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2016 - 2014 CAPS Probability Memo

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33 views

2016 - 2014 CAPS Probability Memo

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© © All Rights Reserved
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Mathematics/P1/Wiskunde V1 DBE/Feb.–Mar./Feb.–Mrt.

2016
NSC/NSS – Memorandum

QUESTION/VRAAG 10

10.1.1 160 answer


(1)
10.1.2 60 60
P( M ) =
160
3
=
8 answer
= 0,375 (2)
10.1.3 P( Male) × P(Coffee) = P( Male and Coffee) formula
P( Manlik ) × P( Koffie) = P( Manlik en Koffie)
80
3 80 b 
× = 160
8 160 160 b
3 b 
= 160
16 160
16b = 480
b = 30  answer
(4)

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Mathematics/P1/Wiskunde V1 DBE/Feb.–Mar./Feb.–Mrt. 2016
NSC/NSS – Memorandum

10.2.1 6! 6!
= 6 × 5 × 4 × 3 × 2 ×1
= 720 answer
(2)
10.2.2 number of ways Xoliswa sits next to Anees/
getal maniere waarop Xoliswa langs Anees sit
 5!× 2
= 5!× 2
answer
= 240 (2)
OR/OF

Regard Xoliswa and Anees as a single entity/Beskou Xoliswa en Anees as


een  5! + 5!
Number of ways in which 5 passengers can be arranged = 5!
Getal maniere waarop 5 passasiers gerangskik kan word = 5!
So 5! different arrangements for XA and 5! different arrangements for answer
AX
So 5! verskillende rangskikkings vir XA en 5! verskillende rangskikkings
vir AX
(2)
number of ways Xoliswa sits next to Anees
getal maniere waarop Xoliswa langs Anees sit
= 5!× 2
= 240
10.2.3 number of ways Mary is at an end of the row on the left = 1 × 5!
number of ways Mary is at an end of the row on the right = 5!× 1 both LHS
and RHS ways
total number of arrangements = 6 ! 6 !
5!× 1 + 1 × 5! setting up
P (Mary is at an end of the row ) =
6! probability
1
= answer
3
getal maniere waarop Mary aan die einde van die ry links is = 1 × 5 ! (4)
getal maniere waarop Mary aan die einde van die ry regs is = 5!× 1
totale getal rangskikkings = 6 !
5!× 1 + 1 × 5!
P(Mary is aan einde van die ry ) =
6!
1
= [15]
3
TOTAL/TOTAAL:

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Mathematics/P1/Wiskunde V1 DBE/November 2015
NSC/NSC – Memorandum

QUESTION/VRAAG 10

10.1 h h
= tan 60 0  = tan 600
r r
h
r=
tan 60 0
h
∴r = answer
3
(2)
10.2 1
Vcone = π r 2 h formula
3
2
1  h 
= π   h
3  3  substitution of
the value of r in
terms of h
1
= π h3
9 simplified
volume answer
dV 1 2
= πh derivative
dh 3
dV
= π (9 )
1 2

dh h = 9 3
answer with
= 27π or 84,82 cm 3 /cm
units
(5)
[7]

QUESTION/VRAAG 11

11.1 P(A) × P(B) 0,2 × 0,63


= 0,2 × 0,63
= 0,126 P(A) × P(B)=P(A
i.e. P(A) × P(B) = P(A and B) and B)
Therefore A and B are independent/Dus is A en B onafhanklik conclusion
(3)
7
11.2.1 7 7 = 823 543 7
(2)
11.2.2 7!=5040 7!
(2)

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Mathematics/P1/Wiskunde V1 DBE/November 2015
NSC/NSC – Memorandum

11.2.3 There are 3 vowels ⇒ 3 options for first position ×3


There are 4 consonants ⇒ 4 options for last position ×4
The remaining 5 letters can be arranged in 5 × 4 × 3 × 2 × 1 ways  5 × 4 × 3 × 2 ×1
3 × (5 × 4 × 3 × 2 × 1) × 4 = 1440 answer

Daar is 3 klinkers ⇒ 3 opsies vir die eerste posisie


Daar is 4 konsonante ⇒ 4 opsies vir die laaste posisie
Die oorblywende 5 letters kan as volg gerangskik word

5 × 4 × 3 × 2 ×1 ways/maniere
3 × (5 × 4 × 3 × 2 × 1)× 4 = 1440 (4)
11.3 Orange OO
t
t+2
Orange
t
t+2 2
t+2
Yellow OY

Orange YO
2 t
t+2
t+2
Yellow
2
t+2
Yellow YY

52 52
P(Orange)P(Orange) + P(Yellow)P(Yellow) = 
100 100
 t  t   2  2  52  t  t 
  +  =   
 t + 2  t + 2   t + 2  t + 2  100  t + 2  t + 2 
 2  2 
  
t2
+ 2
4
=
13  t + 2  t + 2 
t + 4t + 4 t + 4t + 4 25
2

 25(t 2 + 4) = 13(t 2 + 4t + 4)
( ) (
25 t + 4 = 13 t + 4t + 4
2 2
)  3t 2 − 13t + 12 = 0
3t 2 − 13t + 12 = 0
(3t − 4)(t − 3) = 0 t = 3
t =3
There are 3 orange balls in the bag/Daar is 3 oranje balle in die
sak (6)
[17]
TOTAL/TOTAAL:

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Mathematics P1/Wiskunde V1 DBE/2015
NSC/NSS – Memorandum

QUESTION/VRAAG 11

11.1.1
n(S)=600
Hockey Rugby
 372 − x for
Hockey only

 288 − x for
372 – x x 288 – x Rugby only

 56 outside of
56 Hockey & Rugby

(3)
11.1.2 (372 − x ) + x + (288 − x ) + 56 = 600  setting up the
equation
716 − x = 600
 answer
x = 116 (2)
OR/OF

n(H or R ) = 600 − 56
= 544  setting up the
n(H or R ) = n(H ) + n(R ) − n(H and R ) equation
544 = 372 + 288 − x
x = 372 + 288 − 544  answer
= 116 (2)
11.1.3 No, they are not mutually exclusive.  No
There is an intersection between the two sets/  justification
Nee, hul is nie onderling uitsluitend nie. (2)
Daar is ‘n snyding tussen die twee stelle
11.2.1 5! = 120  answer
(1)
11.2.2 1 × 2! × 3!  2!
= 12  3!
 answer
(3)
11.2.3 5! × 6 ! × 2  5 ! × 6 ! × 2
11!  division by 11 !
1  answer
=
231 (3)
[14]
TOTAL/TOTAAL:

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Mathematics P1/Wiskunde V1 DBE/Feb.–Mar./Feb.–Mrt. 2015
NSC/NSS – Memorandum

QUESTION/VRAAG 10

10.1.1 d=5 d = 5
e=4 e = 4
f=7 f = 7
g=5 g = 5
(4)
10.1.2a 4 2 4 2
P(A and/en B and/en C) = =  =
54 27 54 27
(1)
10.1.2b 48 8 48 8
P(A or/of B or/of C) = =  =
54 9 54 9
(1)
10.1.2c 7 7
P(only/slegs C) = 
54 54
(1)
10.1.2d P(that a country uses exactly two methods/dat 'n land 17

5 + 4 + 8 17 54
presies twee metodes gebruik) = =
54 54 (1)
10.2.1 1  answer/antwoord
P(selects Midnight as drama/kies Midnight as drama) = (2)
5
10.2.2 Number of different selections of drama, romance and  product/produk
comedy/Aantal verskillende keuses van drama, answer/antwoord (2)
liefdesverhale en komedie = 5 × 4 × 3= 60
10.2.3 P(select Last Hero and Laughing Dragon/kies Last Hero en  product/produk
1 1 1 answer/antwoord
Laughing Dragon) = × = (2)
5 3 15
OR/OF

P(select Last Hero and Laughing Dragon/kies Last Hero en  product/produk


1× 4 ×1 1  answer/antwoord
Laughing Dragon) = = (2)
60 15
[14]
TOTAL/TOTAAL:

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Mathematics P1/Wiskunde V1 DBE/November 2014
NSC/NSS – Memorandum
QUESTION/VRAAG 10

10.1 l + 2h = 40
l = 40 − 2h answer (1)
10.2 2b + 2h = 100  2b + 2h = 100
b = 50 − h  b = 50 − h
V = lbh volume formula
V = h(40 − 2h)(50 − h) (3)
10.3 V = (50h − h )(40 − 2h)
2

simplifying/vereenvoudig
V = 2h 3 − 140h 2 + 2000h
V ′ = 6h 2 − 280h + 2000 = 0 derivative / afgeleide
280 ± (−280) 2 − 4(6)(2000)
h=
2( 6)
h ≠ 37,86 or h = 8,80 h-values in any form /
∴ for a box as large as possible, h = 8,80 cm h-waardes in enige vorm
answer/antwoord
vir die grootste moontlike boks = 8,80 cm
(5)
[9]

QUESTION/VRAAG 11
11.1.1 83
P(male/manlik) = or 0,46 or 46,11%
180 answer/antwoord
(1)
11.1.2 P(not game park/nie wildreservaat)
= 1 – P(game park/wildreservaat)
62 62
= 1− 1 −
180 180
59 answer/antwoord
= or 0,66 or 65,56%
90 (2)
OR/OF

P(not game park/nie wildreservaat)


98 20
= + 98 20
180 180  +
180 180
118
=
180
59
= or 0,66 or 65,56%
90 answer/antwoord (2)

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Mathematics P1/Wiskunde V1 DBE/November 2014
NSC/NSS – Memorandum
11.2 Events are independent if /Gebeure is onafhanklike indien
P(male) × P(home) = P(male and home) P(m) × P(h)
P(manlik) × P(huis) = P(manlik en huis) and their values/en hulle
83 waardes
P(male/manlik) =
180
answer of product
20
and/en P(home/huis) = or 0,11 or 11,11%
180

P(male/manlik) × P(home/huis)
83 20
= ×
180 180
83
=
1620
= 0,05123 or 5,12%

P(male and home/manlik en huis) P(m and/en h)


13 value/waarde
=
180
= 0,07222… or 7,22%

Therefore P(male) × P(home) ≠ P(male and home) conclusion/afleiding (4)


Dus P(manlik) × P(huis) ≠ P(manlik en huis)
Thus the events are not independent./Dus is die gebeure
nie onafhanklik nie

OR/OF
Home/Huis Not Home/
Nie huis
M 13 70 83
F 7 90 97
20 160 180

P(female/vroulik) × P(not home/nie huis)


97 160 P(f) × P(not h)
= × and their values/en hulle
180 180
194 waardes
=
405
= 0,479012345… or 47,90% answer of product

P(female and not home/vroulik en nie-huis)


P(f and/en not h)
90
= value/waarde
180
= 0,5 or 50%

Therefore P(female) × P(not home) ≠ P(female and not


home)
Thus the events are not independent. conclusion/afleiding (4)
Dus P(vroulik) × P(nie-huis) ≠ P(vroulik en nie-huis)
Dus is die gebeure nie onafhanklik nie. [7]

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Mathematics P1/Wiskunde V1 DBE/November 2014
NSC/NSS – Memorandum

QUESTION/VRAAG 12
12.1.1 26 × 25 × 24 × 23 × 22  26 × 25 × 24 × 23 × 22
= 7 893 600 7 893 600 (2)

OR/OF

26! 26! formula/formule


26
P5 = = = 7 893 600 answer/antwoord (2)
(26 − 5)! 21!
12.1.2 24 × 23 × 22  24 × 23 × 22
= 12 144 12 144
(2)
12.2.1 7×6×5×4×3×2×1 product/produk
= 5 040 5 040 (2)
12.2.2 (3×2×1)(5×4×3×2×1) 3×2×1
= 720 5×4×3×2×1
720
OR/OF (3)

The five 'units' can be parked in 5×4×3×2×1 ways./Die 5×4×3×2×1


vyf 'eenhede' kan op 5×4×3×2×1 maniere geparkeer
word.
The three silver cars can be parked in 3×2×1 ways./Die 3×2×1
drie silwer motors kan op 3×2×1 maniere parkeer word.
So there are (3×2×1)(5×4×3×2×1) = 720 ways to park 720
the cars./Dus is daar (3×2×1)(5×4×3×2×1) = 720 (3)
maniere om die motors te parkeer.

OR/OF

Suppose for the moment the 3 silver cars are at one


end./Veronderstel die drie silwer motors is op die punt.
The 3 cars can be arranged in 3×2×1 = 6 ways./Die 3
motors kan op 3×2×1 = 6 maniere gerangskik word.
For each of them the remaining four cars can be arranged
in 4×3×2×1 = 24 ways./Die 4 oorblywende motors kan op
4×3×2×1 = 24 maniere rangskik word.
So 6 × 24 = 144 ways if all 3 cars at one end./Dus is daar 6 × 24 = 144
6 × 24 = 144 maniere as die 3 motors op die punt is.

Together, the silver cars can only occupy 5 different


positions amongst the 7 positions.
./Saam kan die silwer motors slegs 5 verskillende posisies
hê tussen die 7 moontlike posisies. 5 × 144
∴ Total ways/Totale getal maniere = 5 × 144 = 720 720 (3)
[9]

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Mathematics P1/Wiskunde V1 DBE/2014
NSC/NSS – Grade 12 Exemplar/Graad 12 Model – Memorandum

QUESTION/VRAAG 11

11.1 P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B)  P(A or B) = P(A) +


0,57 = P(A) + 2P(A) P(B)
0,57 = 3P(A)
P(A) = 0,19  P(A) = 0,19
∴ P(B) = 2(0,19)
= 0,38 answer
(3)
11.2.1
P A,P
3

 first tier
A  second tier
 probabilities
1
2 outcomes
2 (4)
5
Y A,Y
P B,P
5
1
9
2

4
9
Y B;Y
11.2.2  1  2 
P(AY) =   
 2  5 
 answer
1
= (1)
5
11.2.3  1  3   1  5 
P(P) =    +   
 2  5   2  9   1  3 
   
3 5  2  5 
= +
10 18  1  5 
   
26  2  9 
=
45  answer
(3)
[11]

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Mathematics P1/Wiskunde V1 DBE/2014
NSC/NSS – Grade 12 Exemplar/Graad 12 Model – Memorandum

QUESTION/VRAAG 12

12.1
5 4 3 2 1

Number of different letter arrangements:


Aantal verskillende letter rangskikkings wat gevorm kan word:
5! = 5x4x3x2x1 5!
= 120 120
(2)
12.2 S and T can be arranged in 2! different ways.
The remaining three letters can be arranged in 3! different ways
 2!
∴ Total number of different letter arrangements having S and T as the  3!
first two letters = 2!.3!

S en T kan op 2! verskillende maniere rangskik word.


Die 3 letters wat oorbly kan op 3! verskillende maniere rangskik
word

∴ Totale aantal letterrangskikkings waarin S en T die eerste twee


letters van die rangskikking sal wees = 2!.3!

2!. 3!
P(having S and T as first two letters) =
120
2.6
=
120 answer
1 (3)
=
10 [5]

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