Fin 444
Fin 444
Currency Derivatives
Chapter Objectives
• To explain how forward contracts are
used for hedging based on anticipated
exchange rate movements.
• To explain how currency futures
contracts and currency options
contracts are used for hedging or
speculation based on anticipated
exchange rate movements.
Forward Market (1)
• A forward contract is an agreement
between a firm and a commercial bank to
exchange a specified amount of a currency
at a specified exchange rate (called the
forward rate) on a specified date in the
future.
• Forward contracts are often valued at £1
million or more, and are not normally used
by consumers or small firms.
Forward Market (2)
• When MNCs anticipate a future need for or
future receipt of a foreign currency, they
can set up forward contracts to lock in the
exchange rate.
• The % by which the forward rate (F )
exceeds the spot rate (S ) at a given point in
time is called the forward premium (p ).
F = S (1 + p )
• F exhibits a discount when p < 0.
Forward Market (3)
Example S = £0.60:$1,
90-day F = £0.59:$1
F – S 360
annualized p =
S n
= 0.59 – 0.60 360 = –.017%
0.60 90
• The forward premium (discount) usually reflects the
difference between the home and foreign interest
rates, thus preventing arbitrage.
Forward Market (4)
• A swap transaction involves a spot
transaction along with a corresponding
forward contract that will reverse the spot
transaction.
• A non-deliverable forward contract (NDF)
does not result in an actual exchange of
currencies. Instead, one party makes a net
payment to the other based on a market
exchange rate on the day of settlement.
Forward Market (5)
• An NDF can effectively hedge future foreign
currency payments or receipts:
July 1
April 1
Buy 100M Chilean pesos
Expect need for 100M Chilean from market.
pesos.
Negotiate an NDF to buy 100M Index = £.0014/peso
Chilean pesos on Jul 1. receive £20,000 from bank
Reference index (closing rate due to NDF.
quoted by Chile’s central bank)
= £.0012/peso.
Index = $.009/peso pay
£30,000 to bank.
Currency Futures Market (1)
• Currency futures contracts specify a
standard volume of a particular currency
to be exchanged on a specific settlement
date at a specified exchange rate.
• They are used by MNCs to hedge their
currency positions, and by speculators
who hope to capitalize on their
expectations of exchange rate
movements.
Currency Futures Market (2)
• The contracts can be traded by firms or
individuals through brokers on the trading
floor of an exchange (e.g. Chicago
Mercantile Exchange), automated trading
systems (e.g. GLOBEX), or the over-the-
counter market.
• Brokers who fulfill orders to buy or sell
futures contracts typically charge a
commission.
Comparison of the Forward & Futures
Markets (1)
Forward Markets Futures Markets
Contract size Customized Standardized
Delivery date Customized Standardized
Participants Banks, brokers, Banks, brokers,
MNCs. Public MNCs. Qualified
speculation not public speculation
encouraged. encouraged.
Security Compensating Small security
deposit bank balances or deposit required.
credit lines needed.
Clearing Handled by Handled by
operation individual banks exchange
& brokers. clearinghouse.
Daily settlements
to market prices.
Comparison of the Forward & Futures
Markets (2)
Forward Markets Futures Markets
Marketplace Worldwide Central exchange
telephone floor with worldwide
network communications.
Regulation Self-regulating Commodity
Futures Trading
Commission,
National Futures
Association.
Liquidation Mostly settled by Mostly settled by
actual delivery. offset.
Transaction Bank’s bid/ask Negotiated
Costs spread. brokerage fees.
Currency Futures Market (3)
• Enforced by potential arbitrage activities, the
prices of currency futures are closely related
to their corresponding forward rates and spot
rates.
• Currency futures contracts are guaranteed to
be fulfilled by the exchange clearinghouse,
which in turn minimizes its own credit risk by
imposing margin requirements on those
market participants who take a position.
Currency Futures Market
• Matches offsetting risks between buyer and
seller – THE BASIC IDEA:
Price
Currency Futures Market (4)
• Speculators often sell currency futures
when they expect the underlying
currency to depreciate, and vice versa.
April 4 June 17
1. Contract to sell 2. Buy 500,000 pesos @
500,000 pesos £.050/peso (£25,000)
@ £.056/peso from the spot market.
(£28,000) on
June 17.
3. Sell the pesos to fulfill
contract.
Gain £3,000.
Currency Futures Market (5)
• MNCs may purchase currency futures
to hedge their foreign currency
payables, or sell currency futures to
hedge their receivables.
April 4 June 17
1. Expect to receive 2. Receive 500,000 pesos
500,000 pesos. as expected.
Contract to sell
500,000 pesos @ 3. Sell the pesos at the
£.056/peso on locked-in rate.
June 17.
Currency Futures Market (6)
• Holders of futures contracts can close out
their positions by selling similar futures
contracts. Sellers may also close out their
positions by purchasing similar contracts.
Spot $1.4845:£1
Buy and sell a Dec Call Option for
31,250 units x 8.49¢ = $2653.12 @1.400
31,250 units x 3.61¢ = $1128.13 @1.450
31,250 units x 0.03¢ = $937.5 @1.525
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From the FT October
Spot $1.4845:£1
Buy and sell a Dec Put Option for
31,250 units x 0.07¢ = $21.88 @1.400
31,250 units x 0.11¢ = $34.38 @1.450
31,250 units x 8.82¢ = $2662.5 @1.525
22
Effective buying and selling price
23
Increasing the term
Increase term (time) >> increase uncertainty >> increase in option premium…
Price
Call strike
Put strike
time
24
Intrinsic and time value of premiums
Spot $1.4845:£1
If out of the money,
this is 0.00. There
Dec effective call prices per £ will just be a time
$1.400 + $0.0849 = $1.4849 element – there will
¢/£ always be a a time
Intrinsic element 1.4845 - 1.4000 = 8.45 element
Time element 0.04
Actual Premium 8.49
25
Contingency or position diagrams
do not exercise exercise
net value 1.45
+
0
26
Contingency or position diagram
profit
Sell or written call
Future
buy call spot
loss
= premium
= strike price
= strike price + premium
27
Contingency or position diagrams
exercise do not exercise
net value 1.55
+
0
$ per £
maturity (spot) prices ($): 1.40 1.50 1.60 Remember, you
exercise? Y Y N cannot lose more
strike - spot 0.15 0.05 ~ than your premium!
less premium 0.06 0.06 0.06
net position 0.09 (0.01) (0.06)
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Contingency or position diagram
profit
sell put
Future
buy put spot
loss
= premium
= strike price
= strike price + premium
29
Options as a Hedging Tool
(UK investor in $’s)
probability
density
Put type protection future spot
probability
Density
30
Range forward or cylinder contract
e.g. Mr W a UK investor is expecting ¥ revenues...
UK purchase put on ¥’s desired rate & UK sell ¥’s call on higher rate
Often same premium so...no net cost.
£0.005 £0.006
Gains protection against ¥ selling less than £0.005 with put in return
for sacrificing ¥ selling more than £0.006
31
Range forward or cylinder contract
e.g. Mr W a UK investor is expecting ¥ revenues...
UK purchase put on ¥’s lower rate & UK sell ¥’s call on higher rate
Often same premium so...no net cost.
Mr W
To avoid
probability this…
sacrifices
density this
Gains protection against ¥ buying less than £0.005 with put in return
for sacrificing ¥ buying more than £0.006
32
Range forward or cylinder contract
e.g. Mr W a UK investor is expecting ¥ costs...
UK purchase call on ¥’s at desired rate & UK sell ¥’s put on lower rate
Often same premium so...no net cost.
£0.005 £0.006
Gains protection against ¥ costing more than £0.006 with call in return
for sacrificing ¥ paying less than £0.005
33
Conditional Currency Options
Value of dollar
-£0.03