Stat and Prob Q1 M5
Stat and Prob Q1 M5
HIGH
Probability SCHOOL
SLM
Mean and Variance of Discrete
Random Variable 5
Quarter 1
Statistics and Probability
Quarter 1 – SLM 5: Mean and Variance of Discrete Random Variable
First Edition, 2020
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Probability SCHOOL
SLM
5
Quarter 1
Welcome to the Statistics and Probability for Senior High School Self Learning
Module on Mean and Variance of Discrete Random Variable!
This learning material hopes to engage the learners into guided and independent
learning activities at their own pace and time. Further, this also aims to help
learners acquire the needed 21st century skills especially the 5 Cs namely:
Communication, Collaboration, Creativity, Critical Thinking and Character while
taking into consideration their needs and circumstances.
In addition to the material in the main text, you will also see this box in the body of
the module:
As a facilitator you are expected to orient the learners on how to use this module.
You also need to keep track of the learners' progress while allowing them to
manage their own learning. Moreover, you are expected to encourage and assist the
learners as they do the tasks included in the module.
For the learner:
Welcome to the Statistics and Probability Self Learning Module on Mean and
Variance of Discrete Random Variable!
The hand is one of the most symbolized part of the human body. It is often used to
depict skill, action and purpose. Through our hands we may learn, create and
accomplish. Hence, the hand in this learning resource signifies that you as a
learner is capable and empowered to successfully achieve the relevant
competencies and skills at your own pace and time. Your academic success lies in
your own hands!
This module was designed to provide you with fun and meaningful opportunities
for guided and independent learning at your own pace and time. You will be
enabled to process the contents of the learning material while being an active
learner.
Expectation - These are what you will be able to know after completing the
lessons in the module
Pre-test - This will measure your prior knowledge and the concepts to be
mastered throughout the lesson.
Recap - This section will measure what learnings and skills that you
understand from the previous lesson.
Lesson- This section will discuss the topic for this module.
Wrap Up- This section summarizes the concepts and applications of the
lessons.
Post-test - This will measure how much you have learned from the entire
module. Ito po ang parts ng module
EXPECTATION
Learning Objective:
At the end of the lesson, learners are expected to interpret mean
and variance of discrete random variable.
PRETEST
Histogram
0,3
Probability of X
0,2
P(X)
0,1
0
0 1 2 3 4
Values of X
In the last lesson you have learned how to compute for the mean and
variance of a discrete random variable. Let us recall the steps on how to
compute the mean and variance of a discrete random variable.
To compute for the mean of a discrete random variable:
Step 1. Construct the probability distribution of the discrete random
variable.
Step 2. Multiply the value of the discrete random variable to its
corresponding probability.
Step 3. Get the summation of the products of the squared value of the
random variable and its probability.
𝝁 = ∑[(𝑋) • 𝑃(𝑋)]
𝜎 2 = ∑ [ 𝑋 2 • 𝑃(𝑋)] − 𝜇 2
Step 5. Find the standard deviation by getting the square root of the
variance.
𝜎 2 = √∑ [ 𝑋 2 • 𝑃(𝑋)] − 𝜇 2
LESSON
Mean is a measure of central tendency (measure of location) than balances
the distribution. To physically interpret that, let us take a look at the
histogram of our previous example.
Histogram
50,00%
37,50%
Probability
25,00%
12,50%
0,00%
0 1 2 3 More
Z- number of persons who tested positive
The histogram above shows the probability distribution when 3 persons are
tested for COVID-19 and Z represents the number of persons who tested
positive. From the graph, the probability that none of the three persons
tested positive is 0.125 or that is 12.5%, the probability that 1 of the 3
tested positive is 0.375 or 37.5%, the probability that 2 tested positive is
0.375 or 37.5% and the probability that all 3 tested positive is 0.125 or
12.5%. Imagine the bars in the graph to be like woods and the horizontal
axis is a seesaw, the seesaw will only be balance at point 1.5, which is the
mean of the distribution. The mean is a value that acts like the middle of
the seesaw so that the left and right side of the distribution will be equal.
Histogram
50,00%
Probability 37,50%
25,00%
12,50%
0,00%
0 1 1.5 2 3 More
mean
Example 1.
Outcomes 1 2 3 4 5 6
Probability 1/6 1/6 1/6 1/6 1/6 1/6
Step 3. Find the summation of the products of the values of the random
variable and the probabilities.
1 2 3 4 5 6 21
∑[(𝑜𝑢𝑡𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒) • 𝑃(𝑜𝑢𝑡𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒)] = ( ) + ( ) + ( ) + ( ) + ( ) + ( ) = = 3.5
6 6 6 6 6 6 6
When a die is rolled repeatedly the expected outcome is 3.5.
Histogram
0,18
0,16
0,14
Probability
0,12
0,1
0,08
0,06
0,04
0,02
0
1 2 3 4 5 6
Outcomes
The distribution is balance at point 3.5 which is the mean or expected value.
Example 2
To find the mean, the first step is to construct the probability distribution
which is already given above, we proceed to step 2.
Step 3. Find the summation of the products of the values of the random
variable and the probabilities.
∑[(𝑜𝑢𝑡𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒) • 𝑃(𝑜𝑢𝑡𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒)] = (−600) + (0) + (200) + (500) = 100
Gabriel is expected to win Php 100 after repeatedly playing the game, the
odds are in his favor.
Probability Distribution of X
Values of
X -2 -1 0 1 2
P (X) 1/10 2/10 4/10 2/10 1/10
2 2 2 2
∑[(𝑋) • 𝑃(𝑋)] = (− ) + (− ) + (0) + ( ) + ( ) = 𝟎 (mean)
10 10 10 10
Probability Distribution of Y
Values of Y -3 3
P (Y) 1/2 1/2
Y * P(Y) (-3)(1/2) (3)(1/2)
-3/2 3/2
3 3
∑[(𝑌) • 𝑃(𝑌)] = (− ) + ( ) = 𝟎 (mean)
2 2
If we are to compare these two distributions base on the mean, we will say
that they do not differ from each other since they have the same mean, but
is that really the case? To answer that question let us examine the
histogram of the two discrete random variables.
Below you can see that the values of X are close to each other and to the
mean, while the values of Y are far apart and are spread out from the mean.
Histogram Histogram
0,5 0,6
PROBABILITY OF X
Probability of Y
0,4 0,5
0,3 0,4
0,3
0,2
0,2
0,1 0,1
0 0
-2 -1 0 1 2 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3
VALUES OF X Values of Y
Let us get the variance and standard deviation to check if our observation is
correct.
𝝈𝟐 = 9 − (0)2
-3 0.5 -1.5 9 4.5
𝝈𝟐 = 𝟗 (variance)
3 0.5 1.5 9 4.5 𝝈 = √9
𝝈 = 𝟑 (standard deviation)
∑[𝒀𝟐 • 𝑷(𝒀)] = (𝟒. 𝟓) + (𝟒. 𝟓) = 𝟗
Example 3
To find the variance and standard deviation, first we have to find the
mean, which we already computed,100.3.
Step 2. Square each value of the random variable.
X- Number of
Parts Probability P(X) X • P(X) X2 X2 • P(X)
98 2/20 196/20 9604 19208/20
99 2/20 198/20 9801 19602/20
100 9/20 900/20 10000 90000/20
101 2/20 202/20 10201 20402/20
102 5/20 510/20 10404 52020/20
𝝈𝟐 = ∑[𝑿𝟐 • 𝑷(𝑿)] − 𝝁𝟐
𝝈𝟐 = 10061.6 − (100.3)2
𝝈𝟐 = 10061.6 − 10060.09
𝝈𝟐 = 𝟏. 𝟓𝟏
Step 5. Find the standard deviation by getting the square root of the
variance.
𝝈 = √∑[𝑿𝟐 • 𝑷(𝑿)] − 𝝁𝟐
𝝈 = √1.51
𝝈 = 1.2288
𝝈 = 𝟏. 𝟐𝟑
The variance of the distribution is 1.51 and the standard deviation is 1.23.
The variance and standard deviation are both small numbers which
indicates that the number of parts produced per day in 20 days are less
disperse and that the average which is 100.3 parts do not differ or is very
close from the number of parts produced per day in 20 days.
ACTIVITIES
ACTIVITY 1: PRACTICE
1.
Histogram
0,5
Probability
0,4
0,3
0,2
0,1
0
98 99 100 101 102
X - discrete random variable
2.
Histogram
0,4
Probability of Y
0,3
0,2
0,1
0
-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
Values of Y
Date
March 16
March 21
March 22
March 23
March 24
March 25
March 26
March 27
March 28
March 30
March 31
Recorded
Number of
1 4 15 1 2 6 2 3 4 7 7
Recoviries
Data are from Laging Handa website.
WRAP – UP
VALUING
As a student who is now living in the new normal, you should know how to
balance your schedule or time in studying all your different subjects since
you are now more independent and have more freedom when it comes to
doing school works online. Everything now is different from what we used to
do, but we should learn how to adjust to this new normal and let us all
continue to live our lives and pray that this too shall pass.
POSTTEST
I. Directions: Write True if the statement is true and write the correct
statement if the underlined phrase is false.
II. Directions: Read and answer the given problem. Show your complete
solutions.
The data below are the scores of 25 students in a 15-item Statistics quiz.
Construct the probability distribution of the random variable N that
Activity 1
1. a. YES, the graph shows a the results.
probability distribution. The sum of all
7
8
9
12
13
the probabilities is equal to 1.
13
14
13
12
12
10
14
15
10
and
(standard deviation)
e. 𝝈𝟐 = 𝟏. 𝟐 (variance) 𝝈 = 𝟏. 𝟏
9
9
12
15
11
KEY TO CORRECTION
8
9
7
10
10
the passing score is 12. Find the variance and standard deviation, interpret
represents the score. Find the mean. Does the mean indicate a good result if
Pre-Test
stribution. The sum of all the probabilities is equal to 1.
a. YES the histogram shows a probability
istribution will be balance. distribution. The sum of the probabilities is equal to
1.
es of the random variable are far from the mean other. b. The mean is 2, it is the point where the graph will
be balance.
deviation)
c. ∑[𝑋 • 𝑃 (𝑋)] = (0 • 0.2) + (1 • 0.2) + (2 • 0.2) + (3 •
0.2) + (4 • 0.2) = 2
(X) X2 X2 • P(X)
1 1 2/11 d. Base on the graph the variance is a small number,
𝝁 = 𝟐 (mean)
1 225 225/11
4 3 8 6 14 15 𝟓𝟐
( )+( )+( )+( )+( )+( )= = 𝟒. 𝟕𝟑
11 11 11 11 11 11 𝟏𝟏
21 16 36 40 11 48 39
∑[ 𝑋 • 𝑃(𝑋)] = ( ) + ( ) + ( ) + ( ) + ( ) + ( ) + ( )
25 25 25 25 25 25 25
28 30 𝟐𝟔𝟗
+( )+( )= = 𝟏𝟎. 𝟕𝟔
25 25 𝟐𝟓
𝟏𝟒𝟕 𝟏𝟐𝟖 𝟑𝟐𝟒 𝟒𝟎𝟎 𝟏𝟐𝟏 𝟓𝟕𝟔
∑[𝑿𝟐 • 𝑷(𝑿)] = ( )+( )+( )+( )+( )+( )
𝟐𝟓 𝟐𝟓 𝟐𝟓 𝟐𝟓 𝟐𝟓 𝟐𝟓
𝟓𝟎𝟕 𝟑𝟗𝟐 𝟒𝟓𝟎 𝟑𝟎𝟒𝟓
+( ) +( )+( )= = 𝟏𝟐𝟏. 𝟖
𝟐𝟓 𝟐𝟓 𝟐𝟓 𝟐𝟓
(variance) and
(standard deviation)
𝝁 = 𝟏𝟎. 𝟕𝟔 (mean) 𝝈𝟐 = 𝟔. 𝟎𝟐 𝝈 = 𝟐. 𝟒𝟓