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Assignment 2

This document contains three statistical analysis assignments involving probability calculations for engineering scenarios. The first assignment involves calculating the probability of horizontal sliding of a water tank during a wind storm given different water levels, weights, and coefficients of friction. The second assignment calculates probabilities of different winter weather types (cold, wet, unpleasant) in a Midwest city. The third assignment calculates probabilities of different damage levels (none, light, heavy) for a structure after earthquakes.

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24 views2 pages

Assignment 2

This document contains three statistical analysis assignments involving probability calculations for engineering scenarios. The first assignment involves calculating the probability of horizontal sliding of a water tank during a wind storm given different water levels, weights, and coefficients of friction. The second assignment calculates probabilities of different winter weather types (cold, wet, unpleasant) in a Midwest city. The third assignment calculates probabilities of different damage levels (none, light, heavy) for a structure after earthquakes.

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daffy duck
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© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Due date: 03/11/2017

CE 205 STATISTICAL METHODS FOR ENGINEERS

ASSIGNMENT-2

1. The 5m diameter tank shown below rests a concrete base. When there is water tank, it will be
at after 4m or 8m level, and the probability of either level is 0.40. The weight of the tank is 500
KN and the weight of the water is 195 KN per meter of water level in the tank. The frictional
resistance against the horizontal force is equal to total weight of the tank and contents times the
coefficient of friction, or

F = C.W

Where

C = the coefficient of friction


W = total weight of the tank contents

Water levels
8m

Horizontal
4m force

5m Diameter reinforced concrete tank

a) If C is equally like to be 0.10 or 0.20, identify the sample space of the frictional resistance of
horizontal sliding tank.
b) If the total maximum horizontal force during a wind storm is 150 KN, what is the probability
that the tank will be displaced (slide) horizontally during the storm? The value of C is
statistically independent of the total weight.
c) Suppose that the total maximum horizontal force during a wind storm (that may cause sliding)
may be 150 KN or 250 KN with respective probabilities of 60% and 40%; such a case, what
would be the probability of sliding of the tank? Assume the maximum wind force is the
statistically independent of the frictional resistance.
Due date: 03/11/2017

2. In any given year, the winter in a Midwest city can be cold (C) or (W). On the average, 40% of
the winters in this city are cold and 25% of the winters are wet. Moreover, 30% of the cold
winters are also wet. An unpleasant winter (U) is one when the winter weather is wither cold or
wet or both.

a) Are the events C and W statistically independent? Justify


b) What is the probability of an unpleasant winter (U) is one when the weather is cold either cold
or wet or both.
c) What is the probability that the winter in any given year will be cold but no wet?
d) If the winter in a given year is indeed unpleasant, what is the probability that will be both cold
and wet?

3. The damage in a structure after an earthquake can be classified as none (N), light (L), or heavy
(H). For a new undamaged structure, the probability that it will suffer light and heavy damages
after an earthquake is 0.20 or 0.05, respectively. However, if a structure was already lightly
damaged, its probability of getting heavy damaged, its probability of getting heavy damage
during the next earthquake is increased to 0.5.

a) For a new structure, what is the probability that it will be heavily damaged after two
earthquakes? Assume that no repair was performed after the first earthquake.
b) If structure is indeed heavily damaged after two earthquakes, what is the probability that the
structure was either undamaged or lightly damaged before the second earthquake?
c) If the structure is restored to its undamaged condition after each earthquake, what is the
probability that the structure will over experience heavy damage during three earthquakes?

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