Breast Cancer Epidemiology, Stella
Breast Cancer Epidemiology, Stella
Contents
1. Introduction 2
2. Breast Cancer Epidemiology 3
2.1 Trends Over Time 5
3. Risk Factors for Breast Cancer 6
3.1 Nongenetic, Nonmodifiable Risk Factors 6
3.2 Nongenetic, Modifiable Risk Factors 8
3.3 Genetic Risk Factors 11
4. Breast Cancer Prevention 13
4.1 Lifestyle/Behavior Change Interventions 14
4.2 Chemoprevention 14
4.3 Surgery 16
5. Breast Cancer Early Detection and Screening 16
5.1 History of Screening 16
5.2 Screening Benefits and Harms 17
5.3 Screening Recommendations 19
5.4 Breast Cancer Screening in Average Risk Women 19
5.5 Genetic Mutations, Breast Cancer Screening Tools, and Screening Methods 20
in High-Risk Women
5.6 Screening Modalities 22
5.7 Breast Ultrasound 23
References 24
Abstract
Globally, breast cancer is both the most commonly occurring cancer and the com-
monest cause of cancer death among women. Available data suggest that incidence
and mortality in high-resource countries has been declining whereas incidence and
mortality in low-resource countries has been increasing. This pattern is likely to be due
to changing risk factor profiles and differences in access to breast cancer early
detection and treatment. Risk factors for breast cancer include increasing age, race,
menarche history, breast characteristics, reproductive patterns, hormone use, alcohol
use, tobacco use, diet, physical activity, and body habitus. Mutations in the BRCA 1 and
BRCA 2 tumor suppressor genes are significantly associated with the development of
breast and ovarian cancer by the age of 70. Survival depends on both stage and
molecular subtype. As there are few signs and symptoms early on, early detection is an
important strategy to improve outcomes. Major professional organizations in the
United States and elsewhere recommend screening with mammography with appro-
priate follow up for an abnormal screening test, although they differ somewhat by
recommended ages and frequency of screening. Studies suggest a 15%–40% mortality
reduction secondary to screening, however, there are also concerns about harms, such
as overdiagnosis (5%–54%) and overtreatment leading to long term complications,
and false negatives (6%–46%). Identification of women at risk for BRCA1 and BRCA 2
mutations is also recommended with referral for genetic testing. Preventive interven-
tions, such as lifestyle, medical, and surgical options are available for women testing
positive for BRCA mutations.
1. INTRODUCTION
In addition to being most common, breast cancer is also the leading cause
of cancer death in women worldwide.3–6 There were approximately
0.5 million deaths worldwide from breast cancer in 2013, which approx-
imates to almost one death per minute and accounts for 15% of all cancer
deaths.4 Mortality rates vary even more widely than incidence, with breast
cancer survival being significantly lower in low- and middle-income coun-
tries compared to high-income countries.6 According to a recent study that
examined 25 population-based cancer registries from 12 different countries
in diverse world regions, survival for women with localized disease and
regional disease was reported to be around 90% and 75%, respectively for
countries with highly developed health services, whereas survival in women
in countries with less-developed health services with localized disease and
regional disease was 76% for regional disease and 47%, for regional disease9
(Fig. 2) In the United States, it is estimated that 40,450 women will die from
this disease in 2016.8 Breast cancer is the second leading cause of cancer death
in women of all age groups, and the leading cause of cancer death in women
aged 20–59 years.10,11 Breast cancer mortality is highest in the southern belt
region and along the Mississippi river.12
Breast Cancer Epidemiology, Prevention, and Screening 5
Fig. 2 Estimated breast cancer mortality worldwide. From Ferlay J, Soerjomataram I, Ervik
M, Dikshit R, Eser S, Mathers C, Rebelo M, Parkin DM, Forman D, Bray F. GLOBOCAN 2012
v1.0, Cancer Incidence and Mortality Worldwide: IARC CancerBase No. 11 [Internet]. Lyon,
France: International Agency for Research on Cancer; 2013. Available from: http://globocan.
iarc.fr/Pages/fact_sheets_cancer.aspx.4
Relative survival rates for women diagnosed with breast cancer are 89% at
5 years after diagnosis, 83% after 10 years, and 78% after 15 years. Five year
survival rates were highest in women with localized disease and in those with
small tumor size (i.e., less than or equal to 2.0 cm) at time of diagnosis.7,15,18
smallest proportion of localized breast cancers (53%) and the largest propor-
tion of regional (35%) and distant (8%) stage disease compared to other races/
ethnicities in the United States.7
In contrast, Asian/Pacific Islander women have the lowest incidence and
mortality in the United States, with Alaskan natives, American Indians, and
Hispanic women closely behind.7,8The reason for lower breast cancer inci-
dence in these minority groups is thought to reflect variation of reproductive
patterns, including greater number of children, first childbirth at a younger
age, and longer duration of breastfeeding.24,31 Asian/Pacific Islander women,
specifically, are also less likely to consume alcohol and have lower rates of
obesity both of which are associated with lower breast cancer risk.32,33
3.1.3 Early Menarche/Late Menopause
Younger age at menarche and older age at menopause increases breast cancer
risk.34–37 Breast cancer risk is approximately 20% higher among girls
that begin menstruating before age 11 compared to those that begin at
age 13.38,39 In addition, women who experience menopause at age 55 or
older have about a 12% higher risk compared to those who do so between
ages 50–54.38 There is also a disproportionate prevalence of estrogen recep-
tor positive and lobular carcinomas in this population,38 suggesting that both
ovarian synthesis of endogenous hormones, as well as a lengthening in the
total number of reproductive years play a contributory role in breast cancer
development.38,40
3.1.4 Breast Characteristics
Women with a history of breast cancer are at higher risk of developing the
disease again, especially if the initial age at diagnosis was less than 40 years of
age.41 The risk of reoccurrence in women with an initial age at diagnosis
greater than 40 years was 1.5-fold compared to a 4.5-fold increase in women
diagnosed with breast cancer at age less than 40.41 Similarly, women with a
diagnosis of a cancer precursor, such as ductal carcinoma in situ or lobar
carcinoma in situ are 8–10 and 7–12 times, respectively, more likely to
develop a new invasive breast cancer compared to women without a previous
diagnosis.42,43 Other significant associations with increased risk are prolifer-
ative lesions with atypia (i.e., atypical ductal hyperplasia and atypical lobular
hyperplasia), which are associated with 4–5 times higher than average breast
cancer risk and proliferative lesions without atypia (i.e., ductal hyperplasia
and fibroadenoma), which have a 1.5–2 times higher than average risk.44
Lastly, dense breast tissue increases the risk of breast cancer.45,46 Compared
to women with 11%–25% breast density, those with 26%–50% or greater
8 Stella Winters et al.
than 50% breast density have about a 1.6 or 2.3 times, respectively, higher risk
of breast cancer.47,48 Complicating this issue is the fact that denser breasts
impair mammographic detection of breast cancer, which couples higher risk
with a more elusive diagnosis.49
Increased parity is, overall, a long-term protective feature. Each full term
pregnancy leads to a 12% reduction of postmenopausal breast cancer risk.73
Although there is a transient (approximately 10 years duration) increased risk
after childbirth, the cumulative incidence of breast cancer is lower in mul-
tiparous women.74–76 Inherent to this protection is a time-sensitive caveat.
Compared to nulliparous females, those with first full-term birth after age 35
were shown to have a 1.26 greater risk of developing the disease within
5 years after delivery, although after 15 years, they were found to have lower
risk than their nulliparous counterparts.68,69,74,77 Furthermore, the parity-
specific effects on breast cancer risk seem to be limited to ER positive/PR
positive histologic types.78
Breastfeeding for 1 or more years reduces a woman’s overall risk of breast
cancer (reduced by 4% for every 12 months of breastfeeding).79,80 Regarding
hormonal contraceptives, there is a general increased risk associated with
earlier age at onset of use and higher estrogen formulations.81–88
3.2.3 Menopausal Hormone Use
There are two general formulations of hormonal therapy for controlling
menopausal symptoms: combined estrogen and progestin versus estrogen-
only therapy. Combined estrogen and progestin therapy increases the risk
of developing breast cancer.89,90 Higher risk correlated most with longer
use and starting therapy soon after the onset of menopause.89–92 However,
the increased risk appears to be temporary and goes back to baseline risk
after 5 years of discontinuation.91,93,94 The studies analyzing risk of breast
cancer associated with estrogen-only hormonal therapy have yielded mixed
results. Although one large RCT study found that women who used
estrogen-only therapy for an average of 6 years had a 23% lower risk of
developing breast cancer,95 other studies looking at estrogen-only therapy
have found a positive correlation with breast cancer risk, specifically when
used by lean women and when starting therapy soon after the onset of
menopause.91,94,96,97
3.2.4 Tobacco
Based on current available information there is evidence to suggest that
smoking prior to menopause increases breast cancer risk. Greater risk was
seen in women who started smoking before their first pregnancy (up to 21%
higher risk) and in those who were heavy, long-term smokers (i.e., more than
40 pack years).98–103 On the contrary, some studies show that women who
took up smoking after menopause had a significant decrease in breast cancer
risk, likely due to tobacco’s antiestrogenic effect.99,102,104 There have been
10 Stella Winters et al.
suppressor genes, including the breast cancer genes, BRCA1 and BRCA2,
are fundamental in cellular processes through genomic integrity and transcrip-
tional regulation.148 Mutations within these two genes are linked to the
development of breast and/or ovarian cancer. These mutations can occur
through an inherited, or sporadic process leading to malignancy.
Those with inherited BRCA mutations also have an inactivated BRCA
allele. During puberty, the estrogen dependent–breast epithelium undergoes
rapid cell replication and proliferation. These changes exert a stress on the
DNA repair system that is incapable of repairing damaged DNA, therefore
resulting in cell death. During this process, a small population of cells with
damaged DNA will escape cellular death resulting in protein production
based on mutated and damaged DNA. Multiple DNA regions that are
damaged will often affect genes responsible for cell cycle checkpoint activa-
tion. Once a cell is able to bypass this checkpoint, it will permanently escape
cell death and will undergo uncontrolled cell proliferation. With the loss of
BRCA1 mammary cells, this typically produces mutated p53 checkpoint
genes leading to mammary tumors.149
Sporadic BRCA mutations are similar to the pathophysiology seen with an
inherited process. With the rapid proliferation within breast epithelium stim-
ulated by estrogen, the rate of mutations that occur within the BRCA gene is
increased. Inactivation of either BRCA alleles, or a hypofunctional active allele
are required in sporadic malignancy. Clinical symptoms and presentation
typically present later in life as mutations and cell inactivation increase.148
Transcriptional silencing has also been considered a factor contributing to
BRCA expression. The BRCA alleles are dependent on regulatory proteins.
Inactivation of positively regulated proteins results in decreased expression of
these tumor suppressor cells, whereas an increased expression of negative
regulatory proteins, decreases gene expression resulting in an increased risk
of malignancy.148
More than 1800 mutations have been identified within the BRCA1
gene, which increases the risk of breast cancer in both men and women.
These mutations that occur are present within every cell in the body, and
therefore can be passed on to future generations. Statistically, women are
35%–60% more likely to develop ovarian cancer in comparison to the 1.6%
seen in the general population.150
4.2 Chemoprevention
Chemoprevention has demonstrated benefits in reducing the risk of breast
cancer. Selective estrogen receptors modulators, such as Tamoxifen and
Raloxifene, have demonstrated evidence for the reduction of breast cancer
risk. In 2013, the American Society of Clinical Oncology, recommended
that physicians discuss the use of Tamoxifen as an option to reduce the risk of
invasive breast cancer, especially those with estrogen receptor positive breast
cancer, premenopausal, or postmenopausal women older than 35 at an
increased risk, or those with lobular carcinoma in situ. Raloxifene has similar
recommendations, but should not be used in premenopausal women. The
STAR trial, which compared Tamoxifen with Raloxifene, is the only ran-
domized controlled trial comparing breast cancer risk reduction between the
two medications. The STAR trial demonstrated an overall risk reduction
Breast Cancer Epidemiology, Prevention, and Screening 15
between 31% and 67%. After a follow-up period of 4.6 years, the efficacy
of Tamoxifen and Raloxifene were equal. At 6 years, women taking a
Raloxifene were 24% more likely to develop invasive breast cancer in com-
parison to women taking Tamoxifen (RR 1.24; 95% CI, 1.05–1.47).155
Physicians should engage in a shared conversation and decision when
considering the use of Tamoxifen or Raloxifene in women with an increased
risk of breast cancer.
The use of chemoprevention is dependent on several factors, such as age,
race, breast cancer risk, the presence of a uterus, and the type of medication
being considered. The International Breast Cancer Intervention Study-1
demonstrated an increased risk of endometrial cancer and venous thrombo-
embolism. This randomized controlled trial was conducted on premeno-
pausal and postmenopausal women aged 35–70 years of age. There was an
increase in endometrial cancer, but this was not statistically significant.
Unfortunately, there was a significant increase in deep venous thrombosis
during the same study. Fifty of the 3,579 (1.4%) women receiving Tamoxifen
developed a deep venous thrombosis in comparison to 29 (0.8%) women
who were not on Tamoxifen therapy [OR 1.73(95% CI 1.07–2.85)].156
In comparison, Raloxifene has a lower risk of cataracts, endometrial
cancer, and thromboembolic disease. Women younger than age 50, and
young black women may benefit from the use of Tamoxifen, whereas
women greater than age 50 would benefit from using Raloxifene if the
patient still has a uterus. The STAR trial demonstrated significantly lower
risk of thromboembolic disease, uterine cancer, uterine hyperplasia, and
cataracts. Raloxifene also demonstrated a significantly lower incidence of
ovarian cysts, endometrial polyps, hot flashes, vaginal discharge, and vaginal
bleeding during a retrospective analysis of data from the NSABP-P1 and
STAR trials).155
In addition to the use of selective estrogen receptor modulators, chemo-
prevention can also be implemented with the use of aromatase inhibitors.
Exemestane, which functions to inhibit the conversion of androgens to
estrogen, is recommended by the American Society of Clinical Oncology.
Postmenopausal women who are at an increased risk of breast cancer, have a
history of atypical hyperplasia, or lobular carcinoma in situ are encouraged
to discuss with their physician the benefits of starting Exemestane for
chemoprevention.152
Bisphosphonates, such as Zoledronate, have a threefold benefit in treating
individuals with breast cancer. Bisphosphonates aid in reducing skeletal
related events, such as pathological fractures, bone pain, and hypercalcemia
16 Stella Winters et al.
4.3 Surgery
Mutations in BRCA1 and BRCA2 tumor suppressor genes increase the risk
of breast cancer. The option of prophylactic mastectomy should be discussed
and offered to those with this mutation(s). Body image is a concern and must
be discussed when individuals are considering a mastectomy. Genetic risk
and psychological assessment should be completed, along with an evaluation
by a breast surgeon. The option for reconstructive surgery is necessary to
maintain a patient’s self-identify and confidence.158
Overall, several different preventive options are available, and each should
be discussed thoroughly with the patient. Comprehension of the disease
pathophysiology and potential side effects of preventive treatment, will allow
the patient to make an informed decision based on what is most appropriate.
lives, however, as with any screening test, there is the potential risk of harm
from screening.
Harms associated with screening mammograms include false negative
results, overdiagnosis, radiation-induced cancer, and false positives. False-
negative mammograms result in undetected breast cancer and estimates
range from 6% to 46% of women screened, and they may be more common
in younger women with denser breasts.2 It can result in women erroneously
confident that they do not have breast cancer and this can cause late stage
diagnosis of breast cancer or death. Radiation-induced cancers from digital
mammograms are rare and are estimated to be 0.4–1.2 per 10, 000 women
screened over a lifetime. Screening mammograms may also lead to false-
positive results.1,147,164 Women with false-positive results may require fur-
ther imaging and often a breast biopsy.122 Fifty percent of women screened
annually for 10 years will experience a false positive and 7%–17% will have
biopsies.2,18 On average, of 10% of women recalled for further testing, 5 out
of 100 women will have cancer.2 Screening low-risk women at younger ages
may cause unnecessary further imaging and biopsies. This particular harm
needs to be discussed with women prior to initiating screening. Women may
experience anxiety and psychological distress for up to 2 years after a false
positive result.122,147 Another important potential harm is overdiagnosis,
which is the diagnosis and treatment of noninvasive and invasive breast
cancer that would ultimately not cause symptoms, threaten life or cause
death. Women may be exposed to disfiguring surgery, radiation, hormone
therapy or chemotherapy, and the adverse consequences of these treatments
(scarring, cardiac toxicity, and lymphedema).164 Observing trends using the
surveillance, epidemiology, and end results data from 1976 through 2008, the
estimated proportion of overdiagnosed breast cancers varies widely between
5% and 54%.1,2,162,164 It is estimated that 1 in 8 women diagnosed with
screening mammograms from the ages 50 to 75 years are overdiagnosed,122
see Table 1.
Table 2 United States Preventive Services Task Force Grades and Suggestions for
Practice
Grades Definitions Suggestions for Practices
A Net benefit, recommend Offer or provide this service
service
B Moderate net benefit, Offer or provide this service
recommend service
C Small net benefit, Offer service for select patients
selectively provide
service
D No net benefit, do not Discourage use of service
recommended
I statement Current evidence is If service is offered, patients should
insufficient to assess net understand the uncertainty about
benefit harms and benefits
Adapted with permission of the Final Recommendation Statement—Breast Cancer: Screening. U.S.
Preventive Services Task Force. November 2016. https://www.uspreventiveservicestaskforce.org/Page/
Document/RecommendationStatementFinal/breast-cancer-screening1166.
20 Stella Winters et al.
The ACS also includes personal and family history of BRCA1 and
BRCA2 gene mutations, Li-Fraumeni syndrome (autosomal dominant
disorder also known as the Sarcoma, Breast, Leukemia and Adrenal Gland
cancer syndrome) or Cowden syndrome (a germline mutation in the phos-
phatase and tensin homolog (PTEN) gene with harmartomatous tumor
development) as risk factors for the development of breast cancer. Women
with any of these conditions are encouraged to begin mammographic
screening at age 30 years.1
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