CEDRIG

Light
RAPID
SCREENING
Climate, Environment and Disaster Risk Reduction Integration Guidance (CEDRIG)
CEDRIG Light: Rapid screening 1

Introduction

Aim: The Rapid Risk and Impact Screening (CEDRIG Light) serves as an initial filter How: CEDRIG Light is designed to be completed in a straight forward and quick
to assess whether a strategy, programme or project (hereafter called activity) is manner; it can be conducted with only minimal knowledge of climate change,
potentially at risk due to climate change, environmental degradation or natural environmental degradation and natural hazards.
hazards; it also aims to determine whether an activity may have a negative impact
What is needed: CEDRIG Light can be done without access to detailed data or
on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions or the environment, or whether it creates
information. A document describing the main components of the activity or a
new or exacerbates existing risks.
draft should be available, ideally a logical framework.
It helps to decide whether or not a detailed assessment (CEDRIG Strategic or
Who: CEDRIG Light is proposed to be conducted individually (e.g. by the project
CEDRIG Operational) is recommended.
manager or project officer) or in a small group.

When: Ideally, CEDRIG Light is applied at the very beginning of the planning
process of a new activity. It can also be used while implementing an activity to
check its sensitivity with regard to climate change, environmental degradation
and natural hazards.

Duration: Maximum one hour.

Risk Perspective Impact Perspective Result: CEDRIG Light provides an overview that helps to decide whether or not to
Risk Perspective
Assessment of hazards Impact Perspective
Assessment of activity
potential impacts potential impacts conduct a detailed assessment. If so, you will be guided either to CEDRIG Strategic
(programme/strategic level) or CEDRIG Operational (project level).
 CEDRIG Light: Rapid screening

OVERVIEW

B) Impact perspective
A) Risk perspective
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Introduction
2
CEDRIG Light: Rapid screening 3

Overview

General Information Description and Keywords

Strategy, programme or project title Description (maximum 5 lines)

Please, give a brief description of the activity here. Specify the main components according
to the logical framework if available (objectives, outcomes, outputs, activities)

Overall goal

Country/Region

Keywords (maximum 10)

Please provide some keywords to describe the activity such as sectors of intervention
Budget
(agriculture and food security, health, water and sanitation, education, natural resources
Please specify the amount of resources allocated to fund this project or strategy/ management, forestry, biodiversity conservation, rural development, urban development,
programme. Please specify also the currency used. tourism, energy, construction, transport, infrastructure) or /and ecological zones (arid/
semi-arid zones, tundra, mountain ecosystems, tropical/sub-tropical forests, primary
forests, small islands, coastal regions, lake/lagoon zones, deltaic areas, flood plains,
alluvial fans, peatlands).

This will help other members of the CEDRIG community to learn from similar applications.

Duration of the strategy, program or project

CEDRIG Light: Rapid screening 4

A) CEDRIG Light - Risk perspective

The first part of CEDRIG Light is done by completing Steps A1 to A5. This assessment is based on a quick
scan of hazards and their consequences as important disaster risk components.

Step A1 – Identify hazards In cases of potentially gradual degradation such as soil pollution, deforestation,
desertification, likelihood refers to the extent: limited extent = unlikely, moderate
Task: For each hazard in the list, check if it is present in area(s) where your
extent = likely, large extent =very likely.
activity is taking place (yes, no, not sure).

You can refer to the following links, among others: Step A3– Estimate potential consequences
―― Think Hazard for a quick overview of natural hazards:
http://thinkhazard.org/
Task: Explain briefly how the components of the activity could be affected by the

―― GFDRR Country Profiles for an overview of natural and climatic hazards:

identified hazards (Step 1) and specify the severity of the consequences for the
http://sdwebx.worldbank.org/climateportalb/home.cfm?page=country_profile activity (slightly harmful, harmful, or extremely harmful).
―― National reports on the environment and national communications submitted to
The same hazard can affect different components of the activity. The potential
environmental conventions, e.g.
consequences could be houses little damaged (slightly harmful), substantially
• For the Convention on Biological Diversity:
https://www.cbd.int/countries/ damaged (harmful), destroyed (extremely harmful); harvest little affected (slightly
• For the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change: harmful), substantially affected (harmful), destroyed (extremely harmful); road
http://unfccc.int/national_reports/non-annex_i_natcom/submitted_natcom/ connection interrupted for a few hours (slightly harmful), few days (harmful),
items/653.php several weeks or longer (extremely harmful).

Step A2 – Estimate likelihood (or extent)

Step A4 – Estimate risks
Task: Estimate the likelihood of occurrence of the identified hazards based on the
Task: Risk is a combination of likelihood (Step A2) and consequences for the
past and future trends: unlikely, likely, very likely. Likelihood (=probability) can be
activity (Step A3). Estimate the significance of the risks that could compromise
categorised as “unlikely” (once in a life time i.e in 80-100 years), “likely” (once in a
the achievement of the activity (high/medium/low) with the help of the matrix
generation i.e.in 20-30 years), “very likely” (very few years i.e. in less than 10 years).
provided below.
CEDRIG Light: Rapid screening A) CEDRIG Light - Risk perspective 5

Please note that in CEDRIG Operational or CEDRIG Strategic, an in depth analysis Step A5 – Decide if a detailed risk assessment is needed
of risk components will be conducted including hazard, exposure, vulnerability
Task: Based on the estimation of risks (Step A4), decide if a detailed risk
and coping capacity.
assessment should be carried out.

No detailed risk assessment is necessary if all risks are low (green); a detailed

Slightly harmful Harmful Extremely harmful

risk assessment is necessary if at least one risk is high (red) or at least two risks
are medium (yellow).
Likely
Note that in cases where the effects are not clearly perceived (i.e. if you marked
Unlikely
“not sure” several times when identifying hazards in Step A1 or if you found
Highly unlikely it difficult to identify consequences in Step A3), it might still be advisable to
Low risk Medium risk High risk conduct a detailed assessment.
CEDRIG Light: Rapid screening A) CEDRIG Light - Risk perspective 6

Fill in the following table by completing steps A1 to A4.

NATURAL HAZARDS (HYDRO-METEOROLOGICAL AND GEOLOGICAL)

Step A1 Step A2 Step A3 Step A4

Hazards Yes Not No Likelihood Consequences Risk Significance

sure

Heat waves

Extreme cold

Heavy snowfall

Hail storms

Droughts

Storms, tornadoes, hurricanes, strong

winds, sandstorms

Volcanic eruptions
CEDRIG Light: Rapid screening A) CEDRIG Light - Risk perspective 7

Step A1 Step A2 Step A3 Step A4

Hazards Yes Not No Likelihood Consequences Risk Significance

sure

Earthquakes

Tsunamis

Mudslides, landslide

Rock-, snow-, ice-avalanches

Flash floods, floods

Debris flows (mix of water and debris)

Wildfires

Other: please specify

CEDRIG Light: Rapid screening A) CEDRIG Light - Risk perspective 8

HAZARDS ARISING FROM ENVIRONMENTAL DEGRADATION

Step A1 Step A2 Step A3 Step A4

Hazards Yes Don’t No Likelihood Consequences Risk Significance

Know

Desertification

Deforestation

Degradation (land, soil, ecosystems,

biodiversity)

Soil pollution

Salinization

Water pollution (surface and

subterranean)

Air pollution
CEDRIG Light: Rapid screening A) CEDRIG Light - Risk perspective 9

Step A1 Step A2 Step A3 Step A4

Hazards Yes Don’t No Likelihood Consequences Risk Significance

Know

Pest and epidemics

Chemical hazards (pesticides, chemicals)

Other: please specify

HAZARDS ARISING FROM CLIMATE CHANGE (AND CLIMATE VARIABILITY)

Step A1 Step A2 Step A3 Step A4

Hazards Yes Don’t No Likelihood Consequences Risk Significance

Know

General trends towards higher or lower

mean annual temperatures

General trend towards an increase or

decrease in average rainfall
CEDRIG Light: Rapid screening A) CEDRIG Light - Risk perspective 10

Step A1 Step A2 Step A3 Step A4

Hazards Yes Don’t No Likelihood Consequences Risk Significance

Know

Changes in frequency and intensity of

climatic extreme events and associated
disasters (e.g. cold and heat waves,
flood, drought, storms, hurricanes,
cyclones)

Shifts in season

Raised sea level and increased coastal

erosion

Acceleration of desertification and soil

erosion processes

Other: please specify

Step A5 – Decide if a detailed risk assessment is needed

YES NO
CEDRIG Light: Rapid screening 11

B) CEDRIG Light - Impact perspective

The second part of CEDRIG Light is done by completing Steps B1 to B4. This assessment is based on
a quick scan of potential negative impacts triggered by the implementation of the components. It is
important to keep in mind the potential negative impact beyond the timeframe of the activity and to
consider the entire life cycles of the components.

The final result from the quick impact screening is a gross overall estimate of the potential negative
impact of the activity on GHG emissions, the environment, and the creation or exacerbation of disaster
risks. This estimate is used to decide whether or not a detailed assessment should be carried out by
applying CEDRIG Strategic or CEDRIG Operational.

Impact Perspective
Impact Perspective
Assessment of activity
potential impacts
CEDRIG Light: Rapid screening B) CEDRIG Light - Impact perspective 12

Step B1 – Estimate impact on climate change Step B2 – Estimate impact on the environment

Task: Identify the components of the activity (during the activity’s timeframe and Task: For each of the environmental areas, identify which components of the
beyond) which might have a negative impact on climate change by increasing GHG activity (during the activity’s timeframe and beyond) might have a negative
emissions or decreasing carbon sinks. impact and explain how.

Examples of increased GHG emissions: transportation, energy generation and Examples of negative impacts on water: Impacts of infrastructure on natural water
consumption (e.g. for heating, cooling or construction) or methane production regimes; contamination of water through pesticides, chemicals; reservoir sedimentation;
(e.g. via digestion processes of cattle and other ruminants or manure). water pollution, changes in groundwater resources; depletion of water resources.

Examples of decreased carbon sinks: deforestation or changes in land-use and Examples of negative impacts on air: Release of air pollutants by operation of
vegetation cover. buses, cars, airplanes, ships, trains, etc.; release of air pollutants by generation
and distribution of energy (e.g. a diesel generator); release of air pollutants from
heating and construction of buildings.

Examples of negative impacts on ecosystems: Impacts of infrastructure on

ecosystems etc. (e.g. new access roads) cutting wild life migration/movement;
selection of highly productive varieties/ species leading to a loss of biodiversity;

Examples of negative impacts on soils: Impacts of infrastructure on soil;

contamination of soils through pesticides, chemicals; soil degradation,
desertification, erosion and acidification; microbial transformation of nitrogen
fertilizers in the soil.
CEDRIG Light: Rapid screening B) CEDRIG Light - Impact perspective 13

Step B3 – Estimate impact on disaster risks Step B4 – Decide if a detailed impact assessment is needed

Task: Identify components of the activity (during the activity’s timeframe and Task: Based on the estimation of impacts (Steps B1, B2, B3), decide if a detailed
beyond) that could create new risks or exacerbate existing ones. The creation impact assessment is needed in order to better estimate the significance of the
of new risks or exacerbation of existing ones by the activity can be due to the impacts and to identify corrective measures when necessary.
displacement to a hazardous area (increased exposure to hazards) or/and to the
No detailed impact assessment is necessary if no component of the activity
modification of the hazards’ characteristics (more intense, more frequent) or/and
having a negative impact could be identified. A detailed impact assessment
to an increased vulnerability to a hazard.
is necessary if at least one component of the activity could have a significant
Example of negative impact on exposure: The construction of transport negative impact.
infrastructure in hazardous zones might lead to maladaptation; new roads might
Note that in cases where you have doubts about the effects, it might still be
be weather-proof, even taking future climate into account, but they might trigger
advisable to conduct a detailed assessment.
new human settlements in areas at high risk for particular climate impacts (e.g.
coastal zones vulnerable to sea-level rise.

Example of negative impact on hazard characteristics: Part of rural development,

the construction of a canal to prevent the risk of upstream floods, limiting its role of
a buffer, can trigger downstream floods; Economic growth can be improved through
more productive agriculture, better urban manufacturing and customized services
based on improved water supply. However, groundwater extraction exceeding the
rate of recharge could exacerbated the risk of future droughts; the development of
new irrigated zones above or in landslide area might increase landslide risk.

Example of impact on vulnerability: When increasing agricultural productivity to

raise the income of the rural poor and generate rural jobs, some crops may be highly
productive but have limited resistance to droughts or other unexpected events.
CEDRIG Light: Rapid screening B) CEDRIG Light - Impact perspective 14

Step B1 — Estimate impact on climate change

Component of the activity Impact on climate change

(e.g. construction of roads) (e.g. More GHG emissions due to an increase in operation of cars)

Step B2 — Estimate impact on the environment

Environmental area Component of the activity Impact on environment

Water

Air

Ecosystems

Soil
CEDRIG Light: Rapid screening B) CEDRIG Light - Impact perspective 15

Step B3 — Estimate impact on disaster risks

Component of the activity Exacerbated or newly created risk

Step B4 — Decide if a detailed impact assessment is needed

YES NO