Adjusted Feasibility Study of Kimcs - Abuja
Adjusted Feasibility Study of Kimcs - Abuja
LTD
PRESENTS
TO
KIMCS 2010 1
CONTENT
02. INTRODUCTION 9
02.01 Project Background
02.02 Objective of Study
02.03 Methodology
KIMCS 2010 2
09. FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS AND APPRAISAL OF COMMERCIAL
VIABILITY 41
CHAPTER ONE
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Kingdom Multi-purpose Cooperative Society (KIMCS) has been organizing various in-
house and public Sensitization/enlightenment workshops on the need for viable and
purposeful practice of cooperative society in Nigeria. The workshops are to enlighten
members of the public on the dynamics, implementation and benefits of cooperative
societies in Nigeria.
On this note, KIMCS will use training, workshops, seminars, and enlightenment
programmes to get prospects to internalize the concept workings and benefits of the new
and reformed cooperative society to enhance quality participation and substantial fund
raising for the cooperative.
KIMCS will appoint a Financial Adviser with wide branch network coverage within the
country to give us leverage in rendering prompt and efficient services to all our
contributors and financial members.
KIMCS operation coverage will include Lagos, Abuja and the six geo-political zones in
the country, with our zonal offices located in each of the zones to coordinate the
cooperative society activities of the states and local governments in the zones. As part of
our branch network development, the cooperative will establish unit offices in any state
of the federation where it has secured large number of contributors to the scheme.
When KIMCS is in full operation, there will be unit offices in all the states of the
federation with representative offices in some big local government areas to harmonise
our service delivery and satisfaction of members.
The zonal and unit offices will be connected to the head office via satellite
communication to enhance our on-line real-time service delivery and control.
Our operations would be Information Technology (IT) driven to enable our contributors
and prospective members have access to view the operational progress of the cooperative
society and also print our membership forms from our web site.
KIMCS 2010 5
In order to achieve this business objective, KIMCS intends to employ a crop of young
experienced people who would be given first class training and publicity tools,
complemented by a challenging remuneration and motivation scheme. The clear focus is
to offer the best cooperative society planning, training programme and communal
products/services in the industry.
Based on the financial projections for the first five years of operation, KIMCS is
expected to break-even in the third quarter of the first year.
The original promoter of KIMCS, Mr. Moses Ajayi , who is the General Coordinator &
Chief Executive Officer, had his Bachelor of Arts in Business Administration degree in
1980, from Andrews University, Berrien Springs, Michigan, USA. He became an
Associate of both the Chartered Insurance Institute (ACII) London and Insurance
Institute of Nigeria (ACIIN) in 1991.
Mr. Ajayi’s work experience has seen him through Insurance Brokerage, Insurance
Agency, Underwriting, Management and Marketing, before joining the banking sector in
1993 during which he served as Deputy Treasurer of Gulf Bank of Nigeria Limited. In
1995, he moved to Continental Trust Bank Limited as the Bank’s Treasurer to oversee
the treasury functions of the Bank. He was later to become Regional Director (Business
Development) (North), Head of Corporate Services Group, Zonal Coordinator
Lagos/Western Zone (Business Development), and Head of Credit Management
Group at different times.
THE PROJECT
KIMCS 2010 6
Poultry Farming business in Nigeria can be said to be as old as history can remember.
However, its development and growth compared to what is obtainable in developed
nations is still lagging behind, hence, making it an emerging market in Nigeria. Due to
the enormous demand not met by both the Government and private companies and the
ever increasing population and the demand for protein, the poultry farming business
development necessitates a paradigm shift, if we must only meet the high demand for it,
but also make it a commodity for both the rich and poor.
The present global economic meltdown has no doubt affected the rate of Agriculture
development in the country owing to the following factors:
Lack of fund from the developers/cooperative societies
Government apathy
Monitoring Problem
Besides, the capital requirement for the execution of various Agricultural Businesses and
ability to break even either as a private or commercial entity putting into consideration
the Direct and Indirect labour factors, are huge enough to scare investors.
PROJECT OBJECTIVES
Our localized poultry farmer’s initiative was conceptualized to;
Through constant training/self development, bring to the fore all the modern
technology and expertise required for effective Poultry Management and Service
to the knowledge of all those who want to do commercial poultry business in
Nigeria
Put in place a realistic and reliable method of mobilizing and training a Nigerian
workforce that can provide effective Poultry Management and Services capable
of meeting both local and international demands
KIMCS 2010 7
Ensure that every State in Nigeria has a localized poultry incubation center that
will continually provide chicken and eggs alike at considerable prices to its
citizens and dwellers
To estimate the expected financial results and to work out the financial strategy of the
company in terms of payments for the credits to bank or financier
To equip the poultry farm and relevant infrastructure, to continually upgrade all
vehicle depots and technological equipments
To enlarge the share of the regional poultry meat market based on the direct
contracts with sales companies/agents
KIMCS 2010 8
To implement contracts and to develop distribution channels for export of down-
and-feather raw materials
To ensure profit accumulation from production and sales that meets existing
market demands at every point in time
To take advantage of our agricultural sector for the improvement of the nation’s
economy and increment of supply of the population with products of its daily
necessity, such as chicken and egg
FINANCIAL REQUIREMENTS
The total sum of =N=80.135 million is required to execute the project with over 20% rate
of return per annum. The project has over 400% turn over in year and employment
opportunity of over 3,000 per annum for unemployed graduates and individuals from the
informal sub-sector of the economy.
CHAPTER TWO
INTRODUCTION
Project Background
In terms of specific output, the livestock sub-sector can be broken into product sub-
groups such as, poultry meat, goat meat, lamb/mutton, beef, pork, milk and eggs.
KIMCS 2010 9
Table 1: Estimated Output of Livestock in Nigeria: 1994 – 2000
(‘000 tonnes)
Product 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
Poultry 63 73 74 76 77 82 88 95 107
Eggs 377 399 422 4 35 436 450 465 487 514
Goat meat 80 88 92 95 96 101 107 114 129
Lamb/Mutton 85 94 96 101 102 107 113 117 126
Beef 183 192 197 200 202 208 215 228 239
Pork 25 31 39 43 45 47 50 55 62
Milk 951 961 972 989 9 91 1000 1012 1038 1046
Source: CBN Annual Report and Statement of Accounts (1998-2000)
However, it is noteworthy that the livestock sector has not provided sufficient volumes
and the capacity to meet the demand of teeming Nigerians for protein. The annual
growth rate has been low for most of the products, particularly for poultry and eggs sub-
group, whereas, the sub-group, if properly managed, could impact greatly on the income
and quality of life of the citizenry. This is because poultry production is a socio-
economic activity that has high rating for the reason that the net return on investment is
relatively higher than that of other animal species and its contributing role to national
economy cannot be overemphasized. Thus it is the major source of high quality protein
that is necessary for the continued survival of the fast growing human population of the
developing economy.
Objective of Study
The objective of this study is to undertake a detailed investigation of the technical,
market, and financial feasibility of the project, bearing in mind the size of the target
market (potential customers), the existing competition, project location, investment costs
and financial returns of the project.
Methodology
KIMCS 2010 10
In carrying out the study, we adopted the following methodology:
This feasibility report will, thus provide the necessary guide, to not only the project
promoters in evaluating and carrying out their investment proposal, but also to the
financiers to enable them determine the viability and feasibility of the project.
CHAPTER THREE
MARKET ANALYSIS
Overview
Nigeria, with a population of about 130 million is grossly underprovided with the
essential food component, which is protein. For example, data from the FOS, CBN, and
FAO indicate that from cattle, less than 2kg of beef is available to an average Nigerian
per year and just mere 4kg of eggs per annum is available to each Nigerian. In fact, milk
production has been nose diving or at best has remained constant since 1994. This
scenario is compounded more so when the volume of egg supply is very low, being
10.56g per person per day as compared with the usual recommendation that an egg
should be consumed by an adult per day. This recommendation would imply a crate of 30
eggs per month. This story also holds for other meat products including, chicken.
KIMCS 2010 11
To ameliorate this problem of low-level of protein intake, there is the need for concerted
effort, among the various stakeholders to bring about the massive production of protein
based food items at competitive costs so that they would be affordable to the general
masses. Aside from the other necessary economic reforms, massive investment poultry
farming is one way of resolving the problem.
What is poultry farming? Poultry farming is the commercial production of poultry birds,
which include chicken, turkey, geese, pigeon, guinea and gamebirds. They are easy to
produce, and have a high meat to carcass ratio. Hence, they are excellent products for
meeting the protein needs of the populace.
Poultry Products
The main products of the proposed project include eggs, day-old chicks and poultry meat,
which will be generated from, culled birds (i.e. layers and breeders), and broilers.
Poultry by-products such as poultry droppings, poultry offal and hatchery wastes will
also provide additional income to the project. Poultry dropping can be used as manure
for vegetable gardening and feed ingredient in fish farming which the cooperative has
considered viable.
KIMCS 2010 12
- From Culled birds (Layers and Breeders)
- Broilers
(b) By-products
Poultry droppings
Poultry Offal and other hatchery wastes.
PROPOSED CAPACITY
5000 Birds per production cycle are the minimum economic size to commence a poultry
farm, as the operational and fixed costs are justifiable. This is even more relevant for a
non-automated poultry farm. For a fully automated and integrated farm, the
recommended minimum economic size is between 8,000 and 10,000 birds.
The proposed project, which is an automated and integrated poultry farm, is proposed to
commence with 10,000 to 15,000 birds per production cycle in the poultry section and
10,000 birds in the Hatchery Section. However, the output of the farm is proposed to
increase to 20,000 birds in the poultry section and 15,000 day-old chicks within the first
five years of the production period.
In the poultry section, the ratio of layers to broilers is proposed as 70%: 30% or 7: 3,
while 40% to 60% is proposed for the hatchery section.
3,000 - 6,000 B
Birds
Broilers, 30%
Layers, 70%
KIMCS 2010 13
(b) Hatchery Section
B
Layers, 40%
Broilers, 60%
Generally, there are few taboos, religious or cultural practices that prohibit the use of
poultry products in human diet. Hence, nearly all members of the Nigerian populace are
potential consumers of poultry products.
Specifically, there is sustained high demand for live birds for home consumption or as
gifts at the time of festivals such as Christmas, New Year, Easter, Id El-Fitri, Id-El Kabir
etc. Also fast food operators such as hotels, restaurants, and supermarkets also have very
high demand for poultry products.
Egg, in its own case, has a wide variety of utilisation. Thus, it is used in the preparation
of products such as chicken burger, scotch eggs,salad, and egg soup among others. Apart
from home consumption, eggs can be used as leavening agent in baked foods, and as an
ingredient in the manufacture of hair shampoo and for the production of egg powder that
can later be incorporated into baby food.
Poultry farmers, especially the ones specializing in broiler and layer production, are the
potential consumer’s of the day-old chicks produced by the hatchery section. Point of lay
for egg production involves the raising of the pullet chicks from 0 – 18 weeks. Such
chicks must be obtained from reputable hatcheries.
KIMCS 2010 14
Nigeria’s Poultry Market
While some countries are reputed to be important exporters of poultry products after
consistently meeting local demand, Nigeria’s main problem is meeting its local demand
for poultry products. Nigeria’s poultry market problems start in 1984 when the Federal
Government banned importation of maize. This indeed contributed to steadily declining
poultry production in addition to the effects of the structural adjustment programme.
But the Nigerian poultry market had seen more prosperous times for the two decades
after independence in 1960; poultry production grew substantially, peaking in 1982, with
40 million commercially reared birds. Since then, the bird population has dipped
steadily, to an estimated low of 6 million in 1997. The new political dispensation has
brought about a little improvement to poultry farming. Hence, the poultry population
increased to 20 million in 2003.
KIMCS 2010 15
10. U.O.O. Agricultural Industries
11. UAC Foods (Integrated Poultry Farming)
12. Zartech Limited
13. Abiola Farms Limited
LEVEL OF SUPPLY
In the course of our survey, we observed that production figures for poultry are not
properly maintained by government agencies that are charged with the responsibility.
Hence, we came across varieties of production figures from different sources. However,
we are able to come out with an estimated supply level by conducting a mini survey, and
aligning the results with data from reliable sources such as the Federal Office of Statistics
(FOS), Central Bank of Nigerian (CBN) and Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO)
On the basis of the foregoing methodology we are able to estimate the supply level of
poultry products in the country as follows:
50 million birds per annum
60 million eggs per annum
60 day old chicks “
Considering infrastructural constraints and other limiting factors, we may estimate the
projected level of supply of poultry products to increase by 5%. Hence the projected level
of supply from 2003-2008 is provided hereunder:
(‘Million)
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Chicken 50 52.5 56.13 57.88 60.78 63..81
Eggs 60 63 66.15 69.46 72.93 76.58
Day-old 60 63 66.15 69.46 72.93 76.58
Chicks
There are very few taboos prohibiting the consumption of poultry products in Nigeria.
Hence, nearly all the 129 million Nigerian are consumers of poultry products, in one form
or the other.
KIMCS 2010 16
In terms of the household population, Nigeria presently has about 22 million households.
Assuming that each household consumes 20 chickens per annum which include the ones
consumed during the major festive periods such as Christmas, New Year and Easter for
Christian; Idel Malud, Idel Kabir for Muslims and during the birthday celebration of
members of the household or during any special occasion, these assumptions bring the
estimated poultry consumption to about 440 millions chickens consumed by the
households.
It should, however, be noted that the households are not the only consumers of chicken
and poultry products. The other consumers include Fast Food Companies, Hotels and
other food processing companies. Let us conservatively assume that demand from these
groups is about 60 million chickens per annum.
This brings the total estimate demand for poultry chicken to 500 million per annum. If we
further assumed that this demand increase by 2.00% per annum, then the projected
demand for chicken is as follows:
(‘Million)
2004 2005 2006 2007 2006
COMPETITION
Competition is not so keen in Nigeria‘s poultry markets. The reasons for this are
obvious:
1. Poultry products, in their present forms, are not branded products. Hence,
what is essential in this respect is the effective positioning of the distribution
outlets, at the appropriate times.
2. As a result of the substantial shortfall in supply, Nigeria’s poultry market is a
sellers’ market.
3. Large proportions of the production are being sold through informal channels.
However, some degrees of competition exist between the locally produced
KIMCS 2010 17
poultry products and the imported ones. A strong indication of this is the
phenomenal rise of poultry products shipped in container’s from the United
States to Nigeria between 1995 and 1999 (see chart below)
33
C a r g o ( T EU s )
18
8 9
6
4
1998
11997 2ar
Ye 31999
To reduce the massive importation of frozen poultry products and to stimulate local
production, the Federal Government placed embargo on the importation of poultry
products in year 2002.
In this wise, the marketing practices of the operators in the market can be considered
under the headings of quality of service, promotion, and pricing.
KIMCS 2010 18
(a) In the area of distribution, poultry farmers sell directly to operators in the informal
sector.
These include
Butchers
Restaurants
Boarding hotels
Small retail stores
Hawkers
Live chicken markets
Spent – hen depots
Individual consumers,
Hotels
However, a few big operators sell their farm products directly to operators in the formal
market. Members of this group include
Big retail outlets
Wholesalers
Franchise stores
Broiler processing plants
Egg processing plants
Exporters (Occasionally)
(b) Pricing: Pricing in the informal sector of the industry is relatively stable.
However, price determination greatly depends on the grade of the products. In the
case of eggs, they are classified to the following three grades.
Grade 1
Grade 2
Under grade
KIMCS 2010 19
The proposed integrated farm will strive to produce highest possible quality of the
various products. The proposed farm will explore the following strategies:
2. SUPPLY TO HAWKERS
Live chickens or egg will be sold registered to hawkers on a regular basis. As most
retailers have transport problems, the farm could entice them by delivering the chickens
or eggs at their outlets
CONTRACTING
The farm may enter into a contract with medium or large-scale broiler users to supply
stipulated number of chickens or eggs at specified periods. This will, hopefully, provide a
steady market for the farm
CHAPTER FOUR
The proposed project, which is to be sited in the Abuja suburbs, will be a fully automated
and integrated poultry production farm, which will be made up of the following units.
Hatchery Unit,
KIMCS 2010 20
Broiler grow-out facility,
Layer/breeder grow-out facility,
Table eggs production unit,
Broiler/culled birds processing plant,
This is the unit where fertile eggs will be incubated to produce Day-Old Chicks (DOC).
The proposed hatchery Unit is expected to have a brooding capacity of 10,000 fertile
eggs per production cycle, and will be made up in the proportion of 60% broilers and
40% breeders. The hatchery production line will include:
a) A Setter Incubator
b) A Hatchers Incubator
Setter
Fertile Eggs Fumigations of Eggs Incubator
There are some essential requirements for growing broilers successfully. All these
requirements will be put in place before the proposed project commences.
KIMCS 2010 21
Adequate housing
Excellent brooding equipment
Feeding equipment
The modern watering equipment
Miscellaneous equipments
The breeders/layers production, otherwise known as point of lay production, involves the
raising of pullet chicks from 0 – 18 weeks. The point of lay birds are used for producing
fertile eggs in the process of producing replacement stocks, or infertile eggs in the
process of producing ordinary table eggs.
The proposed farm is expected to produce between 7,000 and 14,000 breeders per
production cycle
The basic requirements for a typical breeder grow out facility are similar to that of broiler
grow out facility.
This involves the rearing of birds to sexual maturity, and then keeping them in lay for a
year. The eggs produced are infertile and are called table eggs. In Nigeria, some
producers begin their production process by raising the day – old pullets, while other buy
point – of – lay pullets (e.g. 20 to 22 week old pullets) that are ready to begin production.
The proposed project would depend on its day-old pullets for egg production.
KIMCS 2010 22
Since an average layer produces 2 eggs every 3 days, the table egg production capacity of
the farm will depend on the number of layers deployed in the farm.
The proposed integrated farm is expected to be fully automated with modern poultry
equipment and machinery. The equipment/machinery requirements will include.
Setter Incubator
The setter incubator would have a minimum capacity of 40,000 Eggs. The dimension of a
typical one, “Chick Master 102” is 22’length,12.6’ Width and 8.7’Height
Hatchery
The Hatchery that will be utilized will have a minimum of 30,000 Day -old Chicks per
hatching cycle
KIMCS 2010 23
Drinking systems
An automatic water trough or drinking nipple system placed inside or preferably outside
the shed will save labour and provide a constant supply of fresh water. It is important to
provide shade in the hot season to keep the water cool.
A low-pressure drinking system is ideal for adult birds. The water flows through the
nipples only when they are touched or pecked. Poultry quickly learn how to operate the
system. Drinking nipples are more hygienic and use less water than open troughs.
Feeders
In deciding which feeder should be used, it important to put into consideration the type
and the class of chicken that is being reared.
One hanging ‘tube’ feeder with a pan 400 mm in diameter will provide about 1200 mm of
feeding space, enough for 15 hens.
Bulks feed storage are also a necessary part of the feeding equipment. The bins (Silos)
are located outside the house.
A set of poultry slaughtering and broiler processing that has the capacity to package
5000 broilers per day will be put in place.
KIMCS 2010 24
Other support equipments include:
4.4 HOUSING
The first requirement for growing commercial poultry is adequate housing. This is
because broiler/layer production is essentially a chick brooding operation. Hence the
house should contain necessary equipment so that such factors as temperature, moisture,
air quality and light can be controlled easily. It should also provide for efficient
installation and operation of brooding, feeding, watering and other equipment.
* Should contain all necessary equipment such as brooding, feeding, watering and
other equipment for efficient operation.
Three types of houses are utilised in the commercial production of broiler, layer and
breeder. Thus birds are transferred to the various houses depending on their age in the
production cycle. These houses include:
KIMCS 2010 25
Brooder House
Growers House
Deep Litter House
Cage.
Brooder House
This is the house where a day-old chick stays until the first 8 weeks of the chick’s life.
Brooder house must be maintained properly and kept warm always. Installation of
brooder’s guards to confine chicks, flat feeders, drinkers and feed mash must always be
available.
Grower House
After the first 8 weeks, chicks are transferred to the grower house. The purposes of this
transference are to protect them and make them comfortable so that they can develop
optimally. A well ventilated housing accommodation will suit the growers with enough
floor space for the number of growers involved. The recommended floor space for a
flock of 250 birds is 125 square meters.
Cage
This is the final destination of layers and breeders. No litter is required. Cages are
normally put under the roofed house. The usual number of birds required in a cell is 3
pullets or 2
layers.
KIMCS 2010 26
Figure 1. Modern broiler house, which uses two feed bins.
Houses should be capable of maintaining appropriate temperatures during the entire
growing cycle, regardless of the outside temperature. Colder climates require additional
insulation, whereas proper air speed becomes crucial in a hot environment. Most broiler
houses are built 40 feet wide, usually with two lines of lighting fixtures arranged so that
all areas of the floor are well lit. Low-wattage bulbs are place 8 to 10 feet above the floor
to provide 0.5 to 1.0 foot candle of light at bird level.
A number of utilities would be put in place in order to ensure smooth functioning of the
farm. These utilities include:
a) Water Supply,
b) Supplementary Electricity supply,
c) Paved Road Transportation,
d) Drainage Facility
KIMCS 2010 27
Water Supply
Clean water supply is a sine qua non of poultry business. Hence, there should be
provision for an alternative source of water since constant and clean water supply can
only be ensured through provision of an internal borehole and, a minimum of, one
overhead water tank of 5000 litres capacity.
Electricity Supply
Since public power supply is not reliable, provision will be made for a 250 KVA
generating set to supplement National Electric Power Authority supply, and ensure
uninterrupted supply of electricity.
The bulk of this feed will be sourced locally from bulk importers and local manufacturers
of livestock feed. The cooperative will also manufacture its own feed mill.
KIMCS 2010 28
Drugs
Vaccines
About 90% of these inputs are imported. These is why poultry production is highly
sensitive to foreign exchange fluctuation In Nigeria
KIMCS 2010 29
CHAPTER FIVE
For the successful operation of the integrated farm, the management should have
adequate and appropriate knowledge in specific features of poultry farming. These
important areas include:
Diseases control,
Housing and equipment ,
Feeding,
Genetic improvement,
Marketing,
Consequent upon the medium size of the farm, the management structure will not be too
elaborate. Since a promoter will finance the farm, the composition of a board of directors
may not be necessary, although it is advisable that this be put in place. The overall
management functions, which will include broad policy formulation, approval of budgets
and strategic plans, will fall on the promoter who will also function as the Managing
Director and Chief Executive Officer of the farm, although a lot of assistance and value
can be derived from the constitution of a board of Directors.
PERSONNEL REQUIREMENT
Commercial poultry production involves the rearing of exotic breed of chicken that are
highly sensitive to environmental changes, feeding pattern and diseases. Hence, its
management requires highly skilled and experienced personnel.
KIMCS 2010 30
The farm is a fully automated and integrated farm. Hence, there would not be need for
too many staff. In this wise, the farm will require the following personnel:
The total estimated annual salary and allowance for the six staff and the Managing
Director is =N= 600,000.00. If it is assumed that the salary would increase by 10% per
annum, then the salary for the next 5 years is as follows:
N 600,000.00--------Year 1
N 660,000.00--------Year 2
N 726,000.00--------Year 3
N 798,600.00--------Year 4
N 878,460.00--------Year 5
ORGANISATION STRUCTURE
Initially, the farm will maintain a lean structure in the first five years of its operation,
during which it would enjoy full automation and the services of six staff. However, as the
farm expands, in the nearest future, it will be imperative to put in place, a very good
structure. Hence, the following structure is recommended.
The farm will be structured into four broad departments. The heads of these departments
will report to the General Manager, who will serve as the overall Farm Manager of the
integrated farm. He will report to the Chairman / Managing Director.
KIMCS 2010 31
Hatchery Manager, who will supervise the hatchery operations of the farm, will head
the Hatchery unit.
The Livestock’s Department will be headed by Livestock Manager, who will supervise
the broiler, layers / breeder and egg production operations of the farm.
The Business Development Manager will head the Marketing and sales Department. He
will be responsible for implementing marketing and sales strategies of the farm.
Chairman/CEO
General
Manager
Business
Finance & Admin
Livestock Manager Hatchery Manager Development
Manager
Manager
KIMCS 2010 32
CHAPTER 6
INVESTMENT COST ANALYSIS
The costs of the project are estimated under two main headings, viz:
Capital/initial cost and operating/maintenance costs.
Based on the estimates gathered during the market survey as well as internet searches, the
principal cost component of the project are [1] land/building & Infrastructure, [2] Plant &
Machinery, [3] office furniture, [4] delivery vehicles and [5] the pre-operational
expenses. These are summarized below:
1.2. Machines/Equipment:
Automated Watering System 6,500,000
Automated feeding system 12,000,000
Automated manure removal 2,750,000
Incubation and Hatchery equipment 15,000,000
Generator (1 nos. 75 KVA) 2,500,000
Office Equipment (see details) 3,000,000
Water bore hole equipment 1,000,000
KIMCS 2010 33
Sub-Total 42,750,000
KIMCS 2010 35
b. Poultry Feed, Vaccination, Spray, litter, etc
The above are estimated based on a benchmarking with model poultry farms as well as
industry best practices. We have however been a little conservative in this matter.
Vaccination cost is put at N30 per bird. Spray cost is put at N5, 000 per flock, Feed cost
is put at N1, 100 per bag of 25kg on average.
c. Utilities
d. Audit expenses
These have been pegged at N250, 000 in the first two years, then it moved to N350,000
as from the third year.
2.4 Depreciation
Depreciation is estimated at N7, 304,625 on a straight-line basis on an annual
KIMCS 2010 36
basis, given a 10% salvage value, as indicated below: (note that building/poultry
equipment is depreciated over a ten-year period).
DEPRECIATION SCHEDULE
PLTRY.EQ ENERGY O/EQUIP. VEHICLE FURN./FIT YEAR
MT/ S
BUILDING
4.721 0.450 0.540 1.27125 0.322875 1
4.721 0.450 0.540 1.27125 0.322875 2
7.161 0.450 0.540 1.27125 0.322875 3
7.161 0.450 0.540 1.27125 0.322875 4
7.161 0.450 0.540 0.000 0.000 5
58.185 2.250 2.700 5.085 1.2915 TOTAL
5.819 0.250 0.300 0.565 0.1435 Salvage
75.135 2.500 3.000 5.650 1.435 COST
KIMCS 2010 37
CHAPTER 7
REVENUE PROJECTION
i) Revenue from sale of mature birds is based on initial capacity of 5,000 birds,
given a mortality rate of between 6% - 10% per cycle. The production capacity is
expected to increase by 100% to 10,000 birds after the first two years of operation
and to 20,000 birds beginning from year five, all other things remaining as
assumed. Following the assumptions, revenue from sale of mature birds should
average N6.75million for a 5,000 bird capacity, N13.50million for a 10,000 bird
capacity and N27.0million for a 20,000 bird capacity, all on a worst case scenario.
The estimated industry growth rate is about 12.5% annually.
ii) Revenue from the sale of eggs is based on projected number of layers, which
constitutes 70% of total bird count, the layers’ life cycle of 90 weeks, the laying
period of 52 weeks, the ability to lay 2eggs in every 3 days during the laying
period, and given the assumed mortality rate earlier stated above as well as the
growth in bird count over the planning period. The total estimated revenue from
this segment should be N6.899million for a 5,000 bird capacity, N13.80million
for a 10,000 bird capacity and N27.6million for a 20,000 bird capacity on an
annual basis. The average industry growth rate is 15% per annum.
iii) Revenue from sale of manure and bird litters is based on industry average revenue
estimates and given the strategic location of the poultry. It is estimated that
N129,000 – N492,000 will be realized from the above sales, given capacity
KIMCS 2010 38
utilization of between 5000 – 20000 birds respectively. The figure should grow by
about 10% per annum
iv) Revenue from sale of day old chicks is based on estimated availability of hatchery
systems, government policy on the importation of day old chicks and given the
mortality rate of the day old chicks, among others. Therefore, it is estimated that
N12.408million, N18.612million and N24.816million respectively will be realised
on a capacity of 40,000, 60,000 and 80,000 day old chicks. The estimated growth
rate in sales should be 15% per annum.
On the basis of above assumptions, total revenue for years 1 - 5 should as shown below.
The capacity of 10,000 birds should be installed in year 3, while that of 20,000 birds
should be installed in year 5. The average percent growth in revenue of 13% per annum
is assumed as per general industry trend.
KIMCS 2010 39
CHAPTER 8
FINANCING PLAN
Traditionally, any projects that have been found to be commercially viable are financed
through equity contribution of sponsors and loans – term loans and bank overdrafts. Our
various discussions with the promoter show that the financing structure and pattern
should follow above path. Consequently, the Poultry facility’s capital cost of N80.135
million is recommended to be financed as follows:
N’Million %
i) Equity Contribution 15.027 20.00
ii) Investor members 50.000 66.55
iii) Start-up funding 15.108 13.45
Total N80.135 100.00
i. Equity contribution will cover the cost of initial acquisition of land and as well as
for the construction and completion of the Poultry facility building. The sum
should also cover the construction and part-furnishing of the administrative office
and store rooms.
ii) The funds from the prospective investors of N50.00 million will be used to
finance substantial part of the automated poultry and hatchery equipment and
start-up operational expenses.
It is our view that the project will not have difficulties in securing term loans that can be
achieved through Loan syndication with one of the leading commercial banks as a lead
banker. United Bank for Africa (UBA), Union Bank of Nigeria (UBN), First Bank of
Nigeria (FBN), Afribank and Wema Bank. The other buoyant commercial/merchant
banks should be willing to participate. This project is expected to be backed up by the
Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN)
Another viable source of financing the project is by lease finance. Once the viability
analysis has indicated project acceptance, the question of whether to finance by leasing or
KIMCS 2010 40
borrowing becomes secondary since the project will do well whatever the choice of
financing. However, lease financing is particularly attractive on the following grounds:
The capital injection by the investor members is expected to reduce the pains of servicing
a regular bank revolving loan with periodic interest and principal repayments. The returns
on the investors on the capital are lower than the interest charges on the loan.
KIMCS 2010 41
CHAPTER 9
FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS AND APPRAISAL OF COMMERCIAL
VIABILITY
This chapter undertakes the financial projection of the project by relating the projected
streams of costs and revenue for the first five years of its operations.
Thereafter, standard appraisal techniques are used to evaluate the feasibility or
commercial profitability of the project.
KIMCS 2010 42
PROJECTED BALANCE SHEET FOR THE 5-YEAR PLANNING PERIOD
124,711,99
Total current assets 43,645,705 54,985,551 77,489,630 91,977,784 1
Gross property,
plant & equipment 58,185,000 58,185,000 58,185,000 58,185,000 58,185,000
INCOME
STATEMENTS All Figures are in Millions of Naira
Year 1 2 3 4 5
26,185,50 46,167,00 51,937,87 79,902,00
Sales 0 29,458,688 0 5 0
Growth rate (%) - 12.50% 56.72% 12.50% 53.84%
(10,274,50 (19,944,50 (29,164,50 (39,284,50
Less COGS 0) (14,997,000) 0) 0) 0)
Growth rate (%) - 31.49% 24.81% 31.61% 25.76%
15,911,00 26,222,50 22,773,37 40,617,50
Gross profit 0 14,461,688 0 5 0
Growth rate (%) -10.02% 44.85% -15.15% 43.93%
Less SG&A (513,72 (997,225 (1,458,22 (1,964,22
expenses 5) (749,850) ) 5) 5)
Growth rate (%) 31.49% 24.81% 31.61% 25.76%
Earnings before
Interest, Tax & 15,397,27 25,225,27 21,315,15 38,653,27
Deprec. 5 13,711,838 5 0 5
(6,854,62 (9,294,64 (9,294,64 (9,294,64
Less depreciation 5) (6,854,625) 5) 5) 5)
Earnings after depr. 8,542,65 15,930,63 12,020,50 29,358,63
b/4 Interest & Tax 0 6,857,213 0 5 0
- - - - -
Less int. repayment (1,548,65 (4,218,46 (5,366,26 (6,405,00
accrual 1) (2,950,145) 5) 6) 0)
6,993,99 11,712,16 6,654,23 22,953,63
Pre-tax income 9 3,907,068 5 9 0
Cumulative pre-tax 6,993,99 22,613,23 29,267,47 52,221,10
income (NOL) 9 10,901,067 2 1 1
2,098,20 (3,513,65 (1,996,27 (6,886,08
Taxes 0 1,172,120 0) 2) 9)
6,993,99 11,712,16 6,654,23 22,953,63
Pre-tax income 9 3,907,068 5 9 0
(2,098,20 (3,513,65 (1,996,27 (6,886,08
Less taxes 0) (1,172,120) 0) 2) 9)
Less Proposed (819,852 (465,79 (1,606,75
Dividend - - ) 7) 4)
KIMCS 2010 44
4,895,79 7,378,66 4,192,17 14,460,78
Net income 9 2,734,948 4 1 7
Growth rate (%) -79.01% 62.93% -76.01% 71.01%
Return on
Investment 7.19% 4.01% 10.83% 6.15% 21.22%
Return on Sales 18.70% 9.28% 15.98% 8.07% 18.10%
Return on Equity 19.48% 10.88% 29.36% 16.68% 57.53%
STATEMENTS OF
CASH FLOWS
All figures are in
Millions of Naira
Year 1 2 3 4 5
KIMCS 2010 46
‘’WHAT IF’’ ANALYSIS FOR THE FIRST YEAR OF OPERATION
KIMCS 2010 47
11,238,896
Commissions - - - -
10,274 14,9 19,944, 29,16 39,2
Total Variable Costs ,500 97,000 500 4,500 84,500
0.392 0.509 0.432 0.562 0.492
Fixed Costs (calc as % of
sales)
Fixed Cost of Goods &
Services 0.000% 0.000% 0.000% 0.000% 0.000%
Sales & Marketing (w/o
Commissions) 2.500% 2.500% 2.500% 2.500% 2.500%
G & A (without
Depreciation) 2.500% 2.500% 2.500% 2.500% 2.500%
Total Fixed Costs (calc as
% of sales) 5.000% 5.000% 5.000% 5.000% 5.000%
Fixed Costs (fixed
amounts)
Fixed Cost of Goods &
Services - - - - -
Sales & Marketing (w/o 25 3 498 72 9
Commissions) 6,863 74,925 ,613 9,113 82,113
G & A (without 25 3 498 72 9
Depreciation) 6,863 74,925 ,613 9,113 82,113
6,854 6,8 9,294, 9,29 9,2
Depreciation ,625 54,625 645 4,645 94,645
Total Fixed Costs (fixed 7,368 7,6 10,291, 10,75 11,2
amounts) ,350 04,475 870 2,870 58,870
8,542 6,8 15,930, 12,02 29,3
Income from Operations ,650 57,213 630 0,505 58,630
Interest Income (Expense) - (1,548 (2,9 (4,218, (5,36 (6,4
"Fixed" ,651) 50,145) 465) 6,266) 05,000)
Income Taxes - "Variable" (2,098 (1,1 (3,513, (1,99 (6,8
KIMCS 2010 48
,200) 72,120) 650) 6,272) 86,089)
4,895 2,7 8,198, 4,65 16,0
Net Income After Taxes ,799 34,948 516 7,967 67,541
Analysis
Income from Operations
Contribution Margin 0.608 0.491 0.568 0.438 0.508
12,126 15,4 18,119, 24,52 22,1
Break-Even Sales ,449 90,437 735 3,428 48,242
Sales Volume Above 14,059 13,9 28,047, 27,41 57,7
Break-Even ,051 68,251 265 4,447 53,758
SUMMARY OF ASSUMPTIONS
STRATEGIC DIRECTION
To finance growth, the Company requires N50 million newly injected capital by the
investing members in the first quarter of 2011, as well as N15.108million start-up
expenses funding. This financing would enable the Company to develop a world-class
Poultry facility, to strengthen the management team and to provide for:
Increases in sales and other staffing;
Increases production capacity from 5,000 birds to 20,000 birds;
Purchase of ancillary items.
1. The projections include actual results from a 12-month time span, beginning early
2011 through to early 2012.
KIMCS 2010 49
2. Turnover will range from N26.2 million to N79.9million, over the 5-year planning
period, assuming gross turnover remain steady, on a growth path of 13% per annum.
3. The cost of turnover is expected to peak at 68% of the sale price of the Poultry
facility products and services, leaving 32% of revenues to cover operating and other
expenses. This is much in line with the cost structure of the Poultry and egg industry
in Nigeria at the time of this report.
4. The focus on revenue from sales of mature birds and eggs is expected to increase
such that a significant portion of the total revenue should be generated from these
sources. The projection is that up to 80% of revenue should be from the sale of
mature birds and eggs, leaving the balance of 20% to be from sales of day old chicks
and manure/litters.
5. During the same period, spending on start-up costs such as marketing, advertising and
promotion, general administration and consulting activities is expected to peak in
order to launch the Poultry facility on a sound footing.
2. Operating expenses especially salaries and wages are expected to rise as a result of
the need to retain motivated workers over the long haul. Annual rate of growth in
salaries and wages are to peak at 10%.
KIMCS 2010 50
4. Headcount should increase from 2 to about 5 within the planning period. The high
degree of automation makes the need for new hires to be minimal.
5. Annual salaries (except sales staff) increase 10% annually beginning 2011.
6. Interest expense for investing members funds are provided at 20% per annum and
interest income on deposits is earned at 2%.
2. There are no provisions for bank loans, accounts receivable financing or additional
loans from stockholders after the first operating cycle, beginning in 2012.
KIMCS 2010 52
REVENUE ASSUMPTIONS:
EXPENSE ASSUMPTIONS:
KIMCS 2010 53
PARTICULARS ASSUMPTION
Admin Overhead as a % of sales 12.5%
Transfer price of Day old chicks N110.00
Weight of feed bag (Kg.) 50kg
Feed Cost/Bag N850.00
Rearing Period Feed use/bird/yr (Kg) 0.95kg
Rearing Period cost of Feed/bird/yr. N1,400.00
Laying Period Feed use/bird/year (Kg) 1.5kg
Laying period Cost of Feed/bird/year N3,000.00
Vaccination Cost per bird N5.00
Spray Cost per Flock N1,500.00
Litter Cost per Flock N1,350.00
Growth rate in input prices 6.5%
KIMCS 2010 54