Fundamentals of Investment - Unit 2
Fundamentals of Investment - Unit 2
• Bond with put option: - This feature gives bondholders the right but
not the obligation to sell their bonds back to the issuer at a
predetermined price and date. These bonds generally protect
investors from interest rate risk.
Based on redemption
• Bonds with single redemption: - In this case principal amount of
bond is paid at the time of maturity only.
• For example
• A bond with a face value of RS.2000 is currently trading
at 1600.the coupon rate is 9%.maturity period is 8 years
.if we calculate the above problem using the above
formula the answer will be 13.2%
3. Nominal Yield
• The nominal yield on a bond is simply the percentage of interest to be
paid on the bond periodically.
• It is calculated by dividing the annual coupon payment by the par
value of the bond.
• It is important to note that the nominal yield does not estimate
return accurately unless the current bond price is the same as its par
value.
• E.g. If coupon rate is 10% then nominal yield is 10%.
4. Realized Yield
• The realized yield of a bond is calculated when an investor plans to
hold a bond only for a certain period of time, rather than to maturity.
In this case, the investor will sell the bond, and this projected future
bond price must be estimated for the calculation.
• Because future prices are hard to predict, this yield measurement is
only an estimation of return.
Bond Valuation
• The value of a financial instrument is well understood as the present value of the
expected future cash flows from the instrument.
• In case of a plain vanilla bond, which we will first see, before understanding the
variations, the cash flows are pre-defined.
• The cash flows expected from a bond, which is not expected to default are primarily
made up of
(i) coupon payments and
(ii) Redemption of principal.
• The actual dates on which these cash flows are expected are also known in advance, in
the case of a simple non-callable bond.
• Therefore, valuation of a bond involves discounting these cash flows to the present point
in time, by an appropriate discount rate.
• The key issue in bond valuation is this rate the rate we would use is the “required rate”
on the bond, representing a rate that we understand is available on a comparable bond
(comparable in terms of tenor and risk).
Risks of investing in a bond
• Interest rate risk
• Reinvestment Risk
• Call Risk
• Default Risk
• Inflation Risk
• Liquidity Risk
Interest rate risk
• The risk that bond prices will fall as interest rates rise.
• By buying a bond, the bondholder has committed to receiving a fixed
rate of return for a fixed period.
• Should the market interest rate rise from the date of the bond's
purchase, the bond's price will fall accordingly.
• The bond will then be trading at a discount to reflect the lower return
that an investor will make on the bond.
Reinvestment Risk
• The risk that the proceeds from a bond will be reinvested at a lower
rate than the bond originally provided.
• For example, imagine that an investor bought a Rs1,000 bond that had an
annual coupon of 12%.
• Each year the investor receives Rs120 (12%*Rs1,000), which can be
reinvested back into another bond.
• But imagine that over time the market rate falls to 1%. Suddenly, that Rs 120
received from the bond can only be reinvested at 1%, instead of the 12% rate
of the original bond
Call Risk
• The risk that a bond will be called by its issuer.
• Callable bonds have call provisions, which allow the bond issuer to
purchase the bond back from the bondholders and retire the issue.
• This is usually done when interest rates have fallen substantially since
the issue date.
• Call provisions allow the issuer to retire the old, high-rate bonds and
sell low-rate bonds in a bid to lower debt costs.
Default Risk
• The risk that the bond's issuer will be unable to pay the contractual
interest or principal on the bond in a timely manner, or at all.
• Credit ratings services such as Moody's, Standard & Poor's and Fitch
give credit ratings to bond issues, which helps to give investors an
idea of how likely it is that a payment default will occur.
• For example, most federal governments have very high credit ratings (AAA);
they can raise taxes or print money to pay debts, making default unlikely.
• However, small, emerging companies have some of the worst credit (BB and
lower).
• They are much more likely to default on their bond payments, in which case
bondholders will likely lose all or most of their investment.
Inflation Risk
• The risk that the rate of price increases in the economy deteriorates
the returns associated with the bond.
• This has the greatest effect on fixed bonds, which have a set interest
rate from inception.
• For example, if an investor purchases a 5% fixed bond and then inflation rises
to 10% a year, the bondholder will lose money on the investment because the
purchasing power of the proceeds has been greatly diminished.
• The interest rates of floating-rate bonds (floaters) are adjusted
periodically to match inflation rates, limiting investors' exposure to
inflation risk
Liquidity Risk
• While there is almost always a ready market for government bonds,
corporate bonds are sometimes entirely different animals.
• There is a risk that an investor might not be able to sell his or her
corporate bonds quickly due to a thin market with few buyers and
sellers for the bond.
• Low interest in a particular bond issue can lead to substantial price
volatility and possibly have an adverse impact on a bondholder's total
return (upon sale).
• Much like stocks that trade in a thin market, you may be forced to
take a much lower price than expected to sell your position in the
bond.
Bond rating
• A grade given to bonds that indicates their credit quality.
• The credit rating is a financial indicator to potential investors of debt
securities such as bonds
• Private independent rating services such as Standard & Poor's, Moody's
and Fitch provide these evaluations of a bond issuer's financial strength, or
its the ability to pay a bond's principal and interest in a timely fashion.
• Credit rating is a highly concentrated industry with the two largest rating
agencies — Moody's Investors Service, Standard & Poor's — having 80%
market share globally, and the "Big Three" credit rating agencies —
Moody's, S&P and Fitch Ratings — controlling approximately 95% of the
ratings business
Bond rating
Standard &
Moody's Fitch Credit worthiness
Poor's
Aaa AAA AAA An obligor has EXTREMELY STRONG capacity to meet its financial commitments.
Aa1 AA+ AA+
An obligor has VERY STRONG capacity to meet its financial commitments. It differs from the highest rated obligors only in
Aa2 AA AA
small degree.
Aa3 AA- AA-
A1 A+ A+
An obligor has STRONG capacity to meet its financial commitments but is somewhat more susceptible to the adverse
A2 A A
effects of changes in circumstances and economic conditions than obligors in higher-rated categories.
A3 A- A-
Baa1 BBB+ BBB+
An obligor has ADEQUATE capacity to meet its financial commitments. However, adverse economic conditions or changing
Baa2 BBB+ BBB+
circumstances are more likely to lead to a weakened capacity of the obligor to meet its financial commitments.
Baa3 BBB- BBB-
Ba1 BB+ BB+ An obligor is LESS VULNERABLE in the near term than other lower-rated obligors. However, it faces major ongoing
Ba2 BB BB uncertainties and exposure to adverse business, financial, or economic conditions which could lead to the obligor's
Ba3 BB- BB- inadequate capacity to meet its financial commitments.
B1 B+ B+ An obligor is MORE VULNERABLE than the obligors rated 'BB', but the obligor currently has the capacity to meet its
B2 B B financial commitments. Adverse business, financial, or economic conditions will likely impair the obligor's capacity or
B3 B- B- willingness to meet its financial commitments
An obligor is CURRENTLY VULNERABLE, and is dependent upon favourable business, financial, and economic conditions to
Caa CCC CCC meet its financial commitments
Ca CC CC An obligor is CURRENTLY HIGHLY- VULNERABLE.
The obligor is CURRENTLY HIGHLY- VULNERABLE to nonpayment. May be used where a bankruptcy petition has been filed.
C C
C D D An obligor has failed to pay one or more of its financial obligations (rated or unrated) when it became due.
Preliminary ratings may be assigned to obligations pending receipt of final documentation and legal opinions. The final
e,p pr Expected rating may differ from the preliminary rating.
Rating withdrawn for reasons including: debt maturity, calls, puts, conversions, etc., or business reasons (e.g. change in the
WR size of a debt issue), or the issuer defaults.