International Financial Management
International Financial Management
Module 7
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Borderless trading
As a result of demand from corporations and their growth needs, we have
seen international trade agreements formed to make doing business in foreign
countries easier. In 1988, Canada and the United States negotiated the North
American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) which later included Mexico as
well. The goal of this agreement was to allow for trading across the borders
of these countries as if they were one country.
Of course things are not quite that simple and NAFTA does have guidelines
and restrictions with special incident being debated as they are faced. A big
issue is the softwood lumber debate. The U.S. has made it prohibitive for
Canadian lumber companies to export softwood to the U.S. Canada protested
that this violates NAFTA and the issue is still in the resolution stage.
In 2003-04 United States signed a bilateral trade deal with Chile and five
central American countries (Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Nicaragua)
known as Central America Free Trade Agreement(CAFTA). At a very
different level in Europe is the European Union, which has been in place
since 1956. The EU is a significant global economic force with a series of
major economic, monetary, financial and legal provisions set by the member
countries during the 1980s.
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At the end of 1992, Western Europe opened a new era of free trade within the
union called European open market. Although the EU has managed most of
these provisions, there are still debates relating to motor vehicle production
and imports , monetary union, taxes and workers’ rights. In January1999,
most EU nations adopted a single currency, the euro, as a continent wide
medium of exchange. In January 2002, EU nations switched to a single set of
euro bills and coins.
At the same time the EU implemented monetary union which also involved
creating new European Central bank. The EU had to deal with a wave of new
applicants in May 2004 for the admission of 10 new members from Eastern
Europe and Mediterranean region. In South America in 1991 the Mercosur
Group was formed by Argentina, Paraguay and Uruguay. This group was
taking the same initiative by attempting to remove barriers to trade among the
member countries. The Mercosur countries represent more than half of the
Total Latin American GDP that wishes to access the growth market of this
region.
Various modes of borderless trading
International trade
o Import
o Export
Contractual entry modes
o Licensing
o Franchising
o Joint venture
o Foreign investment
o Multinational corporation
International trade
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The risk associated with the economic conditions of the country where you
want to do business. Economic conditions of one country are different from
another country. So before entering into another country to trade, companies
analyse deeply economic conditions. Economic risk may be elaborated with
the help of following sub headings:
Risk of insolvency of the buyer
Risk of concession in economic control
Risk of non-acceptance
Risk of protracted default (the failure of the buyer to pay due amount
after six months of due date).
Exchange rate risk
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Micro political risk is project specific. The level or intensity of risk may vary
from project to project. At the same time one project may produce very good
returns while another may be at risk of exposing lower returns. Governments
may prohibit operation of a specific project or may attach many risks with the
operation of that specific project. This is known as micro political risk.
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Other risks
Exchange rate
Exchange rate is a rate which measures the value of one currency in terms of
other currency. This is the measurement of value of foreign currency in terms
of home currency of any nation or country. For example, if one US dollar is
equal to 85 rupees of Pakistani currency then this is exchange rate of U.S.
currency with Pakistani currency. Exchange rate is the amount of one
country’s currency needed to buy another country’s currency. Simply, the
ratio between two currencies is exchange rate. e.g., one dollar is equal to Rs.
85. This ratio of 1 to 85 is the exchange rate.
Factors affecting exchange rate
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The home currency price of one unit of a foreign currency is the direct
exchange rate. In simple words it means how many units of home currency
you have to pay to buy one unit of foreign currency. For example in Pakistan
for dollars direct quotation is Rs 85/USD.
The foreign currency price of one unit of home currency is indirect exchange
rate. Simply it is the value of a foreign currency against one unit of home
currency. For example, in Pakistan for U.S. dollars the indirect quotation
would be $0.0117647/ PKR.
The exchange rate set today for a foreign currency transaction with delivery
or payment at some future date. Opposite to spot exchange rate, its payment
is to be done at some future time period. A contract is signed between buyer
and seller for future transaction. The rate will be determined at future date. It
is known as the forward exchange rate.
The other name for nominal exchange rate is bilateral exchange rate. This is
the rate of currencies without any adjustment. The rate of currencies quoted
in the market at any specific slice of time is the nominal exchange rate.
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Real exchange rate is the price-adjusted nominal exchange rate. There are
some adjustments made regarding price indexes in both the home and foreign
currencies. The rate you get in this way is the real exchange rate. It shows
really how many units you have to pay to convert one currency into another
currency.
A foreign exchange rate is the value of two currencies with respect to each
other. A foreign exchange rate is a concept of exchange in the value of
currency with respect to the Australian dollar, for example, or any other
currency. In foreign exchange rate, changes in the value are called an
appreciation or depreciation. For fixed currencies, changes in the value are
called official revaluation or devaluation.
Relationship between currencies
Every country has its own currency with its unique characteristics, but there
is no country in the world which may survive independently. As countries
correlate with each other to fulfill their needs, in the same way currencies of
those countries have some relationship with each other. This relation may be
fixed or floating.
Floating relationship
The relationship in which the value of any two currencies with respect to
each other fluctuates on daily basis is floating relationship.
The constant relationship of the values of two currencies with respect to one
another is a fixed relationship. This type of relationship is a combination of
major currencies or some type of an international foreign standard.
Illustration
Since the mid 1970s, major currencies of the world have had a floating as
opposed to fixed relationship with respect to the US dollar and to one
another. Among the currencies regarded as being major (or ‘hard’) are the
British pound (£) the Swiss Franc (SF), the Euro (€) the Japanese Yen (¥), the
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Canadian dollar(C$) and the U.S. dollar (USD). The value of two currencies
with respect to each other is expressed as follow:
A$ 1.00 = SF 1.18
SF 1.00 = A $ 0.847
There are some theories of parity positions which occur due to the ultimate
impact of exchange rate differences of spot and forward exchange of
currencies. There are many theories of parity position. This module will only
cover two main theories of equilibrium position of a buyer or an investor.
Purchasing power parity
This theory describes the relationship between exchange rate and purchasing
power of currency. Another name for this relationship is law of one price.
Inflation is defined as the general increase in price level. This relationship
will tell how an exchange rate adjusts itself when the price level shows an
increase or decrease. When prices rise or fall the exchange rate adjusts itself
to maintain the purchasing power as equal. The basic concept behind this
theory is that “exchange rate adjusts to offset inflation differences across the
countries to keep cost of living at same level”.
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The word absolute means complete, total or utter. The idea behind absolute
purchasing power parity is that purchasing power of a currency remains the
same regardless of location and type of currency. With $1 you can buy the
same number of commodities all over the world due to adjustments of the
exchange rate.
Example
If a commodity costs $2 in the United States and the exchange rate is Rs85
per dollar, then this commodity costs $2 / Rs 85 = $0.023529 in Pakistan. So,
in this way the exchange rate adjusts itself to keep the parity among
purchasing power.
This version of theory tells that the exchange rate will not show an absolute
change regarding inflation rather than the change in exchange rate being
determined by the differences between the inflation rates in two countries. So
this concept is relative to the inflation differential between the two countries.
Example
If inflation rate in the U.S. increases by 10 per cent and in Pakistan by 5 per
cent the exchange rate will adjust according to the difference – by 10 – 5 =
5%. This is relative adjustment of exchange rate in relative PPP.
Interest rate is a factor that can influence the exchange rate significantly.
Investors keep an eye on interest rates over different countries to take
advantage of the differential. But if the exchange rate adjusts to avoid
exceeding margins and to keep the net interest benefits same, it is interest rate
parity. This concept can be defined as: The interest differential between the
countries is equal to the difference between the spot and forward exchange
rates.
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Assume that the current exchange rates between Australia and new nation of
Farland, and 2 Farland guineas (FG) equal to per Australian dollar (A$), FG
2.00/A$, and which is also equal to A$ 0.50/FG. This exchange rate means
that a basket of goods worth $100.00 in Australia sells for $100.00*FG2.00/$
=FG200.00 Farland, and vice versa goods worth FG200.00 in Farland sell for
$100.00 1n Australia.
Now assume that inflation rate in Farland is 25 per cent and 2 per cent in
Australia. In one year, the same basket of goods mentioned above will sell for
1.25*FG200.00 =FG250.00 in Farland and for 1.02*$100.00 =$102.00 in
Australia. These relative prices imply that in one year, so the exchange rate in
one year should change to FG250.00/$102.00 =FG2.45/$, or $0.41/FG. In
other words, the Farland guinea will depreciate from FG2.00/$ to FG2.45/$
while the dollar will appreciate from $0.50/FG to$ 0.41/FG.
Currency appreciation and depreciation
Whenever you hear currency appreciation it means the increase in the value
of a currency as compared to other currencies. Let us take the example of
dollars and rupees. If it is said that the dollar is appreciated it means that
value of the dollar has increased as compared to the rupee. Clearly it implies
that now the dollar is more expensive. You have to pay more rupees than
before to buy one dollar. It is appreciation of the dollar.
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Multinational companies face foreign exchange risks under both floating and
fixed arrangements. Floating currencies can be used to illustrate these risks.
Returning to the dollar-Swiss Franc relationship, we note that the forces of
international supply and demand, as well as internal political and economic
elements, help to shape both the spot and forward rates between these two
currencies. Since the multinationals face potential changes in exchange rates
in the form of appreciation or depreciation, these changes can in turn affect
those companies’ revenues, costs and profits as measured in dollars. For
currencies fixed in relation to each other, the risk comes from the same set of
elements. Again, these official changes in case of floating currencies, can
affect the multinational’s operation and its dollar-based financial position.
Financing decisions
It is very common for countries to have some type of requirement for local
ownership in a foreign country. Some countries require that any foreign
company entering the market form a joint venture with a local company in
order to operate. Often there is a requirement that the foreign company must
hold less than 50 per centof the shares of the company. This means that
foreign companies cannot control the operations of the local company.
Impact on capital projects
In MS4 Accounting and Finance you learned about weighted average cost of
capital and its use in calculating net present value for projects and potential
investments of an organisation. In international organisations it is important
that you assess changes that need to be made to the weighted average cost of
capital that you would use in investment decisions. There must be an
adjustment for the increase in risk to the discount factor you would apply in
estimating net present value. You would not want to apply the same discount
factor to projects in Canada and in Brazil without some adjustment for
political risk and currency risk.
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business in both these countries has the same level of risk, which is not the
case. Your starting point for a discount rate should be the weighted average
cost of capital plus a risk factor for foreign exchange fluctuations, plus a risk
factor for the level of political risk. As companies grow and become more
versed in doing business in different markets they will also become more
sophisticated in their risk assessment adjustments.
Taxation
In some jurisdictions you will only pay taxes on the income earned within
that taxing jurisdiction. In others you are required to pay taxes on your world
income regardless of where it was earned. This can make a significant
difference to the overall tax bill of an organisation. In the U.S. for example,
companies must pay taxes on their consolidated income. Therefore they will
include the income from all domestic and internationally operated companies
they own. They will also be subject to the taxes according to the regulations
in all of the countries where they have subsidiaries. Therefore the same
income may be subject to tax in more than one country. Depending on the tax
treaties in place among the various countries there may be some relief for
foreign taxes paid.
In some countries, companies will be subject to both a federal tax and a state
or local tax. In Canada, for example, companies must pay a federal tax as
well as a provincial tax. Therefore, even domestically it is important to know
whom you need to pay taxes to. In some provinces in Canada there is a
capital tax, which is based on your asset size rather than income. Canada is
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just one example of a country that has various levels of taxation. It shows that
taxation rules can be more costly than an organisation might estimate if they
look at only one level of tax authority.
Accounting
The methods used in these translations from one currency to the local
currency can have some impact on the consolidated income of the parent
company. The impact depends on the methods used for translating and the
changes in the underlying currency versus the parent company currency. As a
financial manager concerned with shareholder wealth it is important that you
take these impacts into consideration when making financial decisions and
when using the financial information.
Personnel and management
The organisation will also have to deal with different social customs to
survive in the international market. This means gaining an understanding of
the customs in each of the countries that you will be operating in and
respecting those customs. If an organisation enters a new market with
thoughts that it will force its current organisation culture into its newly
acquired international company, it will face great resistance.
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In international business you are working with multiple time zones, customs,
laws and religions, all of which impact personnel. And all must be given the
appropriate level of consideration in managing all the people in your new
organisation. One way that an international organisation does not differ from
a purely domestic one is that the people who work for the organisation are a
great part of its success or failure. Therefore, to overlook this key area could
cause the downfall of an expanded organisation.
World Trade Organization (WTO)
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Module summary
In this module you learned:
International finance is a growing area of finance due to the slow
elimination of trading barriers between countries.
Summary
Several countries have established trading agreements to ease the
import/export of products and services between their major
trading partners, for example, North American Free Trade
Agreement (NAFTA) and the General Agreement on Tariffs and
Trade (GATT). And new global institutions are being formed to
help manage international activities.
There are three modes to become international from national.
These are international trade, contractual entry modes and foreign
investment.
The increase in international activities does not change the main
objective of the financial manager of shareholder wealth
maximisation, but it does add complexity to the manager’s job.
In addition to different tax systems and regulations, an
organisation must ensure that it reports the correct income to the
correct taxing authority. In some instances the income reported
may include more than the income earned only within one
country. The key accounting implications are the fact that
statements will be prepared on a consolidated basis which means
combining statements with different currencies and different
accounting principles.
As an organisation expands its operations into different countries
there is an increase in political risk as there are more levels of
government to deal with and varying government regulations and
policies. It is important that a company understand the risk that
exists in all countries they operate in.
As full operations are now in foreign countries there is an
increased exposure to foreign exchange risk. This increases
hedging activities and monitoring of this risk.
There is an opportunity to expand your potential investors and
debtors as you expand into new countries. A financial manager
must carefully assess what financing sources are the best in these
countries and not apply the same ‘formula’ used in the home
country.
In project evaluation, a financial manager and those who prepare
project proposals must ensure that they make changes to the
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Assignment
1. If China had an inflation rate of 6 per cent while the United States
had an inflation rate of 3.5 per cent, the exchange rate was 7.45 yuan
per U.S. dollar. How would you have expected the exchange rate to
change in that particular year?
2. What factors can prevent arbitrage opportunities if purchasing power
Assignment parity (PPP) does not hold?
3. How does interest rate parity differ from purchasing power parity?
4. Is it possible PPP holds for some goods but other others?
5. If a Canadian investor in the domestic stock market experiences a
negative rate of return, is it possible for a Singapore investor with the
same investment to experience a positive rate of return? Discuss.
6. What methods of foreign currency hedging can firms consider?
7. How can foreign currency hedging create firm value?
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Assessment
1. All of the following are factors that can influence the operations of a
multinational corporation, EXCEPT:
a. Foreign ownership of portions of equity.
Assessment b. Existence of multinational capital markets.
c. Foreign currency fluctuations.
d. Consolidation of financial statements based on only one
currency.
2. The risk resulting from the effects of changes in foreign exchange
rates on the translated value of a firm’s accounts denominated in a
given foreign currency is:
a. Economic exposure.
b. Macro political risk.
c. Accounting exposure.
d. Micro political risk.
3. All of the following are positive approaches of coping with political
risk EXCEPT:
a. Use of locals in management.
b. Joint venture with local banks.
c. Licence or patent restrictions under international agreement.
d. Local sourcing.
4. Foreign exchange risk refers to the risk created by
a. The potential seizure of a multinational company’s
operations in a host country.
b. The varying exchange rate between two currencies.
c. The fixed exchange rate between two currencies.
d. The potential nationalisation of the multinational company’s
operations by a host government.
5. Relative to cash flows of domestic firms, by diversifying
internationally, multinationals:
a. Can increase cash flows.
b. Can achieve further risk reduction.
c. Are unable to change the risk.
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b. Depreciated
c. Overvalued
d. Devalued
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References
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