Assignment II
Assignment II
Revenue if market is
Alternatives Revenue if market is weak Cost
strong
Large plant 10,000 200,000 100,000
Medium plant 50,000 120,000 60,000
Small plant 35,000 80,000 40,000
Event Probability
Strong market 40%
Weak market 60%
With favorable acceptance by the market, sales would be 25,000 phones selling for $100
each, and with unfavorable acceptance, sales would be only 8,000 phones selling for
$100 each. The cost of the CAD/CAM equipment is $500,000, but that of hiring and
training three new engineers is only $375,000. However, manufacturing cost should drop
from $50 each when manufacturing without CAD/CAM to $40 each when manufacturing
with CAD/CAM.
The probability of favorable acceptance of the new phone is 0.40; the probability of
unfavorable acceptance is 0.60.
https://www.uky.edu/~dsianita/300/dtree.html
WAITING LINES
1) The computer lab at State University has a help desk to assist students working on
computer spreadsheet assignments. The students patiently form a single line in front of
the desk to wait for help. Students are served based on a first-come, first-served priority
rule. On average, 15 students per hour arrive at the help desk. Student arrivals are best
described using a Poisson distribution. The help desk server can help an average of 20
students per hour, with the service rate being described by an exponential distribution.
2) The local Division of Motor Vehicles (DMV) is concerned with its waiting line system.
Currently, the DMV uses a single-server, single-line, single-phase system when
processing license renewals. Based on historical evidence, the average number of
customers arriving per hour is 9 and is described by a Poisson distribution. The service
rate is 12 customers per hour with the service times following an exponential
distribution. The customers are patient and come from an infinite population. The
manager of the DMV would like you to calculate the operational characteristics of the
waiting line system.
PROJECT MANAGEMENT
1) ASSA ABLOY SA is a company specializing in door opening solutions. One part of the company
focuses on manufacturing pin tumbler and lever locks for multiple brands including Union, Yale
and Multi-Lock. The production line used to produce padlocks is a perfect example of a network
system; the steps are shown in Table 1. Using this example, the CPM (critical path method) will
be explained fully.
For the purpose of the example, a batch of 200 padlocks will be taken as the sample for the data
recorded.
Table 1: Steps followed to produce padlocks.
Extra costs are associated with the activities if the manager wants to reduce the overall time (or
critical path). These costs can be seen from table 2, as well as the maximum reduction in time
per activity.
A penalty of Rs. 350,000 if the construction company has not completed the
construction by the deadline 47 weeks from now.
To provide a bonus of Rs. 200,000 to the construction company if the plant is
completed within 40 weeks.
The construction company is assigning its best construction manager, David, to this
project to help ensure that it stays on schedule. He looks forward to the challenge of
bringing the project in on schedule, and perhaps even finishing early. However, since
he is doubtful that it will be feasible to finish within 40 weeks without incurring
excessive costs, he has decided to focus his initial planning on meeting the deadline of
47 weeks.
David will need to arrange for a number of crews to perform the various construction
activities at different times. Table 1 shows his list of the various activities. The third
column provides important additional information for coordinating the scheduling of
the crews. Table 2 shows the crash times and crash costs for various activities in the
construction project.
Table 2: Time-cost Trade-off Data for the Activities in the Construction Project