IBA Engine Values Book May 21
IBA Engine Values Book May 21
S A M
Engine Values Book
Issue: 21 – February 2021
Driving actionable insight
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Engine Values Book – Issue: 21 – February 2021
Contents
Contents
E
GEnx
CFM56-7B BR175
Trent 500
L
CFM-LEAP Trent 700
Engine
GeneralAlliance Pratt & Whitney Pratt
Trent & Whitney Canada
P
Electric Honeywell 800
GP7200
CF34 JT8D-200
ALF502 PW100
Trent 900
M
CF6-80C PW2000 Trent 1000
CF6-80E PW4000-94 Trent 7000
A
GE90 PW4000-100 Trent XWB
S
GEnx PW4000-112 BR175
PW1000G
Engine Alliance Pratt & Whitney Pratt & Whitney Canada
GP7200 JT8D-200 PW100
PW2000
PW4000-94
PW4000-100
PW4000-112
PW1000G
Sample charts
E
Regional Jet Engine Marketshare Regional Jet Engine Marketshare
L
General Electric 6,492 43%
P
Pratt & Whintey Canada 5,184 34%
General Electric Rolls-Royce 2,600 17%
Honeywell 380 3%
M
Pratt & Whitney Canada
Powerjet 358 2%
Rolls-Royce
A
Pratt & Whitney 84 1%
Honeywell
S
Powerjet Total 15,098 100%
Pratt & Whitney
E
eved engine certification
The Trent in October
900 madeof 2004.
its Theflight
maiden Trenton
900 entered
17th May service
2004 onwith a thrust
Airbus' ratingAirport,
A340-300 of 70,000
testbed and pounds although
achieved engine itcertification
is certificated tomoving
up to 2004.
in October 80,000
away pounds.
The The Trent
Trentthe
900 entered900 engine
service powered
with a thrusttherating
first scheduled
of 70,000 service
pounds ofofalthough
a Singapore Airlines'
itisisset
certificated to upintothe
80,000 pounds. T
scheduled service
The Trent 900 made its amaiden
Singapore Airlines’
flight on 17th MayAirbus
2004A380 from
on Airbus' Changi
A340-300 testbed andSingapore to London
achieved engine certification in October 2004. Thefrom
Trent 900aircraft sooner
entered service than
with expected
a thrust ratingthe availability
of 70,000 pounds engines
although to increase
it is certificated to up to 80,000 pounds. T
18, Singapore Airlines
Airbusreturned
A380 from their first five
Changi TrentSingapore
Airport, 900 powered A380 aircraft,
to London Heathrow twoonof18th
which have2008.
March been retired
In 2018, and scheduled
Singapore for disassembly
Airlines while
returned their two
first have
five entered
Trent storage and
900 powered A380one has been
aircraft, two leased to wet-leasing
of which have been operator,
retired and Hischeduled
Fly. In February
for disassembly while two have entered
L
Heathrow
Airbus A380on 18th
from March
Changi 2008.Singapore
Airport, In 2018,toSingapore Airlinesonreturned
London Heathrow 18th Marchtheir firstInfive
2008. Trent
2018, 900 powered
Singapore Airlines returnedneartheir future.
first five Trent 900 powered A380 aircraft, two of which have been retired and scheduled for disassembly while two have entered
placed an order2019,
for 20following
aircraft with an option
months for a further
of speculation, 16 in
Airbus a year earlier
cancelled and had
the A380 struggledEmirates,
programme. to reach an
whoagreement
placed anfor the for
order engines with Rolls-Royce.
20 aircraft Thisfor
with an option prompted
a furtherthe
16 operator to switch
in a year earlier andorders from thetoA380
had struggled toan
reach the A330neo for
agreement andthe
A350
engines with Rolls-Royce. This prompt
2019, following months of speculation, Airbus cancelled the A380 programme. Emirates, who placed an order for 20 aircraft with an option for a further 16 in a year earlier and had struggled to reach an agreement for the engines with Rolls-Royce. This prompt
P
eak the market for A380 engines
platforms, hasthe
clearing worsened and as such
way for Airbus theproduction
to cease underlying Base valueSince
by 2021. curves and
the Market values
pandemic have
outbreak experienced
the market for aA380
dramatic reduction
engines since last
has worsened andpublication. Given the low
as such the underlying Baseutilisation rateand
value curves of these engines,
Market values spare demand is seta dramatic
have experienced to reduction since last publ
platforms, clearing the way for Airbus to cease production by 2021. Since the pandemic outbreak the market for A380 engines has worsened and as such the underlying Base value curves and Market values have experienced a dramatic reduction since last publ
t sooner than expected
remain lowthe availability of engines
for the remaining is the
life of set to increase
fleet in the
and with near future.
operators moving away from the aircraft sooner than expected the availability of engines is set to increase in the near future.
remain low for the remaining life of the fleet and with operators moving away from the aircraft sooner than expected the availability of engines is set to increase in the near future.
A M
Current Market Value, Base Value, Typical CurrentEngine
RentalMaintenance
Rate (TCCR) &Indicators
QEC Engine Maintenance Indicators
Current Market Value, Base Value, Typical Current Rental Rate (TCCR) & QEC Engine Maintenance Indicators
S
Trent 970 Trent 970 Trent 970
Trent 970 Trent 970
Market Value (Dressed) Life Limited Parts (LLP) Cost$5,690,000 $11,149,000 Life Limited Parts (LLP) Cost $11,149,000
Market Value (Dressed) $5,690,000 Life Limited Parts (LLP) Cost $11,149,000
Base Value (Dressed) Average Cost of Overhaul $8,550,000 $8,125,000 Average Cost of Overhaul $8,125,000
Base Value (Dressed) $8,550,000 Average Cost of Overhaul $8,125,000
Mean Between Overhauls (MTBO)
Typical Current Rental Rate $145,000 30,240 FH Mean Between Overhauls (MTBO) 30,240 FH
Values in US Dollars (millions)
Typical Current Rental Rate $145,000 Mean Between Overhauls (MTBO) 30,240 FH
QEC Fleet Average Fligth Hour/Cycle Ratio
$600,000 8.8 FH/Cycles Fleet Average Fligth Hour/Cycle Ratio 8.8 FH/Cycles
Annual inflation of 2.0% assumed
QEC $600,000 Fleet Average Fligth Hour/Cycle Ratio 8.8 FH/Cycles
2024 2025
Engine Type 2026
Engine Model 2027CMV 20282021 20292022 20302023 20312024 20322025 20332026 2034 2027 2035 2028 2036 2029 2037 2030 2038 20312039 2040
2032 2041
2033 2034
Engine Type Engine Model CMV 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034
$7.42 Trent$7.00
900 Trent$6.57
970 $6.13$5.69 $5.69$8.55 $5.25$8.20 $4.82$7.82 $4.40$7.42 $4.00$7.00 $3.61$6.57 $3.24$6.13 $2.89 $5.69 $2.56 $5.25 $2.97 $4.82$3.45 $4.03
$4.40 $4.73
$4.00 $4.20
$3.61 $3.24
Trent 900 Trent 970 $5.69 $8.55 $8.20 $7.82 $7.42 $7.00 $6.57 $6.13 $5.69 $5.25 $4.82 $4.40 $4.00 $3.61 $3.24
$7.42 Trent$7.00
900 Trent$6.57
972 $6.13$5.69 $5.69$8.55 $5.25$8.20 $4.82$7.82 $4.40$7.42 $4.00$7.00 $3.61$6.57 $3.24$6.13 $2.89 $5.69 $2.56 $5.25 $2.97 $4.82$3.45 $4.03
$4.40 $4.73
$4.00 $4.20
$3.61 $3.24
Trent 900 Trent 972 $5.69 $8.55 $8.20 $7.82 $7.42 $7.00 $6.57 $6.13 $5.69 $5.25 $4.82 $4.40 $4.00 $3.61 $3.24
E
the transaction would be negotiated in an open and unrestricted market on an arm’s-length basis,
ADs that reduce the life of components, LLPs and primary components
for cash or equivalent consideration, and given an adequate amount of time for effective exposure to
L
ADs requiring a correction of operational problems
prospective buyers.
P
ADs requiring piece part inspection programs of LLPs and usually resulting in a restricted operational
Quick Engine Change (QEC) kit is defined as a collection of components and accessories installed into a life and/or driving components out of the engine at shop level
bare engine to reduce the time required for installation of the entire powerplant onto an aircraft.
M
These key ADs are usually associated with high costs in terms of operational disruption, higher
QEC kits can be categorised into three types: basic, neutral & full. A basic QEC includes all prime parts material investment, or higher shop visit rates with possible increases in cost of each shop visit.
A
and accessories required for an engine test. A neutral QEC can be considered to comprise the basic kit Disclaimer
S
plus sufficient specialist parts and accessories that will allow installation on an airframe but excludes IBA Group Limited (IBA) has prepared the enclosed Engine Values Book. The Engine Values Book is
any items relating to a specific aircraft or application. A full QEC comprises the neutral kit plus those subject to the disclaimer below.
items required for varying aircraft applications. In the case of basic and neutral, neither the thrust
IBA has no present interest in the engines being appraised for the purpose of the Engine Values Book.
reverser nor the nose cowl is included. Each engine type should be considered unique in its QEC
At the date of the Engine Values Book, IBA does not anticipate acquiring any
configuration and installation.
subsequent interest in the engines. Unless otherwise stated, IBA has had no prior interest in the
Values are shown as a range to bracket IBA’s view of neutral and full QEC kits and to reflect the engines. IBA’s appraisal of the engine is honestly held and the Engine Values Book shall be deemed
different make-up of each kit as the components and accessories vary depending on the type of aircraft advisory only, with such advice being solely to the extent noted in the Engine Values Book. To the
the engine will eventually power. fullest extent permitted by law, IBA assumes no responsibility or legal liability for any action taken, or
Typical Current Rental Rate (TCRR) is IBA’s opinion of the monthly lease rental as it relates to an arm’s length not taken, whether directly or indirectly by the Client or by any third party, with regard to the engines
transaction between a willing lessor and a willing lessee for a single engine transaction. Values are shown as and the Client agrees that IBA shall bear no such responsibility or legal liability in respect of the same.
a range to bracket IBA’s view of short-term (18 months) to long-term (5 years) duration of rental. To the fullest extent permitted by law, IBA, its associated companies, subsidiaries, directors, sub-
contractors, agents and employees are not liable for any oversights, errors or omissions in relation to
Maintenance Definitions the Engine Values Book.
Life Limited Part (LLP) Cost refers to IBA’s opinion of the basic cost of all of the engine’s life-limited
To the fullest extent permitted by law, in relation to the Engine Values Book, IBA shall bear no
parts (LLPs), assuming all-new parts.
responsibility for any interpretation applied, inference made or conclusion reached by the Client or any
Mean Time Between Overhauls (MTBO) represents IBA’s opinion of the average time, in flight third party.
hours, between major engine shop visits. This does not include unscheduled removals for reasons
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