of these procedures can fall
under the remit of a Project Management Office (pmo).

Which methodology?
Earlier in this chapter we identified three different professional bodies for
project management – the IPMA, the PMI and the Cabinet Office’s PRINCE2
methodology. Some organizations adopt a set standard globally. Some adopt
the most popular for their region (typically IPMA in Europe and PMI outside
Europe) and some adopt the most popular for their sector (PRINCE2 is
prevalent in government, finance and information technology sectors). For this
reason you will find no advice in this book on the correct methodology to
follow. Instead, you will find the author’s selection of the most useful tools
and techniques and a project life cycle around which they can be based. This
does not detract from the author’s acceptance that these methodologies
have much to offer. However, they need to be assessed against the specific
needs of the organization and the project. No methodology is perfect, each
having strengths and weaknesses and providing a well-defined route map for
successful project management.

The International Project Management


Association
The International Project Management Association (IPMA) is based in
Switzerland and can be found at www.ipma.ch. As a body it consists of around
50 (and growing) national associations. Each of these national associations
maintains a national competency baseline (NCB) which is based on and
aligned to the IPMA’s international competency baseline (ICB) to ensure that
competency requirements of project managers across the association are
broadly common. Some of the larger national associations include the UK’s
Introduction 5

Association for Project Management (APM), France’s AFITEP, Norway’s NAPM


and, whilst the IPMA is primarily a Europe-centric organization, national
associations exist as far afield as Australia and the United States. The IPMA
membership is maintained through its national associations and each has an
accreditation framework aligned to a common IPMA standard – the bench-
mark qualifications being IPMA Levels D, B, C & A.
The IPMA international competence baseline (ICB) underpins a ‘syllabus’
based on a high-level ‘body of knowledge’ for project managers. It tends to
state the skills and behaviours required whilst being less specific and process
based than the other methodologies. This suits many organizations which
then build on this framework their own specific detail.

The Project Management Institute


The Project Management Institute (PMI) has several hundred thousand
individual members who are linked to their national ‘chapters’ but the organ­
ization is much more centralized than the IPMA. The PMI has many hundreds
of chapters which provide an opportunity to meet locally.
The PMI’s ‘Body of knowledge’ is much more detailed than the IPMA
ICB and is built around a series of process groups and knowledge areas. This
process-based approach is more in depth and prescriptive and suits those that
are seeking a clear step-by-step and detailed approach.
The PMI offers a wide range of resources via its website at www.pmi.org
and its benchmark qualification of Project Management Professional (PMP) is
recognized globally. Whilst the PMP qualification is based on a similar knowl-
edge level as the IPMA’s Level D qualification, it does require candidates to
register a minimum numbers of hours of actual experience at each stage of a
project life cycle.

PRINCE2
PRINCE2 is probably the most prescriptive of all the internationally recognized
methodologies. Originating from a methodology for the information technology
sector called PROMPT, PRINCE (and then PRINCE2) has been a favourite
governmental standard for many years – originating in the United Kingdom but
now used internationally where it has followed its early sectors of government,
public sector, finance and information technology. PRINCE2 is a complete
methodology based on detailed processes and templates.
PRINCE2 has a reputation for being highly prescriptive and cumbersome.
However, it is much maligned as it does provide guidance for mandatory and
optional elements. The problem tends to come from a dogmatic implementa-
tion of the full methodology by some organizations.
Usefully, much of the PRINCE2 resource base is available in the public domain
via websites such as http://www.cabinetoffice.gov.uk/ and the complete
methodology is available at a low cost.
6 20:20 Project Management

The benchmark qualifications are the PRINCE2 Foundation and PRINCE2


Practitioner knowledge-based qualifications.

Which methodology?
The truth is that it depends. Over the years the three main internationally
recognized methodologies have become much more aligned and the main
differences are now terminology based or how broad or prescriptive a meth-
odology is required as a starting point. But a starting point they should be.
Each offers a benchmark for assessing knowledge, but need to be considered
against the type and scale of projects being managed within an organization.

Compromises of cost, time and quality


The greatest challenge of project management is the integration and control
of the three principal interrelated components of each single project.

F i g u r e 0.1   The triangle of compromises

Cost
Sc
y

he
alit

du
Qu

SCOPE
le

Time Quality
Budget

The cost, time, quality triangle implies a tension between the three components
such that if any one of the components was to be changed, then it would
have an impact on one, or both, of the others. Thus in order to meet the cost
objective there may need to be a sacrifice of time or quality. Or in order to
meet a quality constraint a sacrifice of either time or cost may be needed.
Scope sits in the centre of the triangle as any changes to time, cost and
quality will have an impact on the scope and any changes to the scope will
have an impact on the time, cost and quality of the project.
It can also be seen in the above triangle if the scope is changed in any way
it could have an effect on one or more of the three main drivers.
However, it is important to add that safety is paramount in all projects and,
unlike time, cost and quality should not be compromised.
Introduction 7

The project context


To ensure a successful project it is important to understand and appreciate
the project context. This is sometimes referred to as the project environment
and refers to the influences that will affect the project both internally and
externally. This in turn will dictate how a project will be managed. Failure to
take into account the environment within which the project is undertaken will
mean that the scope of the project will not be properly defined.
The main influences can be highlighted and identified using the PESTLE
model.

Political
What political influences are impacting on the organization’s ability to deliver?
What is the political climate? What political stakeholders need to be con­
sidered? What influences are there politically within the project organization,
the client and subcontractors? Are there regulatory bodies that will be involved
or asserting an influence on the project?

Environmental
Are there any environmental issues that will influence the project’s success,
eg where will the project be carried out, offshore, onshore, will there be
a potential of environmental damage or even enhancement of delivery or an
environmental benefit?

Social
In terms of cultural or family values. The project may bring a benefit to the local
community in terms of an enhancement to their environment. It could also
be a negative, whereby jobs are lost due to the running of the project.

Technological
Does the equipment we require to carry out the project exist? Are there
sufficient communications or IT to carry out the project?

Legislation
What legal status will the project operate under, will it be subjected to differing
legal entities, is it cross cultural? What legal system will the contractual
terms be drawn up in and how will that influence the project operation? Are
there any specific legal drivers that will need to be adhered to, eg HSE, EC
directives, etc?
8 20:20 Project Management

Economic
This will include exchange rates, employment, inflation, licences, energy savings
and reductions, safety issues, ie accidents/damage, etc, effects on health and
welfare, improved productivity, positive changes in land use and land values,
etc, effects on pollution and waste.
This model is sometimes also known as STEEPLE: sociological, technological,
economic, ethical, political, legal, environmental.
By understanding the project context the project can be managed in the
most appropriate way and the influences considered and addressed, eg a
project that is very political and environmentally influenced and visible would
need a different management approach than a project that was being run
internally by an organization with few external influences.

The project life cycle (PLC)


Every project has certain phases of development. A clear understanding of
these phases permits managers and executives to control the project more
efficiently.
By definition, a project has a beginning and an end and passes through
several phases of development known as life cycle phases. These phases are
varied depending on the industry involved but all follow the same basic steps.
The five main phases of the project life cycle we will be using in this book are
defined below.

F i g u r e 0.2   A generic project life cycle

Start-up Project objectives defined

Definition Define the scope

Work defined in detail including


Planning
budgets and resources

Activities worked on,


Execution
monitored and controlled

Close-out Completion of work and review


Introduction 9

Ta b l e 0.2   Generic life cycle definitions

Start-up This phase is where the project objectives are defined


and the conceptual aspects of the project agreed.
This may be the phase where a problem is identified
and potential solutions suggested.

Definition Once the project objectives are clearly defined then the
appraisal of the solutions is conducted in terms of risks,
financial commitment and benefits. The scope of work is
now defined in detail.

Planning The planning phase is where the project is broken down


into manageable areas of work and planned in terms of
time, cost and resources. This is a continuous process
and will extend throughout the execution phase of the
project.

Execution The fourth phase of the project life cycle is the execution
phase, where the work is implemented, controlled and
monitored.

Close-out The final phase of the project life cycle is close-out and
demobilization, where resources are reassigned, the
project is handed over and the post-project review is
carried out.

Other project life cycles


It is important to realize that the project life cycle for each project may differ,
in both the number of phases it may have and the detail within each of these
phases.
The project life cycle below is a typical life cycle used in the development
and marketing of a new pharmaceutical drug.

F i g u r e 0.3   Pharmaceuticals life cycle

Business Testing and


Discovery Scoping Development Launch
Case Validation
10 20:20 Project Management

Typically the duration of a project like this will between seven and 25 years
with the testing and validation phase alone taking several years depending
on how many clinical trials are conducted. Typical costs are $800 million to
$1 billion.
The project life cycle below could represent the phases for the implemen-
tation of a new business process.

F i g u r e 0.4   New business process life cycle

Concept Feasibility Implement Operate

This project may only take several months but would still follow a structured
life cycle.
It is important to ensure the project life cycle used on your project is
appropriate to the work to be carried out and split into distinct and manageable
phases.

Project management processes


As discussed, all projects will have distinct phases within their project life
cycle. The project manager will need to apply appropriate project management
processes as the project progresses throughout its life cycle to ensure project
success.
The Project Management Institute (PMI) recommend five main project
management processes areas or groups organized as shown here.

F i g u r e 0.5   PMI process groups

Monitoring and
Controlling Process

Planning
Processes

Initiating Closing
Processes Processes

Executing
Processes
Introduction 11

Each of the five process groups interacts and overlaps (ie planning continues
alongside execution processes and activities). Equally, close-out activities and
processes can commence while execution processes and activities are being
carried out.
The diagram overleaf visually depicts the process overlap and the inter­
action and amount of overlap are indicated in the diagram below.

F i g u r e 0.6   PMI process overlaps

Planning Execution
Level of Process Interaction

Initiation

Closing

Monitoring
and Control

Time

The above diagram indicates substantial overlap amounts throughout project


management activities, highlighting the importance of recognizing project life
cycle (distinct delivery phases) and project management process (interactive
and overlapping project management process) differences.
Figure 0.7 on the following page shows how the relationship between the
project management processes and the project life cycle exists.
The project management processes can be applied to each phase of the
project ensuring each phase is initiated, planned, executed, monitored and
controlled and closed out.

The value of project management


Project management will allow you to break the project down into separate
phases, ensuring that each phase is given appropriate time and consideration.
A common failing within projects is the desire to get to the execution phase
as quickly as possible. By applying project management processes to each
phase you increase the chance of your project succeeding, as any changes or
adjustments to the project will be made at the outset, where it is easier and
more cost effective to make changes.
Figure 0.8 compares the potential to add value – or influence the project
– against the varying cost of change – against a timeline (the project life
cycle). It is an important reminder that changes made earlier are far cheaper
12

F i g u r e 0.7   PMI processes vs life cycle

Start-up Definition Planning Execute Close-out

Monitoring and Monitoring and Monitoring and Monitoring and Monitoring and
Controlling Process Controlling Process Controlling Process Controlling Process Controlling Process
Planning Planning Planning Planning Planning
Processes Processes Processes Processes Processes

Initiating Closing Initiating Closing Initiating Closing Initiating Closing Initiating Closing
Processes Processes Processes Processes Processes Processes Processes Processes Processes Processes

Executing Executing Executing Executing Executing


Processes Processes Processes Processes Processes
Introduction 13

F i g u r e 0.8   Value vs cost curves

Pot
ent

ge
Lev

ial t

an
Ch
el o

oA

to
f

dd

st
influ

Co
Val
enc

ue
e

Start-up Definition Planning Execution Close-out

than changes made late. It also emphasizes that a project manager can best
influence the chances of success in their project at the early stages, rather
than later when the project plan is fixed.
It also serves to highlight where project management should be focused
and that is in the early stages of the project. Although all areas are covered
in this book, most of the tools and techniques focus on the early stages of the
project.
Many organizations become very good at ‘firefighting’ project manage-
ment problems yet this is not something they should be proud of – it tends
instead to be a symptom that they place insufficient emphasis on the early
stages of a project life cycle, as we will see in this book.

Gate procedure
The stage gate process/procedure incorporates best practice from a variety
of sources and is a tried and tested method for delivering projects on time
within budget and to the expected quality targets. It defines the way in which
projects are managed and implemented and consists of a number of stages
with ‘gates’ or hold points between each stage. If we use the life cycle we
discussed previously we can see some of the typical gates that may be set up
through the project life.
14 20:20 Project Management

F i g u r e 0.9   Typical stage gate activities

Outline Plan Earned Value Report


Detailed Risk Register Scope Verification
Performance Measures set Progress Update
Stakeholder Analysis Actuals vs Forecast
Project Org Chart lssue Log
Business Case Detailed Schedule Customer Sign Off
Financial Review Cost Projections All Invoices Paid
Updated Risk Register Quality Plan Close Out Report
Stakeholders Identified Resource Allocation Lessons Learned

Start-up Definition Planning Execution Close-out

At each stage, approval is generally required from outside the project team before
proceeding to the next stage. The process requires documentary evidence at
each stage together with an indication of who is able to approve the project to
enable it to proceed through the gate to the next stage.
The stage gate process is a generic process which can be applied to any
size of project regardless of the industrial or commercial sector. However, the
level of detail required on the documentary evidence will be governed by the
nature, monetary value and complexity of the project.

Organizational structures
All organizations are structured differently due to the way that they operate
and according to their culture. The structure of an organization will affect the
way in which projects are managed and this will be determined by the types
and differences of organizational structures such as:
●● flat;
●● tall;
●● hierarchal;
●● matrix;
●● centralized and decentralized.
Introduction 15

The key features of an organization


All organizations irrespective of whether they are in the industrial, commercial
or public sector typically consist of the following features:
●● Objectives – Describe the specific direction of the organization to
enable them to establish, support and resource requirements to
enable projects to be completed to clients’ specifications and
standards.
●● Rules and regulations – Some of these may be written down such as the
expected levels of behaviour for all of the employees of the organization
(eg staff handbook), whilst others may not be written down but
should be recognized (eg the relationship between the boss and
their staff).
●● Patterns and structures – All organizations have established procedures
for undertaking the work which will be determined by the relevant
organizational structure.
●● Posts and offices – The people who have various responsibilities
and tasks to perform in order to meet the objectives of the
organization. These are most commonly depicted in an organizational
chart.
●● Chain of command – The organizational chart will also highlight the
official chain of command (eg who is responsible to whom within the
organizational structure).
●● Authority – Within the chain of command, there are also varying levels
of influence that are vested in the people who have been given the
responsibility to occupy these positions within the organizational
structure. The levels of authority and responsibility would normally
be clearly defined in individual job descriptions.
●● Records – All organizations need to have systematic and well organized
records. In a project context there will be documentary evidence at all
stages of the project life cycle.
The term ‘organizational structure’ refers to the way that it arranges people
and jobs so that the work can be performed and its objectives can be met.
When a work group or project team is small and face-to-face communication
is frequent, a formal structure may not be necessary. However, in larger
organizations or where there are a number of people engaged on a project,
there will need to be clearly defined roles and responsibilities and an estab-
lished process for the delegation of specific tasks.
In an organization of any size or complexity the role and responsibilities
of its staff are typically defined by what they do, who they report to and for
those with more authority and responsibility which staff reports to them.
These relationships would be illustrated in an organizational chart. The most
appropriate organizational structure will depend on many factors such as the
16 20:20 Project Management

range of business activities or projects it undertakes, the size of the organiza-


tion in terms of number of staff and the geographical dispersion of the whole
organization.

Types of organizational structure


The most common types of organizational structure have ‘spans of control’.
This refers to the number of staff that are directly responsible to one person.
The number of people that one person can supervise needs to be carefully
considered. The chain of command and the span of control create a pyramid
shape of the organization’s structure.
The extent of the chain and the nature of the span of control will determine
whether the organization has a ‘flat’ or ‘tall’ structure. Where the spans of
control are broader and there are fewer levels of authority, an organization is
deemed to have a ‘flat’ structure, as outlined below.

Flat structure

F i g u r e 0.10   A flat organizational structure

Project
Manager

Project 1 Project 2 Project 3 Project 4 Project 5 Project 6 Project 7

In contrast, where there are narrow spans of control and more layers of
authority an organization is deemed to have a ‘tall’ structure, as shown below.
Introduction 17

Tall structure

F i g u r e 0.11   A tall organizational structure

MD

Directors

Dep. Managers

Project Control

Project Control Supervisors

Senior Project Control Team-leaders

Project Control Team-leaders

Contractors

There is no single ideal combination of chain of command and span of


control for any particular organization. However, the fewer number of levels
tends to improve the decision-making and communication processes, but
limits the opportunities for promotion, whereas increasing the number of
levels could increase the opportunities for promotion and may slow down the
decision-making and communication processes, but offers a greater degree of
control as decisions are passed up through the organizational structure.

Hierarchal structure
Throughout the 20th century hierarchy was the traditional method of developing
an organization. Prior to the widespread use of information and communica-
tion technologies, hierarchal organizations were managed by detailed systems
and procedures.
18 20:20 Project Management

An example of a hierarchal organization structure is shown below.

F i g u r e 0.12   A hierarchical organizational structure

Chairman

Vice Chairman Vice Chairman Vice Chairman


Projects Marketing Finance

Forecasting Sales Manufacturing Purchasing Accounting Funding

Fabricating Assembling Tooling Shipping Quality Receiving

These types of organizations are tightly structured and there are manuals
and systems that govern everything that is undertaken by the organization.
A working example of this type of organization is that created by Henry Ford.

Matrix structures
In more recent times many organizations now have matrix structures, particularly
where there is an emphasis on project work. A project team is responsible for
managing a particular project and may consist of a number of individuals who
have the responsibility for specific aspects of the project such as planning,
scheduling, cost estimating, procurement, etc. It will be noted that these are
elements of project control.
One advantage of a matrix structure is that it facilitates the use of specialized
staff who may divide their time among a number of projects. In addition,
maintaining functional departments promotes functional expertise, whilst
working in project groups with expertise from other functions helps create the
cross-fertilization of ideas and strategies.
Introduction 19

However, the main disadvantage of the matrix structure is the dual report-
ing structure, as shown in the following example.

F i g u r e 0.13   A matrix organizational structure

Production Finance Marketing Administration

Project
Manager
for
Project 1

Project
Manager
for
Project 2

Project
Manager
for
Project 3

It can be seen from this example that the project manager brings together
people from across the various functional areas with their relevant levels of
expertise. Whilst the project manager has the responsibility for their own
project, the people within the functional area will still have their own manage-
ment reporting structure.
20 20:20 Project Management

Centralized structures
In centralized structures, major responsibilities within sections or units remain
at the centre of the organization, whereas in decentralized structures many
specific responsibilities are delegated away from the centre of the organiza-
tion, as shown below.

F i g u r e 0.14   A centralized organizational structure

Head Head
Office Office

Centralized vs decentralized
In a project context organizations may choose to centralize certain key functions
such as accounts and sales and decentralize day-to-day activities such as
procurement and planning/scheduling.

Challenges of using project management


An organization will face numerous challenges when using project management.
The various challenges will increase/decrease in severity dependent upon
an organization’s set-up. On one end of the spectrum is a functional organiza-
tion, an organization that runs very few projects and is not ideally set up to
deal with the specific rigours of project management. On the other end of the
spectrum is the projectized organization which makes a living by doing
projects. In the centre is the matrix organization which combines elements of
both functional and projectized organizations.
Introduction 21

Ta b l e 0.3   The challenges of Project Management

Time, cost The fundamental challenge faced by all organizations that


and quality wish to use project management is ensuring that their
projects deliver the agreed objectives within time, cost and
to the agreed quality. These factors must be balanced in
relation to the overall scope of the project.

Resources Projects rely on the effective employment of finite resources,


whether these are people, equipment or facilities – in
other words, anything required to complete a project
activity – and these will cost money. The organization faces
the challenge of ensuring that they make the most of these
finite resources.

People They are probably the most important resource on any


project and the challenge that an organization has to meet
when using project management relies on the efficient
utilization of those people. This is another area where the
severity of the challenge will depend upon the organization’s
attitude to projects (functional, matrix or projectized). It is,
however, vital that the right people are used, that they
receive the correct training and that they are clear on the
objectives of the project.

Technical Due to the unique nature of projects there will frequently


be the need to employ new technology. The challenge will
be dealing with this new technology: do we have the staff
who can use it, will they need training, does the technology
we require even exist or will we have to make it ourselves?

Legal An organization will have to deal with law and legislation


when embarking on a project. Project work frequently
involves working abroad and always includes the use of
contracts. The organization must therefore determine
which legal system they will employ for their project,
if they are working abroad. Depending on the nature of the
organization’s operations there will be certain industry-specific
legislation that must be followed.

Environment A project does not exist in a vacuum; in order to deliver


successful projects an organization must be aware of those
factors (both internal and external) that will have an impact
on the project.
22 20:20 Project Management

Benefits of using project management


By applying project management to your project you will be able to utilize
project management processes which will allow you to manage the attendant
uncertainty that a unique endeavour will bring.
Project management will offer a clear understanding of what needs to be
done to deliver the change that the project will bring about. This will include
the project’s success criteria as set out in the project management plan; also
through the use of a product breakdown structure (PBS) all of the project
products (deliverables) will be identified. From this a work breakdown structure
(wbs) can be created that details all of the work that will be required on the
project to complete the deliverables.
Through project management you can apply a structured methodology
which can then be applied to projects across an organization. Using a repeat-
able structure will ensure that staff involved in your organization’s projects
will have a clear understanding of the roles and responsibilities involved, thus
increasing the chances of project success.
Project management allows you to put in place monitoring processes
which can be used throughout the project. These monitoring processes will let
you know how your project is progressing, whether you are overspending or
have fallen behind on schedule, whether the quality of your deliverables are
failing to meet the standards set in your quality plan. Again when you think
about the unique nature of projects it is vital that you have a process in place
that permits you to see at any point in the project if things are going as
planned, and if they are not, giving you the ability to make corrections.

Things to consider
Don’t jump the gun
It is all too tempting to be focused on ‘making things happen’ and ‘getting into
delivery mode’ but the truth is that poor preparation leads to poor performance.
Planning the start-up, definition and planning phases requires as much focus
as the execution phase. Those that spend sufficient time in the early phases
will reap the benefits during project execution. The ‘Add value’ and ‘Cost of
change’ curves on the project life cycle diagram illustrate this perfectly.

Use a methodology and life cycle


Whether the IPMA, PMI, PRINCE2 or a home-grown methodology is selected,
the important thing is to have one and to follow it methodically within the
organization. Following best practice and using a consistent terminology, tools
and techniques are the key to project success.
Introduction 23

Remember to separate the interactive aspects of project management


processes used from that of the distinct phases of the project life cycle.

Use the most appropriate organizational structure


This chapter describes a number of different organizational structures. Using
the right one can mean the difference between success and failure. Changing
an organizational structure can be difficult, but managing a project where you
do not have control of the necessary resources can be setting yourself up for
failure.

The importance of project governance


Most of this chapter discusses governance issues – from organizational roles
and responsibilities through to stage gates for control. The case studies section
of this book gives a good example of project management governance in
practice.

Conclusion
This chapter has sought to set the scene for the management of your
project. The next chapters take the reader through each stage of a project life
cycle – offering guidance, case studies and important considerations.
This book is designed as a reference tool as well as an approach to
successful project management. Please feel free to use the elements that
help – every piece of advice heeded might save the project ... or the project
manager!
In the next chapter we will start to use a basic project as a simulation
where the application of the theories discussed can be seen to be used and
applied.

C a s e s t u dy   Introducing project governance at Talisman Energy

About Talisman
Talisman Energy is a global, diversified upstream oil and gas company, headquartered in
Canada.
Talisman Energy generate long-term shareholder value by delivering oil and gas projects
with world-class execution.
To support this goal, they have established the project delivery system (PDS). PDS
provides a consistent, disciplined process to project development, ensuring we do the
right projects and in the right manner.
24 20:20 Project Management

This process facilitates the structured development of business opportunities from


discovery well through to ‘first oil’. PDS is designed to provide:
●● a common language and process to guide project development;
●● integrated, multidisciplinary teamwork to deal with today’s complex projects;
●● a common understanding of minimum expectations and best practices;
●● a standardized governance model for project preparation and approvals.

Together these characteristics help to improve business delivery. PDS provides a decision-
making process that emphasizes both doing the right project and doing projects right to
maximize value for the company. It ensures we make effective use of different disciplines.
It reinforces good planning and forecasting, as well as a realistic assessment of risks.
It eliminates surprises and increases project predictability.
Talisman’s Project Delivery System (PDS) has three core elements:
●● Stage gate process: PDS is based on a stage gate process of phased project
development and commitments.
●● People to deliver PDS: Successful project development depends on our ability to
harness the talents and skills of many people in our organization.
●● Governance: PDS provides a comprehensive governance framework so that the right
oversight is provided throughout the project life cycle.

F i g u r e 0.15   Talisman PDS elements

1 2 3
PEOPLE TO
STAGE GATE PROCESS DELIVER PDS GOVERNANCE
+ +
Appraise, select, Integrated Effective decision-
define, execute, development team making
operate

PDS involves a phased project development process supported by a Development Team


and governance structure. The three elements of PDS work together so that we can carry
out the right projects in the right way, maximizing value for Talisman.

When do we use PDS?


PDS defines how to carry out projects at Talisman and is the required approach for planning
and executing our major capital projects. All Talisman-operated projects involving more
than US$50 million (gross) are required to comply with the PDS Global Standard. These are
large projects where risk exposure can be significant. In addition, all non-operated projects
greater than US$100 million (net to Talisman) should follow a process consistent with PDS.
Introduction 25

The stage gate process


PDS is based on a five-stage gate system of phased project development. At the end of
each stage, staff are required to answer key questions about a project’s development:
●● Appraise (Is there a technically and commercially viable business case?)
●● Select (Have we selected the best alternative?)
●● Define (Is the project sufficiently defined for sanction?)
●● Execute (Is the project ready for operation?)
●● Operate (Does the operating asset meet original sanction objectives?)

Why implement PDS?


●● Project teams get clear expectations on what to do and what not to do, templates
and guidelines to help them with project delivery, a central point of reference for
guidance.
●● Management gets consistent level of detail, consistent information presentation,
consistent quality, more efficient decision making, and ability to intervene when
required. A standardized approach to delivering projects.
●● Talisman gets improved project delivery and predictability, which lead to improved
results.

The PDS process


The Project Development team produce the initial PDS road map. The road map provides
a simple, visual summary of the work to be performed in each stage of the project,
from initiation through start-up and handover to Operations. It highlights the key elements
of the stage gate process from project initiation through start-up and handover to
Operations. (This is reviewed and updated during each stage gate.)
26

F i g u r e 0.16   Talisman PDS process

PDS PROCESS AT A GLANCE

Select the right project Do the project right

APPRAISE SELECT DEFINE EXECUTE OPERATE

Have we
Key objectives

Is there a selected the best Does the


Is the project
technically and alternative? Has Is the project operating asset
sufficiently
commercially the subsurface ready for meet original
defined for
viable business basis of design operation? sanction
sanctioning?
case? been completed? objectives?

The stage gate process is a step-by-step process to evaluate and develop business opportunities. In Appraise and Select,
our time and efforts are focused on selecting the right project that provides the best overall benefit to Talisman. In Define,
Execute and Operate, we focus on doing the project right, steadily increasing our investments in dollars and resources in
project development.
Introduction 27

F i g u r e 0.17   Talisman processes vs life cycle

Step 1 Step 2 Step 3 Step 4 Step 5 Step 6

Review of Review the Assess the Organizational Create Project Create Project
PDS Global PSD Project Capability stage gate specific
Workflow Roadmap, specific key Project PDS Project
to support agree key documents Organization Deliverables Management
Roadmap at elements & & PDS schedule System
each PDS project specific Deliverables Framework
Stage requirements − LACTI

DEFINE THE PROJECT

MANAGE THE PROJECT

DIRECT THE PROJECT

CONTROL THE PROJECT

DELIVER THE PROJECT

Project assurance reviews


During each PDS stage of the project, it is necessary to carry out independent assurance
reviews, usually with peer groups, before proceeding to the gate review. These provide an
independent look at project development activities and results, with emphasis on lessons
learned, benchmarking and value-improving practices.
Depending on the PDS stage, separate assurance reviews are conducted for subsurface,
drilling and completions, HSSE/OA, facilities, cost and schedule, and finance/commercial/
marketing. This input helps ensure that project planning and development meet expected
performance quality and best practices. It also provides information on which proper
decisions can be based.
Before a project can move to the next stage, it must complete two reviews: a gate
readiness review followed by a gate review. These reviews are critical in the PDS process
for promoting quality recommendations and project decisions.

Performance management
Project dashboards: These provide regular progress reports to the gatekeeper and
operating committee, measuring a project’s performance against the work plan and budget
set at the beginning of the stage. Executive dashboards are prepared quarterly and
reviewed by executive management.
Lessons learned: Each development team is mandated to share lessons learned on the
company’s online project management network (PMN) throughout a project’s life cycle.
28 20:20 Project Management

This provides Talisman’s project development teams with an opportunity to share learning
and experience throughout the organization. At the beginning of each stage, the team
consults the PMN to identify previous lessons learned applicable to their project. A register
of lessons learned is prepared and each lesson is assigned for implementation.
Look-back reviews: These review performance management at a strategic level and
are undertaken after a project’s first year of operation. They provide a detailed appraisal of
the project, comparing actual performance against the original sanction document. The
results of these reviews are stored on the company’s online PMN portal for use by other
Talisman project development teams.
29

Starting your 01
project

Introduction


In the business world, the rear-view mirror is
always clearer than the windshield.  Warren Buffet

A s we have seen in the Introduction, the importance of clarifying the


project objectives is of paramount importance. It is imperative during the
earlier stages of the project life cycle to enable evaluation and appraisal of
similar solutions in order to highlight the most appropriate solution for the
project.
As part of the definition process, it is essential that the project success criteria
are understood and that all the project stakeholders have been considered.
Success criteria are those things which are tangible and can be measured.
Success criteria will commonly be linked to the cost, time and quality triangle.
For example, your project could have a budget of £1 million; if your project is
completed at or under this figure then it can be deemed a success. The same
would apply to the project timescale. The project has duration of 12 months;
if it is completed in 12 months then the project can be determined a success.

The project objectives


It is essential before any project appraisal is carried out that the project
objectives are clearly defined and understood by all concerned parties. The
following project areas must be clearly defined and agreed.

Clarifying the project needs


The initiation or start-up stage of a project is usually undertaken to address
a problem or need. The evolution of needs from something quite vague to
something tangible can be a challenge but is very important.
30 20:20 Project Management

It is essential the project objectives are clearly defined and understood by


all concerned parties at an early stage in the project life cycle.
Some typical outline objectives may be stated as the following:
●● The product must carry out a certain function at a predefined rate.
●● The product must operate in a specific environment.
●● The product must have a working life of so many years.
●● The product’s budget must not exceed a certain cost.
●● The project must meet certain specifications and standards.
●● The product must achieve reliability requirements.
●● The product must be energy efficient.
●● The product must meet statuary health and safety regulations.
●● The ergonomics must be consistent with the latest accepted practices.
●● Ease of maintenance and repair must be incorporated into the
design.
●● A predetermined system redundancy level and interchangeable parts
must be achieved.
●● Operational requirements must achieve predetermined manpower
levels and automation.
●● The product must be manufactured with a predefined value of local
content.
●● The product must provide future expansion opportunities.
●● The product must be operational by a predefined date.
Many of these items may be mutually exclusive, which means there will be a
trade-off. For example, it is generally not possible to achieve both a minimum
construction cost for a machine and minimum maintenance cost. Items of
conflict require discussion and resolution during the project start-up stage,
with all decisions recorded forming the design brief philosophy.

Defining project objectives


Basic project requirements need to be formalized at an early stage and
converted into a clear and concise set of objectives.
The following areas must be clearly defined and agreed to with all the
project stakeholders, minimizing the risk of uncertainty.
Objectives are very clear statements of output needs, eg ‘To reduce rejects
from production line A by 30 per cent by the end of the year’.
Effective objectives are more comprehensive and should be SMART
(Table 1.1).
As stated above, it is essential the project objectives are achievable and
realistic. The project will in turn fall within the successful measures shown
in Figure 1.1.
Starting Your Project 31

Ta b l e 1.1   SMART definition

Specific: Express objectives in terms of the specific results


you believe need to be achieved, not in terms of the
activities needed to achieve them; ie outputs not
inputs. Avoid ambiguity.

Measurable: Identify measures you believe will be used to judge


project success. Make them as quantifiable and
specific as possible, eg time / quantity / quality / cost.
Use customer-related measures as well as internal
measures.

Agreed / All relevant project stakeholders should have the


Achievable: opportunity to discuss and buy-in to the objective,
rather than simply having it imposed on them.
Ensure the objective is achievable taking into account
the environment the project is operating within.

Realistic: Take past performance into account when assessing


how realistic the objective is. Ensure it is achievable,
provided the resources available and the demands of
other priorities.

Time bound: If the overall time period is long, include an achievement


date inclusive of interim milestones and review points.
Agree an appropriate timeframe, relative to the
complexity of the task.

F i g u r e 1.1   The triangle of compromises

(Within)
Cost

SCOPE

(On) (To Defined)


Time Quality
32 20:20 Project Management

Project viability check


The client may also need assistance checking the viability of the proposal.
Will the product be fit for purpose in both technical and commercial terms?
Has the client kept away from wish lists and pipe dreams? These questions
will form the basis of the client’s feasibility study to which the contractor, as a
practising specialist, can have a valuable input.
●● Consider the effect location has on the project. Can the logistical
requirements during the project and subsequent operation be met
through existing roads and ports? Large infrastructure projects (power
stations) often have to widen roads for their abnormal loads.
●● Consider how the environment will affect the product, for example,
a hotel in a hot country will require air conditioning for a five-star rating.
●● Consider how the product will affect the environment – will the product
deplete the ozone layer, or increase the greenhouse effect?
●● Calculate the optimum size of the end product. Economies of size are
not always a straight-line extrapolation but pass through plateaus of
optimum production.
●● Are the aesthetics and style commensurate with current fashions?
●● Define the target market. Who will buy the product? These questions
can be quantified by market research.
●● Assess the market supply and demand curve. What is the demand for
the product now and forecast demand in the future?
●● Assess the competition from other players in the market. How will an
increase in your rate of production affect market share?
At the outset of the project it may not be possible to answer all these questions.
The unanswered questions will, however, indicate areas that need more
research to gain a better understanding of the project and reduce risk.

The business case


Purpose of the business case
The purpose of the business case is to document the justification for the
undertaking of a project usually based on the estimated cost of development
and implementation against the risks and the anticipated business benefits
and savings to be gained. The total business change must be considered,
which may be much wider than just the project development costs.
The concept of the business case may exist under other names, eg project
brief, project charter, high-level project plan. Irrespective of the name the purpose
is to present justification for project start-up and initiation.
Starting Your Project 33

Why use business case analysis?


Business case development is a step that companies often use for project
selection. It analyses how fulfilling the business case for the project will
implement the corporate strategy and sustain the competitive advantage of
the company.
The business case can further be developed with the addition of more
details. You can convert the business case to action steps and major milestones
in order to develop a plan that will guide your venture through the entire
project life cycle, including that of the project outcome.
The business case is a key input to the project management plan (discussed
later) and is usually owned and created by the project sponsor. Following
project close or completion a post-project evaluation (PPE) will usually be held
– usually some months after project completion – to measure the project’s
benefits against those set out in the business case.

The project life cycle


The life of a project generally starts as an initial idea, a customer enquiry or
a company need. As discussed in the last chapter the project, if carried out,
will progress through several stages until its completion. The business
case should be a major part of the conception phase but equally follow the
project through its life, being referenced and updated as is necessary. If at
any time the project strays from the original business case justification or
additional information is gained that threatens the success of the project then
consideration should be given to abandoning the project or at least revisiting
the business case.
We discussed project life cycles in detail in the last chapter.

F i g u r e 1.2   A generic project life cycle

Start-up

Defining

Planning

Execution

Close-out
34 20:20 Project Management

Business and project objectives


It is important to consider both the business benefits and the project benefits.
As we have discussed in previous sections the definition of the project
benefits is of paramount importance and should be looked at from not only
the company’s point of view but also from the view of all the stakeholders.
It is also extremely important that the project objectives and goals relate to
the business goals, eg the project goal may be to introduce a new IT-based
financial system. However, the business goal may be to allow an automated
financial interface with customers and suppliers.
It is therefore very important that the goals and objectives are quantified
and related back to the business case. In this example one project objective
would be to ensure that all customers and suppliers are consulted regarding
their systems and ability to interface, prior to the purchase and implementa-
tion of a new system.

Business case composition


Most organizations will have a standard approach to composing a business
case. However, key elements usually include:
●● reasons;
●● options (a brief description of the different options considered and
option recommended);
●● benefits expected (expressed in measurable terms against today’s
situation);
●● risks (summary of the key risks of the project);
●● cost (extracted from the project plan);
●● timescales (summary of the project plan);
●● investment appraisal.

Project benefits
As part of the business case the expected project benefits (see above) should
be clearly documented to provide measures for success. There may be obvious
benefits such as employment, financial return, etc. However, some of the less
obvious benefits should also be highlighted. These may include:
●● increased reliability of a product;
●● increased market share;
●● company exposure and publicity;
●● cost savings;
●● reduced maintenance costs;
Starting Your Project 35

●● environmental advantage;
●● employee benefits;
●● ease of use;
●● shareholder satisfaction;
●● less cost to produce;
●● customer satisfaction.

Ownership of the business case


The business case is a key document for the project manager – it is both the
justification for their activities and a benchmark by which the project benefits
will be measured. The business case is also a key document of the project
portfolio management process and, as such, is the document used by the
organization’s project investment committee. However, the primary owner
of the business case is the project sponsor. The sponsor is responsible for
ensuring the continued viability of the project and that the benefits defined in
the business case are realized after project completion.

Project simulation

The following pages contain an example business case for the simulation project we
will use through the subsequent chapters.

Business case – PM office relocation


Reason
Due to an increase in project delivery within your organization the project workforce
has gradually increased. Initially the project office was able to cope with the
increased project staff but more recently staff have been housed in several separate
locations throughout the office complex. More recently temporary accommodation
has been established in the yard of the main office block to accommodate the
Penguin project team although it is now at capacity and some personnel have been
situated within the functional teams.
This has caused several issues within the project and it is believed that project
delivery has suffered as a consequence. Some of the key issues are listed below:
●● poor communication between team members;
●● disruption in functional teams due to project staff using their office space;
●● poor motivation in some project staff due to the unpleasant working
conditions;
36 20:20 Project Management

●● staff attrition rates increased since offices have become overcrowded;


●● customers expressed concerns over disjointed teams;
●● key information being lost due to teams being in different locations;
●● lack of team integration;
●● safety concerns with project staff crossing the yard.

Objectives
The main objective is to relocate all the company’s project personnel to an already
empty adjacent building which is up for lease. This will not only house the project
teams but it is the intention to establish a project management office which will
serve all projects. In addition a client’s suite will also be established allowing project
clients to work closely with the project team. The key deliverables are:
●● Establish a long-term lease in the adjacent building.
●● Relocate all project teams to open plan projects office.
●● Ensure CAT 5 wiring is installed throughout the office suite.
●● Purchase and install up-to-date PCs and peripherals.
●● Set-up a project management office (PMO) to serve all projects.
●● Establish an area for clients and project sponsors to work from.

Benefits
A number of benefits will be realized by the relocation of the project office, the main
being more efficient delivery of all projects resulting in a greater profitability to the
company and repeat business from key clients. Some of the additional benefits are
listed below:
●● better communications between teams resulting in more efficient project
delivery;
●● cost reductions in telephone communication and travelling;
●● more efficient execution of project activities due to establishing a PMO;
●● safety risks reduced by excluding yard visits;
●● more motivated staff;
●● attrition reduced;
●● shared resources more easily accessed from within the projects;
●● closer working relationship with project sponsors and clients;
●● clients appreciate our commitment to running project more efficiently.
Starting Your Project 37

Risks
Some of the key risks associated with this project are listed below although a full
risk analysis should be conducted in the initiation stage of the project.
●● disruption to existing projects in the relocation;
●● no buy-in from senior management;
●● unable to secure the lease at a reasonable cost;
●● unable to find staff to man the PMO;
●● communications still suffering due to functions being in separate location;
●● connectivity problems to company intranet due to new IT.

Financial appraisal
The approximate costs for relocation and operating for one year are as follows:

Ta b l e 1.2   Simulation project: costs

Unit Price ($) Total ($)

Lease of new office space 100,000/mth 1,200,000


(10-year lease)

Estimate for utilities for 1 year 50,000/mth 600,000

IT equipment including peripherals 2000 200,000


(100 staff)

Cat 5 wiring including installation 100,000

Furniture including partitions and 60,000


desks

Project management time (days) 50 50,000


@ $1000/day

Lost time due to move (hrs) 20 40,000


@ $2000/hr

Subtotal 2,250,000

Contingency @ 8% 180,000

Total 2,430,000
38 20:20 Project Management

The project management plan (PMP)


All the professional bodies offer guidelines on the level and type of informa-
tion that should be defined in the early stages of the project in the form of a
project management plan. Such a document should be used as a reference
throughout the project to ensure that the management of the project is carried
out consistently and in line with policy and procedures. The document also
serves a very useful purpose in aiding decision making throughout the project
as it provides a constant focus on how the project should be conducted.
The project management plan is also often referred to as a project execu-
tion plan, project charter or project initiation documentation.

The purpose of the project


management plan
The purpose of such a document is to provide a comprehensive baseline of
what has to be achieved by the project, how it is to be achieved, who will
be involved, how it will be reported and measured and how information will be
communicated. It should be used as a reference for any decision that is made
on the project and for clarification of unclear areas.
The PMP should be prepared primarily by the project manager although
interface with the project sponsor, client, stakeholders, users etc will be
required. Often the business case will be used as the starting point for the
PMP. Furthermore, the project manager should own the PMP and it should be
developed with the project team.
The PMP should be available to all project members as it can provide
essential project information and can be used to introduce project members
to the project.
Although it is essential that the PMP is developed as part of the project
initiation and definition, it should be a living document that evolves as the
project progresses and is updated with the latest relevant information as
required.
The following pages illustrate the type of information that may be relevant
to include in such a document.

The project management plan (example)


Purpose
The purpose of the project management plan is to provide the project manager
with the authority to apply organizational resources to the project’s activities.
Starting Your Project 39

It will establish the project’s purpose and demonstrate that the project team
and the customer are committed to the project. It will focus on the customer
and project expectations and will identify the project management principles
that will be implemented to manage the project from start to finish.
In terms of the audience for the project management plan, it should be
available to anyone who is involved in the project eg the customer, the project
team and stakeholders in general. The project management plan is probably
the main communication document for the project.

Suggested contents of the project management plan


Executive summary
This section should include a few paragraphs describing, at a high level, the
key elements of the project that are detailed throughout the project plan.

Strategic/organizational alignment
It must be determined which organizational objectives will be supported by
undertaking the project. It is often not enough for a project to simply deliver a
profit. The company as a whole will have objectives that they wish to achieve
and projects will be selected based on their ability to support the achievement
of these objectives.
This section will also include the results of the project’s stakeholder analysis;
who are the people or organizations impacted by or interested in the project.
It will also help to clearly identify who are the users, suppliers and the customers.

Project scope definition


In this section of the project management plan the purpose of the project
will be stated along with the projects objectives. These objectives should be
clear and it is important that they are SMART.
There should also be definition as to the scope of the project as well as the
major deliverables. Not only will this include the products to be produced by
the project (in scope) but also those products which are not part of the project
scope (out of scope). This is important as it ensures that everyone involved in
the project is clear as to their responsibilities.
The main structures that are utilized to determine the scope of the project
are the product breakdown structure (PBS) and the work breakdown structure
(WBS). The PBS will define the products that the project must deliver and
the WBS will detail the work involved in delivering the products. These are
described later in the ‘Defining your project’ chapter.
Be as clear as possible in defining the project deliverables. Clear and
obtainable deliverables set the direction of the project and eliminate confusion
about what work is performed and what products/services are delivered.
Quality specifications will also be included in this section, describing the
product or service performance criteria from a customer perspective.
40 20:20 Project Management

There will also be the inclusion of project assumptions, which will clarify
grey areas in the project scope. Assumptions are made to fill knowledge gaps;
they may later prove to be incorrect and can have a significant impact on the
project. Only those assumptions that have a reasonable chance of occurring
should be listed.

Feasibility assessment and contingency plans


This section should evaluate the economic, technical, operational, and organ­
izational feasibility of the project; identify and assess project risks; and provide
contingency plans to address high-impact risk factors.

Constraints
In this section there will be a requirement to list any known constraints imposed
by the environment or by management. Typical constraints may include fixed
budget; limited resources; imposed interim and/or end dates; predetermined
software systems and packages; and other predetermined solutions.

Human resource requirements


Define the project team organization, roles and responsibility requirements.
Provide a description of major participants including the various internal and
external organizations.
Human resources include your team members, client, sponsor and end-
users, and any on-site vendors with whom you may consult for direction in
completing your project. Be sure to list contact information for and the kinds
of information/expertise to be provided by each of these human resources.

Ta b l e 1.3   Human Resources requirements

Role Responsibility Time Duration Source


commitment (internal,
external)
Starting Your Project 41

This will include the need to identify training requirements and begin the
development of the project training plan.
The training needs will include, technical training relevant to the project
domain, team training, project management training and training in the
procedures to be used on the project.

Material/equipment requirements
This section should define the space, hardware/software, and other resources
needed to complete your project successfully. Space resources will include
a designated team, meeting and work site, including any on-site office space
your client may provide.
Hardware/software resources include those provided by you as a team and
those provided by your client.
Make it crystal clear who will provide what. For example, does the client
assume that you have the necessary software tools to complete your project,
or will your client provide them? Other resources include any documentation
of the existing system, vendor technical literature, systems manuals, etc that
you will need to consult.

Project schedule and milestones


The contents of this section will define the milestones and activity schedule
of the project, integrating three key elements: deliverables, due date or dura-
tion and critical dependencies (this section contains text and diagrams /charts).
In the text section, there will be a brief discussion of the project schedule
(eg, time line for major phases) and a definition of the project milestones
and baselines. Here you should also identify any critical task or resource
dependencies that may significantly impact your ability to adhere to the
planned schedule (eg, if the client must provide certain IT resources or access
to end users in order for you to complete a task).
In your initial project Gantt chart (described later) you will identify and
schedule – in detail! – all early project activities and resources related to ana­
lysis and design and – more broadly – later activities such as construction,
testing, and installation. You will identify and schedule these later activities in
detail as you develop a clearer sense of your project deliverables (ie after you
have minutely defined system requirements).
Note: If your project is such that you can clearly define requirements at this
time, then include these requirements in your project overview section and
outline all activities in detail in your initial project Gantt chart. It is strongly
encouraged that a CPM network model (what MS Project calls a PERT diagram)
is created in addition to your Gantt chart so that task dependencies are made
explicit.
Your Gantt chart should include at minimum the following information:
●● activity ID and name;
●● brief activity description (can be provided in a separate table in your
project schedule section);
42 20:20 Project Management

●● start and completion dates;


●● team member(s) assigned;
●● resources required (can be provided in the separate table noted above;
resources include those listed in the project Resource section above
and should also indicate the approximate number of hours each team
member will need to devote to this activity);
●● schedule analysis.
Be sure to schedule team meetings and client reviews. That is, plan not only
the activities required to deliver your product but also those activities required
to manage your process.

Budget/cost estimate
Estimates are typically prepared for:
●● the duration of the project;
●● the human resource requirements in terms of numbers and types of
skills required on the team;
●● the cost of performing the work defined in the project plan;
●● the material and equipment resources in terms of quantity and duration.
As the project traverses through the various project management phases,
more information will be known and unpredictability will be reduced. Therefore,
at the end of each phase and after each milestone, the cost–benefit analysis
is updated and the information communicated as needed.
Good estimates require:
●● time and focus;
●● historical information or previous experience;
●● multiple, consistent estimating methods;
●● knowledge of the work.
Costs are divided into three types:
●● capital items: associated with the procurement of assets that are
capitalized such as hardware and software;
●● expense items: associated with operating expenses, material, travel,
training, supplies, books, copying, printing, etc;
●● labour: associated with the total time team members work on a
project based on an hourly rate for each skill set or the actual salary
of the team members.

Risk management
This section will detail the process to be employed on the project in order to
manage risk. It will also contain the outputs of the process in regards to the
Starting Your Project 43

risk events identified by the use of the process. Please see the Risk chapter
for further information on this process which will be followed at every stage
of the project life cycle.

Project issues
This section will define the process to be used to manage issues identified on
the project. It is worth noting that issues are things that have happened which
are outside the authority of the project manager and need to be escalated in
order to achieve a resolution.

Change management
This section will describe the change management process to be utilized on
the project. The PMP acts as a baseline for the project and any changes made
to base-lined items must go through formal change control.

Communication management
In this part of the PMP there will be a description of the system of communi-
cations and the project performance documentation that will be provided to
the various stakeholders.
●● Define procedures for interacting with your client. How will they
contact you?
●● Who on your team is the primary contact (ie team leader/manager)?
●● How will you contact your client? How do you gain access to interview
end users?
●● How often will you provide written and/or oral reviews?
●● Does your client have a specific format for project status reports?
●● Who makes the go/no-go decisions, including changes in project scope
or requirements?
●● Does your client expect you to adhere to any particular development
methodology or standards?
●● How will the final review (user acceptance review) be conducted?
●● Be sure to schedule well in advance a mid-point and a final review time
and date with your sponsor and end-user representatives.
In summary, your purpose in this section is to outline the structure of your
client interaction, whether by phone, e-mail, in person, or in formal reports.
See sample communications plan below.

Sample communications management plan


The purpose of this document is to identify and manage the communications
required to successfully complete the project.
44

Ta b l e 1.4   A communications management plan

ID Title Description / Content Audience Medium Frequency

01 Milestone report Major milestones Project team E-mail Weekly


Dept manager
Key stakeholders
Project sponsor

02 Project plan Deliverable, dates Project team E-mail Ad hoc – see 01

03 Meeting minutes Decisions, action items Project team E-mail As held

04 Brief status meeting Progress reporting, Project team Informal verbal Weekly
issues, action items

05 Issues Issues Select members of project Teleconference Ad hoc – few


team, at times full team hours’ notice

06 Progress Progress Project team Teleconference Weekly

07 Customer Any activity/question Business development E-mail/verbal Ad hoc/weekly


correspondence manager status
Starting Your Project 45

Related products and deliverables


In this section you will document known project dependencies with other
groups within or outside of the organization to ensure the project is not
exposed by other business processes.

Approvals
This section will be used to capture approval signatures from project stake-
holders. The table below is an example of a simple approval form.

Ta b l e 1.5   Project agreement approval form

Project Agreement Approval Form

Project Name:
I have reviewed the information contained in the Project Plan
dated , and agree to the baseline commitments
specified in it.

Name, Project Manager Signature Date

Name, Project Sponsor Signature Date

Name, Title Signature Date

Name, Title Signature Date

Name, Title Signature Date

Name, Title Signature Date


46 20:20 Project Management

Attachments
Included in this section will be pointers to pertinent documents such as the
business case, notes and related documents; the team charter should also be
included as a separate document along with the project plan. You would also
include a project binder which will include all of the supporting materials to
your project plan.

Project success and benefits management


Project management is not a new discipline. Indeed techniques such as critical
path analysis have been applied to projects for decades; risk management is
really part of human intuition; realizing that people in a team need to bond for
success is not a new concept. Yet still projects fail – in some organizations,
and even in some industries, with alarming frequency.
The IT industry, for example, seems to receive a particularly bad press
when it comes to project failure. This may be an exaggeration of the state of
that particular industry, but some of the statistics speak for themselves:
●● A recent survey showed that 66 per cent of projects overran time and
55 per cent exceeded budget.
●● A UK survey showed that 56 per cent of companies in the UK believed
that runaway IT projects occurred frequently, and 62 per cent of these
companies had experienced this within the last five years.
●● In another survey in the USA, it was found that 84 per cent of IT
projects failed to deliver.
There are many reasons why projects fail to meet their objectives – sometimes
these reasons are completely out of the control of the project team, but the
most common reasons, which are discussed below, provide a common theme
to all projects and, in almost all circumstances, can at least be minimized,
if not prevented.

What is a successful project?


Whether a project is ‘successful’ or not can often depend on your viewpoint.
Here are some common comments that get made and some commentary to
consider.

The project was successful because it made a significant profit.

This project is therefore a financial success. There is no indication as to


whether there were any sacrifices made to achieve that result. For example,
the quality may have suffered by using cheaper and poorer materials than
originally specified.
Starting Your Project 47

The project was successful because the client got far more quality than they
expected.

The first question with this project is, did this extra quality cost us unnecessary
time and money to achieve? Secondly, did the client actually want this additional
level of quality, for example this may have an impact on his future maintenance
and running costs?

The project was a success because we finished it one month early.

Although there is a definite benefit in completing not only on time, but early,
we need to determine why the project was early. It may have been completed
so early because extra resources were brought in at significant additional cost
just to beat the end date.

The project took longer but we were able to incorporate newer technology in
the project.

Like the ‘extra quality’ situation, was the change in technology necessary,
did it bring significant benefits and is it really what the client wants?

As we have already discussed the traditional measures of success are as


follows and it is important that each area is not considered in isolation.

Benefits vs project success


The sponsor or client may view the success of a project based on the
achievement of the overall objective specified in their business case. This will
generally be a result of the successful delivery of the project itself. However,
successful delivery of the project may not always guarantee delivery of the
overall benefits.
For example, a house builder may have a project objective of building
20 houses on a new residential site. The project may be delivered successfully
within the time, cost and quality constraints agreed. The client is looking for
a benefit of selling these on to potential house buyers, at a profit. However,
if the housing market was to change and house prices dropped or the reputa-
tion of the area was to deteriorate, the benefits that were initially expected
may not materialize although the project was delivered successfully.
Project success and benefits therefore need to be considered together to
ensure that as far as possible the project deliverables also deliver benefits to
all the stakeholders.
48 20:20 Project Management

F i g u r e 1.3   Project benefits vs success

t At handover, it will be known whether


ec
oj ss the project has achieved its success
Pr cce criteria. Success is the responsibility
Su
of the project manager.

Benefits may not be realized until after


ts
efi close-out and handover.
n
Be Ownership of benefits realization rest
with the sponsor.

Benefits can be measured quantitatively, such as financial, market share, staff


satisfaction, new markets, and brand position.
At the close-out of the project it should be known whether the project has
achieved the success criteria. However, benefits may not be realized until after
the project is closed and handed over.
The success criteria must be agreed with all stakeholders at the defini­
tion of the project and quantitative measures put in place via KPIs (key
performance indicators) and be tracked throughout the life of the project.

Stakeholders
Stakeholders are any group or individuals who have an interest in or are
impacted by the project and can be divided into two main areas, primary
stakeholders and secondary stakeholders.

F i g u r e 1.4   Stakeholder areas

Project
Secondary
Stakeholders
Primary Stakeholders

Primary stakeholders are those directly involved with the project and the scope
that the project entails. Some typical primary stakeholders are listed below
along with the type of questions that should be considered regarding them.
Starting Your Project 49

Ta b l e 1.6   Primary stakeholder questions

Primary stakeholders Some questions to be answered

Project manager Why are you doing this job and what do
you want as your outcome?

Project team What does the project team want from the
project? Is it more than employment and
wages; are there development and career
issues?

Company and company Why is the company taking on the job?


management Is it a strategic decision? What is expected
as an outcome? Margin? Further work?

Customer (entity paying Why is this customer undertaking the


the bill) project? What is the most important
element of the job? Amongst the myriad
of requirements, which are the most
important? Are there political dimensions
to this activity? What sort of organization is
behind this? What are the sensitivities of
the customer?

End user There may be several groups of these


and expectations may be quite different
between groups and also between end
users and the customer. This can be very
difficult to explore but the PM ignores
end users at his peril. Conflicts must be
resolved.

Suppliers and Do they expect more work after this?


sub contractors How important is this job to them?
Are they supplying standard equipment?

Integrated project teams What are the expectations from this


(joint teams with customer, organizational structure? eg cost
supplier and end users) savings, reduced risk etc.
50 20:20 Project Management

Secondary stakeholders are part of the environment of the project, ie they


have an influence on the project but are not directly part of it. Some typical
secondary stakeholders are listed below. It is important that they are considered
and their primary drivers are identified.

Ta b l e 1.7   Secondary stakeholder questions

Secondary stakeholder Seek understanding on:

Government bodies Legislative requirements

Political groups, pressure groups Attitudes towards project.


Influences.

National and international Identify


influences

Locals likely to be affected by the Identify and assess pros and cons
project

Stakeholder analysis
The purpose of the needs analysis is to determine the needs and expectations
of all the stakeholders. Project stakeholders are organizations or people
(both internal and external) who are either actively involved in the project, or
whose interests are affected by the project being implemented. It is the
project manager’s responsibility to identify all the stakeholders and determine
their needs and expectations. These needs and expectations should then be
managed, influenced and balanced, to ensure project success. The project
manager should create an environment where the stakeholders are encour-
aged to contribute their skills and knowledge, which may be useful to the
success of the project.
Consider the following headings:
●● Originator: the person who suggested the project.
●● Owner : the person whose strategic plan created the need for the
project.
●● Sponsor : the company or client who will authorize expenditure on the
project – this could be an internal client.
●● Project champion : the person who makes the project happen.
Often a person with influence in high places.
Starting Your Project 51

●● User: the person who will use the product on behalf of the owner
when the project is completed.
●● Customers: the people who will receive and pay for the benefit from
the facility. For example we are all customers for electricity, telephones
and commercial travel facilities. Customers may prefer a wide range of
fashionable products – this would encourage short production runs and
quick turn-round times.
●● Project team: the team members who plan, organize, implement and
control the work of the contractor to deliver the product within the
constraints of time, cost and quality (also consider the effect on their
families).
●● Senior management: within your company who you need to support
your project (mentoring).
●● Functional managers: within your company who will be supplying the
workforce for your project (matrix structure).
●● Boss: your boss, the person you report to, can play an important role
in establishing your working environment, the support you receive and
your career prospects within the organization.
●● Colleagues: although they may not be working on your project,
indirectly they can supply useful information and offer moral peer
support, or conversely peer pressure.
●● Contractors: the external companies or people offering specialist
expertise to supplement the company’s resources.
●● Suppliers and vendors: the external companies or people who supply
materials and equipment. They have a wealth of experience which
should be tapped.
●● Supporters: the parties who provide goods and services to enable the
facility to be built, for example the suppliers of telephones, electricity,
postal service and even the corner shop. Financial support through the
banking system could also be included here.
●● Legal requirements: rules and regulations both nationally and
internationally that must be complied with.
There are other stakeholders (usually external) who may not be directly involved
with the project, but can influence the outcome:
●● regulatory authorities – health and safety;
●● trade unions;
●● special interest groups (environmentalists) who represent the society
at large;
●● lobby groups;
●● government agencies and media outlet;
●● individual citizens.
52 20:20 Project Management

Some stakeholders are interested in the outcome of the project, while others
are only interested in the project while it is being implemented. Stakeholders
can be further classified into those who are positively affected and those
that are negatively affected by this project. Where possible, identify the key
decision makers (those with power) and focus your attention on their needs.
Any differences between the stakeholders should be resolved in favour of the
client and customers, but not necessarily at the expense of other stakeholders.

F i g u r e 1.5   Stakeholder grid

Against Project For Project


Power/Influence

High

Low

High Low Low High

− Interest +

Stakeholder grid
Some stakeholders will support the project, while others will oppose the
project. It is important to address those who oppose the project and discuss
their fears and objections, because it is these stakeholders that could derail
your project, particularly if they have power. Some of their concerns may be
valid and with some flexibility could be accommodated. At the end of the day
you may not be able to please all your stakeholders and in this conflict environ-
ment you will need to establish the priority of your stakeholders’ needs and
make your decisions accordingly.
By using the above grid you will be able to assess the balance of stakeholders
for and against the project and which are of the greatest risk or the greatest
supporters of the project. If there are any stakeholders sitting in a position of
high power with a high negative interest this must be addressed to try and
move them to a position of positive interest.
The process of stakeholder management should be as follows:
●● Identify – Identify the stakeholders and assess where they fall in the
above grid.
●● Analyse – Analyse their need, objections, and concerns.
●● Communication – Establish what and how you are going to
communicate with them.
●● Management – Continually review, manage and communicate with
each stakeholder.
Starting Your Project 53

Key performance indicators (KPIs)


Many things are measurable. That does not make them key to the organiza-
tion’s success. In selecting key performance indicators, it is critical to limit
them to those factors that are essential to the organization reaching its goals.
It is also important to keep the number of key performance indicators small
just to keep everyone’s attention focused on achieving the same KPIs.
That is not to say, for instance, that a company will have only three or four
total KPIs in the company. Rather there will be three or four key performance
indicators for the company and all the units within them will have three,
four or five KPIs that support the overall company goals and can be ‘rolled up’
into them.
If a company key performance indicator is ‘increased customer satisfaction’,
that KPI will be focused differently in different departments.
The manufacturing department may have a KPI of ‘Number of units
rejected by Quality Inspection’, while the sales department has a KPI of
‘Minutes a customer is on hold before a sales rep answers’. Success by the sales
and manufacturing departments in meeting their respective departmental key
performance indicators will help the company meet its overall KPI.

KPIs in project management


Key performance indicators can be used as a performance management tool,
but also as a carrot. KPIs give everyone in the organization a clear picture of
what is important, or what they need to make happen. They can also be used
to manage performance, if you make sure that everything the people in your
organization do is focused on meeting or exceeding those key performance
indicators. You can also use the KPIs to help individual and team motivation.
This can be achieved by posting KPIs on the walls of conference rooms, on the
company intranet, some of them can even be put on the company website,
showing what the target for each KPI is and showing the progress toward that
target for each of them. People will be motivated to reach those KPI targets
and can see how their projects are contributing towards them.

Avoiding project failure


Many studies have been done to identify exactly why projects fail. The majority
of these studies come to the same general conclusion that the root of the
failure lay not in the classic project management areas, such as project plans,
but much earlier in the project life cycle when the project was being defined
and appraised. Lack of clarity and proper analysis at this stage meant that no
matter how good the planning and control systems in the project were the
project objectives were fundamentally flawed.
54 20:20 Project Management

Another key area that led to project failures was related to people issues
– teams that did not function well and did not collectively aim for the project
goals.
Below are listed the main factors affecting a project’s likely success which
are common to most surveys, along with a description of what measures
can be put in place to eliminate them, or reduce their impact.
Objectives
Poorly defined, unclear and ambiguous project objectives
Solution: Use a project management plan, or terms of reference, to
clearly lay out all objectives and deliverables. (Life cycle stage:
Defining your project)
Objectives are incomplete
Solution: Have the project objectives agreed with the client or sponsor.
Question any assumptions and ask for clarification. (Life cycle stage:
Defining your project)
Objectives are unrealistic
Solution: Involve the project manager, or intended project manager,
at the definition stage of the project so that front line experience can
be brought to bear upon the process. Also, ensure that risk analysis
is carried out prior to committing to the project to determine overall
feasibility. (Life cycle stage: Defining your project)
Commitment
Lack of executive support resulting in the project having low priority
within the organization
Solution: Use a project sponsor or project champion within upper
management who feels a sense of ownership for the project,
ensuring it will receive the required executive attention. (Life cycle
stage: Defining your project) Also, ensure that project information is
visible and high profile during the project. (Life cycle stage: Planning
your project, Executing your project)
Lack of client involvement leading to loss of focus
Solution: Agree objectives with client; and ensure that the client is kept
abreast of the project at all times. It may be appropriate to include the
client on certain risk analysis sessions. (Life cycle stage: Definition,
appraising, planning, execution)
Poorly defined authority structures leading to confusion and delayed or
unauthorized decision making
Solution: Define roles and responsibilities for all team members. Produce
a responsibility/authority chart for the entire project indicating who can
make what decisions and to what level. (Life cycle stage: Defining your
project)
Starting Your Project 55

Planning
Not anticipating undesirable events
Solution: Implement a simple but effective risk analysis and management
strategy for the project, to which everyone is invited to contribute.
Such a scheme should be active throughout the project life cycle
and its results should constantly feed the Planning your project and
Executing your project phases to aid in contingency planning and
decision making. (Life cycle stage: Defining your project, Planning
your project, Executing your project)
Poorly detailed plans
Solution: Create a work breakdown structure at the beginning of the
project which defines the project down to an appropriate task level.
Avoid having activities in plans which are of a very long duration
relative to all other activities in the plan. (Life cycle stage: Planning
your project)
Inaccurate plans which do not reflect the actual project status
Solution: Use software planning tools with care – do not let the constraining
features of a software tool drive the project. Ensure that actual project
progress is applied to project plans to reforecast dates and costs.
Ensure that any progress data is accurate and not assumptions.
(Life cycle stage: Planning your project, Executing your project)
Control
Constantly changing objectives or project scope
Solution: Implement a change control regime in the project whereby any
action that may result in alteration to project plans or objectives are
properly appraised and agreed before implementation. Avoid implementing
change requests from the client without explaining the potential impact
on the project and ensure the client agrees, perhaps through the use
of a variation order. (Life cycle stage: Executing your project)
Changing technologies
Solution: Although there may be occasions when it is necessary to use
a different technology during the execution of the project, any change
must be carefully evaluated to determine its impact on the project
objectives. There may well be a benefit in some areas but a loss in
others. If technology is a significant element of a project, ensure that
it is given adequate attention in a risk analysis where the potential for
absolution, etc is addressed and mitigation defined. (Life cycle stage:
Defining your project)
People
Personality clashes within and outside the project team
Solution: Undertake behaviour profiling of the team ensuring that the
potential for conflict is reduced and that the team members understand
each other. (Life cycle stage: Planning your project, Executing your project)
56 20:20 Project Management

Individuals not up to the job


Solution: Careful selection of team members. Allowing for and providing
training where necessary. Introduce peer support within the team.
(Life cycle stage: Planning your project, Executing your project)
Poor teamwork
Solution: Gain an understanding of what motivates individuals in the team.
Deal with conflict within the team. Provide an acceptable working
environment. Undertake off-project team building / social events.
(Life cycle stage: Planning your project, Executing your project)

Twenty actions to help ensure project


success
Ta b l e 1.8   Actions for project success

Action Results of successful performance

Defining your project


1. Demonstrate ●● A document confirming the need for the project
the project need deliverables and describing, in broad terms:
and feasibility. the deliverables, means of creating the
deliverables, costs of creating and implementing
the deliverables, benefits to be obtained by
implementing the deliverables.
2. Obtain project ●● A ‘go/no go’ decision is made by the sponsor
authorization. (company).
●● A project manager is assigned.
●● A ‘project charter’ is created which:
–– formally recognizes the project;
–– communicates the success factors;
–– details the scope of the project and its
deliverables;
–– is used as a communication document
throughout the project.
3. Appraise fully ●● Outline the various ways the project objectives can
all aspects of the be met.
project ●● Conduct a comprehensive risk analysis:
–– include Technical, Commercial, Environmental
and Safety;
–– document all risks within the Project Risk Register.
Starting Your Project 57

Ta b l e 1.8   continued

Action Results of successful performance

Planning your project


4. Describe ●● Statement of project scope.
project scope. ●● Scope management plan.
●● Work breakdown structure.

5. Define and ●● An activity list (list of all activities that will be


sequence project performed on the project).
activities. ●● Updates to the work breakdown structure (WBS).
●● A project network diagram.

6. Estimate ●● Estimate of durations for each activity and


durations for assumptions related to each estimate.
activities and ●● Statement of resource requirements.
resources ●● Updates to activity list.
required.

7. Develop a ●● Project schedule in the form of Gantt charts,


project schedule. network diagrams, milestone charts, or text
tables.
●● Supporting details, such as resource usage over
time, cash flow projections, order/delivery
schedules, etc.

8. Estimate ●● Cost estimates for completing each activity.


costs. ●● Supporting detail, including assumptions and
constraints.
●● Cost management plan describing how cost
variances will be handled.

9. Build a budget ●● A cost baseline or time-phased budget for


and spending measuring/monitoring costs.
plan. ●● A spending plan, telling how much will be spent
on what resources at what time.

10. Create a ●● Quality management plan, including operational


formal quality definitions.
plan. ●● Quality verification checklists.
58 20:20 Project Management

Ta b l e 1.8   continued

Action Results of successful performance

Planning your project


11. Create a ●● A communication management plan, including:
formal project –– collection structure;
communications
–– distribution structure;
plan.
–– distribution structure of information to be
disseminated;
–– schedules listing when information will be
produced;
–– a method for updating the communications plan.

12. Organize and ●● Role and responsibility assignments.


acquire staff. ●● Staffing plan.
●● Organizational chart with detail as appropriate.
●● Project staff.
●● Project team directory.

13. Identify risks ●● A document describing potential risks, including


and plan to their sources, symptoms, and ways to address
respond. them.

14. Plan for and ●● Procurement management plan describing how


acquire outside contractors will be obtained.
resources. ●● Statement of work (SOW) or statement of
(if required) requirements (SOR) describing the item (product or
service) to be procured.
●● Bid documents, such as RFP (request for proposal),
IFB (invitation for bid), etc.
●● Evaluation criteria – means of scoring contractor’s
proposals.
●● Contract with one or more suppliers of goods or
services.

15. Organize the ●● A comprehensive project plan that pulls together all
project plan. the outputs of the preceding project planning
activities.

16. Close out the ●● Project plan that has been approved, in writing, by
project planning the client and a ‘green light’ or okay to begin work
phase. on the project.
Starting Your Project 59

Ta b l e 1.8   continued

Action Results of successful performance

Planning your project


17. Revisit the ●● Confidence that the detailed plans to execute a
project plan and particular phase are still accurate and will effectively
re-plan if needed. achieve results as planned.

Execution of your project


18. Execute ●● Work results (deliverables) are created.
project activities. ●● Change requests (ie, based on expanded or
contracted project) are identified.
●● Periodic progress reports are created.
●● Team performance is assessed, guided, and
improved if needed.
●● Bids/proposals for deliverables are solicited,
contractors (suppliers) are chosen, and contracts
are established.
●● Contracts are administered to achieve desired work
results.

19. Control ●● Decision to accept inspected deliverables.


project activities. ●● Corrective actions such as rework of deliverables,
adjustments to work process, etc.
●● Updates to project plan and scope.
●● Improved quality.
●● Completed evaluation checklists (if applicable).

Closing your project


20. Close out ●● Formal acceptance, documented in writing, that
project activities. the sponsor has accepted the product of this phase
or activity.
●● Formal acceptance of contractor work products and
updates to the contractor’s files.
●● Updated project records prepared for archiving.
●● List of lessons learned.
●● A plan for follow-up and/or hand-off of work
products.
60 20:20 Project Management

Project manager’s weekly checklist


Check your project’s scope
Refresh your memory about your project’s goals and boundaries. In particular,
make sure you have a clear picture of what the desired results should be
at this point relative to deliverables, schedule costs, quality, and so on.

Check your deliverables


Analyse the status of each project deliverable. Are they evolving as planned?
If appropriate:
●● Locate lists of quality criteria that may be applied to inspect the quality
and completeness of the deliverables at this stage of the project.
●● Check contractors’ proposals or contracts to make sure you know what
they should be supplying at this point.
●● Inspect all project deliverables.
●● Decide whether to accept inspected deliverables or to require rework.

Check your schedule


Examine your milestones, key dates, and critical path. Are you where you
need to be?

Analyse variances by comparing ‘estimated’ to


‘actual’
●● Are activities taking longer than planned? (Are you exceeding
estimates of duration?)
●● Are you using more resource hours than you planned?
●● Are your actual costs exceeding your estimated costs?
●● If minor variances are discovered (variances that can be resolved easily
without changing the plan or scope), then resolve them.
●● If major variances are discovered (variances that change the scope or
constitute significant project issues), then handle them as described in
the steps below.

Address scope changes


●● Identify changes in scope (changes in deliverables, schedule, costs, etc).
●● Handle scope changes, if necessary.
Starting Your Project 61

List, track, and try to resolve open issues


●● Make a list of all the unresolved issues. or;
●● Revisit the list of open issues from the last inspection period and try
to resolve them.

Revisit potential project risks


●● Locate the risk management plan, if one has been created.
●● Note particularly whether any of the ongoing events or upcoming
events are identified in the risk management plan as particularly
vulnerable to risk.

Report project status


●● After completing the checks above, if you haven’t already done so,
talk to your team members and determine their perspective on
project status.
●● Create and circulate a project status report.

Drive for close-out of activities and sign-off of


deliverables as appropriate
●● Ask yourself, ‘What activities can I close out? Which deliverables can I
get formally approved and signed off?’
●● Prepare and get signatures on sign-off forms as appropriate.

Create a list of lessons learned


Create a list of lessons learned that describes the ways subsequent project
activities must be modified in order to prevent the difficulties encountered
up to this point.

Complete appropriate evaluation checklists


Complete evaluation checklists, if applicable, and file them as part of the official
project records.
62 20:20 Project Management

Ten tips for guaranteed failure


1 Don’t bother prioritizing your organization’s overall project load.
After all, if there’s a free-for-all approach to your overall programme
management (ie ‘survival of the fittest’), then the projects that survive
will be those that were destined to survive. In the meantime, senior
management need not trouble themselves aligning projects with
strategic goals or facing the logical imperative that people simply
cannot have 12 number one priorities!
2 Encourage sponsors and key stakeholders to take a passive role on
the project team. Let them assert their authority to reject deliverables
at random, without participating in defining project outcomes in a
high-resolution fashion.
3 Set up ongoing committees focusing on management process (such
as TQM groups, etc) and make project team members participate in
frequent meetings and write lots of reports ... preferably when critical
project deadlines are coming due.
4 Interrupt team members relentlessly ... preferably during their time off.
Find all sorts of trivial issues that ‘need to be addressed’, then keep
their beepers and mobile phones ringing and bury them in e-mails to
keep them off balance.
5 Create a culture in which project managers are expected to ‘roll over’
and take it when substantive new deliverables are added halfway
through the project. (After all, only a tradesperson like a plumber or
electrician would demand more money or more time for additional
services; our people are ‘professionals’ and should be prepared to be
‘flexible’.)
6 Half way through the project, when most of the deliverables have
begun to take shape, add a whole bunch of previously unnamed
stakeholders and ask them for their opinions about the project and
its deliverables.
7 Encourage the client to approve deliverables informally (with nods,
smiles and verbal praise); never force clients to stand behind their
approvals with a formal sign-off. (Give them plenty of room to wriggle
out of agreements!)
8 Make sure project managers have lots of responsibilities and
deadlines, but no authority whatsoever to acquire or remove people
from the project; to get enough money, materials, or facilities;
or insist on timely participation of the key personnel.
9 Describe project deliverables in the vaguest possible terms so sponsors
and reviewers have plenty of leeway to reinvent the project outputs
repeatedly as the project unfolds.
Starting Your Project 63

10 Get projects up and running as quickly as possible – don’t worry about


documenting agreements in a formal project charter, clearly describing
team roles/responsibilities, or doing a thorough work breakdown
analysis. After all, we know what we’re doing and we trust each other.
So let’s get to it without a pesky audit trail!

Financial evaluation in projects


Financial assessment
Financial assessment is an activity generally conducted early in the project life
cycle. In most cases it would be carried out prior to a project being initiated
with the results forming a major part of the business case. Financial appraisal
not only looks at the financial viability of a project but also allows the com-
parison of several projects or project options on a like for like basis. Income
and expenditure should always be produced for each project option taking into
account the whole project. These figures are usually based on historical data
from similar projects. Once these figures have been calculated each project or
project option is assessed and the financial position appraised.
If an option cannot generate sufficient income to cover its expenditure
it will probably be excluded at this stage unless any other overriding factors
are considered more important ie loss leaders, image, politics, regulatory
commitments, necessary commitments (software upgrade).
Evaluation of the financial aspects of a project is very important due to the
nature of project expenditure where:
●● Expenditure is generally high.
●● It is generally long term.
●● It involves forecast of future events.
It is therefore very important that we have a method to compare the financial
aspects of different projects and project options. We therefore:
●● must have a clear objective;
●● must have a procedure for assessing financial implications;
●● must have a means of evaluating the benefits;
●● need to be able to measure different projects against the objective.
Financial appraisal methods can be divided into two main techniques.
●● techniques which ignore the time value of money;
●● techniques which account for the time value of money.
64 20:20 Project Management

Appraisal techniques which do not account for time


Payback
This method measures when the project will ‘pay back’ the initial sum of
money invested.

Ta b l e 1.9   Payback calculation

Method A Method B Method C

Investment at start year 1 £10,000 £10,000 £10,000

Income at end year 1 £3,000 £5,000 £2,500


Income at end year 2 £3,000 £5,000 £4,000
Income at end year 3 £3,000 £4,000 £5,000
Income at end year 4 £3,000 £2,000 £6,000

Payback Period 3.3 years 2 years 2.7 years

In the above example method B would be preferred due to the fact that it
returns the initial investment quicker than the other two methods irrespective
of the fact that method C’s return would be much greater.
The main advantages of this method are:
●● It is easily understood and applied.
●● It reduces the uncertainty of long range cash forecast as it
concentrates on early cash returns.
The disadvantages are:
●● No account of cash flows beyond the payback date is taken into
account.
●● Projects with high early returns are favoured even though the risks
may be higher.
●● Projects with longer life cycles are penalized where the cash flow may
initially be low.

Return on investment (ROI)


This approach makes use of concepts similar to the ‘return on investment’
concepts used to assess profitability in conventional profit and loss accounts
and balance sheets. The method is illustrated in the following table.
Starting Your Project 65

Ta b l e 1.10   Return on investment

Method A Method B Method C

Investment at start year 1 £10,000 £10,000 £10,000

Income at end year 1 £3,000 £5,000 £2,500


Income at end year 2 £3,000 £5,000 £4,000
Income at end year 3 £3,000 £4,000 £5,000
Income at end year 4 £3,000 £2,000 £6,000

Payback Period 3.3 years 2 years 2.7 years

Average income p.a. £3,000 £4,000 £4,375


R.o.I (Av inc. / invest.) 30% 40% 43.75%

By appraising the ROI of each method, method C would be most favourable


despite its longer payback period.
The main advantages of this method are:
●● It is also easily understood and applied.
●● It follows the traditional approach that will be used in determining
return on capital employed and can be used to ensure that required
financial constraints are satisfied by a project.
The main disadvantage of this method is:
●● No account is taken of the effect time has on the predicted cash flows,
ie money received in four years’ times is treated as if it were received
in year 1.

Appraisal techniques which do use discounting


Principles of discounting
The principles of discounting are based on the principle of compound interest.
ie interest is applied and accumulated to the principal sum at an agreed time.
Assuming £1000 is borrowed at 10 per cent interest, compounded annually,
then at the end of 3 years the borrower will owe £1331, as illustrated in the
following example:
66 20:20 Project Management

Ta b l e 1.11   Discounting example

Start of year 1 Principal £1,000

End of year 1 Interest £100 £1,100

End of year 2 Interest £110 £1,210

End of year 3 Interest £121 £1,331

This also tells us (assuming interest rates stay the same) £1,333 received in
three years’ time is the equivalent of receiving £1,000 today.
Dividing the principal by the total accumulated at the end of each year,
produces a series of discount factors, eg:
End year 1: £1,000/1,100 = 0.909
End year 2: £1,000/1,210 = 0.826
End year 3: £1,000/1,331 = 0.751
If we now apply these factors to the predicted cash flows we can equate
them to an equivalent present-day figure, ie present value. This figure can now
be used to give a more accurate effect of the cash flows.

Net present value (NPV)


The net present value (NPV) is the total of all the discounted forecasts, out
and in, over the expected life of the project and its product.
All predicted forecast flows are discounted for the life of the project. If the
sum of the discounted revenue flows for the life of the project is greater than
the initial investment then the project would be seen to be successful. If the
total was less then it would be questionable if the project should proceed.
The rate used to discount the cash flows is obviously crucial and would
usually be based on the minimum rate of return (MRR) defined by the organ­
ization and is usually based on the rate of interest that could be earned on the
initial outlay if invested in a more predictable area.
The following example illustrates the approach:

NPV calculation
Minimum rate of return = 10 per cent
Starting Your Project 67

Ta b l e 1.12   Net Present Value (NPV) example

Revenues Discount PV
factor

Investment at start year 1 £20,000 1.00 £–20,000

Income at end year 1 £5,000 .909 £4,545


Income at end year 2 £8,000 .826 £6,608
Income at end year 3 £10,000 .751 £7,510
Income at end year 4 £12,000 .683 £8,196

Totals £35,000 £26,859

Net present value £6,859

In the above example the net present value (NPV) is based on an MRR of 10
per cent. In this instance this project would seem to be viable based on this
financial appraisal method. In addition it can be seen that it meets its payback
in just over three years. Projects which meet their MRR quicker may also be
viewed more favourably than others that don’t.

Internal rate of return (IRR)


The internal rate of return (IRR) is the discount rate which gives zero NPV over
the life of the project. It is the method that therefore solves a rate of interest
for the project by working out what discount rate returns the present value
of the outgoings equal to the initial investment.
For example: What is the rate of interest that makes £1,331 in three years’
time equivalent to £1,000?

Ta b l e 1.13   Internal Rate of Return (IRR) example

Investment start year 1  £12K 0% 10% 15%

Income at end year 1   £2K £2,000 .909 £1,818 .870 £1,740
Income at end year 2   £7K £7,000 .826 £5,782 .756 £5,292
Income at end year 3   £6K £6,000 .751 £4,506 .658 £3,948

PV £15,000 £12,106 £10,980

Ratio 0.8 0.991 1.093


68 20:20 Project Management

Two of the ratios are then plotted on a graph against the percentage rate and
a straight line drawn between them. Where the line crosses the ratio at 1 this
is the IRR that the project will return.
In the case below it is approximately 11 per cent.

F i g u r e 1.6   Example IRR calculation

1.2

1.1

0.9

0.8

0.7

0.6

0.5
0% 10% 11% 15%

Things to consider
The tortoise and the hare
The initial phase of starting a project is often rushed, yet it is the most critical
stage at which a project manager can add value to their project and ensure it
has every chance of success. By stepping methodically through the starting
phase you will lay the foundations for a successful project. There is often
pressure to ‘get on with the project’ – caused by a lack of understanding in the
organization – yet to rush this stage is to build on loose, unstable foundations
without a clear understanding by all stakeholders of the project objectives.
Time spent here will be rewarded later in the project. Time spent on a careful
start-up of your project will lead you faster to a successful conclusion.

Being SMART
One way to check whether a project has met its objectives is to ask each
stakeholder to wrote them down independently. It is common to then see
significant differences in how some stakeholders view project success –
usually because they themselves have differing objectives. The idea of SMART
objectives is not a new one. Indeed it is well used in management and leader-
ship theory. However, it applies especially well to project management.
Objectives which are not SMART will cause project issues later.
Starting Your Project 69

Defining success
It sounds obvious but it isn’t. Unless there is a clear measureable definition
of project success how can a project manager know if they have delivered a
successful project? The key here is to get all the stakeholders to agree –
sometimes easier said than done.

Beware the terrorists


It is important to understand how a stakeholder can affect or influence the
project. Sometimes even the most sublime stakeholders can, at a vital moment,
have a major influence on the project. Often this can be avoided by careful
stakeholder analysis but it is critical to ensure continued and appropriate
levels of communication throughout the project to ensure that all the stake-
holders remain ‘on side’. This is especially true of politically sensitive projects
in any organization – and especially so where there are external stakeholders
in collaborative projects typical of government and public sectors.

The project management plan as a ‘live’ document


Like many of the documents we will discuss during this book, the project
management plan must be a living document. It is best seen as a structured
filing cabinet, accessible to many (in parts) and constantly evolving and
documenting. A small project may have a project management plan of only a
few pages, whereas a complex or high value project may have many pages.
However, the content has to be at a relevant level of detail. For the wise
project manager it is both an audit trail and ultimately a project closure report
all in one.

Sometimes it is right to cancel a project


It is important to always remember the business case and financial or other
criteria on which the project is based. A good project manager will not be
reluctant to monitor that the business case is still valid. It is tempting and
commonplace to continue a project even when the business case no longer
stands, but this is not in the best interests of the organization and, in a mature
project organization, the project manager and their team either.

Conclusion
This chapter is perhaps the most important of all the chapters as starting out
correctly is crucial to project success. Laying suitable foundations can take
time and there is always pressure to start ‘delivering’. But following the steps
70 20:20 Project Management

in this chapter will lead to a successful project and ultimately, this is the funda­
mental of good project management. The following chapters will follow the
project life cycle of phases from planning to completion.

C ASE S T UDY   Starting projects at Subsea 7

About Subsea 7
Subsea 7 is a seabed-to-surface engineering, construction and services contractor to the
offshore energy industry worldwide specializing in seabed-to-surface design, fabrication,
installation and commissioning. The company has a total of 12,500 employees spread
globally.
They provide fully integrated services and have a proven track record in delivering
complex projects in deep water and challenging environments. Many of these fall within
engineering, procurement, installation and commissioning (EPIC) project delivery.
They achieve this by:
●● using specialist knowledge and expertise in the design, fabrication, installation and
commissioning of seabed-to-surface projects;
●● deploying global resources in all major offshore hydrocarbon basins worldwide;
●● operating one of the world’s most versatile fleets comprising over 40 high-specification
pipe-lay, construction, remote intervention and diving support vessels;
●● always keeping safety at the heart of all operations and committing to an incident-free
workplace, every day, everywhere.

Successful project management is one of the core competencies which sets Subsea
7 apart. It takes years of practical experience, know-how and dedication to safely deliver
the toughest and most complex of offshore projects on schedule, on budget, to agreed
standards, time after time.
Their project managers are responsible for organizing and managing multi-disciplinary,
integrated project teams able to safely manage and deliver the demands of each undertaking
in terms of safety, quality, cost and schedule. These teams have industry-leading logistical
support, supply chain management and the assets needed to safely execute each project.
Through its project management expertise, Subsea 7 adds value to every phase of
the project life cycle – from planning and design through fabrication, construction and
installation to commissioning, operation and decommissioning.

Starting out with a framework for success


Subsea 7 use a proprietary online tool (PM7) designed to enhance their already proven
capabilities by providing extended cross-functional guidance in the day to day management
of projects, not just for the project manager, but for the entire project team.
Starting Your Project 71

PM7 breaks the project down into its constituent phases, from the initial identification
of prospects in the win process to the closedown of projects in the execution phase,
detailing each of the activities associated with that phase.
For each activity PM7 provides:
●● guidance to the team in what to do, how they should do it, and how best to do it in
practice;
●● links to internal guidance and procedural documents within their business
management system particular to that activity;
●● ready access to a suite of global best practices, go-bys and templates for key
activities.

In addition to this, a gate and health check system has been developed to allow project
management teams to self-audit the project at any stage of its life cycle.
Across the full project life cycle from ‘win’ to ‘close-out’, five key phases of a project
are identified as critical stages, and as seen from the diagram overleaf, project start up
is identified as a stand-alone phase of a project.
Subsea 7 define project start up as the phase of the project between notice of project
award and the execution phase, and consider it to be a critical point in the total project
life cycle. There is a tendency to try and make this phase of the project as short as possible.
This is particularly noticeable amongst the engineering community as engineers have a
tendency to want to go straight out to the design and build phase. Historical evidence,
however, shows that many of the problems occurring in projects can be traced back to
failures or lack of attention during start-up.
Subsea 7 consider the work and effort put into ensuring all start up activities are properly
performed will pay dividends by setting the foundations for the success of the project.
Generally Subsea 7 group the start up phase into two equally important components:
●● review and set up;
●● planning.

Review and set up


This component concerns:
●● putting together the resources required to perform the project through to completion
in terms of personnel, office facilities, IT facilities etc;
●● gathering of input to the project eg contract, project scope, specifications etc;
●● reviewing, verifying and accepting the work that has been performed up to this stage;
●● familiarizing the team with the scope, contract, internal and external expectations,
drivers and goals;
●● familiarizing the team with the key stakeholders and ensuring alignment at this stage
with the primary stakeholder, ie the client;
●● establishing administration and internal/external communication routines.
F i g u r e 1.7   Subsea 7 PMR life cycle vs phases

<Select Profile> My Profiles

PROJECT MANAGEMENT IN SUBSEA 7


Life Cycle
Phase Levels

WIN PROJECT START-UP EXECUTION OPERATIONS CLOSE OUT


1000
900
300 400 700 ONSHORE 1100 1200
100 200 500 600 800 SUBCONTRACTS
PROJECT REVIEW & SET CONTROL AND MANUFACTURE OFFSHORE CLOSE OUT AND
BD PROSPECT BA / ITT PLAN MANAGE ENGINEERING AND
AWARD UP REPORT AND OPERATIONS HANDOVER
PROCUREMENT
FABRICATION
Activities
105 205 305 405 505 605 705 805 905 1005 1105 1205
The BD Process Tender Summary Contract Project Project Management/ Planning Engineering Placement of Site HSEQ Personnel Technical Close
110 and Approval Award/Non-Award Organisation & Management and Development 710 Management Subcontracts 1010 Logistics Out (Client)
Workbook (TSAW) Resources Execution Plan of the Project Team
Pursuit Plan 310 Cost Control/ 810 910 Third Party 1110 1210
210 BA to BE Handover 410 510 610 Forecasting Engineering Procurement Manufacture and Operational HSEQ Contractual Close
115 Start Up − Risk
Tender Handover Review Health and Safety Design Control Fabrication Out (Client)
Client Contact 315 Management 715 915 1115
Preliminaries 415 Management 1215
Reports BA/BE Follow up Accounting 815 Subcontractor 1015 Preparation for
215 Project Strategy 515 615 Internal Close Out
120 720 Engineering and Supplier PPG Fabrication Vessel
Tender Planning Meeting Start Up − Quality Mobilisation
Estimating and Document Control Document Management Pipelines and 1220
Subcontract/ Management
Planning 220 420 Production 920 Bundles 1120 Subcontract Close
Procurement 725
Tender Start Up Plan 620 820 Logistics and Mobilisation Out
Subcontracts and 520 Environmental Internal
425 Management External Interface Materials Control 1125 1225
Procurement Start Up − Cost Management
Project Kick Off Reporting Management Offshore Experience
Control/
225 Meeting − Internal 625 825 Operations Transfer
Accounting 730
Tender Preparation Risk Management
430
525 Client Reporting Technical Package 1130 1230
230 Project Kick Off 630 Management Project Close
735 Demobilisation
t
Starting Your Project 73

Planning
This component is concerned with effectively ‘baselining’ the project in terms of:
●● generation of the key project control documents, processes and procedures to be
used by the team throughout the execution phase: project management and execution
plan, hse plan, quality plan, etc;
●● definition of the documentation deliverables in the form of a master document register;
●● establishing a schedule for performing all major onshore and offshore activities
required to complete the work scope, which can be used in conjunction with the
master document register to track and report progress;
●● establishing the initial project cost and revenue forecast, and the means by which
to control and adjust through the execution and operational phases as required;
●● establishing a means of controlling all incoming and outgoing financial funds from the
project;
●● establishing the materials, goods and services to be procured and the strategy for
procurement and supply of these;
●● reviewing the inherent project risks and establishing a risk register which can be
used to effectively control risk throughout the execution and operational phases;
●● establishing a sound technical basis for the execution and operational phases.

It is all very well to have the process for project start-up laid out in clear and carefully
defined steps; however, it is equally important to ensure that each project follows the ‘road
map’ provided by PM7. To achieve this, Subsea 7 have introduced the concept of ‘stage
gates’ into PM7.
There are two ‘stage gates’ associated with the start up phase of the project.
Gate 1 marks the transition phase between the works performed by the business
acquisition team in winning the work, and the handover to the team who will execute the work.
Gate 2 marks the completion of all activities associated with the start-up phase such
that the solid foundation for the continuing execution phase is successfully in place.
Each of the above gates can be opened within PM7 to reveal a series of audit type
questions which allows the project management teams to self-audit the project at these
critical phases. The gate audits can also be used by upper management to review the
status of the project, and the system incorporates ‘traffic lights’ to provide a visual and
‘at a glance’ status of each of the audit activities.
One of the key elements of a successful project start-up within Subsea 7 is the
development and approval of a project management and execution plan (PMEP).
The PMEP is considered as the core document for the management and execution of
the project, and is the principal means by which the project is planned, monitored and
managed. The document is owned and maintained by the project manager and is utilized by
the project team members to ensure the successful day to day operational management
and control of the project and the quality of the outputs.
The PMEP documents how the project will be managed in terms of why, what, how, how
much, who, when and where.
74 20:20 Project Management

F i g u r e 1.8   Subsea 7 PMEP documents

Gate 2

This Gate acts as a checklist to ensure that all activities deemed to be an essential part of Project Start up have been succesfully completed
Item Module Compliance Measure Comment Responsible
020 Project Management
Is the Project adequately resourced in terms 405 Project Organisation & PM-GL-PM-007 Confirmation by Project Manager
of personnel, hardware, software, office space Resources
and facilities?
Has a Project organisation chart been produced? 405 Project Organisation & PM-GL-PM-007 Approved organisation chart in place
Resources
Has a Manpower resource plan been developed 405 Project Organisation & NA Confirmed by Regional Resource Co-ordinator
to identify project man power requirements and Resources
input to the Regional planning system?
Have all Project Team personnel completed 405 Project Organisation & NA Training records
mandatory Subsea 7 training Resources
Has the team been briefed on roles, 405 Project Organisation & NA Briefing records
responsibilities and communications protocol? Resources
Has the team been briefed on roles, 405 Project Organisation & NA Briefing records
Completion of Project Start up

responsibilities and communications protocol? Resources


Has the team been fully familairised with all 405 Project Organisation & NA Familiarisation records
aspects of the Project Resources
Has a familiarisation plan been considered, and 405 Project Organisation & NA Approved Familiarisation plan in place At discretion of Project Manager or at client
if relevant has it been generated Resources request
Has the team been issued with Project specific 405 Project Organisation & NA Signed Job Descriptions in place At discretion of Project Manager, at Client
job descriptions? Resources request and/or regional legislation
Has the BA to BE handover been performed 410 Handover Review PM-GL-PM-007 Project Manager acceptance of handover
according to Gate 1?
Has a team review of all handover material been 410 Handover Review NA Records of review
conducted?
Has a team review of all handover material been 410 Handover Review NA Records of review
conducted?
Have relevant issues re the handover material been 410 Handover Review NA Records of review
resolved and has feedback been provided to BA?
Has a Project strategy meeting been performed 415 Project Strategy Meeting PM-GL-PM-007 MoM/actions from meeting
with Regional ops?
Has a project Start Up Plan been developed 420 Start Up Plan NA Start up plan in place At discretion of Project Manager or if
covering the first 30–90 day period? required by Client
Has an internal project Kick-Off meeting been 425 Project Kick Off PM-GL-PM-007 MoM/action list from meeting
held with the Project Team, including remote Meeting – Internal
locations as applicable?
Has a formal Kick-Off Meeting been held with the 430 Project Kick Off PM-GL-PM-007 MoM/action list from meeting
Client Project Team? Meeting – External
Is the Project set up on SharePoint? 440 Administration/ NA Sharepoint site set up
Communication
Have specific Project document templates been 440 Administration/ NA Document Templates for use
set up Communication

Why: A statement of what is to be delivered by the project which includes a definition


of the need, problem, or opportunity being addressed.

What : A description of the scope, the deliverables and the acceptance criteria.
This includes the success criteria for the project, the objectives and the KPIs
used to measure success. The ‘what’ needs to take into account the project’s
constraints assumptions and the dependencies.

How: Defines the strategy for management, the tools, resources, techniques,
monitoring, control and reporting requirements. This will also include material
and procurement requirements. Also defines how the work is to be technically
performed.

How much: Definition of the project budget, and the budget and cost management
processes.

Who: A description of the key project roles and responsibilities, the organization,
and the plan for required resources.

When: Defines the timescales, including milestones, phasing and the overall plan.

Where: Defines the geographical locations in which all aspects of the work are to be
performed.
Starting Your Project 75

The PMEP provides high level information on the project and then sets specific guidelines
for successful management and execution, ensuring that all activities are compliant with
Subsea 7 business management system and client’s contractual and technical requirements.
The high-level table of contents for the generic Subsea 7 PMEP is presented below:

Section I: General information


Introduction
Executive summary

Section II: Project statement


Scope of work
Project schedule
Project organization
Work breakdown structure
Project objectives and measures of success

Section III: Project management


General project management
Project start-up
HSEQ management
Risk and opportunity management
Management of change
Project controls
Communications, information management and reporting
Contract and procurement management
Technical and operational management
Project close-out

Section IV: Project execution


Services/materials/equipment requirements
Engineering
Onshore fabrication/construction/manufacturing
Offshore operations
Risks and challenges
Contingency plans
76

THIS PAGE IS INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK


77

Defining your 02
project

Introduction


Running a project without a work breakdown
structure is like going to a strange land without
a road map.  J Phillips


Defining your project is all about ‘scope management’.
Scope management is the process by which the deliverables
and work to produce them are identified and defined.
Identification and definition of the scope must describe
what the project will include and what it will not include,
ie what is in and out of the scope.  APM’s body of knowledge

T he scope of the project is comprised of what has to be delivered (the


project deliverables) and what work has to be done to deliver the project
deliverables. Scope management should be continually addressed throughout
the life of the project and includes regular monitoring and controlling.

The high-level scope of the project should have been defined and documented
in the business case. The depth and detail of the scope will develop as the
project progresses and will be a breakdown of the original scope held in the
project management plan (PMP).

The scope can be broken down and refined by using a PBS (product break-
down structure) and a WBS (work breakdown structure).
78 20:20 Project Management

The product breakdown structure (PBS)


The product breakdown structure (PBS) identifies and defines all the products
(deliverables) that the project has to produce. The PBS will show the scope
broken down in a hierarchical manner and at its lowest level each product
(deliverable) will be identified.

F i g u r e 2.1   Example product breakdown structure (PBS)

Contract

Product
Engine Training
Support

Fan Compressor Turbire

Fan Full Scale Minor Fan


Assembly Fan Rig Test Rig Test

Case Rotor Stator


Assembly Assembly Assembly

This shows an example PBS from the British Standard (BS 6079) for project
management.

The work breakdown structure (WBS)


The work breakdown structure (WBS) defines the work that is required in
order to produce the product or deliverables. It is represented as a hierarchical
subdivision of a project into work areas with the lowest generally being a work
Defining Your Project 79

package or sometimes even an activity. The lowest level of the WBS should be
consistent and agreed at the outset of the creation of the WBS.
A simplified example of a WBS for the production of a new model of car
is shown below. In this example the work is broken down to work package
level where an activity list can then be produced.

F i g u r e 2.2   Example work breakdown structure (WBS)

Car Project

Design 1.0 Build 2.0 Test 3.0

Build Elect 2.1 Build Engine 2.2 Build G/Box 2.3

Work Package 2.2.1

Work Package 2.2.2

Work Package 2.2.3

Work Package 2.2.4

The rationale for creating a WBS is:


●● It enables the definition of the total scope of work.
●● It provides the ability to assign work to people responsible for carrying
out the work.
●● It establishes a control baseline.
●● It measures accomplishments objectively when the work is done.
●● It defines, collects and reports information at the appropriate level
required.
●● It defines the relationships between work, organization and cost.
80 20:20 Project Management

The organizational breakdown


structure (OBS)
Project organizations can be broken down in much the same way as the
work or product can. The OBS is created to reflect the strategy for managing
the various aspects of the project and shows the hierarchical breakdown of
the management structure.

An example of a typical OBS is shown below where the company is divided


firstly by region (east and west) then by division or department.

F i g u r e 2.3   Example organizational breakdown structure (OBS)

Company X

East West

Design Elect Eng Mech Safety HSE Finance

The cost breakdown structure (CBS)


Costs are allocated to the lowest level of the WBS. The tasks at this level
can often be subdivided into discrete activities to be completed by different
departments therefore one task may have several cost elements. Once costs
have been assigned to tasks, it is possible to monitor the project in terms
of actual, forecast and earned cost on a task.
In order to be able to summarize costs within projects and across projects
a cost breakdown structure (CBS) needs to be developed.
The majority of organizations have a standard CBS that is applied across all
projects and is nearly always determined by the finance department. Finance
often refers to the structure as the code of accounts which includes other
elements over and above pure costs. With some computerized tools, a separate
CBS is set up which is normally a simplified version of the code of accounts
so that it can be understood more easily by non-financial managers.
Defining Your Project 81

F i g u r e 2.4   Example cost breakdown structure (CBS)

Total Cost

Labour Non Labour

Temp Perm Manf Expenses Materials

The responsibility assignment matrix (RAM)


The WBS and OBS can be combined to produce a responsibility assignment
matrix (RAM) which links the work to be done with the assigned organization,
department or person.

F i g u r e 2.5   Example responsibility

Project WBS

Design Build Test

Elect Engine G/box Chassis Engine

Contractor OBS

Mgt Project

Legal
82 20:20 Project Management

It can be seen in this example how the work to be carried out in the WBS
can be associated to the responsible department within the OBS.

Assigning responsibilities to tasks


By forming a matrix with the work breakdown structure and the organizational
breakdown structure, responsibilities can be assigned to lower level tasks.
Each task is assigned a WBS and OBS code, the department responsible, the
person responsible, and the scope of the work required (contained in a ‘state-
ment of work’). More than one department may be responsible for a task’s
statement of work (SoW) because it is often made up of several distinct
activities.

SoW example
Task reference code: D01;
Summary description of the requirement: design unit 1;
Key deliverables: detailed design; documentation;
Timescales for the deliverables: start and finish dates;
Task dependencies/subsidiary tasks: succeeding tasks D03, M27;
Schedule of costs by cost element: £1,000 per deliverable;
Risk assessment: impact: low; probability: low;
Performance measurement and task completion criteria: client sign-off;
Description of work content: full description;
Reporting requirements: project manager;
Task ownership: drawing office.

Steps in developing a breakdown structure


●● Start with project objectives.
●● Identify the type of breakdown structure required: WBS, PBS, OBS CBS.
●● Subdivide the work from the most general level to the most specific
until manageable units are achieved, ie organize into a pyramid
arrangement from the most general level to the most specific until
manageable units are achieved.
●● Define the objectives and interrelationships at each level within the
structure.
●● Allocate each discrete element of the structure a unique reference code.
●● Estimate effort, time and cost at the lowest level of the WBS or PBS.
Defining Your Project 83

F i g u r e 2.6   Developing hierarchical breakdown structures

PROJECT

1 2 3

1.1 1.2 1.3 3.1 3.2

This process should be democratic with all project participants being repre-
sented so that nothing is left out and that all parties commit themselves,
taking responsibility for their part in the project.

When developing a breakdown structure, the following areas should be


considered:
●● must represent how the work is going to be done;
●● must be compatible with other existing processes (eg time recording,
purchasing, finance, etc);
●● consistency in size of the lowest level activities (or tasks);
●● must reconcile the structure back to the requirements (or contract) to
ensure that all elements are included;
●● do not have a task crossing a phase or stage boundary;
●● do not go into too much detail and develop too many levels.
When the WBS has been developed, and all tasks identified, it is useful to
check that all tasks have the following attributes:
●● results in a product;
●● definable scope of work;
●● measurable start (restraint);
●● measurable finish;
●● assumptions.

Common-sense guidelines
●● Each project is different.
●● Each project manager has a preferred approach.
84 20:20 Project Management

●● Customers may have a preferred approach.


●● Tasks must not cross life cycle stage boundaries.
It is impossible to define a single set of workable rules on how to develop
a breakdown structure. However, a number of common-sense guidelines do
exist.
●● Tasks should be of a size that they could be completed within two
reporting periods.
●● Project management or other support tasks should not be
unnecessarily limited. They should cover a phase or stage of the
project and should, ideally, have a duration no greater than twelve
months.
●● If an activity is to cover outside purchases that have a long lead time,
it is counterproductive to split this work into separate tasks.
●● If an activity is to cover intense activity over a short time period,
it may be useful to subdivide the activity into elements (or tasks)
smaller than two months.
●● Do not develop the WBS to too much detail in the early stages of
a project. A WBS that has been developed too early will require
frequent changing. Once a WBS has been set up it becomes difficult
to change.
●● Minimize the number of levels. Too many levels will cause confusion
and misunderstandings.
●● Look at other successful projects. Copy their ideas and layout.
Examine unsuccessful projects and learn from their failures.
Use templates where possible.
●● Leave gaps in any numbering system. Anticipate changes and variation
orders. By leaving gaps, any new tasks can be built into the structure
at a logical point.
●● If projects are short term and can be completed in one or two
reporting cycles it is pointless to develop a detailed WBS. In many
of these cases, a single activity with associated tasks may suffice.
●● Each task must have strictly defined entry and exit criteria with the
scope of each work package being unambiguously defined.
Templates can be useful but do not slavishly copy them. If templates or
structures from other projects are being used as the basis for developing the
WBS, take care to ensure that elements are not omitted or that elements
have not been included from the template that do not apply to the current
project.

If possible, involve the customer when developing the WBS. Involve the
project team. They are the people who have to accept responsibility for doing
the work.
Defining Your Project 85

Requirements management
What is requirements management?

Requirements management is the set of activities encompassing the


collection, control, analysis, filtering, documentation and communication
of the requirements of a project.
(Source APM Pathways)

When discussing requirements management it should be considered in


relation to work scope, change control, the business case and procurement
and project success as the subject is very closely interlinked to these other
content areas.

Requirements management is a subject which covers the understanding a


project manager must have about the purpose of the project they are working
on. In addition to this, the understanding must then be communicated very
clearly and comprehensively to the team who will be delivering the work so
that the project can be delivered within the previously discussed parameters
of cost, time and quality. These requirements must also be traceable and
testable and provide some sort of benchmark in terms of how the overall
success of the project will be judged.

The fundamental issue we tend to find with a project is that it is initiated to


solve some sort of problem or instil some form of change within an organiza-
tion, the problem or change in turn tends to be ill defined. However, the solution
we are responsible for developing needs to be very well defined in order for
suppliers or sub contractors to bid/tender for this work or indeed for project
teams to deliver against it. In order to create an environment where we can
succeed in delivery we need to go through a process of evolving, refining and
checking the features and requirements to inform the final design, build and
test our product, thus achieving the traceability and provision of an audit trail
on the work we have done.

The illustration overleaf best demonstrates requirements management.


86 20:20 Project Management

F i g u r e 2.7   Requirements management

Problem Space

Needs

Traceability Definition
Product
Features

Product Requirements
Design

Deliverables

Test Criteria

Documentation

Why do we need requirements


management?
The requirements of a project can change quite significantly throughout its life
cycle. This is particularly true when considering requests for change, move-
ment in objectives, stakeholder management, legislation etc which makes it
extremely difficult to track our progress on the product/solution against our
original plans and specifications. Therefore we need a suitable and effective
management method to control, trace and test these requirements as they:
●● have different levels of detail;
●● can be very large in numbers and can become unmanageable;
●● are not always obvious and can come from many different sources;
●● are always subject to change;
●● can be generated from cross functional groups;
●● are unique;
Defining Your Project 87

●● can have differing priorities;


●● are time sensitive;
●● can have common deliverables;
●● can be related to other projects;
●● can be difficult to articulate to others. (source: APM Pathways)

Project programme planning


Many projects are large and complex and in order that they can be efficiently
managed they need to be sub divided into smaller areas of manageable
work. A number of individual (sub) projects can then be managed as part of a
programme of work.
Traditionally, this has been carried out by developing a work breakdown
structure and managing each task as a separate package of work with:
●● a definable start and finish;
●● a budget;
●● a person responsible;
●● a scope of work.
With very large projects, even when they are sub divided into tasks they can
still represent a complexity that is difficult to manage. In order to overcome
this problem, very large projects should be first subdivided into individual
projects and then each individual project divided into its own work breakdown
structure. The creation of sub projects or programmes can be treated as just
another level of the WBS.

When to use programmes


The reason for breaking a project down into sub projects (or for grouping
projects into a programme) is often for organizational or contractual reasons.
Splitting projects into sub projects of a programme is recommended when:
●● different sites using differing processes and tools are working on large
elements of the programme;
●● different companies are working on large elements of the programme;
●● different contracts have been placed by the customer for different
stages of the programme;
●● different types of contracts have been placed for different elements of
the programme;
●● multitasking contracts have been placed where each task is treated as
a separate contract by the customer.
88 20:20 Project Management

Grouping projects into programmes is recommended when:


●● there are many activity or task interfaces between the projects;
●● a common pool of labour is supporting all the projects;
●● the customer requires individual projects to be reported as a single
entity;
●● a part of the organization requires the projects to be consolidated and
reported as a single entity.

How to set them up


Projects can be broken down into sub projects using a variety of approaches:
●● by phase;
●● by function;
●● by process;
●● by product.
The preferred approach would be to break programmes into sub projects
using products or deliverables. Using this approach should minimize the inter-
project relationships and will allow the project manager to focus on the project
deliverables or objectives, rather than on a process or a part of a process.
Sub projects of a programme could be generated based on contract items,
provided that the items in the contract are compatible with a product break-
down structure approach.
If programmes are subdivided using functions or processes, many of the
projects will only have input into other projects rather than resulting in end
products themselves. Responsibilities are more difficult to assign; there
would be more inter-project relationships and more inter-project coordination
required. It would also be more difficult for the project team to focus on the
project goals.
If programmes are subdivided into individual projects by phase, it means
that the current phase of the programme essentially represents the overall
work scope at any point in time. Future uncertainties will not be addressed,
as the project covering the future phases will not be able to be defined until
the current phase project finishes.
Each individual project in a programme should be treated as a separate
entity with quality, finance, project management and support tasks being part
of the project. There should not be a series of quality tasks encompassing
all projects in a programme.
Thought must be given to subcontractors when developing the project
breakdown structure. It is more efficient to place a subcontract for one project
item rather than for many smaller items across many projects. The internal
management of the subcontractor must be considered.
Defining Your Project 89

Managing programmes
The managing of multiple projects as part of a programme requires some
additional effort over and above managing a group of individual projects.
Even though an individual project is part of a larger programme, it must
still be treated as a stand-alone project with its own:
●● project manager;
●● requirements;
●● acceptance criteria;
●● budget;
●● milestones;
●● contingency;
●● baseline;
●● risk;
●● support team (QA, finance, PSO, etc);
●● subcontractors/suppliers.
Although it is a stand-alone project, an additional consolidation process must
take place subsequent to any individual project reports being generated.
Project priorities must be assigned, on occasion resources may be reassigned,
and contract changes will take place.
In order to manage multiple projects within a programme, a separate pro-
gramme manager must be nominated, together with a support team whose
sole role is to manage the consolidation process and the interrelationships
between the projects. This support group must comprise an overall design
authority, quality authority and programme management authority. This support
group would be set up as a separate team that would act as the prime con-
tractor for the individual projects and would define the processes that each
project would have to adopt. External customer contact, commercial arrange-
ments, and financial trading information would all be managed by this prime
contractor programme.
In essence, the programme manager and the central support team act as
the customer for the project and manage all inter-project disputes and change
orders. From time to time, changes will be required between projects without
an external customer being involved. There must be this capability of internal
changes and internal customers in order that a programme environment can
operate.

Consolidations
When programmes of work are subdivided, thought must be given to any
subsequent consolidations. If a large programme is subdivided into ten smaller
90 20:20 Project Management

projects, each with a quality assurance work package, then consideration


must be given as to how the quality assurance elements across the projects
can be consolidated into an overall quality assurance resource, cost or time
plan. Attributes must be assigned across all projects so that this programme
consolidation can take place.
As the individual projects will require to be consolidated for corporate
reporting, all the projects must adhere to common data standards and a
common consistent programme management process. They must all be using
a common life cycle process and review cycle. To minimize costs, the projects
should use common formats for management and reporting.

Things to consider when defining your


project
Stakeholder agreement
It is as important to agree what is not in the scope of the project, as to what
is. Defining the project scope sounds obvious in principle. However, it is easy
for ‘assumptions’ to be made by various stakeholders on what is included in
the scope. The easiest way to avoid this is to ask the project stakeholders to
literally sign the work breakdown structure (or product breakdown structure
if you prefer). Being asked to sign their agreement against the scope will
force a careful analysis of the requirement which can save a lot of time and
cost later.

Don’t jump to the planning stage too soon


Without a clear knowledge of the scope, planning will be ineffective. It is
tempting to make assumptions and jump too early into the planning stage,
rather than painstakingly agree the detailed scope of work. This ‘short cut’ will
lead to more problems later than it solves now.

Involve all those who know the work


The development of work or product breakdown structures gives the project
team an opportunity to engage with anyone who knows the work better than
they may do. Those who have previously been involved in similar projects will
readily spot missing elements of scope using their experience and, even if
they are not part of the formal team, they will usually be pleased to help at this
stage. This stage is also an opportunity to engage the wider project team in
working together – effectively team building but at the same time creating
a common vision of the work involved.
Defining Your Project 91

Ignoring time
Creating a work breakdown structure allows the project team to define the
work or products in a logical way, without being distracted by the ‘timeline’
which comes later in the planning stage. By ensuring each step of defining
and planning your project is done methodically, it will lead to a better result,
and increase the chances of project success.

Pre-planning benefits
Developing the responsibility assignment matrix (RAM) before the planning
stage allows the project team to avoid the distraction of reality at too early a
stage. It is too tempting to modify resource requirement because of assump-
tions about availability instead of simply and methodically agreeing who should
have responsibility for what work. It is also important to keep the distinction
between ‘responsibility’ (at this stage) and ‘resource allocation’ (who will do
the work – agreed at the planning stage).

Programmes and projects


There is often much confusion between programmes and projects, and even
the job titles of project manager, programme manager, project director and
programme director. However, this chapter has sought to make the distinction
clear. Programme management is briefly described in this chapter but is a
large subject with many tools and techiques in its own right.

Project management is like juggling three balls: time, cost and quality.
Programme management is like a troupe of circus performers standing in
a circle, each juggling three balls and swapping balls from time to time.
(Source Geoff Reiss)

Project simulation

If we apply the processes discussed above in the creation of a WBS for our
simulation project it may look something like in Figure 2.8.
For the sake of clarity we have only broken down some of the areas to task level,
however, in an actual project we would break each level of the WBS down to its
lowest point which then give us a list of activities for the project.

Continued overleaf
92

Project simulation continued

F i g u r e 2.8   Simulation project: WBS

Office Relocation
1.0

Office Project
Legal IT Procurement
Configuration Management
1.1 2.2 1.3
1.4 1.5

Communication Hardware Testing Procure Soundproof


1.2.1 1.2.2 1.2.3 Booths

Procure Cat 5
Cabling Client Area Project Staff
Install Cat 5 Install Test IT 1.4.1 1.4.2
Cabling Hardware Functionality Procure
Hardware
Final Integrity Relocate Staff
Test Install Soundproof
Booths

Relocate Furniture
Defining Your Project 93

Project simulation continued

Table 2.1 lists the activities identified with a unique ID allocated to each and
a WBS reference to ensure a link back to the WBS for reporting purposes

Ta b l e 2.1   Simulation project: WBS identifiers


Act ID Description WBS Code

B Procure Soundproofed Booths 1.3

E Procure Cat 5 Cabling 1.3

F Procure IT Hardware 1.3

J Test IT Functionality 1.2.3

L Final Integrity Check 1.2.3

K Relocate Staff 1.4.2

G Install Hardware 1.2.2

C Install Soundproof Booths 1.4.1

D Relocate Furniture 1.4.1

H Install Cat 5 Cabling 1.2.1

In the next chapter we will use this activity list to start to formulate the project
schedule.

Conclusion
We have learned in this chapter how to define and agree the project scope
using a number of similar tools depending on the type of project being consid-
ered. Ensuring that the work is scoped correctly is of paramount importance
and sets the project team a known work scope when moving into the plan-
ning stage, described in the next chapter.
94 20:20 Project Management

C ASE S T UDY   Halliburton and project definition

About Halliburton Pipeline and Process Services (PPS)


Founded in 1919, Halliburton is one of the world’s largest providers of products and services
to the energy industry. With nearly 70,000 employees in approximately 80 countries, the
company serves the upstream oil and gas industry throughout the life cycle of the reservoir
– from locating hydrocarbons and managing geological data, to drilling and formation
evaluation, well construction and completion, and optimizing production through the life of
the field.
As a Product Service Line of Halliburton, Boots & Coots is one of the largest pressure
control providers in the world with the industry’s most comprehensive and reliable
technology, engineering expertise and personnel superiority. Combining its traditional
strengths in pressure control with Halliburton’s history of innovation in well intervention
and global solutions offerings, Boots & Coots provides its clients with unprecedented
solutions for all their requirements. As part of the Boots & Coots service line, Pipeline
and Process Services offers multiple services in pre-commissioning, commissioning,
maintenance and decommissioning services for the global pipeline and process industries.
Due to the unique and transitory nature of PPS work, each job we carry out can
be classified as a ‘project’. Therefore, the principles of project management are now
implemented through every aspect of the PPS business.

Defining your project the Halliburton Pipeline and Process Services way
In a highly competitive market scope definition is key to ensuring a complete understanding
of exactly what is required to be delivered, not only from a cost, time and quality perspective
but also from a myriad of other potential deliverables, including:

Ta b l e 2.2   Scope definition examples

●● Documentation ●● Expertise
●● Equipment ●● Attendance at meetings
●● Personnel ●● Expectations (internal and external)
●● Consumables ●● Maintenance on products
●● Products ●● Servicing
●● Engineering ●● Etc.
Defining Your Project 95

Complex projects can have multiple interfaces and, as such, lines of demarcation within
these projects can become blurry. In situations such as these, scope definition requires
due diligence to make sure every aspect of the work is covered and assigned to a
responsible party. During this key element of scope definition there is a need for clear and
concise communication between all project stakeholders including, but not limited to,
client, suppliers, other contractors/third parties and regulating authorities. Due to the
nature of the projects in which Halliburton PPS are involved, in the early stages of the
project life cycle the scope of work may not be clear. For this reason it is not uncommon to
see very large scope changes between stage gates, eg between tender process and
contract award. Even after contract award, it is not uncommon for project scope to grow
(or shrink) and as such scope review should be carried out regularly.
Within Halliburton PPS a ‘kick off’ meeting is held with the client after award to
ensure an agreed baseline is established to show where the boundaries of the scope
reside. Once a clear picture exists of the project scope, a clear plan of delivery is required
to ensure that identified deliverables are assigned to someone who is empowered to deliver
that which is required. The level of involvement and detail required will be dependent upon
the size and complexity of the project with smaller, less complex projects being much
easier to handle than larger more complicated scopes.

F i g u r e 2.9   Halliburton size vs complexity


La
Project Size

rge
Pr
M

oje
ed

ct
ium
Pr
oje
Sm ject

c
Pr

t
all
o

Project Complexity

Scope definition of large projects within Halliburton PPS is managed through the use of
a work breakdown structure or WBS. This is created soon after the overall scope has been
identified and is formulated by the project team in a collaborative approach to capture
all the tasks required to ensure scope delivery. A basic template exists within our digital
project office to start the definition process with major headings such as engineering,
documentation or procurement acting as an aide memoir for the top – or first level –
packages in the creation of the WBS. Under each first level package further sub-level tasks
96 20:20 Project Management

are identified and as the WBS cascades to the lowest deliverable tasks, those responsible
are assigned. Within Halliburton PPS our baseline WBS is agreed with our client and is
considered a live document. Regular review is carried out with the project team not only to
track progress but also to capture any scope changes and help in our variation order
approval.
The WBS should capture all individual deliverable tasks but it does have its limitations.
Whilst it is a very visual tool of what is to be delivered, it does not show how tasks are
interlinked nor does it show a logical timeline for completion. High-level schedules can be
used to help in the initial building of the WBS (to ensure all tasks are captured at least at a
high level) but the WBS can conversely be used to help put the detail into more in-depth
schedules.
Within Halliburton PPS, we see a wide range in project size. For smaller projects, a WBS
could be considered overkill; however, it is still imperative to define all the required tasks
for scope delivery and assign them to a responsible person for action. To this end a simple
action tracker is utilized. The process of creating the action tracker is similar to that in
building a WBS; however, for smaller projects the project team will be smaller and the
process much quicker.
97

Planning your 03
project

Introduction


Planning is an unnatural process; it is much more fun to
do something. The nicest thing about not planning is that
failure comes as a complete surprise, rather than being
preceded by a period of worry and depression.
Sir John Harvey-Jones

T aking Sir John’s comment into account, it is clear that to avoid failure
(and especially failure as a surprise) planning is essential. It would seem
reasonable to plan the work and therefore have an idea of the costs and
timescale before we start to execute it. By spending time on planning, there
will be rather more chance of it finishing on time and at the cost predicted
and of course that it is delivered to a suitable quality.
At the first stage (just after the bright idea!) we need to have an overview
of the reason for the project and its costs which will include labour, ours and
any contract labour and the materials and non-labour resources required to
complete the project. At this point in the process it will be ‘broad brush’ or
high level estimated information which will be of enough accuracy to justify
the feasibility of the project.
Once we have the agreement of the ‘sponsor’ that the project will deliver
the benefits predicted within a suitable timescale, at an acceptable cost and
that we have the skills to do the work, we need to further define the plan and
determine a baseline against which we can measure success or failure.
In this chapter we will consider the purpose of managing time, define the
concepts and terminology of the time-based schedule, and introduce tools for
communicating the schedule, including activity listing and bar charts. We will
look at how to calculate the duration of work elements, how to use networks
to calculate the duration of work elements and the overall project, and show
how to adjust the schedule by balancing resource requirements against re-
source availability.
98 20:20 Project Management

It is important not to become tied up in the detail of parts of the work which
will be carried out later in the project.
This is known as ‘rolling wave planning’ and in order to understand it, imagine
you were planning a holiday overseas in two years’ time, would you organize
your taxi to the airport now or start shopping for holiday clothes? Probably not.
However, you would book your flight and accommodation.
Following the concept of rolling wave planning, varying degrees of planning
are carried out depending on when the work has to be executed. Work that
is imminent is planned in detail while work that’s in the future is planned at
a high level. As the work in the future get nearer it is then planned in more
detail.
This is a form of progressive elaboration and allows the project team to
focus on planning the work that is pending as the project progresses.
There are four main planning documents and they are the network (some-
times referred to as a precedence network), the bar chart (sometimes known
as the ‘Gantt chart’), the resource histogram and the S-curve.

The four main documents used in planning

F i g u r e 3.1   The four main planning documents

S-Curve
Network

Barchart
Histogram

The best way to end up with these highly useful documents is to plan in
steps. This chapter will take the reader, step by step, through the planning
process and then demonstrate how these documents are developed and
applied as project control tools.
Planning Your Project 99

Scope management
Breaking down the work and defining the activities
In the last chapter we discussed scope definition and the breaking down or
‘decomposing’ of the scope into manageable pieces. The main output from
decomposing the scope baseline is the activity list, this is achieved by taking
each work package of the work breakdown structure (WBS) and breaking it
down into a list of activities that need to be conducted to ensure each work
package is delivered and therefore the scope achieved.

The activity list is essentially an extension to the WBS as shown below.

F i g u r e 3.2   Creating activity lists

Car Project

Design 1.0 Build 2.0 Test 3.0

Build Housing 2.1 Build Engine 2.2 Assemble 2.3

Work Package 2.2.1

Work Package 2.2.2

Work Package 2.2.3

Work Package 2.2.4


Activity List

01. Activity A
02. Activity B
03. Activity C
04. Activity D
100 20:20 Project Management

The typical attributes that need to be identified for each activity are:

Ta b l e 3.1   Typical activity attributes

Activity ID A unique number that helps locate and


identify the activity

Activity name Cleary identifies the objective of the activity

WBS identifier The relevant area in the WBS that the activity is
linked to

Leads and lags Any leads or lags that need to be added to the activity

Resource The people, equipment, material etc required to


requirements conduct the work

Relationships Any relationships to other activities eg Finish to Start,


Start to Start, Start to Finish, Finish to Finish etc

Dependency Any dates that determine either start dates or


dates completed dates

Constraints Any constraints affecting the activity’s progress

Assumptions Any assumption made and additional information

Some of the areas above will be developed later in the chapter.


The above list is not exhaustive and should contain any relevant information
for the activity to ensure it is defined clearly and concisely and covers all areas
that will ensure the scope is suitably completed.
Remember that you need to break the work down to a level that you can
trust the estimate!

Precedence networks
In precedence networks, activities are represented by boxes, which are in turn
linked via logical links or dependencies. This is also known as an activity on
node representation. The technique used to produce this network is called
PNM (precedence network methodology) and is the process of identifying
and documenting relationships among the project activities. The output of
this action is a network diagram which will show the relationship between
all the activities in the project.
Planning Your Project 101

The following example is a network shown in precedence notation.

F i g u r e 3.3   Example precedence network

Build
H/W

Design Test

Code
S/W

Logical links
There are three types of logical dependency which are represented below:

F i g u r e 3.4   Example Finish – Start (FS) constraint

Design Build

In this example (FS) you can’t start building until the design activity is
complete.

F i g u r e 3.5  Example Start – Start (SS) constraint

Dig Lay
Trench Pipe

In this example (SS), the pipe laying cannot start before the dig trench activity
has started.

F i g u r e 3.6   Example Finish – Finish (FF) constraint

Install Lay
Drainage Tarmac

In this example (FF) you cannot finish laying the tarmac until the drainage task
is complete.
102 20:20 Project Management

Leads and lags


In real life the sequence that activities need to be carried out in is not always
as simple as highlighted in in the last examples. In order to add some reality
to our representation we can apply leads and lags to the logical links between
activities.
A lead indicates that the succeeding activity can start prior to preceding
activity finishing.
The example below indicates the building can start five days before the
design is complete. This is represented by a FS (finish–start) – five days being
applied to the logic link between the two activities.

F i g u r e 3.7   Example lead

FS −5 Days
Design Build
5 Day Lead

A lag indicates that the succeeding activity cannot start until a predetermined
time after the preceding activity finishing.
In the example below it may also be possible to start laying a pipe in a
500-hundred mile hole after only three days of digging, therefore the two
activities would be linked SS with a three-day lag.

F i g u r e 3.8   Example lag

SS +3 Days

Dig Lay
Trench Pipe
3 Day Lag

Example: Now that we have a list of activities, we can put them in an order
which will allow us to determine the time it will take to complete the work
package.
Consider the activity list we produced for the office relocation project in
the last chapter. We have now added a value to each activity indicating the
‘preceding activity’, the task needed to be complete before the present activity
can be started.
Planning Your Project 103

Ta b l e 3.2   Simulation project: activities

Act Description WBS Preceding


ID Code Activities

A Project start

F Procure IT hardware 1.3 A

B Procure soundproofed booths 1.3 A

H Install Cat 5 cabling 1.2.1 E

D Relocate furniture 1.4.1 C

K Relocate staff 1.4.2 J

E Procure Cat 5 cabling 1.3 A

G Install hardware 1.2.2 D,F

J Test IT functionality 1.2.3 G,H

L Final integrity check 1.2.3 K

C Install soundproof booths 1.4.1 B

M Project end L

Based on the activity list produced for the office relocation we can now create
an activity sequence based on the added preceding activity information.

F i g u r e 3.9   Simulation project: activity sequence

B C D

A F G J K L M

E H
104 20:20 Project Management

Analysing the network


Once we know how long each activity will take, we can roll up this information
to understand the duration of the project.
The mathematical technique used to calculate the network schedule is
called network analysis. The following are all types of network analysis: (CPM)
critical path methodology, (CPA) critical path analysis and (PERT) programme
evaluation and review technique.

Dependencies
We have spoken about logical links or dependencies. These dependencies can
be divided into the three main categories described below.
Mandatory dependencies are often known as ‘hard logic’. They involve
physical restrictions which cannot be avoided; for example, you must
dig the trench before you can lay the pipe.
Discretionary dependencies involve sequencing that is done because
it is customary or the preferred method but could be done another
way. It may be instructed by the client or another important
stakeholder. However, it is not a physical constraint.
External dependencies exist where there is a relationship between
project activities and events outside the boundaries of the project.
These are normally outside the project team’s control. However,
the project manager needs to be aware of them and they may well
also constitute a ‘risk’ (see ‘Risk and your project’).

Estimating
Before we can create a logical precedence network for the work package,
we need to estimate the durations for each activity.
There are a number of methods which we can use to estimate the durations
and costs for each activity and the project. For this reason ‘Estimating your
project’ has been given its own unique reference chapter to help provide
advice on how to get estimates right.
Once estimates are available, we can now develop a schedule for the work
package by analysing activity sequences, durations and schedule constraints.
Let’s take our office relocation network and add some durations to each of
the activities.
Planning Your Project 105

F i g u r e 3.10   Simulation project: durations

4 3 2
B C D
Procure Install Relocate
Soundproof Soundproof Furniture
Booths Booths

0 4 2 3 2 2 0
A F G J K L M
Project Procure IT Install Test IT Relocate Final Integrity Project End
Start Hardware Hardware Functionality Staff Check

0 10 4
E H
Procure Cat Install Cat
5 Cabling 5 Cabling

The durations in this example are in weeks but equally could be in hours, days
or months.
In order to work out how long it will take to complete the sequenced work,
we need to perform what is known as a forward pass on the network.

The forward pass


Early start and times are calculated by conducting a forward pass through
the network. The early start of the first activity is zero and the early finish is
calculated by adding the duration.

F i g u r e 3.11   Forward pass early dates

Day 0 3 Day 3

Activity 1

For example, early finish (EF) = early start (ES) + duration.


This process is then carried through subsequent activities, adding or
subtracting any leads or lags, until the whole network is analysed.
Where an activity has two or more preceding activities it is the latest
time which is transferred:
106 20:20 Project Management

F i g u r e 3.12   Forward pass calculations

Day 0 3 Day 3

Activity 1

Day 5 4 Day 9

Activity 3

Day 0 5 Day 5

Activity 2

In the above example activity 3 cannot start until both activity 1 and 2 are
complete. Therefore the earliest activity 3 can start is day 5.
This process is repeated throughout the network until the earliest end
date of the network is established.

Let’s perform a forward pass on our office relocation network.

F i g u r e 3.13   Simulation project forward pass

0 4 4 4 3 7 7 2 9
B C D
Procure Install Relocate
Soundproof Soundproof Furniture
Booths Booths

0 0 0 0 4 4 9 2 11 14 3 17 17 2 19 19 2 21 21 0 21
A F G J K L M
Project Procure IT Install Test IT Relocate Final Integrity Project End
Start Hardware Hardware Functionality Staff Check

0 10 10 10 4 14
E H
Procure Cat Install Cat
5 Cabling 5 Cabling
Planning Your Project 107

This now indicates that the quickest we can carry out the work we have identified
is 21 weeks. However, what we don’t know is which of the activities are critical and if we
have movement available (float) on any of the activities.

The back pass


In order to establish the latest dates that an activity can commence without affecting the
end date a back pass is performed. The early finish of the last activity in the network is
transferred to the late finish. The duration is then subtracted from the late finish to obtain a
late start.

F i g u r e 3.14   Backward pass example

Day 5 4 Day 9

Activity 3

Day 5 Day 9

For example, late start (LS) = late finish (LF) – duration.


Where an activity has two or more succeeding activities, it is the earliest date that is
transferred.

F i g u r e 3.15   Backward pass calculations

Day 3 Day

Activity 2

Day Day
Day 5 Day

Activity 1

Day Day
Day 4 Day

Activity 3

Day Day
108 20:20 Project Management

In the above example the latest activity 1 can finish without affecting the late
starts of either activity 2 or 3 is day 5.
This process is repeated throughout the network until all late start and finish
dates have been identified.

Based on this information we can conduct a back pass on the office relocation project.

F i g u r e 3.16   Simulation project: backward pass

0 4 4 4 3 7 7 2 9
B C D
Procure Install Relocate
Soundproof Soundproof Furniture
Booths Booths
3 7 7 10 10 12

0 0 0 0 4 4 9 2 11 14 3 17 17 2 19 19 2 21 21 0 21
A F G J K L M
Project Procure IT Install Test IT Relocate Final Integrity Project End
Start Hardware Hardware Functionality Staff Check

0 0 8 12 12 14 14 17 17 19 19 21 21 21

0 10 10 10 4 14
E H
Procure Cat Install Cat
5 Cabling 5 Cabling

0 10 10 14

We now start to see a difference between the start and finish dates on some
of the activities. This is an indication that those activities can be moved to their
later dates without detriment to the project end date.

Float
Now that we have performed a forward pass which shows the earliest dates
an activity can start and finish, and a back pass which shows the latest date
an activity can start and finish, we can work out what flexibility we have in the
network. This is known as ‘float’ and is very important to the project manager
as it will allow for decisions to be taken with the allocation of resources to
maximize their utilization.
There are two types of float: free float and total float.
Total float is defined as the amount of time which an activity can be delayed
without affecting the end date of the project. Having completed a forward
and backward pass, the total float can be calculated as:

Float = latest finish (LF) – earliest finish (EF)


Planning Your Project 109

Simulation example

In the network below we have calculated the float for each activity.

F i g u r e 3.17   Simulation project: float

0 4 4 4 3 7 7 2 9
B C D
Procure Install Relocate
Soundproof Soundproof Furniture
Booths Booths
3 3 7 7 3 10 10 3 12

0 0 0 0 4 4 9 2 11 14 3 17 17 2 19 19 2 21 21 0 21
A F G J K L M
Project Procure IT Install Test IT Relocate Final Integrity Project End
Start Hardrate Hardware Functionality Staff Check

0 0 0 8 8 12 12 3 14 14 0 17 17 0 19 19 0 21 21 0 21

0 10 10 10 4 14
E H
Procure Cat Install Cat
5 Cabling 5 Cabling

0 0 10 10 0 14

In our office relocation network activity F has a total float of 8 weeks [12(LF) – 4(EF)].
Free float is the amount of time a task can be delayed without affecting the succeeding
tasks. This is can be determined by subtracting the EF of an activity from the ES of its
subsequent activity.
In our office relocation network activity C has 0 free float [(ES of Act D)7 – (EF of Act C)7],
although it has 3 weeks’ total float [10(LF) – 7(LS)].
The table below shows the start, finish, duration, total float and free float for each of the
office relocation activities.

Ta b l e 3. 3   Simulation project: activity summary


Task Duration ES Early EF LS LF TF FF
(Weeks) Start Early Late Late Total Free
Finish Start Finish Float Float

A 0 Week 0 Week 0 Week 0 Week 0 0 0

B 4 Week 0 Week 4 Week 3 Week 7 3 0

C 3 Week 4 Week 7 Week 7 Week 10 3 0

D 2 Week 7 Week 9 Week 10 Week 12 3 0

E 10 Week 0 Week 10 Week 0 Week 10 0 0

F 4 Week 0 Week 4 Week 8 Week 12 8 5


110 20:20 Project Management

Ta b l e 3.3   continued

Task Duration ES Early EF LS LF TF FF


(Weeks) Start Early Late Late Total Free
Finish Start Finish Float Float

G 2 Week 9 Week 11 Week 12 Week 14 3 3

H 4 Week 10 Week 14 Week 10 Week 14 0 0

J 3 Week 14 Week 17 Week 14 Week 17 0 0

K 2 Week 17 Week 19 Week 17 Week 19 0 0

L 2 Week 19 Week 21 Week 19 week 21 0 0

M 0 Week 21 Week 21 Week 21 Week 21 0 0

Critical path
Now that we have the early start and late start for each activity and have
calculated the float available, we can now work out the critical path through
the network.
The critical path is the series of activities within the network with zero
total float. The following example shows two paths and their dependencies.
The path through 1–3–4 is the critical path.

F i g u r e 3.18   Critical path identification

3 5 8

Activity 2
4 1 9

0 3 3 9 3 12

Activity 1 Activity 4
0 0 3 9 0 12

3 6 9

Activity 3
3 0 9
Planning Your Project 111

There must be at least one critical path through any network. The path must
be continuous but it may branch into a number of parallel paths. It is possible
for a network to be totally critical ie each activity will affect the end date of the
network if it is completed beyond its late dates. Also, remember that a critical
path can change during a project, as actual durations and dates vary.

Simulation example

The critical path for the office relocation project is shown below in grey.

F i g u r e 3.19   Simulation project: critical path

0 4 4 4 3 7 7 2 9
B C D
Procure Install Relocate
Soundproof Soundproof Furniture
Booths Booths
3 3 7 7 3 10 10 3 12

0 0 0 0 4 4 9 2 11 14 3 17 17 2 19 19 2 21 21 0 21
A F G J K L M
Project Procure IT Install Test IT Relocate Final Integrity Project End
Start Hardrate Hardware Functionality Staff Check

0 0 0 8 8 12 12 3 14 14 0 17 17 0 19 19 0 21 21 0 21

0 10 10 10 4 14
E H
Procure Cat Install Cat
5 Cabling 5 Cabling

0 0 10 10 0 14

The critical path is very useful in helping to manage the project. When the critical path has
been identified, it can be clearly seen where effort cannot be compromised. If any of the
activities on the critical path change, the end date of the project will be affected. The
critical path is often shown in red on bar charts and network diagrams so that they are easy
to follow.
A helpful technique for controlling and managing the critical path is to invest some time in
determining what is likely to go wrong in each of the main three project parameters, ie cost,
time, quality. Although the critical path only reflects the time element, as discussed earlier a
compromise in either cost or quality can have a time impact.
Although managing the critical path is very important, we should not forget the other
planned activities. It may be that the project finished on time because the critical path was
strictly managed and adhered to. However, another activity in the project was ignored as it had
plenty of float, but cost 10 times more than it should have, consequently putting the whole
project over budget.
Once the start and finish dates have been calculated they can be plotted on an activity bar
chart. A bar chart (sometimes know as a Gannt chart) can show early dates, late dates, float,
the critical path and even in some cases logical links.
The following is the bar chart representation of the office relocation network schedule
above. The dark bars are critical activities, with the non-critical activities indication float with
a lighter line extending from the bottom end of the activity.
112 20:20 Project Management

F i g u r e 3.20   Simulation project: Gantt chart


Weeks
Task ID/Description 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
A Project Start

B Procure Soundproof Booths

C Install Soundproof Booths

D Relocate Furniture

E Procure Cat 5 Cabling

F Procure IT Hardware

G Install Hardware

H Install Cat 5 Cabling

J Test IT Functionality

K Relocate Staff

L Final Integrity Check

M Project End

Now that we have a network of activities that stands scrutiny, we can look at
the resources required for its delivery.

Project resources
Resources are the items that go into producing work and can be categorized
as follows:

F i g u r e 3.21   Project resource types

Manpower Machines

Materials Money
Planning Your Project 113

Resource allocation
We can allocate resources to each activity on our network.
If activity C which has duration of 3 weeks requires 2 labourers per day, we
can value that activity at [daily cost of a labourer × 28 days]. (We will assume
for this project that a week equates to 7 days per week and 10 hours per day.)
If we extend this calculation for all activities, we will have an estimated
duration with estimated resources and therefore an estimated cost for the
project.

Resource aggregation
In order to predict the demand for our resource requirement it is necessary to
perform a resource aggregation. This entails looking at the demand for each
resource on a day by day or week by week basis. Once an aggregation has
been performed a resource histogram can be drawn highlighting any peaks or
troughs in the demand.
The following bar chart shows two activities that are to be executed over a
seven-day duration of the project. A daily aggregation has been carried out and
shows the resource requirement for each day of the schedule.

F i g u r e 3.22   Resource aggregation example

03 Jan 2000 10 Jan 2000 17 Jan 2000 24 Jan 2000


ID Name Duration Start
M T W T F S S M T W T F S S M T W T F S S M T W T F S S M

Task 1 14d 10/01 Engineer[2]

Task 2 7d 14/01 Engineer

10 Jan 2000 17 Jan 2000

S M T W T T S S M T W T T S S M T W
3 3.0

2.5

2 2.0

Resource 1.5

Histogram
1 1.0
Engineers
0.5

0 Engline ???? ????


114 20:20 Project Management

The resource histogram has highlighted three engineers are required from 14
to 18 of January and has also highlighted that the total available is only two.
It is obvious that it is not possible to execute the defined tasks within the
timescales with the available resources. The following options are therefore
open to us:

Ta b l e 3.4   Resource aggregation options

Action Comments Potential


compromise

1. Redefine the scope This would possibly allow Quality


of the task and reduce us to reduce the manning Cost
the manning required. requirement and potentially Safety
affect the quality aspect.
However the optimum
utilization should have been
defined at the outset.

2. Increase the duration This may not always be Time


of task 1 to 28 Days possible as task 1 may Quality
therefore reducing the require 2 engineers at one
manning requirement time to complete the work.
to a maximum of 2.

3. Increase the This would solve our problem Cost


resources available over but cost us more money Quality
the required period. and may not be the best Time
Bring another engineer utilization of our resources.
into the project team Equally we could utilize
either by subcontracting another resource other than
or from an internal an engineer on task 1. This
source. may be cheaper but could
have quality consequences.

4. Move tasks earlier This may be possible if the Possibly none


eg start task 2 before logic permits it. In the
task 1. situation above there are no
dependencies shown so this
may be a feasible option.

5. Move the tasks This would have the effect of Time


later and try to spread extending the end date of the Cost
the manpower project if the task was on the
requirement. eg move critical path.
task 2 until after task 1.
Planning Your Project 115

Note: option 5 would be the only course of action a software planning package
would automatically consider possible.
If option 5 were chosen the effect would be as follows.

F i g u r e 3.23   Resource aggregation example solution

03 Jan ‘00 10 Jan ‘00 17 Jan ‘00 24 Jan ‘00 31 Jan ‘00
ID Name Duration Start
M TWT F S SM TWT F S SM TWT F S SM TWT F S SM TWT F

Task 1 14d 10/01 Engineer[2]

Task 2 7d 24/01 Engineer

10 Jan ‘00 17 Jan ‘00 24 Jan ‘00 31 Jan ‘00

S M T W T T S S M T W T T S S M T T W T F S S M T W T
3 3.0

2.5

Resource 2
2.0

Levelled 1.5

Histogram
1 1.0
Engineers
0.5

0 Engline ???? ????

In order to enable task 2 to be completed using the available resources it


needs to be pushed out to 24 January where there are sufficient resources
to carry out the task.

Assigning resources
Resources must be assigned at the lowest level of detail of the schedule,
ie the activity. When initially assigning resources, the approach to take is to
assume that infinite resources are available at all times.
When assigning non-labour costs it is important to consider how costs are
to be tracked and recorded. If the organization tracks and records committed
costs, then the schedule should show committed costs (see Glossary of
terms). If the organization records actual costs at delivery then the non-labour
resources must be assigned in a similar manner.

Resource planning
The objective in planning resources is to optimize the use of these resources.
The process of resource planning is a scheduling process and can be either
manual or automated. If it is automated, the resource requirements for the
116 20:20 Project Management

different activities and the available resources can be added to the network
and the computer itself will calculate where there are too many or too few
resources and reschedule the activity.

Resource availability
Up until now, all resources have been assumed to be available as and when
required. In order to carry out resource planning or scheduling, the availability
of each resource has to be determined.
Availability of a resource can either be a total availability or availability over
a time period. Total availability is normally reserved for consumable resources
such as concrete whilst availability over a time period is used for other resources.
Availability is normally defined as a quantity or level over a time period,
eg three people are available from 1 January until 4 April.
When defining availability, care should be taken to ensure that resource
requirements and resource availabilities are compatible, eg do not assign a
full-time resource requirement if the maximum availability profile being used
is only 0.9 (to take account of holidays, etc).
From the work done so far, we can create a schedule baseline. This is a
specific version of the project schedule and is developed from the schedule
network analysis and reviewing the resource availability and allocation. This is
a key component of the project management plan and is used to measure
schedule performance.
Any deviations from the schedule baseline will impact on one or more of
cost, time and quality and must be managed by a documented change control
process, which is described in a separate chapter.
The amount of data will vary by application area; however, the project
schedule data will normally contain the following:
●● schedule milestones;
●● activity attributes;
●● identified assumptions and constraints.
It will be supported by a resource histogram, alternative schedules and schedul­
ing of contingency reserves.
Against this background, we now need a process for monitoring the status
of the project to update the project progress and manage changes to the
schedule baseline and suitable reporting systems in order to communicate
progress.

Managing the schedule


The project management plan contains the schedule management plan which
describes how the project will be managed and controlled and the schedule
baseline against which it will be measured and reported.
Planning Your Project 117

The most recent project schedule is required as is actual work performance


information describing project progress.
There is a variety of tools and techniques that can be used to control the
schedule.
First and foremost are regular performance reviews, which are meetings
held to assess the current project status and progress. They are typically used
with one or more of the reporting techniques listed below:
●● Variance analysis is simply plan minus actual. Therefore if the task was
planned to take three days and takes five, the schedule variance is minus
two days.
●● Earned value analysis (EVA) is the most commonly used method for
performance measurement as it integrates scope, cost (or resource)
and schedule measures to help the project management team to
assess project performance. EVA is described in a separate chapter.
●● Resource levelling is used to optimize the distribution or work among
resources and schedule compression is used to find ways to bring
activities that are behind into alignment with the plan. Both are
described below.

Resource levelling
Developing the schedule is an iterative process with the optimization continuing
as often as necessary, until an acceptable schedule is produced. A schedule
is deemed acceptable when it satisfies the customer’s delivery date require-
ments, contains a minimum amount of staff fluctuations and has an achievable
build-up and run-down of resources.
Once time analysis has been completed and the schedule optimized, a
resource-constrained or resource-levelled schedule should be created. When
performing simple time analysis, only the durations and logic of the network
are considered when calculating activity start and end dates. Conflicts will
arise and alternatives have to be evaluated in order to meet contractual and
management objectives. Schedule adjustments usually have to be made from
the following options:
●● constraints relaxed;
●● manpower estimates revised;
●● project scope revisited;
●● network logic revised;
●● critical path activities shortened;
●● additional resources made available;
●● activities worked on in parallel.
When scheduling, consider the different approaches that can be taken to a
single activity to overcome resource problems. These approaches can be
combined in order to overcome the shortfall.
118 20:20 Project Management

Alternatively when the end date of the project cannot be allowed to slip,
eg a major event like the Olympics where it is crucial that it starts on time, the
method employed is resource compression. This method will utilize float
within the project, increasing or decreasing the resources required for specific
activities. In this way peaks and troughs in resource usage can be smoothed out.
However, if after employing these techniques you are still in danger of
missing the end date of the project your final recourse will be to employ more
resources to protect the project’s end date or to renegotiate new end date by
presenting your evidence to the relevant stakeholders.

Simulation example

The following bar chart indicates the resources required for each week of the project.
In all cases in the chapter, resources used have been manpower; equally, machines
and materials should be treated in the same way.

F i g u r e 3.24   Simulation project: Gantt chart


Weeks
Task ID/Description 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
A Project Start
1 1 1 1
B Procure Soundproof Booths
5 5 5
C Install Soundproof Booths
4 4
D Relocate Furniture
2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
E Procure Cat 5 Cabling
1 1 1 1
F Procure IT Hardware
6 6
G Install Hardware
4 4 4 4
H Install Cat 5 Cabling
2 2 2
J Test IT Functionality
6 6
K Relocate Staff
2 2
L Final Integrity Check

M Project End
Resources Required 4 4 4 4 7 7 7 6 6 8 10 4 4 4 2 2 2 6 6 2 2

This resource information can be translated onto a resource histogram for a better
understanding of requirements.
Planning Your Project 119

F i g u r e 3.25   Simulation project: resource histogram

12
11
10
9
8
Resources

7
6
5
4
3
2
1
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
Week Number

The horizontal line indicates the maximum of this resource we have available on this
project. This means the work we have planned is not achievable as it is scheduled at
present.
Consider the activities contributing to the overload and decide on the most appropriate
action to resolve the issue.

The S-curve
The adequacy of any schedule should be reviewed and achieve the following
criteria:
●● clear presentation of the critical path, including activities which are
critical and areas of risk;
●● identification of any ‘float’ available in the schedule along with
identifying key decision points;
●● key interrelationships between activities and key dates and milestones
within the schedule.
Having these criteria in place will enable you to determine the cash forecast
and allow you to communicate to the project sponsor the work that has to be
accomplished. This will in turn provide a sound base for monitoring progress.
Importantly you will carry out resource levelling to ensure optimum utilization
of staff and equipment.
Once the schedule has been finalized the resource information can be
represented by means of an S-curve. This will show the cumulative resource
requirement over time. In the example below the S-curve shows the cumulative
labour resource required over time but equally could show cumulative costs
over time. This information will then provide a basis for the monitoring and
control of the project. This is discussed further in the Executing your Project
chaper.
120 20:20 Project Management

F i g u r e 3.26   Simulation project: S-curve

S-curve showing cumulative labour usage


Man-days
24
22
20
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2 4 4 4
2 2 2 2 2 1 1 Time

Simulation example

The following example assumes each of our resources costs £10,000 per week. By
applying this cost to each week and calculating the cumulative costs for each week we can
produce a cost histogram and a cumulative cost curve for the project.

F i g u r e 3.27   Simulation project: cost histogram

120
110
100
90
Cost (£k)

80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
Weekly
4 4 4 4 7 7 7 6 6 8 10 4 4 4 2 2 2 6 6 2 2
costs (£k)
Cumulative 4 8 12 16 23 30 37 43 49 57 67 71 75 79 81 83 85 91 97 99 101
costs (£k)
Planning Your Project 121

F i g u r e 3.28   Simulation project: cumulative cost curve

Office relocation − cumulative cost curve


110
100
90
80
Cumulative cost

70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
Week number

This can now be used to compare forecasted money out against the project
cash flow. Once the expenditure of £101,000 and spread of expense over the
project duration has been approved by the appropriate stakeholders these
numbers would be locked and become the budget for the project.

Things to consider when planning


Over-optimism
Human nature affects planning in many ways. Despite the awareness that few
projects are delivered on schedule people tend to plan optimistically.
Techniques involved in building a time-based schedule rely on each activity
taking the length of time it should take, then leading neatly to the next activity
and so on. Whilst a single activity may well be delivered on time and encounter
none of the risk that may have been identified (see ‘Risk and your project’),
the chances of each activity going to plan are slim at best. Critical path analysis
(see later in this chapter) encourages the project team to commit to the best
possible outcome in terms of a time-based schedule. This is planning to fail.
It is important therefore to be critical when developing resource and duration
estimates and to be realistic. It is usually better to overdeliver than miss your
project end date. As a project schedule slips the common approach is to
throw more resources at the project – usually at a high cost – to recover the
122 20:20 Project Management

schedule. This is not an argument for ‘sand bagging’ and overestimating but it
is an argument for realism and allowing risk contingency.

Owning the plan


A common argument in project management circles is whether a project
manager needs to understand the technical aspects of the work in order to
manage the project or whether the discipline of good project management
in itself is the important competence for a project manager. This argument
also applies to project planning as a discipline. In a large project it is common
for specialist project planners to be used who may, or may not, understand
the technical detail. These arguments will continue but the solution is for
project managers and the project team to ‘own’ the plan rather than delegate
the process. In practice this means critically analysing every element of the
schedule and ensuring that those in the organization with experience of similar
projects or smaller ‘work packages’ ensure a realistic plan is developed.

The pitfalls of planning software


In this section we have looked at how to build and develop a schedule manually.
These skills have become a lost art since the widespread availability of desktop
planning software such as Microsoft Project®, and more sophisticated corporate
tools such as Primavera® for large-scale projects. However, these tools cannot
think and they cannot apply experience; they simply apply mathematical logic.
The tools themselves are essential to plan and manage the data and complexity
of large projects. However, they are not a replacement for human thought and
experience. The temptation to let the software tools do the work is significant.
However, project managers need to challenge the plan in all aspects – the
durations, the logic and the resourcing.

Time, cost or quality?


Every project has different emphasis on time, cost or quality. For some
projects it is critical that they are delivered on time. For others, the budget
must not be exceeded but time may be compromised. For others still (such as
safety or legislation-based projects) the quality of the deliverables is key. For a
project manager or project team to critically analyse the plan they must under-
stand the project drivers and ensure the plan is ‘weighted accordingly’.
For example, if the timescale is the key priority then realistic time estimates
are essential. If the budget is fixed then minimizing cost, sometimes at the
expense of schedule, is essential. It is common when project teams challenge
these project drivers for them to be told that cost, time, quality are all essential.
However, some elements are always more important than others. To apply the
same emphasis to all three in a project plan is to plan to fail and nobody will
thank the project team for this at the end of the project.
Planning Your Project 123

All projects contain uncertainty and risk and change is inevitable. To fail to
acknowledge this is to give the project team an unrealistic challenge and the
project will fail. It is the ethical duty of the project manager to understand the
project drivers before committing to the project plan.

Avoiding ‘reverse planning’


It is not uncommon for a project manager to be given the delivery date, the
budget and the quality parameters before the project plan has been developed.
This is applying reverse logic to the project plan and will set the project team
up for failure. However, although sometimes reverse planning is inevitable, it
is still the duty of the project manager to be honest with their organization.
This problem can be mitigated by publishing the risk management plan (see
‘Risk management’) and by producing different planning scenarios for review.
These techniques ensure that the project sponsor or organization’s manage-
ment are made aware of the risks and different scenarios that can be applied
and the decision then ultimately rests with them. Apart from ensuring the
project manager keeps their job (and their credibility), it also ensures there is
sound corporate governance. Whilst unrealistic management demands are
not uncommon, no organization likes surprises.

Level of planning
The level of detail that your project needs to be planned at will depend greatly
on the size of the project, the amount of information that is available to the
project and the amount of visibility and reporting that is required. In a large
project it is important to provide a level of detail at which the project can be
managed. Presenting the project sponsor or organization with a complex plan
involving many thousands of activities will remove clarity from the plan over-
all. For this reason this section recommends a series of planning ‘levels’ so
managers at different levels can review information at the appropriate level of
detail.
For example, a senior manager may wish to view the key project milestones
whereas a project team leader managing a specific element of the project
will wish to see the detail.
By effective coding of the WBS and including WBS codes against each
task, summary level plans can easily be obtained.

Conclusion
We have learned in this chapter how to put together a project plan, including
a schedule and a budget that will be realistic to follow. Creating this ‘baseline’
plan is critical to everything that follows in the project life cycle. The planning
stage is often too rushed or ill-considered. A good plan sets the project team
up for success. A poor plan sets them up for failure.
124 20:20 Project Management

In the next chapter we will look at project execution. From the beginning of
this next phase your project plan will be crucial to guide you through the entire
all-important project execution phase.

C a s e s t u dy   Planning the AMEC way

About AMEC
AMEC is one of the world’s leading engineering, project management and consultancy
companies. Their goal is to deliver profitable, safe and sustainable projects and services
for their customers in the oil and gas, minerals and metals, clean energy, environment and
infrastructure markets, including sectors that play a vital role in the global and national
economies and in people’s everyday lives. They design, deliver and maintain strategic
assets for their customers, offering services which extend from environmental and
front end engineering design before the start of a project to decommissioning at the end
of an asset’s life. Their customers, in both the private and public sector, are among the
worlds biggest and best in their fields; BP, Shell, EDF, National Grid and US Navy, to name
just a few.
They are truly international, with major operations centres based in the UK and Americas
and offices and projects in around 40 countries worldwide. They work in diverse and
often challenging environments, from sub-zero temperatures in the north of Canada to the
sweltering heat of the Persian Gulf.
They employ over 27,000 people – ranging from scientists and environmental consultants
to engineers and project managers, dedicated professionals who take pride in their
work. The AMEC Academy helps them to attract, develop and retain the best talent.

Planning the AMEC way


AMEC’s preferred tool for planning is Oracle Primavera P6 and this software allows for an
enterprise project structure (EPS), which enables project managers to manage multiple
projects, from the highest levels of the organization to the individuals that perform specific
project tasks. Multiple users can access the same projects concurrently and it allows
for centralized resource management.
AMEC’s approach to planning and scheduling can be represented in two major
stages.
Project planning and schedule development resulting in the creation of a baseline:
●● top-down approach;
●● based on the data compiled from the initial project planning;
●● facilitated by the work flows and work breakdown structures.
Planning Your Project 125

Schedule management resulting in a schedule update as a continuous and regular cycle


from update period to update period:
●● status collection (bottom-up approach);
●● schedule updating, analysis, review and mitigation;
●● period close and reporting.

These stages and the steps within are depicted in the chart below:

F i g u r e 3.29   AMEC planning stages and steps

Schedule
Initial Project Development Schedule Risk Capturing
Planning and Integrity Analysis Baseline
Schedule Development

Checks
Project Planning and
p

Data Collection Level 1 Freeze Baseline


Schedule Schedule as
Identify Risks and Original Plan
Opportunities
Level 1
Strategic Schedule Capture
Planning Mitigate/Revise Associated
and Level 1 if Required Curves as
Organisation Schedule Original Plan
Management
Schedule

Schedule
Status Schedule Schedule Analysis Period
Period
Collection Updating Review and Mitigation Close
Reporting
Cycle Repeated for Each Reporting Period

The planning process uses a ‘top-down’ approach for schedule development and a
‘bottom-up’ approach for schedule management. Each activity at a higher level is
represented by a number of more detailed activities at the next lower level as shown in
Figure 3.30 on the following page:

Project schedule definition


Level 1, 2 and 3 schedules are aligned with the work breakdown structure (WBS), plus
milestones.
Level 1 and 2 schedules can initially be produced stand-alone before being replaced by
rolled-up data from the level 3 project control schedule once this has been developed.
126 20:20 Project Management

F i g u r e 3.30   AMEC schedule levels

Management Level Major


Contract / Summary 1 ‘Control’
Schedule Management Milestones

Bo
en

tt
pm
Project Master Level 2

om
elo
Schedule Strategic

-up
ev

M
nD

Key

an
Project Control Level 3
ow

ag
‘Flags’
Execution Schedule CPM

em
p-D

Milestones

en
To

t
Detailed Level 4
Schedule Specialty, Detailed, Focus

Level 1: the management/contract/summary schedule


This schedule level is principally for executive management (directors, project sponsors,
etc) it typically has between 20 and 50 activities. It provides a very high-level schedule for
the project life cycle including as applicable execution/implementation, commissioning
and start-up, for each project/plant area, while highlighting key project milestones.

Level 2: the project master schedule


This schedule level is principally for senior management (project sponsors, project
management, etc). It typically has between 50 and 500 activities and is broken down into
major areas. It reflects major project/contract, areas, disciplines, and their main activities.
It presents the sequence, interrelated logic and can be used on a stand-alone basis for
schedule risk analysis. This is the detailed ‘control’ level for cost and schedule integration
and earned value reporting.

Level 3: the project control/execution schedule


This schedule level is the key project coordination schedule developed to show the
sequence and interrelated logic between activities, with activities logically linked to
predecessors and successors. This will typically have between 200 and 3,000 activities
(depending on project scope). It is pivotal to creating and validating all other project
schedules, and rolls up into level 2 and level 1.
This schedule will define the project critical paths and activity free and total floats.
It is fully resource-loaded to validate manpower and peak requirements and to address
forecast requirements; this will realize optimum resource and funding utilization and will
be used to coordinate and control all activities on the project, and to perform critical path
analyses and ‘what-if’ schedules.
In some instances, it may be expanded into more detailed activities that will be classified
as level 4 activities.
Planning Your Project 127

Level 4: detailed schedules


This schedule level is optional and dependent on the size and complexity and needs of
the project.
The number of activities is unlimited and will be dependent on the project’s scope
and might only be represented for portions of the level 3 schedule.
This schedule will show significantly more detail in the production and issue of
engineering deliverables, procurement packages, contract packages, and detailed
construction work programmes.
It might be expanded from the level 3 schedule as the project evolves, with level 4
activities being created at each regular update period as more detailed planning data
becomes available; providing a rolling window of detail.
128

THIS PAGE IS INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK


129

Executing 04
your project

Introduction


If you always do what you’ve always done, you’ll always get
what you’ve always got.

T
Anthony ‘Tony’ Robbins, US self-help author
and motivational speaker

here are endless statistics available which demonstrate how most projects
are delivered late, or over budget, or don’t deliver the benefits they had
promised to.
The concept of the ‘learning organization’ does not seem to have progressed
much in organizations involved in project delivery. Lessons learned need to be
widely disseminated and organizational knowledge and experience harnessed
to ensure that they deliver projects more successfully.
The first step towards improving project execution performance is to examine
best practice – the subject of this chapter.
The primary purpose of setting a project schedule in the last chapter was to
enable us to measure and control the project parameters of cost, time and
quality. The four main steps required in the control process are as Figure 4.1.

Set the measure


Before execution, and to allow for effective control, a snapshot of the project
should to be taken and held for the duration of the project. This is known as a
baseline. A baseline provides a base to measure the progress of a project
against and therefore highlights any variances from the original plan.
If progress is measured against the most recent version of the plan the
control required is then lost. It is not uncommon to see projects which claim
130 20:20 Project Management

F i g u r e 4.1   Progress monitoring

Set a
Measure

− Bring project on track − Baseline the project

Take Record
Action Progress

− What dose it mean? − Record relevant information


Assess
Impact

to be on schedule because they are updated after each review meeting and
the original plan and targets are then lost and forgotten.
Although a baseline should be frozen and maintained in this state con-
stantly, as far as possible, there are occasions when it may need to be
changed. Changes to the baseline must be discussed thoroughly and only
made in exceptional cases.
Some of the reasons for changing a baseline are:
●● When the scope of work has changed or switched and costs have to
be reallocated to different areas of the project, eg if a ‘work package’
has been subcontracted rather than carried out in-house.
●● When new work is added, it is very difficult to add the estimated cost
and dates of new tasks to an existing baseline.
●● If the project becomes significantly overspent or delayed. There is
no benefit in holding a baseline that no longer represents a realistic
measure for control. In addition, trying to work to a grossly outdated
baseline can be demotivating to those working on the project.

Cost reporting
An important aspect of monitoring and controlling the project is managing the
project costs against the agreed budget. The budget is the amount of money
that has been authorized to be spent on the completion of the project.
Irrespective of the project measurement indications and the fact that the total
project cost may exceed this amount the budget remains the same.
As discussed previously the project costs should be broken down by way
of a WBS (work breakdown structure) which then forms the basis for the cost
account. This is simply a breakdown of the project costs to a manageable and
Executing Your Project 131

reportable level. As part of the planning process, costs should have been
allocated at task level for all labour, material and equipment. In addition provision
should also be made for any project risks identified. By tracking actual costs at
this level, comparison against the budget can be examined and summarized
at all levels and ultimately compared against the budget.
The cost account can then be used to:
●● track actual costs against planned;
●● give an early warning of any problems;
●● highlight any uneven cost loadings and risk areas;
●● show the total cost of the project to date;
●● allocated individual budget areas;
●● provide a basis for project forecasting.
The timing of the project expenditure is also important and is best shown as
a cumulative amount over time.

Planned project cost over time


As was discussed in the last chapter, a cumulative S-curve should be produced
as part of the planning stages. This can then be used to track progress through-
out the project. The diagram below shows the planned expenditure over the
life of the project.

F i g u r e 4.2   Cumulative cost curve

180
160
140
120
100
£(M)

80
60
40
20
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Month

We can then show the actual cost against planned cost as the project
progresses. This tells us we have spent less than planned up to the seventh
month of the project.
132 20:20 Project Management

F i g u r e 4.3   Actual vs planned curves

Cash flow
In addition to the monitoring of the actual spend against the planned it also
important to monitor the cash flow situation of the project. Cash flow is the
difference between the income and the expenditure. In the project shown
below the cash flow is negative until the last month of the project. This is often
the case as the customer will not pay out until the work has been done and
invoiced.

F i g u r e 4.4   Project cash flow curve

Expenditure
200

150

100
£(M)

Income
50

x x
0 x x
1 2 3 4 x5 6 7 x8 9 10 11 12
x x
x x x
–50
x
–100
Cash flow
Month
Executing Your Project 133

Cash flow should also be tracked and monitored to ensure it does not exceed
what was planned for. It may be that the project is exceeding its planned
achievement due to a more efficient workforce, additional hours being spent,
early delivery of materials, etc. This will generally mean more money has to be
paid out for the additional resources. However, if your customer is paying in
monthly staged payments then this could cause cash flow problems and not
allow enough funds to pay for the resources used.

Payment methods
The project payment terms are defined within the contract and they detail
when, who and how payment will be made to the project. The contract will
also define the terms of the payment and often the currency that the monies
will be paid in.
Different payment terms can considerably affect the project cash flow and
often the viability of the project, ie if the customer will only pay for the project
at the final close-out milestone, someone needs to fund the project effort
from beginning to end.
The following are some typical payment methods:
●● Payment on completion – As discussed above, this is when payment
is made on delivery of the end product or service; this is not a
favourable payment method from the project viewpoint.
●● Advance payment – This is the opposite from the above method and is
where the customer will pay for all or some of the project in advance
of it being undertaken.
●● Milestone payments – Payment is made on the successful
achievement of agreed project milestones. This can be on an agreed
value or as a percentage of the phase or project, eg 20 per cent of
contract will be awarded on completion of the approved design
milestone.
●● Retention – This is where the customer will hold back some payment
for a period of time, often to ensure successful operation or
functionality of the deliverables, eg 5 per cent of the contract value
held for the agreed two-year warranty period. The full amount would
then be released to the supplier after two years, assuming the
warranty terms had been met.

Forecasting
As discussed, it is vitally important to record, monitor and compare our costs
against the budget. This tells us how we are doing against what we planned
to do. However, more importantly we need to know what has still to be done,
the cost of it and how that compares against our final budget.
134 20:20 Project Management

There are several forecasting methods, none of which will provide a totally
accurate figure but they can give a reasonable indication of the project’s ex-
pected performance. The following are common forecasting methods:
●● Actual plus remaining budget – This is a simple forecasting method
which adds together the actual costs occurred to the remaining
budgeted figure. For example, assume in month 6 £15,000 has been
spent out of a total budget of £30,000. However, our plan estimated
that in month 6 we should have only spent £10,000. This would mean
the forecast total would £15,000 + £20,000, ie £35,000.
●● Actual plus estimate to complete – This takes the actual costs incurred
and adds them to the planned cost of the remaining work. It may be
that the productivity of the project labour had been underestimated
and therefore the remaining work needs to be replanned. The new
planned cost would then be added to the cost to date.
●● Trend – This is where the trend of the costs or times to date are
applied to the remaining work. Several calculations can be applied and
are discussed later in this module.

Information for updating project progress


Project control is the process whereby the project manager determines the
degree to which the project plan is being met. The focus generally tends to be
on schedule, budget, scope/quality and resources.
The key aspect which control addresses is variance. Variance is, in its
simplest form, the difference between planned and actual status. It is highly
unusual for a project not to have some variance during its life cycle. Therefore
the project manager not only needs to identify variance but also the magnitude
of the variance – those activities where magnitude of variance is beyond an
acceptable level must become the focus for corrective action.
A popular misconception is that it is a crime for a project manager to have
a project with a variance. The reality of demanding zero variance on a project
is that, apart from generally being unachievable in all but the simplest of
projects, it will ultimately encourage corner-cutting. However, aiming for zero
variance by addressing variances as they arise is a much more commendable
approach.
Feedback on task performance should be obtained regularly. The greatest
challenge is setting up a system which encourages honest, timely and accurate
reporting by project staff. The first step to achieving this is to ensure that
progress is reported against the plan. Using a simple pro forma with informa-
tion from the project plan may well be ample (see Table 4.1).
The frequency at which progress is reported is relative to the length of
duration of the tasks on the project. For example, in a project where tasks are
typically a few weeks in duration, there is no point in reporting every other
day as little progress will have been made; similarly, reporting every month is
135

Ta b l e 4.1   Capturing progress data

Task Start Finish Duration Hours Cost

Build component X Planned 1 May 11 Planned 10 May 11 Planned 10 days Planned 160 hrs Planned €20,000

Revised Revised 12 May 11 Revised 12 days Revised 176 hrs Revised €21,600

Actual 1 May 11 Actual Actual Actual Actual

Reason for variances


Late delivery of assembly tools

Test section Z Planned 5 May 11 Planned 12 May 11 Planned 8 days Planned 128 hrs Planned €15,000

Revised Revised Revised Revised Revised

Actual 5 May 11 Actual 11 May 11 Actual 7 days Actual 140 hrs Actual €16,000

Reason for variances


Used up unused labour on component X task to get finished earlier. Cost more as other labour more expensive.
136 20:20 Project Management

of no benefit as it will probably be too late to correct problems with progress


measurements made so far apart. In such a situation, a weekly progress
report would suffice.
In more sophisticated project management environments using informa-
tion technology tools, it is possible to automatically generate much of the data
required for progressing, eg:
●● hours worked, from a timesheet system;
●● task costs, from a purchase order/stock control system.
This becomes particularly effective if a set of standard work, organization and
cost breakdown structure codes is used.
A rough indication of project progress can be obtained from an updated
project Gantt chart. However, this tends to only show schedule-based progress
– to take a consolidated view of project progress, earned value analysis
provides a number of tools for measuring project performance in terms of a
set of indicators.

Analysing the plan


Once all the progress elements have been collected the data can be analysed
and reviewed and compared to the baseline.
If the project has slipped, critical areas can be examined and the plan
adjusted.
Areas to consider are:
●● relaxing constraints;
●● revisiting manpower estimates;
●● revising network logic;
●● putting more activities in parallel;
●● passing work to subcontractors.
It is not advisable to simply reduce the duration of future activities in order to
achieve the overall schedule.

Variances
Any discrepancy from the plan or baseline is a variance. When the progressed
plan is analysed, all variances should be detailed and a cumulative record of
all variances maintained.
Bear in mind that the variances may have been caused by an inadequate
estimate and this information must be recorded so that the next project does
not fall into the same trap.
The two key variances are timescales and costs and in order to understand
the correlation between time and cost, performance measurements or earned
value should be used.
Executing Your Project 137

Performance measurement terminology


Most projects regularly progress their plans and generate status reports
indicating what events have occurred and what milestones have been
achieved. They also predict what events will occur in the future and when
these events will occur. They also record what money has been spent and
estimate what money is going to be spent in the future. In most cases, however,
physical progress or achievement is measured and reported separately to
financial spend and forecasting.
Few projects measure their efficiency of working or the value of work that
has been achieved, ie few projects measure their performance.
A method of measuring project performance which enables efficiency of
working or the value of work that has been achieved is earned value.
Earned value is a process that assigns a value to the achievement of project
work. Ideally, achievement is in terms of milestones or deliverables. The value
is usually monetary but can be expressed in any appropriate units such as
man hours.
Earned value is the comparison of the amount of money (or man hours)
actually spent with the amount of money (or man hours) which should have
been spent to achieve the progress made.
The value to be earned when a specific milestone or deliverable is achieved
is based on the planned cost of achieving the milestone or deliverable.

What are earned value measurements?


The purpose of earned value measurements is to compare the amount of
money actually spent with that which has been earned by performing the
work to date.
This is normally achieved by comparing spend to date with the amount of
money that should have been spent to make the actual progress that has
been made.
To achieve this three things are needed:
●● a budget subdivided into measurable packages of work;
●● a method of measuring achievement or progress;
●● a method of collecting costs against the measurable packages of work.

Using performance measurements


Earned value techniques provide a discipline that ensures sound management
and, what is more important, provide an early indicator of the state of the
health of the project from, primarily, a cost and schedule perspective.
Any measurements of performance must be treated with caution. They are
indicators of the efficiency or performance of a project and should be used
as one of the criteria on which project managers base their decisions, after
having interpreted the information and placed it in context.
138 20:20 Project Management

Performance measures indicate where shortfalls are occurring and where


extra resources, or management action, or other support is required in order
to overcome the problem. It is an early indicator of problems and gives a
pointer as to what may happen to the project if actions are not taken.
The earned value process can be applied to any type of project, irrespective
of size.

What are the benefits?


The figure below shows the traditional budget vs actual graph.

F i g u r e 4.5   Example budget vs actual

Time
Now

Actual

Budget
Cost

Time

This graph is traditionally used to compare budget spend with actual spend.
It shows how much has been spent to date and compares it to the budget
that was planned to be used by the report date.
It does not show:
●● if the project is ahead of schedule;
●● if the project is truly over or under spent;
●● if the project is getting value for money;
●● if money has been spent on the right things;
●● if the problems are over or have only just begun.
Executing Your Project 139

The graph below is similar to the previous graph except that a measure of
performance (or status value) has been included. The line included is the
earned value or achievement line.
This additional line represents the proportion of the budget that has actually
been achieved.

F i g u r e 4.6   Example budget, actual and earned

Time
Now

Actual

Budget
Cost

Earned

Time

It indicates the following additional information:


●● The project is behind schedule because the amount of work completed
is less than that scheduled.
●● The project is overspent because the cost of the work completed is
greater than the budgeted cost of the work.
●● The project is spending money incorrectly, as it is costing more to
achieve less than budget.
●● The problems do not appear to be contained, since the slope of the
actual cost line is greater that the budgeted cost line which indicates
that the overspend is going to increase, even though the earned value
line does look like it will intersect the budget cost line some time in
the future.
140 20:20 Project Management

Terminology
Performance measurement baseline (PMB)
The PMB is the time-phased budget plan against which contract
performance is measured. It is formed by the budgets assigned to
scheduled cost accounts and undistributed budgets. It equals the total
allocated budget less management reserve.
Actual cost (AC)
The cost incurred and recorded for the work performed in a given period.
Planned value (PV)
The planned cost for a defined scope of work that is scheduled to be
done during a given period. Specifically PV is the sum of all budgets
for all packages of work and in total forms the PMB.
Earned value (EV)
The sum of the budgets for completed work packages and completed
portions of open work packages. Also referred to as earned value.
Cost variance (CV)
The difference between the EV and AC. A negative value indicates a cost
overspend and a positive value indicates a cost underspend.
Cost variance = earned value – actual cost
Schedule variance (SV)
Schedule variance can be considered in terms of cost or time. The
schedule variance (cost) is the difference between the EV and PV.
A negative value indicates less work has been done than planned
and a positive value indicates more work has been done than
planned.
Schedule variance (cost) = earned value – planned cost
The schedule variance (time) is the difference between original
duration (OD) planned and the actual time expended (ATE)
on the work to date.

Schedule variance (time) = the original duration (OD) planned for the
work to date – actual time expended (ATE) on the work to date

Example of an earned value calculation


This example shows how to measure the progress made on building a wall
using earned value.
Executing Your Project 141

F i g u r e 4.7   Brick wall example: specification

Here are the original estimates to build a wall of 20 rows of bricks:


Timescale = 2 weeks (10 days)
Estimate (budget) = £1,000
Size of wall = 20 rows

F i g u r e 4.8   Brick wall example: progress

Progress after 5 days (50 per cent of the original time estimate): up to that
point the costs were £600 (partly due to the fact that the bricks cost more).
The actual cost of the work performed is therefore £600 and the budget
cost of work scheduled is £500 (original cost × elapsed time as a percentage
of the original time estimate). If we were to graph this we would get a typical
project cost curve:
142 20:20 Project Management

F i g u r e 4.9   Brick wall example: actual vs budget

Cost

PV

AC

Time

What does this graph tell us?


Nothing, in fact!
Why? Because although it looks on the graph as if the project is overspent,
nowhere does it take into account the percentage of work completed.
Therefore you might have completed more work than you needed to at this
point, in which case, there might not have been overspending.
If the amount of work completed to date is added to the graph (budget cost
of work performed) then we get a clearer picture.
In this case, 8 rows were finished at this point in time (40 per cent of what
should have been completed), in other words £400. Here is the performance
measurement curve that can now be drawn:

F i g u r e 4.10   Brick wall example: variances

Cost

PV

AC

CV
SV

EV

Time

CV = –£200 (EV – AC)


SV (cost) = –£100 (EV – PV)
Executing Your Project 143

The fact that the cost variance and schedule (cost) variance are negative
values tells us that we have both a cost overrun and a time overrun.
The performance measurement curve therefore takes into account both
the cost and the work completed: it objectively measures the value of work
achieved to date.

Future trends
Based on the earned value analysis, future trends can be tested for reason­
ableness.
If the project has been consistently underperforming in the past, the out-
standing work can be multiplied by the earned value to give an indication of
what will happen if nothing changes. The same can be applied to the schedule.
You must bear in mind that efficiency will not improve in the future unless
there is some action taken.
There are two other indicators which can also be derived directly from the
graph:

F i g u r e 4.11   Brick wall example: forecasting

Cost

PV

AC
AV

EV


Time
TV

AV: Accounts variance


This value gives an indication on the status of the project cash flow.
AV = PV – AC (cum to date)
A positive value indicates a healthy cash flow, whereas a negative value
indicates that funds will be required to pay for the work carried out.

TV: Time variance


By determining the date at which the current EV value is equal to PV, it is
possible to compute a variance as to how ahead or behind the project is.
See also the definition for schedule variance (time).
144 20:20 Project Management

Efficiency
From all of these discrete measures, two overall efficiency indicators can be
derived which indicate the overall health of the project.

CPI: cost performance index


This value gives an indication on how well the budget is in terms of the
work performed.
CPI = EV / AC
A value greater than 1 indicates a healthy situation, whereas a value less than
1 indicates that the project is overspent for the work done.

SPI: schedule performance index


This value gives an indication of how the project is progressing in terms of
the costs incurred.
SPI = EV / PV
A value greater than 1 indicates a healthy situation, whereas a value less than
1 indicates that the project is behind schedule for the money spent.

Forecasting
Finally it is important to forecast what is now expected to happen to the
project. Two key indicators are used to highlight this. These are EAC (estimate
at completion) and VAC (variance at completion).
In its simplest form EAC can be calculated by estimating the work that
still has to be completed and adding to the actual figures to date. For example,
if you have spent £10,000 (AC) and you estimate that there is £1,500 of
work still to be completed then the EAC would be £11,500. This basic formula
can be applied to both cost and time. For cost, this can be represented as
EAC = AC + ETC where ETC = estimate to completion (money).
However, statistical estimates can be produced based on the efficiency of
the work to date. There are several calculations that can be used, all of which
are based on the work achieved to date. In most cases the remaining work
will not be carried out in the same way so the statistical forecasted figures
given will not guarantee a 100 per cent correct answer and should only be
used as a guide.
EAC = AC(cum) + ((AC/EV)(BAC – EV(cum)))
Or:
EAC = AC(cum) + (BAC – EV(cum))
Or: assuming work is to be carried out as it has to date:

Budgeted cost (BAC)


EAC =
CPI (cost performance index)
Executing Your Project 145

Once the estimate at completion has been estimated it allows us to calculate


the VAC (variance at completion) which is calculated as:
VAC = BAC – EAC
We can also look at forecasting the final end date which requires the pre­
determination of a time based schedule performance index (SPI). This can be
calculated as follows:

schedule performance original duration for the planned work to date


=
index (SPI) (time) actual timee expended on the work to date

planned project duration


final project duration =
time based schedulle performance index

Simulation exercise

Let’s look at our simulation project and assume we are now at the end of week 8
in the schedule.
We have asked for a report on actual percentage (%) complete on each of the
activities along with the actual spend on each activity which has been captured
via timesheets and invoices.
The progress figures for activity A have been completed. Calculate the figures for
the remaining activities and summarize your perception of progress to date. You will
need to reference the last bar chart to find the budget at completion and the planned
percentage complete for some of the activities.
Transfer your EV and AC figures to the blank S-curve below. For drawing purposes
assume linear spend in each from the start of the project. In addition highlight the
SV and CV values.

Continued overleaf
146

Simulation exercise continued

Ta b l e 4.2   Simulation project: progress table


Activity Activity Description Budget at Planned % Planned Actual Actual % Earned Schedule Cost Schedule Cost
ID Completion Complete Value Cost Complete Value Varience Varience Performance Performance
(PV) (EV) (SV) (CV) Index (SPI) Index (CPI)

A Project Start 0 100% 0 0 100% 0 0 0

B Procure Soundproof 4000 100% 4000 4000 100% 4000 0 0 1.00 1. 00


Booths

C Install Soundproof Booths 15000 100% 20000 75%

D Relocate Furniture 8000 7000 75%

E Procure Cat 5 Cabling 20000 80% 10000 50%

F Procure IT Hardware 1000 100%

G Install Hardware 10000 100%

H Install Cat 5 Cabling 0 0%

J Test IT Functionality 0 0%

K Relocate Staff 0 0%

L Final Integrity Check 0 0%

M Project End 0 0%
147

F i g u r e 4.12   Simulation project: cumulative cost curve

Office Relocation – Cumulative Cost Curve


110

100

90

80
Cumulative Cost (K)

70

60

50

40

30

20

10

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
Week number
148

Simulation example

Ta b l e 4.3   Simulation project: completed progress table


Activity Activity Description Budget at Planned % Planned Actual Actual % Earned Schedule Cost Schedule Cost
ID Completion Complete Value Cost Complete Value Varience Varience Performance Performance
(PV) (EV) (SV) (CV) Index (SPI) Index (CPI)

A Project Start 0 100% 0 0 100% 0 0 0

B Procure Soundproof Booths 4000 100% 4000 4000 100% 4000 0 0 1.00 1.00

C Install Soundproof Booths 15000 100% 15000 20000 75% 11250 –3750 –8750 0.75 0.56

D Relocate Furniture 8000 50% 4000 7000 75% 6000 2000 –1000 1.50 0.86

E Procure Cat 5 Cabling 20000 80% 16000 10000 50% 10000 –6000 0 0.63 1.00

F Procure IT Hardware 4000 100% 4000 1000 100% 4000 0 3000 1.00 4.00

G Install Hardware 12000 0% 0 10000 100% 12000 12000 2000 1.20

H Install Cat 5 Cabling 16000 0% 0 0 0% 0 0 0

J Test IT Functionality 6000 0% 0 0 0% 0 0 0

K Relocate Staff 12000 0% 0 0 0% 0 0 0

L Final Integrity Check 4000 0% 0 0 0% 0 0 0

M Project End 0 0% 0 0 0% 0 0 0

101000 43000 52000 47250 4250 4750 1.10 0.91


149

F i g u r e 4.13   Simulation project: planned, earned and actual curves

Office Relocation – Cumulative Cost Curve


110

100

90

80
Planned Value
Cumulative Cost (K)

70 Earned Value
Actual Cost
60

50

40

30

20

10

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
Week Number

Continued overleaf
150 20:20 Project Management

Simulation exercise continued

We can see from both the information in the table and the S-curve the progress
situation. We have a positive SV (schedule variance) which indicates we have
achieved more work to date than planned, however, we have a negative CV (cost
variance), which implies we have spent more money than was planned on the work
to date.
We need to deal with the important issue of identifying why we have overspent
and what our forecasts at completion are. We should now forecast a final cost and
time for the project using an appropriate method as discussed earlier.

Change control
As discussed in the planning chapter, unfortunately our plans will most likely
change. This should not necessarily constitute a problem if handled correctly
through a change control process. Change control is concerned with all aspects
of managing the scope of the project and the project objectives during project
execution.
Its purpose is to ensure that any proposed changes to the project objectives
or project work packages are evaluated and approved, rejected or deferred
before being incorporated into the project plan.
The project management plan and the work breakdown structure are two
valuable sources of information which the project manager should use when
a change becomes apparent. This will allow the impact of the proposed change
to be investigated and evaluated in terms of the additional effort or benefit
which it will bring, along with an indication of the impact on other aspects of
the project.

Project change
Project change could arise as a result of:
●● an omission, by the customer, in the original specification;
●● an omission, by the project team, in the original work definition;
●● an unforeseen external event;
●● a request, by the customer, to make an addition/alteration to the
specification;
●● a request, by the project team, to make an addition/alteration to the
work definition;
●● design failure;
●● personnel changes;
●● advancement by competitors;
●● new government regulations;
●● new ideas being included.
Executing Your Project 151

Change should firstly be handled by the documentation of the change required.


This should be done through a change request process and a change request
form. An example of the change control process and a change request form
are shown below. The change request form should be completed for a change
request regardless of its source.

Ta b l e 4.4   Example change request form

Project

Originator of
Request

Change Request Date of


# Request

Description of
Change

Baseline/
Current
Situation

Reason for
Change

WBS Areas Effect


Affected

WBS Areas Effect


Affected

WBS Areas Effect


Affected

Approve Reject

Comments

Customer Name Signature Date


Authorization

Once the change has been logged it should then follow a change control
process.
152 20:20 Project Management

Change control process


The process of managing change control can be viewed as a five-stage process.

F i g u r e 4.14   Change control process

1 Log the change request and define precisely what is to be changed.


Use the change request form.
2 Initial evaluation. Assess the impact which this change will have
on the project. How will it affect the project objectives, the work
packages, the schedule, the resources, the team, the environment,
risks, etc?
3 Detailed evaluation. Determine the ‘cost’ of the change. Do not only
consider the direct monetary cost of carrying out the change, but also
the knock-on effect it may have on other aspects of the project. This
should be done by incorporating the change into the existing baseline
plan and determining the overall effect on time, cost, quality, safety
and the resource availability. Also consider the ‘benefit’ of the change.
Again, there may be more than pure financial benefit – the change may
ultimately lead to reduced time savings elsewhere in the project or
may lead to improved safety or quality.
4 Recommendation. Make a decision as to whether to accept or reject
the change request. If the change is likely to result in a change to the
project’s terms of reference or objectives, then it is appropriate for this
decision not to be taken by the project manager alone, but by a change
control board which will include representatives of senior management
and other business management functions.
5 Update plans. If the change is accepted then the plan should be
updated, approved, re-baselined and published.
Executing Your Project 153

Note: If the change has come from the client it must be determined if the
change is outside the contracted scope. If it is, then the additional cost should
be signed off via a variation order before any of the work is undertaken.

Change register
It is important that once a change has been recorded through a change request
that it is entered into the change register. The change register is often part of
the project management plan and holds amendments to the original business
case which are under consideration or which have already been approved. By
keeping a change register as a supplement to the project management plan,
you avoid the need for updating the main document for every change. It also
provides an audit trail for the additional works that has been carried out.

Project close-out and handover


The goal of project management is to obtain client acceptance of the
project result. This means that the client agrees that the quality specifications
of the project parameters have been met. In order to make this go smoothly,
the client and the project manager must have a well-documented criteria of
performance in place from the beginning of the project. This information
should be documented in the project management plan which should include
all changes requested through the life of the project.
Objective, measurable criteria are always best, subjective criteria are risky
and open to interpretation. There should be no room for doubt or ambiguity,
although this is often difficult to achieve.
The project may not be complete when delivered to the client. Some final
project areas that may need to be considered are:
●● documentation requirements;
●● complete drawings;
●● final report;
●● provision of people trained on operating product or facility;
●● customer training;
●● final report;
●● project audit;
●● update risk and work registers;
●● settle all invoices;
●● equipment and hire returns;
●● warranties and guarantees settled;
●● update financial systems;
●● document lessons learned.
154 20:20 Project Management

Although the project close-out and handover are typically the final phases
of the project this does not mean that the relevant activities should only
commence when the previous stage is complete. On the contrary, it can
been seen by the list above that work such as as-built drawings should be
developed as the project progresses through the earlier stages and be ready
for handover as soon as the work is complete.
Finally, project team members need to be reassigned; surplus equipment,
materials and supplies disposed of; and facilities released.

Post-project evaluation review


The final step of any project should be an evaluation review. This is a look back
over the project to see what was learned that will contribute to future projects.
This review is best done by the core project team and typically in a group
discussion. If possible it can be beneficial to include the client, customer,
users or any appropriate stakeholders. The post-project evaluation review will
take place during project closure.

Why hold a post-project evaluation?


As the quote at the beginning of this chapter says, if we always do what
we’ve always done, we’ll always get what we’ve always got – meaning that if
we always do things the same way we will get the same results. With all
projects there are always areas that can be improved upon; however, it is
typical for project personnel and managers, to get away from the project as soon
as possible. This may be due to the fact that they are required immediately on
the next project and they are glad to see the back of it and want to forget the
results. Whatever the reason, the benefits of such a review are rarely seen,
and dismissed as time wasting. It is therefore very important that the lessons
learned from the project, whether good or bad, should be reviewed, docu-
mented and fed back to the next project.

What should be reviewed?


It is obviously very important that, first, an evaluation of what the project
delivered against what was expected should be conducted. This again high-
lights the importance of agreeing the measurement for success at the outset
of the project and with all the stakeholders.
We should therefore consider the three questions asked when we defined
our project:
●● Do we know where we are going?
●● Do we know how we are going to get there?
●● Do we have agreement of all of the stakeholders on the first two
questions?
Executing Your Project 155

If we could categorically say yes to the above questions then we should now
be asking:
●● Did we get where we expected to get?
●● Did we get there the way we expected to?
●● Are all the stakeholders happy with the outcome and the way it was
achieved?
If the answer is no to any of the above questions we should be asking why
and what can be done to make sure they answer yes in the future. Equally, if
the answer is yes we should be congratulating the project team and ensuring
that we clarify what was done well so we can do it again and also what could
be improved upon next time.
Some questions that could be considered are:
●● Did everyone involved understand and agree on the project direction
and objectives?
●● Did we have the appropriate skills in the project?
●● Did we have and use appropriate tools and techniques?
●● Did all the team work well together?
●● Were our stakeholders kept well informed of the project progress?
●● Did we manage project changes effectively?
●● Did we follow the agreed project life cycle?
●● Did we encourage and deal with feedback effectively?
●● Did we anticipate project problems effectively?
●● Were our agreed procedures followed as planned?
Again if the answer to any of these questions is no, then we should ask why
and put measures in place to ensure that in the future they are corrected.
Likewise, if the answers are yes then ask why. Was it luck or was it good
project management? Either way, the results should also be documented and
fed back into future projects.

Things to consider when executing


a project
Accuracy of progress measurement
It is often said that progress on an activity rushes to 95 per cent then slows
down. There is also the issue of ambiguous progress measurement. The
importance of accuracy in progress measurement cannot be overemphasized
as, without accurate measurement, all of the benefits of best practice outlined
in this chapter cannot be realized. Depending on the type of project involved,
156 20:20 Project Management

it may be possible to agree what needs to be achieved to ‘claim’ earned value


percentages against different types of activities, or visual checks on progress
may be necessary, but somehow the successful project manager needs to be
sure that the progress measures being reported are accurate, to allow them
to make the right decisions.

Cost versus schedule


The real value of earned value management (EVM) is that it compares cost
and schedule progress measurements – providing the project team with
accurate measures and forecasts. However, the timely reporting of actual costs
(AC) is not realistic in some organizations. In these cases it is still possible to
calculate a reasonably accurate costs-incurred figure based known payroll
costs or committed costs through finance systems. To not measure costs and
schedule simultaneously, as we have seen, is to make decisions based on
potentially misleading data – which should worry any project team.

Forecasting and early warnings


The purpose of accurate forecasting figures such as estimate at completion
(EAC) and budget at completion (BAC) provides an early warning to the project
team, project manager and project stakeholders of all types. Hiding this bad
news early in a project is a mistake that many project managers are tempted
to make – convincing themselves that they will compensate for early problems
later in the project. However, history tells us otherwise. A timely early warning
of a negative ‘trend’ (schedule or cost, or both) can point towards poor
estimating, planning or simply an expected or unexpected risk occurring. The
best practice tools and techniques described in this book – if followed fully –
allow for an honest appraisal and reappraisal of project success. All organiza-
tions need to know early if there are issues. No project manager is thanked for
delaying bad news. Equally good news should be made available as it may
allow an organization to channel much needed resources elsewhere if they
are now available.

Variations and change management


This chapter has discussed the critical aspect of change management. Almost
all projects will encounter change and it is the ability of the project team
to recognize change, evaluate the effects of change, and make a reasoned
decision (or refer it in a timely fashion) that can often make the different
between a successful project and a disastrous one. Human nature often leads
to variations or changes being accepted without challenge. The con­sequential
effect of an ill-considered change is one of the most common causes of
project cost or schedule overruns.
Executing Your Project 157

The learning organization


Capturing and recording ‘actuals’ has an importance to most organizations
considerably beyond the project itself. If an organization is to learn lessons
from the past and improve its project performance it is essential that the data
recorded for progress reporting during a project is also analysed at project
completion for ‘lessons learned’. It is common in most organizations for
project staff to be reallocated immediately (or before) a project is completed.
However, a little time spent recording and disseminating lessons learned and
actuals can pay immense dividends to the organization and is, in mature
project organizations, an integral part of good project management.

Conclusion
We have learned in this chapter to measure progress against a baseline plan,
forecast cost and schedule variances and manage change. These are some of
the most critical tools and techniques available to the project manager and yet
often the most overlooked. As some of the progress measurement techniques
require timely and accurate data, and an understanding of earned value man-
agement (EVM), they are often avoided as ‘too complex’. However, ignoring
these best practice tools leads to projects being run ‘blind’ – in ignorance of
their real progress and, therefore, the real cost and schedule outcome. In
extreme cases this can lead to projects continuing when they should have
been stopped – effectively gross misconduct within an organization.

C ASE S T UDY   Wood Group PSN project management framework

Wood Group PSN is a leading independent services provider for the oil & gas and power
generation markets. Worldwide these services include engineering, procurement and
construction management, facility operations and maintenance, and repair & overhaul of
turbines and other high speed rotating equipment.
Underpinning the project management system is the project management delivery
framework which provides direction and guidance on the key elements of the project
management process, access to corporate procedures, guidelines on application of the
procedures and corporate pro formas.
The project management delivery framework is based on best practice processes and
systems distilled from recognized standards such as ISO 9001, Association of Project
Management (APM) and Project Management Institute (PMI). It is used for guidance on
what procedures, tools and processes are available and are expected to be utilized as a
minimum during the delivery of projects and modifications. For each element of the road
map for projects, the framework should be applied (Figure 4.15 and Figure 4.16).
158 20:20 Project Management

F i g u r e 4.15   WGPSN project management framework

The project management road map provides an overview on how a typical project should
be managed and illustrates the flow and the key issues from concept to close out. The road
map for projects includes the following important information relevant to the conduct and
management of projects:
●● the project and contract management principles defining the essential minimum
management controls and processes which must be formally addressed for all
projects and contracts;
●● performance standards applicable to feed and implementation project phases;
●● definition of project phases some or all of which will be undertaken for each project;
●● major project milestones some or all of which will be relevant dependent on which
project phases are undertaken;
●● milestone requirements for corporate reviews during each of the project phases.

Management control and reporting


An integral part of the PMS is the management control and reporting system (MCRS),
which is designed to provide delivery assurance through a structured, hierarchical
workflow, and a performance management and meetings schedule with clear objectives
and expectations for those taking part in the process.
The MCRS is a graphic representation of how the business operates; presents what its
business plan is for the next period (forecasting), how it will deliver the work required to
achieve the business plan (planning), describes the controls and performance meetings
(control) required to monitor the delivery, planned attainment, and reporting back into the
159
F i g u r e 4.16   WGPSN road map

CORPORATE GOVERNANCE
Corporate Reporting CONTRACT REVIEWS/PROJECT REVIEWS/COMMERCIAL REVIEWS

AND REPORTING
Stage 1: Stage 2: Stage 3: Stage 4: Stage 5: Stage 6: Stage 7:
Red Team FEED Red Team Detail Design Ready for Ready for Corporate
Corporate Review Construction Startup Feedback &
Improvement
Milestones

Kick-off Meeting
Implementation

Implementation
Main Contract
Submission

Submission

Submission

Completion
Complete
Contract

Meeting
Kick-off
Project Major
Project

Tender

Tender

Project

Project
Award

Award
FEED
FEED

FEED
PROJECT MANAGEMENT AND DELIVERY

Start

Milestones

Project Phases
Concept & Tender & Bid Contract Project Tender & Bid Contract Project Implementation Closeout &
Initiation Submission Clarifications Definition Submission Clarifications Lessons
(FEED) (FEED) Learned
Performance
Standards FEED PMG-166 Start up PMG-169 Implementation PMG-168 Closeout PMG-170
• WG Project • Commercial • Definition of one • WG Project • Commercial • MCRS • Technical
Strategy Framework business case Strategy Framework • Project Performance Measurement Actual • Commercial
• Scope agreed and • Min unknowns and • Scope agreed and versus Planned • Lessons Learned
• Estimate signed uncertainties • Estimate signed • Application of WG management Systems
• Schedule • Schedule • Audits
• Success Criteria • Success Criteria
• Risk Assessment • Risk Assessment
& Mitigation Plan & Mitigation Plan

• • • • •
Project Management Processes Systems Stakeholder Management Organization Resource Management
System Topics • Innovation • Learning • Sub-contract Strategy • Communication • Risk Management
• Change Management • Procedures • Commercial Strategy • Customer • Competency
Relationship Management
160 20:20 Project Management

management systems (reporting) for adjustment to the forecast, up or down, or measures


required to ensure the business plan is achieved (see Figure 4.17).
The MCRS model has been designed to focus on project delivery and provide details
of the regular meetings expected to take place, at the varying levels in the organization,
to ensure projects are properly managed and monitor (see Figure 4.17 for an example).
Terms of reference for meetings are provided, along with expected reports/data
required for basic project management analysis. Outputs from any performance meeting
requires actions to be captured with agreed dates for close-out and a nominated individual
to do it.

Review and improvement


Continuous improvement is the lifeblood of successful future business. Improvement
can be best achieved by firstly setting high performance standards, measuring actual
performance against these standards and finally by having in place processes geared to
raising performance.
The effectiveness of the project management system will continually be reviewed to
ensure its ongoing suitability and effectiveness and ensure that continual improvements
are made to the process as well as a mechanism for capturing lessons learned from
previous projects. The improvement element of the project management system is modelled
accordingly with three distinct components (Figure 4.18).

Compliance with the PM system


It will be monitored at different times by means of various peer and compliance reviews.

KPI success
In order to define the success of any project, suitable success criteria should be agreed
with stakeholders during the concept phase although it is also possible that they may
be amended at any time of the life cycle through an effective change control process.
Success criteria require quantitative measures against which to judge meeting them.
Key performance indicators (KPIs) are measures of success.
KPIs should be used throughout the project to ensure progression towards a successful
conclusion.
Measurement of KPIs is a measure of the health of a project and to some extent a
measure of the effectiveness of the project management system. It is therefore appropriate
to consider the success or otherwise of meeting KPIs as a guide to both. KPIs will normally
be reported through monthly reports by individual projects and a trend should be maintained
both for individual projects and across the PM function.

Lessons learned
At the outset of a work, the assigned job responsible person (JRP) reviews the WGPSN
lessons learned database in relation to the client, project type, proposed scope of work,
systems/equipment involved, etc.
This action should assist in ensuring that lessons are learned from previous similar
project work and overall performance is improved. As part of the close-out process for
161

F i g u r e 4.17   WGPSN progress reporting: example of the processes related to project progress meeting

From Project
Execution
To WGE Resources
Meeting
From Project Team
Leader Review
To WGE Resources
Forecasting
Terms
Action of
Log Refer
Reference
Project Progress To Project Team
Meeting Leader Review
(PE/JRE/DTL/PM)
INPUTS (Review by project)
• Weekly Project Status Report Proje A
Project
• Risk Mngt Register and Actions
• Change Contact Rodister
• Planning and Forecasting
Reports
• Cost Reports
• Construction status
• Procurenment Status Report From From
(PSR) Construction Construction
Status − Internal Status − External
162 20:20 Project Management

F i g u r e 4.18   WGPSN PM system implementation

Improvement and
Compliance

Compliance with PM Key Performance


Lessons Learnt
System Indicators (KPI)

all work the lessons learned from the execution of the work is be documented. During
the close-out stage of the work, the relevant JRP formally invites those involved, including
the client representatives, to submit their written proposals for lessons to be learned.
For major projects the above requirement is supplemented by a project-specific lessons
to be learned review, arranged by the relevant project manager, during the close-out phase
of the work. The attendees at this review include the client representatives, operations/
maintenance representatives and the key members of the project team.
The project lessons learned list records the following data:
●● originator;
●● details of lesson learned;
●● originator’s recommended actions;
●● reviewed date;
●● actions taken;
●● date of entry to database.

The relevant JRP records against each item on the project list of lessons learned
recommended actions required to address the lessons learned. The project list of lessons
learned is then submitted to the relevant assignment manager in order to document the
actions taken to address the project lessons learned and highlight those items forwarded
to the WGPSN management with recommendations for action.
163

Risk and your 05


project

Introduction


As we know, there are known knowns. There are things we
know we know. We also know there are known unknowns.
That is to say, we know there are some things we do not
know. But there are also unknown unknowns, the ones
we don’t know we don’t know.
Donald Rumsfeld, US Defense Secretary

M r Rumsfeld defines the issues of risk rather well, although in this chapter
we will focus on the known knowns and discuss a process to expose
and better define the known unknowns and then consider what the unknown
unknowns might be and plan to reduce their impact on the project objectives
as well!
So, what is risk management? The term refers to the systematic application
of procedures for identifying and assessing risks to the successful delivery of
strategic objectives, day-to-day business operations, programmes and projects.
The identification and management of risks relating to a project is an absolute
cornerstone of the successful delivery of the project. Risks, when they occur,
affect all the key areas of the cost, time and quality measures that are set
when the business case is developed and the project baseline is set. Although
the identification and management of risks is a continual activity which is
performed throughout the life of the project, an analysis of potential risks will
have taken place during the feasibility study stage and will have been built into
the business case before the project was given the go ahead by the project
sponsors. Typically, risk management is utilized at every stage of a project life
cycle, which is why this supporting chapter should be referenced regularly.
As discussed earlier, uncertainty is an accepted part of project delivery.
However, that uncertainty is often caused by a change in the scope of the
164 20:20 Project Management

deliverables and that level of uncertainty is normally something that can be


managed by the change control process.
Risk management is different. If the process is correctly managed, risks
can be foreseen, understood and managed accordingly. Risk can be defined
in two distinct ways. First, a risk event is defined as:

an uncertain event that, should it occur, will have an effect on achievement of


one or more of the project’s objectives.

This type of risk can be identified, assessed and managed through the risk
management process.
For example:
●● Will the new product launch date be achieved?
●● Will our delivery of components be on time?
●● Will the IT systems we use cope with the new project demands?
●● Can our staff deliver the objectives we have set them on time?
●● Will the design we have used satisfy the client’s needs?
In addition, project risk is the cumulative effect of risk events and other
sources of uncertainty. Although it is important to focus on the risk events the
overall project risk needs to be the focus and managed accordingly.

Project risk is the exposure of stakeholders to the consequences of variations


in outcome.

This level of understanding and the subsequent open communication of


exposure is key to good decision making and helps to deliver the consistency
of information required for stakeholders and sponsors so that objective
decisions can be made.
However, risks are not always negative events. Sometimes they can provide
an opportunity. For example, if a major project is delayed this might – depend-
ing on the contract – result in additional revenues for the contractor. Whether
risk is a threat or opportunity often depends on which side of the contract
you are.
Risk is very much ‘in the eye of the beholder’. For example, if the project
budget cannot be altered, even the smallest risk can be a major risk. If the project
delivery date cannot be altered then any risk to the project schedule being
compromised becomes a major risk. How a risk is categorized will therefore
be dependent on the needs and expectations of the project stakeholders.

Risk cultures
There is no textbook answer on how to handle risk other than to have a risk
mitigation strategy prepared. The project manager or the organization must
rely upon sound judgement and the use of the appropriate tools in dealing
Risk and Your Project 165

with risk. The ultimate decision on how to deal with risk is most often based
upon the project manager’s tolerance of risk.
The three commonly used classifications of tolerance for risk include risk
averter or avoider, the neutral risk taker, and the risk seeker or lover.

F i g u r e 5.1   Risk averter

F i g u r e 5.2   Risk neutral

F i g u r e 5.3   Risk seeker

The above graphs show the amount of satisfaction, or pleasure, the project
manager receives from a payoff; this is sometimes known as the project
manager’s tolerance for risk.
166 20:20 Project Management

With the risk averter, satisfaction is reduced the more risk is at stake. With
the risk seeker, the satisfaction increases when more is at stake, ie greater risk.
A risk averter prefers a more certain outcome and will demand a premium to
accept a risk. A risk seeker prefers the more uncertain outcome and may be
willing to pay a penalty to take a risk.

Qualitative and quantitative approaches to risk


Whilst there are many methodologies and approaches that have been created
to manage risk, let’s look at two core approaches for identification and man-
agement: qualitative and quantitative.
A qualitative approach to risk involves analysing the types of risk that may
occur in a project, their sources, knock-on effects, nature of impact, etc. Such
an analysis is very much based on the expertise, experience and knowledge
of the individual team members who take part in the risk analysis.
A quantitative approach to risk involves using statistical/historical data to
predict the likely occurrence and impact of risks in a project. This method
generally relies on there being available large volumes of historical and statistical
data on similar projects or components of the project. It also relies on the
processing of vast quantities of data and is best achieved using computers
and custom-made software.
The first part of this chapter will primarily concentrate on the qualitative
approach to risk analysis as due to the nature of the projects it is unlikely that
large volumes of statistical and historical data exist for the types of projects
concerned.
Later we will look at a quantitative approach to risk and will look at some
of the methods and calculations used.
Informal risk management has been used for many years. For example:

●● storing food (to reduce the risk of later shortages);


●● the introduction of driving regulations (to reduce the risk of accidents).

In addition we all inadvertently conduct risk management on a day-to-day


basis by buying insurance for our cars, using a pedestrian crossing when
crossing a road, putting our money in a secure bank account. These are all
simple risk management actions.
More formal risk analysis has only been developed quite recently, partly in
response to the recognition of the magnitude of risks which are being faced
on many projects and the need to either reduce the risks or at least prepare
for their occurrence.
In fact many projects have now mandated the use of risk management
for the parties to the project, including consultants, managing contractors,
main contractors and subcontractors. Very often risk can be spread across the
different organizational structures within a project.
Risk and Your Project 167

Project risk
A project risk can be defined as follows:
●● An undesirable development, about which there can only be a degree
of certainty that it will happen, but if it does happen there will be a
significant impact in respect of the project’s timing, budget, quality,
safety or performance objectives.
●● Risk is an uncertain event or condition which, if it occurs, would have
a negative impact on achievement of objectives (threat).
●● Risk is an uncertain event or condition which, if it occurs, would have
a negative or positive impact on achievement of objectives (threat or
opportunity).
Account must also be taken of the effect of risk on issues such as safety,
reliability, the organization’s overall business and value for money.
Two aspects of this definition are important:
●● Lack of certainty implies that there is a probability, but not a certainty,
associated with the risk. If a risk is certain to happen it is not a risk but
a problem, or an issue, to be dealt with using traditional project
management and planning principles.
●● The impact of the risk implies that there will be an effect on the
project, in terms of time, cost, quality or safety. If there is no impact
then the risk is irrelevant and can be ignored.

Risk management and opportunity


Although we generally think of risk as a threat, as can be seen from the defini-
tions above it may also be looked on as an opportunity. This opportunity can be
realized in a number of ways.
If a risk management process is implemented and managed properly it can
provide a business opportunity that may not have existed previously, eg it may
be prudent to bring a piece of subcontracted work in house in order to gain a
greater control on enhancements and response to change. This in turn would
offer a greater opportunity to the business in terms of flexibility to change and
response to customers’ needs.
In addition, a risk that has been defined as a threat to the project could
also be turned around and an opportunity exploited, eg the risk may be that
someone may be hurt during the construction phase of the project, therefore
there may exist an opportunity to develop some new safety mechanism or
procedure that could give the company competitive advantage or even be
marketed outright.
One of the problems of risk management is identifying how well it is being
carried out. If a risk does not happen it does not mean that the analysis was
168 20:20 Project Management

wrong. We can only assess the effectiveness of planning to the extent that
we correctly identified the impact for those risks that did occur.
Risk assessment is like gambling in that the odds are assessed based on
the available, often incomplete, data and you make your decisions accordingly.
It is not necessarily a matter of blind faith where you just hope that risks won’t
become reality so do nothing.

Risk management
Several definitions for risk management exist; however, all follow the same
key theme. Typically they are as follows.
●● Risk management is the formal process by which risk factors are
systematically identified, assessed, and provided for.
●● Risk management is a formal, systematic method of managing that
concentrates on identifying and controlling areas or events that have
a potential of causing unwanted change.
●● Risk management, in the project context, is the art and science of
identifying, analysing and responding to risk factors throughout the
life of a project and in the best interest of its objectives.
As you will see from the above definitions, risk management implies control
of possible future events and is proactive rather than reactive. As an example,
one activity in your project is to design a new piece of software for inclusion
in your next product launch; the task has been estimated at six months.
However after speaking to your design manager he informs you that it is more
likely to be nine months. If you as the project manager are reactive you will do
nothing until the problem occurs. However, at that time you must react rapidly
to the crisis and may have lost valuable time when contingencies could have
been developed earlier.
Proper risk management will not only reduce the likelihood of the event
occurring but also the magnitude of its impact (Figure 5.4).
Consider the project above. It can be seen that the impact of reacting to
risks later in the project life can have a significant impact on the project objec-
tives. It should also be noted that it is in the early stages of the project that the
greatest level of influence exists.

The benefits of risk management


It can be seen in the above example that there is potentially a cost benefit
in effective risk management; however, several additional benefits can be
delivered by implementation of a comprehensive risk management process.
Some of these benefits may be tangible ie in the form of a return or saving
in cost or time. Others may be intangible, eg strengthen the team, improve
morale, etc.
Risk and Your Project 169

F i g u r e 5.4   Influence vs risk cost

A
I

Listed below are some of the benefits delivered by effective risk management:
●● more realistic plans and budgets;
●● allows the identification of alternatives;
●● improves team spirit and team morale;
●● increase the chance of the project delivering what it is supposed to
deliver;
●● gives the customer and team more confidence in the project data;
●● assists future projects;
●● assists with the justification of contingencies and additional spends;
●● can provide justification for not proceeding with a project;
●● helps focus the team on the project objectives and key project issues;
●● helps eliminate the luck factor;
●● helps to ensure sound contracts are awarded;
●● gives more credibility with customers and clients;
●● enables better communication within the project;
●● can assist in future business;
●● increases knowledge and experience within the project team.

The cost of risk management


There are several ways to address and manage risk; without exception these
will all incur a cost in some way or other. The cost may be at the least the cost
170 20:20 Project Management

of time incurred in the risk management process or it may also be the cost of
insurance, additional or alternative procurement or even the cost of totally
redefining the project. In all cases a cost benefit should be conducted looking
at the cost of managing a risk, the saving returned and the cost of ignoring
the risk.
In some cases the cost of the proposed mitigation for managing a risk or a
series of risks may exceed the overall project budget. It is then that there may
need to be a decision made whether or not the project should proceed.
By conducting high-level risk management at the project conception risk
management costs can be identified and be provided for by inclusion in the
bid or the procurement strategy.

The risk management process


The aim of risk management is to reduce the undesirable consequences
(impact) to a project of a risk occurring. In the example below, the aim is to
reduce the undesirable consequence and reduce the probability. However,
as we will see later, the reduction of risk impact can be very difficult and in
many cases impossible. However, if the probability can be reduced to a low
enough figure the magnitude of the impact becomes insignificant.

F i g u r e 5.5   The purpose of risk management


Impact

Probability

The risk management process may be summarized as:


●● Identify the events which may have a significant, undesirable impact
on the project, ie the risks.
●● Establish the impact of each event.
●● Estimate the probability of each event occurring using appropriate
techniques.
Risk and Your Project 171

●● Calculate the exposure to the project.


●● Mitigate, if appropriate, against the risks.
●● Review the effectiveness of the mitigation and review any changes in
risk exposure.
So that: we can ensure that time, money and effort is allocated to those
features which pose the greatest threat to successful completion of the project.

F i g u r e 5.6   Risk management process

Identify Risks

Review Quantify Impact


1
6 2

5 3
Mitigate
4 Quantify Probability

Rank Exposure

Three key steps


This process can be simplified into three key areas: identify, quantify, manage
– IQM – where identification can include several methods as described later

F i g u r e 5.7   Risk management steps


172 20:20 Project Management

in this chapter. Quantification involves determining how the risk will affect the
project. This may involve both quantitative and qualitative methods; however,
the output of the quantify stage should be a measure of exposure to our
project. In the manage stage we should use techniques to reduce the exposure
to our project or maximize the opportunity.
The output at any stage of the process is to update the risk register, a register
that contains the risk description, the exposure information, recommended
responses and responsibilities. More details on the risk register can be found
later in this chapter.

Stage 1: risk identification


The first step in risk management is to identify and assess all potential risk
areas. The thoroughness with which this identification is accomplished will
determine the effectiveness of the risk management.
There are several methods that can be used for identifying risks such as the
following framework.

F i g u r e 5.8   Risk identification framework ss


Le

External World
y
ilit
ab
ge
na
Ma

Organizational
Environment
re

Political /
Mo

Technical
Commercial
Environment
Environment

Project
Environment
Market Social/Ethical
Environment Environment

Environmental
Risk and Your Project 173

Risk management must be seen in its broadest sense – many of the risks are
outside the project and outside the project manager’s control, eg interest rate
rises, currency fluctuations. In the diagram opposite the nearer the centre the
circle we go, ie toward the project environment, the more manageable our
risk should be.
Main sources of risk:
●● The project environment: risks associated with project resources, project
objectives, the client, project quality, schedules, the project organization
and associated vendors and subcontractors. Most of the risk within this
area should be manageable and within the project manager’s control.
●● The organizational environment: risks associated with strategic
problems, finance and wider resources, management decisions,
shareholders. Many risks in this area may be under the project
manager’s control although many may be outside their influence.
●● The external world: risks associated with social, political and economic
factors, legal and regulatory bodies, environmental pressure groups.
Many of these risks will be outside the control of the project manager;
however, the project manager may be able to affect the amount the
project is influenced by them with the use of appropriate mitigation
strategies.
●● Other influences: It can be seen in the diagram opposite that several
other factors can have an influence on our project and they are not
limited to the few shown here. It is the project manager’s job to explore
all the areas of risk and ensure that where there is a reasonable
exposure to the project effective mitigation strategies are documented
and implemented.
Other areas of risk may include:

Ta b l e 5.1   Example risk areas

Assets Equipment People/Staffing Resource and


Behaviour Engineering Partners Contracts
Capability Finance Planning Safety
Client IT Procurement Schedule
Commercial/ Infrastructure Property Security
Contracts Innovation Political/Country Shutdown
Competition Legal and Project Social/Ethical
Construction Regulatory Management Subcontractors
Currency Logistics Quality Technical
Delivery Management Recruitment Terrorism
Design Manufacturing Reporting Testing
Economic Operations Reputation Vendors
174 20:20 Project Management

Risk identification techniques


There is a variety of risk identification techniques available to the project man-
ager and we will look at some of them here.

Brainstorming
Brainstorming is a commonly used technique in project risk management
and is a great way of capturing a good quantity of risks in a relatively short
space of time. It also is a good method for raising enthusiasm amongst the
project team and can be used to engage stakeholders in the risk management
process.
How it works is fairly simple. You need to gather a group of people with
the necessary mix of skills and knowledge and allow them to come up with as
many different risks to the project as possible. Based on the ideas of the other
participants you should have a good element of free association, with the
group members sparking off each other.
Of course, there is a downside to the method in that it can be weighted
in favour of the extrovert members of the group and therefore needs to be
controlled by a facilitator.

Nominal group technique (NGT )


One method that tries to prevent the attendant problems of brainstorming is
NGT, particularly the problems caused by the participants who like the sound
of their own voice. The way in which NGT commonly achieves this is through
the use of Post-it notes. Rather than shouting out their ideas the members
of the group will privately record their perceived risks to the project on the
aforementioned Post-it notes. The project manager then asks each of them to
nominate a unique risk event. While offsetting the impact of the extrovert
members of the team it does lose that element of free association present
in the brainstorming technique.

Interviews
As we know, it is often difficult to gather all of the project team in one place at
the same time. Through the use of interviews the project manager can gather
the risk information required without having to bring the team together. It is
like a one-to-one brainstorm with the interviewer acting as a facilitator. The
advantage to this method is that some people are more comfortable in a one-
to-one situation. The main disadvantage is that you do not get the same cross-
fertilization of ideas.

Delphi technique
This method uses expert judgement to determine the possible risk events
on a project. The experts involved will generally be external to the project
organization and the technique is used when embarking on a project where
Risk and Your Project 175

there is little or no experience held within the organization on projects of this


type. To carry out the Delphi technique does not require the collocation of
the experts and can be carried out remotely. The experts will be sent the
scope of the project and will be asked to come up with risks relating to the
scope. There will normally be several iterations as the analysis becomes
more detailed but this can be time consuming and there is a need for care
that you do not include too many iterations leading to drop-out from the
experts.

Strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats


(SWOT) analysis
SWOT analysis is a good method for identifying the areas of strength and
weakness within the project and from this the threats and opportunities that
may affect the project. In other words those things that expose the project to
risk. The main advantage of using SWOT is that it is a technique that is used in
other areas of organizations and is often used for dealing with issues. It is
therefore a technique that can be integrated with other business functions,

F i g u r e 5.9   SWOT analysis example

S I S
B
C A D
C R
Q P S

C T C T
z G M of G M
A A
G P G P
P T I
P A P A
D C D C
176 20:20 Project Management

like business development and marketing, both of which will frequently be


involved in the early phases of the project. This diagram shows the use of a
SWOT analysis grid. If you look at the last point in both the opportunities and
threats you will see that they are the same, ‘new distribution channels’. This
highlights the fact that even if there is an opportunity it will have a possibly
negative impact as well.

Checklists
The checklist is used as a detailed aide-memoire, utilizing lessons learned
from previous projects. By looking at previous projects we are able to identify
risk events that have occurred, as many risks are common to the environment
within which an organization operates. We also know that although projects
can be defined as a unique endeavour it is common for projects carried out by
an organization to have similarities. It is important that you do not use the
checklist technique on its own, as slavish observance to it will mean that you
will fail to identify the events that will be new to your current project. Therefore,
checklists should be used in conjunction with a more proactive risk identifica-
tion technique.

The risk register


One of the first priorities after risk identification is to record the identified risks
in a risk register or risk log. This will allow us to collate, examine and draw
general conclusions from the information gathered.

Risk fields
The information stored on each risk can be stored in fields. The fields used
to hold your risk information can be boundless. However, it is important
that the information held is useful, practical and is not too onerous in its
maintenance. Bearing in mind the need for brevity, a few suggested fields are
listed in Table 5.2.

Risk ownership
Identifying and documenting risk are essential to ensure project risks are
monitored, controlled and responses monitored and measured. However, it is
essential that the risks identified are allocated ownership. By allocating an
owner to a risk, they then become accountable for that risk or risks and it is
then their job to ensure that the relevant actions associated with that risk are
carried out and documented. It is of no benefit to the project or the business
if the risk management process is carried out but no ownership is allocated to
ensure the relevant actions are implemented executed. There may be several
people involved in the ownership of a risk ie there may be someone who will
be involved in developing a risk response and then someone else will carry
out the necessary actions related to that response.
Risk and Your Project 177

Ta b l e 5.2   Example risk record

Reference This should be a unique identifier assigned to each risk.

Description of This field should hold a comprehensive description of the risk


Risk and the issues involved.

Responsibility Who is responsible for overseeing the risk and ensuing appropriate
action is taken to minimize the exposure to the project.

Category It is a good idea to highlight which category a risk is assigned to.


This can be useful for examining the areas in the project that are
most affected by risk. Category fields may link to the RBS (Risk
Breakdown Structure) or may be generic. Ie Commercial,
Financial, People, Management, Processes etc.

Impact The impact can be held in a number of ways from, in it’s simplest
form, a straightforward High, Medium, Low categorization
to a more sophisticated method which will break-out various
components, eg cost, time and quality, individually.
●● Cost – The cost can be divided into actual values or percentage
values representing change on budgets, eg a high risk could
be 50% increase on the budget or a £5 million one-off cost
●● Time – This would generally be the delay in the schedule ie
how late will the project be if this risk occurs
●● Quality – Quality is a more difficult category to define as
quality is generally more of a soft issue. In general this will
be the repository for all risks, which cannot be defined in
terms of either cost or time. Ie “The tool keeps breaking
down due to poor maintenance procedures”. However, be
careful because most can be translated into terms of cost
or time that is in the main a better way of categorizing them.

Probability The probability of the likelihood of the risk occurring. Similar


to the Impact they can be ranked in a simple format or more
complex using weightings etc.

Phase The Phase is where in the Project Life Cycle the risk is going
to occur. This is mainly useful on long projects where it can give
you an indication how long you have to implement mitigation
strategies. In addition it allows risks that apply to a particular
phase that is complete to be closed out.

Risk Response This information is key and should hold information regarding the
mitigation actions that are to be implemented, who is responsible
for them and when it should be carried out.
178 20:20 Project Management

F i g u r e 5.10   Example risk register

Risk Register Project: Office Relocation

Probability
Project Exposure Action
Ref No. Description of Risk Responsible Category of Risk Response
Impact Pxl Date
Occurance

1.1.1 Delay of materials Project Client 2 3 6 Work with client to bring delivery 17th
on site from client Manager date forward and continually January
monitor delivery dates
1.1.2 IT hardware Procurement Technical 3 1 3 Start procurement process as 14th
required obsolete soon as project expenditure has February
been approved ensuring
minimum spec is defined

Stage 2: risk impact analysis


This stage is concerned with assessing the impact of a risk. The aim is to
identify those risks in our project risk register that will have a significant
detrimental impact on the project. If the impact is insignificant then we do not
need to manage it, and can remove it from the project risk register. Similarly,
if it does not have a detrimental effect, then again we should not spend effort
monitoring it.

Impact type
It is often easier to analyse the effects of a risk occurring if we concentrate on
the primary impact types. These primary types are:
●● time; ●● safety;
●● cost; ●● environment;
●● quality; ●● reputation.
Risk and Your Project 179

Each of these can have an impact on the project alone, or at a more strategic
level. The purpose of this step is to define the impact type of each risk in
order that we can assess the impact in the context of project and business
constraints.

Impact estimate
Estimate the relative impact which each risk may have on the project. There
are several simple yet effective approaches to quantifying the impact:
●● A high/medium/low matrix, where the levels of impact are defined for
each of the types described above.
For example, cost impact may be defined as >$1 million for high; between
$100,000 and $1 million for medium, etc. However, these figures would not
be relevant for a project that only lasted four weeks at a cost of $50,000.
In many cases it is more reasonable to apply a percentage figure to represent
the level of impact, eg 70 per cent, 10 per cent. This method can be more
useful than the high/medium/low matrix in that it allows for a greater level of
detail in definition. This allows the same categorization to be used for different
projects as it does not apply hard figures. However, some people find percent-
ages very abstract and also tend to confuse them with probabilities of the
risk occurring.

Ta b l e 5.3   Risk impact estimation

Cost Time Quality Safety

High > $1M > 4 Months > 50 Defect > 10 LTIs

Medium $100K–$1M 1–4 Months 20–50 Defect 5–10 LTIs

Low < $100K < 1 Month < 20 Defect < 5 LTIs

F i g u r e 5.11   Risk impact estimation


180 20:20 Project Management

In addition, it is often possible to relate all risks to an ultimate financial cost,


should they occur. This method is useful in considering project cost contingencies
but undermines the importance of safety and environmental risks.
As discussed earlier, some of the softer categories may be difficult to
define, eg quality, safety, environment. When thinking in terms of these
categories many people will use their knowledge and experience and go with
‘gut feel’.

Stage 3: probability analysis


Every risk carries with it an uncertainty, ie a probability that it may occur.
Probabilities are usually expressed as percentages. If a risk has a 100 per cent
probability of occurring then it is not a risk, it is a certainty. It may still be an
undesirable event, but nonetheless, we know it will happen so it should be
accommodated in the project plans. Similarly, if a risk has a zero probability of
occurring, then we can ignore it – it won’t happen. Most of the time we can
ignore risks that have a close to zero probability – except when the impact is
extremely significant.
This stage is concerned with assessing the probability of a risk occurring.
The stage will be revisited at each risk review point to reassess the probability
of each risk in our project risk register.

Estimating probability
There are a number of ways to produce an estimate of probability of a risk
occurring, such as a high/medium/low matrix, where three levels of probability
are defined:

Ta b l e 5.4   Risk probability estimation

Category Definition

High Likely to occur

Medium Possibility of occurrence

Low Unlikely to occur

For example, high probability may be defined as ‘likely to occur on most


projects of this type’; ‘has been known to occur on some similar projects’ for
medium, etc.
Risk and Your Project 181

Use percentage figure to represent the level of probability, eg 70 per cent.


This method can be more useful than the high/medium/low matrix in that it
allows for a greater level of detail in definition. While the absolute values may
not be scientifically based, this method does allow for better ranking of risk
probabilities.
This method can be further adapted to take account of the distribution of
views expressed as to the level of probability. The basic idea is to obtain a set
of estimated probability values from people who have some knowledge and
experience of the type of risk. Once the values have all been submitted
the average is calculated. The most optimistic (Eo) is added to four times
the average value (Ea) which is added to the most pessimistic value (Ep). The
resulting figure is then divided by six to provide the estimate (PE).
PE = (Eo + 4 Ea + Ep)/6

Stage 4: risk exposure


Having performed the previous steps it is now possible to automatically
produce an exposure catalogue.
The threat of, or exposure to, any risk is a combination of the impact it
would have, and the probability of it occurring.
The question is always: is a high impact, low probability risk more or less
desirable than a low impact, high probability one?
Risk exposure calculations are intended to resolve this issue. Once we have
calculated the relative exposure that the project has against the list of identified
risks, we can choose the ones that present most threat, and concentrate our
efforts on reducing and controlling them. The exposure catalogue gives us a
ranked order of risks, with high exposure risks at the top and lower exposure
at the bottom.
Once we have selected and ordered our risks we can decide on the extent
to which we expend time and money managing them.

Exposure calculations
There is a simple method for determining exposure to a risk. By taking the
product of the estimated impact the risk would have and the estimated
probability of it occurring we have a relative measure of exposure to that risk.
Exposure = ∫ impact, probability
If impact was measured in cost, then the exposure calculation can provide a
basis for estimating financial contingency in a project.
If impact and/or probability have been defined in non-numeric values, then
an exposure matrix is the best way to represent the information. By plotting
all risks in the matrix, each cell in the matrix will therefore define the relative
level of exposure to each risk.
182 20:20 Project Management

In its simplest form the exposure matrix may be used as seen here.
However, it does not separate out quality, cost or time and in addition ranks
high probability, medium impact risks in the same category as high impact,
high probability. This may be suitable for some projects but generally a greater
degree of quantification and differentiation is required.

F i g u r e 5.12   Example Boston square

RBS (risk breakdown structure)


In the previous sections we have discussed risk identification and quantifica-
tion. Although all very valid methods, the outcomes that are produced tend
to be a linear and an isolated representation of each risk and do not really help
with identifying the areas within a project that are most susceptible to risk. In
the same way as a WBS (work breakdown structure) is recognized as a way
of presenting project work in a hieratical, structured and manageable format,
a RBS (risk breakdown structure) can be used in a similar way to represent
project risks.
Risk data can be organized and structured, to provide a standard presenta-
tion of risks which will help to facilitate understanding, communication and
management of these risks.
Following the pattern of a WBS, the RBS should be defined in a similar
way to provide a source orientated grouping of risks that defines the total risk
exposure of the project. Each descending level should represent an increased
Risk and Your Project 183

detail definition of the sources of risk. The RBS is therefore a hierarchical


structure of the potential risk sources. As the WBS provides a basis for many
aspects of the project management process, so the RBS can also be used to
structure and guide the risk management process.
A generic RBS is shown below.

F i g u r e 5.13   Generic risk breakdown structure (RBS)

Project Risk

Management Commercial
Technical Risk External Risk
Risk Risk

Project
Scope Definition Contractual Legislation
Management

Requirements
Project Risk Project Risk
Organization Procurement
Project Risk Project Risk
Competitors
Definition

Technical
Project Risk Communication
Project Risk Subcontractors
Project Risk Project
Political
Risk
Processes

Design HS&E Client Pressure Groups

How to use the risk breakdown structure


Once the RBS has been defined for the project it can be used in a variety of
ways. The main uses are highlighted in the following sections.

Risk identification
The upper levels of the RBS can be used as a prompt list in a similar way as
key words were discussed in the previous module. As before each element
of the RBS can be brainstormed encouraging participants to identify risks
under each of the RBS levels. It also allows for specific risk interviews, where
structured risk analysis can be achieved by interviewing individuals responsible
184 20:20 Project Management

for each of the main areas represented in the RBS and subsequently breaking
each down.

Risk checklist
As with the WBS, the RBS is a useful tool for highlighting areas of risk that
may have been omitted. By facilitating a brief brainstorm of the overall project
the risks should then be placed within the relevant risk area. If a risk does not
have a home, it is possible that a key area of project risk has been omitted
from the RBS.
Similarly, it can be used in the opposite manner by checking to see if risks
exist within each of the RBS categories. This will then reveal possible gaps or
blind spots within the risk identification process. This should then provide an
assurance that all the common risk sources have been explored.

Risk assessment
Identified risks can then be categorized by their source by allocating them to
the various elements of the RBS. This then allows areas of concentration of
risk within the RBS to be identified, potentially indicating which are the most
significant sources of risk to the project.
This can be done by adding up the number of risks within each area, however,
it can be misleading as it does not take into account the severity of each risk.
A more effective measure is to allocate a score to each risk based on the
exposure to the project. This can be done in a number of ways as discussed
before. This will then give a quantifiable value to each of the risk sources. In
addition a percentage of the total can also be used to allow a comparison
within each area. This is illustrated in the example below.

F i g u r e 5.14   Example risk breakdown structure (RBS)

Project Risk

Technical (37) Organization & People (54)

Equipment Unavailable (6) No Project Manager (12)

Comms too slow (12) Users don’t use system (6)

PC out of spec (9) Users threatened (15)

Supporting S/W not inst. (5) No ownership (21)

No installation personnel (4)

Too complicated for users (6)

Footprint too large (2)

Lack of back-up facilities (3)


Risk and Your Project 185

Risk reporting
The RBS can also be used to roll up risk information on an individual project
to a higher level for reporting to senior management, as well as drilling
down into the detail required to report on project team actions. Reports to
senior management may include total numbers of risks or total risk score
in each of the higher level RBS area. Project teams can also be notified of
risks within their part of the project by selecting relevant RBS areas for each
team member.

Lessons learned
One of the most important aspects of the RBS is it can provide a consistent
insight to the project risks that have occurred after the project is completed.
An RBS analysis can reveal risks which occur frequently, allowing generic
risks to be recorded for future reference, together with effective responses.
If routine analysis of post-project reviews indicates that a particular risk is
occurring repeatedly, then preventative responses can be developed and
implemented.

Stage 5: mitigation strategy


It is often not feasible to attempt to manage all risks remaining on the project
risk register at any one time. Thus, it is important to select a manageable subset
of the top grouping from the exposure catalogue to perform risk mitigation
and actively monitor.
This stage firstly identifies all risks that are considered a threat to the
next stage of the project. It defines the most appropriate mitigation plans to
minimize the probability and/or their impact. In essence we will attempt to
shift all of the risks identified on the exposure catalogue from the top right-
hand corner (high risk, high impact) to the bottom left (low risk, low impact).
However, it should be borne in mind that this will not always be possible.

Mitigation strategy
There are a number of ways to reduce the exposure of a risk. The purpose
of this step is to define the most appropriate and cost-effective mitigation
strategy for each risk remaining on the exposure catalogue.
The activities of this stage are ordered so the most desirable mitigation
strategies are considered first, working down to the unavoidable options. In
general, subject to cost considerations, mitigation should be conducted in the
following sequence:
186 20:20 Project Management

F i g u r e 5.15   Risk mitigation process

ification

●● Risk removal: Is it possible to remove the causes of risk by, for


example, changing the project plan or changing specs, eg electric
pump for diesel? It is important to remember that if you change the
specification you will generate a new set of risks related to the new
specification.
●● Risk transference: Is it possible to transfer the risk away from the
project, eg insurance, pass on risk via contractual terms to client or
subcontractor? The problem with trying to transfer a risk by subcontracting
is that if the risk is of a high severity the subcontractor may not be
willing to take the job on.
●● Risk reduction: Is it possible to reduce the exposure of a risk (reduce
probability and/or impact)?
●● Manage: If none of these options is available, then we must ensure
the remaining risks are carefully managed, to ensure early detection
should they occur so contingencies can be enacted. The reason for
accepting a risk may be that the cost to mitigate may be higher than
putting a risk mitigation strategy in place. It is a method that would
not be used for risks with a high impact to the project.
Risk and Your Project 187

Some mitigation strategies will introduce secondary risks. These will need to
be fully evaluated. Thus there may be a number of iterations back through
Stages 1 to 3 for some of the more complex risks.

Stage 6: risk monitoring and review


Risk monitoring is carried out by ensuring that adequate reporting mechanisms
are put in place.
The task is to ensure that the risks are adequately monitored so timely
action can take place. It should be noted that it is equally important to identify
both if a risk occurs and if it does not. If a risk did not occur, it does not indicate
that the analysis was wrong. Often the opposite is the case – it indicates that
the mitigation strategy was effective.
Monitoring takes place at two levels:

●● Proactive monitoring, where we continuously assess the effectiveness


of our mitigation strategy for each risk, ie is the mitigation we have put
in place being effective in containing the risk?
●● Reactive monitoring, where a risk has occurred, and we now have to
take positive – but hopefully anticipated – action to deal with it through
contingencies.

This stage ensures effective and frequent reviews are carried out, and where
necessary appropriate action is triggered.

Risk reviews
Risk reviews should be carried out at regular intervals. The purposes of risk
reviews are:

●● to identify which risks have occurred during the period under review,
and whether or not the contingency was/is adequate;
●● to identify which risks could have occurred during the period,
but did not;
●● to monitor the effectiveness of mitigation on risk that are on-going;
●● to review risks that might occur during the next period and confirm
that the mitigation strategy is still appropriate;
●● to identify any new risks that might occur and instigate the necessary
analysis (iterate through Stages 1 to 4);
●● to keep the risk records up to date.
188 20:20 Project Management

Risk evaluation review


Risk management, like any management discipline, relies heavily on experience
– although some elements can be ‘automated’ or reduced to mathematical
modelling, prediction based on past performance is still the most reliable
source of data.
At the beginning, and as the project progresses, this risk analysis and
man­agement method aims to capture the decision-making processes and the
conditions that existed in bringing about the elimination or realization of a risk.
This stage, carried out after the project has been completed, is designed to
review the effectiveness of the risk analysis techniques and risk management
process employed. If we successfully avoided a risk occurring then the
procedures put in place on this project need to be made available to others.
If our analysis was inaccurate or our mitigation strategy was ineffective, then
we need to analyse why, and ensure the mistakes are not repeated in the future.
The purpose of this stage is to assess how well the risk management
procedures operated. A number of questions need to be addressed:
●● Did risks occur that were not identified? If so, what mechanism
could be put in place to increase the chances of identification
next time?
●● Were risks identified, but inaccurately analysed? If so, what mechanisms
can be put in place to improve both the impact analysis and probability
estimates?
●● Was the risk identified too late, ie did we fail to identify the fact that
a risk had begun to occur in a timely manner? If so, how can we
improve our detection procedures?
●● Were our mitigation strategies effective? If not, why not?
●● Was the level of risk analysis and monitoring appropriate? Did we
spend too much/too little time on risk management? How can we
improve the effectiveness of the analysis? How can we improve our
techniques for exposure catalogue cut-offs?
Finally, the corporate risk register should be updated with the information from
the project’s risk register so that on future projects, the corporate risk register
can be used as a reference for risks which were analysed on previous projects.
As time progresses, the corporate risk register becomes a valuable resource
for the company.

Quantitative risk management processes


Decision tree analysis
Decision trees are excellent tools for helping you to choose between several
courses of action. They provide a highly effective structure within which you
can lay out options and investigate the possible outcomes of choosing those
Risk and Your Project 189

options. They also help you to form a balanced picture of the risks and rewards
associated with each possible course of action.

Drawing a decision tree


You start a decision tree with a decision that you need to make. Draw a small
square to represent this towards the left of a large piece of paper.
From this box draw out lines towards the right for each possible solution,
and write that solution along the line. Keep the lines apart as far as possible
so that you can expand your thoughts.
At the end of each line, consider the results. If the result of taking that
decision is uncertain, draw a small circle. If the result is another decision that
you need to make, draw another square. Squares represent decisions, and
circles represent uncertain outcomes. Write the decision or factor above the
square or circle. If you have completed the solution at the end of the line, just
leave it blank.
Starting from the new decision squares on your diagram, draw out lines
representing the options that you could select. From the circles draw lines
representing possible outcomes. Again make a brief note on the line saying
what it means. Keep on doing this until you have drawn out as many of the
possible outcomes and decisions as you can see leading on from the original
decisions.
An example of a typical decision tree is shown below.

F i g u r e 5.16   Example decision tree


190 20:20 Project Management

Simulation example

As part of our office relocation it has been decided it may also be an appropriate
time to modify or replace our outdated project delivery system. There are number of
options open to us:
●● Do we buy a new product and get it customized fully to our needs or do the bare
minimum?
●● Do we keep the product we have and tweak it so it runs a little more efficiently
or add new functionality?

We have represented these decisions in the decision tree below.

F i g u r e 5.17   Simulation project decision tree decisions

Evaluating your decision tree


Now you are ready to evaluate the decision tree. This is where you can work
out which option has the greatest worth to you. Start by assigning a cash
value or score to each possible outcome. Estimate how much you think it
would be worth to you if that outcome came about.
Next look at each circle (representing an uncertainty point) and estimate
the probability of each outcome. If you use percentages, the total must come
Risk and Your Project 191

F i g u r e 5.18   Simulation project: decision tree evaluation

d £500,000
Goo
0.4
nt 0.4 Moderate
pme 0.2 £25,000
lo
e Deve Poor
ensiv
preh £1,000
Com

m
ste d £500,000
Sy
Quic
k De Goo
y velo 0.1
er pme
nt 0.2 Moderate
iv
el 0.7 £25,000
D Poor
PM
ew £1,000
N

d £200,000
M
od Goo
ify 0.3
Ex 0.4 Moderate
s 0.3 £10,000
is tion Poor
tin e Op
g nc
Enha £3,000

d £10,000
Sam
e Op Goo
tions 0.6
0.4
Poor
£1,000

to 100 per cent at each circle. If you use fractions, these must add up to 1.
If you have data on past events you may be able to make rigorous estimates
of the probabilities. Otherwise write down your best guess.

Calculating tree values


Once you have worked out the value of the outcomes, and have assessed the
probability of the outcomes of uncertainty, it is time to start calculating the
values that will help you make your decision.
Start on the right-hand side of the decision tree, and work back towards
the left. As you complete a set of calculations on a node (decision square or
uncertainty circle), all you need to do is to record the result. You can ignore all
the calculations that lead to that result from then on.

Calculating the value of uncertain outcome nodes


Where you are calculating the value of uncertain outcomes (circles on the
diagram), do this by multiplying the value of the outcomes by their probability.
The total for that node of the tree is the total of these values.
192 20:20 Project Management

In this example in, the value for ‘new system, comprehensive development’ is:

Ta b l e 5.5   Simulation project decision tree values

0.4 (probability good outcome) x £500,000 (value) = £200,000

0.4 (probability moderate outcome) x £25,000 (value) = £10,000

0.2 (probability poor outcome) x £1,000 (value) = £200

+ £210,200

The following figure shows the calculation of uncertain outcome nodes:

F i g u r e 5.19   Simulation project decision tree node values

d £500,000
210,200 Goo
0.4
nt 0.4 Moderate
pme 0.2 £25,000
lo
e Deve Poor
ensiv
preh £1,000
Com

m
ste d £500,000
Sy
Quic
k De 55,700 Goo
y velo 0.1
er pme
nt 0.2 Moderate
iv
el 0.7 £25,000
D Poor
PM
ew £1,000
N

d £200,000
M
od 64,900 Goo
ify 0.3
Ex 0.4 Moderate
s 0.3 £10,000
is tion Poor
tin e Op
g nc
Enha £3,000

d £10,000
Sam
e Op 6,400 Goo
tions 0.6
0.4
Poor
£1,000

Note: The values calculated for each node are shown in the boxes.
Risk and Your Project 193

Calculating the value of decision nodes


When you are evaluating a decision node, write down the cost of each option
along each decision line. Then subtract the cost from the outcome value that
you have already calculated. This will give you a value that represents the benefit
of that decision.
When you have calculated these decision benefits, choose the option that
has the largest benefit, and take that as the decision made. This is the value
of that decision node.
The following example shows the decision node calculations.

F i g u r e 5.20   Simulation project decision tree results

In this example, the benefit we previously calculated for ‘new system, compre­
hensive development’ was £210,200. We estimate the future cost of this
approach as £75,000. This gives a net benefit of £135,200.
The net benefit of ‘new system, quick development’ was £15,700. On this
branch we therefore choose the most valuable option, ‘new system, compre-
hensive development’, and allocate this value to the decision node.

The result
By applying this technique we can see that the best option is to develop a new
product. It is worth much more to us to take our time and get the product
194 20:20 Project Management

right, than to rush the development. It is better just to improve our existing
system (£49,900) than to botch up a new system (£15,700) even though it
costs us less.

Key points
Decision trees provide an effective method of decision making because they:
●● clearly lay out the problem so that all options can be challenged;
●● allow us to analyse fully the possible consequences of a decision;
●● provide a framework to quantify the values of outcomes and the
probabilities of achieving them;
●● help us to make the best decisions on the basis of existing information
and best guesses.

Monte Carlo simulation


The main objective of creating a risk model for our project is to introduce some
realism into our costs and our duration. This can be achieved by estimating
a range of possible values for our costs and durations.
The simplest and most common range of distribution is the triangular
distribution where values of minimum, most likely and maximum are selected.
The probability of any value increases in value from the minimum to the most
likely and reduces from the most likely to the maximum.
If you draw this distribution out you get a triangle shape, hence its name.
Let’s consider one of the activities in the office relocation project. Activity B
was ‘Procure soundproof booths’. When we look at this activity we will find
there are several items making up this procurement activity. The items to be
procured are shown in the table below along with their individual estimated
costs.

Ta b l e 5.6   Example costs

Item Cost

Soundproof Booths (60 @ £1,000) £60,000

Floor Fixings (240 @ £50) £12,000

Corner Units (180 @ £20) £3,600

Lighting (60 @ £25) £1,500

Electrical Sockets (120 @ £10) £1,200

Total £78,300
Risk and Your Project 195

Let’s assume this estimate was undertaken without any formal quotes but
was estimated on a ‘gut feel’ basis. However, we needed to have a rough
estimate quickly for the PM’s first budget submission.
Many industries use a rule of thumb, such as:
●● project estimate based on actual price +/–10 per cent;
●● project estimate with no supporting data +1–20 per cent.
Using a Monte Carlo simulation, we can get a better idea of what the likely
cost could be, and what we could expect to pay.
In the example we are only going to include the risk of estimating uncertainty,
ie we will exclude specific risks, such as:
●● You decide the booths need to be better quality than originally
specified.
●● Electrical sockets now need to be bought in gangs of 4 instead of 2.
Our next step is to consider each of the line items in our estimate and apply
a range of possible costs. As we are only considering triangular distributions,
this will be in the form of a minimum, most likely and maximum cost.

Minimum, maximum and most likely


When entering minimum and maximum values they should be extremes. Let’s
look at the purchase of the soundproof booths. Our procurement department
staff have a good relationship with some suppliers and may be able to pur-
chase them for a discounted price of £40,000. However, if their stock levels
are low they may need to utilize another supplier who tends to sell at the high
end for a premium, therefore the costs could be as high as £100,000. If we
are confident with our initial estimate the most likely should remain as before
at £60,000.

F i g u r e 5.21   Example cost distribution

From the shape of the triangle you can tell that we are obviously expecting
to pay more than our original cost.
196 20:20 Project Management

If we apply this principle to the rest of the procurement items we can see the
results below.

Ta b l e 5.7   Example cost distributions

Item Cost Minimum Most Likely Maximum

Soundproof Booths £60,000 £40,000 £60,000 100,000


(60 @ £1,000)

Floor Fixings £12,000 £8,000 £12,000 £15,000


(240 @ £50)

Corner Units £3,600 £2,000 £3,600 £4,000


(180 @ £20)

Lighting (60 @ £25) £1,500 £1,000 £1,500 £2,000

Electrical Sockets £1,200 £1,000 £1,200 £1,500


(120 @ £10)

Total £78,300 £52,000 £78,300 £122,500

So now we have a very simple risk model which only considers the risk of
estimating uncertainty.
We can now apply a simulation tool to the costs we have entered. The
simulation tool will randomly run through thousands of values within the range
specified in the distribution model.
Due to the shape of the distribution, values close to the most likely are
more likely to be selected than those near the minimum or maximum. After
around 3,000–5,000 iterations, the values randomly produced will come near
to the defined triangular distribution.
Table 5.8 is an example of just five iterations and the randomly selected
values.
From this simple example it can be seen that there is quite a range of
possible costs. By running thousands of iterations, the computer will build a
picture of all, or at least most, of the possible outcomes and the percentage
likelihood of each outcome being achieved.
We will now plot the results of just the soundproof booths. The differing
costs are shown along the X-axis and the bars show the number of iterations
on the Y-axis which indicates the amount of times a particular cost has been
selected. As we would expect, the most selected is the most likely cost
(£60,000) and the total results reflect the triangular distribution we selected.
Risk and Your Project 197

Ta b l e 5.8   Example cost Monte Carlo iterations

Item Run

1 2 3 4 5 n

Soundproof Booths 45 100 90 70 65 X


(60 @ £1,000)

Floor Fixings (240 @ £50) 10 8 12 15 14 X

Corner Units (180 @ £20) 3 2 3.5 4 2.5 X

Lighting (60 @ £25) 1 1.5 1.8 1.2 2 X

Electrical Sockets 1.5 1.3 1 1.1 1.4 X


(120 @ £10)

Total (K) 60.5 112.8 108.5 91.3 84.9

Simulation result for the cost of the soundproof booths

F i g u r e 5.22   Example Monte Carlo simulation results

When we combine all the line items (the fixing units, corner units, lighting and
sockets) we get a much smoother chart like the one shown overleaf.
198 20:20 Project Management

It is sometimes more beneficial to show the cumulative distributions as a


percentage. Once this is done we can show the results as per the graph below.

F i g u r e 5.23   Example cost probabilities

1400 100
1300
90
1200
1100 80

Cummulative Percentage
1000 70
Number of Iterations

900
60
800
700 50
600
40
500
400 30
300 20
200
10
100
0 0
52 55 57 60 62 65 67 70 72 75 78 80 83 85 88 90 93 95 98 100103106108 111113 116 118 122
Cost (K)

The S-curve now shows the probability of each cost being achieved.

F i g u r e 5.24   Example probability of achieving planned costs

1400 100
1300
90
1200
1100 80
Cummulative Percentage

1000 70
Number of Iterations

900
60
800
700 50
600
40
500
400 30
300 20
200
10
100
0 0
52 55 57 60 62 65 67 70 72 75 78 80 83 85 88 90 93 95 98 100103106108 111113 116 118 122
Cost (K)
Risk and Your Project 199

It can be deduced from the graph above that there is only a 38 per cent
chance or less of us meeting our original estimate of £77,100. Realistically we
should be using the P60 (60 per cent) or greater as our new estimate, which
is £84,000.
We can apply the exact same techniques to the duration of our network to
gain a more realistic schedule.

Distributions
So far we have only talked about three point estimates: a worst case, a most
likely case and a best case. However, there are numerous other ‘distributions’
available to the professional statistician. In this book, we will only cover those
that are likely to be most applicable to risk analysis exercises.

Uniform distributions
Uniform distributions are used when the cost or duration could be anywhere
between two points, and you don’t have a clue what the most likely value is.
The simulation tool will, on each iteration, randomly select a value between
the two extremes.

F i g u r e 5.25   Uniform distribution

Uniform

Discrete distributions
Discrete distributions are used when you have a set of discrete values that
could be selected, like in an either–or situation. This can occur when you have
a risk that may or may not occur. If it doesn’t occur, there will be no cost
impact; however, if it does occur it will cost you a flat fee of £100,000.
Percentage likelihoods can be attached to each value; for example, there
might be an 80 per cent chance of the risk costing zero and a 20 per cent
chance that the risk will cost £100,000. The percentages when summed
should be equal to 100.
200 20:20 Project Management

F i g u r e 5.26   Discrete distribution

Discrete

Custom distributions
Custom distributions can be used when there is no specific data on which to
base your model and/or the data cannot easily be fitted to one of the standard
statistical distributions.
Example: A pipeline has to be laid in a particularly hazardous stretch of
water. The pipe-laying vessel can only work if the wave heights are less than
1.5 metres high. Weather statistics are available and give the probability of
particular wave heights for each month. An example for June is shown below:

Ta b l e 5.9   Custom distribution data

Wave height <0.5 0.5 – 1 1 – 1.5 1.5 – 2 >2


in metres

Probability 20 25 40 10 5

Cumulative probability 20 45 85 95 100

This data can be added straight into the model as a custom distribution
(Figure 5.27).
Risk and Your Project 201

F i g u r e 5.27   Custom distribution

Custom

The values are entered as shown in Table 5.9. When sampling, the simula-
tion will treat individual elements in the table as a mini-uniform distribution,
eg 40 per cent of the sample should lie between 1 and 1.5 metres, and will be
evenly spread between these extremes.

Normal distributions
Normal distributions are bell-shaped curves which tend to represent many
natural events, such as the spread of results during an examination. Normal
distributions are not used very frequently but are defined as a function of the
mean value, and the standard deviation. One problem with using the normal
distribution is that the data we wish to enter is skewed towards the pessimistic
values. The normal distribution is, by definition, symmetrical. We also have to
take account of the possibility that negative values may be sampled, which is
usually not sensible if we are talking about costs or durations.

F i g u r e 5.28   Normal distribution

Normal
202 20:20 Project Management

Things to consider with risk and your


project
This is not a ‘one-off’ exercise
Most project managers consider risk at the start of a project. It is even common
for a risk management workshop to be run, a risk management plan developed,
and then the results carefully filed for review after the project. However, risk
management is a continuous process for the professional project manager.
It is important to ensure that risk is reassessed at every stage of the project
life cycle, when any major change occurs, when a risk occurs, or otherwise
at regular intervals throughout the project. Risks will disappear and new
risks will emerge. Better risk mitigation strategies will become apparent. It is
essential that risk management is ‘live’ throughout every stage of a project
life cycle.

Involve anyone relevant and use a facilitator


My experience has been that the wider the group, particularly in risk identifica-
tion, the better. Selecting workshop participants from a diverse range of back-
grounds, roles and experience will provide a better list of risks to examine. The
following steps of the process quickly focus minds on the important risks –
and again, using those with previous experience or knowledge, will help find
the best risk mitigation strategies. It is also wise to use a facilitator for these
workshops or exercises as they can concentrate on the risk process, leaving
participants to focus on the best strategies.

Monte Carlo or bust?


Monte Carlo method risk analysis (or probabilistic analysis) is an incredibly
useful tool if there is good historical data (or ‘norms’) and an experience
practitioner involved. In these cases the technique can be highly sophisticated
and give meaningful cost and schedule predictions. However, a lack of sound
historical data or experience in its application can lead to meaningless outputs,
so please beware.

If you take only one thing from this book


It should be risk management. It is the single most common failure of projects
– either failure to identify or to mitigate against a risk.
Risk and Your Project 203

Conclusion
We have learned in this chapter how to put together a risk management plan
which can be used and reviewed throughout the project. Following the simple
steps of risk analysis is not complicated but is rarely done methodically or
regularly enough in projects. Understanding the risks in a project leads to a
better-informed project team and project stakeholders. There is less chance of
a ‘surprise’ that derails the project and – above all – the project manager can
lead their project honestly and openly in the full knowledge that the risks are
known and mitigated against wherever possible.
This chapter on risk is referenced through the chapters covering the project
life cycle as it is relevant at all times.

C ASE S T UDY   Managing risk the Mott MacDonald way

About Mott MacDonald


Mott MacDonald’s £1 billion business spans 140 countries with over 14,000 staff working in
all sectors from transport, energy, buildings, water and the environment to health and
education, industry and communications. The company’s breadth of skills, sectors, services
and global reach makes it one of the world’s top players in delivering management,
engineering and development solutions for public and private sector customers from 30
centres throughout the UK and offices in some 50 countries across Europe, Asia and the
Pacific, the Middle East, Africa and the Americas.
Mott MacDonald adopts a holistic approach to project development using its complete
spectrum of skills across all stages of the development cycle – right from preparing the
business case and advising on related issues to devising and implementing the solution and
providing ongoing support.
Mott MacDonald’s portfolio ranges from supporting major infrastructure projects in
London such as Crossrail and Terminal 2 at Heathrow to programme managing the US$7.3
billion East Side Access project in Manhattan, New York and designing and managing
delivery of India’s largest-ever water transmission and treatment project.

Project and programme management the Mott MacDonald way


Mott MacDonald has a developed and published methodology for undertaking project
or programme management commissions for customers. This recommended practice is
termed Pathfinder and is captured within a set of good practice manuals, as well as a body
of associated resources all hosted on an internal practice website.
The Pathfinder manuals which set out ‘the Mott MacDonald Way’ are aligned with
international best practice. The methodology is structured around the PMI PMBoK, ie the
five process groups of initiate, plan, execute, monitor and control and close.
204 20:20 Project Management

F i g u r e 5.29   Mott MacDonald’s pathfinder manual

Good Practice

Methods People

Training
PATHFINDER

Collaboration Marketing

Professional Bodies

F i g u r e 5.30   Mott MacDonald PMI-based project life cycle

P E

M C

This was a deliberate choice, which reflects the global reach of the company and the
wish to develop a methodology that was not seen to be a UK-centric approach. However,
the methodology has also taken account of both the APM body of knowledge and the
guidance given by OGC – for example, issues management (from APM) is included as is
the concept of gateway reviews (from OGC).
Pathfinder provides guidance on all components of good project and programme
management including risk management which is discussed further in the following section.

Managing risk the Mott MacDonald way


Whilst risk activities run throughout the Pathfinder life cycle – for example during the
initiate phase risk assessment helps the selection of options – it is at the planning stage
Risk and Your Project 205

that the effort accelerates. In the Pathfinder guidance the planning stage of the project life
cycle is of great importance, and practitioners are required to define clearly in a project (or
programme) management plan how they will undertake the necessary project activities.
This will often require the drafting of a specific risk management plan.
The guidance describes the purpose of the risk management plan, when it should be
done, by whom, what the inputs should be and tools and techniques that might be used.
It also provides guidance on the process of producing the plan through the use of a mind
map, which is reproduced below:

F i g u r e 5.31   Mott MacDonald risk management Mind Map


Risk Attitude

Roles and
Responsibilities Historical Data
1) Risk
Planning Cause and
Methodology Effect Diagrams

Other SWOT
Identification Analysis
Techniques
2) Risk Root Cause
Identification Risk Workshop Identification

Interviews Pre Definition


Risk Report Risks
Management Risk Register
Plan
3) Qualitative Plot Probability
Risk Analysis
Risk Matrix
Plot Impact

Sensitivity
Analysis

Expected
Monetary Value
4) Quantitative
Avoid
Risk Analysis Three Point
Estimating Transfer
Threats
Decision Tree Mitigate
Analysis

Maria-carb
Simulation

5) Response Exploit
Planning Opportunities
Association Use Share
6) Risk Enhance
Monitoring
and Control Section of Manager and
Control Project Value

The mind map acts as a checklist to help the skilled project manager decide what is
necessary and appropriate for risk management on his project – a shopping list from which
the manager can select based on professional judgement.
To illustrate how this works in practice a case study is now considered.
206 20:20 Project Management

Risk management on the Southern Region New Trains Programme (SRNTP)


As a result of the catastrophic UK rail accident at Clapham Junction in 1988 where
35 people lost their lives legislation was introduced which included the requirement to
retire the aged ‘slam door’ trains, due to their poor crash worthiness. The deadline for
implementation was December 2004.

F i g u r e 5.32   Original ‘slam door’ train

A fleet of over 2000 new vehicles was purchased, but their introduction required an
equivalent investment in rail infrastructure such as depots, power supplies, platforms etc.
Mott MacDonald was appointed programme manager for this £2.9 billion programme in
2003, a role which included risk management across the numerous stakeholders.
In this case, following review of the client’s risk policy, Mott MacDonald adopted a
risk management process with the following key elements from the Pathfinder mind map:
●● Risk planning. Early consultation was used to identify risk owners across the complex
stakeholder environment and to gain consensus on the risk methodology to be used.
Allocation of risk ownership is key to securing accountability.
●● Risk identification. A combination of risk workshops and one-to-one interviews was
used to help build the risk register. Previous risk registers were also reviewed to
minimize gaps and overlaps.
Risk and Your Project 207

F i g u r e 5.33   Replacement train

●● Qualitative risk assessment. Risks were assessed using a 5-by-5 matrix looking
qualitatively at impact and probability. The impact assessment considered both
time and cost. The risks were then mapped onto a probability impact matrix, which
provided direction on where greater levels of focus and energy should be directed.
208
208

20:20 Project Management


F i g u r e 5.34   Mott MacDonald example risk register

Risk register for 58. 2. RAS 5.1


Risk 9. Late vehicle delivery from Bombardier.
PRE MITIGATION POST MITIGATION
Score High 20
Status Active Probability Critical 80%
Owned By Mike Dickinson Cost Time Performance Cost Time Performance
Risk Leader Very Low High
Review Date 30 Mar 2005 Start Date 31 Dec 2003 Min 4 Weeks
Customer Aware Expiry Date Likely 8 Weeks
Customer Risk Ref Max 12 Weeks
Send Reminder Approved √
Risk Classification »Category 1: Delivery »Category 2: Delivery − Trains ACTIONS
»Risk Description: Vehicle manufacturers Bombardier fail to deliver Action 8. Ascertain current situation with manufacturers
vehicles to planned schedule − 376 delivery at risk as from
Dec 04 & again at March 05 »Owned By: Mike Dickinson
»Cause: Risk caused by manufacturer/sub-contractor delivery failure. »Status: Action complete
» Action Deadline: 4 Feb 2004
»Approved: Yes
» Action Description: Meetings with the manufacturers − Bombardier and Siemens − are required −
Siemens meeting required by 11th February − to be arranged by 4/2/02. This will identify current
production schedule and how they relate to the overall programme schedule. This action becomes
ongoing and will ascertain the actual level of this risk, for further RMA’s to be considered
Risk and Your Project 209

F i g u r e 5.35   Mott MacDonald risk capture


Top Schedule Risks Scoring >20
risk decisons Impact Matrix Pre-mitigation Time impacts of risks 173 Conflicting business drivers prevent
Scoring System: 1. SR NTP Scoring list possessions/works.
7 167,181 19 656,667 110 Failure to secure required access.
Criticial (×5)

Criticial (×5)
329 Reclaimed equipment proves unusable
(MC15)
38,178 9 32 114,174,669 329,504 Equipment earmarketed for refurbishment
and to be used at Eastleigh proves unusable,
High (×4)

High (×4)
takes longer than envisaged or a safety
case cannot be completed.
IMPACT RATINGS

661 124 49,168 504 Premature loss of resource. Planned


Medium (×3)

Medium (×3)
activities cannot be executed to schedule.
659 Failure to commission Vauxhall DC to
40,72 41,668 programme.
Vaxhall DC commissioning will not be
Low (×2)

Low (×2)
completed until Xmas 05 − risk impacting
now, no fallback in place to permit recovery.
13 12,505,562 121,161,660,676
667 Works in SWT area do not meet
Very Low (×1)

Very Low (×1)


programme. Activities currently in SWT area
may fail to meet programme schedule
Very Low (×1) Low (×2) Medium (×3) High (×4) Criticial (×5) and exceed budgets
PROBABILITY RATINGS Other New Risks This Period
Risk / oppertunities not rated and in time impacts:
102 None
Notes and Key see last page

●● Quantitative risk assessment. Risk software Predict! Risk Management System


(PRMS) was used to capture, manage and analyse the risks. This included use
of three-point estimates of cost impact and Monte Carlo analysis to generate a
cumulative distribution curve. This would be run at regular intervals to inform the
programme team on the levels of risk exposure across the various delivery elements
and the movement on this exposure month to month.

F i g u r e 5.36   Mott MacDonald risk exposure

PSU Programme Risk Exposure



100%
95%
90%
85%
80%
75%
70%
P10 = £40m
Confidence %

65%
60%
55% P50 = £57m
50%
45% P80 = £69m
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
£16,000,000,00
£18,000,000,00
£20,000,000,00
£22,000,000,00
£24,000,000,00
£26,000,000,00
£28,000,000,00
£30,000,000,00
£32,000,000,00
£34,000,000,00
£36,000,000,00
£38,000,000,00
£40,000,000,00
£42,000,000,00
£44,000,000,00
£46,000,000,00
£48,000,000,00
£50,000,000,00
£52,000,000,00
£54,000,000,00
£56,000,000,00
£58,000,000,00
£60,000,000,00
£62,000,000,00
£64,000,000,00
£66,000,000,00
£68,000,000,00
£70,000,000,00
£72,000,000,00
£74,000,000,00
£76,000,000,00
£78,000,000,00
£80,000,000,00
£82,000,000,00
£84,000,000,00
£86,000,000,00
£88,000,000,00
£90,000,000,00
£92,000,000,00
£94,000,000,00
£96,000,000,00
£98,000,000,00
£100,000,000,00
£102,000,000,00
£104,000,000,00
£106,000,000,00
£108,000,000,00

Min: £16,599,531.70 Maz: £40,375,342.02


Probability: 10% Cost impact
210 20:20 Project Management

●● Response planning. The use of the PRMS drove efficient allocation of responses,
both for the opportunity items as well as the threats. The tool also captures action
owners and timescales thus driving response planning.

F i g u r e 5.37   Mott MacDonald response planning


Opportunity 102. Opportunity for introducing re-generation braking.
PRE MITIGATION POST MITIGATION
Score Medium 10
Status Active Probability Critical 90%
Owned By Tim Lowe, lan Wearden Cost Time Performance Cost Time Performance
Risk Leader Low
Review Date 30 Mar 2005 Start Date Min
Customer Aware Expiry Date Likely
Customer Risk Ref Max
Send Reminder Approved 
Risk Classification » Category 1: Systems Integration ACTIONS
» Risk Description: There is an opportunity to implement re-gen Action 85. Ascertain Safety Case costs
braking across the network Owned By: Mike Dickinson
» Cause: Sponsor seeking to fund opportunity from programme Status: Action complete
savings – however, safety cases costs require considering. Action Deadline: 28 Feb 2004
Approved: Yes
Action Description: An estimate of what is required to provide a safety case for this
opportunity is to be completed by

F i g u r e 5.38   Mott MacDonald risk monitoring

Actions and linked risks Register


Action Details Risk Details
Action 40. Monitor PSU schedule adherence Risk 11. Delay by SWT to remove MK1 vehicles
» Owned By: Dave Higginson Status Active Approved  Customer Aware Customer Risk Ref
» Status: Active Start Date 31 Dec 2004 Expiry Date Review Date 15 Dec 2004 Send Reminder
» Action Deadline: 11 Feb 2004 Risk Leader Pre Score 4 Post Score
» Approved: No Owned By Mike Dickinson
» Action Description: PSU Programme
slippage is source of risk 11, the potential Risk Classification » Category 1: Delivery » Category 2: Delivery – Trains
of this threat occurring requires monitoring » Risk Description Failure to remove the required/agreed numbers of passenger carrying Mk 1
and weekly reporting. vehicles by December 04.
Risk now pending HMRI/ToC agreement on programme
» Cause: Various – see related Actions

●● Risk monitoring and control. The risk management processes adopted on SRNTP
allowed risks (threats and opportunities) to be swiftly captured as they arose, ie a live
system. This was then supplemented by the formal monthly process of review, with
the risk manager leading meetings with risk owners including progress checking
against actions. Summaries of the top risks plus key movements were then rolled
up to executive-level reports.

The PRMS tool with its database functionality provided a configuration-controlled medium
to record all data as the project progressed, which is retained as historical data and
evidence of successful – or otherwise – risk treatment actions.
211

Estimating 06
your project

Introduction


Every time I make a picture the critics’ estimate of
American public taste goes down 10 per cent.

T
Cecil B De Mille (1881–1959), US film producer and director

he Oxford Dictionary defines an estimate as ‘a judgement of a thing’s


approximate value, amount, cost, etc’. While this gives an accurate generic
definition, BusinessDictionary.com presents a definition more suited to industry
needs:

Approximation, prediction, or projection of a quantity based on experience


and/or information available at the time, with the recognition that other
pertinent facts are unclear or unknown (BusinessDictionary.com, Dec 2009)

The importance of estimating


Estimates are required, to varying degrees of accuracy, at all stages of the
project life cycle. Before an organization can make an investment decision,
an estimate needs to establish how much capital investment is required.
An estimate needs to be made on likely business benefits. The likelihood is
that an estimate would be needed before any shareholders or stakeholders
authorized any funding for investment. Further along the project life cycle an
estimate is required for tendering and bidding processes and throughout the
life cycle the estimate is a control: a document that project stakeholders can
reference progress against.
The estimate is a crucial part of the project process; organizations that
underestimate in order to place a more competitive bid are likely to risk their
profit margins if the contract is a lump-sum contract or risk repeat work if
212 20:20 Project Management

the client is meeting all of the costs. Conversely, the company that overesti-
mates by building in too many contingencies or allowances is unlikely to be
competitive.
So what makes a good estimate? A good estimate can only really be
measured on completion of the project or phase that has been estimated. If the
project out-turn is within the parameters of the estimate stated at the time,
then the estimate was good.
The key to producing a good estimate is quality of information. As far as
possible each item, resource, indirect cost, overhead, logistical element, staple,
paper clip or paper cup needs to be known if it is to be included in the cost of
the project. Of course, at varying stages of the life cycle a lot of this informa-
tion is not available so quality of information has to be generated from sources
such as scope of the project, internal expertise, previous known projects,
quantities required, factors that affect productivity, location, experience of the
project team – the list goes on. What is crucial in producing a good estimate
above all else is that the basis and assumptions made for the estimate are
accurately recorded, signed by the estimator and dated so that whoever is
making decisions knows what the estimate is based on.

Estimating techniques
An estimate can be best defined as:

a probabilistic assessment, based on skills, experience and judgement, of the


time and resources required to successfully deliver a deliverable/product.

There are many ways to estimate. Most of these methods can be applied to
both tasks and projects overall but a project which consists of poorly estimated
tasks will be poorly estimated overall.

Introduction to estimating
When estimating we need to use a wide range of tools, techniques and
knowledge to produce estimates. An estimate is in essence an approximation
of project time and cost targets, refined throughout the life cycle of the
project.
There are four main methods of estimating:
●● bottom-up estimating (analytical);
●● comparative estimating (analogous);
●● parametric estimating (statistical modelling);
●● top down.
Estimating Your Project 213

Also used in conjunction with the above is:


●● three-point estimating (most likely, mid range, optimistic).
There are challenges with all forms of estimating and these will be considered
in this chapter. It is also important to estimate resource requirements for all
four of the major resource types:
●● labour;
●● materials;
●● equipment;
●● financial (cash).
When examining the effect of durations on resources, it is important to
remember which costs are fixed and which are variable. For example, equip-
ment hire costs may be variable depending on the final duration of the activity,
whereas materials will generally be fixed.

The importance and practical difficulties of


estimating
Throughout the project life cycle the accuracy of an estimate will change.
Estimates are, after all, only quantified approximations of project costs, durations
and resources. Estimates however are vital to any project, without them you
cannot put together a schedule, find out what your resource needs are or
even draw up a budget. An important factor to keep in mind is that an estimate
can never be 100 per cent accurate (unless you are extremely lucky), therefore
it is best not to mention accuracy and estimate in the same breath.
When referring to estimating we will use the term ‘range’; this is breadth
of tolerance around the expected result.
The start of a project is the hardest time to estimate, due to the level of
uncertainty over key factors like what is to be done, when, by whom, etc.
At this stage an estimate’s range is likely to be wide, compared to the latter
stages of a project when the detail is more clearly known.
It is quite common to update estimates throughout the project life cycle.
However, probably the most important estimate is the one that features in the
project management plan (PMP). The reason for this is that it is the estimate
upon which the project will be authorized.

The estimating funnel


The concept that estimates improve as the project life cycle progresses is
commonly called the estimating funnel.
214 20:20 Project Management

F i g u r e 6.1   The estimating Funnel

50%

40%

30%

20%

10%

0%
Start-up Define Plan Execute Close-out
−10%

−20%

−30%

−40%

−50%

The above diagram illustrates how this process works; as we progress through
the project our estimate becomes more accurate.

Classes of estimate
We can see from the diagram below the practical application of the estimating
funnel on an engineering project where the accuracy of the estimate only

F i g u r e 6.2   Classes of estimate

Class 5 Class 4 Class 3 Class 2 Class 1


+40%
Expected Estimate Accuracy

Economic Evaluations
+20%
Front-End Engineering Design (FEED)
+10%
Detailed Design
0%
Equipment and Material Supply
−10%
Construction
−20%
Commissioning
−40% and Start Up

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%


Percent Complete (Commencing Engineering to Mechanical Completion)
Estimating Your Project 215

drops with +/– 10 per cent after the FEED (front end engineering design) has
been completed.
In this chapter it is not the intention to provide a comprehensive approach
to estimating but some guidelines and techniques that will allow you gain a
better understanding of the pitfalls of estimating and arm you with some tools
to allow for overall estimates for your project.
However, it is worth spending a couple of minutes reviewing what the
AACE (Association for the Advancement of Cost Engineering) define as class
of estimate to give us a better understanding of what to expect in terms of
accuracy as we go through the project life cycle.

Cost estimating matrix


Table 6.1 on the next page shows a generic estimate classification system
from the AACE. The type in bold represents the specific process industry
matrix also produced by the AACE. We can then relate the class of estimate
to the life cycle shown above.

Estimating techniques
As mentioned above, there are four main estimating techniques, which are
listed below. Each of these techniques is useful in determining durations, re-
sources and costs.

Bottom-up estimating (analytical)


Bottom-up estimating requires the identification of each discrete activity re-
quired to complete the project. For each activity the resources (labour, materi-
als, equipment or financial) and the elapsed time required to complete the
activity are estimated. During this process it is important to allow for normal
staffing overheads (leave, training, sickness). Once you have identified any
known constraints (limited skills, staffing, fixed dates before which certain
activities cannot begin, equipment availability, etc), the network analysis proc-
ess allows you to build up activity totals into a detailed estimate for the project.
The bottom-up approach is usually used when the fine detail of the programme
and/or its component projects (work packages in the case of projects) are well
defined. Because this approach is based on more information and is com-
pleted in more detail, the estimate can be more precise than a top down.
Let’s take a look at a snapshot of activities from our office relocation project.
In our network we have durations estimated for all of these activities. However,
they were estimated by breaking down the activity into its smallest tasks then
rolled up to give us the overall duration. Figure 6.3 shows a snapshot of some
of relocation activities.
216

Ta b l e 6.1   Cost estimate classification


Level of Project End Usage Methodology Expected Preparation Effort
Definition Accuracy Range

Estimate Expressed as % of Typical purpose Typical estimating method Typical +/– range Typical degree of effort
class complete definition of estimate as % of total cost

5 0–2% Concept Stochastic or judgement Low –20 to –50% 0.005%


(Initiation phase of screening Capacity factored, parametric High +30 to +100%
project) models

4 1–15% Study or Primary stochastic Low –15 to –30% 0.01–0.02%


(Initiation phase of feasibility Equipment factored, High +20 to +50%
Project) parametric models

3 10–40% Budget, Mixed but primary deterministic Low –10 to –20% 0.015– 0.05
(Planning phase of authorization or Semi-detailed unit costs with High +30 to +100%
project) control assembly level line items

2 30–70% Control or Primary deterministic Low –5 to –15% 0.02–0.1%


(Execution phase of bid/tender Detailed unit costs with High +30 to +100%
project) forced detailed take off

1 50–100% Check estimate Deterministic Low –3 to –10% 0.025–0.5%


(Execution phase of or bid/tender Detailed unit costs with High +3 to +15%
project) detailed take off
Estimating Your Project 217

F i g u r e 6.3   Simulation project: activity estimate

Procure Test
Project Install
IT IT
Start Hardware
Hardware Functionality

Procure Install
Cat 5 Cat 5
Cabling Cabling

Activity H (Install Cat 5 cabling) is estimated at 4 weeks; this was estimated


by firstly breaking the tasks down to their lowest level as shown in the example
below.

F i g u r e 6.4   Simulation project: estimate breakdown

Procure Test
Project Install
IT IT
Start Hardware
Hardware Functionality

Procure Install
Cat 5 Cat 5
Cabling Cabling

Prepare Routing Run Cabling Terminate Cables Check Continuity

Plan Access Prep


218 20:20 Project Management

At the lowest level we can more accurately estimate the effort and duration
of the work to be done. Once this has been done the results can be rolled up
to the higher level.

F i g u r e 6.5   Simulation project: estimate breakdown durations

Procure Test
Project Install
IT IT
Start Hardware
Hardware Functionality

Procure 28 Days
Cat 5
Cabling (4 Weeks)

12 Days 20 Days 4 Days 2 Days

2 3 4
Days Days Days

Although time consuming and onerous, breaking down each activity to its
lowest level (where we should have most confidence in our estimate) will
allow us to create a higher level of accuracy in our estimate.
However, bear in mind if lower level estimates are out by 50 per cent this
will translate up the chain.

Comparative estimating (analogous)


Comparative estimating involves comparing current or completed tasks or
projects for which you have some measures of the time and resources
required. This method is based on actual past experience rather than opinion,
but is only useful if the analogy is valid. The previous task or project will
be different in some respects – do these differences mean that the task or
project is not really comparable without having to make assumptions and thus
reintroducing a large measure of opinion? The comparative method provides a
firm basis for estimating if information is available, this information would then
Estimating Your Project 219

need to be scaled up or down to meet the needs of the project which is being
estimated.
The following diagram highlights the fact that you are using comparisons
with previous projects to base estimates upon.

F i g u r e 6.6   Comparative estimating

New Project
Previous Project

WBS

Timings

£ Costs
Efficiency
This method can be used where Risks
the organization has past Lessons
experience of the same or a Learned
similar project

Parametric estimating (statistical modelling)


Parametric estimating uses defined parameters by which a project can be
measured, such as the time or cost involved to build a specific project deliver-
able. This process can be repeated for a number of different deliverables,
multiplied by the number of each of the parameters required to fulfil the
project requirements. The parametric approach requires a reasonable amount
of robust data in order to make this an easily accessible estimating technique.
An example for estimating the cost of a housing development is seen
below (Figure 6.7). Type A house could be costed using the formula A =
4X+2Y+3Z, and Type B would be B = 2X+Y+Z.

Top-down estimating
In the early stages of a project, management needs some sense of the overall
cost of the project, as well as the expected benefit.
As we have discussed the most accurate way to estimate is usually to build
a work breakdown structure and to estimate all of the lowest level, individual
work components. As discussed, this bottom-up approach is, unfortunately,
the most time consuming. It is also not appropriate for initial estimating that
this level of effort is expended at the early stages as a rough estimate may be
all that is required to give the project a go ahead or not.
220 20:20 Project Management

F i g u r e 6.7   Top-down estimating

This method is used where there is


historical data available

We can therefore utilize a top-down approach to gain as much estimating


confidence as possible, while also considering as short a timeframe as practical
in its preparation. The following are top-down techniques that should be
considered.
Top-down techniques include the following:
●● Previous history: This is using some of the comparative techniques
discussed earlier. In all the techniques this is by far the best way to
estimate work. Obviously this is dependent on delivering similar
projects in the past and also relies on keeping track of actual effort,
hours and costs from previous projects. If these parameters exist it
is then possible to describe your project in the same terms to see if
similar work was done in the past. If so, you will have a good idea of
the effort required to do your work. Even if actual information from
previous projects was not captured it may still be possible to find out
how many people worked on the project, for how long, for how much
and then adjust your final estimate as needed.
●● Equally, parametric estimating can plan a major part in the top-down
approach where we can use previous similar projects and multiply up
or down costs and duration to reflect our new project.
●● Partial work breakdown structure (WBS): This approach involves
building a traditional WBS as discussed in the bottom-up approach,
Estimating Your Project 221

but you only take it down one or two levels. We can then estimate
the different components of work using your best guess or one of
the other estimating techniques discussed.
●● Expert opinion: In most cases an internal or external expert will be
required to help estimating the work to be completed. For instance,
if this is the first time you have used a new technology or technique,
you may need help from outside the project team from someone who
can provide the required information.
Often benchmarking with other companies in the industry is useful
where leverage from their experience can be utilized. Utilizing an
internal expert can also be useful as although this may be the first
estimate for a certain type of project, someone else in your
organization may have done it many times.
●● Estimate in phases: This is often called rolling wave planning or
progressive elaboration. One of the most difficult aspects of
estimating projects is not knowing exactly what work will be
needed in the future. To reduce the level of uncertainty, you
can break the work into a series of smaller areas of work, only
estimating accurately the most current work with a vague or best
guess estimate for the remaining work.
Often we can provide a high-level estimate for an analysis phase where we
will collate business requirements. Once these requirements have been
obtained we would be in a better position to estimate the rest of the project
or at least the next major phase. At this point, management can perform a
cost–benefit calculation to determine if it makes sense to proceed with the
rest of the project.
A subsidiary technique we can use once we have established a good
overall estimate for the project is to subdivide it down through the layers of
the work breakdown structure; for example, design will be 50 per cent of the
total, engineering 25 per cent, etc; then subdivide design and engineering into
their percentages into their components parts.

Three-point estimating
The previously mentioned forms of estimating do not necessarily account
for things like human error, inconsistent data or straightforward errors in the
estimating. However, three-point estimating accepts a number of variations
within the project values to produce a most likely outcome, eg 90 per cent
probability, a mid range value, eg 50 per cent probability, and a least likely,
eg 10 per cent probability. Some organizations will ask their project teams
or subcontractors to provide a P10, P50, P90 estimate (where P stands for
probability), although these numbers can vary depending on the organization’s
requirements and the level of risk they are prepared to accept. These numbers
are simply a probability of the outcome of a budget or schedule as an example.
222 20:20 Project Management

More details on the use of statistical modelling to achieve more accurate


estimates can be found in Chapter 5, ‘Risk and your project’.
The following equation is related to three-point estimating which is linked
to PERT (project evaluation and review technique).

F i g u r e 6.8   Three-point estimating (PERT)

Optimistic + (4 × Most Likely) + Pessimistic


6

Simulation example

If we again look at activity G (Install hardware) from the office relocation project the
estimate used is 2 weeks. Let’s apply the three-point estimating technique to this
activity.
We will assume the most likely is as used, ie 14 days (2 weeks). However, if all
access is available in time and all the hardware runs up as required at switch-on,
then we may be able to complete the installation in as little (optimistic) as 11 days.
However, if we have access issues and power up problems the worst case estimate
(pessimistic) could be 22 days. We can now apply three-point estimating to these
figures.

F i g u r e 6.9 

Optimistic (11 days) + (4 × Most Likely (14 days)) + Pessimistic (23 days)
6

In this case the new estimate for activity G equates to 15 days, a day longer than
originally estimated. By applying this technique to the remaining activities in our
network we should be able to provide a more realistic overall estimate.
More details on the use of statistical modelling to achieve more accurate
estimates can be found in Chapter 5, ‘Risk and your project’.

Uncertainty and risk


It should be noted that an estimate should not be treated as an exact value
either by an external stakeholder (client) or indeed by the organization’s
management team. There are a range of outcomes that could occur around
the estimate point; it is an important part of the estimating process to ensure
the recipient of the estimate appreciates the range of potential outcomes. The
Estimating Your Project 223

range of outcomes can be achieved by using a probabilistic risk analysis


(please see Chapter 5, ‘Risk and your project’); this requires the estimator to
produce a range of outcomes for a range of items such as quantities, unit rates,
productivity ratios. These are called distributions and can be above and below
the initial value of the estimate. This risk analysis is normally done through the
software adopted by the estimator and produces a range of potential outcomes
for the total estimate and a probability of achieving the stated outcome. As
with other areas of the estimate it is important that any probability calculations
and statements are included in the estimate documentation.
To deal with uncertainty and risk a contingency is normally established for
‘specific provisions for unforeseeable elements of cost within defined project
scope’ (AACE).
Contingency funding is necessary due to risks and uncertainties, anything
from lack of scope or design definition may lead to a cost overrun, rework
caused by engineering or construction errors, productivity reduction due to
labour disputes or limited supply of particular skills. The potential risks are
many and varied and the amount of contingency will depend on the level of
risk and probability of achieving the particular area of the project to the
estimate. Again areas where contingency has been allocated to the estimate
must be clearly communicated within the estimate.

Summary of the basic rules for estimating


●● Remember to estimate labour, materials, equipment and financial
resources.
●● Assume that labour resources will only be productive for 80 per cent
of their time.
●● Labour resources working on multiple projects take longer to
complete tasks because of time lost switching between them.
●● People are generally optimistic and often underestimate how long
tasks will take.
●● Make use of other people’s experiences and your own.
●● Obtain an expert view.
●● Include management time in any estimate.
●● Always build in contingency for problem solving, meetings and other
unexpected events.
●● Cost each task in the work breakdown structure to arrive at a total,
rather than trying to cost the project as a whole.
●● Agree a tolerance with your customer for additional work that is not
yet defined.
●● Communicate any assumptions, exclusions or constraints you have to
your customer.
224 20:20 Project Management

●● Provide regular budget statements to your customer, copying your


team, so that they are always aware of the current position.

Common mistakes
●● Not understanding what is involved to complete an item of work.
●● Starting with an amount of money and making the project cost fit it.
●● Assigning resources at more than 80 per cent utilization.
●● Failing to build in contingency.
●● Failing to adjust the estimate in accordance with changes in scope.
●● Dividing tasks between more than one resource.
●● Providing estimates under pressure in project meetings.

Things to consider when estimating


There are a number of considerations that need to be addressed when esti-
mating; these are discussed below.
Diminishing returns. When estimating labour, if a job takes 1 person 100
days to complete it is rarely true that 100 people can do it in one day.
Project teams work by sharing information; as a team grows so does
the number of internal interfaces over which information must pass.
A team of one has no internal interfaces, a team of 2 has one, a team
of 9 has 36. If a task requires many people to work together, then
some allowance for this effect must be made.
Failing to take account of the real world. Some people work faster than
others, they always have other things to do, they get sick and they go
on holiday. Don’t estimate on the basis of the best, most dedicated
and fittest person you have. People rarely deliver more than 4 days
a week, when working full time on a task or project. Things will go
wrong – allow time for problems to be investigated and solved.
Culture. The working hours, approach to work, work rate and work
expectations of different international cultures vary considerably.
Using norms from previous projects in a new culture can be
dangerous; advisors with knowledge of local working customs
should be used to assist in preparing realistic estimates.
Human optimism. It is a universal truth that people think they can
achieve more in a given period of time than they actually can. People
always estimate on the low side; be aware of this and be objective.
Differing skill levels. Due to different skill levels, duration cannot
necessarily be halved by doubling resources. Therefore the productivity
Estimating Your Project 225

and efficiency of each labour resource should be estimated


independently.
Using contingency. Remember to add project management time, as
well as contingency hours to reflect the risk associated with the
estimate. The size of the contingency will reflect the degree of risk. If
for example you feel relatively comfortable with your estimate you can
get away with 10–25 per cent. If, however, you feel that the brief is
unclear you may be justified in adding a 50 per cent contingency.
This should be added a separate figure rather than just padding
your estimate.
Allowing for communication. Remember that the more resources
applied to a task, the more they will have to communicate. This is to
ensure that work is not duplicated and that interdepartmental tasks are
carried out efficiently. This additional time needs to be taken into
account when estimating durations.
A useful rule-of-thumb calculation for estimating the number of communica-
tion channels in a project environment can be calculated as follows:
n(n – 1)/2
where n represents the number of people requiring to communicate on a
task, eg if we have four people on a team the number of communication
channels would be six. If we add two more people to the team the communi-
cation channels increase to 15. This is very important to remember in estimat-
ing as the extra time required in clarification and repeat instruction can have a
significant effect on the work estimate.

Conclusion
We have learned in this chapter how to apply a wide range of estimating
techniques to your project and provided some guidance on which techniques
are most applicable and when.
This chapter can be referenced at various times in the project life cycle,
as indicated by the estimating funnel, depending on the level of detail available
and required.
Please remember that estimating begins early in the project, at feasibility
and conceptual stages well before the detailed scope has been defined,
and the use of historical data from past projects is invaluable until the design
information becomes available for estimating at the basic design and detail
design stages.
226 20:20 Project Management

C ASE S T UDY   Estimating the AMEC way

About AMEC
AMEC is one of the world’s leading engineering, project management and consultancy
companies. Their goal is to deliver profitable, safe and sustainable projects and services
for their customers in the oil and gas, minerals and metals, clean energy, environment and
infrastructure markets, including sectors that play a vital role in the global and national
economies and in people’s everyday lives. They design, deliver and maintain strategic
assets for their customers, offering services which extend from environmental and front
end engineering design before the start of a project to decommissioning at the end of an
asset’s life. Their customers, in both the private and public sector, are among the world’s
biggest and best in their fields: BP, Shell, EDF, National Grid and US Navy, to name just a
few.
They are truly international, with major operations centres based in the UK and Americas
and offices and projects in around 40 countries worldwide. They work in diverse and often
challenging environments, from sub-zero temperatures in the north of Canada to the
sweltering heat of the Persian Gulf.
They employ over 27,000 people – ranging from scientists and environmental consultants
to engineers and project managers, dedicated professionals who take pride in their work.
The AMEC Academy helps them to attract, develop and retain the best talent.
They are proud of their core values: ‘delivering excellence to our customers by believing
in people, never compromising on safety and acting with integrity’.
Their shares are traded on the London Stock Exchange, where the company is included
in the FTSE 100 index and listed in the oil equipment and services sector (LSE: AMEC).

Estimating: the AMEC approach


There is no merit in attempting to achieve a level of accuracy that is inconsistent to the amount
of information available, particularly as this could lead to the estimate being given a ‘perceived’
credibility it does not deserve.

The percentage accuracy of the estimate improves as the definition of the project is
developed through feasibility, conceptual, basic engineering and detail design stages.
So for many projects the estimate is revisited and updated several times as the project
definition moves through these stages.
Typically at the feasibility stage, when the project is not much more than an idea, the
estimated accuracy is between –25 per cent and +50 per cent.
By the time detail design is complete, the overall project can be re-estimated to an
accuracy of –5 per cent to +10 per cent, although the construction element itself might
be a little less accurate (remember, at this stage detail design purchase order placement
for equipment and materials will be 100 per cent or very close).
Estimating Your Project 227

The four stages in detail


Feasibility
The estimate at this stage is often used for project sanction.
At feasibility stage, the project is not much more than an idea and there are very
few details available. We may not even know in what country the construction will take
place.
At this point the kind of information required to create the estimate will be as follows:
●● generalized scope definition;
●● required capacity of plant;
●● approximate weights;
●● preliminary project schedule.

Concept
The estimate at conceptual stage is often associated with studying various options for
the final plant layout.
By this time, the country of construction is likely to have been identified and equipment
lists and budget quotes will be available along with some of the early process definition.
During the concept stage the kind of information you will be working with is as
follows:
●● plant location;
●● preliminary process diagram;
●● main statutory requirements;
●● equipment list;
●● outline engineering specifications;
●● preliminary ‘block’ plot plan;
●● offsite and utilities by system and capacity;
●● budget quotes for equipment;
●● preliminary equipment data sheets;
●● preliminary process and instrument diagram.

Basic design
During basic design, often known as FEED (front end engineering design), the number of
options for the final plant layout will either have been eliminated or reduced so detailed
plot plans will be available along with the other design information shown in the bulleted
list overleaf.
The project master schedule and information on site conditions will also be available.
At this stage it is possible to establish target cost arrangements between the owner or
client and the constructors.
228 20:20 Project Management

●● firm quotes for major equipment;


●● detailed scope definition;
●● finalized heat and mass balance calculations;
●● P and IDs for process and offsite;
●● detailed plot plans;
●● detailed engineering specifications;
●● preliminary material take offs;
●● operators’ requirements;
●● local authority requirements;
●● project master schedules;
●● information on site conditions.

Detail design
As stated earlier, by the time detail design is complete, the overall project can be re-
estimated to an accuracy of –5 per cent to +10 per cent, although the construction element
itself might be a little less accurate (remember, at this stage detail design purchase order
placement for equipment and materials will be 100 per cent or very close).
This is often known as the definitive estimate and the information used for this estimate
will be:
●● local availability of labour and materials;
●● detailed equipment list;
●● completed and approved plant layout;
●● electrical single line diagrams;
●● detailed equipment specifications/data sheets;
●● detailed material take offs;
●● firm quotations from potential vendors;
●● quotations from potential contractors;
●● commissioning and operating information;
●● installation and fabrication specifications;
●● construction subcontract enquiries;
●● production design phase continues.
Estimating Your Project 229

Estimating factors
At the feasibility stage, factors representing the ratio of total installed cost to cost of major
process equipment are widely used in the refining and petrochemical industries.
These factors have been in use since the mid 1900s by various people including H J Lang
in 1947 and K Guthrie in the late 1960s.
Different factors for different types of process equipment (pumps, exchangers, vessels,
etc) are used.
Construction man hours, typically to +/–30 per cent, can then be estimated by dividing
the expected construction percentage of total installed cost established from the factoring
of process equipment by an average labour man hour rate.
Why is this important in the early stages of project definition?
It gives an idea of the total labour and number of jobs which will be provided during
construction as regional benefits in the potential locations or countries in which the
construction might take place, which will help improve the chance of the project going
ahead.
In addition to factors, order of magnitude is often used for estimating during the
feasibility stage. From historical information, a typical project might have costs divided as:
●● engineering and home office: 19 per cent;
●● procurement: 38 per cent;
●● construction: 40 per cent;
●● commissioning: 3 per cent.

At high level only, the percentages for the detail below these headings can be estimated,
again using historical data as the basis.
At the concept stage, estimated principal quantities will be available for metres of pipe,
tonnes of steel, etc, and using high-level composite rather than elemental ‘norms’ an
estimate of construction man hours can be produced which is better than at the feasibility
stage.

Onshore projects, offshore projects and shutdowns


Figure 6.10 summarizes much of what has been mentioned so far about estimating at the
four stages, feasibility, concept, basic design and detail design, and provides a reminder of
how the accuracy of the estimate improves as we move through the stages and the project
scope definition becomes clearer.

Offshore
The main difference in offshore projects is that at the feasibility and concept stages
estimated weights are used.
This makes sense as an offshore platform or oil rig is a fixed modular structure.
230 20:20 Project Management

F i g u r e 6.10   AMEC onshore estimating factors

1 Feasibility 2 Concept
(typically –25% to +50%) (typically –15% to +25%)
– In house estimates for equipment – Preliminary details from suppliers for
and tagged items major equipment and tagged items
– Factored from equipment and – Principal quantities (approximate) for
tagged items for bulk materials bulk materials
– Order of magnitude from historical – Base norms adjusted for location
data on similar projects factors and productivity assumptions
– Estimate for project sanction – Estimates for optioneering

3 Basic Design 4 Detail Design


(typically –10% to +15%) (typically –5% to +10%)
– Firm details from suppliers for 80%–90% – Firm details from suppliers for 90%–100%
of equipment and tagged items of equipment and tagged items
– Preliminary MTO – in house, forced detail – Intermediate and final MTOs
– Base component norms adjusted in – Base component norms adjusted in
house for location factors and house for location factors and
productivity assumptions, or as provided productivity assumptions, or as
by subcontractors provided by subcontractors
– Target cost estimate – Definitive estimate

F i g u r e 6.11   AMEC offshore estimating factors

1 Feasibiltiy 2 Concept
(typically –25% to +50%) (typically –15% to +25%)
– In house estimates for equipment – Preliminary details from suppliers for
and tagged items major equipment and tagged items
– Estimated weight – Estimated weights for bulk materials
– Order of magnitude from historical – Base norms adjusted for location
data on similar projects factors and productivity assumptions
– Estimate for project sanction – Estimates for optioneering

3 Basic Design 4 Detail Design


(typically –10% to +15%) (typically –5% to +10%)
– Firm details from suppliers for 80%–90% – Firm details from suppliers for 90%–100%
of equipment and tagged items of equipment and tagged items
– Preliminary MTO – in house, forced detail – Intermediate and final MTOs
– Base component norms adjusted in – Base component norms adjusted in
house for location factors and house for location factors and
productivity assumptions, or as provided productivity assumptions, or as
by subcontractors provided by subcontractors
– Target cost estimate – Definitive estimate
Estimating Your Project 231

Shutdowns
Shutdown estimating has its own methods at the tender stage.
For poorly defined scope, the estimate will be in man-hour ranges plus a management
fee which increases with the ranges.
If the tender information is better and includes a preliminary turnaround list from
the client, a rough estimate can be made, based on the approximate number of jobcards,
the number of associated activities, and the average man hours per activity.
As an example, the graph below shows the number of vessel inspections, control valves
and other work types, each of which will require a job card.
This totals 500 job cards on the graph, which gives a total of 7,000 activities based
on standard job card activities or work operations for each of the different work types.
The example shows an average of 20 man hours per job card so the 7,000 activities =
140,000 man hours.
In a real project, the man-hour estimate per job card will vary according to the work
type for better accuracy.

F i g u r e 6.12   AMEC estimating examples

For Poorly Defined scope Rough Estimate


Estimate in manhour ranges 500 jobcards
+ management fee 7000 activities = 140,000 manhours
20 manhours per activity

Improved Estimate
– Lump sum, must exclude emergent work
116 – For repeat shutdown at the same plant,
120 estimate manhours using historical data
– Visit site during tender period for preliminary
89 discussions and assessment – especially
100
75 important for unfamiliar plant
71
80

60 49
30 30
40 23
17
20

0
Vessels Control Exchangers Drums NRVs Fin Pumps Towers Other
Inspect Valves Fans

Norms
Adjustments to the base norms used in estimating will be made to take account of the
country or location of construction, and also the use of estimating quantity allowances,
all of which affect the construction man-hour estimate.
Base norms, dependant on the source, will be specific to that country or region.
232 20:20 Project Management

For construction work in countries other than the country for which the base norms
apply, a location factor adjustment to the base norms will be required.
For example, a productivity factor of 1.0 for US Gulf Coast (Houston, Texas) is the
base. So using US Gulf Coast norms, there is no location factor adjustment necessary to
the construction man hours for a project to be constructed in the US Gulf Coast location.
Other international locations, though, will have a productivity factor above or below
the 1.0 base for US Gulf Coast.
For example, China has a location factor of 3.90, which means that if US Gulf Coast
norms are used to produce an estimate for construction man hours, the man hours will
need to be multiplied by 3.90 for construction in China.
Whether or not it has been necessary to apply location factors to the base norms,
these will need to be adjusted to reflect project specific issues such as:
●● climate;
●● site layout and access;
●● site location – how remote?
●● clock in and walking time to workface;
●● work days and hours;
●● labour density;
●● industrial relations;
●● availability of skilled trades (competing projects, use of local and travelling labour);
●● use of equipment, working methods (eg machine or hand excavate);
●● permit to work on brownfield sites;
●● conditions of contract.

Various quantity allowances will be included in the estimate for engineering growth,
material take off and cutting and waste.
Construction increase allowance for anticipated engineering growth (including
associated materials) will not increase the quantities against which the adjusted norms are
applied in arriving at the total construction man-hour estimate.
233

Project 07
leadership
Introduction


A leader’s job is to look into the future, and to see the
organization not as it is ... but as it can become.

T
Woodrow Wilson, 28th US president

here are two typical questions asked when the subject of project leadership
is discussed, the first being ‘What is the difference between leadership
and management?’ and the second being ‘Is there a difference between normal
leadership and leadership in a project?’
This chapter will answer both these questions and examine the skills and
behaviours required to successfully lead within a project environment.
In the project teams chapter we discussed the areas of team development
and team management which tie in very closely with leadership in terms
of skills and behaviours and each should not be treated in isolation but as
integrated activities that need to be performed.
We are often asked how leadership is related to the main drive of a busi-
ness, which is generally profit. Several studies have been conducted which
show the relation between good leadership and profit. One such study was
conducted by the CIBC (Canadian International Bank of Commerce).
In order to improve the quality of service that the CIBC provided to their
customers, it was recognized that employees of the bank, who deliver the
service, must feel motivated and loyal towards the company in order to do
their best work.
This required major commitment and action by top management, who
commissioned a series of customer and employee satisfaction surveys
throughout all their branches (around 1,300) and then collated the results.
They subsequently took action to address the results and measured the
progress by conducting further annual surveys.
The following model charts (Figure 7.1) the progress in one year.
In summary, they deduced that an increase in profit of 2 per cent, which
equated to $172 million, could be directly attributed to the change in leadership
behaviour by their management.
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F i g u r e 7.1   CIBC leadership impact on profits

Management Employees Customers Shareholders

Leadership Behaviour Commitment Behaviour Loyalty Behaviour Profit

Action +5% +2% +2%

Dale Carnegie, author of How to Win Friends and Influence People, summarizes
the importance of leadership in the following quote.

F i g u r e 7.2   Dale Carnegie and leadership

“Even in such technical lines as engineering, about 15% of one’s


financial success is due to one’s technical knowledge and about 85%
is due to skill in human engineering, to personality and the ability to
lead people” (Dale Carnegie)

As a project leader you will be judged on the results of what your team
achieves. This means much of your time should be spent supporting and
encouraging your team to get the results you need.
This emphasizes the importance of effective leadership within business as
a whole and equally in the project environment. In the following pages of this
chapter I aim to highlight some of the important aspects of project leadership
and arm you with some effective and useful tools to aid you in your leadership
journey.

Leadership vs management
What is the difference between leadership and management?
The origins and meanings of the words ‘manage’ and ‘lead’ help to answer
this question. Table 7.1 on the following page describes the origin of each word
and three typical definitions.
Leadership is about deciding direction, knowing the next steps and then
taking others with you to it, whereas managing is a later concept, and is more
associated with handling a system or machine of some kind.
There are valuable elements of management not necessarily found in leader­
ship, eg administration and managing resources. Leadership, on the other
Project Leadership 235

Ta b l e 7.1   Leadership vs management

Manage:
Origin 1560s, probably from Italian. maneggiare ‘to handle’,
especially ‘to control a horse’, from Latin manus
‘hand’. Influenced by French manège ‘horsemanship’
(earliest English sense was of handling horses)
Definitions 1 to exert control over;
2 to take charge or care of;
3 to dominate or influence (a person) by tact, flattery,
or artifice;
4 to handle, direct, govern, or control in action or use.

Lead
Origin c.1300, ‘to guide’, O.E. lædan ‘cause to go with one,
guide’ Anglo-Saxon ‘the road or path ahead’
Definitions 1 to go before or with to show the way; conduct or
escort;
2 to go first; be in advance;
3 to influence or induce; cause;
4 to guide in direction, course, action, opinion, etc.

hand, contains elements not necessarily found in management, eg inspiring


others through the leader’s own enthusiasm and commitment.
In conclusion, leadership is different from management. All leaders are not
necessarily great managers, but the best leaders will possess good manage-
ment skills. However, one skill set does not automatically imply the other will
be present.
Obviously within a project environment the project manager needs to
possess good management skills in order to plan and execute the project.
However, often this is thought to be enough but, as we will explore, good
leadership skills are as important if not more influential in the success of a
project.

Leading in a project environment


Is there a difference between normal leadership and leadership in a project?
The basic definition of a project is ‘a temporary endeavour undertaken to
create a unique product, service or result’.
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The project environment is very different from that of typical day-to-day


operations or a regular team that performs similar activities on a day-to-day
basis. The fact that a project is temporary has a huge impact on the staff
employed within that project in respect of their motivation, their commitment
to the work in hand and their loyalty to the project.
In addition the ‘unique’ aspects of the project will also lead to a different
environment than that of a regular team which carries out similar, repetitive or
comparable tasks on a regular basis. The impact of the ‘unique’ aspects on
team members may be seen in a lack of confidence, fear, anxiety, aversion
to responsibility and accountability and insecurity. This means the project
manager may need to communicate with the team more than usual, adopt
more of a coaching or mentoring role and overall spend more time with
the team.
Examining the project life cycle below shows some of the transitions in
styles and behaviours a project manager may need to adopt as the project
progresses.

F i g u r e 7.3   Leadership and the project life cycle

Start-up Definition Execution Close-out

• Gather data • Feasibility • Start-up • Finalise Project


Typical • Identify needs • Rationale • Motivate Team • Review
Major • Strategies • Tactics • Work Packages • Acceptance
Tasks • Goals • WBS • Procurement • Training
• Stakeholders • Project Team • Execute Work • Transfers
• Risks • Schedule • Control System • Final Reports
• Alternatives • Budget • Progress Report • Settle Accounts
• Selling • Re-assess Risks • Forecasting • Handover
• Approvals • Project Brief • Resolve Issues • Transfers

• Visionary • Facilitator • Motivator • Trainer


Leadership
• Creative • Integrator • Decision Maker • Morale Builder
and
• Innovative • Planner • Participation • Diplomatic
Management
• Communicator • Diplomatic • Empowering • Energetic
Skills
• Listener • Coach • Team Builder • Trustworthy

Action-centred leadership
Although there is clearly a difference between leadership and management
and the fact that additional leadership skills are required in a project as opposed
to a regular team, a good project manager will still have to balance both those
areas effectively within the project.
John Adair’s action-centred leadership model can be used effectively to
reflect the balance of skills required in the leadership aspects of a project. He
suggests leadership activities can be split into three key elements: achieving
Project Leadership 237

the task, developing the team and developing the individual. These elements
are mutually dependent, as well as being separately essential to the overall
leadership role. The diagram below shows the three elements depicted as
overlapping circles.

F i g u r e 7.4   Adair’s action-centred leadership model

TASK

TEAM INDIVIDUAL

When considering projects, all of these elements are independently essential


in ensuring success, but more importantly the dependence of each element
on the other is essential in the successful execution of the project and its
elements.
Good project managers should have full command of the three main areas
of the action-centred leadership model, and should be able to use each of the
elements according to the situation. Being able to do all of these things, and
keep the right balance, gets results, builds morale, improves quality, develops
teams and productivity, and is the mark of a successful project manager and
leader.
Below is a summary of the key deliverables within each of the three leader-
ship elements.
Your responsibilities as a project manager for achieving the task are:
●● identify aims and vision for the group, purpose, and direction – define
the activity (the task);
●● identify resources, people, processes, systems and tools (including
financials, communications, IT);
●● create the plan to achieve the task – deliverables, measures,
timescales, strategy and tactics;
●● establish responsibilities, objectives, accountabilities and measures, by
agreement and delegation;
●● set standards, quality, time and reporting parameters;
238 20:20 Project Management

●● control and maintain activities against parameters;


●● monitor and maintain overall performance against plan;
●● report on progress towards the group’s aim;
●● review, reassess, adjust plan, methods and targets as necessary.
Your responsibilities as a project manager for the team are:
●● establish, agree and communicate standards of performance and
behaviour;
●● establish style, culture, approach of the group – soft skill elements;
●● monitor and maintain discipline, ethics, integrity and focus on
objectives;
●● anticipate and resolve group conflict, struggles or disagreements;
●● assess and change as necessary the balance and composition of the
group;
●● develop team working, cooperation, morale and team spirit;
●● develop the collective maturity and capability of the group – and group
freedom and authority;
●● encourage the team towards objectives and aims – and provide a
collective sense of purpose;
●● identify, develop and agree team and project leadership roles within
group;
●● enable, facilitate and ensure effective internal and external group
communications;
●● identify and meet group training needs;
●● give feedback to the group on overall progress; and seek feedback and
input from the group.
Your responsibilities as a project manager for each individual are:
●● understand the team members as individuals – personality, skills,
strengths, needs and aims;
●● assist and support individuals – plans, problems, challenges, highs and
lows;
●● identify and agree appropriate individual responsibilities and objectives;
●● give recognition and praise to individuals – acknowledge effort and
good work;
●● where appropriate reward individuals with extra responsibility,
advancement and status;
●● identify, develop and utilize each individual’s capabilities and strengths;
●● train and develop individual team members;
●● develop individual freedom and authority.
Project Leadership 239

The interaction of the three leadership elements


Using the example of a simple piece of project work which will require the
project team to complete, it is then possible to illustrate how each leadership
element is dependent on the next.
We need each individual within the team to be motivated, committed and
willing to communicate with other individuals within the team to ensure the
team works cohesively, is integrated in their approach and focused on the
work to be done to ensure the task is completed in an efficient and timely
manner. Equally, continuing in a clockwise direction, the definition, clarity and
aims of the task need to be articulated to help with individual commitment
and confidence.

F i g u r e 7.5   Leadership element dependencies

TASK

TEAM INDIVIDUAL

The dependency of each of the elements and the importance of each on each
other in delivering a successful project is now clear.

Typical project balance


Possibly due to the perception that projects are often ‘technical’ and therefore
task driven, many project managers focus on the task aspect of the project
and less on the team and individual. The diagram overleaf shows the typical
balance of focus of project managers. This may also be due to the fact that
many project managers have spent many of their formative years honing,
perfecting and mastering their trade which will often be technically based and
therefore task orientated. When they are then appointed to the role of project
manager, the perception of ‘doing a good job’ is seen to be delivering the task.
240 20:20 Project Management

This is mainly true, but the realization that effective delivery of the task can be
achieved by the team and individuals within that team is often overlooked and
the project manager spends more time than is healthy on the task-oriented
aspects of the project. In essence they are ‘micro managing’ the tasks rather
than spending their valuable time on the people and softer issues of the
project.

F i g u r e 7.6   Typical task focus

TASK

AL
DU
IVI
IND
TEA
M

One other reason for spending less time on the people aspects of the project
is because they are skills and behaviours that are often new to the project
manager. The project manager has spent a minimum of five years at university
learning the technical aspects of their trade, has then spent 10 years practis-
ing the technical aspects of their trade and been rewarded throughout those
years for achievements in performing the aspects of their trade and now
suddenly they are thrown into an environment where they are now expected
to ignore the technical aspects of their trade and start to manage people – a
whole new range of behaviours, skills and expertise that have very rarely been
practised or performed before.
For project managers in this position, one consolation is that the skills
required to manage people, although inherent in some people, can be learned.
As with any skill, with direction, time and practice, the behaviours and skills
required to effectively manage people can be learned and performed effec-
tively over time.
The next few pages describe some of the key leadership behaviours and
skills necessary to effectively manage people within a project.

Communication
If any single leadership skill is more important than another it is communication.
In all elements of work life the most common complaint about an organization
is ‘lack of communication’.
Project Leadership 241

The PMI (Project Management Institute) suggest a project manager should


spend 90 per cent of their time communicating.

Effective communication
Communication ‘messages’ are perceived as dependent on the method of
delivery.
Any communication is made of one or more of the following three
elements:
●● The first is the words used – ie written words through e-mail, text,
memos, etc.
●● The second is what we hear – ie how the spoken word is perceived
based on tone: happy, sad, angry, etc.
●● The third is the what we see – ie how the message giver’s body
language is perceived: defensive, aggressive, complacent, etc.
Several surveys have been conducted on this subject to determine the rela-
tionship between the three areas and how much of effective communication is
attributed to each of these areas. The percentage split can be seen below.

F i g u r e 7.7   Effective communication percentages

What we see
(55%)
(nonverbal-body
language, expressions,
posture, hand motions)

What we hear
(35%)
(tone of voice, volume,
pitch, attitude)

Words
(10%)
The actual words used,
all that‘s available in
written communication

Using as an example a situation where a manager is giving someone an


appraisal and is saying ‘I am so pleased with your performance to date and
very impressed in the way you have motivated your team and managed the
difficult client on your project.’ However, they say this in a quiet monotone
voice, with their arms crossed, body turned away while looking down at the
desk and avoiding eye contact.
242 20:20 Project Management

Although the words are loaded with compliments and praise, they are
being negated by the body language and tone, which are overriding the true
value of the message. Therefore 90 per cent of the message received is non-
verbal and is indicating poor performance rather than the contrary.
If we consider each type of communication medium we can see how each
can help or hinder the imparting of the correct message.

Ta b l e 7.2   Communication mediums

Written word: e-mail, This means of communication is purely the


letter, memo, text, IM words; it is difficult to convey emotion via this
medium and is often misunderstood because of
the lack of detail in the message or the
perception of its content.

Voice communication: This is an instant improvement on the


telephone, radio, purely written word because now emotion is
voice to voice included in the communication. In a telephone
computer conversation we can start to determine if
someone is happy, sad, angry, irritated, annoyed,
distressed etc. It is also a more efficient form of
communication as answers to questions can be
received instantly.

Face to face: This is obviously the most effective of all


individual meetings, communication mediums as it allows the three
video conferencing, key communication elements to be used
presentations ie body language, tone and words. By
communicating face to face with someone we
can use these elements to ensure the correct
message is being presented.
Note: this will only be achieved if all the three
elements are aligned.

Feedback
Irrespective of how we communicate with another party the impact of the
message they wish to convey may be received differently from what we
intended, again possibly due to a differing perception. In order to minimize
misunderstanding we should always try and clarify by using feedback.
Project Leadership 243

F i g u r e 7.8   Misunderstanding feedback

Here he goes
again, blaming
‘I am worried about the me for
poor morale within your everything
department’

Intention Impact

Feedback

Types of feedback
There are two main types of feedback and they are the lifeblood of any project
and project team; without feedback team members will not know what they
are doing well and therefore what they should keep doing. They also won’t
know what they have done incorrectly and therefore what they must fix or
improve. The two types of feedback are:
●● Motivational. Tells a person what they have done well. Purpose:
to encourage the person and reinforce their good behaviour or
performance.
●● Developmental. Tells the person what could be improved upon. Purpose:
to help the person see how they could do a better job next time and/or
understand the impact of their actions and behaviours on others.

How to give feedback


●● Seek agreement from the receiver if appropriate.
●● Keep motivational and formative separate.
●● Make sure the timing is right.
●● Focus on behaviour and not the person.
●● Give specific examples.
●● Deliver in a positive supportive manner.
●● Demonstrate trust.
●● Deliver frequently – don’t store it up.
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How to receive feedback


Receiving feedback is often more difficult than giving it even when it is
motivational. The following are some pointers on how feedback should be
received.

Motivational
●● Accept the feedback graciously.
●● Don’t throw it back at the giver by saying ‘You must want something!’
or by denying it.
●● Thank the person for making the effort to give you the feedback.

Developmental
●● Listen and be receptive.
●● Clarify understanding if unclear.
●● Do not be defensive.
●● Do not deny the other person’s perception or experience.
●● Think about it – remember we rarely see ourselves as others do!
●● If you believe the feedback is unreasonable, seek the opinions of
others in a positive and objective manner. This may help you to decide
whether to accept and act upon it or not.
●● Thank the person for the feedback. Treat it as a gift!

Five stages of receiving developmental feedback


Receiving developmental feedback is often difficult and by human nature we
don’t want to hear it or accept it. However, remember it should be treated
as a gift and if delivered correctly (timely and with specific examples) it should
be useful in developing an individual within their role.
Typically the stages an individual will go through when receiving develop-
mental feedback are shown below.
1 Denial (‘It wasn’t my fault.’)
2 Anger/emotion (‘How dare they say that about me!’)
3 Rationalization (‘The only reason I did it was because ...’)
4 Acceptance (‘I think I can see now why they might think that way.’)
5 Take action (‘I had better do something about it.’)
The early stages of this model should be expected. However, with the correct
delivery, specific examples and time to reflect, the individual should get
through to the latter stages quite quickly.
Project Leadership 245

F i g u r e 7.9   Early stages of development feedback

Practice makes perfect, the more regularly you start giving and receiving
feedback the more natural it will become and the less defensive people will
be in receiving it.

Examples of giving feedback


Giving either type of feedback can be challenging; below are some examples
of how to deliver effective and useful feedback.
Motivational
‘One thing I particularly like about you is...’
‘I really appreciated it when you....’
‘Something I’ve noticed you do particularly well is...’
‘One of your real strengths is...’
Formative
‘What I’d like you to consider the next time is...’
‘When you did xxx it made me feel yyy...’
‘One thing I feel you could improve upon in your job is...’
‘I’m concerned that when you do xxx it will...’
Although motivational feedback can and should be delivered independently,
developmental feedback should be delivered by first giving motivational
feedback.
Example:

I really appreciated the detail that you included in the last performance
report to the client. He reported back he was so glad to see those additional
performance measures. (motivational)
246 20:20 Project Management

One area to consider next time is additional time required in preparing this
information as the client was a little concerned that the report was delivered
two days late. (developmental)

Action
Make a point of giving at least one piece of motivational feedback daily to each
of your immediate team; remember to be specific (‘well done, good job’ is not
specific).
In addition practise giving development feedback as soon as it is appropriate.
Again this should be delivered with specific, quantified examples.

Visionary
One of the key differences identified between management and leadership is
that a leader needs to be visionary. This is the ability to look into the future
and see the full picture of the project outcome.
A quote that sums up how a project team may feel at the beginning of
a project:

Give to us clear vision that we know where to stand and what to stand
for because unless we stand for something, we shall fall for anything.
(Peter Marshall)

It is therefore the job of the project manager to provide the clear vision the
project team desires.
Visionary leadership is often associated with senior management or com-
pany entrepreneurs; however, it is an essential requirement of the project
leader or project manager. In the early stages of a project the project manager
must be able to provide a vision of the final project deliverables and deliver
that vision to the team.
A visionary leader is effective in manifesting their vision because they
create specific, achievable goals, initiate action and enlist the participation of
others.
An effective project leader is often described as having a vision of where to
go and the ability to articulate it. Visionaries thrive on change and being able to
draw new boundaries. It was once said that a leader is someone who ‘lifts us
up, gives us a reason for being and gives the vision and spirit to change’.
Visionary leaders enable people to feel they have a real stake in the project.
They empower people to experience the vision on their own. They offer people
opportunities to create their own vision, to explore what the vision will mean
to their jobs and lives, and to envision their future as part of the vision for the
organization.
Project Leadership 247

Articulation of the vision


Projects often ‘fail’ because we simply fail to clearly articulate the vision and
the project’s ‘success criteria’. We also don’t successfully communicate it to
each stakeholder and team member. Relating back to the last section and the
importance of feedback, successfully communicating the vision and success
criteria is a two-way process. Good project leaders need to verify that the
message not only is received, but is translated to ‘what it means to me’ to
each role, task and stakeholder.
Clearly communicating the project’s vision and success criteria is a great
start and can begin by having each member of the team paraphrase and articu-
late that same message – but specifically associating it with their role and re-
sponsibilities in the project. Having each member understand the other team
members’ roles (in regards to the success criteria and vision) will also increase
the appreciation for each other’s responsibilities.
Stephen Covey in 7 Habits of Highly Effective People cites two habits that
apply equally to projects: ‘Habit 2: Begin with the end in mind’ and ‘Habit 5:
Seek first to understand, then to be understood’.

Preparing the vision


There are many approaches to strategic planning and visioning. A typical ap-
proach is shown below.

Ta b l e 7.3   Preparing the vision

Situation–Target– See–Think– Draw–See–Think–Plan


Proposal Draw

●● Situation – evaluate ●● See – what is ●● Draw – what is the


the current situation/ today’s ideal image or the
project /change and situation? desired end state?
how it came about ●● Think – define ●● See – what is today’s
●● Target – define goals goals/objectives situation? What is the
and/or objectives ●● Draw – map gap from ideal and why?
●● Path/Proposal – map a route to ●● Think – what specific
a possible route to the achieving the actions must be taken to
goals/objectives goals/objectives close the gap between
today’s situation and
the ideal state?
●● Plan – what resources
are required to execute
the activities?
248 20:20 Project Management

When draw is mentioned in the above process it is often a huge benefit to the
project team to actually draw an image of what the project goals, objectives,
outcomes can look like. It will also benefit if this is done as pictorially as
possible, utilizing a large blank area and using coloured paper, newspaper/
magazine clippings, coloured Post-its and stickers and anything that will provide
a long-lasting image. Remember, a picture paints a thousand words.

Tools and approaches


Among the most useful tools for strategic planning is SWOT analysis
(strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats). The main objective of this
tool is to analyse internal strategic factors, strengths and weaknesses attributed
to the organization, and external factors beyond the control of the organization
such as opportunities and threats. This approach has already been discussed
in Chapter 5, ‘Risk and your project’ but is equally useful in defining a vision
and objectives for the project.
Other tools include:
●● Balanced scorecards: which create a systematic framework for
strategic planning.
●● Scenario planning: the process in which managers invent and then
consider, in depth, several varied scenarios of equally plausible futures
with the objective to minimize surprises and unexpected leaps of
understanding.
●● PEST analysis: political, economic, social and technological.
●● STEEPLE analysis: social, technical, economic, environmental, political,
legal and ethical factors.

Motivation
The motivation of individuals within the project team plays a big part in
the delivery of the project objectives. Some of the traditional theories and
approaches to motivation are described below:

Motivational theories
Frederick Herzberg’s motivation and hygiene factors
Frederick Herzberg first established his theories about motivation in the work-
place. Herzberg’s work, originally on 200 Pittsburgh engineers and accountants,
has become one of the most replicated studies in the field of workplace
psychology.
Project Leadership 249

Herzberg was the first to show that satisfaction and dissatisfaction at


work nearly always arose from different factors, and were not simply opposing
reactions to the same factors, as had always previously been believed.
He showed that certain factors truly motivate (‘motivators’), whereas others
tended to lead to dissatisfaction (‘hygiene factors’).
According to Herzberg, man has two sets of needs: one as an animal to
avoid pain, and two as a human being to grow psychologically.
He illustrated this also through a Biblical example: Adam after his expulsion
from Eden having the need for food, warmth, shelter, safety, etc: the ‘hygiene’
needs; and Abraham, capable and achieving great things through self-­
development: the ‘motivational’ needs. Certain parallels can clearly be seen
with Maslow’s hierarchy theory which we cover later.
Herzberg’s research proved that people will strive to achieve hygiene needs
because they are unhappy without them, but once satisfied the effect soon
wears off – satisfaction is temporary. Examples of hygiene needs in the
workplace are policy, relationship with supervisor, work conditions, salary,
status, security, relationship with subordinates, personal life.

F i g u r e 7.10   Herzberg’s motivators and hygiene factors

45
% frequency cause of satisfaction
40 % frequency cause of dissatisfaction
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True motivators were found to be other completely different factors: achieve-


ment, recognition, work itself, responsibility, advancement, and personal
growth as shown in the graph.
250 20:20 Project Management

People commonly argue that money is a primary motivator. It’s not. Surveys
repeatedly show that other factors motivate more.

F i g u r e 7.11   Development Dimensions international survey results

A survey by Development Dimensions International published in the UK Times


newspaper in 2010 interviewed 1,000 staff from companies employing more than 500
workers, and found many to be bored, lacking commitment and looking for a new job.
Pay actually came fifth in the reasons people gave for leaving their jobs. The main
reasons were lack of stimulus and no opportunity for advancement − classic
Herzberg motivators − 43% left for better promotion chances; 28% for more challenging
work; 23% for a more exciting place to work; and 21% for more varied work.

Abraham Maslow’s hierarchy of needs motivational


model
Abraham Maslow developed the hierarchy of needs model in 1940s–1950s
USA. Maslow’s hierarchy of needs remains valid today for understanding
human motivation and for management training.
The model holds that each of us is motivated by needs. Our most basic
needs are inborn, having evolved over tens of thousands of years. Maslow’s
hierarchy of needs helps to explain how these needs motivate us all.
Maslow’s hierarchy of needs states that we must satisfy each need in turn,
starting with the first and lowest, which deals with the most obvious needs
for survival itself.
Only when the lower-order needs of physical and emotional well-being
are satisfied are we concerned with the higher-order needs of influence and
personal development.
Conversely, if the things that satisfy our lower-order needs are swept
away, we are no longer concerned about the maintenance of our higher-order
needs.
●● Biological and physiological needs: air, food, drink, shelter, warmth,
sex, sleep, etc.
●● Safety needs: protection from the elements, security, order, law, limits,
stability, etc.
●● Belongingness and love needs: work group, family, affection,
relationships, etc.
●● Esteem needs: self-esteem, achievement, mastery, independence,
status, dominance, prestige, managerial responsibility, etc.
●● Self-actualization needs: realizing personal potential, self-fulfilment,
seeking personal growth and peak experiences.
Project Leadership 251

F i g u r e 7.12   Maslow’s Hierarchy of Needs

Self-actualization
personal growth and fulfilment

Esteem Needs
achievement, status, responsibility, reputation

Belongingness and Love Needs


family, affection, relationships, work group, etc

Safety Needs
protection, security, order, law, limits, stability, etc

Biological and Physiological Needs


basic life needs − air, food, drink, shelter, warmth, sex, sleep, etc.

Motivation in projects
Project teams are different from normal teams, but does this mean the motiva­
tion within individuals will be different? The answer is no.
Does this mean that the above motivational theories will apply to all my
team members? Again the answer is no.
Motivation should be considered as the internal drive and desire within an
individual. Like a motor car, if it didn’t have an alternator to continually charge
its battery it would eventually stop. Motivation should be looked at in the
same way, an internal charge that is continually topping up the individual’s
motivational battery.
One thing the two theories above commonly show is that generally people
are ultimately motivated by responsibility, praise, acknowledgement, achieve-
ments, personal growth and fulfilment. However, everyone will be different.
Consider an individual within your team who has been a model team player
and has delivered well above your expectations. It is decided in return for their
exceptional work they should receive a promotion and they are given a senior
project management role within the company’s top project in West Africa.
After several months within the job you find the performance of the individual
has started to drop off. Why?
Maslow’s theory of motivation explains that what potentially has happened
is that the safety need and possibly the belonging needs have been removed,
the individual is now worried about their safety, they are also separated from
their friends, family, colleagues and day-to-day home activities. This would
imply that because these needs are not satisfied then the higher needs of
self-esteem and actualization cannot be fulfilled.
252 20:20 Project Management

A drop off in performance may also be seen when a team member is


experiencing family issues such as divorce or separation. Suddenly the belong­
ing needs have been removed and anything above is ignored.
This shows how motivation is an individual thing and although insight can be
gained from traditional motivational theories, it is the job of the project man-
ager to work closely with every individual within their team and establish what
is required to motivate that team member to achieve maximum performance.

Conflict management
Be willing to make decisions. That’s the most important quality in a good
leader. Don’t fall victim to what I call the ‘ready–aim–aim–aim–aim–aim
syndrome’. You must be willing to fire. (General George S Patton)

Conflict within projects can manifest itself in many different ways. At the
highest level, disagreements can lead to the pursuit of remedies through legal
channels and cost organizations large amounts of money. These normally
arise as a result of contractual issues. A good project manager knows when
to interdict and take action when conflict occurs.

People
At a lower level, conflict within a team may need to be dealt with by the leader
or manager using softer skills and techniques. They must recognize that the
pressures associated with achieving quality objectives will inevitably lead to
conflict. It is people who will achieve these objectives for you, but people are
complex and will require motivation and support. The detrimental aspects of
conflict can be minimized, if the project manager anticipates the potential
conflicts and understands their determinants.
Conflict can arise from any of the following players:
●● managers;
●● senior management;
●● client;
●● team members;
●● subcontractors.

Causes of conflict
Potential causes of conflict are:
●● diversity of disciplinary expertise;
●● task interdependency;
●● poor leadership by the project manager;
Project Leadership 253

●● insufficient authority given to the project manager;


●● lack of communication or an understanding of objectives;
●● lack of organization structures and role ambiguity;
●● human emotion;
●● the prospect of change.

Sources of conflict
A study by Hans J Thamhain (GEC) and David L Wilemon (Syracuse University)
identified seven potential sources of conflict within projects:
●● Conflict over project priorities. Differences of opinion over the
sequence in which tasks should be undertaken. Such conflicts may
not only occur between the project team and other support groups,
but also within the team itself.
●● Conflict over administrative procedures. A number of managerial
and administrative-oriented conflicts may develop over how the
project will be managed, for example the project manager’s reporting
relationships, definition of responsibilities, interface relationships,
project scope, operational requirements, plan of execution, negotiated
work agreements with other groups and administrative support.
●● Conflict over technical opinions and performance trade-offs. In
technology-oriented projects disagreements may arise around the
staffing of the project team, with personnel from other functional
and staff support areas, or from the desire to use other departments’
personnel for project support, even though the personnel remain
under the authority of their functional or staff superiors.
●● Conflict over manpower resources. Conflict may arise over the staffing
of the project team from personnel, under the authority of other
functional support groups, or superiors.
●● Conflict over cost. Frequently, conflict may develop over cost estimates
from support areas regarding various project work breakdown packages,
eg the funds allocated by the project manager to a functional support
group might be perceived as insufficient for the support requested.
●● Conflict over schedules. Disagreements may develop around the
timing, sequencing and scheduling of project-related tasks.
●● Personality conflict. Disagreements may tend to centre on interpersonal
differences (‘ego’ centred), rather than on ‘technical’ issues.
In addition to this, a very common cause of conflict in a project environment
can occur in the relationship between project manager and functional man-
ager. This relationship needs to be open, communicative and focused. In a
very real sense, this amounts to a relationship based upon negotiation and
understanding.
254 20:20 Project Management

The conflict cycle


Professor Morton Deutsch of Columbia University uses a clock face to de-
scribe a cycle of conflict.

F i g u r e 7.13   Deutsch’s conflict cycle

Attitudes,
Beliefs and
Opinions

12
11 1

10 2
A Conflict
Consequences 9 3 Occurs

8 4

7 5
6

Behaviour:
Constructive
or Destructive

The cycle of conflict can be an unbroken loop that is fuelled by a disputant’s


sense of being wronged. Deutsch says: ‘Conflicts occur when two or more
people perceive incompatible differences between or threats to their resources,
needs, or values.’
However, the conflict cycle can be broken at two key places: 12:00 (attitudes
and beliefs) or 6:00 (behaviour). These places serve as ‘gateways’ to break
destructive attitudes or behaviours. To change the conflict cycle, consider
three ‘challenges’:
●● Promote awareness of new attitudes and beliefs.
●● Develop a willingness to change.
●● Build new skills.
The skills required for dealing with conflict will depend on the conflict-handling
mode that is most appropriate for the situation.
Project Leadership 255

Dealing with conflict


Considering the clock face, ideally we should deal with conflict at 12:00, ie by
understanding attitudes and beliefs. This is in effect trying to understand
the other party’s point of view and coming to resolution before a conflict has
effectively started. One tool that can help us understand the source of the
conflict is the PIN model.

The PIN model


A good decision regarding conflict means a ‘win–win’ response, where both
disputants feel that their interests have been met. By using the PIN model the
focus will be on the root of the conflict and not just the conflict statement.
P: position: What we want.
I: interest: Why we want it.
N: needs: What we must have.
The conflict usually arises because of two different positions. If each party is
fixated on their own position the conflict will not be resolved. It is therefore
the intention of the PIN model to help parties drive below each position and
find out what is driving each position or stance.
This can only be achieved through wanting to resolve the conflict, by allocat­
ing time to resolve the conflict, by establishing trust between the parties and
being open to listening to each other’s interest and needs.
By using the PIN model and asking the appropriate questions to establish
each party‘s interests and needs the final position may be adjusted to suit the
common interests and needs of each party.

Defining basic needs


The problem-solving strategies of conflict management address needs, and
create opportunities for those needs to be satisfied. When individuals choose
to continue the conflict, no one’s basic needs are fulfilled. Basic psychological
needs are the root of almost all conflict. The impulse to meet these needs
during a conflict is so strong that we can act irrationally, even violently, if they
are not satisfied.

Differing perceptions?
Discuss them and make them explicit; do not lay blame.
Consider:

Your department is totally unreliable, every time you process my expenses


you do a lousy job.
256 20:20 Project Management

Or:

This month’s expense claim is incorrect and overdue by five days. This has
happened each month for three months. Can we discuss the situation and
see what the likely solutions are?

Involve them in the process of reaching a conclusion, explain your position,


get their commitment and involvement in the solution.

Conflict resolution approaches


If we cannot deal with our conflict at 12:00 then it may be necessary to try and
break the cycle at 6:00, ie via behaviours.
The following diagram shows various options project managers have for
dealing with the challenge of conflict management.
To reach a resolution that is amenable to both parties a balance of assert-
iveness and cooperation is required.

F i g u r e 7.14   Conflict management options

Competition Collaboration
Assertive

Compromise

Avoidance Accommodation

Cooperative

Avoidance
When a leader employs this option, they are ignoring the conflict, letting it be.
For whatever reason, the leader may feel that the conflict is not worth the
effort to resolve. This could be complete avoidance (never planning to come
back to the conflict) or it could be avoiding the conflict at the present time and
coming back to it later, when conditions are more favourable. Avoiding conflict
does not deal with the issues at hand.

Accommodation
Accommodation is agreement through yielding or conforming to the positions
of others; cooperation in an effort to create harmony, even at the expense of
your own ideas and values; agreement in the name of peace and tranquillity,
Project Leadership 257

knowing full well that you don’t entirely buy into it. Accommodators may not
always be famous for their creativity, but can often be relied upon for social
tact and diplomacy.

Compromise
Compromise involves a search for a solution which is mutually acceptable.
Compromise involves two or more parties coming together and ‘meeting in
the middle’. With compromise, there will be give and take to get to the middle
ground. ‘Everybody wins something, but does not get everything.’ People
who compromise settle for the best they can get, as opposed to reaching a
decision that everyone wants. Compromise may be one of the best ways of
dealing with conflict when time is short, or when total agreement is impossible.

Competition
This is the offensive, aggressive approach to conflict resolution. It is especially
attractive to those in power and authority who like to ‘get things done’ and
‘win’. One of the criticisms of competition is that it takes advantage of
the opposition’s weakness, by resorting to various strategies and tactics
which have a disarming nature. In a competitive situation, there is little listen-
ing, little information sharing, and little interpersonal reasoning. Leaders who
fall into this area often make decisions without input from others, if any.
Competitive leadership is often viewed as inappropriate and destructive by
group members.

Collaboration
Collaboration is a total-membership approach to conflict resolution. In the
collaborative model, the group:
●● accepts the fact that there is conflict;
●● takes time for sharing of values, needs, interests and resources;
●● discovers many possible solutions and weighs the consequences of
each;
●● selects the alternative that best meets the needs and concerns of each
member;
●● forms a team plan, implements and evaluates the outcomes.
Collaboration takes more time and requires higher levels of
commitment than other leadership approaches to disagreement.
Therefore, it is often reserved for those issues of greatest importance to the
membership.
Collaboration is the vehicle which:
●● generates the most creative solutions;
●● gets the greatest membership support;
●● produces the greatest amount of personal growth.
258 20:20 Project Management

The above list is designed to be helpful in describing different styles of


leadership which can be used in the area of conflict management. There is no
single best approach that will help a project manager deal with every conflict
situation. It is up to each project manager to develop a situational style which
incorporates many different ways of dealing with conflict. Effective project
leadership is leadership which is adaptive. If leaders are able to adapt to
varying conflict situations and manage them accordingly, they will be highly
acclaimed!

Conflict resolution summary


●● Address the substance of the conflict.
●● Address the procedures for dealing with the conflict (policies,
intervention strategies, etc).
●● Separate the relationship that people have with the conflict, from the
substance of the conflict.
●● Discuss everyone’s perceptions of the conflict.
●● Be sensitive to the emotions which may be stirred as a result of the
conflict.
●● Address the emotions and acknowledge them as legitimate.
●● Listen actively – listen to what is being said before developing a
response.
●● Focus on interests, not positions.
●● Look for compatible interests and points of agreement.
●● Be hard on the conflict, soft on the people.
●● Brainstorm your options to solve the conflict.
●● Look for mutual gain.
●● Reason and be open to reason.
●● Use equity and fairness in your standards and procedures.
●● Check to see if all parties are comfortable with the outcomes.
Project Leadership 259

C ASE S T UDY   Leadership at Southwest Airlines (USA)

People are at the heart of Southwest Airlines. Companies come from all over the world to
find out what makes their people so special, capable of delivering service levels that are
widely said to be the best in the business. It is now acknowledged that treating your people
right leads to your people treating each other and your customers right. Other organizations
are beginning to learn this. Southwest have known and lived it ever since they started –
when the plans for the company were drawn up on a napkin over 30 years ago.
Herb Kelleher, the president, sets the tone for the Southwest culture in that, for Herb,
not to have fun at work is almost a sin. Life is simply too short, he says. A small example:
if there is a flight delay, the Southwest people at the departure gate have been known to
open a locker, pull out a handful of pipe cleaners and then hold a competition between the
passengers to see who can make the funniest pair of glasses out of the cleaners. Herb is
often amongst them, helping passengers enjoy the time they spend with Southwest.
But to put into practice the ‘work is fun’ philosophy you cannot rely on just one person
to drive it. When you are a three-plane operation with 30 employees, the inspiration and
leadership of the boss’s personality are there for all to see every day. When you have
grown from that to run a fleet of 284 planes with 27,000 employees, flying over 50 million
customers a year, generating a profit of over $318 million, then the philosophy needs to
run through the whole organization. So where do you start?
As with many organizations, the people policy starts with the mission statement
which is:
Southwest Airlines is dedicated to the highest quality of customer service delivered with a sense
of warmth, friendliness, individual pride and company spirit.
We are committed to provide our employees a stable work environment with equal opportunity
for learning and personal growth.
Creativity and innovation are encouraged for improving the effectiveness of Southwest Airlines.
Above all, employees will provide the same concern, respect and caring attitude within the
organization that they are expected to share externally with every Southwest customer.
The Southwest mission statement is based on unique core values. Many of these are standard
and easy to recognize if you have your own value statements as an organization; apart from the
fact that our values include the words love, family and fun. ‘How can you talk about love in a
corporate environment?’ you may ask. At Southwest when you walk into the building, you see
pictures on the walls of employees, their families, their children and even their pets. On birthdays,
Southwest employees get a card at home from us. If there is a family tragedy, they get support
from everyone in the company. In short, the Southwest secret, if you want to call it that, is that
we do all the things a family does to support each other.
This is emphatically not just ‘feel good’ stuff. Soutwest can operate in this way because the
company’s foundations make pragmatic business sense.
260

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261

Teams and 08
your project

Introduction


Coming together is a beginning, keeping together is progress,
working together is success.  Henry Ford

T he success of any project is hugely influenced by the project team tasked


with delivering it. Even the best-planned projects may fail to meet their
objectives if the project team does not perform to the best of their ability. The
effective development and integration of the project team is essential in the
successes of a project as it is the project team who will be responsible for
delivery of the scope throughout the project life cycle.
It is therefore essential to understand the processes required to organize,
manage and develop the project team.
It is useful to remember that the project team does not necessarily only
consist of the immediate team members but also project stakeholders such
as customers, partners and sponsors.
This chapter explores the mechanics and phases of team development,
highlights some of the challenges to expect throughout the project life
cycle and also describes some useful tools for the development of a strong
integrated team. Although leadership is an essential element in the develop-
ment of a successful team, this chapter will emphasize the technical aspects
of leadership and team development with the soft skills being covered in
more detail in Chapter 7 ‘Project leadership’.
In this chapter we will cover:
●● team requirements – determining the team requirements for the
project;
●● team development – developing a group of people into a team;
●● team management – managing your team for maximum
effectiveness.
262 20:20 Project Management

Team requirements
Before a team can be developed it is essential to establish the team require-
ments for the project. Like many of the areas already discussed, this is part
of the planning process, where not only do we need to plan the cost, time
and quality aspects of the project we need to plan what resources including
people are required to achieve the project outcomes.
Like many planning activities this is an iterative process, where as part of
the scheduling process you may estimate the requirement for five specialist
resources to work on a task at a cost of £1,000 per day for a four-week period
between March and April. However, when you research the availability within
your organization or the open market you find only two can be found at a cost
of £2,000 per day and they are not available until May. This will then potentially
affect the cost and timing of the task they are assigned to and in turn the
overall project.

F i g u r e 8.1   The balancing act

Cost

Time Resources

Scope

This balance of cost, time, quality and resources can be a constant headache
in the planning process.

The project management team


The first step in defining the project team requirement is to establish the
project management team. This is often a subset of the overall project team
and will be responsible for the project management and leadership activities
such as start-up, planning, executing, monitoring, controlling and closing the
various project phases. This is also sometimes referred to as the executive or
leadership team. By establishing this group early in the project it will assist
with the planning process and help establish a context for the project.
The project management team needs to clearly understand the require-
ments and deliverables of the project as well as being aware of the organiza-
tion’s overall strategy, objectives and drivers. It is also essential for the PMT
Teams and Your Project 263

to understand the organization’s professional and ethical requirements and


subscribe to them and ensure that the project complies with them.

Human resource plan


The key to establishing and acquiring an effective team is by first developing a
human resource plan for the project. As mentioned earlier, this is an iterative
process which outlines clearly the requirements for the project. This requires
a clear understanding of the personnel available inside (and potentially outside)
the organization.
As a minimum the human resource plan should include the following:
●● responsibility assignment matrix (RAM);
●● organization chart;
●● resource management plan showing how and when people are deployed;
●● training plan;
●● recognition and reward scheme;
●● health, safety and regulations as appropriate to the project.

Responsibility assignment matrix (RAM)


The responsibility assignment matrix or RAM is key to identifying what
resources will be required to executed the tasks within the project. To develop
a responsibility assignment matrix or RAM, it is often useful to use the RACI
process. This is a valuable tool which will help to clarify ownership to various
parts of your project.
Once the project deliverables have been identified via work breakdown
structure (WBS), we will need to define those actions and activities that need
to be done to produce the lowest-level deliverables. This is a key planning
activity and is covered in Chapter 2, ‘Defining your project’.
If we look at the office relocation project we used previously, we provided
an example of a project WBS by decomposing the work down to a manage­
able and workable level. The example we used is shown in Figure 8.2.
Note: the order of the activities doesn’t need to be in any logical order at this
point. However, once you have your list of activities for each deliverable, you
are ready to use the RACI process to assign them to the personnel associated
with the project.
Basically, RACI is a method to assign activities to resources by name or by
function. RACI is an acronym that stands for four types of task assignments:
●● responsible;
●● accountable;
●● consulted;
●● informed.
264

F i g u r e 8.2   Simulation project: WBS

Office Relocation
1.0

Office Project
Legal IT Procurement
Configuration Management
1.1 1.2 1.3
1.4 1.5

Procure Soundproof
Communication Hardware Testing Booths Client Area Project Staff
1.2.1 1.2.2 1.2.3 1.4.1 1.4.2
Procure Cat 5
Cabling
Procure
Install Cat 5 Install Test IT Install Soundproof Relocate Staff
Hardware
Cabling Hardware Functionality Booths
Final Integrity Relocate Furniture
Test
Teams and Your Project 265

So, let’s talk about the four types of assignments.

Responsible
The first type of assignment is ‘R’, which stands for ‘responsible’. The person
assigned as ‘responsible’ for a task is the person, or role, that is responsible
for actually performing the work for the task. A few guidelines to keep in mind
... When no one is assigned as responsible for the task, chances are that it
won’t get done. Also, when many people are assigned to completing the work,
it requires a lot of coordination and usually means further decomposition is
required to make sure everyone is clear about what specifically they need to
work on. Finally, if a specific person is assigned as the ‘R’ to multiple tasks
they may become overloaded. In this case, you may want to see if someone
else can fill in as the ‘R’ on some of the tasks.

Accountable
The second type of assignment is ‘A’, which stands for ‘accountable’. This is
the person who is held accountable for the task getting completed. One
guideline to keep in mind for the person assigned as ‘accountable’ is to
ensure only one person is assigned as accountable for each task being per-
formed. If you end up trying to assign multiple people to a particular task you
will end up with a lot of finger pointing and confusion when issues occur.

Consulted
The next type is ‘consulted’ – the ‘C’. These are the people involved and
consulted prior to a task being performed. Essentially, their input is sought
after and factored in prior to action taking place. As the number of people
consulted increases, the speed with which action can be taken decreases.
Conversely, too few and improper decisions and actions may be made without
those whose buy-in is required being assigned as a ‘C’.

Informed
Finally, ‘I’ signifies those that need to be informed on the status and comple-
tion of a task. If necessary parties aren’t informed, then confusion and delays
can arise from other resources wondering whether preceding dependent
tasks are completed. However, if there are people that are informed that don’t
need to be, you may be wasting their time with e-mails or status reports on
tasks.
So, those are the four types of resource assignments. It should be noted
that you may have resources with multiple assignments on a task. For example,
you may have the person assigned as accountable for the task completion
also responsible for doing the work.
An example of a RACI chart for the simulation project can be seen overleaf.
266 20:20 Project Management

Ta b l e 8.1   Simulation project: RACI chart

Task R A C I

Install Hardware IT PM CM PL

Install CAT 5 Cabling CM PM BS Pl

Relocate Furniture BM PM OS ST

Procure Hardware BY SM PM IT

IT – IT Manager PM – Project Manager


CM – Communications Manager BM – Building Services Manager
PL – Planner OS – Office Services
ST – Staff BY – Buyer
SM – Supply Chain Manager

This process should be applied to all the work that needs to be delivered
within the project to ensure each piece of work is ‘owned’ with appropriate
consultation and information in place.
The RACI diagram can also be used higher up in the WBS structure if a full
decomposition has not been conducted, eg in the above example it would
be perfectly acceptable to assign 1.2.3 Testing and all the tasks below it to
appropriate parties.

Project organizational chart


A project organizational chart is a detailed and document-based graphical
representation of the team to outline specific roles, duties and responsibilities
of the team members and other stakeholders participating in the project, and
to formally constitute how exactly they are expected to collaborate with each
other throughout the course of the project implementation process. It is also
regarded as a mechanism of managing team development processes through
designing training programmes based on the group relationships established
by the chart.
Teams and Your Project 267

The project manager usually uses the organizational chart to keep track of
the processes associated with team management, and to record particular
relationships between group members during the course of the project life
cycle. Team members can use the chart to clarify what roles and responsibilities
they have been assigned to, who will share those roles, and who will manage
and lead their efforts.
The following is a checklist of the key tasks for creating a project team
organizational chart:
●● Make a project team list. Assemble a list of all the personnel you
require to participate in the project. This should be available from the
human resource plan produced as part of your scheduling process.
At this point in time if you do not have names you should use positions
or job descriptions for the project.
●● Reassess stakeholders. Once your team is formed, you now need
to identify the stakeholders or those people/organizations having a
direct interest in or affected by your project. Typical examples are
the sponsor and the customer. Note that although some stakeholders
are not participants in the team, they’re added to the project team
organizational plan because they influence decisions of the team.
●● Expand on job descriptions and responsibilities. Build detailed job
descriptions and responsibilities for each role on your list. This is
important in clarifying the boundaries between roles and also
establishing specific objectives.
●● Build the chart. Finally, use all the data to create the chart and display
relationships between the team and stakeholders on it. The relationships
will show who is reporting to whom and what supervisory mechanism
is used for leading teamwork.
An example organizational chart (Figure 8.3) is shown on the following page.

Resource management plan


The resource management plan, which is often represented as a histogram,
is an output from the scheduling process, which typically indicates which
resources are required and when. It may be used to establish when individuals
or teams require to be mobilized or when tasks need to be moved to allow for
availability issues or to smooth out peaks and troughs.
Consider the histogram in Figure 8.4. It indicates when and how much of
an individual resource is required. It shows a requirement for a total of 144
man days of labour over a 16-day period with a maximum of 16 and minimum
of 1.
268

F i g u r e 8.3   Simulation project: organizational chart

Owner
Client Manager of
Controller
Representative Operating Facility

Project
Task Force

Project Team
Project Manager

Project Control
Engineer

Engineering Construction Administration Facility Operations


Manager Manager Manager Manager

Safety and Estimates and


Security Cost Control

Project Construction Purchasing/ Liaison


Engineers Supervisors Accounting Engineers
Teams and Your Project 269

F i g u r e 8.4   Original resource requirements histogram

18
16
Labour
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Days

Although this indicates what resources are required to complete the work it
may not be the most efficient use of the personnel involved. In the example
above a team of approximately 14 labourers would need to be assembled for
five days, reallocated elsewhere for six days then mobilized again for five.
It would be more efficient and potentially more cost effective if the work
was carried out in the manner depicted by the histogram below, where a team
could be mobilized for the early part of the work and then disbanded, leaving
two labour resources to complete the last six days.

F i g u r e 8.5   Revised resource requirements histogram

16
Labour
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Days
270 20:20 Project Management

This again indicates the iterative planning process required to establish an


efficient relationship between the project cost, schedule, scope and resources.

Training plan
In addition to the requirements highlighted above it is important at this point
in the team development cycle to start considering the training requirements
for the project team members to ensure they are competent in the delivery
of all their responsibilities. This may include organization-specific training on
software or systems, management or leadership training, safety or HSE training
or specific technical training. This should be established as early as possible
and scheduled into the resource management plan.

Recognition and reward scheme


As part of the motivation of the team a recognition and reward scheme should
be established in the team requirement phase as this may also impact on
other areas of the project such as cost and time.
The motivation of the team and its individuals is very important and is
covered in more detail in the team development and team management areas
of this chapter and is very specific to each individual team member. However,
establishing an outline of the recognition and reward scheme will help to rein-
force the importance of the key project deliverables and focus the team on the
important aspects of the project.
The following are some examples of where project rewards and incentives
could be focused:
●● safety – delivery of an agreed number of work hours without a safety
incident;
●● timing – meeting established and agreed milestones in a timely manner;
●● costs – bringing project deliverables in with the costs defined;
●● quality – delivering the project within an agreed amount of
non-conformance;
●● progress/earned value – meeting established progress KPIs and
measures;
●● Team member of the month.
The delivery of effective awards and incentives can be very difficult to establish
and will need quote a lot of working through. For example, if a financial reward
is promised to the team for a 100 per cent safety record, safety incidents
may be hidden from view so the award is granted. This could be rectified by
establishing a reward for the reporting of safety incidents; the danger then is
people report non-existent incidents in order to gain the reward.
Recognition and rewards should be established to help the team focus on
the project objectives and deliverables but introduced with care to ensure they
don’t do the opposite and interfere with the effective delivery of the objectives.
Teams and Your Project 271

Team requirement: checklist


The main deliverable and outputs from defining the team requirements
will be:
●● The human resource plan, which will define a list of roles and
responsibilities required for the project. It will clarify the authority
levels, responsibilities, competencies and boundaries. It will in turn
contain:
●● A project organization chart showing the team roles and the reporting
structure.
●● The resource management plan, which describes how human resource
requirements will be met; are suitable skills available or will they need
to be contracted from elsewhere? What is the location of the work and
what challenges will that bring?
●● Training programmes, which will be considered for staff to suit the
particular skills that need to be developed to execute the project.
●● Recognition and reward schemes: what and how the team and
individuals will be recognized and rewarded for their achievements.

Team development
It should first be noted that bringing a group of people together does not
necessarily constitute a team, especially not an effective working team. One
of the biggest mistakes made by project managers is not recognizing this
as a fact and then expecting their project team to hit the ground running from
day one.
Think back to any group of individuals you met for the first time, or even
people you now consider your friends; how did you react and behave when
you first met? Whatever way it was it can be guaranteed that the dynamics of
the group and the behaviours of the individuals changed over time.
The key to successful team development is recognizing the dynamics,
behaviours, attitudes, views, communication and performance of the project
team will change as the team matures. It is the project manager’s responsibility
to manage the team’s development to ensure a cohesive integrated team is
founded.

Team growth
In 1965 Dr Bruce Tuckman published his team growth model which indicated the
potential stages a team may go through from commencement to conclusion.
His initial stages consisted of forming, storming, norming, performing. How­
ever, he then later added a fifth stage, adjourning. Although established more
272 20:20 Project Management

than 40 years ago his theory and observation still hold good in today’s project
environment.
Tuckman’s model explains that as the team develops maturity and ability,
relationships establish, behaviours and attitudes change and the whole dynamic
of the team evolves. The diagram here shows the initial four stages of Dr
Tuckman’s model.

F i g u r e 8.6   The Tuckman model

Forming

Performing Storming

Norming

Moving through the model


Teams may develop very quickly and move quite easily to the performing
stages; equally, teams may (and often do) get stuck in the storming stage.
It is important to recognize what stage your team is in and what needs to be
done to move it through to performing.
It is also important to note that a team may slip back to a previous stage,
due to a change in the team’s dynamic or goals, eg a team may move back to
forming when a new member joins or a new leader is appointed, or a team
may move back to storming if a project goal has been changed or has failed to
be achieved.
A summary of the expectations and leadership commitment for each of the
stages can be seen in the following summary.
Teams and Your Project 273

F i g u r e 8.7   Tuckman model stages

STAGE 1 - FORMING STAGE 2 - FORMING


People are cautious. They are making a transition from individual People are impatient at lack of progress, but still too inexperienced
to team member status. to know much about the right approach or right decision.

Characteristics may be: Characteristics may be:


• Slow progress on work • Resistant to working together, not wanting to collaborate
• Suspicion, fear, or anxiety about the job ahead • Resistant and feeling uncomfortable towards new working methods
• Excitement, anticipation, and optimism • Arguing over minor issues and agreeing on major issues
• Tentative attachment to the team • Defensive and competitive
• Attempts to define the task and how it will be accomplished • Questioning the team sponsor and their recruitment of members
• Long discussions of the issues, impatience from some members • Concerned about excessive volume of work, unrealistic goals

Leading a team through Stage 1 (Forming) Leading a team through Stage 2 (Storming)
• Leader should build trust and confidence • Leader needs to build self-direction
• Help people to get to know each other • Resolve any issues of power and authority
• Provide a clear direction and purpose • Develop agreements about how and who will make
• Involve the members in plans, agreeing decisins
roles and team values • Allow team to be more independent, individuals to
• Provide enough information to get started take responsibility
Storming
Summary
Forming Summary
High dependence on leader for guidance and direction. Little Decisions don‘t come easily within group. Team members vie for
agreement on team aims other than received from leader. Individual position as they attempt to establish themselves in relation to other
roles and responsibilities are unclear. Leader must be prepared to team members and the leader, who might receive challenges from
answer lots of questions about the team’s purpose, objectives team members. Clarity of purpose increases but plenty of uncertainties
and external relationships. persist. Cliques and factions form and there may be power struggles.
Processes are often ignored. Members test tolerance of system The team needs to be focused on its goals to avoid becoming
and leader. distracted by relationships and emotional issues. Compromises may
Leader needs to provide direction and clarify goals, roles and be required to enable progress. Leader needs to coach and deal with
objectives. any conflicts that may arise.

Forming

The Tuckman Performing Storming 4 Stages of


Model Team Growth

Norming

STAGE 4 - PERFORMING STAGE 3 - NORMING


People have discovered and accepted each other’s strengths and People are getting used to working together. They are helping each
weaknesses. They are performing together. other and beginning to understand each other.

Characteristics may include: Characteristics may be:


• Satisfaction at team’s progress • A sense of cohesion, team spirit
• Close attachment to the team • Acceptance of the team and being part of it
• Understanding of group processes • Relief that things are working out
• Constructive self change • More friendly and open discussion
• Ability to resolve group problems • Confiding in each other, discussing problems
Performing • Constructively giving feedback
Leading a team through Stage 4 (Performing) • Maintaining the ground rules etc. (the “Norms”) Norming
• The leader should continue to build and encourage openness • Significant progress is made
• Ensure methods and procedures support co-operation.
• Help the team understand how to manage change. Leading a team through Stage 3 (Norming)
• Represent and be an advocate for the team to others. • Leader needs to build co-operation
• Monitor progress and celebrate successes and achievements. • Fully use the member’s skills, knowledge and experience
• Encourage and acknowledge member’s respect for each other
Summary • Encourage members to work collaboratively
The team is more strategically aware; the team knows clearly why
it is doing what it is doing. The team has a shared vision and is able Summary
to stand on its own feet with no interference or participation from Agreement and consensus is largely formed among team, who
the leader. There is a focus on over-achieving goals, and the team respond well to facilitation by leader. Roles and responsibilities are clear
makes most of the decisions against criteria agreed with the leader. and accepted. Big decisions are made by group agreement. Smaller
The team has a high degree of autonomy. Disagreements occur but decisions may be delegated to individuals or small teams within group.
now they are resolved within the team positively and necessary Commitment and unity is strong. The team may engage in fun and
changes to processes and structure are made by the team. The team social activities. The team discusses and develops its processes and
is able to work towards achieving the goal, and also to attend to working style. There is general respect for the leader and some of
relationship, style and process issues along the way. Team members leadership is more shared by the team. Leader facilitates and enables
look after each other. team decisons.
274 20:20 Project Management

Developing the project team


The key objective in this process is to consider the competencies of the team
and to develop and improve the skills to enhance project performance. In the
first case the project manager must acquire suitable skills to firstly identify the
skills required, build the project team by motivating the team members by
providing leadership and inspiration in order to achieve high performance in
order to achieve the project’s objectives.
Teamwork and strong open communication are critical for project success
and the project manager must create a suitable environment for this to
develop. Conflicts need to be managed in a constructive manner which will
encourage collaboration, enhance problem solving and ensure good decisions
are taken in a timely fashion.
Cultural and language barriers need to be accepted and team members
need to respect each other to develop the trust required to deliver the project.
The project manager must seek suitable resources from stakeholders to
assist with the development of their team.

Develop the project team – tools and techniques


Good interpersonal skills are key to successful team development. They
are sometimes known as ‘soft skills’ and the project manager and the team
members in general need to work together to recognize each other’s strengths
and weaknesses. This will engender good team spirit and cooperation. The
project manager needs to be a good facilitator to develop the valuable assets
that are the team members.
Focused training is important and this should be based on delivering the
technical skills required. This is often achieved by coaching and mentoring and
will also be the outcome of performance appraisals.
Formal and informal team-building activities will play a part in bonding the
team members and are particularly valuable when the team operates from
disparate and remote locations.
Successful teams can:
●● coordinate individual effort, to tackle complex tasks;
●● utilize the expertise and knowledge of everyone involved, which might
otherwise remain untapped;
●● improve and sustain motivation and confidence, so team members feel
supported and involved;
●● encourage synergy of ideas to solve problems and spark ideas;
●● help improve communication;
●● raise the level of individual and collective empowerment;
●● support initiatives and change.
Teams and Your Project 275

A simple ‘Team health check’ is provided at the end of the chapter to gauge
whether a team is performing or in one of the other three stages.

Develop project team – outputs


The key output here is having a robust and reliable system for team performance
assessments.
Accurate measurement of the team’s performance is important for two
reasons:
●● to measure the effectiveness of team-building strategies, training and
other investments;
●● to measure technical success against agreed project objectives.
High-performing teams are characterized by task-oriented and
results-oriented outcomes.
Further specific and focused training and coaching are a likely outcome from
performance assessments.

Managing the project team


This process revolves around monitoring team member performance, motivat­
ing and leading the team and resolving issues.
Conflict is inevitable in a project environment and when effectively managed
results in greater productivity and improved decision making. Some tech-
niques for managing conflict within a team are discussed in the ‘Leadership’
chapter of this book.

Interpersonal skills
As discussed under ‘Develop the project team – tools and techniques’, inter-
personal skills have a large part to play in the successful management of a
project team. Project managers require strong leadership and influencing
skills which can support the need to negotiate on a variety of issues and with
a variety of people and organizations.
It is absolutely paramount to the success of any work that the manager is
able to lead the team within a relatively unstructured environment. This will
involve dealing with managers and personnel across a wide range of functional
positions, often with little formal authority.
Harold Kerzner, a well-known project management guru, suggests that an
effective management style may be as follows:
●● clear project leadership and direction;
●● assistance in problem solving;
●● facilitating the integration of new members into the team;
●● ability to handle interpersonal conflict;
276 20:20 Project Management

●● facilitating group discussions;


●● capability to plan and elicit commitments;
●● ability to communicate clearly;
●● presentation of the team to higher management;
●● ability to balance technical solutions against economic and human factors.

What is expected of a project manager?


In addition to dealing with the team and the objectives and deliverables of
the project, the manager also has to communicate and report to his line
management. Regardless of the project and the problems that may arise, line
management expect the project manager to show all of the traits listed below:
●● Precisely extract the relevant fact about the project.
●● Highlight any problems that are exceptional to the objectives of the
project.
●● Filter out unimportant and irrelevant information.
●● Be enthusiastic and confident in leading the project and the team.
This can be made quite difficult due to the fact that the information received
on projects can be misleading, ambiguous and often deceptive. It is therefore
necessary to use the team and communication to improve the quality of
information reported.

Team chemistry
As discussed, even the best-defined, appraised and planned jobs can fail to
deliver on their objectives. One of the key reasons for this is that the chemistry
amongst the team is just not right, resulting in familiar situations such as:
●● conflict between individuals;
●● low morale, leading to poor productivity and quality;
●● lack of motivation of individuals;
●● high turnover of team members;
●● lack of communication and cooperation between groups.
Problems like these impact directly upon the key project objectives of:
●● time: delay in work due to lack of cooperation and poor motivation;
●● cost: duplication of effort; bringing in replacement team members;
●● quality: lack of responsibility; people in the wrong role being careless;
●● safety: not paying attention to problems that affect the whole project
and the whole team.
Teams and Your Project 277

Traditionally, we examine three main areas when selecting individuals for a


particular role. These are generally based on either a CV or recommendations.
However, we tend to judge a person’s ability to perform within a team on their
qualifications (academic qualifications, professional body accreditation), ex­
perience (who they have worked with before, what they achieved) or behaviour
(often based on a short interview and references). How an individual behaves
or interacts within a team is generally more important than the qualification or
experience they have gained, but it is the most difficult to measure.

F i g u r e 8.8   Team member suitability

Suitability Behaviour
Qua

e
nc
lific

rie
atio

pe
Ex
ns

The effective performance of a team is dependent on the way the team is


able to interact, and draw on the strengths of its members.
People working within a group or team bring to the group two key things.
The first is their competency, specialist knowledge, qualifications, experience,
etc, which are typically the reasons why they have been hired. These might
include: computer skills, joinery, understanding of production techniques, typing
proficiency, knowledge of health and safety, and an almost infinite array of
other things. This is often called ‘task’ focus. The second is the way they work
with and contribute to a group, thereby enhancing the effectiveness of the
group. This is often called ‘team’ focus.
Obviously the task focus is concerned with getting the job done. Less
obviously, the team focus is concerned with how the job gets done.

Team behaviour
In the early 1980s an Englishman called Meredith Belbin observed that some
companies were employing the most elite personnel they could find in their
field, yet when these people were formed into teams, some teams performed
significantly better than others. This led him to research why this was the
case; the results of his work are now applied worldwide, in organizations large
and small to help in the selection and managing of project teams.
278 20:20 Project Management

The nine Belbin team roles indicate how an individual operates within the
team and concerns their tendency to behave, contribute to the team or relate
to others in a particular way.
Belbin’s research showed that a balanced team – one with the greatest
chance of developing fully effective working arrangements – would contain a
balance of team roles. Further, every team goes through phases of its activities,
during which some team roles are better able to contribute than others.
Belbin’s model allows a group to analyse its collective strengths and weak-
nesses in team-role terms and objectively plan to capitalize on those strengths
and minimize the negative impact of its weaknesses. Moreover, the process
offers tools to enable a team to be structured for maximum team-role effec-
tiveness in advance of starting work where, for example, a new working
group, project team or similar unit is to be created.

Belbin team roles


Belbin developed his work over a number of years, which resulted in his
method of analysing team behaviour based upon nine unique roles. There are
a number of factors, which set the Belbin profiles apart from other similar
behaviour schemes:
●● It is not hierarchical, ie none of the nine roles is any better than the
others, in a general sense.
●● It recognizes that people are a combination of several key role types.
●● It recognizes that each role not only brings with it a particular strength,
but also a certain weakness.
Described below are each of the team roles in Belbin’s scheme. The key features
of each role are taken from Belbin’s publication Team Roles at Work (R
Meredith Belbin, 1993 Butterworth Heineman).
The point of the separate team roles is to show that, while individuals
may be technically suitable for a particular function in a team, they present a
behavioural problem in that they are unsuited to the nature of the role. Or
from an alternative viewpoint, an individual may have a particular behavioural
role which makes them suited for a role which they might not otherwise be
considered for.

F i g u r e 8.9   Belbin team roles

Plant Resource
Investigator Shaper

Monitor
Coordinator Evaluator Team
Worker

Completer
Implementer Finisher Specialist
Teams and Your Project 279

F i g u r e 8.10   Belbin team role features and suitability

Role Key features Suitable function in a team

Plant • Creative • problem solving


• Imaginative • innovation
• Unorthodox • lateral thinking
• generation of new ideas
Resource lnvestigator
• Extroverted • developing contacts
• Enthusiastic • exploring opportunities
• Good communicator • negotiating
• making links outside the
team

Co-ordinator • Delegates readily • leading through


• Clarifies goals empowerment
• Promotes decision making • chairing meetings
• Strong sense of objectives

Shaper • Challenging • leading in difficult


• Dynamic situations
• Thrives on pressure • taking difficult decisions

Monitor Evaluator • Sober • when enthusiasm needs


• Strategic to be countered with
• Sees all options reason
• Judges accurately • problem identification

Team Worker • Co-operative, Mikl • promoting team spirit


• Perceptive and diplomatic • buildling relationships with
• Averts friction peers

Implementer • Disciplined • turning ideas into practical


• Reliable action
• Efficient • following procedures

Completer Finisher • Painstaking, conscientious • where perfection is


• Great attention to detail required
• Delivers on time • where errors or omissions
• Searches out error and cannot be tolerated
omissions

Specialist • Single minded • source of accurate up to


• Dedicated date information
• Provides skills/knowledge in • keeping up to date with
rare supply new developments

It is rare for a person to exhibit only one of these behaviours. Most people
tend to exhibit two or three of these roles as their strongest behaviours.
Similarly, most people find there are two or three of these roles which clearly
they are not.
280 20:20 Project Management

With a Belbin profile of a team member, showing their strongest and


weakest roles, it should be possible to ensure that people are behaviourally
suited to their role eg someone with Shaper or Coordinator profiles would be
suited to managing or leading people. A Plant, on the other hand, would lose
motivation in a routine role, one which requires closely following procedures
or instructions.

Role weaknesses
As with most advantages, there come disadvantages. What makes someone
strong in a particular behavioural role generally results in them having a
counteracting weakness, which Belbin calls an allowable weakness. The
weakness is considered to be allowable, as attempting to change this person’s
weakness generally results in either a lack of success or a hindrance to the
strength of the role.
For example, an allowable weakness of a Plant type is that they tend to
neglect practical matters. By trying to force a Plant to work to a rigid schedule
you will prohibit their ability to be creative.
Allowable weaknesses are also important to understand in each role, as it
is generally these features which give rise to conflicts between individuals,
as they fail to appreciate and live with these weaknesses.
Table 8.2, derived from Belbin’s Team Roles at Work publication, describes
the allowable weakness of each role type.
Some project managers are able to influence the choices of their project
team members. In such a case, being aware of an individual’s team role
behaviour can help in deciding how appropriate an individual may be for a role,
regardless of their technical abilities or experience. Just as importantly,
such profiles will aid the project manager in looking at how the team members
will interact, pinpointing possible conflicts, or potentially excellent working
sub groups.
When the project manager is not given any choice in the formation of the
project team, these team role profiles are equally, if not more, important, as
they will help the project manager make the most of the team provided, by
appreciating people’s actions and being prepared for possible conflict between
team members.
Certain combinations of people, exhibiting different team behaviours, will
be successful while others will not.
Below are some examples of team interrelationships, which can work well:
Situation 1 – Good relationship: a Monitor Evaluator team member
working with a Coordinator project manager.
This can work well, as the Coordinator is able to recognize that
the Monitor Evaluator has a crucial role to play in identifying potential
problems in the project. While other team members may view the
Monitor Evaluator as a bottleneck to action, the Coordinator will
appreciate the level-headedness that the Monitor Evaluator can
bring.
Teams and Your Project 281

Ta b l e 8.2   Belbin role weaknesses


Team Role Allowable Weakness Unallowable Weakness

Plant ●● Preoccupation with ideas. ●● Won’t cooperate.


●● Neglects practical matters. ●● Doesn’t want to get
●● Too preoccupied to involved with the team.
communicate effectively. ●● Ignores crucial matters.

Resource ●● Loss of enthusiasm once ●● Neglects to follow up.


Investigator initial excitement has passed. ●● Moves off to another job
●● Over excitement. before completing
responsibilities.

Coordinator ●● An inclination to be lazy if ●● Takes credit for others’


someone else can be found efforts.
to do the work.
●● Can be seen to be
manipulative.

Shaper ●● A proneness to frustration ●● Communication


and irritation. breakdown.
●● Can offend people’s feelings. ●● Doesn’t involve the team.

Monitor ●● Scepticism with logic. ●● Cynical.


Evaluator ●● Lacks drive and ability to ●● Obstructs for the sake of it.
inspire others.

Team Worker ●● Indecision on crucial issues. ●● Lack of productivity due to


●● Can’t say no. accepting too much work.
●● Missing deadlines.

Implementer ●● Adherence to the orthodox ●● Obstructs change.


and proven.
●● Slow to respond to new
possibilities.

Completer- ●● Perfectionism. ●● Obsession with an idea


Finisher ●● Inclined to work unduly. or job.
●● Reluctant to delegate.

Specialist ●● Acquiring knowledge for its ●● Takes no interest in anything


own sake. outside their field.
●● Dwells on technicalities.
●● Contributes on a narrow front.
282 20:20 Project Management

Situation 2 – Good relationship: an Implementer team member working


with a Shaper project manager.
This can work well as the Shaper will be confident in the knowledge
that whatever the Implementer has been tasked with will be
carried out in accordance with the exact instructions. Similarly,
the Implementer will feel comfortable that his task is clearly
defined.
Situation 3 – Good relationship: a Team Worker team member working
with another Team Worker.
This can work well as the two people understand each other
well, will enjoy working with someone with a similar outlook on
life and will attempt to encourage others in the team to interact
more.
Situation 4 – Poor relationship: a Completer Finisher team member
working with a Completer Finisher project manager.
This particular relationship can pose a real risk to the project’s
completion, in that both parties strive for perfection in their work,
so even though the project manager may recognize the role type of
the team member, there is a sort of ‘positive feedback’ loop set up
where the desire for perfection goes out of control and work is never
completed on time.
Situation 5 – Poor relationship: a team predominantly comprising
Shapers.
The key problem here is self-evident, in that there are ‘two many
cooks’, as each person wants to make their own mark and achieve
their own objectives, above all else.
It is important to point out that it is possible for some of the seemingly incom-
patible relationships to work effectively. Often this is because the individuals
involved, consciously or otherwise, understand the nature of each other’s
behaviours and make allowances or work around the potential for conflict.

Advantages and disadvantages of team working


Whilst most projects rely heavily on the use of teams, a project manager
should be aware of the advantages and disadvantages of team working – and
be sensitive to some disadvantages emerging, even in the most apparently
cohesive teams.
Advantages:
●● Improves quality, productivity and efficiency.
●● Encourages innovation.
●● Improves employee motivation and job satisfaction – can be a rewarding
experience.
Teams and Your Project 283

Disadvantages:
●● Could lead to a lack of cooperation with, or opposition to, non-members.
●● Difficult to change attitudes and behaviour of a team that is fully
developed and has an established culture.
●● Some people might find teamwork contrary to their normal ‘style’. This
could lead to embarrassment and marginalization of some members of
the team.

Types of team
There is a variety of team types, each of which can vary over several dimen-
sions, such as function, purpose, time duration, and leadership. The choice of
team type depends on the nature of the organization, the task to be performed,
and work force expertise. Team type dimensions are as follows.

Functionality
●● Functional teams: Team members are from the same work unit.
●● Cross-functional teams: Team members come together from different
and varied work areas to resolve mutual problems.

Purpose
●● Problem-solving teams: Team members are focused on specific issues
to develop and implement solutions.
●● Developmental teams: Team members concentrate on developing new
products or systems.

Duration
●● Time limited: The team is created for a specific purpose and is
dissolved when the task has been completed.
●● Permanent: ‘Standing’ team is a permanent part of the work unit or
the organization.
For further information on team types within a project environment please
see DLU Organization Structure, Organizational Roles.

Things to consider
Give the team time to develop
Remember a group of people does not necessarily constitute a performing
team; take time to build the team remembering the Tuckman model of team
growth stages. One of the biggest failings in project teams is assuming the
284 20:20 Project Management

team will hit the ground running and start performing from day one. Allow
the team time to get to know each other, take time to clarify the project goals,
the individuals’ roles and responsibilities, set some ground rules for the
project, and clarify communication channels. This does not always need to be
done in a formal manner; think about running a fun workshop where people
can get to meet each other socially but also set some project-related outcomes.

The continuous planning cycle


The accurate structuring of a project team will only come about after several
iterations through the planning process. This will involve defining and redefin-
ing the scope, changing and modifying the schedule, assessing and reassess-
ing resource requirements. Basically it is a continuous process of reviewing
and modifying to ensure a realistic and achievable plan. Even after several
iterations and a finalized team, sickness, absences, poor productivity, delays
etc will require revisiting the planning process.

Different is not wrong, it’s just different


By nature, as individuals we are attracted to certain personalities; there are
people we will immediately make a connection with because they have similar
interests, common values and culture or similar personalities. The opposite
can be said for people that don’t appeal to us in some of these areas, eg
someone who has a brash outgoing nature may irritate us in meetings, some-
one who is very technical and talks with a huge amount of detail may frustrate
us as we want them to be succinct. What we need to remember is we need
diversity in our teams; if everyone had the same skill sets and personalities
they may all get on together well but it would not be a well-rounded team.
Remember for each weakness we see in someone there will be a strength,
so try and recognize the strengths within each team member and utilize them
effectively.

Team communications
As we have already discussed, communication is vitally important in all aspects
of project management but especially in effective managing and leading of a
team. In this chapter we looked more at the formal methods of communica-
tion by utilization of documents such as the RAM and organizational chart.
These should not be overlooked in terms of importance as they provide the
team with a tangible and definite structure for the project. By backing up
these documents with good communication and leadership along with defined
roles and responsibilities it should instil confidence in the team members
in what they should be doing, what they are responsible for and who they
are responsible to. This in turn will contribute greatly to the motivation and
commitment of the team members.
Teams and Your Project 285

Conclusion
We have learned in this chapter that the project team is one of the vital
elements in ensuring project success and that developing the team is not
something done in isolation but requires continuous planning involving scope,
cost, quality and time. We hopefully have also clarified the need for some
formal team documents to assist in the clarification of roles, responsibilities
and work allocation. One of the key messages highlighted in this chapter is the
fact that teams are made up of a wide range of skills and personalities and it
is the project manager’s job to recognize the strengths within the team, allocate
work appropriately and develop the team into one cohesive integrated unit.

C ASE S T UDY   W L Gore

Background
W L Gore & Associates, Inc is a global, privately held company headquartered in Newark,
Delaware. It employs approximately 8,000 employees (called associates) in more than 45
locations worldwide. Founded by a husband-and-wife team in 1958, its manufacturing
operations are clustered in the USA, Germany, Japan, China and Scotland. There are three
sites in Scotland, two in Livingston and one in Dundee, employing approximately 450 people.
Gore produces proprietary technologies with versatile polymer polytetrafluoroethylene
(PTFE) used in products in the healthcare and leisure industries. It is especially known for
products like GORE-TEX® and Elixir guitar strings. Gore is known not just for its innovative
products, but also for its innovative business style (Gore’s written business objective is ‘To
make money and have fun’). Gore strives to create a unique corporate culture. Quite simply,
the culture is driven, according to co-founder Bill Gore, from the need to ‘foster the
creativity and initiative that contribute to technical development’.
The 1969 discovery of a remarkably versatile new polymer (by Bill and Vieve’s son, Bob
Gore) led the enterprise into myriad new applications in medical, fabric and industrial
markets. As the company that invented this new polymer, expanded polytetrafluoroethylene
(or ePTFE), and introduced it in the marketplace, Gore is committed to remaining a leader in
fluoropolymers.
The depth of Gore’s technical know-how has contributed to a wide range of processes
and creative, reliable technologies that continue to solve problems and change outcomes
for people around the world.

Interesting facts
●● In 2011, for the 14th consecutive year, W L Gore & Associates, Inc earned a position
on Fortune’s annual list of the US ‘100 Best Companies to Work For’.
●● For four years, Gore has been named by the Sunday Times as the ‘Best Company to
Work for’ in the UK.
286

Team health check


F i g u r e 8.11   WL Gore team health check

Characteristic Unhealthy Conditions in a Team Healthy/Performing Team (Stage 4)


(Any Stage)
Climate Unhealthy personality conflicts. Clear roles. Expectations are understood
Misuse of positions. and accepted. High trust, people enjoy
working within the team. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Goal Setting No mechanisms or systems for Balance of goal between task,
goal setting. individual and team. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Communication Critical information is withheld. Information freely available. There is
openness and trust. Feedback operates. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Decision making Haphazard and changing. Involvement in the decision making
People are not committed to process. Commitment and support
them. of decisions. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Handling conflict Conflict exists and damages Differences are welcomed and resolved
relationships. People not openly.
working together. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Subgroups Groups form from common Groups used effectively to enhance
interests and friendships. task. Form when need arises, giving
Cliques form. flexibility. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Relationships Destructive, competitive and High collaboration. Win win relationships.
critical. People interested in
protecting self. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Resources Not aware of team resources. Team members know what each can do.
They combine resources and work
synergistically. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Monitoring The team deteriorates over time. A process for monitoring progress and
Differences become more success is in place. Team improves
pronounced. over time. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Teams and Your Project 287

●● Gore Germany ranked second in the ‘50 Best Places to Work in Germany 2007’ among
mid-sized companies.
●● Gore Italy ranked number 12 among the ‘35 Best Places to Work in Italy’.
●● More than 25 million Gore medical implants have helped patients around the world live
longer, healthier lives.
●● Gore has been granted more than 2,000 patents worldwide in a wide range of fields,
including electronics, medical devices and polymer processing.
●● Virtually all of Gore’s thousands of products are based on just one material, a versatile
polymer called ePTFE (expanded polytetrafluoroethylene), which the company
engineers to perform a wide variety of functions.

Today, with more than $3 billion in annual sales and more than 9,500 employees (called
associates) worldwide, the company is owned by members of the Gore family and
associates. Gore prefers this private ownership and believes this reinforces a key element
of its culture to ‘take a long-term view’ when assessing business situations.
The organizational culture is founded on a team-based environment where teams are
organized around opportunities and leaders emerge. Teams are fluid and comprise
followers and leaders. Employees, known as associates, have no defined job titles, only
general task/responsibility areas. Leaders emerge naturally by demonstrating special
knowledge, a skill and/or experience that will move the business objective forward. Leaders
are defined not by organizational status but by ‘followership’ because of ‘personal influence,
not power’. The roles of leaders and followers are interchangeable by work projects.
Enabling this corporate culture of teamwork is a commitment to four basic principles, as
promoted by Bill Gore, that drive the organization’s activities:
●● fairness to each other and everyone with whom they come into contact;
●● freedom to encourage, help and allow other associates grow in knowledge, skill and
scope of responsibility;
●● the ability to make one’s own commitments and keep them;
●● consultation with other associates before undertaking actions that could affect the
reputation of the company by hitting it ‘below the waterline’.

It is the corporate culture based on these four fundamental principles that integrates
and enables work–life balance at W L Gore. Gore operates fairly and associates are not
managed but instead manage themselves by being fair, meeting commitments and
consulting others as appropriate. Consequently there are very few company policies,
procedures or rules; practices develop naturally and do not need to be framed in policies.
There are no policies and procedures, therefore, that explicitly relate to work–life balance.
However, the company’s approach to work–life balance can be seen in its approach to
working hours. There are no set working hours; people make commitments ... they are
never imposed and people keep to their commitments. Personal and family responsibilities
are okay – people have no need to explain if they are not going to be at work, but tend to
anyway because they are fair to each other. When commitments require staffing for
specific hours, the team in that area decide individuals’ hours of work. Some people choose
to work from home, and office attendance is recorded only for fire safety.
288 20:20 Project Management

With innovation and diversity at the heart of its business, Gore adopts an equally original
approach to company culture. There are no directors, line managers, operatives or
secretaries. Everyone who works at the three sites in Scotland is an ‘associate’ and are all
accountable to each other, even to the extent that team mates influence each other’s pay.

F i g u r e 8.12   WL Gore high scoring

WL Gore as overall winner of the 100 Best


Companies to work for (for the third year
running) also scored highest in the areas of:

• Leadership
• Well-being
• My manager
• My team
• My company (making a valuable contribution
to the company’s success)
• Personal growth

‘You’ve got to be a team player at Gore,’ says lab engineer Dave Thompson. ‘Your team
rates your contribution on a scale of 1–6, and that’s one of the things salaries are based on.’
Staff turnover at Gore is less than 5 per cent.

Outcomes
It is widely believed that Gore’s corporate culture which encourages a healthy work–life
balance directly contributes to the award-winning success the company has long enjoyed.
The culture and principles drive very high performance from individuals and teams, who
are empowered and results oriented with a strong ‘can do’ attitude.
Gore’s approach to work–life balance contributes to its repeatedly being included in
Fortune magazine’s best companies list.

Learning points
When they are part of a clearly understood management style, work–life balance
arrangements can work without being supported by formal policies and procedures.
Work–life balance can be an integral part of a holistic management approach.
Organizations should focus on life issues for employees/associates and actively work
on these as well as work development to ensure the balancing of work and life.
Good leadership and mentorship are important to encourage employees to balance
work and their personal life.
289

G lo s s a ry o f t e r m s

AACE  The Association for the Advancement of Cost Engineering (www.aacei.org).


Acceptance  The process of accepting a product or deliverable.
Acceptance criteria  Performance requirements necessary before project deliver­
ables are accepted.
Acceptance test  A predefined test to assess the compliance of the deliverable(s)
with the acceptance criteria.
Accounts variance (AV)  This gives an indication of the status of project cash
flow and is calculated by subtracting AC from PV.
Accrued costs  These are project costs for which payment is due but has not
been made.
Activity  A defined task, usually the lowest unit for planning purposes.
Activity ID  A unique code identifying each activity in a project.
Activity sequencing  The process of putting activities in time order allowing for
constraints in order to build a precedence network.
Actual cost (AC) or actual cost of work performed (ACWP)  The cost incurred
and recorded for the work performed in a given period.
Actual dates  The dates that activities started and finished as opposed to
planned dates.
Actual finish  The specific date on which an activity was completed.
Actual start  The specific date on which an activity was started.
Advance payment  This is where the client or customer will pay for all or some
of the project in advance of it being undertaken.
Analogous estimating  The information that we use to estimate based on
similar projects in the past. It is a form of expert judgement.
APM  The Association for Project Management is the UK Association of the
IPMA (see IPMA) – see www.apm.org.uk for more information.
Approval  The formal acceptance of a deliverable as being fit for purpose.
Approval to proceed  Approval to move to the next stage (or first stage) of the
project.
Assumptions  Any assumption made and additional information.
Audit  A retrospective examination of the project or function to measure
conformance with predetermined standards.
Authorization  A decision that typically triggers the funding needed to carry on
the project.

Backward pass  The second ‘pass’ used in CPM process to calculate the latest
start and finish dates.
Balanced matrix  An organizational structure where functions and projects have
the same priority.
Bar chart  A chart which represents activities and their durations by lines drawn
against a common timescale. Often referred to as a Gantt chart although this is
a specific type of bar chart.
Baseline  The ‘frozen’ plan against which progress can be measured.
290 Glossary of Terms

Baseline cost  The amount an activity was planned to cost when the schedule
was baselined.
Baseline dates  The planned start and finish dates for activities.
Baseline schedule  The baseline schedule is a fixed project schedule that project
performance is measured against.
Benefits  These are specific measures against which project success can be
measured.
Benefits framework  This details the expected benefits of the project.
Benefits management  The process for planning, managing, delivering and
measuring the project’s benefits.
Benefits management plan  This plan specifies who is responsible and how
achievement of the benefits is to be measured, managed and monitored.
Body of knowledge  The term is used by both the PMI and the APM to describe
their view of best practice project management.
Bottom-up estimating  This involves breaking the work into more detail in order
to create an estimate that stands scrutiny. This involves using the WBS down to
a level where resources can confidently be applied.
Budget  The planned cost for an activity or project.
Budgetary control  This is the system of creating budgets, monitoring progress
and taking appropriate action to achieve budgeted performance.
Budget cost  The cost expected at the beginning of a project.
Budget at completion (BAC)  The total cost of the project at completion.
Budgeted cost of work performed (BCWP)  See earned value (EV).
Budgeted cost of work scheduled (BCWS)  See planned value (PV).
Budget element  This defines the people, materials or other elements needed
to do the work and can be validated against a resource breakdown structure
(RBS).
Budget estimate  An approximate estimate prepared in the early stages of a
project.
Budgeting  The time-phased definition of financial requirements.
Business case  The information needed for authorization of the project.

Calendars  A project calendar lists time intervals in which activities or resources


can or cannot be scheduled. Most software supports the use of different
calendars for different resources to cope with different requirements such as
shift work.
Capital cost  This is the cost in a balance sheet of acquiring an asset required for
the project.
Capital employed  This is the amount of investment in a project.
Cash flow  This reflects the cash receipts and payments in a specified period.
Change log  A formal record of any proposed, authorized or rejected project
changes.
Change management  The process through which changes to the project plan
are approved or rejected.
Change control  The process through which potential changes are recorded,
evaluated, authorized and managed.
Change control board  A group authorized for approving or rejecting changes to
the project baselines.
Change request  A request for the approval of changes to the project scope
which typically demonstrates the impact on costs, time, quality and risk.
Glossary of Terms 291

Client  The person or organization that has commissioned the project.


Close-out  The project phase where final project closure activities take place.
Closure  The formal end point of a project.
Commissioning manager  The person responsible for taking the project from
completion through to operational use.
Committed costs  These are costs that are committed even if delivery has not
taken place.
Communication  The transfer of information so that the recipient understands
the sender.
Completion date  The date calculated when the project should finish.
Compound risk  A risk made up of a number of interrelated risks.
Configuration  The functional and physical characteristics of a product or
deliverable.
Conflict management  The ability to manage conflict effectively.
Constraints  Any constraint affecting the activity’s progress.
Consumable resource  A type of resource that is exhausted when used. For
example, bricks in a construction project.
Contingency  The planned amount of time, cost or resource available to cope
with unforeseen events.
Contingency plan  A document describing the planned use of contingency to
mitigate certain events should they occur.
Contract  A binding agreement in which the contractor and the client agree what
is to be provided and what is to be paid, plus any other terms they wish to agree.
Contract close-out  The formal ‘settlement’ of a contract.
Contractor  A person or organization that is contracted by agreement to supply
goods or services to the project.
Contract target cost  The negotiated costs for the original defined contract
and all contractual changes excluding the estimated cost of any authorized
changes.
Contract target price  The agreed estimated cost plus an allowance for profit.
Coordinated matrix  This is an organizational structure where the project
leader reports to the functional manager and doesn’t have authority over team
members from other departments.
Cost account  A cost account defines what work is to be performed, who will
perform it and who is to pay for it.
Cost–benefit analysis (CBA)  This is an analysis of the costs of undertaking
a project and the predicted benefits.
Cost breakdown structure (CBS)  A hierarchical structure that allows a project
to be divided by levels into discrete cost elements for programming, cost
planning and control purposes.
Cost budgeting  This involves allocating cost estimates to project components.
Cost centre  This is the element of the organization against which costs may be
grouped.
Cost code  This is the unique identity for a specified element of work.
Cost curve  This is a graph plotted against a horizontal time scale and a cumula-
tive cost vertical scale.
Cost element  These are unit of costs to perform a task or to acquire an item.
Cost estimating  This is the process of predicting the costs of a project.
Cost incurred  These are the costs identified by the use of an accrued method of
accounting or costs actually paid.
292 Glossary of Terms

Cost management  This is the financial control of the project through evaluating,
estimating, budgeting, monitoring, analysing, forecasting and reporting cost
information.
Cost overrun  This is the amount by which a contractor exceeds the estimated
costs.
Cost performance index (CPI)  This value gives an indication of how well the
budget is being managed in terms of the work.
Cost performance report  This is a regular cost report showing cost and
schedule status information.
Cost plan  This is a budget which shows the amounts and expected dates of
incurring costs.
Cost–time resource sheet (CTR)  This is a document describing each major
element in the WBS, including a statement of work (SOW), resources required,
duration, timing and a cost estimate.
Cost variance (CV)  The difference (positive or negative) between the actual
expenditure and the planned/budgeted expenditure.
Critical activity  An activity that has zero or negative float.
Criticality index  Used in risk analysis, the criticality index represents the
percentage of simulation trails that resulted in the activity being placed on the
critical path.
Critical path  The sequence of activities through a project network which, if they
‘slip’, will affect the project end date. These are typically identified by a zero or
negative float.
Critical path analysis  A procedure for calculating the critical path and floats in
a network.
Critical path method  A technique which defines all the project’s critical activities
that must be completed on time. The start and finish dates of activities in
the project are calculated in two passes. The ‘forward pass’ calculates early
start and finish dates from the earliest start date forward. The ‘backward
pass’ calculates the late start and finish activities from the latest finish date
backwards. The difference between the pairs of start and finish dates for each
task is the float for the task. By experimenting with different logical sequences
and/or durations the optimal project schedule can be determined.
Critical success factor  A factor considered to be most important for project
success.
Customer  The people who receive and pay for the benefits of the project.
Cut-off date  This is the ending date of a reporting period.

Decision tree analysis  These are structured and hierarchical (drawn horizontally)
methods of graphically showing a number of decision paths and subsequent
‘branches’ of decisions to help analyse options.
Deliverables  These are the ‘end products’ of a project.
Delphi technique  This is an estimating process where a consensus view is
reached by consultation with experts.
Dependency  This describes the relationship between activities – typically which
one has to finish before another can start.
Dependency dates  Any dates that determine either start dates or completed dates.
Discounted cash flow (DCF)  This is the comparison of future ‘income’ over
the life of a project or operation against its costs but using their value today for
a more meaningful analysis.
Glossary of Terms 293

Discretionary dependencies  These involve sequencing that is done because


it is customary or the preferred method but could be done another way.
Duration  The length of time allocated to complete an activity.

Early dates  Calculated in the forward pass of time analysis, early dates are the
earliest dates on which an activity can start and finish.
Early finish (EF)  The earliest date an activity is likely to finish following CPA.
Early start (ES)  The earliest date an activity is likely to start following CPA.
Earned value (EV) or budget cost of work performed (BCWP)  The sum of the
budgets for completed work packages and completed portions of open work
packages.
Earned value analysis (EVA) and earned value management (EVM)  A method
of performance measurement which integrates scope, cost (or resource) and
schedule measures to accurately assess project performance.
Elapsed time  This is the number of working days that are needed to complete
an activity.
Estimate at completion (EAC)  This is a value expressed in either money or
hours to represent the projected final costs of work when completed based on
current performance.
Estimate to complete (ETC)  This is a value expressed in either money or hours
to represent the cost of the work required to complete a task.
Exception report  This is a report drawing attention to instances where planned
and actual results are, or are likely to be, significantly different.
Exceptions  These are occurrences that cause a deviation from a plan, such as
issues, change requests and risks.
Execution phase  This is the phase of a project where the work takes place.
External constraint  A constraint from outside the project network.
External dependencies  These exist where there is a relationship between
project activities and events outside the boundaries of the project, normally
outside the project team’s control.

Fast tracking  The process of reducing the number of sequential relationships


and replacing them with more effective relationships to shorten the overall
project duration.
Finish date  The actual or estimated date of an activity’s completion.
Finish-to-finish lag  The finish-to-finish lag is the minimum amount of time that
must pass between the finish of one activity and the finish of its successors.
Finish-to-start lag  The finish-to-start lag is the minimum amount of time that
must pass between the finish of one activity and the start of its successors.
The default finish-to-start lag is zero.
Free float  This is the amount of time a task can be delayed without affecting the
succeeding tasks.
Forecast at completion (FAC)  The scheduled cost of a task.
Forward pass  This is the first analysis of a project network which calculates the
earliest start and finish times.
Functional manager  The person responsible for supplying the workforce for the
project (in a matrix structure).
Functional matrix  This is a management structure where the project has a
team leader in each functional department and the products are passed from
one team to the next.
294 Glossary of Terms

Functional organization  This is a management structure where specific functions


are grouped into specialist departments that provide a dedicated service to the
whole of the organization.

Gantt chart  A particular type of bar chart showing planned activity against
time. Activities are listed with other tabular information on the left side with
time intervals over the bars. Activity durations are shown in the form of
horizontal bars.

Histogram  A graphic of planned and/or actual resource usage over a period


of time. It is shown in the form of a vertical bar chart, the height of each bar
representing the quantity of resource usage in a given time unit.

ICB  The IPMA’s International Competence Baseline.


Impact  This is an assessment of the adverse effects of a risk occurring.
Incurred costs  These are the actual and committed costs, whether paid or not.
Internal rate of return (IRR)  This is the discount rate at which the net present
value of a future cash flow is zero.
IPMA  The International Project Management Association – visit www.ipma.ch
for more information on this professional body.

Key performance indicators (KPIs)  Measurable indicators that are used to


report progress and usually reflect the critical success factors of the project.

Lag  The minimum necessary lapse of time between the finish of one activity
and the finish of an overlapping activity.
Late dates  These dates are calculated during the backward pass of network
analysis and are the latest dates by which an activity can be allowed to start or
finish.
Latest finish time  The latest possible time by which an activity has to finish
within the logical constraints of the network, without affecting the total project
duration.
Latest start time  The latest possible time by which an activity has to start
within the logical constraints of the network, without affecting the total project
duration.
Lead  The minimum necessary lapse of time between the start of one activity
and the start of an overlapping activity.

Mandatory dependencies  Also known as ‘hard logic’, they involve physical


restrictions that cannot be avoided.
Master network  This is a network which shows the complete project, where
more detailed networks can be derived from.
Master schedule  This is the high-level summary project schedule that identifies
major activities and milestones.
Matrix organization  This is an organizational structure where the project manager
and the functional managers share the responsibility of assigning priorities and
for directing the work.
Mid-stage assessment  This is an assessment in the middle of a project to
ensure the project is on track and discuss any options.
Milestone  This is a key event usually identified for reporting purposes.
Glossary of Terms 295

Milestone payment  These are made on the successful achievement of agreed


project milestones, which can be on an agreed value or as a percentage of the
phase or project.
Milestone plan  This is a plan containing only milestones which highlight the key
points of the project.
Milestone schedule  This is a schedule that identifies the major milestones.
Mitigation  This is the process of reducing a risk by lowering its chances of
occurring or by reducing its effect if it occurs.
Monte Carlo simulation  This is a technique used to estimate the likely range of
outcomes from a complex process by simulating the process under randomly
selected conditions a large number of times.

Net present value (NPV)  This is the total future net cash flows discounted
back to a common base date.
Network  This is a graphical presentation of the project ‘logic’, often referred to
as a precedence network, flowchart, PERT chart, logic drawing or logic diagram.
Network analysis  This is a method for calculating a project’s critical path, activity
times and floats.
Network logic  This represents the activity dependencies that make up a project
network.

OGC  The UK’s Office of Government and Commerce which provides extensive
project, programme and portfolio management guidance; see www.ogc.gov.uk
for more information.
Opportunity  This is the opposite of a risk in project management.
Organizational breakdown structure (OBS)  A hierarchical structure that allows
a project’s organization to be divided by levels into discrete groups for program-
ming, cost planning and control purposes.
Originator  The person who suggested the project.

Parallel activities  These are two or more activities than can be worked on at the
same time.
Payment on completion  This is where payment is made on delivery of the end
product or service.
PEP  Project execution plan. Sometimes also known as the project initiation
document (PID) or project management plan (PMP). This contains all plans
relevant to the project.
Percent complete (PC)  This is a measure of the completion status of a partially
completed activity.
Performance measurement baseline  The PMB is the time-phased budget plan
against which contract performance is measured. It is formed by the budgets
assigned to scheduled cost accounts and undistributed budgets. It equals the
total allocated budget less management reserve.
PID  Project initiation document. Sometimes also known as the project manage-
ment plan (PMP) or project execution plan (PEP). This contains all plans relevant
to the project.
Planned value (PV) or budget cost of work scheduled (BCWS)  The planned
cost of a defined scope of work that is scheduled to be done during a given
period. Specifically BCWS is the sum of all budgets for all packages of work and
in total forms the PMB.
296 Glossary of Terms

Planning  This is the process of identifying the means, resources and actions
necessary to accomplish an objective.
Planning stage  This is the stage prior to execution when the project management
plan (PMP) is developed.
PMI  The Project Management Institute – visit www.pmi.org for more information
on this professional body.
PMP  Project management plan. Sometimes also known as the project initiation
document (PID) or project execution plan (PEP). This contains all plans relevant
to the project.
Post-implementation review  This is a review after a project has met its
objectives to confirm that it met the objectives and satisfies the business plan.
Post-project appraisal  This is an evaluation that provides feedback in order to
learn for the future – often referred to as a lesson learned report.
Precedence network  A graphical network in which a sequence of activities is
described with the constraints (or logic) that applies to them.
Predecessor  This is an activity that must be completed (or be partially completed)
before another activity can begin.
PRINCE2  The ‘PRojects IN a Controlled Environment’ methodology owned by
the APM Group – see www.prince2.com for more information on this profes-
sional body.
Probabilistic network  This is a network containing alternative paths with which
probabilities are associated.
Product breakdown structure (PBS)  A hierarchical structure that allows a project
to be divided by levels into discrete groups based on products (deliverables)
for programming, cost planning and control purposes.
Programme evaluation and review technique (PERT)  This is a project man-
agement technique for determining how much time a project needs before it
is completed.
Project  There are many definitions but a common one is a ‘unique set of
coordinated activities, with definite starting and finishing points, undertaken by
an individual or organization to meet specific objectives within defined time,
cost and performance parameters’.
Project appraisal  This describes methods of calculating the viability of a project.
Project base date  This is the date used for the start of a project calendar.
Project board  The project board is the body to which the project manager is
accountable for achieving the project objectives.
Project brief  This is a statement that describes the purpose, cost, time and
objectives of a project.
Project calendar  This is a calendar that defines project working and non-working
periods.
Project champion  The person who makes the project happen. Often a person
with influence in high places.
Project closure  This is the formal termination of a project at any point during the
project life cycle.
Project initiation document (PID)  This is a document approved by the project
board that defines the terms of reference for the project – often also known as
a project execution plan (PEP) or a project management plan (PMP).
Project life cycle  All phases or stages between a project’s conception and its
termination. Note: The project life cycle may include the operation and disposal
of project deliverables. This is usually known as an ‘extended life cycle’.
Glossary of Terms 297

Project life cycle cost  Cumulative cost of a project over its whole life cycle.
Project log  This is a project diary recording significant occurrences throughout
the project.
Project management  There are many definitions of project management but
a common one is the ‘planning, monitoring and control of all aspects of a
project and the motivation of all those involved in it to achieve the project
objectives on time and to the specified cost, quality and performance’.
Project management plan (PMP)  This is a plan for carrying out a project to
meet specific objectives and is also often known as a project execution plan
(PEP) or project initiation document (PID).
Project manager  The person with the authority, accountability and responsibility
for managing a project to completion, achieving specific objectives within cost,
time and quality parameters .
Project matrix  This is an organizational structure that is project based in which
the functional structures are duplicated in each project.
Project monitoring  This is the comparison of current project status with what
was planned to be done to identify and report any deviations.
Project schedule  The planned dates for starting and completing activities and
the project as a whole.
Project scope statement  This details the constraints and assumptions that
need to be considered when estimating activity durations.
Project sponsor  The person within the organization who acts as custodian of
the project’s objectives. Also the person who will authorize expenditure.
Project success/failure criteria  These are the criteria by which the success or
failure of a project may be judged.
Project support office  Describes the centralized approach to project support
functions such as planning, cost management, estimating, documentation
control and procurement.
Project team  The team members who plan, organize, implement and control
the work of the contractor (if they are different) to deliver the project within
the constraints of cost, time and quality and to meet the stated objectives.
Published estimating data  Where standard units of cost, time or resources
can be applied using recorded industry norms.

Qualitative risk analysis  This involves analysing the types of risk that may occur
in a project based on the expertise, experience and knowledge of the team
members taking part.
Quality assurance  The process of evaluating overall project performance on a
regular basis to provide confidence that the project will satisfy the relevant
quality standards.
Quality assurance plan  This is a plan that guarantees a quality approach and
conformance to all customer requirements for all activities in a project.
Quality audit  This is an official examination to determine whether practices
conform to specified standards or a critical analysis of whether a deliverable
meets quality criteria.
Quality control  This is the process of monitoring specific project results to see
if they comply with agreed standards and identifying ways to eliminate causes
of unsatisfactory performance.
Quality criteria  The characteristics of a product or service that determine
whether it meets the requirements.
298 Glossary of Terms

Quality plan  A component of the PMP (or PID or PEP) that describes quality
management and quality assurance strategies for the project.
Quality planning  This is the process of determining which quality standards are
necessary and how to apply them.
Quality review  A review of a product against an established set of quality
criteria.
Quantitative risk analysis  This involves analysing the types of risk that may
occur in a project based on statistical evidence of previous similar projects and
other methods.

Recurring costs  These are expenditures for specific tasks that will occur on a
repetitive basis.
Remaining duration (RDU)  This represents the time needed to complete the
remainder of an activity or project.
Request for change  This is a proposal by the project manager for a change to
the project as a result of a project issue report.
Requirements  These are the negotiated measurables required by the customer.
Requirements definition  This is the statement of the needs that a project has
to satisfy.
Requirements management  The set of activities encompassing the collection,
control, analysis and documentation of a project.
Resource  The people, equipment, facilities, finances or any other variable
needed to perform the work of a project.
Resource aggregation  The total of the requirements for each resource required
against each time period.
Resource analysis  The process of analysing and optimizing the use of resources
on a project.
Resource assignment  The activity linked to the resource required to achieve it.
Resource availability  The availability of a resource at any one time.
Resource breakdown structure (RBS)  A hierarchical structure of the identified
resources by resource category and resource type.
Resource calendar  A calendar that defines the working and non-working hours
for a specific resource.
Resource compression  This method utilizes float within a project, increasing or
decreasing the resources required for specific activities so that peaks and
troughs in resource usage can be smoothed out.
Resource constraint  This describes any limitation of the availability of a resource.
Resource-driven task durations  Task durations that are driven by the need for
scarce resources.
Resource histogram  A graphical view of project data in which resource require-
ments, usage and availability are shown using vertical bars against a horizontal
time scale.
Resource level  A specified level of resource required by an activity per time unit.
Resource levelling  See resource-limited scheduling.
Resource-limited scheduling  The process of scheduling activities so that
predetermined resource levels are never exceeded.
Resource optimization  Optimizing the use of resources using resource levelling
or resource smoothing.
Resource planning  Evaluating what resources are needed to complete a project
and determining the quantity needed.
Glossary of Terms 299

Resource requirement  The requirement for a particular resource by a particular


activity.
Resource scheduling  The process of calculating dates on which activities
should be performed to smooth out resource demand.
Resource smoothing  The process of scheduling activities, within the limits of
their float, so that fluctuations in individual resource requirements are minimized.
Responsibility assignment matrix (RAM)  The combination of a WBS and an
OBS into a report which shows which tasks are allocated to which part of the
organization ie who does what.
Retention  This is where the customer or client holds back some payment for
a period of time, often to ensure the correct operation of the deliverables or
products.
Revenue cost  These are the costs charged to the profit and loss account as
incurred or accrued.
Risk  The combination of the likelihood and impact of a defined threat or opportunity
occurring.
Risk analysis  This is the process of using available information to determine
how often specified events may occur and the magnitude of their likely
consequences.
Risk assessment  This is the process of identifying potential risks, quantifying
their likelihood of occurrence and assessing their likely impact on the project.
Risk breakdown structure (RBS)  Thus is a hierarchical structure representing
project risks grouped using a variety of methods.
Risk evaluation  This is a process used to determine risk management priorities.
Risk event  This is a discrete occurrence that affects a project.
Risk identification  This is the process of determining what could be a risk.
Risk management  This is the process where decisions are made to accept
risks and implement actions to reduce the consequences or probability of
occurrence.
Risk management plan  This is a document defining how project risk analysis
and management are to be implemented in a project.
Risk quantification  The process of applying values to the various aspects of
a risk.
Risk ranking  Classifying the impact or likelihood of a risk, typically on a scale.
Risk reduction  A strategy for reducing the likelihood or impact of a risk.
Risk register  The formal log for recording identified risks.
Risk response  A contingency plan to manage a risk if it happens.
Risk sharing  Diluting a risk by sharing it with other parties.
Risk transfer  Transferring the liability for the costs of a risk to another party.
Rolling wave planning  A planning approach which accepts that the level of
detail moves in time as the project progresses.

S-curve  A graphic showing cumulative costs, labour hours or other quantities


plotted against time.
Schedule  This is the timetable for the project, showing tasks are planned out
over a period of time.
Schedule control  The process of controlling schedule changes.
Schedule dates  The start and finish dates calculated using CPM.
Schedule performance index (SPI)  This value gives an indication of how well
the budget is being managed in terms of the costs incurred.
300 Glossary of Terms

Schedule variance (SV) – cost  The difference between the BCWP and BCWS.
Schedule variance (SV) – time  The difference between original duration (OD)
planned and actual time expended (ATE) on the work to date.
Scheduled finish  The earliest date on which an activity can finish based on the
constraints.
Scheduled start  The earliest date on which an activity can start based on
constraints.
Scheduling  The process of calculating when project activities will take place
depending on defined durations and precedent activities.
Scope  This is the work content of a project best described by the WBS
or OBS.
Scope change  Any change in scope that requires a change in cost or schedule.
Scope change control  The process of controlling changes to the scope.
Scope of work  A description of the work to be undertaken or the resources
required.
Scope verification  The process of ensuring that all identified deliverables have
been completed satisfactorily.
Secondary risk  A risk that may occur as a result of invoking a risk mitigation
response.
Sequence  The order in which activities should occur in relation to each other.
Slippage  The amount of ‘float’ used by the current activity due to a delayed start
or increased duration.
SMART  Specific, Measurable, Agreed, Realistic and Timebound objectives.
Stage  A natural high-level section of a project for monitoring purposes and/or
connected with stage gates.
Stage gate  A specific approval stage where conditions need to be satisfied
before a project can proceed to the next stage.
Stage payment  A payment made part of the way through a project or at an
agreed milestone.
Stakeholder  These are people or groups of people who have a vested interest
in the success of the project.
Start-to-start lag  This is the minimum amount of time that must pass between
the start of one activity and the start of its successor(s).
Statement of work  A document stating the requirements for a given project
task.
Status reports  These reports provide the status of an activity, work package
or project and are used to control the project and to keep management
informed.
Steering group  This is a body designed to monitor the project and give guidance
to the project manager.
Sub project  A group of activities represented as a single activity in a higher-level
plan.
Subcontractor  This is an organization that supplies goods or services to a
contractor.
Success criteria  The criteria agreed for judging if the project is successful.
Success factors  The factors that will ensure achievement of success criteria.
Successor  An activity whose start or finish depends on the start or finish of
a predeceeding activity.
Sunk costs  Unavoidable costs.
Glossary of Terms 301

Suppliers  The external organizations or people that supply materials or equipment


(see also vendors).

Target completion date  A date which is targeted as the date for completion of
the activity.
Task  An activity may consist of a number of tasks which together describe the
activity’s scope.
Technical assurance  The process of monitoring the technical integrity of the
products or deliverables.
Termination  The completion of the project either according to plan or because
the project business case is no long valid and the project has been stopped.
Terms of reference  These outline a team member’s responsibilities and
authorities within the project.
Three-point estimating  Also known as PERT estimating, this recognizes the
inherent risk of measuring activity durations and involves making optimistic,
most likely and pessimistic estimates.
Time-based network  A bar chart showing logical constraints between activities.
Time-limited resource scheduling  The calculation (often by software) of scheduled
dates in which resource constraints may be relaxed if necessary to avoid any
delay in project completion.
Time-limited scheduling  The scheduling of activities, so that the specified
project duration or any imposed dates are not exceeded.
Time now  The date used for calculating a forward analysis, typically for reporting
progress.
Time recording  The recording of effort expended on each activity in order to
update the plan.
Time variance (TV)  By determining the date at which the current EV value is
equal to PV, it is possible to determine a variance to indicate how early or late
a project is running.
Top-down estimating  This is where the total project estimate is based on
historical costs and other project variables and then subdivided down to
individual activities.
Total float  This is defined as the amount of time which an activity can be
delayed without affecting the end of the project.
Total quality management  An integrated total management system for quality
within an organization.

Users  The person or people who will use the resulting ‘product’ on behalf of the
owner when the project is completed.

Value management  A means of improving business effectiveness that includes


the use of management techniques such as value engineering and value
analysis.
Variance  A discrepancy between the actual and planned performance on a
project, in terms of either schedule or cost.
Variance at completion (VAC)  The difference between budget at completion
(BAC) and estimate at completion (EAC).
Variation  A change in scope or timing of work which a contractor may agree to.
Variation order (VO)  A document authorizing an approved change or variation.
302 Glossary of Terms

Vendors  The external organizations or people that supply materials or equipment


(see also suppliers).

‘What if’ analysis  The process of evaluating alternative strategies.


‘What if’ simulation  This is creating often multiple simulations of the project
network to see its behaviour under different scenarios.
Work  The total number of hours or resources estimated to complete a task.
Work breakdown code (or identifier) A code that represents the specific element
in a work breakdown structure usually using a hierarchical numbering system.
Work breakdown structure (WBS)  A hierarchical structure that allows a project
to be divided by levels into discrete groups for programming, cost planning and
control purposes.
Work package  A group of related tasks that are defined at the same level within
a work breakdown structure.
Work units  These are the basic units of measurement for resources.
Workload  This is the amount of work units assigned to a specific resource over
a period of time.

Zero float  This is where there is no difference between early and late dates,
indicating that they are critical activities.
303

Index

NB entries in italics indicate a figure or table in the text

AACE (Association for the Advancement of avoidance  256


Cost Engineering)  215, 289 causes  252–53
cost estimate classification matrix  216 collaboration  257–58
actual cost (AC)  140, 156 competition  257
actual cost of work performed (ACWP)  140 compromise  257
Adair, John  236 dealing with  255
AMEC  124–27, 226–32 differing perceptions  255–56
Association for Project Management (APM)  people  252
1, 77, 85–87, 86, 157, 289 PIN model  255
sources  253
bar chart  98, 289 conflict cycle  253
baseline  129, 236, 289 contractors  51
Belbin, Meredith  277 control  55
budget at completion (BAC)  156, 290 cost account  131, 291
budget cost of work performed (BCWP)  cost breakdown structure (CBS)  80–82,
140, 290 81, 291
budget cost of work scheduled (BCWS)  cost reporting  130–34
140, 290, 296 cost, time, quality triangle  6, 31
business case  32–37, 290 cost variance (CV)  140
analysis  33 see also variance
benefits  34–35, 47–48 critical path  110–12, 292
composition  34 customers  51, 292
example  35–37
ownership  35 de Mille, Cecil B  211
purpose  32 decision tree analysis  188–94, 292
examples  189, 190, 191, 192, 193
cash flow  132–33, 132, 290 deliverables  60, 61, 77, 262, 292
change control  150–53 Deutsch, Professor Morton  254
process  152 distributions  199–201
request form  151 custom  200–01
change management  156, 290 discrete  199–200
change register  153 normal  201
communication  240–42, 291
effective  241 earned value (EV)  137, 140, 156, 157, 293
face to face  242 analysis (EVA)  117, 293
feedback  242–46 example calculation  140–43
medium  242 measurements  137
teams and  284 efficiency measures  144
voice  242 estimate  211
written word  242 estimate at completion (EAC)  144–45,
communication management  43, 58 156, 293
sample plan  43 estimating funnel  213–14, 214
conflict  252–58, 275 estimating the project  211–32
accommodation  256–57 bottom-up  212
approaches to resolution  256–58 case study  226–32
304 Index

common mistakes  225 Ford, Henry  261


communication  223 forecasting  133–34
classes of estimate  214–15 functional managers  51, 293
comparative (analogous)  212,
218–19 Gantt chart  41–42, 98, 136, 294
considerations  222–23 gate procedure  13–14, 14
contingency and  223, 224 glossary of terms  289–302
importance  211–14 Gore, Bill  285
optimism and  223 governance  23
parametric (statistical modelling)  212, Gumz, Joy  1
219
risk and uncertainty  224 Halliburton Pipeline and Process Services
rules  224–25 (PPS) case study   94–96
skill levels  22 Harvey-Jones, Sir John  97
techniques  212 Herzberg, Frederick  248–49
three point  213, 221–22, 301
top down  212, 219–21 International Project Management
evaluation  61 Association (IPMA)  3, 4–5, 22,
post-project  154–55 294
see also financial evaluation
executing the project  129–62 Kelleher, Herb  259
accuracy of progress measurement  Kerzner, Harold  275–76
156–57 key performance indicators (KPIs)  53,
baseline  129, 236, 289 294
benefits  138–45 see also performance measurement
case study  157–62
change control  150–53 leadership  233–59, 275
close-out and handover  153–55 action-centred  236–38
cost reporting  130–34 case study  259
forecasting  144 communication  240–42
measures  129, 130 conflict management  252–58
post-project evaluation review  154 difference from management  234–35,
progress reporting  134–38, 135 235
simulation exercise  145–50 feedback  242–46
things to consider  155–57 motivation  248–52
people  237
feedback  242–46 projects and  235–46
acceptance  244 skills  240
anger  244 task  237
denial  244 team  237
developmental  243, 244 tools  248
examples  245–46 visionary  246–48, 247
giving  243 learning organization  129, 157
motivational  243, 244, 246
rationalization  244 management
receiving  244–47 difference from leadership  234–35
taking action  244 effective  275–76
types  243 Marshall, Peter  246
financial evaluation  63–68 Maslow, Abraham  249, 250–51
discounting  65–68 Monte Carlo simulation  194–95, 202,
internal rate of return (IRR)  67–68 295
net present value (NPV)  66–67 motivation  248–52
payback  64 hierarchy of needs  250, 251
return on investment (ROI)  64–65 hygiene factors  249
time value of money  63 motivators  249
Index 305

projects and  251–52 precedence network  98, 100–04, 101


recognition/reward  270 progressive elaboration  98
team  270 resource allocation  113–15
theories  248–51 resource compression  118
Mott MacDonald case study  203–09 resource levelling  117–19
resource planning  115–16
net present value (NPV)  66–67, 295 reverse  123
‘rolling wave’  98, 299
objectives  29–32, 82, 270 S-curve  98, 119–21, 131, 299
poor  54 scenario  248
SMART  31, 39, 68, 300 scope management  99–103
organizational breakdown structure (OBS)  simulation example  109–12
80, 295 software  122
organizational structures  14–23 SWOT analysis  175–76, 248
centralized  20 teams and  284
decentralized  20 things to consider  121–22
flat  16 time, cost or quality  122–23
hierarchical  17–18 PRINCE2  3, 4, 5–6, 22, 296
matrix  18–19 product breakdown structure (PBS)  39, 77,
tall  17 78, 90
types  16–20 programme manager  89
organizations programmes  89
culture and  223 consolidations  89–93
key features  15–16 projects and  91
originator  50 project champion  50
owner  50 project management
avoiding failure  53–56
Patton, General George S  252–58 benefits  22
payment methods  133 challenges  20–21, 21
people management  240 change control  150–53
performance management  137–38 cost  6
performance measurement baseline definition  1, 3, 297
(PMB)  140 estimating  211–32
efficiency   144 leadership and  233–59
PEST(LE) model  7–8, 248 methodology  3–6, 22–23
PIN model  255 processes  10–11
planned value (PV)  140 quality  6
planning  55, 90, 97–127, 295 scope  60
activity sequence  103 ten tips for guaranteed failure  62–63
AMEC case study  124–27 things to consider  22–23
assigning resources  115 time  6
back pass  107, 108, 289 twenty actions to ensure success 
balanced scorecards  248 56–59
bar chart  98, 289 value  11–13
critical path  110–12, 292 Project Management Institute (PMI)  3, 4,
documents  98 5, 10–11, 22, 157, 296
float  108–10 project management plan (PMP)  38–47,
forward pass  105–08, 293 69, 77, 295, 296, 297
Gantt chart  41–42, 98, 136, 294 approvals  45
lag  102 contents  39–46
lead  102 estimating and  213
level of  123 example  38–46
managing schedule  116–21 purpose  38
over-optimism  121–22 risk management  42–43
owning the plan  122 schedule/milestones  41–42, 60
306 Index

project manager  297 risk  163, 299


behaviours  236 assessment  168, 184
expectations of  276 cultures  164–66
focus  239 definition  164
interpersonal skills  275–76 opportunity and  167–68
leadership  246, 275 impact  167, 178–80
responsibilities  237–38 probability  167
role  246 projects and  167
‘soft skills’  274 qualitative approach  166
task management  237–38 quantative approach  166, 188–99
team management  238, 274 sources of  173
team members and  238 tolerances  165
weekly checklist  60–61 types  164
project sponsor  50, 97, 123, 297 uncertainty and  224
project team  51 risk breakdown structure (RBS)  182–85,
projects 183, 299
balancing  239–40 risk management  42–43, 168–210, 299
breakdown structure  82–83 benefits  168–69
business  2 brainstorming  174
business case  32–37 case study  203–08
cancelling  69 checklists  176, 184
characteristics  1 cost  169–70
clarifying needs  29–30 cost impact  179–80
common reasons for failure  54–56 decision tree analysis  188–94
common sense guidelines  83–84 definition  168
context  7–8 Delphi technique  174–75
costs  57 distributions  199–201
defining  77–96 estimating and  224
definition   235, 296 identification  172–78, 183–84, 299
executing  129–62 impact analysis  178–80
life cycle  4, 8–10, 8, 9, 22–23, 33, 236, interviews  174
297 mitigation strategies  173, 185–87, 186
motivation in  251–52 monitoring and review  187–201
objectives  29–32 Monte Carlo simulation  194–95, 202,
programme planning  87–88 295
purpose  2 nominal group technique (NGT)  174
risk  167 ownership  176, 177
quality plan  57 probability analysis  180–81, 180, 202
social  2 process  170–72, 171
starting  29–75 reviews  187, 188
status reports  137, 300 risk exposure  181–85
teams and  261–88 SWOT analysis  175–76, 176
things to consider  90–91 techniques  174–78
viability check  32 things to consider  202
risk management plan  123
RACI process  263, 265–66 risk quantification  299
example chart  266 risk register  172, 176, 299
Reiss, Geoff  91 corporate  188
requirements management  85–86 example  178
resource management plan  267, Robbins, Anthony  129
269–70 Rumsfeld, Donald  163
responsibility assignment matrix (RAM) 
81–82, 81, 91, 263–66, 299 schedule variance (SV)  140
RACI process  263, 265–66 senior management  51
Index 307

sponsor  50, 97, 123, 297 norming  272–73


stakeholder grid  52 organization chart  266–67, 268,
stakeholders  48–50, 267, 300 271
agreement  90 outputs  275
analysis  50–52, 52 performing  272–73
management  52 project management  262–63
primary  49 project requirements  262–71
secondary  50 purpose  283
statement of work (SoW)  82 recognition/reward  270, 271
STEEPLE model  8, 248 resource management plan  267,
Subsea 7 case study  70–75 269–70
project management and execution plan role weaknesses  280
(PMEP)  73–75 storming  272–73
success criteria  29, 69, 300 successful  274–75
suppliers/vendors  51 ‘task’ and ‘team’ focus  277
supporters  51 things to consider  283–84
training plan  270, 271
Talisman Energy case study  23–28 types  283
team management  238, 240 Thamhain, Hans J  253
team roles  277–82 Tuckman, Dr Bruce  271–73, 283
teams  261–88
advantages/disadvantages  282–83 users  51, 301
behaviour  277–78
Belbin roles  277–82, 279 variance  60, 134, 136, 301
case study  285–88 analysis  117
checklist  271 see also cost reporting
chemistry  276–83 variation at completion (VAC)  144–45
communications  284 vision  246
development  274–76, 283–84
duration  283 WGSPN project management
forming  272–73 framework  157–62
functional  283 Wilemon, David L  253
growth  271, 272–73 Wilson, Woodrow  233
health check  266 W L Gore & Associates  285–88
human resource plan  263, 271 work breakdown structure (WBS)  39, 77,
importance of diversity  284 78–79, 79, 84, 87, 91–93, 99–100,
management of  275–76 123, 130, 302
motivation  270 estimating and  221
308

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