Compplete Trader Pro: Gaurav Udani
Compplete Trader Pro: Gaurav Udani
COMPPLETE
TRADER PRO
GAURAV UDANI
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Published by: Thincredblu Securities pvt ltd.
Complete trader pro -- Your path to become a consistently profitable trader
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Welcome 4
Expectancy 9
What is expectancy and why is it important? 9
The trap of right vs wrong 10
Percentage & Ratio 11
Fractal Pivots 19
The concept of Fractals 20
The Rules 22
Entry 22
Stop-Loss 22
Profit - Exit 22
Trade Examples 22
Trade Log 25
Risk Management 26
Objectifying Patterns 34
Inside Bar Information 34
The Rules 36
Entry 36
Stop-Loss 36
Profit - Exit 36
Trade examples 37
Trade Log 39
Next Steps… 46
Welcome
Thank you for choosing Complete Trader Pro - your path to become a
consistent profitable trader.
Financial freedom offers incredible ways to lead a life and trading is a
sustainable passive income model to achieve that. Thincredblu has
designed a book to help you reach that goal and become a pro trader.
This course has the take away experience from a trader to an
entrepreneur. Our journey was a roller coaster ride filled with
introspection and learning. This led us to answer many questions and
create effective tools to refine the craft and this is an attempt to share
the ways of traversing the markets every day, for the past 13 years. You
might be at any stage of your trading practice and we are here to walk
along.
Firstly, learning the right process will enable your market analysis to get
systematic. This course will introduce you to that along with strategies
defined by powerful principles.
The second outcome will be acquiring discipline in prudent risk
management which is the practice of the top 5% of consistent earners
in trading. The above said is paramount aim we wish to offer you.
Yours Truly,
Gaurav Udani,
CEO - ThincRedBlu
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Hi, I am Gaurav, and I am going to lead this course for you. I want to take a
minute to thank you for giving me this opportunity to add value to your
trading, and I genuinely appreciate your trust in me.
My journey started in the markets in 2006. Before that, I was working in my
ancestral family business involved in the wholesale trade of agricultural
commodities.
The first year was a roller coaster ride. I made about 70% on my capital in the
first 3 months of trading and subsequently blew up my entire trading account
within a week. This was the most excruciating time in my life, and it was
challenging to handle this emotionally.
After a lot of introspection and learning, I turned profitable and have stayed
that way since 2007. From 2007 to date, I have compounded my capital at close
to 40% annualized with only 1 year of negative returns. My initial capital of 5
lakhs has grown to over 4.5 crores over 13 years.
In addition to trading full time, I also help run my brokerage firm - ThincRedBlu
Securities.
What to expect?
You aim to be profitable with your trading. I aim to help you understand how
you can achieve that for yourself.
It is essential to understand that a vast majority of traders and active
investors, for that matter, are losers. I have heard some people pay educators
several lakhs to help them with their trading and find an edge or the secret to
generating fabulous returns in the markets.
You probably feel that you’ve been through a cycle of trying various methods
and have read all books you could get your hands on. There are a lot of
beginners out there, just like you. This constant moving back and forth can get
extremely frustrating, and it causes many to give up.
It is vital to understand why and how profitability indeed occurs in the world of
trading. For this, I have dedicated one whole chapter. We will cover it at a later
point. For now, just know that by the time you are done with this course, you
are going to have an extremely different perspective on trading.
So what can you expect to get out of this curriculum?
My single agenda here is to enable anyone reading this material to be a
consistently profitable trader. Having said that, it is crucial to define and
understand what it means to be consistent and profitable.
I have come across many people aspiring to make a fortune virtually overnight
when they first start trading, and that right there is the problem.
There is no magic wand here. This is a business. If you treat it that way, there is
significant wealth to be made. If you abuse it, however, the markets will take
everything from you and then some more.
When I say consistent, it means that your trading profits are not random,
where you make money sometimes and lose it a few other occasions. I expect
you to be in control of your trading, drive your business instead of being
driven by whims and fancies.
When I say profitable, it means that you can expect to make anywhere between
30-40% per year. (Yes, you read that right. It's per year, and not per month or
per day) Did you really think making 30% per day or month is possible?
I can say this with confidence for 2 reasons. The Indian markets throw up
opportunities very often to make a decent and consistent return off trading.
Secondly, I have done this with my own trading over the past 13 years and have
a real track record to prove it.
Course Overview
Let’s quickly go over what exactly we will be covering through this book
Chapter 2 is all about Expectancy. It’s the most fundamental and vital concept
when it comes to trading. You need to understand this and internalize it. So
there’s a whole chapter dedicated to it.
Chapters 3 & 4 we introduce 2 powerful trading strategies namely the trend
following paradigm and the fractal pivots.
Chapter 5 is about risk management & position sizing. No matter what you do,
please do not skip this one.
Chapters 6 & 7 we delve into another set of powerful trading strategies, which
involves working with indicators and patterns.
Chapter 8 we look at one of my favourite strategies which is about applying
technical analysis and price action to long term investing, and also
summarises the whole thing we learned.
In Chapter 9 I will guide you on where you should be heading after reading
this book.
Expectancy
Welcome, I am grateful and excited. If you have made it so far, I have been able
to provide some value, and I can assure you that the journey only gets better
from here on.
Trend following as an approach is unique in the sense that no other piece of
information matters at all except the price of the given instrument.
It is a compelling idea. Because contrary to what most people think, in a
trend-following strategy, all you would need is a price chart of the given
instrument, and nothing else. It assumes that prices discount all information
about that security in question.
So let’s look at this particular strategy we are going to learn today:
Name: Triple DEMA
Instrument universe: Stocks from CNX NIFTY 500, highly liquid commodities
like Gold, Silver & Crude oil
Type: Long only
Time frame: Daily
Average Holding period: 15-60 days
How many trades can you expect: 50-60 potential trades/year
Indicators used: Double Exponential moving average (DEMA) 10 period, DEMA
25 period & DEMA 75 period
Plotting the indicators: The indicators we use for this strategy are readily
available out of the box with any charting software. let’s see this in detail with
the help of some images below.
First, we plot the 10-period DEMA on the chart, please see the image below
Next, we move to plot the 25-period DEMA on the chart.
Lastly, we plot the 75-period DEMA.
The Rules
Entry
When the 10-period DEMA crosses over both the 25 & 75-period DEMA
When the 25 period DEMA crosses over the 75 period DEMA.
We need to enter on the close of the candle on which the above conditions are
satisfied
Stop-Loss
When the trade moves against us, we get an indication that we need to book a
loss and get out of that trade. In this particular strategy, we use the lowest low
value (LLV) of the previous 3 candles as our stop-loss point.
Profit - Exit
Just as we set up stop losses for our exits, we also need to be mindful of when to
take profits. In this strategy, we exit when the 10-period DEMA crosses below the
75-period DEMA.
Trade examples
Indusind bank
Asian Paints
Hindustan Unilever
Jsw Steel
As you can see from the above trade examples, all trades aren't profitable. This
strategy is bound to not work during sideways markets. Another critical point to
note is that we should stay away from penny stocks and focus instead only on
high-quality companies within the CNX NIFTY 500 universe of stocks.
The premise of any trend following set up will be that you will never end up with
catching the tops or bottoms. Instead, you will be left with what's left in the
middle. This is very important to understand as most of us are obsessed with
catching tops or bottoms. Not only is this futile but detrimental to what our end
objective is, which is making profits.
Trade Log
Just some of the trades I have taken using this system in the past.
Fractal Pivots
Here, we can see that this specific 5 bar pattern gives us what I like to call,
fractal pivots both on the up and the downside.
These pivots essentially act as the breakout levels, which is at the root of the
price structure of the given instrument.
So let’s look at this particular strategy we are going to learn today:
Name: Fractal Breakout
Instrument universe: Stocks from CNX NIFTY 500, highly liquid
commodities like Gold, Silver & Crude oil
Type: Long & Short
Time frame: 60 minutes / Daily
Average Holding period: 15-60 days
How many trades can you expect: 50-60 potential trades/year
Indicators used: Double Exponential moving average (DEMA) 200
period, Fractals
Plotting the indicators: The indicators we use for this strategy are readily
available out of the box with any charting software. Let’s see this in detail with
the help of some images below.
Firstly, we plot the 200-period DEMA on the chart. Please see the image below.
Next, we move to plot fractals.
The Rules
Entry
Closing price should be above the 200 period DEMA
Price should go above the up-fractal pivot
The Fractal pattern must be formed above the 200-period DEMA
Buy when the price goes above the high of the signal bar
Inverse for short trades
Stop-Loss
The immediate previous down fractal pivot is the stop-loss for this strategy.
Profit - Exit
Price closes below the 200-period DEMA
Simple right?
Let’s take a look at a few trade examples.
Trade Examples
Bajaj Finance
HDFC
DHFL
Nifty
Fractals are the roots and the inherent structure of any instrument across the
world. The premise is straightforward to flow, and be one with the markets,
want what the market wants. Don't try and anticipate or second guess the
markets. Fractals provide a beautiful mechanism to give you a solid structure
to figure out what the market really wants.
Trade Log
Just some of the trades I have taken using this system in the past.
Date Instrument Type Entry Date Exit P/L P/L
(%)
Risk Management
Double Trouble
Now that you have covered the risk management series, I trust that you are
confident in your trading approach and feel more in control.
Having covered that along with a couple of strategies, I trust that your trading
has improved, and it has given you a new dimension to think from.
Continuing, in the following 3 chapters, we will cover 3 of my favorite
strategies, which have proven to be extremely beneficial to me, and I want to
share them with you.
This chapter is on a straightforward and profitable strategy, which is
something I believe you will use over and over again in your trading.
Name: Double Trouble
Instrument universe: Stocks from CNX NIFTY 500, highly liquid
commodities like Gold, Silver & Crude oil
Type: Long & Short
Time frame: 60 minutes / Daily
Average Holding period: 15-60 days
How many trades can you expect: 50-60 potential trades/year
Indicators used: Heiken Ashi Candles, Double Exponential moving
average (DEMA) 100 period, MACD
Plotting the indicators: The indicators we use for this strategy are readily
available out of the box with any charting software. Let’s see this in detail with
the help of some images below.
First, we plot the 10-period DEMA on the chart, please see the image below
First, plot the Heiken Ashi candles instead of the regular candles.
Next, we plot the 100-period DEMA on the chart, please see the image below.
And then, we plot the MACD.
The Rules
Entry
Closing price should be above the 100 period DEMA
MACD should be above the signal line
Heiken Ashi should be a green candle
Vice versa for short trades
Stop-Loss
Previous red Heiken Ashi candle, you can even use the previous pivot low if
you wish, vice versa for short trades
Profit - Exit
Price closes below the 100-period DEMA
Simple right?
This is the power of keeping the rules simple and defined, it helps in
maintaining discipline and keeps our thinking objective.
Let’s look at some trade examples.
Trade examples
Bata India
Yes Bank
Berger Paints
Ashok Leyland
Having learned this strategy, you must apply it in your trading. Just going
through this course without actually trading will not help you. You must start
taking trades based on these strategies.
This set up is convenient if you are someone who prefers indicators over price
action. While it gives you good confirmation on your trades, it also filters a lot
of noise in the markets, which can help increase the win rate of your trades.
Trade Log
Just some of the trades I have taken using this system in the past.
Date Instrument Type Entry Date Exit P/L P/L (%)
Objectifying Patterns
Name: Inside Bar Formation
Instrument universe: Stocks from CNX NIFTY 500, highly liquid
commodities like Gold, Silver & Crude oil
Type: Long & Short
Time frame: Daily
Average Holding period: 15-60 days
How many trades can you expect: 50-60 potential trades/year
Indicators used: Double Exponential moving average (DEMA) 25 period
of the High, DEMA 25 period of the Low
Plotting the indicators: The indicators we use for this strategy are readily
available out of the box with any charting software, let’s see this in detail with
the help of some images below.
First, we plot the DEMA 25 period of the high
Next, we plot the DEMA 25 period of the Low
The Rules
Entry
For longs, the engulfing candle should be formed above the 25 period DEMA
of the high
For shorts, the engulfing candle should be formed below the 25 period DEMA
of the low
Enter at the break of the High/low of the engulfing candle depending on
whether it is a long or short trade
Stop-Loss
High / Low of the engulfing candle depending on whether it is a long or a
short trade.
Profit - Exit
If long then close below the 25 period DEMA of the low and if short then close
above the 25 period DEMA of the high.
Simple right?
Let’s look at some trade examples.
Trade examples
CEAT
Axis Bank
Reliance Industries
I will admit trading patterns is not everyone’s cup of tea. Usually, the kind of
patterns that we see on the internet has too much subjectivity in them. Also, it
becomes nearly impossible to identify them with conviction as they are being
formed. With my trading, I like to keep things really objective, and I strive to
keep discretion at the barest minimum level. This helps me stay disciplined
and manage my emotions much better.
Trade Log
Just some of the trades I have taken using this system in the past.
Type Instrument Date Entry Date Exit P/L P/L (%)
Investing strategy
Since this is the last chapter of this course, I have left the best for the last, and
this is more of a longer-term investing strategy. I have always been asked that
is it possible to trade/invest in the long term using price action and technical
analysis.
This strategy is my answer to that.
For this strategy, we are using a unique indicator based on the Average True
range concepts. Without getting into complicated jargon, understand that all
this indicator does is use the average range of the price of that instrument
and gives us a good indication of where prices may be headed in the future.
Let’s dig right in.
The Rules
Entry
Enter when price breaks super trend on the upside
Stop-Loss
Trail with super trend
Profit - Exit
Trail with super trend
Simple right?
Let’s look at some trade examples.
Trade examples
Hindustan Unilever
Eiher motors
Bajaj Finserv
Vinati Organics
The most important things to consider in this strategy is to only invest in
high-quality companies, some rules for filtering stocks are as follows:
Return on equity >= 12
Growth rate >= 10
Debt to Equity ratio <= 1
Interest coverage ratio >= 2
Market capitalisation >= 500
This brings us to the end of this course, and I really appreciate you taking the
time to go through it. I hope I have been able to add some value to your
trading journey.
I want to go over a couple of things quickly before we call it a day.
What you need to understand is that trading is like any other business, and
there are days when you will make money. Then there will be days when you will
lose money. This is part and parcel of the trade. Your losses are actually your
cost of doing business.
It is also important to realize that trading is simple but not easy.
You need to put in the work, the stock markets are not an ATM machine as
they say there is no free lunch.
You need to develop and have an objective set of rules that you can use to
plan your trades and your job as a trader is to meticulously execute the plan.
This business is 90% psychology and 10% numbers.
By completing this course, you now have access to all the tools and strategies
that you need to become consistently profitable in this profession. But the
cold fact remains that despite this, not everyone is going to end up being
profitable. This is where psychology becomes very important. While some
people want to be right on all trades, others expect to make 10x returns in 1
year. This is what leads them to trade in a way that is undoubtedly going to
result in disastrous results.
With this, I take your leave and wish you all the very best. If you have followed
this course in the right spirit, I can assure you that you are already amongst
the rare breed of profitable trades.
Feel free to get in touch with me. I am always happy to help!
Trade Log
Just some of the trades I have taken using this system in the past.
Next Steps…
This marks the end of your first step towards being a profitable trader, are
you ready for step 2?
This is the part where I personally mentor you and guide you.
Here’s how it works.
You can go ahead and sign up for a free account at Thincredblu, don’t worry
one of my colleagues will get in touch with you soon, alternatively you can
send me an email, [email protected]
Once you have finished that, you can head over to the app / play store and
download SKY, it is our trading platform that we will be using.
We have developed a set of algorithms which help us identify high probability
trading ideas in the equity and the futures segments which I share with you
ongoingly on Sky, I also share a detailed performance snapshot of these trade
ideas so you can get a sense of what’s happening and keep a track.
All in all you get to see and learn hands on, as to how I trade and more
importantly manage by emotions while at it.
See you there!