FIN2004 - 2704 Week 2 Slides
FIN2004 - 2704 Week 2 Slides
Week 2
Financial Statement Analysis
The Importance of Accounting
Regulators looking into Hyflux’s disclosure and
accounting practices for possible breaches
Singapore’s regulators said in response to media queries that they are looking into
whether the public-listed firm had flouted any laws and regulations….They are also
reviewing whether the company had complied with accounting and auditing standards.
The Securities Investors Association of Singapore (SIAS) questioned what could have
happened during those two months, and at what point did the board realise that Hyflux
was not able to pay its debts….It also asked how is it possible for Hyflux to report profits
every year before 2017 despite a negative operating cashflow….“Numbers at that time
already suggested that the company's capital structure was hardly sustainable.”
DBS conducted due diligence checks to ensure that material information relating to
Hyflux was highlighted in the offering document…the bank also reminded investors,
when distributing the bonds via its automatic-teller machines, to read disclosure
documents before applying, MAS added.
- August 14, 2019
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The Annual Report
1. Balance sheet – provides a snapshot of a
firm’s financial position at one point in time.
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Balance Sheet
Balance Sheet Characteristics
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Sample Balance Sheet
Profrock Corporation
2020 and 2021 Balance Sheets
(in millions)
2020 2021 2020 2021
Cash $ 84 $ 146 Accounts Payable $ 312 $ 344
Accounts
165 188 Notes Payable 231 196
Receivable
Inventory 393 422 Total CL $ 543 $ 540
Total CA $ 642 $ 756 Long-Term Debt $ 531 $ 457
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Financial Statements & Market Value
• Detailed pieces of market information for assets are
needed, but often not readily available
• Although accounting figures are often pale reflections of
economic reality, they are frequently the best available
} Thus we have to rely on accounting figures as a starting
point to extract the information we actually seek
“Objectively determinable current values of many assets do not exist.
Faced with a trade-off between relevant, but subjective current values,
and irrelevant, but objective historical costs, accountants have opted for
irrelevant, but objective historical costs. This means that it is the user’s
responsibility to make adjustments”
Robert Higgins of Highland Capital Partners
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Enterprise Value
• Enterprise value of a firm:
Assesses the value of the underlying _________________
business assets (however
financed) while excluding the value of any non-operating assets.
(asset not required for operation)
– A common non-operating asset is “excess cash” (i.e., the amount
of cash that the firm has that is cash not needed for the firm’s
operations) but can include other assets like unused land, etc.
Enterprise Value
= Market Value of Equity + Debt – Excess Cash
• Given that the book equity is $1.865B and the book debt-to-equity
ratio is 2.62, the total value of Lulu, Co.’s debt is $4.888B
Notice that:
1. We have used Book Value of Debt in this example. However, where available, the
Market Value of Debt is preferred.
2. We have used Cash in this example and not just Excess Cash. Practically, it is
often a challenge to split Excess Cash and Operating Cash. Hence we simply use
Cash if not able to split. 14
Income Statement &
Statement of Retained Earnings
Sample Income Statement
Prufrock Corporation
2021 Statement of Retained Earnings
(in millions)
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Statement of Cash Flows
Statement of Cash Flows
Summarizes the sources and uses of cash over the period
under consideration.
1. _________
Operating Activities – includes net income and changes in
most current accounts (A/P, A/R, Inv)
2. __________
Investment Activities – includes changes in fixed assets
3. __________
Financing Activities – includes changes in notes payable,
long-term debt and equity accounts as well as dividends
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Sample Statement of Cash Flows
Refer to Income
Statement
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Understanding the Statement of Cash Flows
The Balance Sheet Identity
Assets = Liabilities + Equity
DCash = DRetained Earnings - DCurrent Assets other than cash - DNet Fixed Assets
+ DCurrent Liabilities + DLong-term Debt + DCommon Stock
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The Finance Concept
of Cash Flow
The Finance Concept of Cash Flow
• __________
Cash Flow is one of the most important pieces of information
that a financial manager can derive from financial statements.
• We will look at how cash is generated from utilizing assets and
how it is paid to those that finance the purchase of the assets.
• “Cash is King” in the study of finance. Finance professionals
are not concerned with accrual accounting, but rather whether
there is enough cash generated to pay bills, investors, etc.
• In finance, our concept of “cash flow from assets” is different
from the accounting “Statement of Cash Flows”. We care about
cash generated from ____________
operations over the life of the
asset/investment.
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We are interested in “Operating Working Capital”
• Business operations generally require investment in net
operating working capital.
– We may need operating cash on hand
– Inventory
– Accounts receivable
– But we may also enjoy increases in Accounts Payable from
our suppliers
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Operating Working Capital
Working capital that stem from our operating policies (A/R, Inventory,
A/P, etc.) and removed from our financing decisions
• Thus, we exclude non-operating working capital such as Notes
Payable from our calculation of Changes in Net Operating Working
Capital
2. ____________
Non- Interest Bearing Liabilities (a result of operating activities)
– Accounts Payables (extended from our suppliers)
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Cash Flow From Assets* (CFFA)
*also referred to as Free Cash Flows (FCF)
Note: The textbook uses a different formula from ours shown here. Please use the
formula shown here and disregard the textbook for calculation of CFFA.
^CFFA à Cash flow generated from a firm’s operating assets after taking into
account all present investment needed for its on-going operations.
• When determining “Cash Flow From Assets” we do not take into account
the interest tax shield
– We separate operations from financing thus we consider the Interest Tax
Shield separately. In other words, our formula for CFFA is “without or ignoring
financing effect”.
– The Interest Tax Shield increases the amount of cash flow available to
Creditors and Shareholders
Prufrock Corporation CFFA 2021
• Operating Cash Flow:
𝐎𝐂𝐅 = EBIT× 1 − Tax rate + Depreciation
= 691× 1 − 0.21 + 276 = $822
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Prufrock Corporation CFFA 2021
• Cash Flow to Creditors
= interest paid – net new borrowing (LT Debt and Notes Payable)
= 141 – [(196+457) – (231+531)] = 141 – (-109) = $250
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The 5 Major Categories of Ratios
1. Liquidity ratios (Short-term solvency)
– Measure the firm’s ability to pay bills in the short run
– Can we make required payments as they fall due?
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The 5 Major Categories of Ratios
4. Profitability ratios
– Measure the firm’s return on its investments
– Do sales prices exceed unit costs, and are sales high
enough as reflected in PM, ROE, and ROA?
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1. Liquidity ratios
• Liquidity is the ability to convert assets to cash quickly
without a significant _________________
loss in value .
• Liquidity ratios indicate a firm’s ability to meet its maturing
short-term obligations
Hoard Cash --> shareholders unhappy that
business does not use money to grow
Is high liquidity always good?
Kirk Kerkorian’s takeover bid for Chrysler in April, 1995, is an example
of investor dissatisfaction with excess liquidity. At the time, Chrysler’s
management had accumulated $7.3 billion in cash and marketable
securities as a cushion against an economic downturn. Mr. Kerkorian
instigated a takeover bid because Chrysler’s management refused to
pay this cash to stockholders.
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Example: US Companies’ Cash Pile hits $1.7tn
tax code.
in an effort to skirt the tax charge of moving profits back to US shores under the country’s complex
that amount.
according to a new report from rating agency Moody’s. The top 50 holders accounted for $1.1tn of
nearly a third of the total $1.7tn held on the balance sheets of US non-financial companies,
Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Cisco and Oracle had amassed $504bn of cash by the end of 2015,
how cash has become increasingly concentrated at a handful of groups seeking to avoid a tax hit.
Five US tech giants are hoarding more than half a trillion dollars, a record sum that underscores
Five tech groups hold $504bn in cash between them, nearly a third of the $1.7tn on balance sheets of US non-financials
Five US tech giants are hoarding more than half a trillion dollars, a
Share
record sum that underscores how cash has become increasingly
Author alerts
concentrated at a handful of groups seeking to avoid a tax hit.
Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Cisco and Oracle had amassed $504bn
Print
of cash by the end of 2015, nearly a third of the total $1.7tn held on
the balance sheets of US non-financial companies, according to a
Clip
new report from rating agency Moody’s.
Gift Article
The ever increasing amount of cash also highlights how US
Comments
The failure of companies to invest their cash pile has frustrated investors who say
companies are not ploughing enough back into their underlying businesses, in
research and development, to reinvigorate sales.
- Financial Times, 20 May 2016 39
Prufrock Liquidity Ratios 2021
Current ratio = Current Assets ÷ Current liabilities
= $756 ÷ $540 = 1.40x
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2. Long-Term Solvency Ratios
Also known as financial leverage ratios
Financial leverage relates to the extent that a firm relies on ______
debt
financing rather than __________.
equity
– Generally, the more debt a firm has, the more likely it is the firm will
become unable to fulfill its contractual obligations.
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Prufrock Long-Term Solvency Ratios 2021
2019 2020 2021 Ind.
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Prufrock Asset Management Ratios 2021
Inventory Turnover = COGS ÷ Inventory = $1,344 ÷ $422 = 3.18x
Days’ Sales in Inventory 124 days 114 days 115 days 101 days
Basic Earning Power (BEP) = EBIT ÷ Total assets = $492.6 ÷ $3,497 = 14.1%
BEP removes the effects of taxes and financial leverage. It is useful for comparison
• Profitability ratios are improving but still below the industry average.
More improvement needed.
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Effects of Debt on ROA and ROE
• ROA is lowered by debt
– Interest expense lowers net income, which also lowers ROA
• However, the use of debt lowers equity (assuming TA stays the
same), and if equity is lowered more than net income, ROE would
increase
Let’s say Prufrock has 33 million shares outstanding and the stock sold for
$88 per share at the end of 2021.
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Prufrock Market Value Ratios 2021
2019 2020 2021 Ind.
• Both ratios improving from 2020 but still far below the industry
average.
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The Dupont System
• Some profitability and efficiency measures can be linked
in useful ways
• These relationships are often referred to as the Du Pont
system in recognition of the chemical company that
popularized them
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Deriving the extended Du Pont Identity
• ROE = NI
TE
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The Three Ratios of the Dupont Identity
ROE = PM * TATO * EM
PM TATO EM ROE
2019 15.6% 0.57 1.50 13.3%
2020 17.4% 0.62 1.47 15.9%
2021 18.8% 0.64 1.38 16.5%
Ind. 28.6% 0.66 1.33 25.1%
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Ratio Analysis: Potential Problems/ Limitations
• Comparison with industry averages is difficult if the firm operates
many different divisions (a diversified firm).
• “Average” performance is not necessarily good. Use the leader’s?
• Seasonal factors can distort ratios.
• Window dressing techniques can make statements and ratios look
better.
• Different accounting and operating practices can distort comparisons.
• Sometimes it is difficult to tell if a ratio value is “good” or “bad.”
• Often, different ratios give different signals, so it is difficult to tell, on
balance, whether a company is in a strong or weak financial
condition.
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Some Qualitative Factors
Analysts should also consider the followings when
evaluating a company’s likely future financial performance:
• Are the company’s revenues tied to a single customer?
• To what extent are the company’s revenues tied to a single
product?
• To what extent does the company rely on a single supplier?
• What percentage of the company’s business is generated
overseas?
• What is the competitive situation?
• What is the company’s legal and regulatory environment?
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Final Note: Calculation of Ratios
• If the ratio uses only balance sheet line items, then ending period
:4""%+1 ;''%1'%)%*
numbers should be used, e.g. Current Ratio7879 = :4""%+1 <#)=#3#1#%'
%)%*
• If the ratio uses both balance sheet item(s) and income statement
item(s), then sometimes, using the average (of two years) of the
balance sheet items would make sense, e.g.
>?@A :LMN%)%*
Inventory Turnover7879 = = +,-.,/012%)%) 3+,-.,/012%)%*
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