20 - 20 Project Management - Marks, Tony
20 - 20 Project Management - Marks, Tony
20:20 Project
Management
ii
20:20 Project
Management
How to deliver on
time, on budget
and on spec
Tony Marks
iv
Publisher’s note
Every possible effort has been made to ensure that the information contained in this book
is accurate at the time of going to press, and the publishers and author cannot accept
responsibility for any errors or omissions, however caused. No responsibility for loss or
damage occasioned to any person acting, or refraining from action, as a result of the material
in this publication can be accepted by the editor, the publisher or the author.
First published in Great Britain and the United States in 2012 by Kogan Page Limited
Apart from any fair dealing for the purposes of research or private study, or criticism or review,
as permitted under the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988, this publication may only be
reproduced, stored or transmitted, in any form or by any means, with the prior permission in
writing of the publishers, or in the case of reprographic reproduction in accordance with the terms
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120 Pentonville Road 1518 Walnut Street, Suite 1100 4737/23 Ansari Road
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United Kingdom USA New Delhi 110002
www.koganpage.com India
The right of Tony Marks to be identified as the author of this work has been asserted by him in
accordance with the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988.
A CIP record for this book is available from the British Library.
Marks, Tony.
20:20 project management : how to deliver on time, on budget and on spec / Tony Marks.
p. cm.
Includes index.
ISBN 978-0-7494-6608-4 – ISBN 978-0-7494-6609-1 1. Project management. I. Title.
II. Title: Twenty twenty project management.
HD69.P75M3675 2012
658.4’04–dc23
2012020097
Co n t e n t s
Acknowledgements ix
Using this book x
About the author xi
Introduction 1
Introduction 29
The project objectives 29
The business case 32
The project management plan (PMP) 38
The purpose of the project management plan 38
The project management plan (example) 38
Project success and benefits management 46
Benefits vs project success 47
Key performance indicators (KPIs) 53
Avoiding project failure 53
Twenty actions to help ensure project success 56
Project manager’s weekly checklist 60
Ten tips for guaranteed failure 62
Financial evaluation in projects 63
Things to consider 68
Conclusion 69
Case study: Starting projects at Subsea 7 70
Introduction 77
The product breakdown structure (PBS) 78
The work breakdown structure (WBS) 78
The organizational breakdown structure (OBS) 80
The cost breakdown structure (CBS) 80
The responsibility assignment matrix (RAM) 81
Assigning responsibilities to tasks 82
Steps in developing a breakdown structure 82
Common-sense guidelines 83
Requirements management 85
Why do we need requirements management? 86
vi Contents
Introduction 97
Scope management 99
Analysing the network 104
Dependencies 104
Estimating 104
The forward pass 105
Float 108
Critical path 110
Project resources 112
Managing the schedule 116
Things to consider when planning 121
Conclusion 123
Case study: Planning the AMEC way 124
Introduction 129
Set the measure 129
Cost reporting 130
Information for updating project progress 134
What are the benefits? 138
Change control 150
Project close-out and handover 153
Things to consider when executing a project 155
Conclusion 157
Case study: WGPSN project management framework 157
Introduction 163
Risk cultures 164
Stage 1: risk identification 172
Stage 2: risk impact analysis 178
Stage 3: probability analysis 180
Contents Contents vii
Introduction 211
The importance of estimating 211
Estimating techniques 212
Introduction to estimating 212
The importance and practical difficulties of estimating 213
The estimating funnel 213
Classes of estimate 214
Estimating techniques 215
Uncertainty and risk 222
Summary of the basic rules for estimating 223
Common mistakes 224
Things to consider when estimating 224
Conclusion 225
Case study: Estimating the AMEC way 226
Introduction 233
Leadership vs management 234
Leading in a project environment 235
Visionary 246
Articulation of the vision 247
Preparing the vision 247
Tools and approaches 248
Motivation 248
Conflict management 252
Conflict resolution summary 258
Case study: Leadership at Southwest Airlines 259
Introduction 261
Team requirements 262
Team development 271
Developing the project team 274
Team chemistry 276
viii Contents
Ac k n o w l e d g e m e n t s
T his book is organized for the reader’s convenience to follow a project life
cycle. This is for two purposes:
●● Whilst the reader may read the book from cover to cover before
embarking on a project initially, it is envisaged that each chapter can
then be read and absorbed in more detail before a particular phase
of the project life cycle commences.
●● The author recognizes that some project managers may have taken
over a project part of the way through the project life cycle. It is
therefore useful to be able, for reference, to go directly to the relevant
chapter(s).
The book is also organized into two main sections:
●● Chapters that follow the project life cycle (Starting your project,
Defining your project, Planning your project, Executing your project).
●● Chapters that are relevant or useful throughout the project life cycle
(Risk and your project, Estimating your project, Project leadership,
Teams and your project, and the Glossary of terms).
Each chapter is also divided into subsections as follows:
●● Introduction;
●● Best practice;
●● Things to consider;
●● Conclusion;
●● Case study.
Finally, there is a continuously updated online resource available at
www.2020projectmanagement.com to provide further case studies, white
papers, project management templates, discussion forums, useful links and
details of useful supporting services.
xi
A b o u t t h e au t h o r
Tony Marks is the Chief Executive of 20:20 Business Insight, the UK’s
largest specialist Project Management Training and Consultancy company,
with offices in Scotland, England, the United States and the Czech Republic
and partners in Scandinavia, West Africa and the Middle East. He has 30 years’
experience in project management – delivering high value projects, consulting
and teaching in a wide range of sectors including utilities, nuclear, oil and gas,
engineering, construction, IT and telecoms.
Tony is a lecturer and examiner for The University of Aberdeen on their MSc
in Project Management course. He has written the Project Management
Handbook for NHS Capital Projects and edited Project Management Hand
books for a number of commercial companies. He lives in Scotland but travels
extensively.
xii
Introduction
“
Operations keeps the lights on, strategy provides a light at
the end of the tunnel, but project management is the train
engine that moves the organization forward. Joy Gumz
Even if similar projects have been conducted several times they will still follow
the characteristics defined above and the uniqueness of a project may come
from one of the following:
1 a new team of people;
2 a new customer/client;
3 a different budget;
4 new technology;
5 a different timescale;
6 a different objective;
7 a different location;
8 different working conditions.
Project management
Project management can be defined in several different ways but is probably
best summed up as the ‘process by which a project is brought to a successful
conclusion’. Or as the ‘discipline of managing projects successfully’.
Another common definition says that project management is:
Project management methods may be based around a project life cycle (see
later section) and will include:
●● process descriptions for each phase of the cycle;
●● inputs and outputs for each process;
●● documentation guidelines and templates;
●● guidelines covering the structure of the project organization,
accountability, responsibility and communications;
●● role definitions for all those involved in a project;
●● a set of procedures to be used throughout the life cycle.
Procedures will set out the steps to be followed in order to perform project
management processes. Organizations new to project management may
only have a small number of procedures; the number is likely to grow as their
experience and expertise grow. Development of these procedures can fall
under the remit of a Project Management Office (pmo).
Which methodology?
Earlier in this chapter we identified three different professional bodies for
project management – the IPMA, the PMI and the Cabinet Office’s PRINCE2
methodology. Some organizations adopt a set standard globally. Some adopt
the most popular for their region (typically IPMA in Europe and PMI outside
Europe) and some adopt the most popular for their sector (PRINCE2 is
prevalent in government, finance and information technology sectors). For this
reason you will find no advice in this book on the correct methodology to
follow. Instead, you will find the author’s selection of the most useful tools
and techniques and a project life cycle around which they can be based. This
does not detract from the author’s acceptance that these methodologies
have much to offer. However, they need to be assessed against the specific
needs of the organization and the project. No methodology is perfect, each
having strengths and weaknesses and providing a well-defined route map for
successful project management.
PRINCE2
PRINCE2 is probably the most prescriptive of all the internationally recognized
methodologies. Originating from a methodology for the information technology
sector called PROMPT, PRINCE (and then PRINCE2) has been a favourite
governmental standard for many years – originating in the United Kingdom but
now used internationally where it has followed its early sectors of government,
public sector, finance and information technology. PRINCE2 is a complete
methodology based on detailed processes and templates.
PRINCE2 has a reputation for being highly prescriptive and cumbersome.
However, it is much maligned as it does provide guidance for mandatory and
optional elements. The problem tends to come from a dogmatic implementa-
tion of the full methodology by some organizations.
Usefully, much of the PRINCE2 resource base is available in the public domain
via websites such as http://www.cabinetoffice.gov.uk/ and the complete
methodology is available at a low cost.
6 20:20 Project Management
Which methodology?
The truth is that it depends. Over the years the three main internationally
recognized methodologies have become much more aligned and the main
differences are now terminology based or how broad or prescriptive a meth-
odology is required as a starting point. But a starting point they should be.
Each offers a benchmark for assessing knowledge, but need to be considered
against the type and scale of projects being managed within an organization.
Cost
Sc
y
he
alit
du
Qu
SCOPE
le
Time Quality
Budget
The cost, time, quality triangle implies a tension between the three components
such that if any one of the components was to be changed, then it would
have an impact on one, or both, of the others. Thus in order to meet the cost
objective there may need to be a sacrifice of time or quality. Or in order to
meet a quality constraint a sacrifice of either time or cost may be needed.
Scope sits in the centre of the triangle as any changes to time, cost and
quality will have an impact on the scope and any changes to the scope will
have an impact on the time, cost and quality of the project.
It can also be seen in the above triangle if the scope is changed in any way
it could have an effect on one or more of the three main drivers.
However, it is important to add that safety is paramount in all projects and,
unlike time, cost and quality should not be compromised.
Introduction 7
Political
What political influences are impacting on the organization’s ability to deliver?
What is the political climate? What political stakeholders need to be con
sidered? What influences are there politically within the project organization,
the client and subcontractors? Are there regulatory bodies that will be involved
or asserting an influence on the project?
Environmental
Are there any environmental issues that will influence the project’s success,
eg where will the project be carried out, offshore, onshore, will there be
a potential of environmental damage or even enhancement of delivery or an
environmental benefit?
Social
In terms of cultural or family values. The project may bring a benefit to the local
community in terms of an enhancement to their environment. It could also
be a negative, whereby jobs are lost due to the running of the project.
Technological
Does the equipment we require to carry out the project exist? Are there
sufficient communications or IT to carry out the project?
Legislation
What legal status will the project operate under, will it be subjected to differing
legal entities, is it cross cultural? What legal system will the contractual
terms be drawn up in and how will that influence the project operation? Are
there any specific legal drivers that will need to be adhered to, eg HSE, EC
directives, etc?
8 20:20 Project Management
Economic
This will include exchange rates, employment, inflation, licences, energy savings
and reductions, safety issues, ie accidents/damage, etc, effects on health and
welfare, improved productivity, positive changes in land use and land values,
etc, effects on pollution and waste.
This model is sometimes also known as STEEPLE: sociological, technological,
economic, ethical, political, legal, environmental.
By understanding the project context the project can be managed in the
most appropriate way and the influences considered and addressed, eg a
project that is very political and environmentally influenced and visible would
need a different management approach than a project that was being run
internally by an organization with few external influences.
Definition Once the project objectives are clearly defined then the
appraisal of the solutions is conducted in terms of risks,
financial commitment and benefits. The scope of work is
now defined in detail.
Execution The fourth phase of the project life cycle is the execution
phase, where the work is implemented, controlled and
monitored.
Close-out The final phase of the project life cycle is close-out and
demobilization, where resources are reassigned, the
project is handed over and the post-project review is
carried out.
Typically the duration of a project like this will between seven and 25 years
with the testing and validation phase alone taking several years depending
on how many clinical trials are conducted. Typical costs are $800 million to
$1 billion.
The project life cycle below could represent the phases for the implemen-
tation of a new business process.
This project may only take several months but would still follow a structured
life cycle.
It is important to ensure the project life cycle used on your project is
appropriate to the work to be carried out and split into distinct and manageable
phases.
Monitoring and
Controlling Process
Planning
Processes
Initiating Closing
Processes Processes
Executing
Processes
Introduction 11
Each of the five process groups interacts and overlaps (ie planning continues
alongside execution processes and activities). Equally, close-out activities and
processes can commence while execution processes and activities are being
carried out.
The diagram overleaf visually depicts the process overlap and the inter
action and amount of overlap are indicated in the diagram below.
Planning Execution
Level of Process Interaction
Initiation
Closing
Monitoring
and Control
Time
Monitoring and Monitoring and Monitoring and Monitoring and Monitoring and
Controlling Process Controlling Process Controlling Process Controlling Process Controlling Process
Planning Planning Planning Planning Planning
Processes Processes Processes Processes Processes
Initiating Closing Initiating Closing Initiating Closing Initiating Closing Initiating Closing
Processes Processes Processes Processes Processes Processes Processes Processes Processes Processes
Pot
ent
ge
Lev
ial t
an
Ch
el o
oA
to
f
dd
st
influ
Co
Val
enc
ue
e
than changes made late. It also emphasizes that a project manager can best
influence the chances of success in their project at the early stages, rather
than later when the project plan is fixed.
It also serves to highlight where project management should be focused
and that is in the early stages of the project. Although all areas are covered
in this book, most of the tools and techniques focus on the early stages of the
project.
Many organizations become very good at ‘firefighting’ project manage-
ment problems yet this is not something they should be proud of – it tends
instead to be a symptom that they place insufficient emphasis on the early
stages of a project life cycle, as we will see in this book.
Gate procedure
The stage gate process/procedure incorporates best practice from a variety
of sources and is a tried and tested method for delivering projects on time
within budget and to the expected quality targets. It defines the way in which
projects are managed and implemented and consists of a number of stages
with ‘gates’ or hold points between each stage. If we use the life cycle we
discussed previously we can see some of the typical gates that may be set up
through the project life.
14 20:20 Project Management
At each stage, approval is generally required from outside the project team before
proceeding to the next stage. The process requires documentary evidence at
each stage together with an indication of who is able to approve the project to
enable it to proceed through the gate to the next stage.
The stage gate process is a generic process which can be applied to any
size of project regardless of the industrial or commercial sector. However, the
level of detail required on the documentary evidence will be governed by the
nature, monetary value and complexity of the project.
Organizational structures
All organizations are structured differently due to the way that they operate
and according to their culture. The structure of an organization will affect the
way in which projects are managed and this will be determined by the types
and differences of organizational structures such as:
●● flat;
●● tall;
●● hierarchal;
●● matrix;
●● centralized and decentralized.
Introduction 15
Flat structure
Project
Manager
In contrast, where there are narrow spans of control and more layers of
authority an organization is deemed to have a ‘tall’ structure, as shown below.
Introduction 17
Tall structure
MD
Directors
Dep. Managers
Project Control
Contractors
Hierarchal structure
Throughout the 20th century hierarchy was the traditional method of developing
an organization. Prior to the widespread use of information and communica-
tion technologies, hierarchal organizations were managed by detailed systems
and procedures.
18 20:20 Project Management
Chairman
These types of organizations are tightly structured and there are manuals
and systems that govern everything that is undertaken by the organization.
A working example of this type of organization is that created by Henry Ford.
Matrix structures
In more recent times many organizations now have matrix structures, particularly
where there is an emphasis on project work. A project team is responsible for
managing a particular project and may consist of a number of individuals who
have the responsibility for specific aspects of the project such as planning,
scheduling, cost estimating, procurement, etc. It will be noted that these are
elements of project control.
One advantage of a matrix structure is that it facilitates the use of specialized
staff who may divide their time among a number of projects. In addition,
maintaining functional departments promotes functional expertise, whilst
working in project groups with expertise from other functions helps create the
cross-fertilization of ideas and strategies.
Introduction 19
However, the main disadvantage of the matrix structure is the dual report-
ing structure, as shown in the following example.
Project
Manager
for
Project 1
Project
Manager
for
Project 2
Project
Manager
for
Project 3
It can be seen from this example that the project manager brings together
people from across the various functional areas with their relevant levels of
expertise. Whilst the project manager has the responsibility for their own
project, the people within the functional area will still have their own manage-
ment reporting structure.
20 20:20 Project Management
Centralized structures
In centralized structures, major responsibilities within sections or units remain
at the centre of the organization, whereas in decentralized structures many
specific responsibilities are delegated away from the centre of the organiza-
tion, as shown below.
Head Head
Office Office
Centralized vs decentralized
In a project context organizations may choose to centralize certain key functions
such as accounts and sales and decentralize day-to-day activities such as
procurement and planning/scheduling.
Things to consider
Don’t jump the gun
It is all too tempting to be focused on ‘making things happen’ and ‘getting into
delivery mode’ but the truth is that poor preparation leads to poor performance.
Planning the start-up, definition and planning phases requires as much focus
as the execution phase. Those that spend sufficient time in the early phases
will reap the benefits during project execution. The ‘Add value’ and ‘Cost of
change’ curves on the project life cycle diagram illustrate this perfectly.
Conclusion
This chapter has sought to set the scene for the management of your
project. The next chapters take the reader through each stage of a project life
cycle – offering guidance, case studies and important considerations.
This book is designed as a reference tool as well as an approach to
successful project management. Please feel free to use the elements that
help – every piece of advice heeded might save the project ... or the project
manager!
In the next chapter we will start to use a basic project as a simulation
where the application of the theories discussed can be seen to be used and
applied.
About Talisman
Talisman Energy is a global, diversified upstream oil and gas company, headquartered in
Canada.
Talisman Energy generate long-term shareholder value by delivering oil and gas projects
with world-class execution.
To support this goal, they have established the project delivery system (PDS). PDS
provides a consistent, disciplined process to project development, ensuring we do the
right projects and in the right manner.
24 20:20 Project Management
Together these characteristics help to improve business delivery. PDS provides a decision-
making process that emphasizes both doing the right project and doing projects right to
maximize value for the company. It ensures we make effective use of different disciplines.
It reinforces good planning and forecasting, as well as a realistic assessment of risks.
It eliminates surprises and increases project predictability.
Talisman’s Project Delivery System (PDS) has three core elements:
●● Stage gate process: PDS is based on a stage gate process of phased project
development and commitments.
●● People to deliver PDS: Successful project development depends on our ability to
harness the talents and skills of many people in our organization.
●● Governance: PDS provides a comprehensive governance framework so that the right
oversight is provided throughout the project life cycle.
1 2 3
PEOPLE TO
STAGE GATE PROCESS DELIVER PDS GOVERNANCE
+ +
Appraise, select, Integrated Effective decision-
define, execute, development team making
operate
Have we
Key objectives
The stage gate process is a step-by-step process to evaluate and develop business opportunities. In Appraise and Select,
our time and efforts are focused on selecting the right project that provides the best overall benefit to Talisman. In Define,
Execute and Operate, we focus on doing the project right, steadily increasing our investments in dollars and resources in
project development.
Introduction 27
Review of Review the Assess the Organizational Create Project Create Project
PDS Global PSD Project Capability stage gate specific
Workflow Roadmap, specific key Project PDS Project
to support agree key documents Organization Deliverables Management
Roadmap at elements & & PDS schedule System
each PDS project specific Deliverables Framework
Stage requirements − LACTI
Performance management
Project dashboards: These provide regular progress reports to the gatekeeper and
operating committee, measuring a project’s performance against the work plan and budget
set at the beginning of the stage. Executive dashboards are prepared quarterly and
reviewed by executive management.
Lessons learned: Each development team is mandated to share lessons learned on the
company’s online project management network (PMN) throughout a project’s life cycle.
28 20:20 Project Management
This provides Talisman’s project development teams with an opportunity to share learning
and experience throughout the organization. At the beginning of each stage, the team
consults the PMN to identify previous lessons learned applicable to their project. A register
of lessons learned is prepared and each lesson is assigned for implementation.
Look-back reviews: These review performance management at a strategic level and
are undertaken after a project’s first year of operation. They provide a detailed appraisal of
the project, comparing actual performance against the original sanction document. The
results of these reviews are stored on the company’s online PMN portal for use by other
Talisman project development teams.
29
Starting your 01
project
Introduction
“
In the business world, the rear-view mirror is
always clearer than the windshield. Warren Buffet
(Within)
Cost
SCOPE
Start-up
Defining
Planning
Execution
Close-out
34 20:20 Project Management
Project benefits
As part of the business case the expected project benefits (see above) should
be clearly documented to provide measures for success. There may be obvious
benefits such as employment, financial return, etc. However, some of the less
obvious benefits should also be highlighted. These may include:
●● increased reliability of a product;
●● increased market share;
●● company exposure and publicity;
●● cost savings;
●● reduced maintenance costs;
Starting Your Project 35
●● environmental advantage;
●● employee benefits;
●● ease of use;
●● shareholder satisfaction;
●● less cost to produce;
●● customer satisfaction.
Project simulation
The following pages contain an example business case for the simulation project we
will use through the subsequent chapters.
Objectives
The main objective is to relocate all the company’s project personnel to an already
empty adjacent building which is up for lease. This will not only house the project
teams but it is the intention to establish a project management office which will
serve all projects. In addition a client’s suite will also be established allowing project
clients to work closely with the project team. The key deliverables are:
●● Establish a long-term lease in the adjacent building.
●● Relocate all project teams to open plan projects office.
●● Ensure CAT 5 wiring is installed throughout the office suite.
●● Purchase and install up-to-date PCs and peripherals.
●● Set-up a project management office (PMO) to serve all projects.
●● Establish an area for clients and project sponsors to work from.
Benefits
A number of benefits will be realized by the relocation of the project office, the main
being more efficient delivery of all projects resulting in a greater profitability to the
company and repeat business from key clients. Some of the additional benefits are
listed below:
●● better communications between teams resulting in more efficient project
delivery;
●● cost reductions in telephone communication and travelling;
●● more efficient execution of project activities due to establishing a PMO;
●● safety risks reduced by excluding yard visits;
●● more motivated staff;
●● attrition reduced;
●● shared resources more easily accessed from within the projects;
●● closer working relationship with project sponsors and clients;
●● clients appreciate our commitment to running project more efficiently.
Starting Your Project 37
Risks
Some of the key risks associated with this project are listed below although a full
risk analysis should be conducted in the initiation stage of the project.
●● disruption to existing projects in the relocation;
●● no buy-in from senior management;
●● unable to secure the lease at a reasonable cost;
●● unable to find staff to man the PMO;
●● communications still suffering due to functions being in separate location;
●● connectivity problems to company intranet due to new IT.
Financial appraisal
The approximate costs for relocation and operating for one year are as follows:
Subtotal 2,250,000
Contingency @ 8% 180,000
Total 2,430,000
38 20:20 Project Management
It will establish the project’s purpose and demonstrate that the project team
and the customer are committed to the project. It will focus on the customer
and project expectations and will identify the project management principles
that will be implemented to manage the project from start to finish.
In terms of the audience for the project management plan, it should be
available to anyone who is involved in the project eg the customer, the project
team and stakeholders in general. The project management plan is probably
the main communication document for the project.
Strategic/organizational alignment
It must be determined which organizational objectives will be supported by
undertaking the project. It is often not enough for a project to simply deliver a
profit. The company as a whole will have objectives that they wish to achieve
and projects will be selected based on their ability to support the achievement
of these objectives.
This section will also include the results of the project’s stakeholder analysis;
who are the people or organizations impacted by or interested in the project.
It will also help to clearly identify who are the users, suppliers and the customers.
There will also be the inclusion of project assumptions, which will clarify
grey areas in the project scope. Assumptions are made to fill knowledge gaps;
they may later prove to be incorrect and can have a significant impact on the
project. Only those assumptions that have a reasonable chance of occurring
should be listed.
Constraints
In this section there will be a requirement to list any known constraints imposed
by the environment or by management. Typical constraints may include fixed
budget; limited resources; imposed interim and/or end dates; predetermined
software systems and packages; and other predetermined solutions.
This will include the need to identify training requirements and begin the
development of the project training plan.
The training needs will include, technical training relevant to the project
domain, team training, project management training and training in the
procedures to be used on the project.
Material/equipment requirements
This section should define the space, hardware/software, and other resources
needed to complete your project successfully. Space resources will include
a designated team, meeting and work site, including any on-site office space
your client may provide.
Hardware/software resources include those provided by you as a team and
those provided by your client.
Make it crystal clear who will provide what. For example, does the client
assume that you have the necessary software tools to complete your project,
or will your client provide them? Other resources include any documentation
of the existing system, vendor technical literature, systems manuals, etc that
you will need to consult.
Budget/cost estimate
Estimates are typically prepared for:
●● the duration of the project;
●● the human resource requirements in terms of numbers and types of
skills required on the team;
●● the cost of performing the work defined in the project plan;
●● the material and equipment resources in terms of quantity and duration.
As the project traverses through the various project management phases,
more information will be known and unpredictability will be reduced. Therefore,
at the end of each phase and after each milestone, the cost–benefit analysis
is updated and the information communicated as needed.
Good estimates require:
●● time and focus;
●● historical information or previous experience;
●● multiple, consistent estimating methods;
●● knowledge of the work.
Costs are divided into three types:
●● capital items: associated with the procurement of assets that are
capitalized such as hardware and software;
●● expense items: associated with operating expenses, material, travel,
training, supplies, books, copying, printing, etc;
●● labour: associated with the total time team members work on a
project based on an hourly rate for each skill set or the actual salary
of the team members.
Risk management
This section will detail the process to be employed on the project in order to
manage risk. It will also contain the outputs of the process in regards to the
Starting Your Project 43
risk events identified by the use of the process. Please see the Risk chapter
for further information on this process which will be followed at every stage
of the project life cycle.
Project issues
This section will define the process to be used to manage issues identified on
the project. It is worth noting that issues are things that have happened which
are outside the authority of the project manager and need to be escalated in
order to achieve a resolution.
Change management
This section will describe the change management process to be utilized on
the project. The PMP acts as a baseline for the project and any changes made
to base-lined items must go through formal change control.
Communication management
In this part of the PMP there will be a description of the system of communi-
cations and the project performance documentation that will be provided to
the various stakeholders.
●● Define procedures for interacting with your client. How will they
contact you?
●● Who on your team is the primary contact (ie team leader/manager)?
●● How will you contact your client? How do you gain access to interview
end users?
●● How often will you provide written and/or oral reviews?
●● Does your client have a specific format for project status reports?
●● Who makes the go/no-go decisions, including changes in project scope
or requirements?
●● Does your client expect you to adhere to any particular development
methodology or standards?
●● How will the final review (user acceptance review) be conducted?
●● Be sure to schedule well in advance a mid-point and a final review time
and date with your sponsor and end-user representatives.
In summary, your purpose in this section is to outline the structure of your
client interaction, whether by phone, e-mail, in person, or in formal reports.
See sample communications plan below.
04 Brief status meeting Progress reporting, Project team Informal verbal Weekly
issues, action items
Approvals
This section will be used to capture approval signatures from project stake-
holders. The table below is an example of a simple approval form.
Project Name:
I have reviewed the information contained in the Project Plan
dated , and agree to the baseline commitments
specified in it.
Attachments
Included in this section will be pointers to pertinent documents such as the
business case, notes and related documents; the team charter should also be
included as a separate document along with the project plan. You would also
include a project binder which will include all of the supporting materials to
your project plan.
The project was successful because the client got far more quality than they
expected.
The first question with this project is, did this extra quality cost us unnecessary
time and money to achieve? Secondly, did the client actually want this additional
level of quality, for example this may have an impact on his future maintenance
and running costs?
Although there is a definite benefit in completing not only on time, but early,
we need to determine why the project was early. It may have been completed
so early because extra resources were brought in at significant additional cost
just to beat the end date.
The project took longer but we were able to incorporate newer technology in
the project.
Like the ‘extra quality’ situation, was the change in technology necessary,
did it bring significant benefits and is it really what the client wants?
Stakeholders
Stakeholders are any group or individuals who have an interest in or are
impacted by the project and can be divided into two main areas, primary
stakeholders and secondary stakeholders.
Project
Secondary
Stakeholders
Primary Stakeholders
Primary stakeholders are those directly involved with the project and the scope
that the project entails. Some typical primary stakeholders are listed below
along with the type of questions that should be considered regarding them.
Starting Your Project 49
Project manager Why are you doing this job and what do
you want as your outcome?
Project team What does the project team want from the
project? Is it more than employment and
wages; are there development and career
issues?
Locals likely to be affected by the Identify and assess pros and cons
project
Stakeholder analysis
The purpose of the needs analysis is to determine the needs and expectations
of all the stakeholders. Project stakeholders are organizations or people
(both internal and external) who are either actively involved in the project, or
whose interests are affected by the project being implemented. It is the
project manager’s responsibility to identify all the stakeholders and determine
their needs and expectations. These needs and expectations should then be
managed, influenced and balanced, to ensure project success. The project
manager should create an environment where the stakeholders are encour-
aged to contribute their skills and knowledge, which may be useful to the
success of the project.
Consider the following headings:
●● Originator: the person who suggested the project.
●● Owner : the person whose strategic plan created the need for the
project.
●● Sponsor : the company or client who will authorize expenditure on the
project – this could be an internal client.
●● Project champion : the person who makes the project happen.
Often a person with influence in high places.
Starting Your Project 51
●● User: the person who will use the product on behalf of the owner
when the project is completed.
●● Customers: the people who will receive and pay for the benefit from
the facility. For example we are all customers for electricity, telephones
and commercial travel facilities. Customers may prefer a wide range of
fashionable products – this would encourage short production runs and
quick turn-round times.
●● Project team: the team members who plan, organize, implement and
control the work of the contractor to deliver the product within the
constraints of time, cost and quality (also consider the effect on their
families).
●● Senior management: within your company who you need to support
your project (mentoring).
●● Functional managers: within your company who will be supplying the
workforce for your project (matrix structure).
●● Boss: your boss, the person you report to, can play an important role
in establishing your working environment, the support you receive and
your career prospects within the organization.
●● Colleagues: although they may not be working on your project,
indirectly they can supply useful information and offer moral peer
support, or conversely peer pressure.
●● Contractors: the external companies or people offering specialist
expertise to supplement the company’s resources.
●● Suppliers and vendors: the external companies or people who supply
materials and equipment. They have a wealth of experience which
should be tapped.
●● Supporters: the parties who provide goods and services to enable the
facility to be built, for example the suppliers of telephones, electricity,
postal service and even the corner shop. Financial support through the
banking system could also be included here.
●● Legal requirements: rules and regulations both nationally and
internationally that must be complied with.
There are other stakeholders (usually external) who may not be directly involved
with the project, but can influence the outcome:
●● regulatory authorities – health and safety;
●● trade unions;
●● special interest groups (environmentalists) who represent the society
at large;
●● lobby groups;
●● government agencies and media outlet;
●● individual citizens.
52 20:20 Project Management
Some stakeholders are interested in the outcome of the project, while others
are only interested in the project while it is being implemented. Stakeholders
can be further classified into those who are positively affected and those
that are negatively affected by this project. Where possible, identify the key
decision makers (those with power) and focus your attention on their needs.
Any differences between the stakeholders should be resolved in favour of the
client and customers, but not necessarily at the expense of other stakeholders.
High
Low
− Interest +
Stakeholder grid
Some stakeholders will support the project, while others will oppose the
project. It is important to address those who oppose the project and discuss
their fears and objections, because it is these stakeholders that could derail
your project, particularly if they have power. Some of their concerns may be
valid and with some flexibility could be accommodated. At the end of the day
you may not be able to please all your stakeholders and in this conflict environ-
ment you will need to establish the priority of your stakeholders’ needs and
make your decisions accordingly.
By using the above grid you will be able to assess the balance of stakeholders
for and against the project and which are of the greatest risk or the greatest
supporters of the project. If there are any stakeholders sitting in a position of
high power with a high negative interest this must be addressed to try and
move them to a position of positive interest.
The process of stakeholder management should be as follows:
●● Identify – Identify the stakeholders and assess where they fall in the
above grid.
●● Analyse – Analyse their need, objections, and concerns.
●● Communication – Establish what and how you are going to
communicate with them.
●● Management – Continually review, manage and communicate with
each stakeholder.
Starting Your Project 53
Another key area that led to project failures was related to people issues
– teams that did not function well and did not collectively aim for the project
goals.
Below are listed the main factors affecting a project’s likely success which
are common to most surveys, along with a description of what measures
can be put in place to eliminate them, or reduce their impact.
Objectives
Poorly defined, unclear and ambiguous project objectives
Solution: Use a project management plan, or terms of reference, to
clearly lay out all objectives and deliverables. (Life cycle stage:
Defining your project)
Objectives are incomplete
Solution: Have the project objectives agreed with the client or sponsor.
Question any assumptions and ask for clarification. (Life cycle stage:
Defining your project)
Objectives are unrealistic
Solution: Involve the project manager, or intended project manager,
at the definition stage of the project so that front line experience can
be brought to bear upon the process. Also, ensure that risk analysis
is carried out prior to committing to the project to determine overall
feasibility. (Life cycle stage: Defining your project)
Commitment
Lack of executive support resulting in the project having low priority
within the organization
Solution: Use a project sponsor or project champion within upper
management who feels a sense of ownership for the project,
ensuring it will receive the required executive attention. (Life cycle
stage: Defining your project) Also, ensure that project information is
visible and high profile during the project. (Life cycle stage: Planning
your project, Executing your project)
Lack of client involvement leading to loss of focus
Solution: Agree objectives with client; and ensure that the client is kept
abreast of the project at all times. It may be appropriate to include the
client on certain risk analysis sessions. (Life cycle stage: Definition,
appraising, planning, execution)
Poorly defined authority structures leading to confusion and delayed or
unauthorized decision making
Solution: Define roles and responsibilities for all team members. Produce
a responsibility/authority chart for the entire project indicating who can
make what decisions and to what level. (Life cycle stage: Defining your
project)
Starting Your Project 55
Planning
Not anticipating undesirable events
Solution: Implement a simple but effective risk analysis and management
strategy for the project, to which everyone is invited to contribute.
Such a scheme should be active throughout the project life cycle
and its results should constantly feed the Planning your project and
Executing your project phases to aid in contingency planning and
decision making. (Life cycle stage: Defining your project, Planning
your project, Executing your project)
Poorly detailed plans
Solution: Create a work breakdown structure at the beginning of the
project which defines the project down to an appropriate task level.
Avoid having activities in plans which are of a very long duration
relative to all other activities in the plan. (Life cycle stage: Planning
your project)
Inaccurate plans which do not reflect the actual project status
Solution: Use software planning tools with care – do not let the constraining
features of a software tool drive the project. Ensure that actual project
progress is applied to project plans to reforecast dates and costs.
Ensure that any progress data is accurate and not assumptions.
(Life cycle stage: Planning your project, Executing your project)
Control
Constantly changing objectives or project scope
Solution: Implement a change control regime in the project whereby any
action that may result in alteration to project plans or objectives are
properly appraised and agreed before implementation. Avoid implementing
change requests from the client without explaining the potential impact
on the project and ensure the client agrees, perhaps through the use
of a variation order. (Life cycle stage: Executing your project)
Changing technologies
Solution: Although there may be occasions when it is necessary to use
a different technology during the execution of the project, any change
must be carefully evaluated to determine its impact on the project
objectives. There may well be a benefit in some areas but a loss in
others. If technology is a significant element of a project, ensure that
it is given adequate attention in a risk analysis where the potential for
absolution, etc is addressed and mitigation defined. (Life cycle stage:
Defining your project)
People
Personality clashes within and outside the project team
Solution: Undertake behaviour profiling of the team ensuring that the
potential for conflict is reduced and that the team members understand
each other. (Life cycle stage: Planning your project, Executing your project)
56 20:20 Project Management
Ta b l e 1.8 continued
Ta b l e 1.8 continued
15. Organize the ●● A comprehensive project plan that pulls together all
project plan. the outputs of the preceding project planning
activities.
16. Close out the ●● Project plan that has been approved, in writing, by
project planning the client and a ‘green light’ or okay to begin work
phase. on the project.
Starting Your Project 59
Ta b l e 1.8 continued
In the above example method B would be preferred due to the fact that it
returns the initial investment quicker than the other two methods irrespective
of the fact that method C’s return would be much greater.
The main advantages of this method are:
●● It is easily understood and applied.
●● It reduces the uncertainty of long range cash forecast as it
concentrates on early cash returns.
The disadvantages are:
●● No account of cash flows beyond the payback date is taken into
account.
●● Projects with high early returns are favoured even though the risks
may be higher.
●● Projects with longer life cycles are penalized where the cash flow may
initially be low.
This also tells us (assuming interest rates stay the same) £1,333 received in
three years’ time is the equivalent of receiving £1,000 today.
Dividing the principal by the total accumulated at the end of each year,
produces a series of discount factors, eg:
End year 1: £1,000/1,100 = 0.909
End year 2: £1,000/1,210 = 0.826
End year 3: £1,000/1,331 = 0.751
If we now apply these factors to the predicted cash flows we can equate
them to an equivalent present-day figure, ie present value. This figure can now
be used to give a more accurate effect of the cash flows.
NPV calculation
Minimum rate of return = 10 per cent
Starting Your Project 67
Revenues Discount PV
factor
In the above example the net present value (NPV) is based on an MRR of 10
per cent. In this instance this project would seem to be viable based on this
financial appraisal method. In addition it can be seen that it meets its payback
in just over three years. Projects which meet their MRR quicker may also be
viewed more favourably than others that don’t.
Income at end year 1 £2K £2,000 .909 £1,818 .870 £1,740
Income at end year 2 £7K £7,000 .826 £5,782 .756 £5,292
Income at end year 3 £6K £6,000 .751 £4,506 .658 £3,948
Two of the ratios are then plotted on a graph against the percentage rate and
a straight line drawn between them. Where the line crosses the ratio at 1 this
is the IRR that the project will return.
In the case below it is approximately 11 per cent.
1.2
1.1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0% 10% 11% 15%
Things to consider
The tortoise and the hare
The initial phase of starting a project is often rushed, yet it is the most critical
stage at which a project manager can add value to their project and ensure it
has every chance of success. By stepping methodically through the starting
phase you will lay the foundations for a successful project. There is often
pressure to ‘get on with the project’ – caused by a lack of understanding in the
organization – yet to rush this stage is to build on loose, unstable foundations
without a clear understanding by all stakeholders of the project objectives.
Time spent here will be rewarded later in the project. Time spent on a careful
start-up of your project will lead you faster to a successful conclusion.
Being SMART
One way to check whether a project has met its objectives is to ask each
stakeholder to wrote them down independently. It is common to then see
significant differences in how some stakeholders view project success –
usually because they themselves have differing objectives. The idea of SMART
objectives is not a new one. Indeed it is well used in management and leader-
ship theory. However, it applies especially well to project management.
Objectives which are not SMART will cause project issues later.
Starting Your Project 69
Defining success
It sounds obvious but it isn’t. Unless there is a clear measureable definition
of project success how can a project manager know if they have delivered a
successful project? The key here is to get all the stakeholders to agree –
sometimes easier said than done.
Conclusion
This chapter is perhaps the most important of all the chapters as starting out
correctly is crucial to project success. Laying suitable foundations can take
time and there is always pressure to start ‘delivering’. But following the steps
70 20:20 Project Management
in this chapter will lead to a successful project and ultimately, this is the funda
mental of good project management. The following chapters will follow the
project life cycle of phases from planning to completion.
About Subsea 7
Subsea 7 is a seabed-to-surface engineering, construction and services contractor to the
offshore energy industry worldwide specializing in seabed-to-surface design, fabrication,
installation and commissioning. The company has a total of 12,500 employees spread
globally.
They provide fully integrated services and have a proven track record in delivering
complex projects in deep water and challenging environments. Many of these fall within
engineering, procurement, installation and commissioning (EPIC) project delivery.
They achieve this by:
●● using specialist knowledge and expertise in the design, fabrication, installation and
commissioning of seabed-to-surface projects;
●● deploying global resources in all major offshore hydrocarbon basins worldwide;
●● operating one of the world’s most versatile fleets comprising over 40 high-specification
pipe-lay, construction, remote intervention and diving support vessels;
●● always keeping safety at the heart of all operations and committing to an incident-free
workplace, every day, everywhere.
Successful project management is one of the core competencies which sets Subsea
7 apart. It takes years of practical experience, know-how and dedication to safely deliver
the toughest and most complex of offshore projects on schedule, on budget, to agreed
standards, time after time.
Their project managers are responsible for organizing and managing multi-disciplinary,
integrated project teams able to safely manage and deliver the demands of each undertaking
in terms of safety, quality, cost and schedule. These teams have industry-leading logistical
support, supply chain management and the assets needed to safely execute each project.
Through its project management expertise, Subsea 7 adds value to every phase of
the project life cycle – from planning and design through fabrication, construction and
installation to commissioning, operation and decommissioning.
PM7 breaks the project down into its constituent phases, from the initial identification
of prospects in the win process to the closedown of projects in the execution phase,
detailing each of the activities associated with that phase.
For each activity PM7 provides:
●● guidance to the team in what to do, how they should do it, and how best to do it in
practice;
●● links to internal guidance and procedural documents within their business
management system particular to that activity;
●● ready access to a suite of global best practices, go-bys and templates for key
activities.
In addition to this, a gate and health check system has been developed to allow project
management teams to self-audit the project at any stage of its life cycle.
Across the full project life cycle from ‘win’ to ‘close-out’, five key phases of a project
are identified as critical stages, and as seen from the diagram overleaf, project start up
is identified as a stand-alone phase of a project.
Subsea 7 define project start up as the phase of the project between notice of project
award and the execution phase, and consider it to be a critical point in the total project
life cycle. There is a tendency to try and make this phase of the project as short as possible.
This is particularly noticeable amongst the engineering community as engineers have a
tendency to want to go straight out to the design and build phase. Historical evidence,
however, shows that many of the problems occurring in projects can be traced back to
failures or lack of attention during start-up.
Subsea 7 consider the work and effort put into ensuring all start up activities are properly
performed will pay dividends by setting the foundations for the success of the project.
Generally Subsea 7 group the start up phase into two equally important components:
●● review and set up;
●● planning.
Planning
This component is concerned with effectively ‘baselining’ the project in terms of:
●● generation of the key project control documents, processes and procedures to be
used by the team throughout the execution phase: project management and execution
plan, hse plan, quality plan, etc;
●● definition of the documentation deliverables in the form of a master document register;
●● establishing a schedule for performing all major onshore and offshore activities
required to complete the work scope, which can be used in conjunction with the
master document register to track and report progress;
●● establishing the initial project cost and revenue forecast, and the means by which
to control and adjust through the execution and operational phases as required;
●● establishing a means of controlling all incoming and outgoing financial funds from the
project;
●● establishing the materials, goods and services to be procured and the strategy for
procurement and supply of these;
●● reviewing the inherent project risks and establishing a risk register which can be
used to effectively control risk throughout the execution and operational phases;
●● establishing a sound technical basis for the execution and operational phases.
It is all very well to have the process for project start-up laid out in clear and carefully
defined steps; however, it is equally important to ensure that each project follows the ‘road
map’ provided by PM7. To achieve this, Subsea 7 have introduced the concept of ‘stage
gates’ into PM7.
There are two ‘stage gates’ associated with the start up phase of the project.
Gate 1 marks the transition phase between the works performed by the business
acquisition team in winning the work, and the handover to the team who will execute the work.
Gate 2 marks the completion of all activities associated with the start-up phase such
that the solid foundation for the continuing execution phase is successfully in place.
Each of the above gates can be opened within PM7 to reveal a series of audit type
questions which allows the project management teams to self-audit the project at these
critical phases. The gate audits can also be used by upper management to review the
status of the project, and the system incorporates ‘traffic lights’ to provide a visual and
‘at a glance’ status of each of the audit activities.
One of the key elements of a successful project start-up within Subsea 7 is the
development and approval of a project management and execution plan (PMEP).
The PMEP is considered as the core document for the management and execution of
the project, and is the principal means by which the project is planned, monitored and
managed. The document is owned and maintained by the project manager and is utilized by
the project team members to ensure the successful day to day operational management
and control of the project and the quality of the outputs.
The PMEP documents how the project will be managed in terms of why, what, how, how
much, who, when and where.
74 20:20 Project Management
Gate 2
This Gate acts as a checklist to ensure that all activities deemed to be an essential part of Project Start up have been succesfully completed
Item Module Compliance Measure Comment Responsible
020 Project Management
Is the Project adequately resourced in terms 405 Project Organisation & PM-GL-PM-007 Confirmation by Project Manager
of personnel, hardware, software, office space Resources
and facilities?
Has a Project organisation chart been produced? 405 Project Organisation & PM-GL-PM-007 Approved organisation chart in place
Resources
Has a Manpower resource plan been developed 405 Project Organisation & NA Confirmed by Regional Resource Co-ordinator
to identify project man power requirements and Resources
input to the Regional planning system?
Have all Project Team personnel completed 405 Project Organisation & NA Training records
mandatory Subsea 7 training Resources
Has the team been briefed on roles, 405 Project Organisation & NA Briefing records
responsibilities and communications protocol? Resources
Has the team been briefed on roles, 405 Project Organisation & NA Briefing records
Completion of Project Start up
What : A description of the scope, the deliverables and the acceptance criteria.
This includes the success criteria for the project, the objectives and the KPIs
used to measure success. The ‘what’ needs to take into account the project’s
constraints assumptions and the dependencies.
How: Defines the strategy for management, the tools, resources, techniques,
monitoring, control and reporting requirements. This will also include material
and procurement requirements. Also defines how the work is to be technically
performed.
How much: Definition of the project budget, and the budget and cost management
processes.
Who: A description of the key project roles and responsibilities, the organization,
and the plan for required resources.
When: Defines the timescales, including milestones, phasing and the overall plan.
Where: Defines the geographical locations in which all aspects of the work are to be
performed.
Starting Your Project 75
The PMEP provides high level information on the project and then sets specific guidelines
for successful management and execution, ensuring that all activities are compliant with
Subsea 7 business management system and client’s contractual and technical requirements.
The high-level table of contents for the generic Subsea 7 PMEP is presented below:
Defining your 02
project
Introduction
“
Running a project without a work breakdown
structure is like going to a strange land without
a road map. J Phillips
“
Defining your project is all about ‘scope management’.
Scope management is the process by which the deliverables
and work to produce them are identified and defined.
Identification and definition of the scope must describe
what the project will include and what it will not include,
ie what is in and out of the scope. APM’s body of knowledge
The high-level scope of the project should have been defined and documented
in the business case. The depth and detail of the scope will develop as the
project progresses and will be a breakdown of the original scope held in the
project management plan (PMP).
The scope can be broken down and refined by using a PBS (product break-
down structure) and a WBS (work breakdown structure).
78 20:20 Project Management
Contract
Product
Engine Training
Support
This shows an example PBS from the British Standard (BS 6079) for project
management.
package or sometimes even an activity. The lowest level of the WBS should be
consistent and agreed at the outset of the creation of the WBS.
A simplified example of a WBS for the production of a new model of car
is shown below. In this example the work is broken down to work package
level where an activity list can then be produced.
Car Project
Company X
East West
Total Cost
Project WBS
Contractor OBS
Mgt Project
Legal
82 20:20 Project Management
It can be seen in this example how the work to be carried out in the WBS
can be associated to the responsible department within the OBS.
SoW example
Task reference code: D01;
Summary description of the requirement: design unit 1;
Key deliverables: detailed design; documentation;
Timescales for the deliverables: start and finish dates;
Task dependencies/subsidiary tasks: succeeding tasks D03, M27;
Schedule of costs by cost element: £1,000 per deliverable;
Risk assessment: impact: low; probability: low;
Performance measurement and task completion criteria: client sign-off;
Description of work content: full description;
Reporting requirements: project manager;
Task ownership: drawing office.
PROJECT
1 2 3
This process should be democratic with all project participants being repre-
sented so that nothing is left out and that all parties commit themselves,
taking responsibility for their part in the project.
Common-sense guidelines
●● Each project is different.
●● Each project manager has a preferred approach.
84 20:20 Project Management
If possible, involve the customer when developing the WBS. Involve the
project team. They are the people who have to accept responsibility for doing
the work.
Defining Your Project 85
Requirements management
What is requirements management?
Problem Space
Needs
Traceability Definition
Product
Features
Product Requirements
Design
Deliverables
Test Criteria
Documentation
Managing programmes
The managing of multiple projects as part of a programme requires some
additional effort over and above managing a group of individual projects.
Even though an individual project is part of a larger programme, it must
still be treated as a stand-alone project with its own:
●● project manager;
●● requirements;
●● acceptance criteria;
●● budget;
●● milestones;
●● contingency;
●● baseline;
●● risk;
●● support team (QA, finance, PSO, etc);
●● subcontractors/suppliers.
Although it is a stand-alone project, an additional consolidation process must
take place subsequent to any individual project reports being generated.
Project priorities must be assigned, on occasion resources may be reassigned,
and contract changes will take place.
In order to manage multiple projects within a programme, a separate pro-
gramme manager must be nominated, together with a support team whose
sole role is to manage the consolidation process and the interrelationships
between the projects. This support group must comprise an overall design
authority, quality authority and programme management authority. This support
group would be set up as a separate team that would act as the prime con-
tractor for the individual projects and would define the processes that each
project would have to adopt. External customer contact, commercial arrange-
ments, and financial trading information would all be managed by this prime
contractor programme.
In essence, the programme manager and the central support team act as
the customer for the project and manage all inter-project disputes and change
orders. From time to time, changes will be required between projects without
an external customer being involved. There must be this capability of internal
changes and internal customers in order that a programme environment can
operate.
Consolidations
When programmes of work are subdivided, thought must be given to any
subsequent consolidations. If a large programme is subdivided into ten smaller
90 20:20 Project Management
Ignoring time
Creating a work breakdown structure allows the project team to define the
work or products in a logical way, without being distracted by the ‘timeline’
which comes later in the planning stage. By ensuring each step of defining
and planning your project is done methodically, it will lead to a better result,
and increase the chances of project success.
Pre-planning benefits
Developing the responsibility assignment matrix (RAM) before the planning
stage allows the project team to avoid the distraction of reality at too early a
stage. It is too tempting to modify resource requirement because of assump-
tions about availability instead of simply and methodically agreeing who should
have responsibility for what work. It is also important to keep the distinction
between ‘responsibility’ (at this stage) and ‘resource allocation’ (who will do
the work – agreed at the planning stage).
Project management is like juggling three balls: time, cost and quality.
Programme management is like a troupe of circus performers standing in
a circle, each juggling three balls and swapping balls from time to time.
(Source Geoff Reiss)
Project simulation
If we apply the processes discussed above in the creation of a WBS for our
simulation project it may look something like in Figure 2.8.
For the sake of clarity we have only broken down some of the areas to task level,
however, in an actual project we would break each level of the WBS down to its
lowest point which then give us a list of activities for the project.
Continued overleaf
92
Office Relocation
1.0
Office Project
Legal IT Procurement
Configuration Management
1.1 2.2 1.3
1.4 1.5
Procure Cat 5
Cabling Client Area Project Staff
Install Cat 5 Install Test IT 1.4.1 1.4.2
Cabling Hardware Functionality Procure
Hardware
Final Integrity Relocate Staff
Test Install Soundproof
Booths
Relocate Furniture
Defining Your Project 93
Table 2.1 lists the activities identified with a unique ID allocated to each and
a WBS reference to ensure a link back to the WBS for reporting purposes
In the next chapter we will use this activity list to start to formulate the project
schedule.
Conclusion
We have learned in this chapter how to define and agree the project scope
using a number of similar tools depending on the type of project being consid-
ered. Ensuring that the work is scoped correctly is of paramount importance
and sets the project team a known work scope when moving into the plan-
ning stage, described in the next chapter.
94 20:20 Project Management
Defining your project the Halliburton Pipeline and Process Services way
In a highly competitive market scope definition is key to ensuring a complete understanding
of exactly what is required to be delivered, not only from a cost, time and quality perspective
but also from a myriad of other potential deliverables, including:
●● Documentation ●● Expertise
●● Equipment ●● Attendance at meetings
●● Personnel ●● Expectations (internal and external)
●● Consumables ●● Maintenance on products
●● Products ●● Servicing
●● Engineering ●● Etc.
Defining Your Project 95
Complex projects can have multiple interfaces and, as such, lines of demarcation within
these projects can become blurry. In situations such as these, scope definition requires
due diligence to make sure every aspect of the work is covered and assigned to a
responsible party. During this key element of scope definition there is a need for clear and
concise communication between all project stakeholders including, but not limited to,
client, suppliers, other contractors/third parties and regulating authorities. Due to the
nature of the projects in which Halliburton PPS are involved, in the early stages of the
project life cycle the scope of work may not be clear. For this reason it is not uncommon to
see very large scope changes between stage gates, eg between tender process and
contract award. Even after contract award, it is not uncommon for project scope to grow
(or shrink) and as such scope review should be carried out regularly.
Within Halliburton PPS a ‘kick off’ meeting is held with the client after award to
ensure an agreed baseline is established to show where the boundaries of the scope
reside. Once a clear picture exists of the project scope, a clear plan of delivery is required
to ensure that identified deliverables are assigned to someone who is empowered to deliver
that which is required. The level of involvement and detail required will be dependent upon
the size and complexity of the project with smaller, less complex projects being much
easier to handle than larger more complicated scopes.
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Project Complexity
Scope definition of large projects within Halliburton PPS is managed through the use of
a work breakdown structure or WBS. This is created soon after the overall scope has been
identified and is formulated by the project team in a collaborative approach to capture
all the tasks required to ensure scope delivery. A basic template exists within our digital
project office to start the definition process with major headings such as engineering,
documentation or procurement acting as an aide memoir for the top – or first level –
packages in the creation of the WBS. Under each first level package further sub-level tasks
96 20:20 Project Management
are identified and as the WBS cascades to the lowest deliverable tasks, those responsible
are assigned. Within Halliburton PPS our baseline WBS is agreed with our client and is
considered a live document. Regular review is carried out with the project team not only to
track progress but also to capture any scope changes and help in our variation order
approval.
The WBS should capture all individual deliverable tasks but it does have its limitations.
Whilst it is a very visual tool of what is to be delivered, it does not show how tasks are
interlinked nor does it show a logical timeline for completion. High-level schedules can be
used to help in the initial building of the WBS (to ensure all tasks are captured at least at a
high level) but the WBS can conversely be used to help put the detail into more in-depth
schedules.
Within Halliburton PPS, we see a wide range in project size. For smaller projects, a WBS
could be considered overkill; however, it is still imperative to define all the required tasks
for scope delivery and assign them to a responsible person for action. To this end a simple
action tracker is utilized. The process of creating the action tracker is similar to that in
building a WBS; however, for smaller projects the project team will be smaller and the
process much quicker.
97
Planning your 03
project
Introduction
“
Planning is an unnatural process; it is much more fun to
do something. The nicest thing about not planning is that
failure comes as a complete surprise, rather than being
preceded by a period of worry and depression.
Sir John Harvey-Jones
T aking Sir John’s comment into account, it is clear that to avoid failure
(and especially failure as a surprise) planning is essential. It would seem
reasonable to plan the work and therefore have an idea of the costs and
timescale before we start to execute it. By spending time on planning, there
will be rather more chance of it finishing on time and at the cost predicted
and of course that it is delivered to a suitable quality.
At the first stage (just after the bright idea!) we need to have an overview
of the reason for the project and its costs which will include labour, ours and
any contract labour and the materials and non-labour resources required to
complete the project. At this point in the process it will be ‘broad brush’ or
high level estimated information which will be of enough accuracy to justify
the feasibility of the project.
Once we have the agreement of the ‘sponsor’ that the project will deliver
the benefits predicted within a suitable timescale, at an acceptable cost and
that we have the skills to do the work, we need to further define the plan and
determine a baseline against which we can measure success or failure.
In this chapter we will consider the purpose of managing time, define the
concepts and terminology of the time-based schedule, and introduce tools for
communicating the schedule, including activity listing and bar charts. We will
look at how to calculate the duration of work elements, how to use networks
to calculate the duration of work elements and the overall project, and show
how to adjust the schedule by balancing resource requirements against re-
source availability.
98 20:20 Project Management
It is important not to become tied up in the detail of parts of the work which
will be carried out later in the project.
This is known as ‘rolling wave planning’ and in order to understand it, imagine
you were planning a holiday overseas in two years’ time, would you organize
your taxi to the airport now or start shopping for holiday clothes? Probably not.
However, you would book your flight and accommodation.
Following the concept of rolling wave planning, varying degrees of planning
are carried out depending on when the work has to be executed. Work that
is imminent is planned in detail while work that’s in the future is planned at
a high level. As the work in the future get nearer it is then planned in more
detail.
This is a form of progressive elaboration and allows the project team to
focus on planning the work that is pending as the project progresses.
There are four main planning documents and they are the network (some-
times referred to as a precedence network), the bar chart (sometimes known
as the ‘Gantt chart’), the resource histogram and the S-curve.
S-Curve
Network
Barchart
Histogram
The best way to end up with these highly useful documents is to plan in
steps. This chapter will take the reader, step by step, through the planning
process and then demonstrate how these documents are developed and
applied as project control tools.
Planning Your Project 99
Scope management
Breaking down the work and defining the activities
In the last chapter we discussed scope definition and the breaking down or
‘decomposing’ of the scope into manageable pieces. The main output from
decomposing the scope baseline is the activity list, this is achieved by taking
each work package of the work breakdown structure (WBS) and breaking it
down into a list of activities that need to be conducted to ensure each work
package is delivered and therefore the scope achieved.
Car Project
01. Activity A
02. Activity B
03. Activity C
04. Activity D
100 20:20 Project Management
The typical attributes that need to be identified for each activity are:
WBS identifier The relevant area in the WBS that the activity is
linked to
Leads and lags Any leads or lags that need to be added to the activity
Precedence networks
In precedence networks, activities are represented by boxes, which are in turn
linked via logical links or dependencies. This is also known as an activity on
node representation. The technique used to produce this network is called
PNM (precedence network methodology) and is the process of identifying
and documenting relationships among the project activities. The output of
this action is a network diagram which will show the relationship between
all the activities in the project.
Planning Your Project 101
Build
H/W
Design Test
Code
S/W
Logical links
There are three types of logical dependency which are represented below:
Design Build
In this example (FS) you can’t start building until the design activity is
complete.
Dig Lay
Trench Pipe
In this example (SS), the pipe laying cannot start before the dig trench activity
has started.
Install Lay
Drainage Tarmac
In this example (FF) you cannot finish laying the tarmac until the drainage task
is complete.
102 20:20 Project Management
FS −5 Days
Design Build
5 Day Lead
A lag indicates that the succeeding activity cannot start until a predetermined
time after the preceding activity finishing.
In the example below it may also be possible to start laying a pipe in a
500-hundred mile hole after only three days of digging, therefore the two
activities would be linked SS with a three-day lag.
SS +3 Days
Dig Lay
Trench Pipe
3 Day Lag
Example: Now that we have a list of activities, we can put them in an order
which will allow us to determine the time it will take to complete the work
package.
Consider the activity list we produced for the office relocation project in
the last chapter. We have now added a value to each activity indicating the
‘preceding activity’, the task needed to be complete before the present activity
can be started.
Planning Your Project 103
A Project start
M Project end L
Based on the activity list produced for the office relocation we can now create
an activity sequence based on the added preceding activity information.
B C D
A F G J K L M
E H
104 20:20 Project Management
Dependencies
We have spoken about logical links or dependencies. These dependencies can
be divided into the three main categories described below.
Mandatory dependencies are often known as ‘hard logic’. They involve
physical restrictions which cannot be avoided; for example, you must
dig the trench before you can lay the pipe.
Discretionary dependencies involve sequencing that is done because
it is customary or the preferred method but could be done another
way. It may be instructed by the client or another important
stakeholder. However, it is not a physical constraint.
External dependencies exist where there is a relationship between
project activities and events outside the boundaries of the project.
These are normally outside the project team’s control. However,
the project manager needs to be aware of them and they may well
also constitute a ‘risk’ (see ‘Risk and your project’).
Estimating
Before we can create a logical precedence network for the work package,
we need to estimate the durations for each activity.
There are a number of methods which we can use to estimate the durations
and costs for each activity and the project. For this reason ‘Estimating your
project’ has been given its own unique reference chapter to help provide
advice on how to get estimates right.
Once estimates are available, we can now develop a schedule for the work
package by analysing activity sequences, durations and schedule constraints.
Let’s take our office relocation network and add some durations to each of
the activities.
Planning Your Project 105
4 3 2
B C D
Procure Install Relocate
Soundproof Soundproof Furniture
Booths Booths
0 4 2 3 2 2 0
A F G J K L M
Project Procure IT Install Test IT Relocate Final Integrity Project End
Start Hardware Hardware Functionality Staff Check
0 10 4
E H
Procure Cat Install Cat
5 Cabling 5 Cabling
The durations in this example are in weeks but equally could be in hours, days
or months.
In order to work out how long it will take to complete the sequenced work,
we need to perform what is known as a forward pass on the network.
Day 0 3 Day 3
Activity 1
Day 0 3 Day 3
Activity 1
Day 5 4 Day 9
Activity 3
Day 0 5 Day 5
Activity 2
In the above example activity 3 cannot start until both activity 1 and 2 are
complete. Therefore the earliest activity 3 can start is day 5.
This process is repeated throughout the network until the earliest end
date of the network is established.
0 4 4 4 3 7 7 2 9
B C D
Procure Install Relocate
Soundproof Soundproof Furniture
Booths Booths
0 0 0 0 4 4 9 2 11 14 3 17 17 2 19 19 2 21 21 0 21
A F G J K L M
Project Procure IT Install Test IT Relocate Final Integrity Project End
Start Hardware Hardware Functionality Staff Check
0 10 10 10 4 14
E H
Procure Cat Install Cat
5 Cabling 5 Cabling
Planning Your Project 107
This now indicates that the quickest we can carry out the work we have identified
is 21 weeks. However, what we don’t know is which of the activities are critical and if we
have movement available (float) on any of the activities.
Day 5 4 Day 9
Activity 3
Day 5 Day 9
Day 3 Day
Activity 2
Day Day
Day 5 Day
Activity 1
Day Day
Day 4 Day
Activity 3
Day Day
108 20:20 Project Management
In the above example the latest activity 1 can finish without affecting the late
starts of either activity 2 or 3 is day 5.
This process is repeated throughout the network until all late start and finish
dates have been identified.
Based on this information we can conduct a back pass on the office relocation project.
0 4 4 4 3 7 7 2 9
B C D
Procure Install Relocate
Soundproof Soundproof Furniture
Booths Booths
3 7 7 10 10 12
0 0 0 0 4 4 9 2 11 14 3 17 17 2 19 19 2 21 21 0 21
A F G J K L M
Project Procure IT Install Test IT Relocate Final Integrity Project End
Start Hardware Hardware Functionality Staff Check
0 0 8 12 12 14 14 17 17 19 19 21 21 21
0 10 10 10 4 14
E H
Procure Cat Install Cat
5 Cabling 5 Cabling
0 10 10 14
We now start to see a difference between the start and finish dates on some
of the activities. This is an indication that those activities can be moved to their
later dates without detriment to the project end date.
Float
Now that we have performed a forward pass which shows the earliest dates
an activity can start and finish, and a back pass which shows the latest date
an activity can start and finish, we can work out what flexibility we have in the
network. This is known as ‘float’ and is very important to the project manager
as it will allow for decisions to be taken with the allocation of resources to
maximize their utilization.
There are two types of float: free float and total float.
Total float is defined as the amount of time which an activity can be delayed
without affecting the end date of the project. Having completed a forward
and backward pass, the total float can be calculated as:
Simulation example
In the network below we have calculated the float for each activity.
0 4 4 4 3 7 7 2 9
B C D
Procure Install Relocate
Soundproof Soundproof Furniture
Booths Booths
3 3 7 7 3 10 10 3 12
0 0 0 0 4 4 9 2 11 14 3 17 17 2 19 19 2 21 21 0 21
A F G J K L M
Project Procure IT Install Test IT Relocate Final Integrity Project End
Start Hardrate Hardware Functionality Staff Check
0 0 0 8 8 12 12 3 14 14 0 17 17 0 19 19 0 21 21 0 21
0 10 10 10 4 14
E H
Procure Cat Install Cat
5 Cabling 5 Cabling
0 0 10 10 0 14
In our office relocation network activity F has a total float of 8 weeks [12(LF) – 4(EF)].
Free float is the amount of time a task can be delayed without affecting the succeeding
tasks. This is can be determined by subtracting the EF of an activity from the ES of its
subsequent activity.
In our office relocation network activity C has 0 free float [(ES of Act D)7 – (EF of Act C)7],
although it has 3 weeks’ total float [10(LF) – 7(LS)].
The table below shows the start, finish, duration, total float and free float for each of the
office relocation activities.
Ta b l e 3.3 continued
Critical path
Now that we have the early start and late start for each activity and have
calculated the float available, we can now work out the critical path through
the network.
The critical path is the series of activities within the network with zero
total float. The following example shows two paths and their dependencies.
The path through 1–3–4 is the critical path.
3 5 8
Activity 2
4 1 9
0 3 3 9 3 12
Activity 1 Activity 4
0 0 3 9 0 12
3 6 9
Activity 3
3 0 9
Planning Your Project 111
There must be at least one critical path through any network. The path must
be continuous but it may branch into a number of parallel paths. It is possible
for a network to be totally critical ie each activity will affect the end date of the
network if it is completed beyond its late dates. Also, remember that a critical
path can change during a project, as actual durations and dates vary.
Simulation example
The critical path for the office relocation project is shown below in grey.
0 4 4 4 3 7 7 2 9
B C D
Procure Install Relocate
Soundproof Soundproof Furniture
Booths Booths
3 3 7 7 3 10 10 3 12
0 0 0 0 4 4 9 2 11 14 3 17 17 2 19 19 2 21 21 0 21
A F G J K L M
Project Procure IT Install Test IT Relocate Final Integrity Project End
Start Hardrate Hardware Functionality Staff Check
0 0 0 8 8 12 12 3 14 14 0 17 17 0 19 19 0 21 21 0 21
0 10 10 10 4 14
E H
Procure Cat Install Cat
5 Cabling 5 Cabling
0 0 10 10 0 14
The critical path is very useful in helping to manage the project. When the critical path has
been identified, it can be clearly seen where effort cannot be compromised. If any of the
activities on the critical path change, the end date of the project will be affected. The
critical path is often shown in red on bar charts and network diagrams so that they are easy
to follow.
A helpful technique for controlling and managing the critical path is to invest some time in
determining what is likely to go wrong in each of the main three project parameters, ie cost,
time, quality. Although the critical path only reflects the time element, as discussed earlier a
compromise in either cost or quality can have a time impact.
Although managing the critical path is very important, we should not forget the other
planned activities. It may be that the project finished on time because the critical path was
strictly managed and adhered to. However, another activity in the project was ignored as it had
plenty of float, but cost 10 times more than it should have, consequently putting the whole
project over budget.
Once the start and finish dates have been calculated they can be plotted on an activity bar
chart. A bar chart (sometimes know as a Gannt chart) can show early dates, late dates, float,
the critical path and even in some cases logical links.
The following is the bar chart representation of the office relocation network schedule
above. The dark bars are critical activities, with the non-critical activities indication float with
a lighter line extending from the bottom end of the activity.
112 20:20 Project Management
D Relocate Furniture
F Procure IT Hardware
G Install Hardware
J Test IT Functionality
K Relocate Staff
M Project End
Now that we have a network of activities that stands scrutiny, we can look at
the resources required for its delivery.
Project resources
Resources are the items that go into producing work and can be categorized
as follows:
Manpower Machines
Materials Money
Planning Your Project 113
Resource allocation
We can allocate resources to each activity on our network.
If activity C which has duration of 3 weeks requires 2 labourers per day, we
can value that activity at [daily cost of a labourer × 28 days]. (We will assume
for this project that a week equates to 7 days per week and 10 hours per day.)
If we extend this calculation for all activities, we will have an estimated
duration with estimated resources and therefore an estimated cost for the
project.
Resource aggregation
In order to predict the demand for our resource requirement it is necessary to
perform a resource aggregation. This entails looking at the demand for each
resource on a day by day or week by week basis. Once an aggregation has
been performed a resource histogram can be drawn highlighting any peaks or
troughs in the demand.
The following bar chart shows two activities that are to be executed over a
seven-day duration of the project. A daily aggregation has been carried out and
shows the resource requirement for each day of the schedule.
S M T W T T S S M T W T T S S M T W
3 3.0
2.5
2 2.0
Resource 1.5
Histogram
1 1.0
Engineers
0.5
The resource histogram has highlighted three engineers are required from 14
to 18 of January and has also highlighted that the total available is only two.
It is obvious that it is not possible to execute the defined tasks within the
timescales with the available resources. The following options are therefore
open to us:
Note: option 5 would be the only course of action a software planning package
would automatically consider possible.
If option 5 were chosen the effect would be as follows.
03 Jan ‘00 10 Jan ‘00 17 Jan ‘00 24 Jan ‘00 31 Jan ‘00
ID Name Duration Start
M TWT F S SM TWT F S SM TWT F S SM TWT F S SM TWT F
S M T W T T S S M T W T T S S M T T W T F S S M T W T
3 3.0
2.5
Resource 2
2.0
Levelled 1.5
Histogram
1 1.0
Engineers
0.5
Assigning resources
Resources must be assigned at the lowest level of detail of the schedule,
ie the activity. When initially assigning resources, the approach to take is to
assume that infinite resources are available at all times.
When assigning non-labour costs it is important to consider how costs are
to be tracked and recorded. If the organization tracks and records committed
costs, then the schedule should show committed costs (see Glossary of
terms). If the organization records actual costs at delivery then the non-labour
resources must be assigned in a similar manner.
Resource planning
The objective in planning resources is to optimize the use of these resources.
The process of resource planning is a scheduling process and can be either
manual or automated. If it is automated, the resource requirements for the
116 20:20 Project Management
different activities and the available resources can be added to the network
and the computer itself will calculate where there are too many or too few
resources and reschedule the activity.
Resource availability
Up until now, all resources have been assumed to be available as and when
required. In order to carry out resource planning or scheduling, the availability
of each resource has to be determined.
Availability of a resource can either be a total availability or availability over
a time period. Total availability is normally reserved for consumable resources
such as concrete whilst availability over a time period is used for other resources.
Availability is normally defined as a quantity or level over a time period,
eg three people are available from 1 January until 4 April.
When defining availability, care should be taken to ensure that resource
requirements and resource availabilities are compatible, eg do not assign a
full-time resource requirement if the maximum availability profile being used
is only 0.9 (to take account of holidays, etc).
From the work done so far, we can create a schedule baseline. This is a
specific version of the project schedule and is developed from the schedule
network analysis and reviewing the resource availability and allocation. This is
a key component of the project management plan and is used to measure
schedule performance.
Any deviations from the schedule baseline will impact on one or more of
cost, time and quality and must be managed by a documented change control
process, which is described in a separate chapter.
The amount of data will vary by application area; however, the project
schedule data will normally contain the following:
●● schedule milestones;
●● activity attributes;
●● identified assumptions and constraints.
It will be supported by a resource histogram, alternative schedules and schedul
ing of contingency reserves.
Against this background, we now need a process for monitoring the status
of the project to update the project progress and manage changes to the
schedule baseline and suitable reporting systems in order to communicate
progress.
Resource levelling
Developing the schedule is an iterative process with the optimization continuing
as often as necessary, until an acceptable schedule is produced. A schedule
is deemed acceptable when it satisfies the customer’s delivery date require-
ments, contains a minimum amount of staff fluctuations and has an achievable
build-up and run-down of resources.
Once time analysis has been completed and the schedule optimized, a
resource-constrained or resource-levelled schedule should be created. When
performing simple time analysis, only the durations and logic of the network
are considered when calculating activity start and end dates. Conflicts will
arise and alternatives have to be evaluated in order to meet contractual and
management objectives. Schedule adjustments usually have to be made from
the following options:
●● constraints relaxed;
●● manpower estimates revised;
●● project scope revisited;
●● network logic revised;
●● critical path activities shortened;
●● additional resources made available;
●● activities worked on in parallel.
When scheduling, consider the different approaches that can be taken to a
single activity to overcome resource problems. These approaches can be
combined in order to overcome the shortfall.
118 20:20 Project Management
Alternatively when the end date of the project cannot be allowed to slip,
eg a major event like the Olympics where it is crucial that it starts on time, the
method employed is resource compression. This method will utilize float
within the project, increasing or decreasing the resources required for specific
activities. In this way peaks and troughs in resource usage can be smoothed out.
However, if after employing these techniques you are still in danger of
missing the end date of the project your final recourse will be to employ more
resources to protect the project’s end date or to renegotiate new end date by
presenting your evidence to the relevant stakeholders.
Simulation example
The following bar chart indicates the resources required for each week of the project.
In all cases in the chapter, resources used have been manpower; equally, machines
and materials should be treated in the same way.
M Project End
Resources Required 4 4 4 4 7 7 7 6 6 8 10 4 4 4 2 2 2 6 6 2 2
This resource information can be translated onto a resource histogram for a better
understanding of requirements.
Planning Your Project 119
12
11
10
9
8
Resources
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
Week Number
The horizontal line indicates the maximum of this resource we have available on this
project. This means the work we have planned is not achievable as it is scheduled at
present.
Consider the activities contributing to the overload and decide on the most appropriate
action to resolve the issue.
The S-curve
The adequacy of any schedule should be reviewed and achieve the following
criteria:
●● clear presentation of the critical path, including activities which are
critical and areas of risk;
●● identification of any ‘float’ available in the schedule along with
identifying key decision points;
●● key interrelationships between activities and key dates and milestones
within the schedule.
Having these criteria in place will enable you to determine the cash forecast
and allow you to communicate to the project sponsor the work that has to be
accomplished. This will in turn provide a sound base for monitoring progress.
Importantly you will carry out resource levelling to ensure optimum utilization
of staff and equipment.
Once the schedule has been finalized the resource information can be
represented by means of an S-curve. This will show the cumulative resource
requirement over time. In the example below the S-curve shows the cumulative
labour resource required over time but equally could show cumulative costs
over time. This information will then provide a basis for the monitoring and
control of the project. This is discussed further in the Executing your Project
chaper.
120 20:20 Project Management
Simulation example
The following example assumes each of our resources costs £10,000 per week. By
applying this cost to each week and calculating the cumulative costs for each week we can
produce a cost histogram and a cumulative cost curve for the project.
120
110
100
90
Cost (£k)
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
Weekly
4 4 4 4 7 7 7 6 6 8 10 4 4 4 2 2 2 6 6 2 2
costs (£k)
Cumulative 4 8 12 16 23 30 37 43 49 57 67 71 75 79 81 83 85 91 97 99 101
costs (£k)
Planning Your Project 121
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
Week number
This can now be used to compare forecasted money out against the project
cash flow. Once the expenditure of £101,000 and spread of expense over the
project duration has been approved by the appropriate stakeholders these
numbers would be locked and become the budget for the project.
schedule. This is not an argument for ‘sand bagging’ and overestimating but it
is an argument for realism and allowing risk contingency.
All projects contain uncertainty and risk and change is inevitable. To fail to
acknowledge this is to give the project team an unrealistic challenge and the
project will fail. It is the ethical duty of the project manager to understand the
project drivers before committing to the project plan.
Level of planning
The level of detail that your project needs to be planned at will depend greatly
on the size of the project, the amount of information that is available to the
project and the amount of visibility and reporting that is required. In a large
project it is important to provide a level of detail at which the project can be
managed. Presenting the project sponsor or organization with a complex plan
involving many thousands of activities will remove clarity from the plan over-
all. For this reason this section recommends a series of planning ‘levels’ so
managers at different levels can review information at the appropriate level of
detail.
For example, a senior manager may wish to view the key project milestones
whereas a project team leader managing a specific element of the project
will wish to see the detail.
By effective coding of the WBS and including WBS codes against each
task, summary level plans can easily be obtained.
Conclusion
We have learned in this chapter how to put together a project plan, including
a schedule and a budget that will be realistic to follow. Creating this ‘baseline’
plan is critical to everything that follows in the project life cycle. The planning
stage is often too rushed or ill-considered. A good plan sets the project team
up for success. A poor plan sets them up for failure.
124 20:20 Project Management
In the next chapter we will look at project execution. From the beginning of
this next phase your project plan will be crucial to guide you through the entire
all-important project execution phase.
About AMEC
AMEC is one of the world’s leading engineering, project management and consultancy
companies. Their goal is to deliver profitable, safe and sustainable projects and services
for their customers in the oil and gas, minerals and metals, clean energy, environment and
infrastructure markets, including sectors that play a vital role in the global and national
economies and in people’s everyday lives. They design, deliver and maintain strategic
assets for their customers, offering services which extend from environmental and
front end engineering design before the start of a project to decommissioning at the end
of an asset’s life. Their customers, in both the private and public sector, are among the
worlds biggest and best in their fields; BP, Shell, EDF, National Grid and US Navy, to name
just a few.
They are truly international, with major operations centres based in the UK and Americas
and offices and projects in around 40 countries worldwide. They work in diverse and
often challenging environments, from sub-zero temperatures in the north of Canada to the
sweltering heat of the Persian Gulf.
They employ over 27,000 people – ranging from scientists and environmental consultants
to engineers and project managers, dedicated professionals who take pride in their
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These stages and the steps within are depicted in the chart below:
Schedule
Initial Project Development Schedule Risk Capturing
Planning and Integrity Analysis Baseline
Schedule Development
Checks
Project Planning and
p
Schedule
Status Schedule Schedule Analysis Period
Period
Collection Updating Review and Mitigation Close
Reporting
Cycle Repeated for Each Reporting Period
The planning process uses a ‘top-down’ approach for schedule development and a
‘bottom-up’ approach for schedule management. Each activity at a higher level is
represented by a number of more detailed activities at the next lower level as shown in
Figure 3.30 on the following page:
Bo
en
tt
pm
Project Master Level 2
om
elo
Schedule Strategic
-up
ev
M
nD
Key
an
Project Control Level 3
ow
ag
‘Flags’
Execution Schedule CPM
em
p-D
Milestones
en
To
t
Detailed Level 4
Schedule Specialty, Detailed, Focus
Executing 04
your project
Introduction
“
If you always do what you’ve always done, you’ll always get
what you’ve always got.
T
Anthony ‘Tony’ Robbins, US self-help author
and motivational speaker
here are endless statistics available which demonstrate how most projects
are delivered late, or over budget, or don’t deliver the benefits they had
promised to.
The concept of the ‘learning organization’ does not seem to have progressed
much in organizations involved in project delivery. Lessons learned need to be
widely disseminated and organizational knowledge and experience harnessed
to ensure that they deliver projects more successfully.
The first step towards improving project execution performance is to examine
best practice – the subject of this chapter.
The primary purpose of setting a project schedule in the last chapter was to
enable us to measure and control the project parameters of cost, time and
quality. The four main steps required in the control process are as Figure 4.1.
Set a
Measure
Take Record
Action Progress
to be on schedule because they are updated after each review meeting and
the original plan and targets are then lost and forgotten.
Although a baseline should be frozen and maintained in this state con-
stantly, as far as possible, there are occasions when it may need to be
changed. Changes to the baseline must be discussed thoroughly and only
made in exceptional cases.
Some of the reasons for changing a baseline are:
●● When the scope of work has changed or switched and costs have to
be reallocated to different areas of the project, eg if a ‘work package’
has been subcontracted rather than carried out in-house.
●● When new work is added, it is very difficult to add the estimated cost
and dates of new tasks to an existing baseline.
●● If the project becomes significantly overspent or delayed. There is
no benefit in holding a baseline that no longer represents a realistic
measure for control. In addition, trying to work to a grossly outdated
baseline can be demotivating to those working on the project.
Cost reporting
An important aspect of monitoring and controlling the project is managing the
project costs against the agreed budget. The budget is the amount of money
that has been authorized to be spent on the completion of the project.
Irrespective of the project measurement indications and the fact that the total
project cost may exceed this amount the budget remains the same.
As discussed previously the project costs should be broken down by way
of a WBS (work breakdown structure) which then forms the basis for the cost
account. This is simply a breakdown of the project costs to a manageable and
Executing Your Project 131
reportable level. As part of the planning process, costs should have been
allocated at task level for all labour, material and equipment. In addition provision
should also be made for any project risks identified. By tracking actual costs at
this level, comparison against the budget can be examined and summarized
at all levels and ultimately compared against the budget.
The cost account can then be used to:
●● track actual costs against planned;
●● give an early warning of any problems;
●● highlight any uneven cost loadings and risk areas;
●● show the total cost of the project to date;
●● allocated individual budget areas;
●● provide a basis for project forecasting.
The timing of the project expenditure is also important and is best shown as
a cumulative amount over time.
180
160
140
120
100
£(M)
80
60
40
20
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Month
We can then show the actual cost against planned cost as the project
progresses. This tells us we have spent less than planned up to the seventh
month of the project.
132 20:20 Project Management
Cash flow
In addition to the monitoring of the actual spend against the planned it also
important to monitor the cash flow situation of the project. Cash flow is the
difference between the income and the expenditure. In the project shown
below the cash flow is negative until the last month of the project. This is often
the case as the customer will not pay out until the work has been done and
invoiced.
Expenditure
200
150
100
£(M)
Income
50
x x
0 x x
1 2 3 4 x5 6 7 x8 9 10 11 12
x x
x x x
–50
x
–100
Cash flow
Month
Executing Your Project 133
Cash flow should also be tracked and monitored to ensure it does not exceed
what was planned for. It may be that the project is exceeding its planned
achievement due to a more efficient workforce, additional hours being spent,
early delivery of materials, etc. This will generally mean more money has to be
paid out for the additional resources. However, if your customer is paying in
monthly staged payments then this could cause cash flow problems and not
allow enough funds to pay for the resources used.
Payment methods
The project payment terms are defined within the contract and they detail
when, who and how payment will be made to the project. The contract will
also define the terms of the payment and often the currency that the monies
will be paid in.
Different payment terms can considerably affect the project cash flow and
often the viability of the project, ie if the customer will only pay for the project
at the final close-out milestone, someone needs to fund the project effort
from beginning to end.
The following are some typical payment methods:
●● Payment on completion – As discussed above, this is when payment
is made on delivery of the end product or service; this is not a
favourable payment method from the project viewpoint.
●● Advance payment – This is the opposite from the above method and is
where the customer will pay for all or some of the project in advance
of it being undertaken.
●● Milestone payments – Payment is made on the successful
achievement of agreed project milestones. This can be on an agreed
value or as a percentage of the phase or project, eg 20 per cent of
contract will be awarded on completion of the approved design
milestone.
●● Retention – This is where the customer will hold back some payment
for a period of time, often to ensure successful operation or
functionality of the deliverables, eg 5 per cent of the contract value
held for the agreed two-year warranty period. The full amount would
then be released to the supplier after two years, assuming the
warranty terms had been met.
Forecasting
As discussed, it is vitally important to record, monitor and compare our costs
against the budget. This tells us how we are doing against what we planned
to do. However, more importantly we need to know what has still to be done,
the cost of it and how that compares against our final budget.
134 20:20 Project Management
There are several forecasting methods, none of which will provide a totally
accurate figure but they can give a reasonable indication of the project’s ex-
pected performance. The following are common forecasting methods:
●● Actual plus remaining budget – This is a simple forecasting method
which adds together the actual costs occurred to the remaining
budgeted figure. For example, assume in month 6 £15,000 has been
spent out of a total budget of £30,000. However, our plan estimated
that in month 6 we should have only spent £10,000. This would mean
the forecast total would £15,000 + £20,000, ie £35,000.
●● Actual plus estimate to complete – This takes the actual costs incurred
and adds them to the planned cost of the remaining work. It may be
that the productivity of the project labour had been underestimated
and therefore the remaining work needs to be replanned. The new
planned cost would then be added to the cost to date.
●● Trend – This is where the trend of the costs or times to date are
applied to the remaining work. Several calculations can be applied and
are discussed later in this module.
Build component X Planned 1 May 11 Planned 10 May 11 Planned 10 days Planned 160 hrs Planned €20,000
Revised Revised 12 May 11 Revised 12 days Revised 176 hrs Revised €21,600
Test section Z Planned 5 May 11 Planned 12 May 11 Planned 8 days Planned 128 hrs Planned €15,000
Actual 5 May 11 Actual 11 May 11 Actual 7 days Actual 140 hrs Actual €16,000
Variances
Any discrepancy from the plan or baseline is a variance. When the progressed
plan is analysed, all variances should be detailed and a cumulative record of
all variances maintained.
Bear in mind that the variances may have been caused by an inadequate
estimate and this information must be recorded so that the next project does
not fall into the same trap.
The two key variances are timescales and costs and in order to understand
the correlation between time and cost, performance measurements or earned
value should be used.
Executing Your Project 137
Time
Now
Actual
Budget
Cost
Time
This graph is traditionally used to compare budget spend with actual spend.
It shows how much has been spent to date and compares it to the budget
that was planned to be used by the report date.
It does not show:
●● if the project is ahead of schedule;
●● if the project is truly over or under spent;
●● if the project is getting value for money;
●● if money has been spent on the right things;
●● if the problems are over or have only just begun.
Executing Your Project 139
The graph below is similar to the previous graph except that a measure of
performance (or status value) has been included. The line included is the
earned value or achievement line.
This additional line represents the proportion of the budget that has actually
been achieved.
Time
Now
Actual
Budget
Cost
Earned
Time
Terminology
Performance measurement baseline (PMB)
The PMB is the time-phased budget plan against which contract
performance is measured. It is formed by the budgets assigned to
scheduled cost accounts and undistributed budgets. It equals the total
allocated budget less management reserve.
Actual cost (AC)
The cost incurred and recorded for the work performed in a given period.
Planned value (PV)
The planned cost for a defined scope of work that is scheduled to be
done during a given period. Specifically PV is the sum of all budgets
for all packages of work and in total forms the PMB.
Earned value (EV)
The sum of the budgets for completed work packages and completed
portions of open work packages. Also referred to as earned value.
Cost variance (CV)
The difference between the EV and AC. A negative value indicates a cost
overspend and a positive value indicates a cost underspend.
Cost variance = earned value – actual cost
Schedule variance (SV)
Schedule variance can be considered in terms of cost or time. The
schedule variance (cost) is the difference between the EV and PV.
A negative value indicates less work has been done than planned
and a positive value indicates more work has been done than
planned.
Schedule variance (cost) = earned value – planned cost
The schedule variance (time) is the difference between original
duration (OD) planned and the actual time expended (ATE)
on the work to date.
Schedule variance (time) = the original duration (OD) planned for the
work to date – actual time expended (ATE) on the work to date
Progress after 5 days (50 per cent of the original time estimate): up to that
point the costs were £600 (partly due to the fact that the bricks cost more).
The actual cost of the work performed is therefore £600 and the budget
cost of work scheduled is £500 (original cost × elapsed time as a percentage
of the original time estimate). If we were to graph this we would get a typical
project cost curve:
142 20:20 Project Management
Cost
PV
AC
Time
Cost
PV
AC
CV
SV
EV
Time
The fact that the cost variance and schedule (cost) variance are negative
values tells us that we have both a cost overrun and a time overrun.
The performance measurement curve therefore takes into account both
the cost and the work completed: it objectively measures the value of work
achieved to date.
Future trends
Based on the earned value analysis, future trends can be tested for reason
ableness.
If the project has been consistently underperforming in the past, the out-
standing work can be multiplied by the earned value to give an indication of
what will happen if nothing changes. The same can be applied to the schedule.
You must bear in mind that efficiency will not improve in the future unless
there is some action taken.
There are two other indicators which can also be derived directly from the
graph:
Cost
PV
AC
AV
EV
Time
TV
Efficiency
From all of these discrete measures, two overall efficiency indicators can be
derived which indicate the overall health of the project.
Forecasting
Finally it is important to forecast what is now expected to happen to the
project. Two key indicators are used to highlight this. These are EAC (estimate
at completion) and VAC (variance at completion).
In its simplest form EAC can be calculated by estimating the work that
still has to be completed and adding to the actual figures to date. For example,
if you have spent £10,000 (AC) and you estimate that there is £1,500 of
work still to be completed then the EAC would be £11,500. This basic formula
can be applied to both cost and time. For cost, this can be represented as
EAC = AC + ETC where ETC = estimate to completion (money).
However, statistical estimates can be produced based on the efficiency of
the work to date. There are several calculations that can be used, all of which
are based on the work achieved to date. In most cases the remaining work
will not be carried out in the same way so the statistical forecasted figures
given will not guarantee a 100 per cent correct answer and should only be
used as a guide.
EAC = AC(cum) + ((AC/EV)(BAC – EV(cum)))
Or:
EAC = AC(cum) + (BAC – EV(cum))
Or: assuming work is to be carried out as it has to date:
Simulation exercise
Let’s look at our simulation project and assume we are now at the end of week 8
in the schedule.
We have asked for a report on actual percentage (%) complete on each of the
activities along with the actual spend on each activity which has been captured
via timesheets and invoices.
The progress figures for activity A have been completed. Calculate the figures for
the remaining activities and summarize your perception of progress to date. You will
need to reference the last bar chart to find the budget at completion and the planned
percentage complete for some of the activities.
Transfer your EV and AC figures to the blank S-curve below. For drawing purposes
assume linear spend in each from the start of the project. In addition highlight the
SV and CV values.
Continued overleaf
146
J Test IT Functionality 0 0%
K Relocate Staff 0 0%
M Project End 0 0%
147
100
90
80
Cumulative Cost (K)
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
Week number
148
Simulation example
B Procure Soundproof Booths 4000 100% 4000 4000 100% 4000 0 0 1.00 1.00
C Install Soundproof Booths 15000 100% 15000 20000 75% 11250 –3750 –8750 0.75 0.56
D Relocate Furniture 8000 50% 4000 7000 75% 6000 2000 –1000 1.50 0.86
E Procure Cat 5 Cabling 20000 80% 16000 10000 50% 10000 –6000 0 0.63 1.00
F Procure IT Hardware 4000 100% 4000 1000 100% 4000 0 3000 1.00 4.00
M Project End 0 0% 0 0 0% 0 0 0
100
90
80
Planned Value
Cumulative Cost (K)
70 Earned Value
Actual Cost
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
Week Number
Continued overleaf
150 20:20 Project Management
We can see from both the information in the table and the S-curve the progress
situation. We have a positive SV (schedule variance) which indicates we have
achieved more work to date than planned, however, we have a negative CV (cost
variance), which implies we have spent more money than was planned on the work
to date.
We need to deal with the important issue of identifying why we have overspent
and what our forecasts at completion are. We should now forecast a final cost and
time for the project using an appropriate method as discussed earlier.
Change control
As discussed in the planning chapter, unfortunately our plans will most likely
change. This should not necessarily constitute a problem if handled correctly
through a change control process. Change control is concerned with all aspects
of managing the scope of the project and the project objectives during project
execution.
Its purpose is to ensure that any proposed changes to the project objectives
or project work packages are evaluated and approved, rejected or deferred
before being incorporated into the project plan.
The project management plan and the work breakdown structure are two
valuable sources of information which the project manager should use when
a change becomes apparent. This will allow the impact of the proposed change
to be investigated and evaluated in terms of the additional effort or benefit
which it will bring, along with an indication of the impact on other aspects of
the project.
Project change
Project change could arise as a result of:
●● an omission, by the customer, in the original specification;
●● an omission, by the project team, in the original work definition;
●● an unforeseen external event;
●● a request, by the customer, to make an addition/alteration to the
specification;
●● a request, by the project team, to make an addition/alteration to the
work definition;
●● design failure;
●● personnel changes;
●● advancement by competitors;
●● new government regulations;
●● new ideas being included.
Executing Your Project 151
Project
Originator of
Request
Description of
Change
Baseline/
Current
Situation
Reason for
Change
Approve Reject
Comments
Once the change has been logged it should then follow a change control
process.
152 20:20 Project Management
Note: If the change has come from the client it must be determined if the
change is outside the contracted scope. If it is, then the additional cost should
be signed off via a variation order before any of the work is undertaken.
Change register
It is important that once a change has been recorded through a change request
that it is entered into the change register. The change register is often part of
the project management plan and holds amendments to the original business
case which are under consideration or which have already been approved. By
keeping a change register as a supplement to the project management plan,
you avoid the need for updating the main document for every change. It also
provides an audit trail for the additional works that has been carried out.
Although the project close-out and handover are typically the final phases
of the project this does not mean that the relevant activities should only
commence when the previous stage is complete. On the contrary, it can
been seen by the list above that work such as as-built drawings should be
developed as the project progresses through the earlier stages and be ready
for handover as soon as the work is complete.
Finally, project team members need to be reassigned; surplus equipment,
materials and supplies disposed of; and facilities released.
If we could categorically say yes to the above questions then we should now
be asking:
●● Did we get where we expected to get?
●● Did we get there the way we expected to?
●● Are all the stakeholders happy with the outcome and the way it was
achieved?
If the answer is no to any of the above questions we should be asking why
and what can be done to make sure they answer yes in the future. Equally, if
the answer is yes we should be congratulating the project team and ensuring
that we clarify what was done well so we can do it again and also what could
be improved upon next time.
Some questions that could be considered are:
●● Did everyone involved understand and agree on the project direction
and objectives?
●● Did we have the appropriate skills in the project?
●● Did we have and use appropriate tools and techniques?
●● Did all the team work well together?
●● Were our stakeholders kept well informed of the project progress?
●● Did we manage project changes effectively?
●● Did we follow the agreed project life cycle?
●● Did we encourage and deal with feedback effectively?
●● Did we anticipate project problems effectively?
●● Were our agreed procedures followed as planned?
Again if the answer to any of these questions is no, then we should ask why
and put measures in place to ensure that in the future they are corrected.
Likewise, if the answers are yes then ask why. Was it luck or was it good
project management? Either way, the results should also be documented and
fed back into future projects.
Conclusion
We have learned in this chapter to measure progress against a baseline plan,
forecast cost and schedule variances and manage change. These are some of
the most critical tools and techniques available to the project manager and yet
often the most overlooked. As some of the progress measurement techniques
require timely and accurate data, and an understanding of earned value man-
agement (EVM), they are often avoided as ‘too complex’. However, ignoring
these best practice tools leads to projects being run ‘blind’ – in ignorance of
their real progress and, therefore, the real cost and schedule outcome. In
extreme cases this can lead to projects continuing when they should have
been stopped – effectively gross misconduct within an organization.
Wood Group PSN is a leading independent services provider for the oil & gas and power
generation markets. Worldwide these services include engineering, procurement and
construction management, facility operations and maintenance, and repair & overhaul of
turbines and other high speed rotating equipment.
Underpinning the project management system is the project management delivery
framework which provides direction and guidance on the key elements of the project
management process, access to corporate procedures, guidelines on application of the
procedures and corporate pro formas.
The project management delivery framework is based on best practice processes and
systems distilled from recognized standards such as ISO 9001, Association of Project
Management (APM) and Project Management Institute (PMI). It is used for guidance on
what procedures, tools and processes are available and are expected to be utilized as a
minimum during the delivery of projects and modifications. For each element of the road
map for projects, the framework should be applied (Figure 4.15 and Figure 4.16).
158 20:20 Project Management
The project management road map provides an overview on how a typical project should
be managed and illustrates the flow and the key issues from concept to close out. The road
map for projects includes the following important information relevant to the conduct and
management of projects:
●● the project and contract management principles defining the essential minimum
management controls and processes which must be formally addressed for all
projects and contracts;
●● performance standards applicable to feed and implementation project phases;
●● definition of project phases some or all of which will be undertaken for each project;
●● major project milestones some or all of which will be relevant dependent on which
project phases are undertaken;
●● milestone requirements for corporate reviews during each of the project phases.
CORPORATE GOVERNANCE
Corporate Reporting CONTRACT REVIEWS/PROJECT REVIEWS/COMMERCIAL REVIEWS
AND REPORTING
Stage 1: Stage 2: Stage 3: Stage 4: Stage 5: Stage 6: Stage 7:
Red Team FEED Red Team Detail Design Ready for Ready for Corporate
Corporate Review Construction Startup Feedback &
Improvement
Milestones
Kick-off Meeting
Implementation
Implementation
Main Contract
Submission
Submission
Submission
Completion
Complete
Contract
Meeting
Kick-off
Project Major
Project
Tender
Tender
Project
Project
Award
Award
FEED
FEED
FEED
PROJECT MANAGEMENT AND DELIVERY
Start
Milestones
Project Phases
Concept & Tender & Bid Contract Project Tender & Bid Contract Project Implementation Closeout &
Initiation Submission Clarifications Definition Submission Clarifications Lessons
(FEED) (FEED) Learned
Performance
Standards FEED PMG-166 Start up PMG-169 Implementation PMG-168 Closeout PMG-170
• WG Project • Commercial • Definition of one • WG Project • Commercial • MCRS • Technical
Strategy Framework business case Strategy Framework • Project Performance Measurement Actual • Commercial
• Scope agreed and • Min unknowns and • Scope agreed and versus Planned • Lessons Learned
• Estimate signed uncertainties • Estimate signed • Application of WG management Systems
• Schedule • Schedule • Audits
• Success Criteria • Success Criteria
• Risk Assessment • Risk Assessment
& Mitigation Plan & Mitigation Plan
• • • • •
Project Management Processes Systems Stakeholder Management Organization Resource Management
System Topics • Innovation • Learning • Sub-contract Strategy • Communication • Risk Management
• Change Management • Procedures • Commercial Strategy • Customer • Competency
Relationship Management
160 20:20 Project Management
KPI success
In order to define the success of any project, suitable success criteria should be agreed
with stakeholders during the concept phase although it is also possible that they may
be amended at any time of the life cycle through an effective change control process.
Success criteria require quantitative measures against which to judge meeting them.
Key performance indicators (KPIs) are measures of success.
KPIs should be used throughout the project to ensure progression towards a successful
conclusion.
Measurement of KPIs is a measure of the health of a project and to some extent a
measure of the effectiveness of the project management system. It is therefore appropriate
to consider the success or otherwise of meeting KPIs as a guide to both. KPIs will normally
be reported through monthly reports by individual projects and a trend should be maintained
both for individual projects and across the PM function.
Lessons learned
At the outset of a work, the assigned job responsible person (JRP) reviews the WGPSN
lessons learned database in relation to the client, project type, proposed scope of work,
systems/equipment involved, etc.
This action should assist in ensuring that lessons are learned from previous similar
project work and overall performance is improved. As part of the close-out process for
161
F i g u r e 4.17 WGPSN progress reporting: example of the processes related to project progress meeting
From Project
Execution
To WGE Resources
Meeting
From Project Team
Leader Review
To WGE Resources
Forecasting
Terms
Action of
Log Refer
Reference
Project Progress To Project Team
Meeting Leader Review
(PE/JRE/DTL/PM)
INPUTS (Review by project)
• Weekly Project Status Report Proje A
Project
• Risk Mngt Register and Actions
• Change Contact Rodister
• Planning and Forecasting
Reports
• Cost Reports
• Construction status
• Procurenment Status Report From From
(PSR) Construction Construction
Status − Internal Status − External
162 20:20 Project Management
Improvement and
Compliance
all work the lessons learned from the execution of the work is be documented. During
the close-out stage of the work, the relevant JRP formally invites those involved, including
the client representatives, to submit their written proposals for lessons to be learned.
For major projects the above requirement is supplemented by a project-specific lessons
to be learned review, arranged by the relevant project manager, during the close-out phase
of the work. The attendees at this review include the client representatives, operations/
maintenance representatives and the key members of the project team.
The project lessons learned list records the following data:
●● originator;
●● details of lesson learned;
●● originator’s recommended actions;
●● reviewed date;
●● actions taken;
●● date of entry to database.
The relevant JRP records against each item on the project list of lessons learned
recommended actions required to address the lessons learned. The project list of lessons
learned is then submitted to the relevant assignment manager in order to document the
actions taken to address the project lessons learned and highlight those items forwarded
to the WGPSN management with recommendations for action.
163
Introduction
“
As we know, there are known knowns. There are things we
know we know. We also know there are known unknowns.
That is to say, we know there are some things we do not
know. But there are also unknown unknowns, the ones
we don’t know we don’t know.
Donald Rumsfeld, US Defense Secretary
M r Rumsfeld defines the issues of risk rather well, although in this chapter
we will focus on the known knowns and discuss a process to expose
and better define the known unknowns and then consider what the unknown
unknowns might be and plan to reduce their impact on the project objectives
as well!
So, what is risk management? The term refers to the systematic application
of procedures for identifying and assessing risks to the successful delivery of
strategic objectives, day-to-day business operations, programmes and projects.
The identification and management of risks relating to a project is an absolute
cornerstone of the successful delivery of the project. Risks, when they occur,
affect all the key areas of the cost, time and quality measures that are set
when the business case is developed and the project baseline is set. Although
the identification and management of risks is a continual activity which is
performed throughout the life of the project, an analysis of potential risks will
have taken place during the feasibility study stage and will have been built into
the business case before the project was given the go ahead by the project
sponsors. Typically, risk management is utilized at every stage of a project life
cycle, which is why this supporting chapter should be referenced regularly.
As discussed earlier, uncertainty is an accepted part of project delivery.
However, that uncertainty is often caused by a change in the scope of the
164 20:20 Project Management
This type of risk can be identified, assessed and managed through the risk
management process.
For example:
●● Will the new product launch date be achieved?
●● Will our delivery of components be on time?
●● Will the IT systems we use cope with the new project demands?
●● Can our staff deliver the objectives we have set them on time?
●● Will the design we have used satisfy the client’s needs?
In addition, project risk is the cumulative effect of risk events and other
sources of uncertainty. Although it is important to focus on the risk events the
overall project risk needs to be the focus and managed accordingly.
Risk cultures
There is no textbook answer on how to handle risk other than to have a risk
mitigation strategy prepared. The project manager or the organization must
rely upon sound judgement and the use of the appropriate tools in dealing
Risk and Your Project 165
with risk. The ultimate decision on how to deal with risk is most often based
upon the project manager’s tolerance of risk.
The three commonly used classifications of tolerance for risk include risk
averter or avoider, the neutral risk taker, and the risk seeker or lover.
The above graphs show the amount of satisfaction, or pleasure, the project
manager receives from a payoff; this is sometimes known as the project
manager’s tolerance for risk.
166 20:20 Project Management
With the risk averter, satisfaction is reduced the more risk is at stake. With
the risk seeker, the satisfaction increases when more is at stake, ie greater risk.
A risk averter prefers a more certain outcome and will demand a premium to
accept a risk. A risk seeker prefers the more uncertain outcome and may be
willing to pay a penalty to take a risk.
Project risk
A project risk can be defined as follows:
●● An undesirable development, about which there can only be a degree
of certainty that it will happen, but if it does happen there will be a
significant impact in respect of the project’s timing, budget, quality,
safety or performance objectives.
●● Risk is an uncertain event or condition which, if it occurs, would have
a negative impact on achievement of objectives (threat).
●● Risk is an uncertain event or condition which, if it occurs, would have
a negative or positive impact on achievement of objectives (threat or
opportunity).
Account must also be taken of the effect of risk on issues such as safety,
reliability, the organization’s overall business and value for money.
Two aspects of this definition are important:
●● Lack of certainty implies that there is a probability, but not a certainty,
associated with the risk. If a risk is certain to happen it is not a risk but
a problem, or an issue, to be dealt with using traditional project
management and planning principles.
●● The impact of the risk implies that there will be an effect on the
project, in terms of time, cost, quality or safety. If there is no impact
then the risk is irrelevant and can be ignored.
wrong. We can only assess the effectiveness of planning to the extent that
we correctly identified the impact for those risks that did occur.
Risk assessment is like gambling in that the odds are assessed based on
the available, often incomplete, data and you make your decisions accordingly.
It is not necessarily a matter of blind faith where you just hope that risks won’t
become reality so do nothing.
Risk management
Several definitions for risk management exist; however, all follow the same
key theme. Typically they are as follows.
●● Risk management is the formal process by which risk factors are
systematically identified, assessed, and provided for.
●● Risk management is a formal, systematic method of managing that
concentrates on identifying and controlling areas or events that have
a potential of causing unwanted change.
●● Risk management, in the project context, is the art and science of
identifying, analysing and responding to risk factors throughout the
life of a project and in the best interest of its objectives.
As you will see from the above definitions, risk management implies control
of possible future events and is proactive rather than reactive. As an example,
one activity in your project is to design a new piece of software for inclusion
in your next product launch; the task has been estimated at six months.
However after speaking to your design manager he informs you that it is more
likely to be nine months. If you as the project manager are reactive you will do
nothing until the problem occurs. However, at that time you must react rapidly
to the crisis and may have lost valuable time when contingencies could have
been developed earlier.
Proper risk management will not only reduce the likelihood of the event
occurring but also the magnitude of its impact (Figure 5.4).
Consider the project above. It can be seen that the impact of reacting to
risks later in the project life can have a significant impact on the project objec-
tives. It should also be noted that it is in the early stages of the project that the
greatest level of influence exists.
A
I
Listed below are some of the benefits delivered by effective risk management:
●● more realistic plans and budgets;
●● allows the identification of alternatives;
●● improves team spirit and team morale;
●● increase the chance of the project delivering what it is supposed to
deliver;
●● gives the customer and team more confidence in the project data;
●● assists future projects;
●● assists with the justification of contingencies and additional spends;
●● can provide justification for not proceeding with a project;
●● helps focus the team on the project objectives and key project issues;
●● helps eliminate the luck factor;
●● helps to ensure sound contracts are awarded;
●● gives more credibility with customers and clients;
●● enables better communication within the project;
●● can assist in future business;
●● increases knowledge and experience within the project team.
of time incurred in the risk management process or it may also be the cost of
insurance, additional or alternative procurement or even the cost of totally
redefining the project. In all cases a cost benefit should be conducted looking
at the cost of managing a risk, the saving returned and the cost of ignoring
the risk.
In some cases the cost of the proposed mitigation for managing a risk or a
series of risks may exceed the overall project budget. It is then that there may
need to be a decision made whether or not the project should proceed.
By conducting high-level risk management at the project conception risk
management costs can be identified and be provided for by inclusion in the
bid or the procurement strategy.
Probability
Identify Risks
5 3
Mitigate
4 Quantify Probability
Rank Exposure
in this chapter. Quantification involves determining how the risk will affect the
project. This may involve both quantitative and qualitative methods; however,
the output of the quantify stage should be a measure of exposure to our
project. In the manage stage we should use techniques to reduce the exposure
to our project or maximize the opportunity.
The output at any stage of the process is to update the risk register, a register
that contains the risk description, the exposure information, recommended
responses and responsibilities. More details on the risk register can be found
later in this chapter.
External World
y
ilit
ab
ge
na
Ma
Organizational
Environment
re
Political /
Mo
Technical
Commercial
Environment
Environment
Project
Environment
Market Social/Ethical
Environment Environment
Environmental
Risk and Your Project 173
Risk management must be seen in its broadest sense – many of the risks are
outside the project and outside the project manager’s control, eg interest rate
rises, currency fluctuations. In the diagram opposite the nearer the centre the
circle we go, ie toward the project environment, the more manageable our
risk should be.
Main sources of risk:
●● The project environment: risks associated with project resources, project
objectives, the client, project quality, schedules, the project organization
and associated vendors and subcontractors. Most of the risk within this
area should be manageable and within the project manager’s control.
●● The organizational environment: risks associated with strategic
problems, finance and wider resources, management decisions,
shareholders. Many risks in this area may be under the project
manager’s control although many may be outside their influence.
●● The external world: risks associated with social, political and economic
factors, legal and regulatory bodies, environmental pressure groups.
Many of these risks will be outside the control of the project manager;
however, the project manager may be able to affect the amount the
project is influenced by them with the use of appropriate mitigation
strategies.
●● Other influences: It can be seen in the diagram opposite that several
other factors can have an influence on our project and they are not
limited to the few shown here. It is the project manager’s job to explore
all the areas of risk and ensure that where there is a reasonable
exposure to the project effective mitigation strategies are documented
and implemented.
Other areas of risk may include:
Brainstorming
Brainstorming is a commonly used technique in project risk management
and is a great way of capturing a good quantity of risks in a relatively short
space of time. It also is a good method for raising enthusiasm amongst the
project team and can be used to engage stakeholders in the risk management
process.
How it works is fairly simple. You need to gather a group of people with
the necessary mix of skills and knowledge and allow them to come up with as
many different risks to the project as possible. Based on the ideas of the other
participants you should have a good element of free association, with the
group members sparking off each other.
Of course, there is a downside to the method in that it can be weighted
in favour of the extrovert members of the group and therefore needs to be
controlled by a facilitator.
Interviews
As we know, it is often difficult to gather all of the project team in one place at
the same time. Through the use of interviews the project manager can gather
the risk information required without having to bring the team together. It is
like a one-to-one brainstorm with the interviewer acting as a facilitator. The
advantage to this method is that some people are more comfortable in a one-
to-one situation. The main disadvantage is that you do not get the same cross-
fertilization of ideas.
Delphi technique
This method uses expert judgement to determine the possible risk events
on a project. The experts involved will generally be external to the project
organization and the technique is used when embarking on a project where
Risk and Your Project 175
S I S
B
C A D
C R
Q P S
C T C T
z G M of G M
A A
G P G P
P T I
P A P A
D C D C
176 20:20 Project Management
Checklists
The checklist is used as a detailed aide-memoire, utilizing lessons learned
from previous projects. By looking at previous projects we are able to identify
risk events that have occurred, as many risks are common to the environment
within which an organization operates. We also know that although projects
can be defined as a unique endeavour it is common for projects carried out by
an organization to have similarities. It is important that you do not use the
checklist technique on its own, as slavish observance to it will mean that you
will fail to identify the events that will be new to your current project. Therefore,
checklists should be used in conjunction with a more proactive risk identifica-
tion technique.
Risk fields
The information stored on each risk can be stored in fields. The fields used
to hold your risk information can be boundless. However, it is important
that the information held is useful, practical and is not too onerous in its
maintenance. Bearing in mind the need for brevity, a few suggested fields are
listed in Table 5.2.
Risk ownership
Identifying and documenting risk are essential to ensure project risks are
monitored, controlled and responses monitored and measured. However, it is
essential that the risks identified are allocated ownership. By allocating an
owner to a risk, they then become accountable for that risk or risks and it is
then their job to ensure that the relevant actions associated with that risk are
carried out and documented. It is of no benefit to the project or the business
if the risk management process is carried out but no ownership is allocated to
ensure the relevant actions are implemented executed. There may be several
people involved in the ownership of a risk ie there may be someone who will
be involved in developing a risk response and then someone else will carry
out the necessary actions related to that response.
Risk and Your Project 177
Responsibility Who is responsible for overseeing the risk and ensuing appropriate
action is taken to minimize the exposure to the project.
Impact The impact can be held in a number of ways from, in it’s simplest
form, a straightforward High, Medium, Low categorization
to a more sophisticated method which will break-out various
components, eg cost, time and quality, individually.
●● Cost – The cost can be divided into actual values or percentage
values representing change on budgets, eg a high risk could
be 50% increase on the budget or a £5 million one-off cost
●● Time – This would generally be the delay in the schedule ie
how late will the project be if this risk occurs
●● Quality – Quality is a more difficult category to define as
quality is generally more of a soft issue. In general this will
be the repository for all risks, which cannot be defined in
terms of either cost or time. Ie “The tool keeps breaking
down due to poor maintenance procedures”. However, be
careful because most can be translated into terms of cost
or time that is in the main a better way of categorizing them.
Phase The Phase is where in the Project Life Cycle the risk is going
to occur. This is mainly useful on long projects where it can give
you an indication how long you have to implement mitigation
strategies. In addition it allows risks that apply to a particular
phase that is complete to be closed out.
Risk Response This information is key and should hold information regarding the
mitigation actions that are to be implemented, who is responsible
for them and when it should be carried out.
178 20:20 Project Management
Probability
Project Exposure Action
Ref No. Description of Risk Responsible Category of Risk Response
Impact Pxl Date
Occurance
1.1.1 Delay of materials Project Client 2 3 6 Work with client to bring delivery 17th
on site from client Manager date forward and continually January
monitor delivery dates
1.1.2 IT hardware Procurement Technical 3 1 3 Start procurement process as 14th
required obsolete soon as project expenditure has February
been approved ensuring
minimum spec is defined
Impact type
It is often easier to analyse the effects of a risk occurring if we concentrate on
the primary impact types. These primary types are:
●● time; ●● safety;
●● cost; ●● environment;
●● quality; ●● reputation.
Risk and Your Project 179
Each of these can have an impact on the project alone, or at a more strategic
level. The purpose of this step is to define the impact type of each risk in
order that we can assess the impact in the context of project and business
constraints.
Impact estimate
Estimate the relative impact which each risk may have on the project. There
are several simple yet effective approaches to quantifying the impact:
●● A high/medium/low matrix, where the levels of impact are defined for
each of the types described above.
For example, cost impact may be defined as >$1 million for high; between
$100,000 and $1 million for medium, etc. However, these figures would not
be relevant for a project that only lasted four weeks at a cost of $50,000.
In many cases it is more reasonable to apply a percentage figure to represent
the level of impact, eg 70 per cent, 10 per cent. This method can be more
useful than the high/medium/low matrix in that it allows for a greater level of
detail in definition. This allows the same categorization to be used for different
projects as it does not apply hard figures. However, some people find percent-
ages very abstract and also tend to confuse them with probabilities of the
risk occurring.
Estimating probability
There are a number of ways to produce an estimate of probability of a risk
occurring, such as a high/medium/low matrix, where three levels of probability
are defined:
Category Definition
Exposure calculations
There is a simple method for determining exposure to a risk. By taking the
product of the estimated impact the risk would have and the estimated
probability of it occurring we have a relative measure of exposure to that risk.
Exposure = ∫ impact, probability
If impact was measured in cost, then the exposure calculation can provide a
basis for estimating financial contingency in a project.
If impact and/or probability have been defined in non-numeric values, then
an exposure matrix is the best way to represent the information. By plotting
all risks in the matrix, each cell in the matrix will therefore define the relative
level of exposure to each risk.
182 20:20 Project Management
In its simplest form the exposure matrix may be used as seen here.
However, it does not separate out quality, cost or time and in addition ranks
high probability, medium impact risks in the same category as high impact,
high probability. This may be suitable for some projects but generally a greater
degree of quantification and differentiation is required.
Project Risk
Management Commercial
Technical Risk External Risk
Risk Risk
Project
Scope Definition Contractual Legislation
Management
Requirements
Project Risk Project Risk
Organization Procurement
Project Risk Project Risk
Competitors
Definition
Technical
Project Risk Communication
Project Risk Subcontractors
Project Risk Project
Political
Risk
Processes
Risk identification
The upper levels of the RBS can be used as a prompt list in a similar way as
key words were discussed in the previous module. As before each element
of the RBS can be brainstormed encouraging participants to identify risks
under each of the RBS levels. It also allows for specific risk interviews, where
structured risk analysis can be achieved by interviewing individuals responsible
184 20:20 Project Management
for each of the main areas represented in the RBS and subsequently breaking
each down.
Risk checklist
As with the WBS, the RBS is a useful tool for highlighting areas of risk that
may have been omitted. By facilitating a brief brainstorm of the overall project
the risks should then be placed within the relevant risk area. If a risk does not
have a home, it is possible that a key area of project risk has been omitted
from the RBS.
Similarly, it can be used in the opposite manner by checking to see if risks
exist within each of the RBS categories. This will then reveal possible gaps or
blind spots within the risk identification process. This should then provide an
assurance that all the common risk sources have been explored.
Risk assessment
Identified risks can then be categorized by their source by allocating them to
the various elements of the RBS. This then allows areas of concentration of
risk within the RBS to be identified, potentially indicating which are the most
significant sources of risk to the project.
This can be done by adding up the number of risks within each area, however,
it can be misleading as it does not take into account the severity of each risk.
A more effective measure is to allocate a score to each risk based on the
exposure to the project. This can be done in a number of ways as discussed
before. This will then give a quantifiable value to each of the risk sources. In
addition a percentage of the total can also be used to allow a comparison
within each area. This is illustrated in the example below.
Project Risk
Risk reporting
The RBS can also be used to roll up risk information on an individual project
to a higher level for reporting to senior management, as well as drilling
down into the detail required to report on project team actions. Reports to
senior management may include total numbers of risks or total risk score
in each of the higher level RBS area. Project teams can also be notified of
risks within their part of the project by selecting relevant RBS areas for each
team member.
Lessons learned
One of the most important aspects of the RBS is it can provide a consistent
insight to the project risks that have occurred after the project is completed.
An RBS analysis can reveal risks which occur frequently, allowing generic
risks to be recorded for future reference, together with effective responses.
If routine analysis of post-project reviews indicates that a particular risk is
occurring repeatedly, then preventative responses can be developed and
implemented.
Mitigation strategy
There are a number of ways to reduce the exposure of a risk. The purpose
of this step is to define the most appropriate and cost-effective mitigation
strategy for each risk remaining on the exposure catalogue.
The activities of this stage are ordered so the most desirable mitigation
strategies are considered first, working down to the unavoidable options. In
general, subject to cost considerations, mitigation should be conducted in the
following sequence:
186 20:20 Project Management
ification
Some mitigation strategies will introduce secondary risks. These will need to
be fully evaluated. Thus there may be a number of iterations back through
Stages 1 to 3 for some of the more complex risks.
This stage ensures effective and frequent reviews are carried out, and where
necessary appropriate action is triggered.
Risk reviews
Risk reviews should be carried out at regular intervals. The purposes of risk
reviews are:
●● to identify which risks have occurred during the period under review,
and whether or not the contingency was/is adequate;
●● to identify which risks could have occurred during the period,
but did not;
●● to monitor the effectiveness of mitigation on risk that are on-going;
●● to review risks that might occur during the next period and confirm
that the mitigation strategy is still appropriate;
●● to identify any new risks that might occur and instigate the necessary
analysis (iterate through Stages 1 to 4);
●● to keep the risk records up to date.
188 20:20 Project Management
options. They also help you to form a balanced picture of the risks and rewards
associated with each possible course of action.
Simulation example
As part of our office relocation it has been decided it may also be an appropriate
time to modify or replace our outdated project delivery system. There are number of
options open to us:
●● Do we buy a new product and get it customized fully to our needs or do the bare
minimum?
●● Do we keep the product we have and tweak it so it runs a little more efficiently
or add new functionality?
d £500,000
Goo
0.4
nt 0.4 Moderate
pme 0.2 £25,000
lo
e Deve Poor
ensiv
preh £1,000
Com
m
ste d £500,000
Sy
Quic
k De Goo
y velo 0.1
er pme
nt 0.2 Moderate
iv
el 0.7 £25,000
D Poor
PM
ew £1,000
N
d £200,000
M
od Goo
ify 0.3
Ex 0.4 Moderate
s 0.3 £10,000
is tion Poor
tin e Op
g nc
Enha £3,000
d £10,000
Sam
e Op Goo
tions 0.6
0.4
Poor
£1,000
to 100 per cent at each circle. If you use fractions, these must add up to 1.
If you have data on past events you may be able to make rigorous estimates
of the probabilities. Otherwise write down your best guess.
In this example in, the value for ‘new system, comprehensive development’ is:
+ £210,200
d £500,000
210,200 Goo
0.4
nt 0.4 Moderate
pme 0.2 £25,000
lo
e Deve Poor
ensiv
preh £1,000
Com
m
ste d £500,000
Sy
Quic
k De 55,700 Goo
y velo 0.1
er pme
nt 0.2 Moderate
iv
el 0.7 £25,000
D Poor
PM
ew £1,000
N
d £200,000
M
od 64,900 Goo
ify 0.3
Ex 0.4 Moderate
s 0.3 £10,000
is tion Poor
tin e Op
g nc
Enha £3,000
d £10,000
Sam
e Op 6,400 Goo
tions 0.6
0.4
Poor
£1,000
Note: The values calculated for each node are shown in the boxes.
Risk and Your Project 193
In this example, the benefit we previously calculated for ‘new system, compre
hensive development’ was £210,200. We estimate the future cost of this
approach as £75,000. This gives a net benefit of £135,200.
The net benefit of ‘new system, quick development’ was £15,700. On this
branch we therefore choose the most valuable option, ‘new system, compre-
hensive development’, and allocate this value to the decision node.
The result
By applying this technique we can see that the best option is to develop a new
product. It is worth much more to us to take our time and get the product
194 20:20 Project Management
right, than to rush the development. It is better just to improve our existing
system (£49,900) than to botch up a new system (£15,700) even though it
costs us less.
Key points
Decision trees provide an effective method of decision making because they:
●● clearly lay out the problem so that all options can be challenged;
●● allow us to analyse fully the possible consequences of a decision;
●● provide a framework to quantify the values of outcomes and the
probabilities of achieving them;
●● help us to make the best decisions on the basis of existing information
and best guesses.
Item Cost
Total £78,300
Risk and Your Project 195
Let’s assume this estimate was undertaken without any formal quotes but
was estimated on a ‘gut feel’ basis. However, we needed to have a rough
estimate quickly for the PM’s first budget submission.
Many industries use a rule of thumb, such as:
●● project estimate based on actual price +/–10 per cent;
●● project estimate with no supporting data +1–20 per cent.
Using a Monte Carlo simulation, we can get a better idea of what the likely
cost could be, and what we could expect to pay.
In the example we are only going to include the risk of estimating uncertainty,
ie we will exclude specific risks, such as:
●● You decide the booths need to be better quality than originally
specified.
●● Electrical sockets now need to be bought in gangs of 4 instead of 2.
Our next step is to consider each of the line items in our estimate and apply
a range of possible costs. As we are only considering triangular distributions,
this will be in the form of a minimum, most likely and maximum cost.
From the shape of the triangle you can tell that we are obviously expecting
to pay more than our original cost.
196 20:20 Project Management
If we apply this principle to the rest of the procurement items we can see the
results below.
So now we have a very simple risk model which only considers the risk of
estimating uncertainty.
We can now apply a simulation tool to the costs we have entered. The
simulation tool will randomly run through thousands of values within the range
specified in the distribution model.
Due to the shape of the distribution, values close to the most likely are
more likely to be selected than those near the minimum or maximum. After
around 3,000–5,000 iterations, the values randomly produced will come near
to the defined triangular distribution.
Table 5.8 is an example of just five iterations and the randomly selected
values.
From this simple example it can be seen that there is quite a range of
possible costs. By running thousands of iterations, the computer will build a
picture of all, or at least most, of the possible outcomes and the percentage
likelihood of each outcome being achieved.
We will now plot the results of just the soundproof booths. The differing
costs are shown along the X-axis and the bars show the number of iterations
on the Y-axis which indicates the amount of times a particular cost has been
selected. As we would expect, the most selected is the most likely cost
(£60,000) and the total results reflect the triangular distribution we selected.
Risk and Your Project 197
Item Run
1 2 3 4 5 n
When we combine all the line items (the fixing units, corner units, lighting and
sockets) we get a much smoother chart like the one shown overleaf.
198 20:20 Project Management
1400 100
1300
90
1200
1100 80
Cummulative Percentage
1000 70
Number of Iterations
900
60
800
700 50
600
40
500
400 30
300 20
200
10
100
0 0
52 55 57 60 62 65 67 70 72 75 78 80 83 85 88 90 93 95 98 100103106108 111113 116 118 122
Cost (K)
The S-curve now shows the probability of each cost being achieved.
1400 100
1300
90
1200
1100 80
Cummulative Percentage
1000 70
Number of Iterations
900
60
800
700 50
600
40
500
400 30
300 20
200
10
100
0 0
52 55 57 60 62 65 67 70 72 75 78 80 83 85 88 90 93 95 98 100103106108 111113 116 118 122
Cost (K)
Risk and Your Project 199
It can be deduced from the graph above that there is only a 38 per cent
chance or less of us meeting our original estimate of £77,100. Realistically we
should be using the P60 (60 per cent) or greater as our new estimate, which
is £84,000.
We can apply the exact same techniques to the duration of our network to
gain a more realistic schedule.
Distributions
So far we have only talked about three point estimates: a worst case, a most
likely case and a best case. However, there are numerous other ‘distributions’
available to the professional statistician. In this book, we will only cover those
that are likely to be most applicable to risk analysis exercises.
Uniform distributions
Uniform distributions are used when the cost or duration could be anywhere
between two points, and you don’t have a clue what the most likely value is.
The simulation tool will, on each iteration, randomly select a value between
the two extremes.
Uniform
Discrete distributions
Discrete distributions are used when you have a set of discrete values that
could be selected, like in an either–or situation. This can occur when you have
a risk that may or may not occur. If it doesn’t occur, there will be no cost
impact; however, if it does occur it will cost you a flat fee of £100,000.
Percentage likelihoods can be attached to each value; for example, there
might be an 80 per cent chance of the risk costing zero and a 20 per cent
chance that the risk will cost £100,000. The percentages when summed
should be equal to 100.
200 20:20 Project Management
Discrete
Custom distributions
Custom distributions can be used when there is no specific data on which to
base your model and/or the data cannot easily be fitted to one of the standard
statistical distributions.
Example: A pipeline has to be laid in a particularly hazardous stretch of
water. The pipe-laying vessel can only work if the wave heights are less than
1.5 metres high. Weather statistics are available and give the probability of
particular wave heights for each month. An example for June is shown below:
Probability 20 25 40 10 5
This data can be added straight into the model as a custom distribution
(Figure 5.27).
Risk and Your Project 201
Custom
The values are entered as shown in Table 5.9. When sampling, the simula-
tion will treat individual elements in the table as a mini-uniform distribution,
eg 40 per cent of the sample should lie between 1 and 1.5 metres, and will be
evenly spread between these extremes.
Normal distributions
Normal distributions are bell-shaped curves which tend to represent many
natural events, such as the spread of results during an examination. Normal
distributions are not used very frequently but are defined as a function of the
mean value, and the standard deviation. One problem with using the normal
distribution is that the data we wish to enter is skewed towards the pessimistic
values. The normal distribution is, by definition, symmetrical. We also have to
take account of the possibility that negative values may be sampled, which is
usually not sensible if we are talking about costs or durations.
Normal
202 20:20 Project Management
Conclusion
We have learned in this chapter how to put together a risk management plan
which can be used and reviewed throughout the project. Following the simple
steps of risk analysis is not complicated but is rarely done methodically or
regularly enough in projects. Understanding the risks in a project leads to a
better-informed project team and project stakeholders. There is less chance of
a ‘surprise’ that derails the project and – above all – the project manager can
lead their project honestly and openly in the full knowledge that the risks are
known and mitigated against wherever possible.
This chapter on risk is referenced through the chapters covering the project
life cycle as it is relevant at all times.
Good Practice
Methods People
Training
PATHFINDER
Collaboration Marketing
Professional Bodies
P E
M C
This was a deliberate choice, which reflects the global reach of the company and the
wish to develop a methodology that was not seen to be a UK-centric approach. However,
the methodology has also taken account of both the APM body of knowledge and the
guidance given by OGC – for example, issues management (from APM) is included as is
the concept of gateway reviews (from OGC).
Pathfinder provides guidance on all components of good project and programme
management including risk management which is discussed further in the following section.
that the effort accelerates. In the Pathfinder guidance the planning stage of the project life
cycle is of great importance, and practitioners are required to define clearly in a project (or
programme) management plan how they will undertake the necessary project activities.
This will often require the drafting of a specific risk management plan.
The guidance describes the purpose of the risk management plan, when it should be
done, by whom, what the inputs should be and tools and techniques that might be used.
It also provides guidance on the process of producing the plan through the use of a mind
map, which is reproduced below:
Roles and
Responsibilities Historical Data
1) Risk
Planning Cause and
Methodology Effect Diagrams
Other SWOT
Identification Analysis
Techniques
2) Risk Root Cause
Identification Risk Workshop Identification
Sensitivity
Analysis
Expected
Monetary Value
4) Quantitative
Avoid
Risk Analysis Three Point
Estimating Transfer
Threats
Decision Tree Mitigate
Analysis
Maria-carb
Simulation
5) Response Exploit
Planning Opportunities
Association Use Share
6) Risk Enhance
Monitoring
and Control Section of Manager and
Control Project Value
The mind map acts as a checklist to help the skilled project manager decide what is
necessary and appropriate for risk management on his project – a shopping list from which
the manager can select based on professional judgement.
To illustrate how this works in practice a case study is now considered.
206 20:20 Project Management
A fleet of over 2000 new vehicles was purchased, but their introduction required an
equivalent investment in rail infrastructure such as depots, power supplies, platforms etc.
Mott MacDonald was appointed programme manager for this £2.9 billion programme in
2003, a role which included risk management across the numerous stakeholders.
In this case, following review of the client’s risk policy, Mott MacDonald adopted a
risk management process with the following key elements from the Pathfinder mind map:
●● Risk planning. Early consultation was used to identify risk owners across the complex
stakeholder environment and to gain consensus on the risk methodology to be used.
Allocation of risk ownership is key to securing accountability.
●● Risk identification. A combination of risk workshops and one-to-one interviews was
used to help build the risk register. Previous risk registers were also reviewed to
minimize gaps and overlaps.
Risk and Your Project 207
●● Qualitative risk assessment. Risks were assessed using a 5-by-5 matrix looking
qualitatively at impact and probability. The impact assessment considered both
time and cost. The risks were then mapped onto a probability impact matrix, which
provided direction on where greater levels of focus and energy should be directed.
208
208
Criticial (×5)
329 Reclaimed equipment proves unusable
(MC15)
38,178 9 32 114,174,669 329,504 Equipment earmarketed for refurbishment
and to be used at Eastleigh proves unusable,
High (×4)
High (×4)
takes longer than envisaged or a safety
case cannot be completed.
IMPACT RATINGS
Medium (×3)
activities cannot be executed to schedule.
659 Failure to commission Vauxhall DC to
40,72 41,668 programme.
Vaxhall DC commissioning will not be
Low (×2)
Low (×2)
completed until Xmas 05 − risk impacting
now, no fallback in place to permit recovery.
13 12,505,562 121,161,660,676
667 Works in SWT area do not meet
Very Low (×1)
65%
60%
55% P50 = £57m
50%
45% P80 = £69m
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
£16,000,000,00
£18,000,000,00
£20,000,000,00
£22,000,000,00
£24,000,000,00
£26,000,000,00
£28,000,000,00
£30,000,000,00
£32,000,000,00
£34,000,000,00
£36,000,000,00
£38,000,000,00
£40,000,000,00
£42,000,000,00
£44,000,000,00
£46,000,000,00
£48,000,000,00
£50,000,000,00
£52,000,000,00
£54,000,000,00
£56,000,000,00
£58,000,000,00
£60,000,000,00
£62,000,000,00
£64,000,000,00
£66,000,000,00
£68,000,000,00
£70,000,000,00
£72,000,000,00
£74,000,000,00
£76,000,000,00
£78,000,000,00
£80,000,000,00
£82,000,000,00
£84,000,000,00
£86,000,000,00
£88,000,000,00
£90,000,000,00
£92,000,000,00
£94,000,000,00
£96,000,000,00
£98,000,000,00
£100,000,000,00
£102,000,000,00
£104,000,000,00
£106,000,000,00
£108,000,000,00
●● Response planning. The use of the PRMS drove efficient allocation of responses,
both for the opportunity items as well as the threats. The tool also captures action
owners and timescales thus driving response planning.
●● Risk monitoring and control. The risk management processes adopted on SRNTP
allowed risks (threats and opportunities) to be swiftly captured as they arose, ie a live
system. This was then supplemented by the formal monthly process of review, with
the risk manager leading meetings with risk owners including progress checking
against actions. Summaries of the top risks plus key movements were then rolled
up to executive-level reports.
The PRMS tool with its database functionality provided a configuration-controlled medium
to record all data as the project progressed, which is retained as historical data and
evidence of successful – or otherwise – risk treatment actions.
211
Estimating 06
your project
Introduction
“
Every time I make a picture the critics’ estimate of
American public taste goes down 10 per cent.
T
Cecil B De Mille (1881–1959), US film producer and director
the client is meeting all of the costs. Conversely, the company that overesti-
mates by building in too many contingencies or allowances is unlikely to be
competitive.
So what makes a good estimate? A good estimate can only really be
measured on completion of the project or phase that has been estimated. If the
project out-turn is within the parameters of the estimate stated at the time,
then the estimate was good.
The key to producing a good estimate is quality of information. As far as
possible each item, resource, indirect cost, overhead, logistical element, staple,
paper clip or paper cup needs to be known if it is to be included in the cost of
the project. Of course, at varying stages of the life cycle a lot of this informa-
tion is not available so quality of information has to be generated from sources
such as scope of the project, internal expertise, previous known projects,
quantities required, factors that affect productivity, location, experience of the
project team – the list goes on. What is crucial in producing a good estimate
above all else is that the basis and assumptions made for the estimate are
accurately recorded, signed by the estimator and dated so that whoever is
making decisions knows what the estimate is based on.
Estimating techniques
An estimate can be best defined as:
There are many ways to estimate. Most of these methods can be applied to
both tasks and projects overall but a project which consists of poorly estimated
tasks will be poorly estimated overall.
Introduction to estimating
When estimating we need to use a wide range of tools, techniques and
knowledge to produce estimates. An estimate is in essence an approximation
of project time and cost targets, refined throughout the life cycle of the
project.
There are four main methods of estimating:
●● bottom-up estimating (analytical);
●● comparative estimating (analogous);
●● parametric estimating (statistical modelling);
●● top down.
Estimating Your Project 213
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Start-up Define Plan Execute Close-out
−10%
−20%
−30%
−40%
−50%
The above diagram illustrates how this process works; as we progress through
the project our estimate becomes more accurate.
Classes of estimate
We can see from the diagram below the practical application of the estimating
funnel on an engineering project where the accuracy of the estimate only
Economic Evaluations
+20%
Front-End Engineering Design (FEED)
+10%
Detailed Design
0%
Equipment and Material Supply
−10%
Construction
−20%
Commissioning
−40% and Start Up
drops with +/– 10 per cent after the FEED (front end engineering design) has
been completed.
In this chapter it is not the intention to provide a comprehensive approach
to estimating but some guidelines and techniques that will allow you gain a
better understanding of the pitfalls of estimating and arm you with some tools
to allow for overall estimates for your project.
However, it is worth spending a couple of minutes reviewing what the
AACE (Association for the Advancement of Cost Engineering) define as class
of estimate to give us a better understanding of what to expect in terms of
accuracy as we go through the project life cycle.
Estimating techniques
As mentioned above, there are four main estimating techniques, which are
listed below. Each of these techniques is useful in determining durations, re-
sources and costs.
Estimate Expressed as % of Typical purpose Typical estimating method Typical +/– range Typical degree of effort
class complete definition of estimate as % of total cost
3 10–40% Budget, Mixed but primary deterministic Low –10 to –20% 0.015– 0.05
(Planning phase of authorization or Semi-detailed unit costs with High +30 to +100%
project) control assembly level line items
Procure Test
Project Install
IT IT
Start Hardware
Hardware Functionality
Procure Install
Cat 5 Cat 5
Cabling Cabling
Procure Test
Project Install
IT IT
Start Hardware
Hardware Functionality
Procure Install
Cat 5 Cat 5
Cabling Cabling
At the lowest level we can more accurately estimate the effort and duration
of the work to be done. Once this has been done the results can be rolled up
to the higher level.
Procure Test
Project Install
IT IT
Start Hardware
Hardware Functionality
Procure 28 Days
Cat 5
Cabling (4 Weeks)
2 3 4
Days Days Days
Although time consuming and onerous, breaking down each activity to its
lowest level (where we should have most confidence in our estimate) will
allow us to create a higher level of accuracy in our estimate.
However, bear in mind if lower level estimates are out by 50 per cent this
will translate up the chain.
need to be scaled up or down to meet the needs of the project which is being
estimated.
The following diagram highlights the fact that you are using comparisons
with previous projects to base estimates upon.
New Project
Previous Project
WBS
Timings
£ Costs
Efficiency
This method can be used where Risks
the organization has past Lessons
experience of the same or a Learned
similar project
Top-down estimating
In the early stages of a project, management needs some sense of the overall
cost of the project, as well as the expected benefit.
As we have discussed the most accurate way to estimate is usually to build
a work breakdown structure and to estimate all of the lowest level, individual
work components. As discussed, this bottom-up approach is, unfortunately,
the most time consuming. It is also not appropriate for initial estimating that
this level of effort is expended at the early stages as a rough estimate may be
all that is required to give the project a go ahead or not.
220 20:20 Project Management
but you only take it down one or two levels. We can then estimate
the different components of work using your best guess or one of
the other estimating techniques discussed.
●● Expert opinion: In most cases an internal or external expert will be
required to help estimating the work to be completed. For instance,
if this is the first time you have used a new technology or technique,
you may need help from outside the project team from someone who
can provide the required information.
Often benchmarking with other companies in the industry is useful
where leverage from their experience can be utilized. Utilizing an
internal expert can also be useful as although this may be the first
estimate for a certain type of project, someone else in your
organization may have done it many times.
●● Estimate in phases: This is often called rolling wave planning or
progressive elaboration. One of the most difficult aspects of
estimating projects is not knowing exactly what work will be
needed in the future. To reduce the level of uncertainty, you
can break the work into a series of smaller areas of work, only
estimating accurately the most current work with a vague or best
guess estimate for the remaining work.
Often we can provide a high-level estimate for an analysis phase where we
will collate business requirements. Once these requirements have been
obtained we would be in a better position to estimate the rest of the project
or at least the next major phase. At this point, management can perform a
cost–benefit calculation to determine if it makes sense to proceed with the
rest of the project.
A subsidiary technique we can use once we have established a good
overall estimate for the project is to subdivide it down through the layers of
the work breakdown structure; for example, design will be 50 per cent of the
total, engineering 25 per cent, etc; then subdivide design and engineering into
their percentages into their components parts.
Three-point estimating
The previously mentioned forms of estimating do not necessarily account
for things like human error, inconsistent data or straightforward errors in the
estimating. However, three-point estimating accepts a number of variations
within the project values to produce a most likely outcome, eg 90 per cent
probability, a mid range value, eg 50 per cent probability, and a least likely,
eg 10 per cent probability. Some organizations will ask their project teams
or subcontractors to provide a P10, P50, P90 estimate (where P stands for
probability), although these numbers can vary depending on the organization’s
requirements and the level of risk they are prepared to accept. These numbers
are simply a probability of the outcome of a budget or schedule as an example.
222 20:20 Project Management
Simulation example
If we again look at activity G (Install hardware) from the office relocation project the
estimate used is 2 weeks. Let’s apply the three-point estimating technique to this
activity.
We will assume the most likely is as used, ie 14 days (2 weeks). However, if all
access is available in time and all the hardware runs up as required at switch-on,
then we may be able to complete the installation in as little (optimistic) as 11 days.
However, if we have access issues and power up problems the worst case estimate
(pessimistic) could be 22 days. We can now apply three-point estimating to these
figures.
F i g u r e 6.9
Optimistic (11 days) + (4 × Most Likely (14 days)) + Pessimistic (23 days)
6
In this case the new estimate for activity G equates to 15 days, a day longer than
originally estimated. By applying this technique to the remaining activities in our
network we should be able to provide a more realistic overall estimate.
More details on the use of statistical modelling to achieve more accurate
estimates can be found in Chapter 5, ‘Risk and your project’.
Common mistakes
●● Not understanding what is involved to complete an item of work.
●● Starting with an amount of money and making the project cost fit it.
●● Assigning resources at more than 80 per cent utilization.
●● Failing to build in contingency.
●● Failing to adjust the estimate in accordance with changes in scope.
●● Dividing tasks between more than one resource.
●● Providing estimates under pressure in project meetings.
Conclusion
We have learned in this chapter how to apply a wide range of estimating
techniques to your project and provided some guidance on which techniques
are most applicable and when.
This chapter can be referenced at various times in the project life cycle,
as indicated by the estimating funnel, depending on the level of detail available
and required.
Please remember that estimating begins early in the project, at feasibility
and conceptual stages well before the detailed scope has been defined,
and the use of historical data from past projects is invaluable until the design
information becomes available for estimating at the basic design and detail
design stages.
226 20:20 Project Management
About AMEC
AMEC is one of the world’s leading engineering, project management and consultancy
companies. Their goal is to deliver profitable, safe and sustainable projects and services
for their customers in the oil and gas, minerals and metals, clean energy, environment and
infrastructure markets, including sectors that play a vital role in the global and national
economies and in people’s everyday lives. They design, deliver and maintain strategic
assets for their customers, offering services which extend from environmental and front
end engineering design before the start of a project to decommissioning at the end of an
asset’s life. Their customers, in both the private and public sector, are among the world’s
biggest and best in their fields: BP, Shell, EDF, National Grid and US Navy, to name just a
few.
They are truly international, with major operations centres based in the UK and Americas
and offices and projects in around 40 countries worldwide. They work in diverse and often
challenging environments, from sub-zero temperatures in the north of Canada to the
sweltering heat of the Persian Gulf.
They employ over 27,000 people – ranging from scientists and environmental consultants
to engineers and project managers, dedicated professionals who take pride in their work.
The AMEC Academy helps them to attract, develop and retain the best talent.
They are proud of their core values: ‘delivering excellence to our customers by believing
in people, never compromising on safety and acting with integrity’.
Their shares are traded on the London Stock Exchange, where the company is included
in the FTSE 100 index and listed in the oil equipment and services sector (LSE: AMEC).
The percentage accuracy of the estimate improves as the definition of the project is
developed through feasibility, conceptual, basic engineering and detail design stages.
So for many projects the estimate is revisited and updated several times as the project
definition moves through these stages.
Typically at the feasibility stage, when the project is not much more than an idea, the
estimated accuracy is between –25 per cent and +50 per cent.
By the time detail design is complete, the overall project can be re-estimated to an
accuracy of –5 per cent to +10 per cent, although the construction element itself might
be a little less accurate (remember, at this stage detail design purchase order placement
for equipment and materials will be 100 per cent or very close).
Estimating Your Project 227
Concept
The estimate at conceptual stage is often associated with studying various options for
the final plant layout.
By this time, the country of construction is likely to have been identified and equipment
lists and budget quotes will be available along with some of the early process definition.
During the concept stage the kind of information you will be working with is as
follows:
●● plant location;
●● preliminary process diagram;
●● main statutory requirements;
●● equipment list;
●● outline engineering specifications;
●● preliminary ‘block’ plot plan;
●● offsite and utilities by system and capacity;
●● budget quotes for equipment;
●● preliminary equipment data sheets;
●● preliminary process and instrument diagram.
Basic design
During basic design, often known as FEED (front end engineering design), the number of
options for the final plant layout will either have been eliminated or reduced so detailed
plot plans will be available along with the other design information shown in the bulleted
list overleaf.
The project master schedule and information on site conditions will also be available.
At this stage it is possible to establish target cost arrangements between the owner or
client and the constructors.
228 20:20 Project Management
Detail design
As stated earlier, by the time detail design is complete, the overall project can be re-
estimated to an accuracy of –5 per cent to +10 per cent, although the construction element
itself might be a little less accurate (remember, at this stage detail design purchase order
placement for equipment and materials will be 100 per cent or very close).
This is often known as the definitive estimate and the information used for this estimate
will be:
●● local availability of labour and materials;
●● detailed equipment list;
●● completed and approved plant layout;
●● electrical single line diagrams;
●● detailed equipment specifications/data sheets;
●● detailed material take offs;
●● firm quotations from potential vendors;
●● quotations from potential contractors;
●● commissioning and operating information;
●● installation and fabrication specifications;
●● construction subcontract enquiries;
●● production design phase continues.
Estimating Your Project 229
Estimating factors
At the feasibility stage, factors representing the ratio of total installed cost to cost of major
process equipment are widely used in the refining and petrochemical industries.
These factors have been in use since the mid 1900s by various people including H J Lang
in 1947 and K Guthrie in the late 1960s.
Different factors for different types of process equipment (pumps, exchangers, vessels,
etc) are used.
Construction man hours, typically to +/–30 per cent, can then be estimated by dividing
the expected construction percentage of total installed cost established from the factoring
of process equipment by an average labour man hour rate.
Why is this important in the early stages of project definition?
It gives an idea of the total labour and number of jobs which will be provided during
construction as regional benefits in the potential locations or countries in which the
construction might take place, which will help improve the chance of the project going
ahead.
In addition to factors, order of magnitude is often used for estimating during the
feasibility stage. From historical information, a typical project might have costs divided as:
●● engineering and home office: 19 per cent;
●● procurement: 38 per cent;
●● construction: 40 per cent;
●● commissioning: 3 per cent.
At high level only, the percentages for the detail below these headings can be estimated,
again using historical data as the basis.
At the concept stage, estimated principal quantities will be available for metres of pipe,
tonnes of steel, etc, and using high-level composite rather than elemental ‘norms’ an
estimate of construction man hours can be produced which is better than at the feasibility
stage.
Offshore
The main difference in offshore projects is that at the feasibility and concept stages
estimated weights are used.
This makes sense as an offshore platform or oil rig is a fixed modular structure.
230 20:20 Project Management
1 Feasibility 2 Concept
(typically –25% to +50%) (typically –15% to +25%)
– In house estimates for equipment – Preliminary details from suppliers for
and tagged items major equipment and tagged items
– Factored from equipment and – Principal quantities (approximate) for
tagged items for bulk materials bulk materials
– Order of magnitude from historical – Base norms adjusted for location
data on similar projects factors and productivity assumptions
– Estimate for project sanction – Estimates for optioneering
1 Feasibiltiy 2 Concept
(typically –25% to +50%) (typically –15% to +25%)
– In house estimates for equipment – Preliminary details from suppliers for
and tagged items major equipment and tagged items
– Estimated weight – Estimated weights for bulk materials
– Order of magnitude from historical – Base norms adjusted for location
data on similar projects factors and productivity assumptions
– Estimate for project sanction – Estimates for optioneering
Shutdowns
Shutdown estimating has its own methods at the tender stage.
For poorly defined scope, the estimate will be in man-hour ranges plus a management
fee which increases with the ranges.
If the tender information is better and includes a preliminary turnaround list from
the client, a rough estimate can be made, based on the approximate number of jobcards,
the number of associated activities, and the average man hours per activity.
As an example, the graph below shows the number of vessel inspections, control valves
and other work types, each of which will require a job card.
This totals 500 job cards on the graph, which gives a total of 7,000 activities based
on standard job card activities or work operations for each of the different work types.
The example shows an average of 20 man hours per job card so the 7,000 activities =
140,000 man hours.
In a real project, the man-hour estimate per job card will vary according to the work
type for better accuracy.
Improved Estimate
– Lump sum, must exclude emergent work
116 – For repeat shutdown at the same plant,
120 estimate manhours using historical data
– Visit site during tender period for preliminary
89 discussions and assessment – especially
100
75 important for unfamiliar plant
71
80
60 49
30 30
40 23
17
20
0
Vessels Control Exchangers Drums NRVs Fin Pumps Towers Other
Inspect Valves Fans
Norms
Adjustments to the base norms used in estimating will be made to take account of the
country or location of construction, and also the use of estimating quantity allowances,
all of which affect the construction man-hour estimate.
Base norms, dependant on the source, will be specific to that country or region.
232 20:20 Project Management
For construction work in countries other than the country for which the base norms
apply, a location factor adjustment to the base norms will be required.
For example, a productivity factor of 1.0 for US Gulf Coast (Houston, Texas) is the
base. So using US Gulf Coast norms, there is no location factor adjustment necessary to
the construction man hours for a project to be constructed in the US Gulf Coast location.
Other international locations, though, will have a productivity factor above or below
the 1.0 base for US Gulf Coast.
For example, China has a location factor of 3.90, which means that if US Gulf Coast
norms are used to produce an estimate for construction man hours, the man hours will
need to be multiplied by 3.90 for construction in China.
Whether or not it has been necessary to apply location factors to the base norms,
these will need to be adjusted to reflect project specific issues such as:
●● climate;
●● site layout and access;
●● site location – how remote?
●● clock in and walking time to workface;
●● work days and hours;
●● labour density;
●● industrial relations;
●● availability of skilled trades (competing projects, use of local and travelling labour);
●● use of equipment, working methods (eg machine or hand excavate);
●● permit to work on brownfield sites;
●● conditions of contract.
Various quantity allowances will be included in the estimate for engineering growth,
material take off and cutting and waste.
Construction increase allowance for anticipated engineering growth (including
associated materials) will not increase the quantities against which the adjusted norms are
applied in arriving at the total construction man-hour estimate.
233
Project 07
leadership
Introduction
“
A leader’s job is to look into the future, and to see the
organization not as it is ... but as it can become.
T
Woodrow Wilson, 28th US president
here are two typical questions asked when the subject of project leadership
is discussed, the first being ‘What is the difference between leadership
and management?’ and the second being ‘Is there a difference between normal
leadership and leadership in a project?’
This chapter will answer both these questions and examine the skills and
behaviours required to successfully lead within a project environment.
In the project teams chapter we discussed the areas of team development
and team management which tie in very closely with leadership in terms
of skills and behaviours and each should not be treated in isolation but as
integrated activities that need to be performed.
We are often asked how leadership is related to the main drive of a busi-
ness, which is generally profit. Several studies have been conducted which
show the relation between good leadership and profit. One such study was
conducted by the CIBC (Canadian International Bank of Commerce).
In order to improve the quality of service that the CIBC provided to their
customers, it was recognized that employees of the bank, who deliver the
service, must feel motivated and loyal towards the company in order to do
their best work.
This required major commitment and action by top management, who
commissioned a series of customer and employee satisfaction surveys
throughout all their branches (around 1,300) and then collated the results.
They subsequently took action to address the results and measured the
progress by conducting further annual surveys.
The following model charts (Figure 7.1) the progress in one year.
In summary, they deduced that an increase in profit of 2 per cent, which
equated to $172 million, could be directly attributed to the change in leadership
behaviour by their management.
234 20:20 Project Management
Dale Carnegie, author of How to Win Friends and Influence People, summarizes
the importance of leadership in the following quote.
As a project leader you will be judged on the results of what your team
achieves. This means much of your time should be spent supporting and
encouraging your team to get the results you need.
This emphasizes the importance of effective leadership within business as
a whole and equally in the project environment. In the following pages of this
chapter I aim to highlight some of the important aspects of project leadership
and arm you with some effective and useful tools to aid you in your leadership
journey.
Leadership vs management
What is the difference between leadership and management?
The origins and meanings of the words ‘manage’ and ‘lead’ help to answer
this question. Table 7.1 on the following page describes the origin of each word
and three typical definitions.
Leadership is about deciding direction, knowing the next steps and then
taking others with you to it, whereas managing is a later concept, and is more
associated with handling a system or machine of some kind.
There are valuable elements of management not necessarily found in leader
ship, eg administration and managing resources. Leadership, on the other
Project Leadership 235
Manage:
Origin 1560s, probably from Italian. maneggiare ‘to handle’,
especially ‘to control a horse’, from Latin manus
‘hand’. Influenced by French manège ‘horsemanship’
(earliest English sense was of handling horses)
Definitions 1 to exert control over;
2 to take charge or care of;
3 to dominate or influence (a person) by tact, flattery,
or artifice;
4 to handle, direct, govern, or control in action or use.
Lead
Origin c.1300, ‘to guide’, O.E. lædan ‘cause to go with one,
guide’ Anglo-Saxon ‘the road or path ahead’
Definitions 1 to go before or with to show the way; conduct or
escort;
2 to go first; be in advance;
3 to influence or induce; cause;
4 to guide in direction, course, action, opinion, etc.
Action-centred leadership
Although there is clearly a difference between leadership and management
and the fact that additional leadership skills are required in a project as opposed
to a regular team, a good project manager will still have to balance both those
areas effectively within the project.
John Adair’s action-centred leadership model can be used effectively to
reflect the balance of skills required in the leadership aspects of a project. He
suggests leadership activities can be split into three key elements: achieving
Project Leadership 237
the task, developing the team and developing the individual. These elements
are mutually dependent, as well as being separately essential to the overall
leadership role. The diagram below shows the three elements depicted as
overlapping circles.
TASK
TEAM INDIVIDUAL
TASK
TEAM INDIVIDUAL
The dependency of each of the elements and the importance of each on each
other in delivering a successful project is now clear.
This is mainly true, but the realization that effective delivery of the task can be
achieved by the team and individuals within that team is often overlooked and
the project manager spends more time than is healthy on the task-oriented
aspects of the project. In essence they are ‘micro managing’ the tasks rather
than spending their valuable time on the people and softer issues of the
project.
TASK
AL
DU
IVI
IND
TEA
M
One other reason for spending less time on the people aspects of the project
is because they are skills and behaviours that are often new to the project
manager. The project manager has spent a minimum of five years at university
learning the technical aspects of their trade, has then spent 10 years practis-
ing the technical aspects of their trade and been rewarded throughout those
years for achievements in performing the aspects of their trade and now
suddenly they are thrown into an environment where they are now expected
to ignore the technical aspects of their trade and start to manage people – a
whole new range of behaviours, skills and expertise that have very rarely been
practised or performed before.
For project managers in this position, one consolation is that the skills
required to manage people, although inherent in some people, can be learned.
As with any skill, with direction, time and practice, the behaviours and skills
required to effectively manage people can be learned and performed effec-
tively over time.
The next few pages describe some of the key leadership behaviours and
skills necessary to effectively manage people within a project.
Communication
If any single leadership skill is more important than another it is communication.
In all elements of work life the most common complaint about an organization
is ‘lack of communication’.
Project Leadership 241
Effective communication
Communication ‘messages’ are perceived as dependent on the method of
delivery.
Any communication is made of one or more of the following three
elements:
●● The first is the words used – ie written words through e-mail, text,
memos, etc.
●● The second is what we hear – ie how the spoken word is perceived
based on tone: happy, sad, angry, etc.
●● The third is the what we see – ie how the message giver’s body
language is perceived: defensive, aggressive, complacent, etc.
Several surveys have been conducted on this subject to determine the rela-
tionship between the three areas and how much of effective communication is
attributed to each of these areas. The percentage split can be seen below.
What we see
(55%)
(nonverbal-body
language, expressions,
posture, hand motions)
What we hear
(35%)
(tone of voice, volume,
pitch, attitude)
Words
(10%)
The actual words used,
all that‘s available in
written communication
Although the words are loaded with compliments and praise, they are
being negated by the body language and tone, which are overriding the true
value of the message. Therefore 90 per cent of the message received is non-
verbal and is indicating poor performance rather than the contrary.
If we consider each type of communication medium we can see how each
can help or hinder the imparting of the correct message.
Feedback
Irrespective of how we communicate with another party the impact of the
message they wish to convey may be received differently from what we
intended, again possibly due to a differing perception. In order to minimize
misunderstanding we should always try and clarify by using feedback.
Project Leadership 243
Here he goes
again, blaming
‘I am worried about the me for
poor morale within your everything
department’
Intention Impact
Feedback
Types of feedback
There are two main types of feedback and they are the lifeblood of any project
and project team; without feedback team members will not know what they
are doing well and therefore what they should keep doing. They also won’t
know what they have done incorrectly and therefore what they must fix or
improve. The two types of feedback are:
●● Motivational. Tells a person what they have done well. Purpose:
to encourage the person and reinforce their good behaviour or
performance.
●● Developmental. Tells the person what could be improved upon. Purpose:
to help the person see how they could do a better job next time and/or
understand the impact of their actions and behaviours on others.
Motivational
●● Accept the feedback graciously.
●● Don’t throw it back at the giver by saying ‘You must want something!’
or by denying it.
●● Thank the person for making the effort to give you the feedback.
Developmental
●● Listen and be receptive.
●● Clarify understanding if unclear.
●● Do not be defensive.
●● Do not deny the other person’s perception or experience.
●● Think about it – remember we rarely see ourselves as others do!
●● If you believe the feedback is unreasonable, seek the opinions of
others in a positive and objective manner. This may help you to decide
whether to accept and act upon it or not.
●● Thank the person for the feedback. Treat it as a gift!
Practice makes perfect, the more regularly you start giving and receiving
feedback the more natural it will become and the less defensive people will
be in receiving it.
I really appreciated the detail that you included in the last performance
report to the client. He reported back he was so glad to see those additional
performance measures. (motivational)
246 20:20 Project Management
One area to consider next time is additional time required in preparing this
information as the client was a little concerned that the report was delivered
two days late. (developmental)
Action
Make a point of giving at least one piece of motivational feedback daily to each
of your immediate team; remember to be specific (‘well done, good job’ is not
specific).
In addition practise giving development feedback as soon as it is appropriate.
Again this should be delivered with specific, quantified examples.
Visionary
One of the key differences identified between management and leadership is
that a leader needs to be visionary. This is the ability to look into the future
and see the full picture of the project outcome.
A quote that sums up how a project team may feel at the beginning of
a project:
Give to us clear vision that we know where to stand and what to stand
for because unless we stand for something, we shall fall for anything.
(Peter Marshall)
It is therefore the job of the project manager to provide the clear vision the
project team desires.
Visionary leadership is often associated with senior management or com-
pany entrepreneurs; however, it is an essential requirement of the project
leader or project manager. In the early stages of a project the project manager
must be able to provide a vision of the final project deliverables and deliver
that vision to the team.
A visionary leader is effective in manifesting their vision because they
create specific, achievable goals, initiate action and enlist the participation of
others.
An effective project leader is often described as having a vision of where to
go and the ability to articulate it. Visionaries thrive on change and being able to
draw new boundaries. It was once said that a leader is someone who ‘lifts us
up, gives us a reason for being and gives the vision and spirit to change’.
Visionary leaders enable people to feel they have a real stake in the project.
They empower people to experience the vision on their own. They offer people
opportunities to create their own vision, to explore what the vision will mean
to their jobs and lives, and to envision their future as part of the vision for the
organization.
Project Leadership 247
When draw is mentioned in the above process it is often a huge benefit to the
project team to actually draw an image of what the project goals, objectives,
outcomes can look like. It will also benefit if this is done as pictorially as
possible, utilizing a large blank area and using coloured paper, newspaper/
magazine clippings, coloured Post-its and stickers and anything that will provide
a long-lasting image. Remember, a picture paints a thousand words.
Motivation
The motivation of individuals within the project team plays a big part in
the delivery of the project objectives. Some of the traditional theories and
approaches to motivation are described below:
Motivational theories
Frederick Herzberg’s motivation and hygiene factors
Frederick Herzberg first established his theories about motivation in the work-
place. Herzberg’s work, originally on 200 Pittsburgh engineers and accountants,
has become one of the most replicated studies in the field of workplace
psychology.
Project Leadership 249
45
% frequency cause of satisfaction
40 % frequency cause of dissatisfaction
35
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People commonly argue that money is a primary motivator. It’s not. Surveys
repeatedly show that other factors motivate more.
Self-actualization
personal growth and fulfilment
Esteem Needs
achievement, status, responsibility, reputation
Safety Needs
protection, security, order, law, limits, stability, etc
Motivation in projects
Project teams are different from normal teams, but does this mean the motiva
tion within individuals will be different? The answer is no.
Does this mean that the above motivational theories will apply to all my
team members? Again the answer is no.
Motivation should be considered as the internal drive and desire within an
individual. Like a motor car, if it didn’t have an alternator to continually charge
its battery it would eventually stop. Motivation should be looked at in the
same way, an internal charge that is continually topping up the individual’s
motivational battery.
One thing the two theories above commonly show is that generally people
are ultimately motivated by responsibility, praise, acknowledgement, achieve-
ments, personal growth and fulfilment. However, everyone will be different.
Consider an individual within your team who has been a model team player
and has delivered well above your expectations. It is decided in return for their
exceptional work they should receive a promotion and they are given a senior
project management role within the company’s top project in West Africa.
After several months within the job you find the performance of the individual
has started to drop off. Why?
Maslow’s theory of motivation explains that what potentially has happened
is that the safety need and possibly the belonging needs have been removed,
the individual is now worried about their safety, they are also separated from
their friends, family, colleagues and day-to-day home activities. This would
imply that because these needs are not satisfied then the higher needs of
self-esteem and actualization cannot be fulfilled.
252 20:20 Project Management
Conflict management
Be willing to make decisions. That’s the most important quality in a good
leader. Don’t fall victim to what I call the ‘ready–aim–aim–aim–aim–aim
syndrome’. You must be willing to fire. (General George S Patton)
Conflict within projects can manifest itself in many different ways. At the
highest level, disagreements can lead to the pursuit of remedies through legal
channels and cost organizations large amounts of money. These normally
arise as a result of contractual issues. A good project manager knows when
to interdict and take action when conflict occurs.
People
At a lower level, conflict within a team may need to be dealt with by the leader
or manager using softer skills and techniques. They must recognize that the
pressures associated with achieving quality objectives will inevitably lead to
conflict. It is people who will achieve these objectives for you, but people are
complex and will require motivation and support. The detrimental aspects of
conflict can be minimized, if the project manager anticipates the potential
conflicts and understands their determinants.
Conflict can arise from any of the following players:
●● managers;
●● senior management;
●● client;
●● team members;
●● subcontractors.
Causes of conflict
Potential causes of conflict are:
●● diversity of disciplinary expertise;
●● task interdependency;
●● poor leadership by the project manager;
Project Leadership 253
Sources of conflict
A study by Hans J Thamhain (GEC) and David L Wilemon (Syracuse University)
identified seven potential sources of conflict within projects:
●● Conflict over project priorities. Differences of opinion over the
sequence in which tasks should be undertaken. Such conflicts may
not only occur between the project team and other support groups,
but also within the team itself.
●● Conflict over administrative procedures. A number of managerial
and administrative-oriented conflicts may develop over how the
project will be managed, for example the project manager’s reporting
relationships, definition of responsibilities, interface relationships,
project scope, operational requirements, plan of execution, negotiated
work agreements with other groups and administrative support.
●● Conflict over technical opinions and performance trade-offs. In
technology-oriented projects disagreements may arise around the
staffing of the project team, with personnel from other functional
and staff support areas, or from the desire to use other departments’
personnel for project support, even though the personnel remain
under the authority of their functional or staff superiors.
●● Conflict over manpower resources. Conflict may arise over the staffing
of the project team from personnel, under the authority of other
functional support groups, or superiors.
●● Conflict over cost. Frequently, conflict may develop over cost estimates
from support areas regarding various project work breakdown packages,
eg the funds allocated by the project manager to a functional support
group might be perceived as insufficient for the support requested.
●● Conflict over schedules. Disagreements may develop around the
timing, sequencing and scheduling of project-related tasks.
●● Personality conflict. Disagreements may tend to centre on interpersonal
differences (‘ego’ centred), rather than on ‘technical’ issues.
In addition to this, a very common cause of conflict in a project environment
can occur in the relationship between project manager and functional man-
ager. This relationship needs to be open, communicative and focused. In a
very real sense, this amounts to a relationship based upon negotiation and
understanding.
254 20:20 Project Management
Attitudes,
Beliefs and
Opinions
12
11 1
10 2
A Conflict
Consequences 9 3 Occurs
8 4
7 5
6
Behaviour:
Constructive
or Destructive
Differing perceptions?
Discuss them and make them explicit; do not lay blame.
Consider:
Or:
This month’s expense claim is incorrect and overdue by five days. This has
happened each month for three months. Can we discuss the situation and
see what the likely solutions are?
Competition Collaboration
Assertive
Compromise
Avoidance Accommodation
Cooperative
Avoidance
When a leader employs this option, they are ignoring the conflict, letting it be.
For whatever reason, the leader may feel that the conflict is not worth the
effort to resolve. This could be complete avoidance (never planning to come
back to the conflict) or it could be avoiding the conflict at the present time and
coming back to it later, when conditions are more favourable. Avoiding conflict
does not deal with the issues at hand.
Accommodation
Accommodation is agreement through yielding or conforming to the positions
of others; cooperation in an effort to create harmony, even at the expense of
your own ideas and values; agreement in the name of peace and tranquillity,
Project Leadership 257
knowing full well that you don’t entirely buy into it. Accommodators may not
always be famous for their creativity, but can often be relied upon for social
tact and diplomacy.
Compromise
Compromise involves a search for a solution which is mutually acceptable.
Compromise involves two or more parties coming together and ‘meeting in
the middle’. With compromise, there will be give and take to get to the middle
ground. ‘Everybody wins something, but does not get everything.’ People
who compromise settle for the best they can get, as opposed to reaching a
decision that everyone wants. Compromise may be one of the best ways of
dealing with conflict when time is short, or when total agreement is impossible.
Competition
This is the offensive, aggressive approach to conflict resolution. It is especially
attractive to those in power and authority who like to ‘get things done’ and
‘win’. One of the criticisms of competition is that it takes advantage of
the opposition’s weakness, by resorting to various strategies and tactics
which have a disarming nature. In a competitive situation, there is little listen-
ing, little information sharing, and little interpersonal reasoning. Leaders who
fall into this area often make decisions without input from others, if any.
Competitive leadership is often viewed as inappropriate and destructive by
group members.
Collaboration
Collaboration is a total-membership approach to conflict resolution. In the
collaborative model, the group:
●● accepts the fact that there is conflict;
●● takes time for sharing of values, needs, interests and resources;
●● discovers many possible solutions and weighs the consequences of
each;
●● selects the alternative that best meets the needs and concerns of each
member;
●● forms a team plan, implements and evaluates the outcomes.
Collaboration takes more time and requires higher levels of
commitment than other leadership approaches to disagreement.
Therefore, it is often reserved for those issues of greatest importance to the
membership.
Collaboration is the vehicle which:
●● generates the most creative solutions;
●● gets the greatest membership support;
●● produces the greatest amount of personal growth.
258 20:20 Project Management
People are at the heart of Southwest Airlines. Companies come from all over the world to
find out what makes their people so special, capable of delivering service levels that are
widely said to be the best in the business. It is now acknowledged that treating your people
right leads to your people treating each other and your customers right. Other organizations
are beginning to learn this. Southwest have known and lived it ever since they started –
when the plans for the company were drawn up on a napkin over 30 years ago.
Herb Kelleher, the president, sets the tone for the Southwest culture in that, for Herb,
not to have fun at work is almost a sin. Life is simply too short, he says. A small example:
if there is a flight delay, the Southwest people at the departure gate have been known to
open a locker, pull out a handful of pipe cleaners and then hold a competition between the
passengers to see who can make the funniest pair of glasses out of the cleaners. Herb is
often amongst them, helping passengers enjoy the time they spend with Southwest.
But to put into practice the ‘work is fun’ philosophy you cannot rely on just one person
to drive it. When you are a three-plane operation with 30 employees, the inspiration and
leadership of the boss’s personality are there for all to see every day. When you have
grown from that to run a fleet of 284 planes with 27,000 employees, flying over 50 million
customers a year, generating a profit of over $318 million, then the philosophy needs to
run through the whole organization. So where do you start?
As with many organizations, the people policy starts with the mission statement
which is:
Southwest Airlines is dedicated to the highest quality of customer service delivered with a sense
of warmth, friendliness, individual pride and company spirit.
We are committed to provide our employees a stable work environment with equal opportunity
for learning and personal growth.
Creativity and innovation are encouraged for improving the effectiveness of Southwest Airlines.
Above all, employees will provide the same concern, respect and caring attitude within the
organization that they are expected to share externally with every Southwest customer.
The Southwest mission statement is based on unique core values. Many of these are standard
and easy to recognize if you have your own value statements as an organization; apart from the
fact that our values include the words love, family and fun. ‘How can you talk about love in a
corporate environment?’ you may ask. At Southwest when you walk into the building, you see
pictures on the walls of employees, their families, their children and even their pets. On birthdays,
Southwest employees get a card at home from us. If there is a family tragedy, they get support
from everyone in the company. In short, the Southwest secret, if you want to call it that, is that
we do all the things a family does to support each other.
This is emphatically not just ‘feel good’ stuff. Soutwest can operate in this way because the
company’s foundations make pragmatic business sense.
260
Teams and 08
your project
Introduction
“
Coming together is a beginning, keeping together is progress,
working together is success. Henry Ford
Team requirements
Before a team can be developed it is essential to establish the team require-
ments for the project. Like many of the areas already discussed, this is part
of the planning process, where not only do we need to plan the cost, time
and quality aspects of the project we need to plan what resources including
people are required to achieve the project outcomes.
Like many planning activities this is an iterative process, where as part of
the scheduling process you may estimate the requirement for five specialist
resources to work on a task at a cost of £1,000 per day for a four-week period
between March and April. However, when you research the availability within
your organization or the open market you find only two can be found at a cost
of £2,000 per day and they are not available until May. This will then potentially
affect the cost and timing of the task they are assigned to and in turn the
overall project.
Cost
Time Resources
Scope
This balance of cost, time, quality and resources can be a constant headache
in the planning process.
Office Relocation
1.0
Office Project
Legal IT Procurement
Configuration Management
1.1 1.2 1.3
1.4 1.5
Procure Soundproof
Communication Hardware Testing Booths Client Area Project Staff
1.2.1 1.2.2 1.2.3 1.4.1 1.4.2
Procure Cat 5
Cabling
Procure
Install Cat 5 Install Test IT Install Soundproof Relocate Staff
Hardware
Cabling Hardware Functionality Booths
Final Integrity Relocate Furniture
Test
Teams and Your Project 265
Responsible
The first type of assignment is ‘R’, which stands for ‘responsible’. The person
assigned as ‘responsible’ for a task is the person, or role, that is responsible
for actually performing the work for the task. A few guidelines to keep in mind
... When no one is assigned as responsible for the task, chances are that it
won’t get done. Also, when many people are assigned to completing the work,
it requires a lot of coordination and usually means further decomposition is
required to make sure everyone is clear about what specifically they need to
work on. Finally, if a specific person is assigned as the ‘R’ to multiple tasks
they may become overloaded. In this case, you may want to see if someone
else can fill in as the ‘R’ on some of the tasks.
Accountable
The second type of assignment is ‘A’, which stands for ‘accountable’. This is
the person who is held accountable for the task getting completed. One
guideline to keep in mind for the person assigned as ‘accountable’ is to
ensure only one person is assigned as accountable for each task being per-
formed. If you end up trying to assign multiple people to a particular task you
will end up with a lot of finger pointing and confusion when issues occur.
Consulted
The next type is ‘consulted’ – the ‘C’. These are the people involved and
consulted prior to a task being performed. Essentially, their input is sought
after and factored in prior to action taking place. As the number of people
consulted increases, the speed with which action can be taken decreases.
Conversely, too few and improper decisions and actions may be made without
those whose buy-in is required being assigned as a ‘C’.
Informed
Finally, ‘I’ signifies those that need to be informed on the status and comple-
tion of a task. If necessary parties aren’t informed, then confusion and delays
can arise from other resources wondering whether preceding dependent
tasks are completed. However, if there are people that are informed that don’t
need to be, you may be wasting their time with e-mails or status reports on
tasks.
So, those are the four types of resource assignments. It should be noted
that you may have resources with multiple assignments on a task. For example,
you may have the person assigned as accountable for the task completion
also responsible for doing the work.
An example of a RACI chart for the simulation project can be seen overleaf.
266 20:20 Project Management
Task R A C I
Install Hardware IT PM CM PL
Relocate Furniture BM PM OS ST
Procure Hardware BY SM PM IT
This process should be applied to all the work that needs to be delivered
within the project to ensure each piece of work is ‘owned’ with appropriate
consultation and information in place.
The RACI diagram can also be used higher up in the WBS structure if a full
decomposition has not been conducted, eg in the above example it would
be perfectly acceptable to assign 1.2.3 Testing and all the tasks below it to
appropriate parties.
The project manager usually uses the organizational chart to keep track of
the processes associated with team management, and to record particular
relationships between group members during the course of the project life
cycle. Team members can use the chart to clarify what roles and responsibilities
they have been assigned to, who will share those roles, and who will manage
and lead their efforts.
The following is a checklist of the key tasks for creating a project team
organizational chart:
●● Make a project team list. Assemble a list of all the personnel you
require to participate in the project. This should be available from the
human resource plan produced as part of your scheduling process.
At this point in time if you do not have names you should use positions
or job descriptions for the project.
●● Reassess stakeholders. Once your team is formed, you now need
to identify the stakeholders or those people/organizations having a
direct interest in or affected by your project. Typical examples are
the sponsor and the customer. Note that although some stakeholders
are not participants in the team, they’re added to the project team
organizational plan because they influence decisions of the team.
●● Expand on job descriptions and responsibilities. Build detailed job
descriptions and responsibilities for each role on your list. This is
important in clarifying the boundaries between roles and also
establishing specific objectives.
●● Build the chart. Finally, use all the data to create the chart and display
relationships between the team and stakeholders on it. The relationships
will show who is reporting to whom and what supervisory mechanism
is used for leading teamwork.
An example organizational chart (Figure 8.3) is shown on the following page.
Owner
Client Manager of
Controller
Representative Operating Facility
Project
Task Force
Project Team
Project Manager
Project Control
Engineer
18
16
Labour
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Days
Although this indicates what resources are required to complete the work it
may not be the most efficient use of the personnel involved. In the example
above a team of approximately 14 labourers would need to be assembled for
five days, reallocated elsewhere for six days then mobilized again for five.
It would be more efficient and potentially more cost effective if the work
was carried out in the manner depicted by the histogram below, where a team
could be mobilized for the early part of the work and then disbanded, leaving
two labour resources to complete the last six days.
16
Labour
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Days
270 20:20 Project Management
Training plan
In addition to the requirements highlighted above it is important at this point
in the team development cycle to start considering the training requirements
for the project team members to ensure they are competent in the delivery
of all their responsibilities. This may include organization-specific training on
software or systems, management or leadership training, safety or HSE training
or specific technical training. This should be established as early as possible
and scheduled into the resource management plan.
Team development
It should first be noted that bringing a group of people together does not
necessarily constitute a team, especially not an effective working team. One
of the biggest mistakes made by project managers is not recognizing this
as a fact and then expecting their project team to hit the ground running from
day one.
Think back to any group of individuals you met for the first time, or even
people you now consider your friends; how did you react and behave when
you first met? Whatever way it was it can be guaranteed that the dynamics of
the group and the behaviours of the individuals changed over time.
The key to successful team development is recognizing the dynamics,
behaviours, attitudes, views, communication and performance of the project
team will change as the team matures. It is the project manager’s responsibility
to manage the team’s development to ensure a cohesive integrated team is
founded.
Team growth
In 1965 Dr Bruce Tuckman published his team growth model which indicated the
potential stages a team may go through from commencement to conclusion.
His initial stages consisted of forming, storming, norming, performing. How
ever, he then later added a fifth stage, adjourning. Although established more
272 20:20 Project Management
than 40 years ago his theory and observation still hold good in today’s project
environment.
Tuckman’s model explains that as the team develops maturity and ability,
relationships establish, behaviours and attitudes change and the whole dynamic
of the team evolves. The diagram here shows the initial four stages of Dr
Tuckman’s model.
Forming
Performing Storming
Norming
Leading a team through Stage 1 (Forming) Leading a team through Stage 2 (Storming)
• Leader should build trust and confidence • Leader needs to build self-direction
• Help people to get to know each other • Resolve any issues of power and authority
• Provide a clear direction and purpose • Develop agreements about how and who will make
• Involve the members in plans, agreeing decisins
roles and team values • Allow team to be more independent, individuals to
• Provide enough information to get started take responsibility
Storming
Summary
Forming Summary
High dependence on leader for guidance and direction. Little Decisions don‘t come easily within group. Team members vie for
agreement on team aims other than received from leader. Individual position as they attempt to establish themselves in relation to other
roles and responsibilities are unclear. Leader must be prepared to team members and the leader, who might receive challenges from
answer lots of questions about the team’s purpose, objectives team members. Clarity of purpose increases but plenty of uncertainties
and external relationships. persist. Cliques and factions form and there may be power struggles.
Processes are often ignored. Members test tolerance of system The team needs to be focused on its goals to avoid becoming
and leader. distracted by relationships and emotional issues. Compromises may
Leader needs to provide direction and clarify goals, roles and be required to enable progress. Leader needs to coach and deal with
objectives. any conflicts that may arise.
Forming
Norming
A simple ‘Team health check’ is provided at the end of the chapter to gauge
whether a team is performing or in one of the other three stages.
Interpersonal skills
As discussed under ‘Develop the project team – tools and techniques’, inter-
personal skills have a large part to play in the successful management of a
project team. Project managers require strong leadership and influencing
skills which can support the need to negotiate on a variety of issues and with
a variety of people and organizations.
It is absolutely paramount to the success of any work that the manager is
able to lead the team within a relatively unstructured environment. This will
involve dealing with managers and personnel across a wide range of functional
positions, often with little formal authority.
Harold Kerzner, a well-known project management guru, suggests that an
effective management style may be as follows:
●● clear project leadership and direction;
●● assistance in problem solving;
●● facilitating the integration of new members into the team;
●● ability to handle interpersonal conflict;
276 20:20 Project Management
Team chemistry
As discussed, even the best-defined, appraised and planned jobs can fail to
deliver on their objectives. One of the key reasons for this is that the chemistry
amongst the team is just not right, resulting in familiar situations such as:
●● conflict between individuals;
●● low morale, leading to poor productivity and quality;
●● lack of motivation of individuals;
●● high turnover of team members;
●● lack of communication and cooperation between groups.
Problems like these impact directly upon the key project objectives of:
●● time: delay in work due to lack of cooperation and poor motivation;
●● cost: duplication of effort; bringing in replacement team members;
●● quality: lack of responsibility; people in the wrong role being careless;
●● safety: not paying attention to problems that affect the whole project
and the whole team.
Teams and Your Project 277
Suitability Behaviour
Qua
e
nc
lific
rie
atio
pe
Ex
ns
Team behaviour
In the early 1980s an Englishman called Meredith Belbin observed that some
companies were employing the most elite personnel they could find in their
field, yet when these people were formed into teams, some teams performed
significantly better than others. This led him to research why this was the
case; the results of his work are now applied worldwide, in organizations large
and small to help in the selection and managing of project teams.
278 20:20 Project Management
The nine Belbin team roles indicate how an individual operates within the
team and concerns their tendency to behave, contribute to the team or relate
to others in a particular way.
Belbin’s research showed that a balanced team – one with the greatest
chance of developing fully effective working arrangements – would contain a
balance of team roles. Further, every team goes through phases of its activities,
during which some team roles are better able to contribute than others.
Belbin’s model allows a group to analyse its collective strengths and weak-
nesses in team-role terms and objectively plan to capitalize on those strengths
and minimize the negative impact of its weaknesses. Moreover, the process
offers tools to enable a team to be structured for maximum team-role effec-
tiveness in advance of starting work where, for example, a new working
group, project team or similar unit is to be created.
Plant Resource
Investigator Shaper
Monitor
Coordinator Evaluator Team
Worker
Completer
Implementer Finisher Specialist
Teams and Your Project 279
It is rare for a person to exhibit only one of these behaviours. Most people
tend to exhibit two or three of these roles as their strongest behaviours.
Similarly, most people find there are two or three of these roles which clearly
they are not.
280 20:20 Project Management
Role weaknesses
As with most advantages, there come disadvantages. What makes someone
strong in a particular behavioural role generally results in them having a
counteracting weakness, which Belbin calls an allowable weakness. The
weakness is considered to be allowable, as attempting to change this person’s
weakness generally results in either a lack of success or a hindrance to the
strength of the role.
For example, an allowable weakness of a Plant type is that they tend to
neglect practical matters. By trying to force a Plant to work to a rigid schedule
you will prohibit their ability to be creative.
Allowable weaknesses are also important to understand in each role, as it
is generally these features which give rise to conflicts between individuals,
as they fail to appreciate and live with these weaknesses.
Table 8.2, derived from Belbin’s Team Roles at Work publication, describes
the allowable weakness of each role type.
Some project managers are able to influence the choices of their project
team members. In such a case, being aware of an individual’s team role
behaviour can help in deciding how appropriate an individual may be for a role,
regardless of their technical abilities or experience. Just as importantly,
such profiles will aid the project manager in looking at how the team members
will interact, pinpointing possible conflicts, or potentially excellent working
sub groups.
When the project manager is not given any choice in the formation of the
project team, these team role profiles are equally, if not more, important, as
they will help the project manager make the most of the team provided, by
appreciating people’s actions and being prepared for possible conflict between
team members.
Certain combinations of people, exhibiting different team behaviours, will
be successful while others will not.
Below are some examples of team interrelationships, which can work well:
Situation 1 – Good relationship: a Monitor Evaluator team member
working with a Coordinator project manager.
This can work well, as the Coordinator is able to recognize that
the Monitor Evaluator has a crucial role to play in identifying potential
problems in the project. While other team members may view the
Monitor Evaluator as a bottleneck to action, the Coordinator will
appreciate the level-headedness that the Monitor Evaluator can
bring.
Teams and Your Project 281
Disadvantages:
●● Could lead to a lack of cooperation with, or opposition to, non-members.
●● Difficult to change attitudes and behaviour of a team that is fully
developed and has an established culture.
●● Some people might find teamwork contrary to their normal ‘style’. This
could lead to embarrassment and marginalization of some members of
the team.
Types of team
There is a variety of team types, each of which can vary over several dimen-
sions, such as function, purpose, time duration, and leadership. The choice of
team type depends on the nature of the organization, the task to be performed,
and work force expertise. Team type dimensions are as follows.
Functionality
●● Functional teams: Team members are from the same work unit.
●● Cross-functional teams: Team members come together from different
and varied work areas to resolve mutual problems.
Purpose
●● Problem-solving teams: Team members are focused on specific issues
to develop and implement solutions.
●● Developmental teams: Team members concentrate on developing new
products or systems.
Duration
●● Time limited: The team is created for a specific purpose and is
dissolved when the task has been completed.
●● Permanent: ‘Standing’ team is a permanent part of the work unit or
the organization.
For further information on team types within a project environment please
see DLU Organization Structure, Organizational Roles.
Things to consider
Give the team time to develop
Remember a group of people does not necessarily constitute a performing
team; take time to build the team remembering the Tuckman model of team
growth stages. One of the biggest failings in project teams is assuming the
284 20:20 Project Management
team will hit the ground running and start performing from day one. Allow
the team time to get to know each other, take time to clarify the project goals,
the individuals’ roles and responsibilities, set some ground rules for the
project, and clarify communication channels. This does not always need to be
done in a formal manner; think about running a fun workshop where people
can get to meet each other socially but also set some project-related outcomes.
Team communications
As we have already discussed, communication is vitally important in all aspects
of project management but especially in effective managing and leading of a
team. In this chapter we looked more at the formal methods of communica-
tion by utilization of documents such as the RAM and organizational chart.
These should not be overlooked in terms of importance as they provide the
team with a tangible and definite structure for the project. By backing up
these documents with good communication and leadership along with defined
roles and responsibilities it should instil confidence in the team members
in what they should be doing, what they are responsible for and who they
are responsible to. This in turn will contribute greatly to the motivation and
commitment of the team members.
Teams and Your Project 285
Conclusion
We have learned in this chapter that the project team is one of the vital
elements in ensuring project success and that developing the team is not
something done in isolation but requires continuous planning involving scope,
cost, quality and time. We hopefully have also clarified the need for some
formal team documents to assist in the clarification of roles, responsibilities
and work allocation. One of the key messages highlighted in this chapter is the
fact that teams are made up of a wide range of skills and personalities and it
is the project manager’s job to recognize the strengths within the team, allocate
work appropriately and develop the team into one cohesive integrated unit.
Background
W L Gore & Associates, Inc is a global, privately held company headquartered in Newark,
Delaware. It employs approximately 8,000 employees (called associates) in more than 45
locations worldwide. Founded by a husband-and-wife team in 1958, its manufacturing
operations are clustered in the USA, Germany, Japan, China and Scotland. There are three
sites in Scotland, two in Livingston and one in Dundee, employing approximately 450 people.
Gore produces proprietary technologies with versatile polymer polytetrafluoroethylene
(PTFE) used in products in the healthcare and leisure industries. It is especially known for
products like GORE-TEX® and Elixir guitar strings. Gore is known not just for its innovative
products, but also for its innovative business style (Gore’s written business objective is ‘To
make money and have fun’). Gore strives to create a unique corporate culture. Quite simply,
the culture is driven, according to co-founder Bill Gore, from the need to ‘foster the
creativity and initiative that contribute to technical development’.
The 1969 discovery of a remarkably versatile new polymer (by Bill and Vieve’s son, Bob
Gore) led the enterprise into myriad new applications in medical, fabric and industrial
markets. As the company that invented this new polymer, expanded polytetrafluoroethylene
(or ePTFE), and introduced it in the marketplace, Gore is committed to remaining a leader in
fluoropolymers.
The depth of Gore’s technical know-how has contributed to a wide range of processes
and creative, reliable technologies that continue to solve problems and change outcomes
for people around the world.
Interesting facts
●● In 2011, for the 14th consecutive year, W L Gore & Associates, Inc earned a position
on Fortune’s annual list of the US ‘100 Best Companies to Work For’.
●● For four years, Gore has been named by the Sunday Times as the ‘Best Company to
Work for’ in the UK.
286
●● Gore Germany ranked second in the ‘50 Best Places to Work in Germany 2007’ among
mid-sized companies.
●● Gore Italy ranked number 12 among the ‘35 Best Places to Work in Italy’.
●● More than 25 million Gore medical implants have helped patients around the world live
longer, healthier lives.
●● Gore has been granted more than 2,000 patents worldwide in a wide range of fields,
including electronics, medical devices and polymer processing.
●● Virtually all of Gore’s thousands of products are based on just one material, a versatile
polymer called ePTFE (expanded polytetrafluoroethylene), which the company
engineers to perform a wide variety of functions.
Today, with more than $3 billion in annual sales and more than 9,500 employees (called
associates) worldwide, the company is owned by members of the Gore family and
associates. Gore prefers this private ownership and believes this reinforces a key element
of its culture to ‘take a long-term view’ when assessing business situations.
The organizational culture is founded on a team-based environment where teams are
organized around opportunities and leaders emerge. Teams are fluid and comprise
followers and leaders. Employees, known as associates, have no defined job titles, only
general task/responsibility areas. Leaders emerge naturally by demonstrating special
knowledge, a skill and/or experience that will move the business objective forward. Leaders
are defined not by organizational status but by ‘followership’ because of ‘personal influence,
not power’. The roles of leaders and followers are interchangeable by work projects.
Enabling this corporate culture of teamwork is a commitment to four basic principles, as
promoted by Bill Gore, that drive the organization’s activities:
●● fairness to each other and everyone with whom they come into contact;
●● freedom to encourage, help and allow other associates grow in knowledge, skill and
scope of responsibility;
●● the ability to make one’s own commitments and keep them;
●● consultation with other associates before undertaking actions that could affect the
reputation of the company by hitting it ‘below the waterline’.
It is the corporate culture based on these four fundamental principles that integrates
and enables work–life balance at W L Gore. Gore operates fairly and associates are not
managed but instead manage themselves by being fair, meeting commitments and
consulting others as appropriate. Consequently there are very few company policies,
procedures or rules; practices develop naturally and do not need to be framed in policies.
There are no policies and procedures, therefore, that explicitly relate to work–life balance.
However, the company’s approach to work–life balance can be seen in its approach to
working hours. There are no set working hours; people make commitments ... they are
never imposed and people keep to their commitments. Personal and family responsibilities
are okay – people have no need to explain if they are not going to be at work, but tend to
anyway because they are fair to each other. When commitments require staffing for
specific hours, the team in that area decide individuals’ hours of work. Some people choose
to work from home, and office attendance is recorded only for fire safety.
288 20:20 Project Management
With innovation and diversity at the heart of its business, Gore adopts an equally original
approach to company culture. There are no directors, line managers, operatives or
secretaries. Everyone who works at the three sites in Scotland is an ‘associate’ and are all
accountable to each other, even to the extent that team mates influence each other’s pay.
• Leadership
• Well-being
• My manager
• My team
• My company (making a valuable contribution
to the company’s success)
• Personal growth
‘You’ve got to be a team player at Gore,’ says lab engineer Dave Thompson. ‘Your team
rates your contribution on a scale of 1–6, and that’s one of the things salaries are based on.’
Staff turnover at Gore is less than 5 per cent.
Outcomes
It is widely believed that Gore’s corporate culture which encourages a healthy work–life
balance directly contributes to the award-winning success the company has long enjoyed.
The culture and principles drive very high performance from individuals and teams, who
are empowered and results oriented with a strong ‘can do’ attitude.
Gore’s approach to work–life balance contributes to its repeatedly being included in
Fortune magazine’s best companies list.
Learning points
When they are part of a clearly understood management style, work–life balance
arrangements can work without being supported by formal policies and procedures.
Work–life balance can be an integral part of a holistic management approach.
Organizations should focus on life issues for employees/associates and actively work
on these as well as work development to ensure the balancing of work and life.
Good leadership and mentorship are important to encourage employees to balance
work and their personal life.
289
G lo s s a ry o f t e r m s
Backward pass The second ‘pass’ used in CPM process to calculate the latest
start and finish dates.
Balanced matrix An organizational structure where functions and projects have
the same priority.
Bar chart A chart which represents activities and their durations by lines drawn
against a common timescale. Often referred to as a Gantt chart although this is
a specific type of bar chart.
Baseline The ‘frozen’ plan against which progress can be measured.
290 Glossary of Terms
Baseline cost The amount an activity was planned to cost when the schedule
was baselined.
Baseline dates The planned start and finish dates for activities.
Baseline schedule The baseline schedule is a fixed project schedule that project
performance is measured against.
Benefits These are specific measures against which project success can be
measured.
Benefits framework This details the expected benefits of the project.
Benefits management The process for planning, managing, delivering and
measuring the project’s benefits.
Benefits management plan This plan specifies who is responsible and how
achievement of the benefits is to be measured, managed and monitored.
Body of knowledge The term is used by both the PMI and the APM to describe
their view of best practice project management.
Bottom-up estimating This involves breaking the work into more detail in order
to create an estimate that stands scrutiny. This involves using the WBS down to
a level where resources can confidently be applied.
Budget The planned cost for an activity or project.
Budgetary control This is the system of creating budgets, monitoring progress
and taking appropriate action to achieve budgeted performance.
Budget cost The cost expected at the beginning of a project.
Budget at completion (BAC) The total cost of the project at completion.
Budgeted cost of work performed (BCWP) See earned value (EV).
Budgeted cost of work scheduled (BCWS) See planned value (PV).
Budget element This defines the people, materials or other elements needed
to do the work and can be validated against a resource breakdown structure
(RBS).
Budget estimate An approximate estimate prepared in the early stages of a
project.
Budgeting The time-phased definition of financial requirements.
Business case The information needed for authorization of the project.
Cost management This is the financial control of the project through evaluating,
estimating, budgeting, monitoring, analysing, forecasting and reporting cost
information.
Cost overrun This is the amount by which a contractor exceeds the estimated
costs.
Cost performance index (CPI) This value gives an indication of how well the
budget is being managed in terms of the work.
Cost performance report This is a regular cost report showing cost and
schedule status information.
Cost plan This is a budget which shows the amounts and expected dates of
incurring costs.
Cost–time resource sheet (CTR) This is a document describing each major
element in the WBS, including a statement of work (SOW), resources required,
duration, timing and a cost estimate.
Cost variance (CV) The difference (positive or negative) between the actual
expenditure and the planned/budgeted expenditure.
Critical activity An activity that has zero or negative float.
Criticality index Used in risk analysis, the criticality index represents the
percentage of simulation trails that resulted in the activity being placed on the
critical path.
Critical path The sequence of activities through a project network which, if they
‘slip’, will affect the project end date. These are typically identified by a zero or
negative float.
Critical path analysis A procedure for calculating the critical path and floats in
a network.
Critical path method A technique which defines all the project’s critical activities
that must be completed on time. The start and finish dates of activities in
the project are calculated in two passes. The ‘forward pass’ calculates early
start and finish dates from the earliest start date forward. The ‘backward
pass’ calculates the late start and finish activities from the latest finish date
backwards. The difference between the pairs of start and finish dates for each
task is the float for the task. By experimenting with different logical sequences
and/or durations the optimal project schedule can be determined.
Critical success factor A factor considered to be most important for project
success.
Customer The people who receive and pay for the benefits of the project.
Cut-off date This is the ending date of a reporting period.
Decision tree analysis These are structured and hierarchical (drawn horizontally)
methods of graphically showing a number of decision paths and subsequent
‘branches’ of decisions to help analyse options.
Deliverables These are the ‘end products’ of a project.
Delphi technique This is an estimating process where a consensus view is
reached by consultation with experts.
Dependency This describes the relationship between activities – typically which
one has to finish before another can start.
Dependency dates Any dates that determine either start dates or completed dates.
Discounted cash flow (DCF) This is the comparison of future ‘income’ over
the life of a project or operation against its costs but using their value today for
a more meaningful analysis.
Glossary of Terms 293
Early dates Calculated in the forward pass of time analysis, early dates are the
earliest dates on which an activity can start and finish.
Early finish (EF) The earliest date an activity is likely to finish following CPA.
Early start (ES) The earliest date an activity is likely to start following CPA.
Earned value (EV) or budget cost of work performed (BCWP) The sum of the
budgets for completed work packages and completed portions of open work
packages.
Earned value analysis (EVA) and earned value management (EVM) A method
of performance measurement which integrates scope, cost (or resource) and
schedule measures to accurately assess project performance.
Elapsed time This is the number of working days that are needed to complete
an activity.
Estimate at completion (EAC) This is a value expressed in either money or
hours to represent the projected final costs of work when completed based on
current performance.
Estimate to complete (ETC) This is a value expressed in either money or hours
to represent the cost of the work required to complete a task.
Exception report This is a report drawing attention to instances where planned
and actual results are, or are likely to be, significantly different.
Exceptions These are occurrences that cause a deviation from a plan, such as
issues, change requests and risks.
Execution phase This is the phase of a project where the work takes place.
External constraint A constraint from outside the project network.
External dependencies These exist where there is a relationship between
project activities and events outside the boundaries of the project, normally
outside the project team’s control.
Gantt chart A particular type of bar chart showing planned activity against
time. Activities are listed with other tabular information on the left side with
time intervals over the bars. Activity durations are shown in the form of
horizontal bars.
Lag The minimum necessary lapse of time between the finish of one activity
and the finish of an overlapping activity.
Late dates These dates are calculated during the backward pass of network
analysis and are the latest dates by which an activity can be allowed to start or
finish.
Latest finish time The latest possible time by which an activity has to finish
within the logical constraints of the network, without affecting the total project
duration.
Latest start time The latest possible time by which an activity has to start
within the logical constraints of the network, without affecting the total project
duration.
Lead The minimum necessary lapse of time between the start of one activity
and the start of an overlapping activity.
Net present value (NPV) This is the total future net cash flows discounted
back to a common base date.
Network This is a graphical presentation of the project ‘logic’, often referred to
as a precedence network, flowchart, PERT chart, logic drawing or logic diagram.
Network analysis This is a method for calculating a project’s critical path, activity
times and floats.
Network logic This represents the activity dependencies that make up a project
network.
OGC The UK’s Office of Government and Commerce which provides extensive
project, programme and portfolio management guidance; see www.ogc.gov.uk
for more information.
Opportunity This is the opposite of a risk in project management.
Organizational breakdown structure (OBS) A hierarchical structure that allows
a project’s organization to be divided by levels into discrete groups for program-
ming, cost planning and control purposes.
Originator The person who suggested the project.
Parallel activities These are two or more activities than can be worked on at the
same time.
Payment on completion This is where payment is made on delivery of the end
product or service.
PEP Project execution plan. Sometimes also known as the project initiation
document (PID) or project management plan (PMP). This contains all plans
relevant to the project.
Percent complete (PC) This is a measure of the completion status of a partially
completed activity.
Performance measurement baseline The PMB is the time-phased budget plan
against which contract performance is measured. It is formed by the budgets
assigned to scheduled cost accounts and undistributed budgets. It equals the
total allocated budget less management reserve.
PID Project initiation document. Sometimes also known as the project manage-
ment plan (PMP) or project execution plan (PEP). This contains all plans relevant
to the project.
Planned value (PV) or budget cost of work scheduled (BCWS) The planned
cost of a defined scope of work that is scheduled to be done during a given
period. Specifically BCWS is the sum of all budgets for all packages of work and
in total forms the PMB.
296 Glossary of Terms
Planning This is the process of identifying the means, resources and actions
necessary to accomplish an objective.
Planning stage This is the stage prior to execution when the project management
plan (PMP) is developed.
PMI The Project Management Institute – visit www.pmi.org for more information
on this professional body.
PMP Project management plan. Sometimes also known as the project initiation
document (PID) or project execution plan (PEP). This contains all plans relevant
to the project.
Post-implementation review This is a review after a project has met its
objectives to confirm that it met the objectives and satisfies the business plan.
Post-project appraisal This is an evaluation that provides feedback in order to
learn for the future – often referred to as a lesson learned report.
Precedence network A graphical network in which a sequence of activities is
described with the constraints (or logic) that applies to them.
Predecessor This is an activity that must be completed (or be partially completed)
before another activity can begin.
PRINCE2 The ‘PRojects IN a Controlled Environment’ methodology owned by
the APM Group – see www.prince2.com for more information on this profes-
sional body.
Probabilistic network This is a network containing alternative paths with which
probabilities are associated.
Product breakdown structure (PBS) A hierarchical structure that allows a project
to be divided by levels into discrete groups based on products (deliverables)
for programming, cost planning and control purposes.
Programme evaluation and review technique (PERT) This is a project man-
agement technique for determining how much time a project needs before it
is completed.
Project There are many definitions but a common one is a ‘unique set of
coordinated activities, with definite starting and finishing points, undertaken by
an individual or organization to meet specific objectives within defined time,
cost and performance parameters’.
Project appraisal This describes methods of calculating the viability of a project.
Project base date This is the date used for the start of a project calendar.
Project board The project board is the body to which the project manager is
accountable for achieving the project objectives.
Project brief This is a statement that describes the purpose, cost, time and
objectives of a project.
Project calendar This is a calendar that defines project working and non-working
periods.
Project champion The person who makes the project happen. Often a person
with influence in high places.
Project closure This is the formal termination of a project at any point during the
project life cycle.
Project initiation document (PID) This is a document approved by the project
board that defines the terms of reference for the project – often also known as
a project execution plan (PEP) or a project management plan (PMP).
Project life cycle All phases or stages between a project’s conception and its
termination. Note: The project life cycle may include the operation and disposal
of project deliverables. This is usually known as an ‘extended life cycle’.
Glossary of Terms 297
Project life cycle cost Cumulative cost of a project over its whole life cycle.
Project log This is a project diary recording significant occurrences throughout
the project.
Project management There are many definitions of project management but
a common one is the ‘planning, monitoring and control of all aspects of a
project and the motivation of all those involved in it to achieve the project
objectives on time and to the specified cost, quality and performance’.
Project management plan (PMP) This is a plan for carrying out a project to
meet specific objectives and is also often known as a project execution plan
(PEP) or project initiation document (PID).
Project manager The person with the authority, accountability and responsibility
for managing a project to completion, achieving specific objectives within cost,
time and quality parameters .
Project matrix This is an organizational structure that is project based in which
the functional structures are duplicated in each project.
Project monitoring This is the comparison of current project status with what
was planned to be done to identify and report any deviations.
Project schedule The planned dates for starting and completing activities and
the project as a whole.
Project scope statement This details the constraints and assumptions that
need to be considered when estimating activity durations.
Project sponsor The person within the organization who acts as custodian of
the project’s objectives. Also the person who will authorize expenditure.
Project success/failure criteria These are the criteria by which the success or
failure of a project may be judged.
Project support office Describes the centralized approach to project support
functions such as planning, cost management, estimating, documentation
control and procurement.
Project team The team members who plan, organize, implement and control
the work of the contractor (if they are different) to deliver the project within
the constraints of cost, time and quality and to meet the stated objectives.
Published estimating data Where standard units of cost, time or resources
can be applied using recorded industry norms.
Qualitative risk analysis This involves analysing the types of risk that may occur
in a project based on the expertise, experience and knowledge of the team
members taking part.
Quality assurance The process of evaluating overall project performance on a
regular basis to provide confidence that the project will satisfy the relevant
quality standards.
Quality assurance plan This is a plan that guarantees a quality approach and
conformance to all customer requirements for all activities in a project.
Quality audit This is an official examination to determine whether practices
conform to specified standards or a critical analysis of whether a deliverable
meets quality criteria.
Quality control This is the process of monitoring specific project results to see
if they comply with agreed standards and identifying ways to eliminate causes
of unsatisfactory performance.
Quality criteria The characteristics of a product or service that determine
whether it meets the requirements.
298 Glossary of Terms
Quality plan A component of the PMP (or PID or PEP) that describes quality
management and quality assurance strategies for the project.
Quality planning This is the process of determining which quality standards are
necessary and how to apply them.
Quality review A review of a product against an established set of quality
criteria.
Quantitative risk analysis This involves analysing the types of risk that may
occur in a project based on statistical evidence of previous similar projects and
other methods.
Recurring costs These are expenditures for specific tasks that will occur on a
repetitive basis.
Remaining duration (RDU) This represents the time needed to complete the
remainder of an activity or project.
Request for change This is a proposal by the project manager for a change to
the project as a result of a project issue report.
Requirements These are the negotiated measurables required by the customer.
Requirements definition This is the statement of the needs that a project has
to satisfy.
Requirements management The set of activities encompassing the collection,
control, analysis and documentation of a project.
Resource The people, equipment, facilities, finances or any other variable
needed to perform the work of a project.
Resource aggregation The total of the requirements for each resource required
against each time period.
Resource analysis The process of analysing and optimizing the use of resources
on a project.
Resource assignment The activity linked to the resource required to achieve it.
Resource availability The availability of a resource at any one time.
Resource breakdown structure (RBS) A hierarchical structure of the identified
resources by resource category and resource type.
Resource calendar A calendar that defines the working and non-working hours
for a specific resource.
Resource compression This method utilizes float within a project, increasing or
decreasing the resources required for specific activities so that peaks and
troughs in resource usage can be smoothed out.
Resource constraint This describes any limitation of the availability of a resource.
Resource-driven task durations Task durations that are driven by the need for
scarce resources.
Resource histogram A graphical view of project data in which resource require-
ments, usage and availability are shown using vertical bars against a horizontal
time scale.
Resource level A specified level of resource required by an activity per time unit.
Resource levelling See resource-limited scheduling.
Resource-limited scheduling The process of scheduling activities so that
predetermined resource levels are never exceeded.
Resource optimization Optimizing the use of resources using resource levelling
or resource smoothing.
Resource planning Evaluating what resources are needed to complete a project
and determining the quantity needed.
Glossary of Terms 299
Schedule variance (SV) – cost The difference between the BCWP and BCWS.
Schedule variance (SV) – time The difference between original duration (OD)
planned and actual time expended (ATE) on the work to date.
Scheduled finish The earliest date on which an activity can finish based on the
constraints.
Scheduled start The earliest date on which an activity can start based on
constraints.
Scheduling The process of calculating when project activities will take place
depending on defined durations and precedent activities.
Scope This is the work content of a project best described by the WBS
or OBS.
Scope change Any change in scope that requires a change in cost or schedule.
Scope change control The process of controlling changes to the scope.
Scope of work A description of the work to be undertaken or the resources
required.
Scope verification The process of ensuring that all identified deliverables have
been completed satisfactorily.
Secondary risk A risk that may occur as a result of invoking a risk mitigation
response.
Sequence The order in which activities should occur in relation to each other.
Slippage The amount of ‘float’ used by the current activity due to a delayed start
or increased duration.
SMART Specific, Measurable, Agreed, Realistic and Timebound objectives.
Stage A natural high-level section of a project for monitoring purposes and/or
connected with stage gates.
Stage gate A specific approval stage where conditions need to be satisfied
before a project can proceed to the next stage.
Stage payment A payment made part of the way through a project or at an
agreed milestone.
Stakeholder These are people or groups of people who have a vested interest
in the success of the project.
Start-to-start lag This is the minimum amount of time that must pass between
the start of one activity and the start of its successor(s).
Statement of work A document stating the requirements for a given project
task.
Status reports These reports provide the status of an activity, work package
or project and are used to control the project and to keep management
informed.
Steering group This is a body designed to monitor the project and give guidance
to the project manager.
Sub project A group of activities represented as a single activity in a higher-level
plan.
Subcontractor This is an organization that supplies goods or services to a
contractor.
Success criteria The criteria agreed for judging if the project is successful.
Success factors The factors that will ensure achievement of success criteria.
Successor An activity whose start or finish depends on the start or finish of
a predeceeding activity.
Sunk costs Unavoidable costs.
Glossary of Terms 301
Target completion date A date which is targeted as the date for completion of
the activity.
Task An activity may consist of a number of tasks which together describe the
activity’s scope.
Technical assurance The process of monitoring the technical integrity of the
products or deliverables.
Termination The completion of the project either according to plan or because
the project business case is no long valid and the project has been stopped.
Terms of reference These outline a team member’s responsibilities and
authorities within the project.
Three-point estimating Also known as PERT estimating, this recognizes the
inherent risk of measuring activity durations and involves making optimistic,
most likely and pessimistic estimates.
Time-based network A bar chart showing logical constraints between activities.
Time-limited resource scheduling The calculation (often by software) of scheduled
dates in which resource constraints may be relaxed if necessary to avoid any
delay in project completion.
Time-limited scheduling The scheduling of activities, so that the specified
project duration or any imposed dates are not exceeded.
Time now The date used for calculating a forward analysis, typically for reporting
progress.
Time recording The recording of effort expended on each activity in order to
update the plan.
Time variance (TV) By determining the date at which the current EV value is
equal to PV, it is possible to determine a variance to indicate how early or late
a project is running.
Top-down estimating This is where the total project estimate is based on
historical costs and other project variables and then subdivided down to
individual activities.
Total float This is defined as the amount of time which an activity can be
delayed without affecting the end of the project.
Total quality management An integrated total management system for quality
within an organization.
Users The person or people who will use the resulting ‘product’ on behalf of the
owner when the project is completed.
Zero float This is where there is no difference between early and late dates,
indicating that they are critical activities.
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Index